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NGAN HANG CAU HOI THONG KE U'NG DUNG KINH TE VA KINH DOANH
Chwong 2: cdc phan phoi xdc suat thong dung,
A. Phan ph6i nhi thitc.
B. 2. Phan phéi siéu boi.
C. 3. Phin phéi Poisson.
D. 4, Phan ph6i chudn.
i. PHAN PHOI NHI THUC
C24 — Xécsudt mOtbénh nhan duge chitabénh thanh cOng v6i ky thuat méi la p = 0, 8. Gia sirc6 10 bénh
nhan. X4c suit c6 6 bénh nhan dwgc chia bénh thanh cng véi ky thuat méi nay
A.0,0881 B.0,2621
€.0,1296 D.0,6219
Dap an.
X ~ B(10;0,8) ; P(X = 6) = C},0,8°0,2' = 0,0881
(2.2 Xe sudt mét bénh nhAn duoc chika bénh thanh céng vi ky thuat méi 1a p = 0, 8 Gid sirc6 10 bénh,
nhan. Xéc sudt cé tir4 dén 5 bénh nhan dugc chia bénh thanh cong v6i ky thudt méi nay
A.0.0881 B.0,2621
C.0,0319 ‘D.0,0055
Dap An.
X ~B(10:0.8): P(4 0, =1,2649
Vay trung binh va dé Iéch chun s6 bénh nhan chia thanh cong [a8 va 1,26 bénh nhan.
X ~B(10;0,8) >
€2.6 Theo mét nghién citu gin day cia phdng Dao tao, 40% sinh vién tai mOt trudng dai hoc c6 kha
nang tu hoc. Chon ngdu nhién 5 sinh vign dé hoi. X4c suat it nhdt 1 sinh vién duoc hdi c6 kha nang
turhoe
A.0,9132 B.0,8918
C.0,9222 D.0,0778
Dap an
X ~B(5:0.4) , Xac suat c6 ft nhat 1 sinh vién c6 kha nang tu hoc 1A
P(1< X)=1—P(x <1)=1—P(x =0)=
€20,4°0,6
0,9222
2.7 Theo mét nghién ciu gin day ciia phdng Dao tao, 40% sinh vién Van Lang cé kha ning tu hoc.
Chon ngdu nhién 5 sinh vién dé hdi. X4c suat 06 trén 3 sinh vién dugc hai cé kha nang ty hoc
A. 0,0870 B. 0,2304
C.0,0768 D.0.3174
bap dn
4), Xae suat c6 trén 3 sinh vign cé kha ning tu hoc la
P(330% 4 1-P(X =0)> 0,3 + P(X =0) <0,7
0,96" <0,7 0 > logo, (0,7) =8,73 S yy =9
Vay n=9
2.21 Dé thitréc nghiém mén XSTK c6 25 cau héi, mbi cau c6 4 d4p An va chi c6 1 dap An ding. Mot sinh
vién kém lam bai bang c4ch chon ngdu nhién 1 trong 4 dap 4n ciia méi cau héi. Tinh xdc suat dé
sinh vién dé tra Idi ding 10 cau héi ?
A. 0,0417 B.0,0517
€.00745, D.0,2255,
(2.22 Dé thitrdc nghiém mén XSTK cé 25 cau héi, mdi cdu c6 4 dap 4n va chi cé 1 d4p An ding. M6t sinh
vién kém lam bai bang cdch chon ngdu nhién 1 trong 4 dap 4n cia mdi cau héi. Tinh xdc suat dé
sinh vién dé tra Idi ding tir 5 dén 7 cau héi ?
A.0,4127 B.0,5128
c.0,7145 D.0,8275
(2.23 Dé thitrdc nghiém mén XSTK c6 25 cau héi, mdi cau c6 4 dp An va chi cé 1 d4p An ding. Mi cau
tra 101 duing thi durgc 0,4 diém va néu sai thi bi tri 0,1 diém. Mot sinh vién kém lam bat bang cach
chon ngiu nhién 1 trong 4 dap 4n cia méi cau héi. Tinh xdc sudt dé sinh vign dé dat 4 diém ?
A025 B.0,045
C.0,0045 D.0,0025
ap an
4|Page THONG KE KINH DOANH
X ~B(25:0,25) , XI bién ngdu nhién chi s6 cau ding.
V6i méi cau tra 1di ding thi dug 0,4 diém va néu sai thi bi triy 0,1 diém. Goi ¥ 1a bién ngdu nhién chi diém
thi cia sinh vién nén ¥ = Xx0,4+(25—X)(-0,1)=0,5X —2,5.
Xéc suat sinh vién tra loi duoc 4 diém 1a:
P(Y =4) = P(0,5X —2,5= 4) = P(X =13) = CZ 0,25'°0, 75" = 0,025
2.24 Dé thitrdc nghiém mén XSTK c6 25 cau hdi, méi cau cé 4 dap dn va chi cé 1 dap 4n diing. Méi cau
tra Iai diing thi duroc 0,4 diém va nu sai thi bjtriy 0,1 diém. Mot sinh vién kém lam bai bang céch
chon ng&u nhién 1 trong 4 dap an cia méi cau héi, Tinh s6 dém trung binh sinh vién nay dat duoc
A225 B.0,625
C25 D.0,3125
Dp 4n.
X ~B(25:0.25), X12 bién ngdu nhién chi s6 cu ding.
Vési mdi cau tra loi dting thi duro 0.4 diém va néu sai thi bj triy 0,1 diém. Goi ¥ 1a bién ngdu nhién chi diém
thi cia sinh vién nén ¥ =X x0,4-+(25—X)(—0,1)=0,5X-2,5 .
Diém trung binh cita sinh vién dat duoc:
E(Y)=E(0,5X —2,5)=0,5E(X)—2,5 = 0,5%25x0,25—2,5 = 0,625
(2.25 Dé thitrdc nghiém mén XSTK c6 25 cdu héi, mdi cdu c6 4 dp An va chi cé 1 d4p dn ding. Méi cau
tra li dting thi dug 0,4 diém va néu sai thi bi tri 0,1 diém. Mét sinh vin kém lam bai bang c4ch
chon ngdu nhién 1 trong 4 d4p 4n cia mdi cau héi. Tinh sé dém ma sinh vign nay dat durgc la chdc
nhat
A24 B.05
co D.2,3125
Dap An
X ~ B(25;0,25) , Xa bién ngdu nhién chi s6 cu ding,
Voi méi cau tra loi ding thi dugc 0,4 diém va néu sai thi bi trtr 0,1 diém. Gol ¥ 1a bién ngdu nhién chi diém
thi cia sinh vién nén ¥ =X x0,4+ (25—X)(—0,1) = 0,5X—2,5.
‘iém thi sinh vien chdc chan xay ra nhatla Mod (Y= Mod (0,5X ~2,5) = 0,5Mod (X)—2,5= 0,5k ~2,5
trong d6 np—q1)=1-P(X =1)-P(x=0 Chop 0,090,991" — Ci, 0,991" = 0.2273
5|Page THONG KE KINH DOANH
2.27 MOt 10 hang cnh ga déng g6i dOng lanh nhap khdu véi xdc sudt bi nbiém khudn ctia mét géi 12
0,9%. Co quan Vé sinh an toan thyc phdm kiém tra ngdu nhién ln hugt 1475 géi. $6 géi cinh gd
6 nhiéu kha nang bi phat hién nhiém khudn nhat li:
A. 10 géi B12 g6i
C.13 goi D.14g6i
2.28 MOt ky thuat vién theo d6i 14 may hoat déng d6c lap. Xdc suat dé mdi may trong 1 gid can dén su
digu chinh cia ky thuat vign nay bing 0,2. Tinh xéc suat 46 trong 1 gid cé tir 4 dén 6 may can dén
su digu chinh cua ky thuat vién?
A. 0,2902 B.0,3902
c.04902 D.0,5902
2.29 MOtngwai ban doc lap 12 vién dan vao 1 muc tiéu, xdc suat bin trting dfch cita m6i vién dan 10,2.
Muc tiéu bi pha hiy hoan toan néu c6 ft nhat 2 vién dan tring vao muc tiéu. Tinh xac sudt dé myc
tiéu bi phd hiiy hon toan ?
A.0,7251 B.0,2749
€.0,4549 D.0,6751
ii. PHAN PHOI SIEU BOI.
C230 M6t 16 hang gdm 8 sin phim t6t va 2 phé phim. Chon ngiu nhién 3 sin phim tir 16 hang d6 (chon
1 [&n). Goi XA s6 phé phdm trong 3 sin phdm chon ra. Gid tri ca VarX 1a:
Be
75
29
75
D.
2.31 MOt1é hang gdm 8 sin phim t6t va 2 phé ph4m. Chon ngiu nhién 5 sin phdm tl 10 hang d6 (chon
1 fan), Goi X la sé san phm t6t trong 5 san phim chon ra Gia tri cla EX1a:
AEX=4 B.EX=5
C.EX=3,2 D.EX=1
2.32 M6tr6 man c6 100 trai trong dé cé 10 tri bi hu. Chon ngdu nhién tiy ré dé ra 4 trai (chon 1 lan).
Goi X 1a sé tri mn hur chon phai. Gid tri ciia EX va VarX I:
ALEX = 0, 4 VarX = 0, 3491 B. EX=0,
C. EX = 3, 6; VarX =0, 3491 D.EX=0,
), 3713
0,3564
2.33. Mot rd man cé 100 trdi trong d6 cé 10 trai bi hur. Chon ngdu nhién te r6 dé ra 4 trai (chon 1 Lan),
Goi Xa 6 trai man khOng bi hu chon dugc. Gid tri cla EX va VarX 1a:
ALEX = 0, 4; VarX = 0, 3491 B.EX=0, ), 3713
C.EX = 3, 6; VarX = 0, 3491 D.EX= 0,4; Vark = 0, 3564
€2_34 Mot thing bia c6 24 chai trong d6 dé lan 5 chai qua han sit dung. Chon ngdu nhién tir thing d6 ra
4 chaibia (chon 1 Lan). Goi X 1a s6 chai bia qué han chon phai, Gid tri ctia EXva VarX 1a:
aex =) varx Bex =2,varx =
6 44 6 lat
cx = 8 vary = 1 pv. ex =5,varx = 45
6 828 6 828
6|Page THONG KE KINH DOANH
C235 Mot thing bia c6 24 chai trong 46 dé lin 3 chai qué han sir dung. Chon ngdu nhién tir thing 46 ra
4 chai bia (chon 1 lan). Xdc suat chon duoc ca 4 chai bia khong qué han str dung la:
A.p=0,4123 = 0, 5868
C.p=0,4368
C236 Mt thing bia c6 24 chai trong d6 dé lan 3 chai qua han st dung. Chon ngdu nhién tir thing d6 ra
4 chai bia (chon 1 lan). Xac sudt chon dugc ft nhat 1 chai bia khong qué han sir dung 12:
Ap=1 , 9998
), 5632
2.37 MOt higu s4ch ban 30 quyén truyén X, trong dé c6 12 quyén in l4u, Mot khdch hing chon ngdu
nhién 4 quyén truyén X (chon 1 Lin). Hdi kha nang cao nhat khach chon phai bao nhiéu quyén
truyén Xin lau?
‘A. Oquyén B.1 quyén
C.2quyén D.3 quyén
2.38 MOt hiéu sdch bin 40 quyén truyén X, trong d6 c6 12 quyén in lau. MOt khach hang chon ngdu
nhién 4 quyén truyén X (chon 1 Tin). Héi kha ning cao nha khdch chon duge bao nhiéu quyén
truyén X khéng phai in lau?
A. 1quyén B.2quyén
C. 3.quyén D.4 quyén
2.39 Mbt cira hang ban 50 con cé chép, trong dé c6 18 con cé chép Nhat. Mét khch hang chon ngdu
nhién 4 con cd chép (chon 1 Ian). Héi kha nang cao nhat khach chon dugc bao nhiéu con cé chép
Nhat?
A.Ocon B.1con
C.2con D.3con
iii. PHAN PHOI POISSON
2.40 M6t bén xe khdch trung binh c6 40 xe xudt bén trong 1 gid. X4c suat dé trong 1 phiit o6 2.xe xuat
bén I:
A.p=01711 1141
C.p=0,251 0744
C241 Mottram dién thoai trung binh nhan dugc 100 cudc goi trong 1 gid. Xac sudt dé tram nhgn duge
nhi8u hon 2 cude goi trong 1 phiit 13:
A.p=0,5121 B.p=0,4811
C.p=0,4963 D.p=0, 2623
2.42 Mot bén xe khich trung binh cé 70 xe xudt bén trong 1 gid. X4c sudt a6 trong 5 phiit c6 3 xe xudt
bén k&:
A.p=0,1609 B.p=0, 1309
C.p=0,1209 D. p= 0, 0969
2.43 M6t tram dién thoai trung binh nhan duoc 900 cudc goi trong 1 gid. Xdc suat dé tram nhan duoc
duing 32 cudc goi trong 2 phiit 1a:
A p=0,0659 B.p=0,0481
7|Page THONG KE KINH DOANH
C.p=0,0963 D.p=0, 0624
2.44 Quansét thay trung binh 5 phut c6 15 khach hing vao 1 siéu thi nhé. Tim xac sudt dé cé nhigu hon
2 khdch vao siéu thi trong 30 gidy ?
A.0,1255 B.0,749
C.0,1912 D.0,2893
2.45 Quan sét thay trung binh 1 phiit c6 2 dt6 di qua tram thu phi. Xdc sudt c6 6 dtd di qua tram thu phi
trong 3 phat la:
A. 0,2606 B.0,1606
€.03606 D. 0,0306
iv. PHAN PHOI CHUAN
(2.46 Trong ky thi dau vao & mot trudng chuyén, néu mot thf sinh c6 tng sé diém céc mon thi cao hon
15 diém thi tring tuyén. Biét téng diém cdc m6n thi cia hoc sinh 1a bién ngiu nhién cé phan phéi
chudn véi trung binh 12 diém va dé léch chun 5 diém. Ty 1é hoc sinh thi dat 14:
A.40,44% B.5956%
C.27,43% D.7257%
Dap an.
X ~N(12,25), voi w= 12:0 =5
Thi sinh cé téng sé diém cdc mén thi cao hon 15 diém thi trang tuyén véi xdc sudt la
P(IS £2000 _ 128 «> = 23440
2000 2000
€2.50 Cho bién bién ngiu nhién X € N(4; 2,25). Gid tri cila xc sudt P (X > 5,5) la:
3413
,2707
2.51 Cho bién ngdu nhién X c6 phan phéi chudin v6i EX = 10 vaP (10 < X < 20) = 0,3. Gid tri cia xc swt
P(0 { )-o(0.84)
10
eo
0,84
1,9048
va P(0 9) = 0, 1949. Tinh VarX?
A.7,0771 B.4,6512
C. 21,6333 ‘D. 245664
Dap An
X ~N(5;07); voi w=5
P(9< X)=0,1949 & 0,5 -o( 23}
)
0,1949 <> o(3) =0,3051 = 9(0,86) <2 4 =0,86
o o o
a=5,651loo*
1,6333
2.57 MOtcdngty cin mua 1 loai thiét bi c6 d9 day tir0,118cm dén 0,122cm. Cita hang A c6 ban loai thiét
binay voi dé day 1a bién ngiu nhién X c6 phan ph6i chudn N (0,12; 0,012). Ty Ié thiét bi ma cong
ty khéng sir dung dug khi mua loai thiét bi nay tir cia hang A 12:
A. 95,39% B.9744%
C.100% D.92,45%
2.58 Thdi gian mang thai cia san phy 1a bién ngdu nhién c6 phan ph6i chudn véi trung binh 280 ngay
va d6 léch chun 15 ngay. Ty 1é mét sn phy mang thai dé 270 ngay 1a:
A.25,14% B.24,86%
C.44,21% D.31,21%
10|Page THONG KE KINH DOANH
2.59 Thai gian mang thai ciia sn phy 1a bién ngdu nhién c6 phan phéi chudn véi trung binh 280 ngay.
Néu ty 1é mét san phu mang thai dwéi trén 290 ngay 1a 84,13% thi d6 Iéch chudn ciia thdi gian
mang thai la:
A. 10 ngay B15 ngay
C.12 ngay D.17ngay
2.60 Chiu cao cia nam giéi da truéng thanh 1A bién ngiu nhién X (cm) c6 phan phéi chudn N(165; 25).
Chon ngau nhién lan lwot $ nam giéi da tréng thanh, Tinh xac suat trong 5 nguroi dugc chon cé
ft nhat 1 ngudi cao tir 160 cm dén 170 cm?
A.0,9968 B.0,9019
C.0,9543 D.0,9796
2.61 Thdi gian X (thdng) tir lic vay dén lic tra en cia mOt khéch hang tai m9t cOngty tai chfnh 1a bién
ngdu nhién cé phan phéi chudn voi X ~ N (18,16). Sinh vién hay tinh x4c suat thei gian X ndm
trong khoang tir 20 dén 24 thang.
A. 02417 B.0,4332
C.0,1915, D.0,4835
Dap an.
BX
= (1,50) - (0,50)
B3. Tra bang (1,50) = 0,4332 ; o(0,50)
B4. Kétluan: P(20 < X < 24) = 0,4332—0,1915 = 0,2417
N(18,16) >
B2. P(20< X < 24
es
0.1915,
C262 Thdigian X (th4ng) tir lic vay dén hic tra tién cia mét kh4ch hang tai mét cong ty tai chinh 1a bién.
ngdu nhién cé phn phéi chudn X ~ (ue *) vei jr = 18 va P(18 < X < 22) = 0,3418. Sinh vién
hay tinh d6 léch chudn o cila bién X .
Ao o=16
Co=2 Do=8
bap an.
B1.Giathiét: p =18; P(IS< X< 2) = 0,3413
22
18
B2. P(I8 < X < 22)
[8
B3.Suy ra (2) 0,3413 4
c
B4. Kétluan o = 4
11|Page THONG KE KINH DOANH
2.63. Thdi gian.X (tinh bang phdt) cia mOt khdch hang ch’ dé dugc phuc vu tai mOt cia hang 1a bién
ngiu nhién tuan theo phan phéi chudn X ~ 1V(4,5;1,21). Sinn vien hay tinh xac suat mot khach
hang ¢6 thai gian ch’ phuc vu tir 4 dén 5 phat.
A. 0,3472 B.0,1736
C.0,3206 D.0,1603
Dap an
B1.Gid thiét X ~ N(45:1,21) > x =4,5 0 =11.
5-
B2.Tinh Pla
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