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Session 7 & 8 Economics of Eng. Design I
Session 7 & 8 Economics of Eng. Design I
LECTURE SESSIONS
Session Seven: Design Factors, Cost Evaluation & Project presentation.
Design factors. Safety & Reliability. Overall Cost Evaluation. Project presentation &
bill of materials.
Session Eight: Economical factors in engineering design.
7.1 & 8.1 Session Objectives
By the end of this session, you should be able to
Understand the different criteria & considerations/limitations that affect
the nature & approach of design.
Understand and explain how to determine the cost of an engineered
product.
Prepare technical documentations for engineering design projects, create
and conduct audio-visual or project presentations.
Understand and explain how economical factors affect products of
engineering design.
7.2 Design Factors
Sometimes the strength required of an element in a system is an important factor in
the determination of the geometry and the dimensions of the element. In such a
situation we say that strength is an important design consideration. When we use
the expression design consideration, we are referring to some characteristic that
influences the design of the element or, perhaps, the entire system. Usually quite a
number of such characteristics must be considered and prioritized in a given design
situation. Many of the important ones are as follows (not necessarily in order of
importance):
Functionality Cost
Strength/Stress Friction
Distortion/Deflection/stiffness Weight
Wear Life
Corrosion Noise
Safety Styling
Reliability Shape
Manufacturability Size
Utility Control
Some of these characteristics have to do directly with the dimensions, the material,
the processing, and the joining of the elements of the system. Several characteristics
may be interrelated, which affects the configuration of the total system.
The strict liability concept of product liability generally prevails in the United States.
This concept states that the manufacturer of an article is liable for any damage or
harm that results because of a defect. And it doesn’t matter whether the
manufacturer knew about the defect, or even could have known about it. For
example, suppose an article was manufactured, say, 10 years ago. And suppose at
that time the article could not have been considered defective on the basis of all
technological knowledge then available.
Ten years later, according to the concept of strict liability, the manufacturer is still
liable. Thus, under this concept, the plaintiff needs only to prove that the article was
defective and that the defect caused some damage or harm. Negligence of the
manufacturer need not be proved.
The best approaches to the prevention of product liability are good engineering in
analysis and design, quality control, and comprehensive testing procedures.
Advertising managers often make glowing promises in the warranties and sales
literature for a product. These statements should be reviewed carefully by the
engineering staff to eliminate excessive promises and to insert adequate warnings
and instructions for use.
There are three aspects to design for safety:
1. Make the product safe, that is, design all hazards out of the product.
2. If it is not possible to make the product inherently safe, then design in protective
devices like guards, automatic cutoff switches, and pressure-relief valves, to mitigate
the hazard.
3. If step 2 cannot remove all hazards, then warn the user of the product with
appropriate warnings like labels, flashing lights, and loud sounds.
A fail-safe design seeks to ensure that a failure will either not affect the product
or change it to a state in which no injury or damage will occur. There are three
variants of fail-safe designs.
Fail-passive design. When a failure occurs, the system is reduced to its lowest-
energy state, and the product will not operate until corrective action is taken.
A circuit breaker is an example of a fail-passive device.
Fail-active design. When failure occurs, the system remains energized and in
a safe operating mode. A redundant system kept on standby is an example.
Fail-operational design. The design is such that the device continues to
provide its critical function even though a part has failed. A valve that is
designed so that it will remain in the open position if it fails is an example.
7.4 Reliability
In these days of greatly increasing numbers of liability lawsuits and the need to
conform to regulations issued by governmental agencies such as EPA and OSHA, it
is very important for the designer and the manufacturer to know the reliability of
their product. The reliability method of design is one in which we obtain the
distribution of stresses and the distribution of strengths and then relate these two in
order to achieve an acceptable success rate.
The statistical measure of the probability that a mechanical element will not fail in
use is called the reliability of that element. The reliability R can be expressed by a
number having the range 0 ≤ R ≤ 1. A reliability of R = 0.90 means that there is a 90
percent chance that the part will perform its proper function without failure. The
failure of 6 parts out of every 1000 manufactured might be considered an acceptable
failure rate for a certain class of products. This represents a reliability of
6
R 1 0.994
1000
In the reliability method of design, the designer’s task is to make a judicious selection of
materials, processes, and geometry (size) so as to achieve a specific reliability
goal. Thus, if the objective reliability is to be 99.4 percent, as above, what
combination of materials, processing, and dimensions is needed to meet this goal?
Analyses that lead to an assessment of reliability address uncertainties, or their
estimates, in parameters that describe the situation. Stochastic variables such as
stress, strength, load, or size are described in terms of their means, standard
deviations, and distributions. If bearing balls are produced by a manufacturing
process in which a diameter distribution is created, we can say upon choosing a ball
that there is uncertainty as to size. If we wish to consider weight or moment of
inertia in rolling, this size uncertainty can be considered to be propagated to our
knowledge of weight or inertia. There are ways of estimating the statistical
parameters describing weight and inertia from those describing size and density.
These methods are variously called propagation of error, propagation of uncertainty, or
propagation of dispersion. These methods are integral parts of analysis or synthesis
tasks when probability of failure is involved.
It is important to note that good statistical data and estimates are essential to
perform an acceptable reliability analysis. This requires a good deal of testing and
validation of the data. In many cases, this is not practical and a deterministic
approach to the design must be undertaken.
Forms of the failure curve: (a) three-stage (bath tub) curve typical of electronic
equipment; (b) failure curve more typical of mechanical equipment.
(Further in-depth reading in Reliability Engineering)
the residual strength is very remote. Figure below illustrates some of the concepts of
damage tolerance. The initial population of very small flaws inherent in the material
is shown at the far left. These are small cracks, inclusions, porosity, surface pits, and
scratches. If they are less than a1, they will not grow appreciably in service.
Additional defects will be introduced by manufacturing processes. Those larger than
a2 will be detected by inspection and eliminated as scrapped parts. However, some
cracks will be present in the components put into service, and they will grow to a
size a3 that can be detected by the nondestructive evaluation (NDE) techniques that
can be used in service. The allowable design stresses must be so selected that the
number of flaws of size a3 or greater will be small. Moreover, the material should be
damage-tolerant so that propagation to the critical crack size acr is slow. In
conventional fracture mechanics analysis, the critical crack size is set at the largest
crack size that might be undetected by the NDE technique used in service. The value
of fracture toughness of the material is taken as the minimum reasonable value. This
is a safe but overly conservative approach. These worst-case assumptions can be
relaxed and the analysis based on more realistic conditions by using probabilistic
fracture mechanics (PFM).
6. Ease of Inspection
The importance of detecting cracks should be apparent from the figure below.
Ideally it should be possible to employ visual methods of crack detection, but special
design features may have to be provided in order to do so. In critically stressed
structures, special features to permit reliable NDE by ultrasonics or eddy current
techniques may be required. If the structure is not capable of ready inspection, then
the stress level must be lowered until the initial crack cannot grow to a critical size
during the life of the structure. For that situation the inspection costs will be low but
the structure will carry a weight penalty because of the low stress level.
7.Simplicity
Simplification of components and assemblies reduces the chance for error and
increases the reliability. The components that can be adjusted by operation or
maintenance personnel should be restricted to the absolute minimum. The simpler
the equipment needed to meet the performance requirements the better the design.
8.Specificity
The greater the degree of specificity, the greater the inherent reliability of design.
Whenever possible, be specific with regard to material characteristics, sources
of supply, tolerances and characteristics of the manufacturing process, tests required
for qualification of materials and components, and procedures for installation,
maintenance, and use. Specifying standard items increases reliability. It usually
means that the materials and components have a history of use so that their
reliability is known. Also, replacement items will be readily available. When it is
necessary to use a component with a high failure rate, the design should especially
provide for the easy replacement of that component.
Indirect costs- Costs that can't be identified with any particular product e.g. rent or
factorybuilding, cost of utilities.
FIXED COSTS
These includes:
1. Indirect plant costs plus[G &A]i.e. General and Administrative cost are also part.
a) Investment costs: Depreciation or capital investment, Interest on capital
investment andinventory, property taxes, Insurance.
b) Overhead costs (burden): Technical services (engineering), product design and
development, non technical services (office personnel, security) General supplies,
rental of equipment.
2. Management and administrative expenses: share of costs of corporate executive
staff, legal staff, market staff share of corporate research & development staff
3. Selling expenses: Sales force, delivery and warehouse costs, technical services.
VARIABLE COSTS.
These includes:
Cost of materials, direct labor (including Fringe benefits), direct production
supervision,maintenance, power and utilities, quality control staff, royalty payments,
packaging andstorage costs, scrap losses and spoilage.
Break-even Point
The break-even point is the roles or production volumes at which sales and costs be
operatingbeyond BEP results in profits operating below BEP - losses.
If P be unit of sales price, v be the variable cost and f be the fixed costs.
Q is the number of production units or the sales volume of products sold. The gross
profit Zis given by
Z PQ (Qv f ) @ BEP Q QBEP & Z 0
f
QBEP ( P v) f QBEP
( P v)
Example: A new product has the following cost structure over one month of
operation. Determine
i. the break-even point.
ii. What the Sales price would be needed for the product to break even at 1000
units.
Given
Labour cost Ksh 250/unit ,
Material cost Ksh 600/unit
G & A expenses Ksh 120,000,
Depreciation on equipment Ksh 500,000 ,
Factory expenses Ksh 90,000,
Sales & distribution overhead Ksh 100,000
Profit Ksh 170/unit.
Solution
Total variable (Ksh) v=250+600=850/unit
Break –even curve showing relation between fixed & variable cost & profit before
taxes.
Total fixed cost, f 120, 000 500, 000 80, 000 100, 000 800, 000
Sales price (Ksh) P 850 170 1020
Z PQ (Qv f ) @ BEP Q QBEP & Z 0
f 800, 000
QBEP ( P v) f QBEP 4706 units
( P v) (1020 850)
Sales price would be needed for the product to break even at 1000 units.
Z PQ (Qv f ) @ BEP Q QBEP & Z 0
(QBEP v f ) (1000 850 800, 000) 1, 650,000
PQBEP (QBEP v f ) P Ksh1, 650
QBEP 1000 1000
2. Prepare the operations route sheet. The route sheet is a sequenced list of all operations
required to produce the part. An operation is a step in the process sequence, defined
as all the work done on a machine or workstation.
3. Determine the time required to carry out each operation . Whenever a new part is first
made on a machine, there must be a setup period during which old tooling is taken
out and new tooling is installed and adjusted. Depending on the process, this can be
a period of minutes or several days, but two hours is a more typical setup time. Each
process has a cycle time, which consists of loading the workpiece into the machine,
carrying out the operation, and unloading the workpiece. The process cycle is
repeated many times until the number of parts required for the batch size has been
made. Often there is a downtime for shift change or for maintenance on the machine
or tooling.
4. Convert time to cost. The times for each element in each operation are added to find
the total time to complete each operation of the process. Then the time is multiplied
by the fully loaded wage rate (Ksh/hr) to give the cost of labor. A typical product
will require parts made by different processes, and some parts purchased rather than
made in-house. Typically, different labor rates and overhead rates prevail in
different cost centers of the factory.
you will be called upon to give a talk. Oral communication has several special
characteristics: quick feedback by questions and dialogue; impact of personal
enthusiasm; impact of visual aids; and the important influence of tone, emphasis,
and gesture. A skilled speaker in close contact with an audience can communicate
far more effectively than the cold, distant, easily evaded written word. On the other
hand, the organization and logic of presentation must be of a higher order for oral
than for written communication.
The listener to an oral communication has no opportunity to reread a page to clarify
a point. Many opportunities for “noise” exist in oral communication. The
preparation & delivery of the speaker, the environment of the meeting room, and the
quality of the visual aids all contribute to the efficiency of the oral communication
process.
Formal technical reports
A formal technical report usually is written at the end of a project. Generally, it is a
complete, stand-alone document aimed at persons having widely diverse
backgrounds. Therefore, much more detail is required than for the memorandum
report.The outline of a typical professional report 5 might be:
specific point, develop the data into some more meaningful form, or relate the
data to theory described in the introduction.
Conclusions: The conclusion section states in as concise a form as possible the
conclusions that can be drawn from the study. In general, this section is the
culmination of the work and the report.
References: References support statements in the report and lead the reader to
more in-depth information about a topic.
Appendixes: Appendixes are used for mathematical developments, sample
calculations, etc., that are not directly associated with the subject of the report
and that, if placed in the main body of the report, would seriously impede the
logical flow of thought. Final equations developed in the appendixes are then
placed in the body of the report with reference to the appendix in which they
were developed.
1. Tense
The choice of the tense of verbs is often confusing. The following simple rules are
usually employed by experienced writers:
Past tense: Use to describe work completed or in general to past events. “Hardness
readings were taken on all specimens.”
Present tense: Use in reference to items and ideas in the report itself. “It is clear
from the data in Figure 4 that the motor speed is not easily controlled” or “The
group recommends that the experiment be repeated” (present opinion).
Future tense: Use in making prediction from the data that will be applicable in
the future. “The market data given in Table II indicate that the sales for the new
product line will continue to increase in the next ten years.”
2. References
References are usually placed at the end of the written text. Those to the technical
literature (described as readily available on subscription and included in most
library collections) are made by author and journal reference (often with the title of
article omitted) as shown by the following example. There is no single universally
accepted format for references. Each publishing organization has a preferred style
for referencing material.
Present worth analysis, annual cost analysis and capitalized cost analysis
ii) Depreciation of assets and depreciation methods
Straight-line depreciation,
Declining-Balance Depreciation
Sum of digits years digits depreciation
Modified accelerated cost recovery system
iii) Taxes:
Taxes are an important factor to be considered in engineering economic decisions.
The chief types of taxes that are imposed on a business firm are:
Property taxes: Based on the value of the property owned by the corporation
(land, buildings, equipment, inventory). These taxes do not vary with profits
and usually are not too large.
Sales taxes: Imposed on sales of products. Sales taxes usually are paid by the
retail purchaser, so they generally are not relevant to engineering economy
studies of a business.
Excise taxes: Imposed on the manufacture of certain products like gasoline,
tobacco, and alcohol. Also usually passed on to the consumer.
Income taxes: Imposed on corporate profits or personal income. Gains resulting
from the sale of capital property also are subject to income tax.
iv) Profitability of Investments:
One of the principal uses for engineering economy is to determine the profitability of
proposed projects or investments. The decision to invest in a project generally is
based on three different sets of criteria.
Profitability: It is an analysis that estimates how rewarding in monetary terms
an investment will be.
Financial analysis: How to obtain the necessary funds and what it will cost.
Funds for investment come from three broad sources: (1) retained earnings of
the corporation, (2) long-term commercial borrowing from banks, insurance
companies, and pension funds, and (3) the equity market through the sale of
stock.
Analysis of intangibles: Legal, political, or social consideration or issues of a
corporate image often outweigh financial considerations in deciding on which
project to pursue. For example, a corporation may decide to invest in the
modernization of an old plant because of its responsibility to continue
employment for its employees when investment in a new plant 1000 miles
away would be economically more attractive.
However, in our free-enterprise system a major goal of a business firm is to
maximize profit. It does so by committing its funds to ventures that appear to be
profitable. If investors do not receive a sufficiently attractive profit, they will find
other uses for their money, and the growth—even the survival—of the firm will be
threatened.
money also rises. Price changes may or may not be considered in an economic
analysis.
Because the purchasing power of money decreases with time, all published cost data
are out of date. To compensate for this, cost indexes are used to convert past costs to
current costs. The cost at time 2 is the cost at time 1 multiplied by the ratio of the cost
indexes.
index @ time 2
C2 C1
index @ time1
The most readily available cost indexes are:
Consumer Price Index (CPI)—gives the price of consumer goods and services
Producer Price Index (PPI)—measures the entire market output of U.S. producers
of goods. The Finished Goods Price Index of the PPI is roughly split between durable
goods (not in the CPI) and consumer goods. No services are measured by the PPI.
Both the CPI and PPI are available at www.bls.gov.
The Engineering News Record provides indexes on general construction costs.
The Marshall and Swift Index, found on the last page of Chemical Engineering
magazine, provides an index of industrial equipment costs. The same magazine
publishes the Chemical Engineering Plant Equipment Index, which covers
equipment such as heat exchangers, pumps, compressors, piping, and valves.
Many trade associations and consulting groups also maintain specialized cost
indexes.
Example: An oilfield diesel engine cost $5500 when it was purchased in 1982.
What did it cost to replace the diesel engine in 1997?
I 1156.8
C1997 C1982 1997 $5500 $7095
I1982 121.8
vi) Sensitivity and break even analysis
A sensitivity analysis determines the influence of each factor on the final result, and
therefore it determines which factors are most critical in the economic decision. Since
there is a considerable degree of uncertainty in predicting future events like sales
volume, salvage value, and rate of inflation, it is important to see how much the
economic analysis depends on the magnitude of the estimates. One factor is varied
over a reasonable range and the others are held at their mean (expected) value. The
amount of computation involved in a sensitivity analysis of an engineering economy
problem can be considerable, but the use of computers has made sensitivity analysis
a much more practical endeavor.
A break-even analysis often is used when there is particular uncertainty about
one of the factors in an economic study. The break-even point is the value for the
factor at which the project is just marginally justified.
Core Journals
i. Journal of Mechanical Design. ISSN: 1528-9001
ii. Journal of Mechanical Design and Vibration. ISSN Online: 2376-9572
iii. International Journal of Mechanical Engineering And Information
Technology. ISSN Online: 2348-196x
Recommended Textbooks
i. Robert L. Mott, Dieter G., (2003) Machine Elements in Mechanical Design,
Pearson; 4th Edition. ISBN-13: 978-0130618856
ii. Richard S. Figliola, Donald E. Beasley, (2014) Theory and Design for
Mechanical Measurements, Wiley; 6th Edition. ISBN-13: 978-1118881279