China and East Asian Democracy The Coming Wave

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China and East Asian Democracy: The Coming

Wave
Larry Diamond

ISSUE DATE:
January 2012

VOLUME: 23

ISSUE: 1

PAGE NUMBERS: 5-13

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ABSTRACT

With the eruption of mass movements for democratic change throughout the
Arab world in 2011, hopeful analysts of global democratic prospects have
focused attention on the Middle East. But if a new regional wave of transitions
to democracy unfolds in the next five to ten years, it is more likely to come
from East Asia: Thailand is progressing back toward democracy; Malaysia and
Singapore show signs of entering a period of democratic transition; Burma, to
the surprise of many, is liberalizing politically for the first time in twenty years;
and China faces a looming crisis of authoritarianism that will generate a new
opportunity for democratic transition in the next two decades and possibly
much sooner.
About the Author

Larry Diamond is senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and the Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global
Democracy at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. The January
2022 issue is his last after 32 years as coeditor of the Journal of Democracy.

View all work by Larry Diamond

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SUBJECT

Democratic transition, Economic development

REGION

Asia, East Asia

COUNTRY

China, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand

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