Tabel Perhitungan Bisnis Jam Tangan

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PAY OFF TABLE AND OTHER

Action
State of Nature Buy Quantity 10 20 30 40 50
Buy Price 40 39 37 36 34
Demand 15 units
15 Pay Off 70 90 0 -90 -110
Opportunitic Lost 20 0 90 180 200
Prob 0.35 24.5 31.5 0 -31.5 -38.5

Demand 25 units
25 Pay Off 10 190 260 170 150
Opportunitic Lost 250 70 0 90 110
Prob 0.25 2.5 47.5 65 42.5 37.5

Demand 35 units
35 Pay Off -50 130 360 430 410
Opportunitic Lost 480 300 70 0 20
Prob 0.2 -10 26 72 86 82

Demand 45 units
45 Pay Off -110 70 300 530 670
Opportunitic Lost 780 600 370 140 0
Prob 0.2 -22 14 60 106 134

BEST ACTION
EXPECTED VALUE CRITERIA -5 119 197 203 215 BUY 50 units
MAXIMAX CRITERIA 70 190 360 530 670 BUY 50 units
MAXIMIN CRITERIA -110 70 0 -90 -110 BUY 20 units
MINIMAX CRITERIA 780 600 370 180 200 BUY 40 units

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