Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Money Banking Chapter 2
Money Banking Chapter 2
They argued that; people demand money for transaction purposes. That means money is not
required for its own stake but to pay for goods and services and to carry out the economic
transactions over a period of time. They thought that the demand for money was determined by
the total quantity of goods and services that had to be paid for during a given period and on the
velocity of circulation of money. There are two distinct views under the classical analysis: The
1
fisherian view/The transactions balance version; The Cambridge economists view/the cash
balance version.
The promoter of this idea, professor Irving Fisher develop a formalistic expression to this
approach in his equation of exchange, also known as the cash-transactions question: MV = PT.
where: M = stock of money
V = velocity of circulation
P = price level, and
T = volume of transactions
Velocity (V) refers to the rate at which money circulated. It is measured as the average number
of times a unit of money changes hands during a year.
2
iv. Expectations about future changes in the prices and interest rates tend to affect
individual’s decisions.
The approach has an assumption that during short period, these factors remain constant or
proportional to changes in the level of income. Therefore, the total demand for money or cash-
balances is the proportion of the nominal national income. They develop the following formula
to express their assumption. Md = Kpy
where MD = the demand for money
K = the proportionality factor: - It refers to the proportion of national income that the
people desire to keep in the form of nominal money balances (cash balances)
py = the nominal national income
Therefore, as the nominal national income remains constant the change in the proportionality
factor will change the demand for money. i.e., as the proportionality factor increases the demand
for money also increases and vice versa.
Assume that the nominal national income is Br. 1, 000, 000.00 and the proportionality factor is
10%. Then, the demand for money will be calculated as follows.
Md = Kpy
10
Md = 100 x 1,000,000.00
Md = 100,000.00
As the proportionality factor increases to 20%, while the nominal national income remains
constant, the demand for money will be:
20
Md = 100 x 1,000,000.00
Md = 200,000.00
5
Md = 100 x 1,000,000.00
3
Md = 50, 000.00
Money is not just meant for spending but to hold. Money can be held as a form of wealth or
asset, as the most liquid asset which is readily used for payment in the exchange process. Hence,
money being the most liquid asset, can serve as an efficient store of value; so it is demanded for
its own sake. In this sense, the demand for money is the inverse of the velocity of circulation.
Velocity of circulation refers to the rate of changing hands through spending but the liquidity
preference is a store of value.
Therefore, the demand for money, in the Keynesian sense, is a demand for liquidity or “liquidity
preference”. Hence, the modern approach is designated as the cash balance or liquidity
preference approach.
Keynes distinguished three motives which induce people to hold money. They are: the
transaction motive, the precautionary motive and the speculative motive. Corresponding to these
motives, Keynes separated the demand for money into three parts as: the transaction demand, the
precautionary demand and the speculative demand for money. The total demand for money,
hence, implies total cash balances. Total cash balances can be classified in to two parts as the
active cash balance and idle cash balance.
4
This is related with the primary functions of money – as a medium of exchange. Individuals
do not receive money income as frequently as they make payments. Thus, when income is
received at discrete intervals of time, but is paid out more or less continuously against the
exchange of goods and services, it is inevitable that people should need a certain stock of
money all the time in order to carry out their transactions.
Keynes defines the transaction demand for money as “the need of cash for the current
transactions of personal and business expenditure”. Personal expenditure referred as income
motive and the business expenditure as business motive.
a) The level of income: -The rich man tends to hold more money balances for transactions
purposes than the poor does.
b) The Price level: -During inflation or as price rises, the consumer’s transactions demand
for money tends to rise, corresponding to the rising price level. The higher the price, the
lower the purchasing power of money will be. Hence, to fulfill the daily transaction
requirements more money is required by the consumer.
c) The spending habits: -A spend thrift need more transactions demand for money than a
saver does.
d) The time-interval: -The time-gap involved between the receipts of successive income
flows and the corresponding expenditure. As the time gap increases, more money is
demanded to spend throughout that time period than when the time gap is short. You can
take yourself as an example. You are receiving your salary every month. You need a
certain sum of money to spend it throughout that period. But, instead assume that your
payment is made every two months not every month. Now you need more money to
spend throughout the two months time than you were demanding to spend in a month
time.
5
The Business Motive
This refers to the transactions motive to the entrepreneur class or business community.
Business persons require money balances in order to meet business expenses. Money
balances held under this motive will depend on the turnover of the firm. The larger the
turnover, the larger will be the demand for money. Thus, the amount of money balances held
under the transactions motive will depend on the time and size of the firm’s incomes, and the
turnover of business.
For example, money demanded for the transactions motive will rise as income of the firm
increases, during business prosperous, festive seasons, vacation periods busy seasons and
after harvest. Money demanded for the transactions motive declines in the slack season.
The trends of a community’s aggregate demand for money, under the transactions motive,
depicts a high degree of correlation of proportionality to the size of money of national
income which can be represented as Lt = f(y)
Hence, as national income increases, the transactions demand for money will increases and vice
versa.
People generally desire to hold some additional money balances against unforeseen
contingencies. They keep some liquid reserves or cash balances to provide for unexpected
contingencies such as illness, accidents unemployment some ceremonial occasions, etc. The
amount of money demanded here will be devoted to fulfill the functions of a store of value.
The precautionary demand for money depends largely on the uncertainty of future receipts
and expenditures. It is sensitive to the anticipation of the level of income and hence it is
income-determined and is relatively stable. As income increases the cash balance set aside
for precautionary purpose also increases. It can be depicted with a formula as follows
6
Lp = f(y) where : - Lp = precautionary demand for money
y = national income
Finally, the demand for active cash balances (transaction demand for money and
precautionary demand for money) is a function of income. It will rise as income level
LA = Lt + Lp LA = f(y)
y = national income
y
LA
Demand for money
(Lt + Lp)
A
x
0 y1 y2
becomes 0y2, the demand for money will be 0B. This shows that the transactions and
precautionary demand for money are income determined, more or less interest inelastic and
7
iii. Idle cash balances / the speculative demand for money
The speculative demand for money represents the demand for cash for being invested rapidly
as and when attractive opportunities for monetary investments appear.
The speculative money, in fact, confines itself to the store of value property of money.
Money held under the speculative motive constitutes a store of value, a liquid asset, which
the holder intends to use for gambling or to make a speculative gain, example, investment in
securities at an opportune moment.
In holding the active cash balances, the main consideration was convenience, and
prudence/showing carefulness and foresight, avoiding rashness. But it has least consideration for
the rate of interest. Whereas, holding of idle cash balances, much attention is paid to the rate of
interest because these balances are held for income earning purposes of speculative activity. The
amount of money held under speculative motive depends upon the rate of interest. When people
expect interest rate rises and the prices of fixed income-yielding assets, like bonds, to fall, more
balances will be held in cash. Then the idle cash balance will be invested in the future in such
instruments that attract higher income than investing on such instruments with lower prevailing
interest rate. If people expect the rate of interest to fall and prices of bonds to rise, there will be
an increased tendency to hold bonds, and other near-money assets than cash. In this assumption,
the rate of interest at present is greater than the future expected rate of interest; hence, its income
at present is higher than its income in the future. Thus, the speculative demand for money will be
less. In other words, at the time rates of interest is low, people prefer to hoard their money rather
than use it to buy securities and vice versa. Thus, the bond or securities price and interest rates
always move in opposite directions.
L = L 1 + L2
where: L = stands for an overall demand for money (Active + Idle balance)
8
L1 = f(x)
L2 = f(I)
L = f(x, I)
This means that the community’s overall demand for money depends upon the level of national
income and the rate of interest.
Money supply has two different concepts: stock and flow concepts. In its stock concept, money
supply is viewed at a point of time and it refers to the total of currency notes, coins and demand
deposits. Whereas, in its flow concept; money supply is viewed over a period of time. It is
money spendable as well as re-spendable. It is associated with the velocity of circulation of
money. The Fisher’s MV represents the flow of money supply over a period of time.
There are three alternative views regarding the definition or measures of money supply. They
are:
9
checkable deposits at credit unions and thrift institutions, and traveler’s checks
outstanding. It is referred as secondary money.
2. Modern Definition (M2)
The M2 money supply emphasizes the role that money plays as a “store of value”. Thus, it
includes both savings accounts in which customers may store idle cash to earn interest before
they spend it and the M1 money supply that can be spent immediately. In other words, M2
includes M1 + non checkable savings accounts and time deposits at depository institutions.
10
purchases securities in the open market, it pay’s with cheques drawn on commercial banks. This
expands the level of bank reserves.
11
5. Other factors
The money supply is a function not only of the high-powered money determined by the
monetary authorities, but of interest rates, income and other factors. The latter factors change the
proportion of money balances that the public holds as cash. Changes in business activity can
change the behavior of banks and the public and thus affect the money supply.
As noted earlier, two of the functions of money are those acting as a medium of exchange and as
a store of value. Therefore, each receiver of money immediately spent it all for goods, services
and securities that is, used it immediately, as a medium of exchange the velocity of money would
be almost infinitely great. But this rarely occurs. Though the receiver of money may dispose of it
immediately, he may also hold some or even all of it as a store of value for a given period of time
known as savings. The longer this “average interval of rest” between receipt and expenditure, the
lower is its velocity of circulation. Thus, anything that affects peoples decisions regarding the
length of time that they will hold money before passing it along influences its velocity.
12
4. The rapidity of transportation of money.
5. The state of expectation or anticipation of the community.
As to amounts of future income and prices of goods and services.
As to movements of the prices of income yielding assets.
The rapidity of circulation of money is greatly influenced by the state of development of the
credit and financial system and by the community’s readiness to use these facilities. If a
community is without a well-developed and widely used credit system, the velocity of the money
is likely to be affected by the people’s habits as to savings and consumption. Velocity is also
affected by the system of payments used in the community. By this is meant the frequency,
regularity, and correspondence between time and amounts of money receipts and disbursements.
The greater the frequency of receipts and disbursement of money and the higher is its average
velocity.
Also the members of the community come to feel that incomes will be received more regularly
and in increasing amounts and that prices probably rise, the velocity of money is likely to be
increased. The situation is reversed when large section of the society come to feel that incomes
and prices will not rise and that they are likely to fall. Such anticipations may be traceable to
fears of one or more of many things, such as a decrease in money supply, loss of foreign markets
for local goods, a stock market crash, unfavorable laws of the country, labor disputes etc. Under
such conditions consumers postpone purchases of consumption goods, in so far as that is feasible
or affordable, in order to take advantage of the expected lower prices later and to protect
themselves against want during threatened rainy days. Enterprisers also tend to postpone
purchases of capital equipment and raw materials for the same reasons tend because prospective
profits from production are not sufficiently encouraging.
Price Index
A price index is “a figure showing the height of average prices at one time relative to their height
at some other time that is taken as the base period” professor Chandler. To understand the term
index number, note the following three points.
1. An average figure relates to a single /representative group of commodities.
2. It measures the net increase or decrease of the average prices for the group under study.
3. It measures the extent of changes in the value of money /or price level/ over period of
time, given a base period.
Illustration
Simple price index
Price in the Base Base period Prices in 1994 Price
No Commodities period (1970) p2 Index (p1) Relatives (R)
1 Wheat Br. 90/Qt 100 Br. 150/Qt 166
2 Teff Br. 130/Qt 100 Br. 300/Qt 230
3 Cloth Br. 10/Mt 100 Br. 30/mt 300
4 Edible oil Br. 6/Kg 100 Br. 12/kg 200
5 Milk Br. 0.70/Lit 100 Br. 1.25/lit 178
6 House Rent Br. 50/month 100 Br. 200/month 400
14
R = 1474
Price in 1994 P
100 or 1 100
* Price Relative (R) = Price in 1970 P2
R 1474 / 6
Price Index in 1994 = N = 245.67
This indicates that price in 1994 increases by 145.67 percent than the base year (1970)
Pt Pt 1
100
or p = Pt 1
245.67 100
100
p = 100
p = 145.67
Weighted Price Index
Weight Price in the Base Base period Price WXR
No Commodities W period 1970 index Price in 1994 relative
1 Wheat 4 Br. 90/Qt 100 Br. 150/Qt 166 664
2 Teff 8 Br. 130/Qt 100 Br. 300/Qt 230 1840
3 Cloth 6 Br. 10/ Mt 100 Br. 30/mt 300 1800
4 Edible oil 5 Br. 6/kg 100 Br. 12/kg 200 1000
5 Milk 3 Br. 0.70/Lt 100 Br. 1.25/lt 178 534
6 House Rent 7 Br. 50/month 100 Br. 200/month 400 2800
W = 33 WR = 8638
WR 8638
Using arithmetic mean, the weight price index in 1994 =
W
= 33 = 261.76
The weighted price index shows an increase of 161.76 percent in the price level in 1994 over
1970 as against the increase of 145.67 percent according to the simple price index.
15
Before constructing an index number, it should be decided the purpose for which it is needed. An
index number constructed for one category or purpose cannot be used for others because the
variables included might be different.
2. Selection of the base period
It is the most important step in the construction of an index number. It is a period against which
comparisons are made. It should be normal and free from an unusual event such as war, famine,
earthquake, drought, boon, etc. It should not be very recent or remote.
3. Selection of number and kinds of commodities
The number and kinds of commodities to be selected depend up on the purpose or objective of
the index number to be constructed. If the purpose of the index number is to measure the changes
in the general purchasing power of money then, we should select samples which are
representative of the inverse they intend to describe. If we want to study the industrial workers
cost of living, we must select only those goods and services which dominate industrial workers’
consumption budget, namely wage goods. In this regard, different individuals have
recommended the right size and commodities to be included in the index.
4. Listing of Prices of Commodities
After the base year and number of commodities having been decided, the next step is to list
prices of all the commodities in question in the base period year. We have to determine which to
use: the wholesale or retail prices. Prices should be obtained from reliable sources for the
purpose; otherwise, it will be a misleading conclusion. It can be gathered from representative
persons, places or journals or other sources.
5. Averaging
17
Even if different places within a country are taken, it is not possible to apply the same index
number to them. This is because of differences in the consumption habits of people. People
living at different regions consume different commodities.
10. Not applicable at an individual
If an index number shows a rise in the price level, an individual may not be affected by it. This is
because an index number reflects averages. Therefore, an index number is not applicable to an
individual belonging to a group of which it is constructed.
18
1. Gold Currency Standard
It was also known as the gold coin standard, gold circulation standard or full or pure gold
standard.
-gold coins of a definite weight and fineness circulated within the country
-non-gold metallic coins and paper currency notes also circulated side by side but they
were convertible on demand into gold coins at fixed rates.
Since this standard was costly to operate, it was given up after the First World War in favor of
the gold bullion standard.
-for converting currency into gold, the monetary authority was required to keep gold bars
in reserve
The monetary authority also bought gold from the public at fixed price
-the currency consisted of paper notes and token coins of silver and other metals
19
-but the local currency was linked with some foreign currency which was on gold
currency standard
-since the currency was indirectly linked with gold, prices of goods and services were
consequently determined by the prices of gold
4. Gold Reserve Standard:- England was the first country to abandon the gold standard in
1931, followed by the USA in 1933 and France in 1936. This led to instability in their exchange
rates. To maintain exchange stability, they entered into Tripartite Monetary Agreement in
September 1936 and they were joined by the Netherlands, Belgium and Switzerland in the same
year. This agreement came to be known as the Gold Reserve Standard and worked successfully
till the outbreak of the Second World War in September 1939.
-the currency consisted of paper notes and token coins of cheap metals
-under the agreement, each country maintained an Exchange Equalization Fund which
kept gold, local currency and foreign exchange. The exchange rate was stabilized by
purchase and sale of foreign exchange or gold from the fund.
-there was no free export or import of gold except by the Fund authority for maintaining
stability in the exchange rate. Such gold was meant to be kept in the fund.
-there was strict secrecy about the reserves of gold and foreign exchange kept in the Fund
20
gold. So this is not gold standard in the real sense of the term, except that it aims at keeping the
exchange rate of the currency stable in terms of gold.
Bimetallism
It, also known as bimetallic standard, is a monetary system under which the monetary unit of the
country is expressed by law in terms of two metals, usually gold and silver, in specific ratio. In
other words, under bimetallism both silver and gold coins circulate simultaneously within the
country. They are unlimited legal tender. They are minted freely and in unlimited quantities free
or with some charge. Both metals are imported and exported freely. Both types of coins are
exchanged for each other at a fixed mint par ratio.
21