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FMI-Justification For Interest Rate
FMI-Justification For Interest Rate
2009, the committee decided to reduce the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 50 basis points to
2.00 percent from 3.25%. The MPC statement states the recent quarter saw a dramatic decline
in the global financial and economic landscape. While the regional economies are slowing down
quickly, the main advanced economies are seeing a deeper economic recession. The swift
and investment activity within the Asian region. The instability on the global financial markets
has also persisted for a long time. Even though several economies have implemented stimulus
plans to combat the slump, the economy has not yet seen the effects of these plans. The
prospects for the world economy are now far more vulnerable to negative developments. At this
point, the inflation rate in Malaysia was recorded at -0.09 which is a deflation. To boost up the
economic expansion and consumers spending, the central bank needs to reduce the interest
rate and relatively boost the supply of cash among the players of economy. In this situation, the
MPC’s decision to reduce the OPR from 3.25% to 2.00% is a brilliant step. Following this event,
the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in March 2009 was declined from 111.9 to 111.7. This downfall
in the CPI have improved the consumer’s purchasing power. In a deflationary environment, the
value of money increases, meaning that consumers can buy more goods and services with the
same amount of money. This can boost the spending among those with fixed incomes or
savings. Moreover, deflation can lead to a realignment of relative prices, making certain goods
and services more affordable. This can contribute to a more efficient allocation of resources in
the economy. While most of the world’s economy facing a recession and expecting an economic
expansion, this initiative by the MPC have benefited Malaysian economy to bounce back from a
recession. In the following MPC meeting of the central bank on 29 April 2009, the committee
have decided to maintain the OPR at 2.00%. The MPC statement have mentioned that the first
quarter of 2009 saw a further decline in the state of the world economy, and the worldwide
financial system's circumstances have not yet returned to normal. Major industrialized
economies are currently going through a deepening economic contraction, despite some
indications in recent months that the speed of decline in certain economic indices may be
slowing. Additionally, regional economies saw a notable downturn in activity during the first
quarter of the year. The probability of improving economic conditions in the second half of the
year has grown despite the near-term prognosis remaining poor due to the massive stimulus
measures implemented by various countries. Following the MPC meeting in April, the data
shows that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in May has increased to 111.7 from 111.5. This
shows us the consumers’ spending and the purchasing power have increased. At the same time,
the economy has also recovered from deflation and the rate of inflation has increased to 0.18%.
By these phenomena, we could conclude that the MPC’s decision to maintain the OPR at 2.00%
the committee decided to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 3.25 percent. As per the
Monetary Policy Statement states that the world economy is still getting stronger, international
trade is expanding rapidly, growing salaries and governmental support will provide advanced
economies further growth momentum. Growth in Asia will be fueled by both robust external
demand and ongoing domestic activity. The main purpose of the central bank imposing
Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) is to maintain a stable supply of cash according to the economic
factors such as inflation and economic expansion. The common fact is OPR will influence the
inflation rate and it will relatively impact elements like economic expansion, exchange rate and
the governments balance of payments. The MPC statement on March 2018 states that the OPR
will remain at 3.25%. The decision to keep the OPR unchanged at 3.25% is an appreciable
decision because the inflation rate in February 2018 is recorded at 0%. When there is 0% of
inflation recorded, the best a central bank could do is keep the OPR untouched and maintaining
it. Even though the inflation rate in March slightly increased to 0.33%, the inflation rate went
down to 0% again in April 2018. So, the decision by the MPC to maintain OPR was strongly
seems to be a wise decision. In the next MPC meeting, which was held on 10 May 2018, the
MPC has stated that the OPR will be maintained at 3.25%. The rate which perfectly holds the
inflation at 0% from going negative and avoids deflation seems to be a balanced interest rate
by the central bank. Even though the OPR remains untouched for two times continuously that
was a wise and efficient decision. The efficiency of these decisions by MPC was proved by a
narrow range of the movement of Consumer Price Index (CPI) between 120.9 to 121.1 between
the period.