Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Penny Stocks
Penny Stocks
Daniel J. Bradley
Clemson University
dbradle@clemson.edu
Steven D. Dolvin
University of Kentucky
sddolv2@uky.edu
Bradford D. Jordan
University of Kentucky
bjordan@uky.edu
*
Bradley is from the College of Business and Behavioral Science, 324B Sirrine Hall, Clemson University, Clemson,
SC 29634. Cooney is from the Rawls College of Business Administration, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX
79409-2101. Dolvin and Jordan are from the Gatton College of Business and Economics, University of Kentucky,
Lexington, KY 40506-0034. Contact author: Brad Jordan, 859.257.4887, bjordan@uky.edu. The authors thank Ken
Cyree, Jay Ritter, Ajai Singh, and seminar participants at Texas Tech University and the 2002 Financial
Management Association meetings in San Antonio, TX.
Abstract
We examine the similarities and differences between ordinary IPOs and penny stock IPOs.
Because of their scandal-plagued history, penny stock IPOs present an interesting opportunity for
studying the effects of informational asymmetries, moral hazard, and third party “certification”
in the IPO market. After controlling for a wide variety of issue and market characteristics, we
find that penny stock IPOs, as compared to ordinary IPOs, earn higher initial returns, are subject
to much longer lockup provisions, and have larger gross spreads, all of which are consistent with
larger degrees of informational asymmetry in these offerings. For penny stocks, the presence of a
venture capitalist reduces initial returns, lockup lengths, and gross spreads. Likewise, penny
stock IPOs with more prestigious underwriters have less underpricing. These results suggest that
third party “certification” is especially valuable for these issues.
Penny Stock IPOs
1. Introduction
Initial public offerings (IPOs) have been studied extensively in the finance literature. It is
standard in such research to focus primarily on “ordinary” IPOs, and filters to eliminate various
types of offerings are almost always employed. Examples of the typical groups purged include
real estate investment trusts, spin-offs, unit offerings, reverse leveraged buyouts, closed-end
investment funds, American depositary receipts, and stocks with offer prices below some
minimum value. Most of the excluded subgroups have been examined independently; however,
there appears to be very little research on IPOs with low offer prices, or so-called “penny stock”
IPOs.1 This lack of research on low-priced IPOs is surprising given the prominent fraud and
manipulation that existed in the 1980s, which eventually lead to the adoption of the Penny Stock
To address this gap, we examine the similarities and differences between penny stock IPOs
and ordinary IPOs in relation to the major findings of IPO research. Given their scandal-plagued
past, penny stock IPOs appear to be particularly suited to issues involving informational
asymmetries, moral hazard, and the effect of third party “certification.” The firms involved are
generally small, not listed on a major exchange, and face very limited disclosure and reporting
requirements. They are generally underwritten by low prestige investment banks, and they are
much less likely to be venture capital (VC) backed. In addition, there is likely to be little or no
Based on the period 1990-1998, we find that penny stock issues exhibit higher initial returns
than ordinary IPOs, and the difference is economically and statistically significant after
1
For example, Schultz (1993) investigates unit offerings. Peavy (1990) examines closed-end investment fund IPOs.
Slovin, Shushka, and Ferraro (1995) study spinoffs. Ling and Ryngaert (1997) focus on real estate investment trust
IPOs, while Noronha and Yung (1997) study reverse LBOs.
controlling for a wide range of influences previously found to be related to underpricing. This
result is consistent with Fernando, Krishnamurthy, and Spindt (2002) who find that IPOs with
low offer prices are particularly underpriced. Issues underwritten by the lowest quality
underwriters are much more underpriced, on average, whereas VC-backed issues are less
underpriced, and both underwriter prestige and VC backing have a stronger effect on penny
stock IPOs than ordinary IPOs. These results are supportive of the hypothesis that third party
certification can reduce underpricing, particularly in situations where the degree of informational
We also find that penny stock IPOs typically exhibit much longer lockup periods than
ordinary IPOs. These longer lockups are consistent with the view that lockup restrictions serve as
Brav and Gompers (2003). Finally, while gross underwriting spreads for ordinary IPOs are
typically 7 percent [Chen and Ritter (2000)], we find that spreads for penny stock IPOs are
usually 10 percent. The higher gross spreads could serve, in part, to compensate underwriters for
the increased information asymmetry and related pricing risk associated with these low-priced
offerings. For ordinary IPOs, venture capitalist participation has little impact on lockup periods
and spreads. However, for penny stock IPOs, both lockup lengths and gross spreads are
substantially lower for VC-backed IPOs. This finding provides additional support for the
hypothesis that third-party certification is especially important for penny stock offerings.
In summary, our findings point to the usefulness of studying penny stock IPOs. While
that examination of penny stock offerings allows for a more complete analysis of the relation
between certification agents and the information asymmetry/moral hazard problems of IPOs. In
2
the future, IPO researchers interested in these, and related, questions should carefully consider
The rest of the paper proceeds as follows: section 2 provides background on the penny stock
market; section 3 presents the data; section 4 reports descriptive statistics and empirical results;
2. Background
The market for penny stocks has changed dramatically over the last few decades.
Historically, these stocks were traded over-the-counter or on regional exchanges with very
limited (if any) disclosure requirements. Particularly before the Penny Stock Reform Act of 1990
(PSRA), the penny stock market was plagued by unscrupulous broker-dealers and underwriters.2
“Boiler room” tactics were common, with unregistered “brokers” cold-calling primarily
unsophisticated investors and using high pressure sales techniques to induce investment.3
The term “penny stock,” as it is used in the financial press and IPO research, has no precise
meaning. In screening out low-priced issues, IPO researchers have used different filters. Bradley,
Jordan, and Ritter (2003) and Loughran and Ritter (2002) remove all issues with mid-file prices
below $8; Ljungqvist and Wilhelm (2003) and Ritter and Welch (2002) exclude stocks with offer
prices below $5; and Ritter (1991) eliminates issues with offer prices less than $1. In their study
of long-run price performance and mortality for Nasdaq-listed issues, Seguin and Smoller (1997)
classify an issue as a penny stock if the first listed price (as opposed to the initial offer price) is
less than $3. Also, many studies drop issues that are not in the Center for Research in Security
2
As an example, see the New York State Attorney General’s (1997) report on microcap stock fraud.
3
For further information on the Penny Stock Reform Act and its effects, see Beatty and Kadiyala (2001).
3
While there are differences across studies, the filters commonly used in recent IPO research
correspond relatively closely to the legal definition of a penny stock established by the PSRA.
These guidelines define a penny stock as an issue that meets the following standards: (1) it is not
listed on a national market, (2) it is not issued by an investment advisor (i.e., it is not a mutual
fund), and (3) its offer price is below some minimum value.4 These are also the characteristics of
a non-covered security as identified by the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities and
provide additional guidelines on the minimum criteria. Specifically, the CFR identifies $5 as the
minimum price for classification as a penny stock; however, this price is net of commissions and
fees. Thus, in classifying an IPO as a penny stock, an issue with an offer price of exactly $5,
assuming it is not listed on a national market, would be considered a penny stock since
commissions and fees would reduce the effective price to below $5.5,6
In this study, we define a penny stock IPO as an issue that meets the following two criteria:
(1) it is not listed on a national exchange or market (i.e., not listed on the NYSE, AMEX, or
Nasdaq National Market), and (2) its offer price is at or below $5. These criteria are consistent
4
The PSRA does not state a precise minimum; however, it does refer to the Code of Federal Regulations, which
predominately uses $5 as the cutoff. Earlier regulations used $1 and $3 prices, which may explain the use of these
cutoffs in earlier IPO studies.
5
In principle, a firm could use a reverse stock split to reduce the number of shares outstanding (thus increasing the
offer price) to avoid penny stock status, but it is clear that many choose not to do so. There are several reasons firms
might prefer to issue at a lower price. First, some firms might prefer retail over institutional investors, and therefore
gravitate to a lower offer price [Fernando, Krishnamurthy, and Spindt (2002)]. Second, at least historically, penny
stock status reduced costly governmental reporting requirements. Finally, the reduction in shares would reduce float,
and, for these smaller issues, likely prevent national market listing.
6
Applying the legal definition may be somewhat subjective. For example, an issue with an offer price of $5.25 and a
spread of 10 percent would have a net price below $5. We find only six such issues in our sample. In keeping with
common research practice, we classify these as ordinary IPOs; however, we repeat all analyses with these issues
classified as penny stock IPOs and find our results to be unchanged. Also, based on the legal requirements, an IPO
issued as a penny stock may be “converted” to non-penny status with changes in bid prices, listing status, or market
maker coverage. Thus, our analysis is specific to IPOs classified as penny stocks at issuance.
4
with legal guidelines provided by securities regulators, as well as with a large portion of IPO
research.7
3. Data
A likely reason that penny stocks have not been closely studied is that relevant data can be
quite limited. Firm characteristics are not widely available in standard databases because penny
stocks have historically not been subject to significant reporting requirements. Other
information, such as detailed financial statements and earnings forecasts, can be similarly
difficult to obtain. Fortunately, Thomson Financial’s Securities Data Company (SDC) database
captures prospectus information for penny stock IPOs, so this is the primary data source we use.
For ordinary IPOs, we collect closing prices on the first day of trading using the CRSP database.
For penny stock IPOs, we hand-collect the closing price on the first trading day after issuance
Our main sample covers the period from 1990 to 1998—the period from the implementation
of the PSRA to the beginning of the IPO “bubble” period.9 We eliminate real estate investment
trusts, closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-stock conversions (e.g., S&Ls and
certain insurance companies), American depositary receipts, and unit offerings, leaving a sample
7
In practice, there are complications to the definition we use. For example, according to the CFR, firms with
sufficient net tangible assets are not classified as penny stocks even if their offer price is less than $5. However, lack
of accounting data prevents us from considering the issuing firm’s net tangible assets. Blind pools (blank check/shell
offerings) may be classified as penny stock issues even with offer prices above $5. Unit offerings are IPOs that
include a package of a share (or shares) of stock and warrants. Thus, a unit offering with an offer price above $5
may also be legally classified as a penny stock if the warrant value is large enough or if multiple shares are issued in
the unit.
8
CRSP only reports prices for approximately one-half of our penny stock sample (i.e., those stocks listed on the
Nasdaq SmallCap market). The prices reported on CRSP consistently match those from Standard & Poor’s.
9
There are only four penny stock IPOs during the 1999-2000 period, preventing meaningful analysis. As we
illustrate later, inclusion of this period distorts the picture of ordinary versus penny stock IPOs, particularly as it
relates to underpricing.
5
4. Descriptive statistics and empirical results
Table 1 provides basic descriptive statistics on firm and offering characteristics for penny
stock and ordinary IPOs over the 1990-1998 period. The reported t-statistic is a test for equality
of means assuming unequal variances (results are very similar if equal variances are assumed).
As the first line indicates, the average offer price for ordinary IPOs ($11.96) is, of course, much
larger than that for penny stock IPOs ($4.36), and, because of our classification criteria, a t-test is
not meaningful in this case. The next four variables in Table 1 are size measures. As would be
expected, market capitalization, total assets, and book equity are all larger for ordinary issues;
however, net income is not statistically different between the two groups. Sample sizes are
limited for total assets and net income because of missing data.
The next entry in the table, HT, is a dummy variable taking on a value of 1 for “high-tech”
firms, and zero otherwise.10 Therefore, the mean is the percentage of firms in our sample with a
high-tech orientation. Approximately 38 percent of ordinary IPOs are high-tech firms, compared
to 31 percent of penny stock IPOs, which is significantly different at the 5 percent level. The
variable VC is also a dummy variable, indicating the presence of venture capital (VC) backing.
Only 16 percent of penny stock IPOs are VC-backed compared to 41 percent for ordinary IPOs
(statistically different at the 0.01 percent level). The variable CM Rank represents the Carter and
Manaster (1990) underwriter prestige variable, which ranges from 1 (lowest prestige) to 9
10
We obtain the underlying “high-tech” classification codes from SDC. While a relatively large number of specific
codes are used, most fall under the 2-digit classifications of 28 (biotechnology and drugs), 35 (computer and
related), 36 (electronics and communication), 38 (medical equipment), and 73 (software).
6
(highest prestige).11 With a mean underwriter prestige of 2.72 compared to 6.99, it is clear that
penny stocks are primarily issued by lower-ranked underwriters, while ordinary IPOs are issued
by higher-ranked underwriters.
The next two variables examine listing status. National is a dummy variable taking on a
value of one if the offer is listed on a national exchange (i.e., NYSE, AMEX, or Nasdaq National
Market), and zero otherwise. SmallCap is a dummy variable equal to one if the issue is listed on
the Nasdaq SmallCap Market.12 Due to our definition of a penny stock issue, there are no penny
stocks nationally listed. However, approximately 57 percent of penny stock IPOs are listed on
the Nasdaq SmallCap Market, with the remainder listed on the OTC Bulletin Board (OTCBB),
the pink sheets, regional exchanges, or else unlisted. There are a few ordinary IPOs (3 percent)
listed on the Nasdaq SmallCap Market; however, the vast majority (over 94 percent), are
nationally listed.13
The next three variables in Table 1 are those that have been most closely examined in the
IPO literature: initial returns (percentage change from the offer price to the closing price on the
first day of trading), lockup length, and gross underwriting spread. Penny stocks have higher
initial returns (21.5 percent versus 15.1 percent), larger gross spreads (9.7 percent versus 7.2
percent), and longer lockup periods (442 days versus 212 days). In each case, the difference is
statistically significant and economically meaningful. In the next few sections, we explore these
11
We use Carter-Manaster ranks as updated by Jay R. Ritter. The ranks are described in Loughran and Ritter (2003).
12
The Nasdaq SmallCap Market has less restrictive listing requirements than the Nasdaq National Market,
including, among other things, a $4 minimum price for initial listing rather than a $5 minimum. Details are available
at www.nasdaq.com.
13
Data on listing status are unavailable for 18 issues.
7
In Figure 1, we take a closer look at the Carter-Manaster ranks. The figure shows the
percentages of ordinary and penny stock IPOs underwritten by underwriters of each rank.
Because the underwriter ranks are ordinal, the t-test in Table 1 may not be well specified;
however, Figure 1 clearly shows that there are two distinct clusters, one in the highest ranks for
ordinary IPOs and one in the lowest ranks for penny stock IPOs.
Figure 2 contains plots of initial returns by year for ordinary and penny stock IPOs. As
shown, from 1990-1998, penny stock IPOs are more underpriced in every year except 1998. The
1998 result may be due, in part, to the beginning of the IPO “bubble” period, during which there
were very few penny stock IPOs and, at the same time, extraordinarily large initial returns for
ordinary IPOs.14 In fact, if the 1999-2000 period is included in our sample, ordinary IPOs are
more underpriced, on average, than penny stock IPOs (23.2 percent compared to 21.4 percent),
but this is misleading because, as we noted earlier, there were almost no penny stock IPOs during
Our results thus far indicate that penny stock IPOs are more underpriced, but they do not
control for issue features other than the offer price. Conceivably, the greater underpricing could
be attributable to factors other than penny stock status; therefore, we need to control for
14
For example, theglobe.com (an “ordinary” IPO) went public in November of 1998 with a first day gain of 606
percent.
8
Initial = α + β1PS + β2VC + β3Over + β4HT + β5National + β6SmallCap + β7CM2
+…+ β14CM9 + β15Secondary + β16LnSize + β17Integer + β18IPOLag
+ β19NasLag + β20Multiple + β21PartU + β22PartD + ε (1)
where:
Initial = return from the offer price to the closing stock price on the first day of trading;
PS = dummy variable equal to one if the issue is a penny stock, zero otherwise;
VC = dummy variable equal to one if the issue is VC-backed, zero otherwise;
Over = “overhang,” measured as pre-IPO shares retained divided by total shares offered;
HT = dummy variable equal to one if the issue is high-tech, zero otherwise;
National = dummy variable equal to one if the offering is listed on the NYSE, AMEX, or
Nasdaq National Market, zero otherwise;
SmallCap = dummy variable equal to one if the offering is listed on the Nasdaq SmallCap
Market, zero otherwise;
CM2...CM9 = dummy variables equal to one if the underwriter has a prestige ranking in the
relevant category, zero otherwise (a Carter-Manaster (1990) rank of 1 is the
omitted category);15
Secondary = percentage of shares offered that are secondary shares;
LnSize = natural logarithm of the offer size;
Integer = dummy variable equal to one if the offer price is an integer, zero otherwise;
IPOLag = an underpricing index defined as the average initial return for all IPOs in the
sample on calendar days –1 to –30 before the issue date;
NasLag = average daily return on the Nasdaq composite for the twenty-one trading days
(one month) prior to the issue;
Multiple = dummy variable equal to one if the issue has more than one class of common
shares, zero otherwise;
PartU = percentage difference between the offer price and the original mid-file price if the
adjustment is positive, zero otherwise; and,
PartD = percentage difference between the offer price and the original mid-file price if the
adjustment is negative, zero otherwise.
Variables similar to those in eq. (1) (other than PS) are widely used in various recent studies
of IPO underpricing [e.g., Bradley and Jordan (2002), Habib and Ljungqvist (2001), and Smart
and Zutter (2002)]. For ordinary IPOs, VC-backed issues tend to be more underpriced during our
time period, although the effect may be due to industry focus. Issues with greater overhang are
also typically more underpriced, as are firms in “high-tech” industries. Listing status, particularly
15
We specify a series of dummy variables because the use of a single variable (with values equal to underwriter
ranks) makes the implicit assumption that there is equivalence in effects between each level. Our approach allows
the data to make that determination.
9
for penny stocks, should serve as an information proxy, as firms that are listed should be more
transparent. Contrary to earlier findings [e.g., Carter and Manaster (1990)], numerous recent
studies find that firms associated with “prestigious” lead underwriters are more underpriced in
the 1990s [e.g., Beatty and Welch (1996) and Cooney, Singh, Carter, and Dark (2002)].
We include the percentage of secondary shares sold in the IPO as Habib and Ljungqvist
(2001) find a negative relation between initial returns and this variable. The natural log of the
size of the deal is a common conditioning variable, but it also controls for the possibility that
penny stock status is purely an offering price size effect. A recent study by Bradley, Cooney,
Jordan, and Singh (2002) finds that IPOs priced on an integer exhibit greater underpricing. The
lag variables proxy for investor sentiment and the existence of a “hot” IPO market. The inclusion
of Multiple is motivated by Smart and Zutter (2002), who find that IPOs with multiple share
classes are less underpriced. Finally, PartU and PartD control for the well-known “partial
adjustment” phenomenon first documented by Hanley (1993). We include separate variables for
upward and downward adjustments because recent studies find evidence of an asymmetric effect
(upward adjustments have a much greater impact). Our results are presented in Table 2.
Regression (1) in Table 2 examines all IPOs over the time period. The coefficient on PS is
7.53 percent and is highly significant (p = 0.06 percent). Listing status, whether National or
SmallCap, does not have a significant effect on underpricing. However, our ability to separately
evaluate the effect of national listing is limited by the fact that the variable PS captures almost
the same information (the only exceptions are companies that are not listed on a national market
10
even though they have offer prices above $5).16 With the exception of Multiple, VC, and the
underwriter prestige variables, the coefficients for the remaining variables are generally
consistent with most recent research. Over, HT, LnSize, Integer, IPOLag, NasLag, PartU, and
PartD are all significant at any conventional level with signs consistent with previous research.
recent studies (which exclude low-priced IPOs), but consistent with earlier results in Megginson
and Weiss (1991). The majority of the underwriter prestige variables are negative and
significant, which is also in contrast to more recent findings. Since the lowest quality group (rank
1) is the omitted case, these results suggest that moving from a rank 1 underwriter to an
underwriter of higher prestige significantly reduces the initial return. Interestingly, the
coefficients are largest (in absolute value) for mid-tier underwriters, suggesting a “U”-shaped
relation.17
In summary, after controlling for a wide range of important issue features, we continue to
find that penny stock IPOs are much more underpriced. Also, contrary to most recent research,
we find that the inclusion of penny stock IPOs in the sample leads to negative coefficients on the
certification variables, VC backing (but only marginally significant) and underwriter prestige.18
In unreported results, we repeat regression (1) of Table 2 after dropping all IPOs with initial
mid-file prices at or above $10. Our motivation for this analysis is the possibility that lower-
priced IPOs are simply more underpriced than higher priced ones and that penny stock status per
16
We conduct a robustness check by running the regression without the variable National. Our primary findings are
unchanged.
17
Dolvin (2003) addresses this relation in more detail.
18
Lee and Wahal (2002) conclude that VC backing is an endogenous variable. Thus, we repeat all analyses in this
study using a two-stage least squares framework. Results as reported here are robust to this specification. We also
conduct robustness tests by including year dummy variables in all analyses. We find our conclusions to be
unchanged.
11
se is not important. We find that the coefficient on PS is relatively unchanged (6.76) and still
significant (p = 0.0142).19
An interesting result from the lower-priced sample is that the coefficient on VC is more than
three times as large in absolute value (-4.15 versus -1.17) and significant at the five percent level,
suggesting that VC certification is more important for lower-priced issues. The coefficients on
the underwriter prestige variables are similar in most cases, but, for the highest ranked
underwriters, the coefficient is numerically and statistically close to zero, again suggesting a
non-linear relation.
An important aspect of the analysis on the lower-priced sample is our use of the original mid-
file price as the cutoff. If we were to use the final mid-file price or the offer price, a potentially
serious bias is created because of the partial adjustment phenomenon. Specifically, firms with
offer prices originally below (above) $10, but subsequently adjusted to more (less) than $10,
would be excluded (included). The resulting sample would have a downward bias to its
The $5 price cutoff used for penny stock status creates a similar, but unavoidable, problem.
However, in this case, the effect is that we will be biased against finding greater underpricing for
penny stock IPOs. That is, our estimates of the difference in underpricing may be downward
biased. In fact, during the 1990-1998 period, there were 41 issues in our sample that met this
criterion (i.e., had an original mid-file price above $5, but a final offer price of $5 or less).
It is conceivable that the control variables used in our Table 2 regressions affect ordinary
IPOs and penny stock IPOs differently. Therefore, we estimate regression (1) from Table 2
19
We also repeat the analysis for all stocks with a mid-file below $7 and penny stock status remains significant at
the 7 percent level.
12
separately for ordinary and penny stock IPOs. The results from this analysis are presented in
columns (2) and (3), respectively, of Table 2. Additionally, column (4) reports the t-statistics for
difference tests between the marginal effects (i.e., the estimated coefficients) in each of these
regressions. The findings of the ordinary IPO analysis [column (2)] are generally consistent with
those from the entire sample [column (1)], with the exception that neither underwriter prestige
Examining the results from the penny stock sample, only VC backing, the first two
underwriter prestige dummy variables, lagged IPO return, and partial upward adjustments are
significant in predicting initial returns. In many cases, however, the coefficients in the two
regressions are numerically very similar. In fact, as column (4) shows, the hypothesis that the
coefficients are identical can be rejected only for VC and the first two underwriter prestige
dummies. The effect of VC backing is economically much larger for the penny stock IPOs (-6.70
versus -0.86).20 When taken in conjunction with the importance of underwriter prestige, this
evidence suggests that third-party certification is of greater importance in the penny stock
market, which is consistent with the notion that certification matters more when informational
Almost all IPOs are subject to a lockup agreement, which essentially restricts insiders from
selling shares for a pre-specified time period after the IPO. Bradley, Jordan, Roten, and Yi
(2001) and Field and Hanka (2001) document that the length of the lockup period for ordinary
IPOs has become very standardized at 180 days. In fact, Bradley, Jordan, Roten, and Yi (2001)
report that over 90 percent of their sample has a lockup time of exactly 180 days. However, as
20
Based on Bradley and Jordan (2002), industry concentration is a potential issue for VC-backed IPOs. For the
penny stock sample, however, there are no industries in which VC backing is especially prevalent.
13
indicated in Table 1, penny stock IPOs have much longer average lockups, 442 days, versus 212
days for ordinary IPOs. Table 3 contains a more detailed analysis of lockup lengths for ordinary
and penny stock IPOs, broken out by VC- and non-VC-backed issues.21
Brav and Gompers (2003) examine the role of lockups and conclude that these agreements
serve as a commitment device designed to alleviate moral hazard problems associated with
asymmetric information between issuers and purchasers. Those firms with greater potential
problems must accept longer lockup times. Consistent with this idea, Table 3 shows that penny
stock IPOs have much longer lockup periods, with only 23 percent being at or below 180 days,
compared to 85 percent of ordinary IPOs. Additionally, we find that VC-backed firms in the
penny stock IPO market have an average lockup period of 346 days, versus 464 days for non-
VC-backed firms, which is statistically different at the one percent level. These findings again
support the proposition that VC backing reduces informational asymmetry, particularly in the
In eq. (2), Lockup is the lockup time in days for each issue. VC, LnSize, and CM2…CM9 are as
previously defined. BM is the book-to-market ratio immediately after the offer; Primary is the
21
Bradley, Jordan, Roten, and Yi (2001) document that reported lockup periods of zero days are generally data
errors. Thus, in all analyses related to lockup periods, we drop issues with reported lockup periods of zero.
22
We conduct a similar analysis by comparing issues with the lower quality underwriters (ranks 1-3) to those with
higher quality underwriters (ranks 4-9). Not surprisingly, given the results in Table 3, we find those IPOs (both
penny stock and ordinary) with higher quality underwriters have shorter lockup periods on average.
14
percentage of the shares offered that are primary; and Perlock is the percentage of the shares that
are under lockup. This particular specification follows Brav and Gompers (2003).23
If penny stocks are more information problematic, we would expect a positive coefficient on
PS. If the certification hypothesis is correct, we would expect negative coefficients on VC and
the underwriter prestige variables. Firms that are larger or have higher book-to-market ratios are
these variables. Brav and Gompers (2003) suggest that the greater the percentage of primary
shares that are offered, the less concerned management will be about the subsequent lockup
period; thus, we expect a positive coefficient on Primary. The percent of shares locked up may
be an alternative to the length of lockup and, thus, have a negative relation. Table 4 presents the
Similar to Table 2, we separately report the results for all IPOs [column (1)], ordinary IPOs
[column (2)], and penny stock IPOs [column (3)]. Additionally, we report the t-statistic from a
difference test between the marginal impacts of each variable in the ordinary and penny stock
markets [column (4)]. The findings are generally consistent with our expectations and are in line
The results in regression (1) show that penny stock status increases lockup lengths by an
economically and statistically significant 85 days, which is consistent with a greater degree of
informational asymmetry for these issues. VC backing reduces lockup times for both penny stock
and ordinary IPOs; however, regressions (2) and (3) show that the effect is much greater for
23
Brav and Gompers (2003) use the natural log of lockup length as the dependent variable, but we choose to use
actual lockup length for ease of interpretation of the results. We also conduct the analysis using the natural log of
lockup length, and our findings are unchanged.
15
penny stock IPOs. Specifically, VC backing reduces the lockup period by 101 days for penny
stock IPOs, but only 11 days for ordinary IPOs. Thus, the certification effect associated with VC
backing appears to be stronger for the penny stock IPO market, again suggesting that
certification is important, but primarily for issues where information asymmetry problems are
most severe.
Within each group, issues that are larger tend to have shorter lockup periods, which is also
consistent with our expectations. This effect is much stronger for penny stock IPOs. Penny stock
IPOs with higher book-to-market ratios have shorter lockups. The negative coefficient on
PerLock is consistent with the hypothesized tradeoff between lockup length and the percentage
of shares locked up, and, once again, the effect is more pronounced for penny stock IPOs.
For ordinary IPOs, underwriter certification effects (i.e., lower lockup lengths) only exist for
are actually associated with longer lockup periods relative to underwriters with a rank of 1 (i.e., a
“negative” certification effect). For penny stock IPOs, underwriters do not appear to provide a
significant certification benefit related to lockup length. Further, in comparing penny stock IPOs
to ordinary IPOs, the t-statistics for the difference tests of the first two underwriter rank
coefficients (i.e., Carter-Manaster ranks 2 and 3) are negative and significant, so the “negative”
Referring back to Table 1, average gross spreads are approximately 2.5 percentage points
higher for penny stock IPOs compared to ordinary IPOs. Our result for ordinary IPOs is similar
24
As previously mentioned, lockup lengths are relatively standard. Thus, as a robustness check, we repeat the
analysis of lockup lengths using an ordered probit model, where the dependent variable takes on a value of 0 if
lockup length is less then 180 days, 1 if it is exactly equal to 180 days, and 2 if it is greater than 180 days. Results
are consistent with those reported. Additionally, we repeat the OLS regression using all issues with original mid-file
prices below $10 and below $7, and, once again, our results are robust.
16
to Chen and Ritter (2000), who find that over 90 percent of moderate-sized equity IPOs from
1995 to 1998 have gross spreads equal to 7 percent. As shown in Figure 3, we find that penny
stock IPOs have a similar clustering around 10 percent. In fact, over the 1990-1998 period, 78
Figure 3 also illustrates that the percentage of penny stock IPOs with spreads exactly equal to
10 percent is greater than the percentage of ordinary IPOs with spreads of exactly 7 percent. The
percentage of penny stock IPOs with a 10 percent spread is approximately equal to 80 percent in
every year of our sample, whereas the percentage of ordinary IPOs with a 7 percent spread is
that a single fixed spread does not characterize the IPO market. Rather, IPO spreads tend to
cluster around two amounts: 7 percent for ordinary IPOs and 10 percent for penny stock IPOs.25
Larger spreads for penny stock IPOs are consistent with the existence of a large fixed cost
component to the underwriting process. However, it is also possible that the larger spread
partially compensates the investment bank for the increased information asymmetry of penny
stock offerings. For ordinary IPOs, investment banks gather information from institutional
investors during the book-building process. This process supplements their own estimates of the
issuing firm’s value and can help in the pricing decision. It is unlikely that large institutions
would be active purchasers of penny stock IPOs [Fernando, Krishnamurthy, and Spindt (2002)].
Forced to rely more on retail investors, the pricing of these issues is inherently more risky.
25
In unreported results, we examined spreads from the 1980s as well. For penny stocks, 85 percent of penny stock
issues have a gross spread equal to 10 percent in the 1980s. Thus, it appears that penny stock gross spreads have
remained relatively constant through time. In contrast, as discussed in Chen and Ritter (2000), the clustering of
ordinary IPO spreads is a more recent phenomenon.
17
Spread = α + β1PS + β1VC + β2LnSize + β3CM2 +…+ β10CM9
+ β11National+ β12SmallCap + ε (3)
Results are reported in Table 5. Similar to previous tables, we conduct the analysis separately for
all IPOs [column (1)], ordinary IPOs [column (2)], and penny stock IPOs [column (3)],
subsequently testing the difference between the effects in the ordinary and penny stock markets
[column (4)].26 If the spread is indeed compensation for informational asymmetry, we would
expect that VC backing and market listing would reduce the spread due to their potential
certification roles. Higher prestige underwriters may be able to attract lower risk offerings,
allowing them to charge lower fees. The variable LnSize serves as a control variable and also as a
test of economies of scale, which would imply a negative relation if scale economies are present.
After controlling for the other variables, penny stock status significantly increases gross
spread, which is consistent with larger amounts of informational asymmetry and pricing risk.27
Thus, spreads are higher for penny stock IPOs even after taking into account that they are
typically smaller offerings. The coefficient on LnSize is negative and significant for all groups,
indicating scale economies exist. VC backing is also negatively related to gross spreads in all
groups; however, the effect is only economically significant in the penny stock market. Hence,
our results for penny stocks are consistent with those in Megginson and Weiss (1991)—venture
capitalist participation is associated with lower initial returns and gross spreads. However, we
extend their finding by concluding that this certification effect from venture capitalist
participation is stronger and more relevant in markets where informational asymmetry is more
26
Recall from the discussion in section 4.1 that there is a relation between penny stock status and national listing.
Thus, for regression (2), National is practically the intercept. For robustness, we repeat each regression without
National, and we find similar results.
27
As a robustness check, we repeat regression (1) on all IPOs with initial mid-file prices below $10 and below $7.
Penny stock status remains significant in both.
18
severe, i.e., penny stock IPOs. Finally, examination of the Carter-Manaster variables show that
IPOs with higher-prestige investment banks have lower spreads, consistent with the high-prestige
5. Conclusion
IPO researchers routinely screen out lower-priced issues and/or IPOs not included in the
CRSP database. The filters used generally correspond closely to the legal definition of a penny
stock as provided by the Penny Stock Reform Act (PSRA) of 1990. As a consequence of this
almost universal practice, penny stock IPOs have been largely ignored in the IPO literature.
We compare penny stock and ordinary IPOs, focusing on three variables heavily researched
in the IPO literature: initial returns, lockup periods, and gross spreads. For the post-PSRA era,
after controlling for a wide range of issue and market characteristics, we find that penny stock
IPOs (1) are more underpriced; (2) have much longer lockup periods; and (3) are associated with
larger gross spreads. All of these differences are economically meaningful and consistent with
higher degrees of asymmetric information in penny stock IPOs. Further, our findings indicate
that differences between penny stock and ordinary IPOs cannot simply be explained by a size
effect.
We explore the effect of venture capital (VC) backing and underwriter prestige on penny
stock IPOs. Contrary to some recent studies that focus on higher-priced IPOs, we find that VC
backing is associated with lower initial returns, shorter lockup periods, and lower gross spreads
for penny stock IPOs. We also find that penny stock IPOs with more reputable investment banks
28
Based on the clustering of spreads at 7 percent for ordinary IPOs and 10 percent for penny stock IPOs, we conduct
a robustness check using an ordered probit, where the dependent variable for ordinary (penny stock) IPOs takes on a
value of 0 if the spread is less than 7 (10) percent, 1 if it is equal to 7 (10) percent, and 2 if it is above 7 (10) percent.
The results of this analysis are consistent with those reported. VC backing and more prestigious underwriters
significantly decrease the probability of having a higher spread, and the effect is much more significant for penny
stock IPOs.
19
have lower initial returns. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that third-party
As these findings suggest, penny stock IPOs are a previously untapped and potentially rich
resource for IPO researchers, particularly those interested in the effects of third-party
certification. In the future, we recommend that IPO researchers carefully consider the rationale
20
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22
Table 1: Firm characteristics
This table provides basic summary statistics for penny stock and ordinary IPOs for the 1990-
1998 period. Real estate investment trusts, closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-
stock conversions (e.g., S&Ls), American depositary receipts, and unit offerings are excluded.
Market cap, Total assets, Equity, and Net income are in millions of dollars. Equity is book
equity. HT is a dummy variable equal to one if the issue is classified as high-tech, zero
otherwise. VC is a dummy variable equal to one if the issue is venture capital-backed, zero
otherwise. CM rank is the Carter-Manaster underwriter prestige ranking. National is a dummy
variable equal to one if the issue is listed on the NYSE, AMEX, or Nasdaq National Market, zero
otherwise. SmallCap is a dummy variable equal to one if the issue is listed on the Nasdaq
SmallCap market, zero otherwise. Initial return is the percentage difference from the offer price
to the closing price on the first day of trading. Gross spread is the percentage spread paid to the
underwriter. Lockup is the number of days spent in lockup. Data are from Thomson Financial’s
Securities Data Company New Issue database, the Center for Research in Security Prices
database, and Standard and Poor’s Daily Stock Price Record from 1990 to 1998. t-statistics are
for a difference in means test and are calculated assuming unequal variances.
23
Table 2: Regression results: Initial returns
This table provides the results of OLS regressions of initial returns as follows:
where:
Initial =return from the offer price to the closing stock price on the first day of trading;
PS =dummy variable equal to one if the issue is a penny stock, zero otherwise;
VC =dummy variable equal to one if the issue is VC-backed, zero otherwise;
Over =“overhang,” measured as pre-IPO shares retained divided by total shares offered;
HT =dummy variable equal to one if the issue is high-tech, zero otherwise;
National =dummy variable equal to one if the offering is listed on the NYSE, AMEX, or
Nasdaq National Market, zero otherwise;
SmallCap = dummy variable equal to one if the offering is listed on the Nasdaq SmallCap
Market, zero otherwise;
CM2...CM9 = dummy variables equal to one if the underwriter has a prestige ranking in the
relevant category, zero otherwise (a Carter-Manaster (1990) rank of 1 is the
omitted category);
Secondary = percentage of shares offered that are secondary shares;
LnSize = natural logarithm of the offer size;
Integer = dummy variable equal to one if the offer price is an integer, zero otherwise;
IPOLag = an underpricing index defined as the average initial return for all IPOs in the
sample on calendar days –1 to –30 before the issue date;
NasLag = average daily return on the Nasdaq composite for the twenty-one trading days
(one month) prior to the issue;
Multiple = dummy variable equal to one if the issue has more than one class of common
shares, zero otherwise;
PartU = percentage difference between the offer price and the original mid-file price if the
adjustment is positive, zero otherwise; and,
PartD = percentage difference between the offer price and the original mid-file price if the
adjustment is negative, zero otherwise.
Regression (1) looks at all IPOs over the period. Regression (2) looks only at ordinary IPOs, and
regression (3) looks only at penny stock IPOs. Column (4) reports the t-statistics for a difference
test between the coefficients from regressions (2) and (3). A significant coefficient indicates a
different marginal impact between the penny stock and ordinary markets. Real estate investment
trusts, closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-stock conversions (e.g., S&Ls),
American depositary receipts, and unit offerings have been eliminated. Data are from Thomson
Financial’s Securities Data Company New Issue database, the Center for Research in Security
Prices database, and the Standard and Poor’s Daily Stock Price Record from 1990 to 1998.
24
Table 2 - continued
*, **, and *** indicate significance at the 1, 5, and 10 percent levels, respectively.
25
Table 3: Lockup time distribution by VC backing
The following table provides the distribution of lockup times for ordinary and penny stock IPOs
over the period 1990-1998. A comparison is done for VC-backed firms versus non-VC-backed
firms. Real estate investment trusts, closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-stock
conversions (e.g., S&Ls), American depositary receipts, and unit offerings have been eliminated.
Data are from Thomson Financial’s Securities Data Company New Issue database from 1990 to
1998.
26
Table 4: Regression results: Lockup length
This table provides the results of OLS regressions of lockup length as follows:
where:
Regression (1) looks at all IPOs. Regression (2) looks only at ordinary IPOs, and regression (3)
looks only at penny stock IPOs. Column (4) reports the t-statistics for a difference test between
the coefficients from regressions (2) and (3). A significant coefficient indicates a different
marginal impact between the penny stock and ordinary markets. Real estate investment trusts,
closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-stock conversions (e.g., S&Ls), American
depositary receipts, and unit offerings have been eliminated. Data are from Thomson Financial’s
Securities Data Company New Issue database from 1990 to 1998.
27
Table 4 - continued
*, **, and *** indicate significance at the 1, 5, and 10 percent levels, respectively.
28
Table 5: Regression results: Gross spread
This table provides the results of OLS regressions of gross spreads as follows:
where:
Regression (1) looks at all IPOs. Regression (2) looks only at ordinary IPOs, and regression (3)
looks only at penny stock IPOs. Column (4) reports the t-statistics for a difference test between
the coefficients from regressions (2) and (3). A significant coefficient indicates a different
marginal impact between the penny stock and ordinary markets. Real estate investment trusts,
closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-stock conversions (e.g., S&Ls), American
depositary receipts, and unit offerings have been eliminated. Data are from Thomson Financial’s
Securities Data Company New Issue database from 1990 to 1998.
29
Table 5 - continued
*, **, and *** indicate significance at the 1, 5, and 10 percent levels, respectively.
30
Figure 1: Distribution of IPOs by Carter-Manaster underwriter rank
The following figure provides the percentage distribution of initial public offerings from the
1990-1998 period by Carter-Manaster (1990) rank, where 9 is the highest rank. Ordinary IPOs
are shown first, penny stock IPOs next. Real estate investment trusts, closed-end investment
funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-stock conversions (e.g., S&Ls), American depositary receipts, and
unit offerings have been eliminated. Data are from Thomson Financial’s Securities Data
Company New Issue database from 1990 to 1998.
50%
Percent of Total IPOs
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
CM Rank
31
Figure 2: Initial returns by year
This figure shows initial returns by year. Initial return is the percentage difference between the
closing price on the first day of trading and the offer price. Ordinary IPOs are shown first, penny
stock IPOs next. Real estate investment trusts, closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-
stock conversions (e.g., S&Ls), American depositary receipts, and unit offerings have been
eliminated. Offer prices are obtained from Thomson Financial’s Securities Data Company New
Issue database from 1990 to 1998, and closing prices are obtained from the Center for Research
in Security Prices database and Standard and Poor’s Daily Stock Price Record.
35%
30%
Percent Return
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Year
Ordinary IPOs Penny Stock IPOs
32
Figure 3: Percentage of fixed gross spreads by year
This figure presents the percentage of penny stock IPOs with gross spreads exactly equal to 10
percent and the percentage of ordinary IPOs with gross spreads exactly equal to 7 percent for
each of the nine years in our sample. Ordinary IPOs are shown first, penny stock IPOs next.
Real estate investment trusts, closed-end investment funds, spin-offs, mutual-to-stock
conversions (e.g., S&Ls), American depositary receipts, and unit offerings have been eliminated.
Data are from Thomson Financial’s Securities Data Company New Issue database from 1990 to
1998.
100%
80%
Percent Fixed
60%
40%
20%
0%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Year
Ordinary IPOs Penny Stock IPOs
33