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1b.

Using real world examples and taking into consideration the welfare losses of trade protection
measure, discuss whether production subsidies or tariffs are preferable from society’s point of view.
[15]

Introduction

A subsidy is a payment by the government to a firm for each unit of output produced. There
are two kinds of subsidies: production subsidy which is aimed at protecting domestic firms
from competing imports and export subsidy that is intended to protect firms that export.
We will illustrate with production subsidy. Tariffs are taxes on imported goods

Body: Explain effects on stakeholders


Tariffs Production Subsidy (need to compare effects
with those of tariff)
Tariffs are taxes on imported goods and it has Production subsidy is aimed at protecting
two objectives viz., to protect a domestic domestic firms from competing imports.
industry from foreign competition and to help
raise revenue for the government. Assume country accepts world price Pw and
 Initial position under free trade – country produces quantity Q1 and demands quantity
accepts world price Pw; produces quantity Q1 Q2 with imports of Q2-Q1 (Figure 2).
and demands quantity Q4; imports Q4-Q1
 Suppose a production subsidy is granted
 Suppose a tariff is imposed on imports; the by the government to domestic firms to
world supply curve shifts upwards with price make them more competitive. This will
rising from Pw to Pw+t in the country effectively shift the domestic supply curve
assuming that the country is a price taker. downwards by the amount of the subsidy
 At Pw+t, domestic quantity supplied of to Ss.
inefficient US producers increases from Q1 to  The goods continue to sell at the world
price Pw. But, after the subsidy, domestic
Q2. Domestic quantity demanded falls from
quantity supplied increases from Q1 to Q3.
Q4 to Q3. Quantity of imports falls to Q2Q3 As a result, the quantity of imports falls
from Q1Q4. This happened in the US when the from Q2-Q1 to Q3-Q1. For example, China
country imposed a 20% tariff on EU government has been accused of giving
automobile imports in 2018, which affected production subsidy to domestic firms in
many stakeholders in the US and EU. industries such as the solar panel, electric
battery and shipbuilding. This will have
Figure 1: Tariff consequences on the different
stakeholders.

Effects on different stakeholders

Figure 2: Production Subsidy


Effects on different stakeholders
 Unlike tariffs, domestic consumers who
 Inefficient US domestic producers receive buys electric batteries in China are not
higher price (Pw+t) and sell larger quantity of affected. They continue to pay Pw.
Q2 instead of Q1. So, they are better off with Although they buy more of the domestic
producer surplus rising from area g to g+c. good whose production has increased and
 Government receives revenue as shown by less of the imported good, the total
the area e in Figure 1. amount consumed remains unchanged at
 However, US domestic consumers were worse Q2 units of output after the subsidy.
off as they pay a higher price (Pw+t) and buy  Given that a production subsidy is a trade
smaller quantity of Q3 instead of Q4. So, they protection measure like a tariff, domestic
are worse off. This is also indicated by falling producers receive higher price (Pw+s) and
consumer surplus from off as indicated by a sell larger quantity of Q3 instead of Q1. So,
fall in the consumer surplus from areas abcdef they are better off. This is indicated by a
to ab (Figure 1). producer surplus gain of area a (Figure 2).
 Foreign producers like EU automobile  Unlike a tariff, the Chinese government
producers such as BMW and Volkswagen who is negatively impacted as they must
have a comparative advantage or lower spend tax revenues on the subsidy
opportunity cost in the production of cars are which is equal to (Pw+s-Pw) X Q3 (or the
worst off as their imports in the US market fell amount produced domestically).
from Q4-Q1 to Q3-Q2 (Figure 1) translating Budget deficit deteriorates. There is an
into lower export revenues thus decreasing opportunity cost to taxpayers as the
employment in the important car industry in amount spend on the subsidy could
Europe. have been used elsewhere that would
 A global misallocation of resources results. benefit taxpayers. This includes
The decrease in consumption and the shift of spending on merit goods such as
production away from efficient foreign education, healthcare, manpower
producers and towards more inefficient training etc.
domestic producers translate into a  Foreign producers from the US, for
misallocation of resources both domestically example, are worse off as their imports
and globally. Hence there is a welfare or in China fell from Q2-Q1 to Q2-Q3. The
deadweight loss equal to the area d+f (Figure production subsidy lowers export
1). revenue of the more efficient foreign
 Moreover, tariff is a regressive tax which producers with negative effects on
burdens people on lower incomes employment in the country. The effects
proportionately more than people on higher are similar to that of tariff. Hence, it will
incomes. This is because as income increases, also provoke a trade war as in the case
the proportion of income paid as taxes falls. of China’s production subsidies which
Hence the lower income consumes are led to tariff retaliation by the US.
disproportionately worse off.  The subsidy is also similar to the tariff in
 Trade protectionism also provokes trade terms of misallocation of resources as it
retaliation. In response to the US tariffs on shifts production away from efficient
imports from Europe on a wide range of goods foreign producers and towards more
including automobiles, aircrafts and wine, the inefficient domestic producers. Hence,
EU responded with retaliatory tariffs on US resources are not allocated efficiently
imports such as spirits, Boeing aircraft US and both domestically and globally. Hence
Salmon. The trade war erupted that between there is a welfare or deadweight loss
US and many of its trading partners including equal to the area b in Figure 1 as the
Europe and Japan led to falling exports in gain in producer surplus is more than
these countries, hence slower economic offset by government expenditure on
growths. the production subsidy for inefficient
domestic producers.

Evaluation

While both production subsidies and tariffs protect domestic producers and their workers from
foreign competition, the economic cost is high from a welfare point of view as they shift
production away from efficient foreign producers and towards more inefficient domestic
producers leading to global misallocation of resources. However, given that production subsidies
do not affect consumer surplus, which remains the same, welfare losses may therefore be smaller
compared with a tariff. Hence, of the two, subsidies could be preferred to tariffs. In the final
analysis, however, they both incur a substantial cost on society benefiting only the inefficient
domestic producers at a cost to foreign producers, consumers (tariff) and government (production
society) which increases if they provoke a trade war which is likely as demonstrated empirically
between US and its trading partners.

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