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CF Session 2
CF Session 2
January 1, 2023
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 1
Introduction
• Hedging instruments
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 2
Type of bond
Zero Coupon Bond
100
t
1 2 3 4
P
Coupon bond
100+C
C C C
t
1 2 3 4
P
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 3
Floating rate bond
f1 f2 f3
t
1 2 3 4
P
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 4
Market Segments
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 5
Two forms of debt financing
Bank loan
Bond
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 6
Bank loan vs. Corporate bond
Demand side
• Limited retail participation
• Demand for corporate bonds is constrained by prudential norms for
investment for the insurance companies and mutual 4funds.
• Foreign investors are also constrained by investment limits.
• Banks also prefer loans to bonds, as loans can be carried to their
balance sheets without being marked to market
• Illiquid market for credit default swaps (CDS)
Supply side
• Ease of raising money
• Large corporates can raise debt from the overseas markets
• Yield advantage
• Regulation vs covenants
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 7
Bank loan vs bond
• https:
//m.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_ViewBulletin.aspx?Id=17995
• https://www.livemint.com/opinion/online-views/
bonds-overtake-banks-in-funding-for-corporates-116067539231
html
• https://www.livemint.com/mutual-fund/mf-news/
bond-street-tempts-cos-with-lower-rates-11661711530218.
html
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 8
What is P
100
t
1 2 3 4
P
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 9
What is P
100
t
1 2 3 4
P
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 9
What is P
100
t
1 2 3 4
P
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 9
Coupon Bond
100+C
C C C
t
1 2 3 4
P
C C C 100 + C
P= + 2
+ 3
+
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r )4
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 10
Semi-annual coupon bond
104
4 4 4 4 4 4 4
t
1 2 3 4
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 11
Effective Annual Rate (EAR)
Equivalent annual compounding rate for the m freq compounding rate
• We Should get equal future value for
◦ P$ invested for t years on annual compounding rate rEAR
◦ P$ invested for t years on m frequency compounding rate rm
rEAR ←→ r
mt
Solve P(1 + rEAR )t = P 1 + rmm
m
=⇒ rEAR = 1 + rmm −1
1
Also, =⇒ rm = m (1 + rEAR ) m − 1 =
rEAR ←→ rc
Solve P(1 + rEAR )t = Pe rc t
=⇒ rEAR = e rc − 1
Also =⇒ rc = ln(1 + rEAR )
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 12
Semi-annual coupon bond
104
4 4 4 4 4 4 4
t
1 2 3 4
Price
Semi-annual compounding semi-annual rate= 2.9563%
PV= PV(7 period annuity of 4 with rate 2.9563%) + PV( 104 received at
8th period)
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 13
Other way round
104
4 4 4 4 4 4 4
t
1 2 3 4
P=106.57
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 14
Price vs. Yield
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 15
Price vs. Yield
• If Coupon rate < YTM =⇒ Price < Face value =⇒ bond is trading
at discount
• If Coupon rate > YTM =⇒ Price > Face value =⇒ bond is trading
at premium
• If Coupon rate = YTM =⇒ Price = Face value =⇒ bond is trading
at par
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 16
Semi-annual coupon bond
104
4 4 4 4 4 4 4
t
1 2 3 4
Price
Semi-annual compounding semi-annual rate= 2.9563%
PV= PV(7 period annuity of 4 with rate 2.9563%) + PV( 104 received at
8th period)
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 17
Some real example
104.075
4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075 4.075
t
17-09-20
24-11-20
24-11-21
24-11-22
24-11-23
24-11-24
24-11-25
24-11-26
N−1
!
1 X C /2 100
P= j
+
(1 + r /2)D/180 i=0
(1 + r /2) (1 + r /2)(N−1)
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 18
Day count convention
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 19
Accrued Interest
• Coupon interest earned but not paid out: Accrued interest:
C Days after last coupon payment
×
2 180
• Clean price = Dirty price -accrued interest
• Clean price is quoted price and Dirty price is the actual price buyer pays
for the security
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 20
Other return measure
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 21
Risk: Debt investment
• Price risk
• Reinvestment risk
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 22
Investment horizon 1 year
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 23
Measure of interest rates risk: Price vs. Yield
• How much price of the bond will change with change in interest rate
• Long term bonds are more sensitive to short term bonds
• What is long term bond:::: 7% coupon 10 year bond and 1% coupon 9
year bond
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 24
Duration
100+C
C C C
t
1 2 3 4
P
C C C 100 + C
P= + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r )2 (1 + r )3 (1 + r )4
C C C 100+C
1× (1+r ) +2× (1+r )2
+3× (1+r )3
+4× (1+r )4
D= C C C
(1+r ) + (1+r )2
+ (1+r )3
+ 100+C
(1+r )4
C C C 100+C
1× (1+r ) +2× (1+r )2
+ 3 × (1+r )3 + 4 × (1+r )4
=
P
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 25
Interpretations
C C C 100+C
1× (1+r ) +2× (1+r )2
+3× (1+r )3
+4× (1+r )4
D=
P
• Weighted average of the timing of the cash flow, with weights being
discounted cash flow
• Average time it takes to recover your investment
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 26
Sensitivity of the price to interest rate
N X ti × CiN
X Ci δP D
P= =⇒ = − = P
(1 + r )ti δr (1 + r )ti +1 1+r
i=1 i=1
Bond is trading at 105 rupees and has modified duration of 8 what would
be the approximate price if interest rate changes by 1%
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 27
Sensitivity of the price to interest rate
N N
X ti × Ci
X Ci δP D
P= =⇒ = − = P
(1 + r )ti δr (1 + r )ti +1 1+r
i=1 i=1
Bond is trading at 105 rupees and has modified duration of 8 what would
be the approximate price if interest rate changes by 1%
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 28
Convexity adjustments
• Convexity:
1 δ2p
C=
P δr 2
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 29
Determinants of the yield
• Expectation about the risk free interest rate: Central bank decisions
Prof. Sudarshan Kumar IIM Calcutta Session II: Bond valuation January 1, 2023 30