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WEEKLY October 17–23, 2020

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GLOBAL CRISIS
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This week’s issue

On the 40 How to make


an extra dimension
40 Features
cover Quantum trickery creates “With the
new directions in space
34 The other global crisis shackles of
While the world’s been 45 Er, like, what?
distracted by coronavirus, The secret signals we send traditional
climate change has been
ramping up. Here’s what
with our ums and ahs
dimensions
you need to know 10 Sonic zoom
We now know the
cast off,
ultimate speed of sound things could
8 Naked mole rats attack quickly get
11 Stone Age people of Ireland
Vol 248 No 3304 12 Your coronavirus questions wild”
Cover image: Eiko Ojala answered 20 Aquatic asteroid

News Features
8 Earth 2.0 34 The forgotten crisis
Planetary digital twins could News How has the climate been faring
help us tackle climate change as the world has grappled with
the coronavirus pandemic?
9 Where’s the beef?
Dairy cows are being 40 Synthetic dimensions
implanted with beef cattle We have begun to cook up extra
embryos to boost profits dimensions in the lab and
investigate what lurks within
16 Cold season
How the covid-19 pandemic 45 Er, like, what?
affects other diseases Our ums and uhs are a hidden
language we all understand

Views
The back pages
23 Comment
We must pay attention to 51 Stargazing at home
the subtle effects of climate Spotting the Red Planet
change, says Hannah Cloke as it orbits near Earth

24 The columnist 52 Puzzles


Graham Lawton on finance A cryptic crossword, a bridge
and climate change too far and the quiz

26 Letters 54 Almost the last word


NASA/GODDARD/UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA

Life beyond our planet Why are cabbages made up


of a tight bundle of leaves?
28 Aperture
Prize-winning photo of 55 Tom Gauld for New Scientist
orphaned macaque for sale A cartoonist’s take on paradoxes

30 Culture 56 Feedback
New documentary on the Coronavirus erotica
impact of online media 20 Water, water everywhere NASA reveals asteroid Bennu’s secrets and black hole bargains

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 1


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2 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


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The leader

The other emergency


Covid-19 has delayed climate action, but we have the technology to make big changes

AT THE height of the first wave of enough precedent to spend money in ways it perhaps didn’t even a
coronavirus lockdowns, we commented to save people’s lives” (see page 23). And decade ago. What happens next will
here on the falls in pollution and carbon individual behaviour and culture can hinge on the colour of the financial
emissions because of car-free roads and change in weeks rather than years. stimulus that follows the pandemic,
plane-free skies. We also warned that True, the emissions bounceback has and the technologies that leaders
“we must be realistic that this will have shown us limits to behavioural change. back. They need to be green.
little if any long-term effect on global But no serious plans advocate harmful As this week’s columnist, Graham
warming” (New Scientist, 30 May, p 5). Lawton, points out, individuals aren’t
Five months on, and the scores are on “What happens next will depend powerless to effect systemic change,
the doors. Global emissions are indeed on the colour of post-pandemic either. Bare economic reality is already
more or less back to where they were financial stimulus, and the greening the financial system. Anyone
before the pandemic. Meanwhile, more technologies that leaders back” lucky enough to have a pension or
valuable time has been lost in creating a other savings pot can exert pressure
workable plan to restrict global warming coronavirus-style restrictions as a to accelerate that process (see page 24).
to the “safe” level of 1.5°C set out in template for how to drastically cut Coronavirus won’t be the last crisis
the 2015 Paris agreement (see page 34). emissions. Systems need overhauling, the world faces as climate change grinds
Yet the coronavirus pandemic has with sweeping, deep-reaching changes on. The mathematics of cutting carbon
shown us that another world is possible. to how we power our homes, industry emissions demands that, like covid-19
Governments can act decisively: in the and transport, and how we use land. vaccine trials, we must tackle these
words of natural hazards researcher The good news is that the technology crises in parallel, not in series. It is time
Hannah Cloke, we now have “more than and know-how to do that now exists, to start firing on all cylinders. ❚

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17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 5


AV NO
AI W
LA
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ESSENTIAL
GUIDE№4
OUR
HUMAN
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WHO WERE OUR ANCESTORS? WHERE DO WE REALLY
COME FROM? HOW LONG HAVE WE WALKED ON EARTH?

IN RECENT DECADES, NEW FOSSIL FINDS AND


GENETIC INSIGHTS HAVE UPENDED ALMOST
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THIS FOURTH OF OUR SERIES CURATED FROM THE
BEST NEW SCIENTIST CONTENT.
Buy now and have it delivered direct to your
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News

Patrons in a pub in
Liverpool watch the news
that bars there must close

full lockdown and the massive


human – and, indeed, economic –
cost of an uncontained epidemic.”
Some scientists have welcomed
the simplification of the rules.
“The introduction of a three-tier
system does provide greater
clarity,” said Linda Bauld at the
University of Edinburgh, UK, in
a statement. Bauld said the new
guidelines are in line with recent
evidence linking infections to
contact between households
and visits to hospitality venues.
However, documents
released on the same day as
the announcement reveal that
CHRISTOPHER FURLONG/GETTY IMAGES

scientific advisers called for more


stringent measures weeks ago,
raising concerns that the new
system may be too little, too late.
A paper from the government’s
Scientific Advisory Group for
Emergencies dated 21 September
includes a recommendation
of a two-week “circuit-breaker”
England lockdown to curb the spread of
infections in the UK. Not acting

Three-tier covid-19 alert now to reduce cases “will result


in a very large epidemic with
catastrophic consequences in
terms of direct COVID related
The UK government ignored scientific advice and is bringing in deaths and the ability of the
three levels of restrictions for England, reports Layal Liverpool health service to meet needs”,
the group wrote.
A NEW three-tier system for for being overly complicated. until the measures are reviewed. Other recommendations that
setting coronavirus rules in The new system begins with a Most regions that already also weren’t implemented at the
England was announced by UK lowest alert level called medium, had some form of additional time include banning contact
prime minister Boris Johnson or tier 1, rising to high (tier 2) and restrictions are under tier 2, between different households
on 12 October. The approach falls then very high (tier 3). meaning that people aren’t other than members of a support
short of advice from science The Liverpool city region, allowed to mix with those from bubble, closing bars, restaurants,
advisers who called for tougher which recorded around 600 cases other households indoors. This cafes, indoor gyms and personal
measures several weeks ago. of covid-19 per 100,000 people medium alert level covers most services such as hairdressers
Under the new framework, in the week ending 6 October, of England. Measures include the and moving almost all university
which began on 14 October, has been classed as tier 3. Those rule of six, which limits gatherings and college teaching online.
different sets of restrictions of living in the area aren’t allowed to six people, and a 10 pm closing James Naismith at the
increasing severity will be applied to meet people from different time for restaurants and bars. University of Oxford has warned
to separate regions based on households indoors and in “This is not how we want to live in a statement that delaying action
infection rates, as well as the rate some outdoor settings, except our lives,” said Johnson during the now could lead to more stringent
at which infections are rising. members of a support bubble, announcement. “But is the narrow measures later on: “There is a risk
Speaking in parliament, while gyms, pubs and some other path we have to tread between that we will end up having to
Johnson said that the system businesses are required to shut social and economic costs of a lock down again (perhaps with
was intended to simplify and a different name but in effect
standardise current measures, Daily coronavirus news round-up the same thing). If we do so the
which already vary according to Online every weekday at 6pm BST duration of lock down will likely
region and have been criticised newscientist.com/coronavirus-latest be longer as a result of delay.” ❚

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 7


News
Climate change

Virtual Earths to be created


Digital twins of Earth that model human and physical systems in detail
could help plans to mitigate climate change, says Adam Vaughan
WORK is set to begin within environmental objectives,” improved level of mapping help examine scenarios such as
months on building “digital says Massimo Craglia at the resolution – greater detail at a local how extreme weather will affect a
twins” of Earth to better predict European Commission’s Joint level – than most observations and specific city for the next decade or
the future of climate change, Research Centre modelling today. It will also use how southern Europe will have to
extreme weather and the Peter Bauer at the European machine learning to make sense adapt as more arid conditions lead
environment. The Destination Centre for Medium-Range Weather of the patterns in the petabytes to more fires and drought, he says.
Earth project aims to create a Forecasts (ECMWF), one of three of data produced daily by the The digital twins won’t
tool for everyone from politicians groups being consulted on the European Space Agency (ESA), replace climate models, says
to energy companies to simulate project, says it will accelerate the ECMWF and the European Bauer. However, they could help
in unprecedented detail how efforts to model Earth at a national Organisation for the Exploitation climate scientists by allowing
human and physical systems or regional level that policy- of Meteorological Satellites. them to plug their models into
will change in a warming world. makers can use. Destination Earth “It’s certainly a level up, in the system to run at a better
Three digital twins are initially should bring a dramatically terms of getting a better insight resolution, with more processes
planned. These simulations, into the processes of our planet, such as cloud formation and with
built on satellite and field data, Digital twins of Earth with different observations and more “ensembles” of models,
will cover extreme weather and could help inform modelling and AI,” says Josef in which parameters are slightly
disaster risk management, climate policy-makers Aschbacher at ESA. It will also tweaked and models run many
change adaptation and the oceans. times to assess likely outcomes.
More twins will come later. The budget for the project
The European Union is funding hasn’t been published yet, but
GETTY IMAGES/EDUARD MUZHEVSKYI/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY RF

the project and sees it as vital to Bauer says it will be significant.


informing government decisions An earlier vision of a similar
on the EU’s Green Deal, which scheme known as Extreme Earth
aims to reduce carbon emissions had been allocated a budget of
to net zero by 2050. For example, €10 billion over 10 years before
some twins could let policy-makers it was axed, but Destination Earth
model the impact of swapping out will probably cost less. If a budget
gas power stations for renewables, is agreed by the European
or one crop for another. Commission before the year’s
“It’s key for us and future end, as is hoped, work will begin
generations. We have so much on Destination Earth early next
data and computing and we year. The twins should then be
need to use it better to support available for use by 2023. ❚

Animals

Naked mole rats are sterile workers and only one colonies, marked each animal, then the following year they found two
individual, the queen, reproduces, returned them to their burrows. pups from the attacked colony
invade their similar to honeybees. This allowed them to track living as workers in the other one.
neighbours Stan Braude at Washington individuals over successive years. For years, Braude suspected
University in St Louis, Missouri, In May 1994, they began he had simply made a mistake.
THOUGH normally the most sociable and his colleagues observed the capturing two neighbouring “We just didn’t have the tools
of mammals, naked mole rats have animals attacking their neighbours colonies and noticed that the to make sure that I hadn’t totally
been seen invading neighbouring in the 1990s, but couldn’t confirm queen of one had wounds on her screwed up,” he says. Now, genetic
populations and even kidnapping their suspicions. face, suggesting that the other analyses of tissue samples from
newborn pups, which become The researchers were tracking colony had attacked. They put the the original animals have confirmed
workers in the conquering colony. colonies of naked mole rats in Meru animals back in their burrows, but that the pups really had ended up
The mole rats (Heterocephalus National Park, Kenya, and noticed in a different colony (Journal of
glaber) are one of a handful of 26 examples of colonies expanding “Naked mole rats live in Zoology, doi.org/fctc). It seems
mammal species that are eusocial: their territory into burrows underground colonies the pups became completely
they live in large underground previously occupied by others. The in which most members integrated into their new home. ❚
colonies in which most members team repeatedly captured entire are sterile workers” Michael Marshall

8 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Archaeology Farming

Eurasia’s oldest
known balls may
Dairy cows are bearing
have been for sport beef cattle to boost profits
Colin Barras Michael Le Page

THE first ball games in Eurasia may FARMERS in the US have begun emissions, says Alison Van and it is taking off elsewhere.
have been played 3000 years ago, implanting dairy cows with the Eenennaam at the University of The problem is, demand for the
according to a new analysis of three fertilised embryos of beef cattle, California, Davis. “It really alters cross-breed calves is falling in
leather balls unearthed in an ancient so they produce calves bred the sustainability metric.” the US. “Their value is declining
cemetery in northern China. for beef rather than for milk Dairy cows must keep having sharply,” says Sigurdson.
The Yanghai cemetery contains production. The idea is to make calves to keep producing milk. If beef embryos are implanted
more than 500 graves and was dairy farming more profitable. Female dairy calves can be used instead of just using beef
in use between about 3200 and Cattle have been bred for to replace ageing cows, but male semen, female dairy cows can
either milk or beef production. dairy calves aren’t as valuable as produce pure beef offspring
Balls like this Beef breeds typically put on those bred for beef production. that are worth even more than
one were more muscle faster for less Some farmers kill male dairy the hybrids, more than making
stuffed with food than dairy cattle do, calves after birth because it up for the higher costs of
either leather and the meat quality is better. often costs more to raise them implanting embryos.
PATRICK WERTMANN

strips or with This makes beef calves far than they can be sold for.
wool and hair more valuable than male dairy These calf deaths have been “Some farmers kill
calves, which are often killed reduced by the growing use male dairy calves after
immediately after birth. of reproductive technologies. birth because it isn’t
Select Sires in Minnesota Many dairy cows are now economical to raise them”
1850 years ago. Archaeologists has trialled the implantation inseminated with semen from
working there a few years ago of beef cattle embryos and dairy bulls sorted to remove Cattle are responsible for
uncovered three leather balls from is now commercialising the sperm with a Y chromosome. around 10 per cent of all
three graves. The balls, each about technique. “It’s in its infant This means the resulting greenhouse emissions. Having
9 centimetres in diameter, had been stages,” says Chris Sigurdson offspring are nearly all female. a female cow that produces milk
stuffed with either leather strips or at Select Sires, but the company But if every calf were female, plus a cross-breed or pure beef
with wool and hair. Two of them had hopes the practice will become there would be too many. So, calf in a year is more efficient
a red cross painted on one side. routine. “That’s the vision.” about half the time, dairy cows than feeding a dairy cow plus a
They were first thought to be If it does catch on, it would are inseminated with semen beef cow for a year to get one
2400 to 2800 years old, making also help reduce the industry’s from beef bulls. The resulting beef calf, says Van Eenennaam.
them the earliest known balls in substantial greenhouse gas cross-breed calves are more Dairy cows also produce less
Eurasia. Patrick Wertmann at the valuable for meat production methane because they are
University of Zurich in Switzerland A herd of cows than male dairy calves. fed richer foods, she says.
and his team have now carbon- at a dairy farm in In the US, this is standard “That’s a bigger impact
dated the wool stuffing of one ball Pickett, Wisconsin practice on large dairy farms in terms of emissions than
and concluded it is between 2930 anything that’s going to happen
and 3210 years old. They also with genome editing,” she says.
carbon-dated artefacts from the Phil Brooke from Compassion
graves that yielded the other two in World Farming says the
balls. They fell within the same organisation supports the
range (Journal of Archaeological use of sexed semen because it
Science: Reports, doi.org/fcr2). improves welfare – by reducing
Ten curved, wooden sticks were the number of unwanted
also found in the cemetery, similar males – as well as production.
to those used to play polo, a game “It ticks all the boxes,” he says.
for horseback riders. Whips and But the organisation is opposed
riding trousers in the graves suggest to embryo transfer, he says,
the men buried with the balls rode because it is more invasive
horses. But the “polo” sticks came than insemination and the
MORRY GASH/AP/SHUTTERSTOCK

from much younger graves. We larger size of beef calves could


can’t be sure what the balls were increase the risk of dairy cows
for, but Wertmann suspects they having difficulties during birth.
were used in some kind of sport – Van Eenennaam says
played perhaps for exercise, for the procedures are equally
fun or as part of military training. ❚ invasive. ❚

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 9


News
Physics

Ultimate speed of sound


has finally been pinned down
Leah Crane

THE maximum speed of sound of heavy elements, so there would used that fact along with the limit is about twice the speed
in a solid or a liquid has just been be no carbon, no life,” he says. proton-electron mass ratio and of sound in a diamond.
calculated for the first time. It is Sound is a wave that propagates the fine structure constant to The speed of sound is also
about 36 kilometres per second, by making neighbouring particles calculate the maximum speed at dependent on the mass of the
more than 8000 times slower interact with one another, so its which sound could theoretically atoms in the material, so the
than the speed of light. speed depends on the density of travel in any liquid or solid. They researchers predicted that solid
We have known the universal the material it travels in and how found it was about 36 kilometres metallic hydrogen – a material
speed limit of electromagnetic the atoms within it are bound per second (Science Advances, that theoretically exists at the
waves travelling through a vacuum together. Atoms can only move doi.org/ghd8j4). centre of giant planets, but for
for over a century, but the limit for so fast, and the speed of sound “The common wisdom was which laboratory evidence has
sound, which requires a medium, is limited by that movement. that diamond has the highest been hotly contested – should
has been elusive until now. Trachenko and his colleagues speed of sound, because it is have the highest speed of sound.
To calculate it, Kostya the hardest material, but we They calculated that it should
Trachenko at Queen Mary Sound waves travelling in didn’t know whether there was a be close to the theoretical limit.
University of London and his liquids or solids top out at theoretical fundamental limit to They also looked at
colleagues started with two well- 36 kilometres per second it,” says Trachenko. The theoretical experimental data for more
known physical constants: the than 130 materials and found that
ratio of proton mass to electron none of them broke the limit.
mass, and the fine structure However, Graeme Ackland at
constant, which characterises the University of Edinburgh in
the strength of interactions the UK says that it isn’t clear the
between charged particles. calculations produce a speed limit.
Trachenko says we have a “You can use these fundamental
pretty good idea of these values, constants to get something with
MEHAU KULYK/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

because if they were changed units of velocity, but I can’t quite


even a bit, the universe wouldn’t see a good fundamental reason
look at all like it does. “If you for why it is a bound. I’m not
change these constants by a few completely convinced,” he says.
per cent, then the proton might Ackland says that more work is
not be stable anymore, and you necessary to find exactly how the
might not even have the processes approach applies to sound moving
in stars resulting in the synthesis through heavier elements. ❚

Technology

AI can alter the layers and taught an AI to identify the neural network and sped video, near-seamlessly masking the
the people or objects in them. up or slowed down. That is done moment they cross over each other
timing of just one This neural network homes in on by deep learning, associating the (arxiv.org/abs/2009.07833).
object in a video the things in each layer by focusing elements around an object with the “The paper will inspire further
on their movements. Then it further object itself. Previously, elements development of such techniques
EXPECT more startling video separates each object or person had to be highlighted by hand – a for advanced video editing in the
special effects soon. A neural onto its own layer. The background time-consuming, costly process. future,” says Jia-Bin Huang at
network can distinguish between is isolated into another layer. The AI stitches all these things Virginia Tech University.
people and objects in footage, and It also tracks the way people back together after altering them. Huang points out that the
speed up or slow their movements or objects interact with the world The result is the ability to speed up, method used requires training the
separately while ensuring they around them in the video. “You also say, one pair of ballroom dancers AI on each individual video, making
interact smoothly. This could be have to change the things in the and slow down another in the same it time-consuming. In addition, the
used to dramatise or de-emphasise scene that move with them – their authors say that the neural network
motion or events caught on film. shadows, reflections or water “Details like shadows, struggles to pick up things such
To achieve this, a team at Google splashes,” says team member Erika reflections and water as flashing lights as objects that
and the University of Oxford split Lu at the University of Oxford. splashes are also sped need to be discretely animated. ❚
each frame of video into separate These details are picked up by up or slowed down” Chris Stokel-Walker

10 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Archaeology Animals

Ancient Irish genes Rats that hunt with


whiskers are four
Stone Age people in Ireland had dark skin and were lactose-intolerant species, not one
Michael Marshall Jake Buehler

SOME Stone Age people AN ELUSIVE type of wading rat


in Ireland left their dead to armed with super-powered
decompose in a rocky chamber whiskers is actually four separate
on a mountain. Genetic analysis species, researchers have found.
of two of these bodies shows African wading rats, formerly the
they had darker skin, like many single species Colomys goslingi, are
people in Europe at the time. truly unusual rodents. They are one
The chamber was discovered of the only semi-aquatic rodents
in 2016 by a hillwalker exploring in Africa, striding into streams on
Bengorm mountain in north- stilt-like feet. There, they drape
west Ireland. Finding human long whiskers on the water’s
bones on the floor, he called the surface, sensing the vibrations of
police. The bones turned out to their prey: aquatic insects, tadpoles
be thousands of years old and and small fish moving underwater.
THORSTEN KAHLERT

the site was turned over to “It was known all the way from
archaeologists led by Marion Liberia to Kenya, which is an insanely
Dowd at the Institute of wide distribution for a really small
Technology Sligo in Ireland. animal,” says Tom Giarla at Siena
“It’s a Neolithic site that has College in Loudonville, New York.
been completely undisturbed from around 3000 BC. The pair View from a chamber Giarla and his colleagues
for 4500 to 5000 years,” she says. were distantly related, sharing entrance on Bengorm wondered if the territory was
The team found a total of the same amount of genetic mountain, Ireland actually inhabited by a series of
4899 bone fragments, which material as second cousins, says hidden species. The team examined
belonged to at least eight Cassidy. “That tells us they’re with the Mediterranean or dozens of wading rats in museum
individuals, both adults and coming from a community Middle East today, says Cassidy collections, and captured specimens
children. However, the chamber that’s sizeable enough that you (Oxford Journal of Archaeology, across their wild range.
wasn’t the final resting place can avoid close inbreeding.” doi.org/fct8). This is in line with The group compared the rodents’
of some of their other bones. Both Bengorm men were other Neolithic Europeans, she physical features and analysed
Instead, people carried corpses lactose-intolerant, so they says. “There was diversity. their DNA. The team also compared
to the chamber and left them for couldn’t digest the lactose in You’re getting a lot of [gene] them with the similar Ethiopian
up to 2 years to allow the flesh to milk without discomfort. Today, variants circling at that time.” amphibious rat (Nilopegamys
decompose, then took away the The Bengorm population may plumbeus), of which only one
skulls and other large bones. “There was diversity. well living ancestors in Ireland specimen has ever been collected,
Such elaborate funerary rites You’re getting a lot of today, says Dowd. The site was in 1927, and which may be extinct.
were common in the Neolithic, gene variants circling used for funeral rites for at least Two of the wading rat
the last phase of the Stone Age. at that time” 800 years, suggesting a long- populations in the Congo basin
By this time, the first farmers lasting population. We have less and West Africa were distinct,
had moved into western Europe most adults with European information about the hunter- unrecognised species. The team
from further east. In the British ancestry can digest lactose, but gatherer groups that lived in named them Colomys lumumbai
Isles, they largely replaced the the trait only evolved in the past the British Isles before the and Colomys wologizi, respectively.
hunter-gatherers that had been 5000 years. Neolithic farmers farmers, but a 2018 study of the The team also discovered that
living there for millennia. probably coped by processing 10,000-year-old “Cheddar Man” a Colomys goslingi subspecies
Neolithic funeral practices milk to remove most of the skeleton from the UK found in Cameroon was a full species
often lasted years and were lactose, says Carles Lalueza-Fox evidence that he had dark skin (Zoological Journal of the
probably tied to religious beliefs at the Institute of Evolutionary that was significantly darker Linnean Society, doi.org/fct4).
about the afterlife, says Dowd. Biology in Barcelona, Spain. “If than the Bengorm men had. Giarla says he is most interested
“The physical disintegration you make cheese, then you get Later, genetic variants linked in learning more about how the
of the body possibly mirrors rid of the lactose problem.” to lighter skin tones became new species interact with their
the spiritual journey.” The two adult males had much more common in Europe. environments. Understanding
Lara Cassidy at Trinity College “intermediate to dark” skin, but we don’t know when that the rats’ habitat requirements is
Dublin in Ireland obtained according to the DNA analysis. happened, says Cassidy, because important because their rainforests
DNA from two of the bones, Their skin was probably in a we have little DNA from the are threatened by deforestation,
belonging to two adult males range traditionally associated Bronze and Iron Ages so far. ❚ mining and political strife. ❚

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 11


News Coronavirus
Reader Q&A

Your questions answered


From immunity to vaccines and face coverings, Jessica Hamzelou, Graham Lawton,
Michael Le Page, Donna Lu and Adam Vaughan have the answers
WE HAVE now been living with and where everyone is wearing
SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes masks, as currently required in
covid-19, for the best part of a the UK, the risk should be lower.
year. In that time, our knowledge However, the risk also depends
has expanded dramatically, but on the odds of encountering
there is still so much we don’t infectious people. If case numbers
know – and even when we think are rising, these odds rise too.
we know things, the science can How you travel to the museum
change fast. will also matter.
On 24 September, we held a live
Q&A event online for subscribers And how about outdoors?
about the pandemic and were The risk will vary enormously
inundated with questions. On the depending on circumstances,
following pages, our reporters such as how windy it is, how
tackle some of the most common. many people are around you,
how close they are and if any
are infectious. Time is also a
Transmission factor: you might have to stay
in close proximity to an infected
How does the coronavirus spread person for some time to breathe
NINA WESTERVELT/BLOOMBERG VIA GETTY IMAGES

through the air? Is aerosol in a high enough dose of the


transmission a possibility? virus to infect you.
The coronavirus definitely infects
people via the air. The rather How long does the virus remain
confusing debate among experts active on surfaces?
is whether it is only carried by After reviewing the scientific
large droplets that rapidly sink literature, Emanuel Goldman
to the ground or whether people at Rutgers University in New
can also be infected by smaller Jersey concluded that the risk
droplets that can remain airborne of infection from surfaces is
for hours, known as aerosols. tiny for most people. “The focus
It is very hard to establish should be on masks, social remain stable for 28 days at 20°C samples were tested in a lab in
exactly how people have been distancing and doing things on non-porous surfaces, such the dark – mean the results don’t
infected, but the overall evidence outdoors as much as possible,” as glass touchscreens, stainless reflect real-life situations.
does suggest that aerosol he says. “Inanimate surfaces are steel and paper banknotes.
transmission is happening. To a very minor player in all this.” The Australian team behind the Are masks an effective measure? Is
give one example, a study looking Don Schaffner, also at Rutgers, research agreed that the virus there a need to wear one outdoors?
at how a passenger on a flight says he has found only one spreads mainly through aerosols A growing number of studies
between London and Hanoi in case providing evidence of and droplets in the air, but suggest that face coverings reduce
Vietnam infected up to 15 others transmission via surfaces, or your chance of getting infected,
concluded: “The most likely fomites, in the peer-reviewed “The focus should be on make infections less severe if you
route of transmission during literature. It was for two masks, social distancing do get infected – by reducing the
the flight is aerosol or droplet individuals who sat in the and doing things outdoors amount of virus you are exposed
transmission.” same seat in Singapore. But as much as possible” to – and stop you infecting others
he says by all means mitigate if you have caught the virus. No
What about aerosols indoors? I’m the risk by using hand sanitiser concluded that surfaces may single study is conclusive, but
wondering if I brave a museum visit. and washing hands regularly. be an important route too because looked at as a whole, the evidence
The risk is thought to be greatest “I’m not telling people to not the virus “can remain infectious is convincing. Even when there
in crowded, poorly ventilated worry about surfaces,” he says. for significantly longer time is no requirement to wear face
spaces where people don’t wear “I’m saying worry first about periods than generally considered coverings outside, it is still a
masks and shout or sing, such other people.” possible”. However, real-world good idea in crowded places
as some pubs. In a spacious A paper published on 7 October differences in temperature, where you cannot avoid being
museum that isn’t crowded found that SARS-CoV-2 could humidity and sunlight – the virus close to others.

12 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Reporting a pandemic
A free, subscriber-only, on-demand recording
Available at newscientist.com/events

Visitors at the reopening of from people who have recovered


the Metropolitan Museum Treatments from the disease will work. And
of Art in New York in August several small, early studies have
With improvements in treatment, reported promising results. But
and so flu vaccines for them how has the fatality rate for we need to wait for the results of
contain added components called covid-19 changed? large trials because the complexity
adjuvants that boost the immune We have a good idea of how of biology often confounds
response. We don’t know whether many people have died in richer expectations. For example, it has
this will be necessary for the nations. What we don’t know is just been discovered that a tenth
coronavirus, but the Novavax how many have been infected, as of people with severe covid-19
vaccine already in phase III trials the number of reported cases isn’t produce antibodies to a key
contains an adjuvant, and several the full story. So there is no
other vaccines with adjuvants are
in earlier stage human trials.
definitive way to calculate the
infection fatality rate (which
estimates the proportion of deaths
28 days
The amount of time the virus might
If several strains of the new among infected people) or how it remain stable on touchscreens
coronavirus emerge, can is changing – estimates still vary
we expect any vaccine to widely. Figures from the UK’s antiviral molecule made by
be completely effective? Intensive Care National Audit their own bodies – a kind of
There are many reasons why & Research Centre suggest that autoimmune response. Plasma
vaccines might not be 100 per 83 per cent of people admitted donated by these individuals
cent effective, unfortunately. to intensive care units after could make the disease worse.
For instance, they might not 1 September are surviving
produce a strong enough immune compared with 60 per cent before
response. The differences between this date, but these numbers must Origins
coronavirus variants are small, be treated cautiously. Intensive
so the hope is that any one vaccine care units might have turned away Are we any wiser about the origins
will work against all of them. If more borderline cases during the of SARS-CoV-2?
this doesn’t prove to be the case, first peak due to a lack of resources, We still don’t know for sure where
however, it should be possible to for instance, making the apparent the virus came from, and we may
tweak vaccines so they protect death rate higher then. never know. But by far the most
against multiple strains, just likely source is a bat.
Vaccines like flu vaccines typically do. Is plasma therapy likely to That is based on the virus’s two
be effective? closest-known genetic relatives,
What is the progress on developing How much time would have been In theory, there is every reason which are coronaviruses isolated
a universal coronavirus vaccine? saved in the development of a to think that treating covid-19 from horseshoe bats in China. But
Never before in vaccine history has vaccine by doing challenge trials, patients using blood plasma taken neither virus is the direct recent
so much progress been made in versus the traditional approach? ancestor of the new coronavirus.
such a short time. Several vaccines With challenge trials, healthy Only the discovery of a much more
are already in phase III trials to see people are given the coronavirus closely related virus in a wild bat
if they actually work, and dozens to test a vaccine’s efficacy. These will confirm the bat origin story.
more potential vaccines are being might be able to give results in It is also possible that the source
developed. Vaccine manufacturers weeks instead of months or years – is an intermediate species that
are also being paid to prepare for at least for young people. No one caught the virus from a bat and
making billions of doses. Hopes is proposing challenge trials then passed it on to humans.
are high, but even if several involving older or vulnerable The number one suspects are
SILVIO AVILA/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES

vaccines prove effective, it will take people, though, so they wouldn’t pangolins, which are also known
years to roll them out worldwide. tell us how well any vaccine to carry coronaviruses that are
works for these key groups. genetically similar to SARS-CoV-2.
Will the first vaccines benefit Bats and pangolins were
the most vulnerable? A health worker in Brazil almost certainly on sale in the
Older people have a lower gives an injection as part of live animal market in Wuhan,
immune response to vaccines a coronavirus vaccine trial China, that has been identified >

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 13


News Coronavirus

as the pandemic’s ground zero. clear that exposure to the virus protect against infection, but calculate their own personal
So the virus could have crossed provokes a classic immune also makes the symptoms of risk of experiencing a severe or
the species barrier there, from response that protects people the disease worse. Vaccine potentially fatal case, says Tim
a bat or a pangolin into a human. against reinfection. However, we developers are well aware of Spector at King’s College London.
But it is also possible that the don’t know how long immunity this risk. Thankfully, it hasn’t There isn’t yet a “personal risk
market was merely the venue lasts. It may only be months. been spotted in any of the calculator” available, but Spector’s
of a superspreader event, not There are a handful of experimental vaccines so far. This
where the virus jumped species.
One scenario that cannot be
ruled out is that a progenitor virus
confirmed cases of reinfection,
but nowhere near as many as
would be expected if the immune
also suggests that reinfections
won’t typically be worse. 200m
This many people may have died in
acquired from bats was circulating response always fades rapidly. It It appears that the recent “second the Black Death from 1331-1353
in humans for months causing is possible that the people who waves” of the virus are in different
only mild symptoms, but then got reinfected had an unusually areas from those hit hardest team is working on ways to predict
mutated into SARS-CoV-2 and weak response the first time or initially. Does this suggest that risk based on early symptoms and
began spreading in the market. encountered a mutant virus that there is some degree of immunity data collected from the COVID
was biologically different enough in those places? Symptom Study app.
“If the immune response to evade their so-called immune Antibody surveys are probably At the moment, however,
fades rapidly, we would memory. The test results could not picking up the true extent of there is no way to predict who
expect to have seen more also have been false positives. immunity to the virus. These tests is at risk of “long covid”, where
cases of reinfection” At least one person who had look for circulating antibodies, often debilitating symptoms
covid-19 twice is reported to have which are known to fade quite can last for months.
Wilder scenarios are that become more severely ill, which rapidly after an infection or are
the virus accidentally escaped raises the spectre of something hardly produced at all. One survey,
from a laboratory or that it was called “disease enhancement”. for example, found that among Environment
deliberately engineered as a This is where a second bout of UK doctors who had tested
bioweapon – both of which an infectious disease is worse positive for the virus, 12 per cent and animals
are exceedingly unlikely. than the first. A few viruses, had no detectable antibodies. How is the pandemic related to
most notably dengue, are known The T-cell response, which is over-exploitation of the planet?
Why are bats the reservoirs for to do this, but it is too early to say the arm of the immune system The role our destruction of nature
so many viruses? whether SARS-CoV-2 does too. that kills infected cells, seems plays in infectious diseases
Bats are clearly trouble: they also There is a similar phenomenon to be much more robust. spilling over into humans is
gave us the original SARS virus, called “vaccine-enhanced disease”, Immunologists think that if something we have only begun to
plus Ebola, Nipah and more, and where a vaccine not only doesn’t we did population surveys of grasp fully in the past two decades,
are by far the most prolific source T-cells, we would see higher says Peter Daszak at the EcoHealth
of zoonotic viruses, ones Antibodies responding to an levels of immunity. This so-called Alliance. He says the drivers
originating in animals. Bats can infection by a SARS-CoV-2 cryptic immunity may be why the include: rising human population
tolerate extremely high virus virus (green) second wave is hitting different density; encroachment into and
loads, meaning that they are areas to different extents. But road building in forests; and
an efficient incubator of novel we can’t be sure. hitting thresholds of contact
viruses. Humans also come between wildlife, humans and
into contact with bats relatively Can I predict my personal risk livestock at which a disease
frequently, especially in parts of for covid-19? emerges, then spreads through
the world where they are a source All sorts of factors, including age, trade and travel networks.
of meat and traditional medicines. race and pre-existing health Global analyses have found
conditions, determine your risk that the risk of zoonotic diseases
of becoming severely ill. Because it emerging is highest in tropical
KTSDESIGN/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

Immunity still isn’t clear who will develop an areas where land use is changing,
asymptomatic case of covid-19, it such as forests being cleared for
At least one person who had is difficult to predict the risk to an cattle farms.
covid-19 a second time had a more individual who hasn’t yet caught Daszak also says that the wildlife
severe illness. Could we have issues the virus. But once symptoms trade in China readily mixes
vaccinating people who have had it? start, it should, in theory, be legally and illegally captured
Fortunately, it is now becoming possible for an individual to and traded animals, and involves

14 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


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Get a weekly round-up of health news in your inbox
newscientist.com/healthcheck

Is there really any hope that the


coronavirus will be defeated or will
we have to live with it forever?
Many infectious disease experts
believe we will have to learn to live
with it. Global social inequalities
and air travel imply that so long
as the virus exists in people
somewhere in the world, its easy
transmission means it will spread.
Even if a vaccine is developed,
it doesn’t mean that the world
is likely to “beat” or eliminate
the virus. “What will a vaccine

“Despite a decade of
DAVID CLIFF/NURPHOTO VIA GETTY IMAGES

warnings about a new


pandemic, covid-19
caught the world napping”

do? It certainly won’t stop it


becoming endemic,” says David
Heymann at the London School
of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.
“We don’t understand enough
domestic and international confirmed infections only show Face coverings have become part about immunity to understand
commerce – and that viruses mild symptoms. of daily life for people using public what that vaccine might be
exploit those pathways. Whether animals can pass the transport in the UK and if herd immunity can
However, it would be wrong virus back to humans is less clear. be established.”
to think that people in the A paper that hasn’t yet been peer- viruses, not slightly mutated
West aren’t also to blame. “The reviewed suggests that mink at seasonal ones. Do you think experience of this
encroachment of people into high Dutch farms have transmitted The H1N1 pandemic lasted pandemic will help better prepare
biodiversity regions is a global the virus to farm workers. If about a year-and-a-half, but that is us for future ones?
driver of emerging infectious confirmed, it would be the first no guide to how long the current Despite a decade of warnings from
diseases and it’s largely done to documented case of animal-to- pandemic or future ones will last. the WHO that a new pandemic
supply our overconsumption in human transmission. To date, The duration of a pandemic was a certainty, covid-19 caught
richer countries,” says Daszak. there are no recorded cases of depends on the biology of the the world napping. Experts say
domestic pets infecting humans. disease and the measures that are there will be another pandemic
Is it possible for pets to carry used to control it. There is also the sooner or later, but we are unlikely
and spread the coronavirus? ongoing pandemic of HIV that to be any better prepared for it
SARS-CoV-2 has been detected in Pandemics began in the 1980s. despite our current predicament. ❚
a number of animals, including Other relatively recent
tigers, lions and rabbits. Ferrets, How long do pandemics normally pandemics include the 1918 flu,
hamsters and cats have been last for? the flus of 1957-58 and 1968-69 PLEASE NOTE
shown to be able to pass the virus Covid-19 is the second pandemic and the cholera pandemic of We urge you to keep up to
to others of the same species, and of the 21st century. The H1N1 1961-75. However, history is date with and follow your
transmission between mink in the influenza outbreak of 2009-10 littered with them, including the local guidelines. If you sent
Netherlands has led to outbreaks sickened and killed far fewer worst of them all, the Black Death us a question that wasn’t
at more than 40 mink farms. people than covid-19 already has. of 1331 to 1353, which killed up to answered here, take a look
However, cases of pets catching You could argue that there is a 200 million people out of a global at our website, where you can
the coronavirus from their owners flu pandemic every year, yet the population of about 450 million. find a longer and more in-depth
remain rare, and research World Health Organization (WHO) By comparison, we could consider version of this article.
indicates that most pets with saves the term for novel flu ourselves lucky.

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 15


News Coronavirus
Infectious diseases

What to expect from viruses as


winter hits northern hemisphere
Michael Le Page

WINTER is coming to the north.


If what happened in the southern
hemisphere is any guide, anti-
coronavirus measures could result
in fewer people than usual getting
flus and colds. The respite may be
brief, though. These viruses could
come roaring back when measures
to limit the spread of covid-19 end.
If fewer people susceptible to
these viruses are infected this year,

MARCO BELLO/BLOOMBERG VIA GETTY IMAGES


there will be more susceptible
people around next year, says
Daniel Yeoh at Perth Children’s
Hospital in Australia.
If we fall ill at the moment,
we tend to worry that we have
covid-19, especially if we have a
fever or a cough. But such illness is
more likely to be due to cold or flu
viruses than to the coronavirus.
“Colds and flus still dominate respiratory viruses to spread. It is less clear what is happening Flu vaccinations are key
over the coronavirus overall,” “The social distancing works for with other respiratory viruses to limiting the burden on
says Claire Steves at King’s College other viruses as well,” says Steves. such as rhinovirus, adenovirus hospitals in a pandemic
London, a member of the team In some places, the effect has and parainfluenza virus as they
behind the COVID Symptom Study been dramatic. Normally the seldom cause serious illnesses so Australia imposed its lockdown
app. The app’s users in the UK, US number of people who go to there is no systemic surveillance just before winter in the southern
and Sweden report daily whether hospital with an illness diagnosed in most countries. However, the hemisphere, whereas most
they are well or have symptoms. as flu or respiratory syncytial US Centers for Disease Control and northern hemisphere countries
virus climbs sharply every winter. Prevention (CDC) monitors them. don’t have lockdowns in place
“The social distancing This winter, in Western Australia, “Positive detections of now. Australia also instituted
that limits the spread the number of reported cases non-influenza respiratory viruses strict travel restrictions that
of coronavirus works instead fell to zero most weeks, have been lower than we would remain in place, limiting the
for other viruses too” Yeoh’s team has reported. expect in August and September odds of flu being reintroduced
In fact, Australia, Chile and with the exception of rhinovirus/ from other countries, says Yeoh.
Between 8 and 21 August, for South Africa have reported just enterovirus,” says a CDC Indeed, in the UK, the
instance, just 0.4 per cent of UK 51 positive results for flu out of spokesperson. number of people reporting
app users who reported symptoms 80,000 tests done during the What matters is what happens symptoms of illness between
of illness tested positive for the southern hemisphere winter. In during the northern hemisphere’s 8 and 21 September is up by 74 per
coronavirus, says Steves. People the previous three winters, these winter, when the number of cold cent compared with the same
reporting a runny nose and countries reported 25,000 positive and flu infections usually peaks. period in August, says Steves.
swollen glands were unlikely to results out of about 180,000 tests. Flu cases add to the pressure on The percentage testing positive for
test positive, but 90 per cent of Fewer flu cases than normal healthcare systems, which is why covid-19 is up too, at 2.8 per cent.
those who did have a positive test were also reported in the northern it is more important than normal She says that viruses other than
had severe headaches and fatigue. hemisphere summer. “The that people get the flu vaccine this the coronavirus were probably
Another study of key workers numbers are low,” says John year. Fewer flu cases than usual largely responsible for this surge
in the UK found that only half McCauley at the World Health may occur where anti-coronavirus after schools reopened, but
of the people who thought their Organization. He says that measures are in place, but not within this there was a concerning
symptoms indicated covid-19 many resources usually dedicated as few as in Australia. “There are rise in covid-19 cases too. As
actually had the disease. to monitoring flu are now a couple of key differences in coronavirus restrictions lift, and
Measures being taken to try to monitoring coronavirus instead. Australia that may have combined with potentially more susceptible
stop the spread of the coronavirus “We could be underestimating to lead to the very low numbers people next year, we could see a
are also making it harder for other prevalence,” he says. seen here,” says Yeoh. spike in future colds and flus. ❚

16 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


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News
Space exploration

An asteroid’s watery past


The parent body of the asteroid Bennu probably had flowing water on its surface
Leah Crane

THE asteroid Bennu is a strange both water and organic molecules, There are also differences asteroid’s evolution after it was
little place, but data from NASA’s Bennu’s parent was unlikely to be across the surface of Bennu that chipped off its parent. “The way
OSIRIS-REx mission is starting teeming with life. are hard to explain. It is covered Bennu’s colour changes over time
to unravel its mysteries. The “You’re in the vacuum of space, in boulders, but the largest ones is quite a bit different than what
spacecraft, which has been there’s no atmosphere, you’re are mostly in its southern we have seen on other planetary
orbiting Bennu since December looking at a lot of irradiation, hemisphere. The boulders surfaces like the moon or other
2018, is gearing up to take a sample it’s cold – you wouldn’t want to themselves are strange too, with asteroids that we’ve visited,”
from the asteroid’s surface later sit on the surface,” says Kaplan. some being so porous that empty says Daniella DellaGiustina
this month. In preparation, “It’s not a favourable environment space appears to comprise up to at the University of Arizona.
it has gathered a smorgasbord per se, but it does have a lot of 55 per cent of them, more than any
of information, including hints the factors that make a place meteorite we have ever recovered.
that Bennu’s parent asteroid technically habitable.” There seem to be two Ageing an asteroid
may have had flowing water. One of the main goals of OSIRIS- populations of rocks: porous, Astronomers can date different
Bennu is a rubble pile, formed REx is to investigate the carbon on darker-coloured ones and denser, areas of Bennu by comparing
when something smashed into Bennu because Earth was probably lighter-coloured ones that often fresher regions with more
a larger asteroid billions of years built from rocks similar to it, and have carbonate veins. These weathered ones, revealing how
ago and the bits coalesced into differences aren’t obvious to the they change over time. Rocks
many smaller asteroids. By
studying Bennu, which is about
500 metres wide, we can learn
55%
Some boulders on Bennu are
human eye – the surface would
seem to be a fairly uniform dark-
grey to us – but they could be
on Bennu seem to become more
blue, whereas those on other
space rocks tend to become more
more about this parent asteroid, made of this much empty space critical in helping us figure out red. This may be because those
which was probably a few how Bennu formed. They may carbonate-filled rocks interact
hundred kilometres across. these may have brought the have come from two different with the solar wind and
When OSIRIS-REx reached ingredients for life here. “These areas in Bennu’s parent body, micrometeorites differently to
Bennu, it spotted something same types of organics may have with the denser rocks coming rocks without carbonates, says
strange: some of its boulders had been delivered to early Earth and from deeper underground. DellaGiustina.
bright veins up to 150 centimetres may have been the start of some That wouldn’t answer all On 20 October, OSIRIS-REx will
long and 14 centimetres thick. of the organic chemistry that led of Bennu’s mysteries, though, take a small sample from Bennu’s
These are too large to have formed to life as we know it,” says Kaplan. because some relate to the surface before heading back
on Bennu itself, says Hannah towards Earth. When the sample
Kaplan at NASA’s Goddard Space gets here in 2023, researchers
NASA/GODDARD/UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA

Flight Center in Maryland, so they will hopefully be able to answer


were probably portions of larger many of these questions. “All
cracks on Bennu’s parent that were the characterisation work we’ve
up to several kilometres long. done for Bennu basically puts
“They suggest that there was this return sample into context,”
fluid flowing on fairly large scales says Benjamin Rozitis at the Open
on Bennu’s parent asteroid,” says University in the UK. If we can
Kaplan. That is because the veins study the sample thoroughly and
are made of carbonates, a type of understand how it relates to the
compound that generally forms different rocks on Bennu, that
due to interactions between water makes it easier to compare with
and rocks (Science, doi.org/fctb). other asteroids and small bodies.
Over 98 per cent of Bennu’s “We can’t do a sample return
surface seems to be coated in from every interesting place in
carbonates and organic molecules, the solar system, but by studying
complex carbon-bearing Bennu globally and trying to
compounds seen as precursors to understand it as a small world,
life. Yet despite probably having we get a much better sense
of how Bennu relates to other
OSIRIS-REx will take objects in our solar system
a sample from asteroid that we might never be able to
Bennu later this month sample,” says DellaGiustina. ❚

20 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


News In brief
Psychology

Strangers get more help in


wealthier neighbourhoods
CITY and country folk are just as she just began picking up the cards.
helpful as each other. In fact, the In a third test, Zwirner started
chance of people assisting a crossing the road when a car was
stranger in the UK by posting an approaching to see if it would stop.
envelope seems to depend only on The pair found that people living
a neighbourhood’s relative wealth. in less urban neighbourhoods were
From 2014 to 2017, Nichola no more likely to help than those
Raihani and Elena Zwirner at in cities. However, people were
University College London carried much less likely to help if they
out tests in 37 areas in cities, towns were in deprived areas, as defined
and villages across the country. by income and employment.
One involved dropping a In relatively wealthy areas in both
stamped, addressed envelope on cities and towns, around three-
the ground to see if people picked it quarters of the letters were posted.
RICHARD BAKER/IN PICTURES VIA GETTY IMAGES

up and posted it. In a variant, a letter In poorer neighbourhoods in cities,


was put on a car windscreen with half were posted. In poorer parts of
a note asking the finder to post it. towns or villages, only a third were
In another test, Zwirner dropped posted (Proceedings of the Royal
some cards on the pavement when Society B, doi.org/ghd2gt).
she was 5 metres from another The findings go against studies
pedestrian to see if they would help suggesting that wealthier people
her pick them up. Sometimes she are less helpful, but these tend to
asked for assistance, other times be lab tests. Michael Le Page

Technology Botany

together effectively by varying on a S. bryoniifolius plant had


Squad of bots may the colours of the trails they laid Super vine grows its expanded and overlapped to
lend artists a hand down, while also considering own greenhouses form enclosures. Inside these
the colours laid down by were many developing fruits.
SWARMS of robots could help neighbouring robots (Frontiers A VOLUNTEER nature guide in He eventually contacted Shoko
artists paint pictures, rushing in Robotics and AI, DOI: 10.3389/ Japan has discovered that a type Sakai at Kyoto University, whose
across a canvas to lay down frobt.2020.580415). of vine creates mini-greenhouses team has now studied these vines
colours in the right places. Santos says the next step will to warm its developing fruits. on Mount Gassan in the Dewa
María Santos at the Georgia be to develop robots that can Schizopepon bryoniifolius Sanzan mountains in Yamagata
Institute of Technology and her handle real liquid paint. “This step (pictured) is an annual vine that prefecture. The researchers
team designed a system that involves not only developing the grows throughout east Asia, often monitored the temperatures
would allow an artist to select hardware necessary to manage on the edges of forests. It belongs in leaf enclosures and in places
regions of a canvas to be painted paint, but also studying the to the same family as cucumbers, where the leaves were removed.
in certain hues. These are then painting release mechanism pumpkins and squashes. In the They found the temperatures
created in real time by 12 robots needed to achieve appropriate autumn of 2008, guide Nobuyuki in the enclosures were up to 5°C
that cross the canvas leaving trails colour mixing.” Nagaoka noticed that some leaves higher at noon on sunny days.
of colour behind them. Vanessa Sanchez at Harvard They think the leaf structures
Currently, the robots don’t carry University says another challenge also protect developing fruits from
real paint. Instead, the researchers with using liquid paints will be frost damage, but they haven’t
tested their ability to work the drying time, as the robots shown this. Far fewer fruits grew
together using projectors that currently run on wheels, which well when the enclosures were
simulated coloured paint trails could result in them streaking removed. Plants at higher, colder
behind the robots. Each of the paint across the canvas before it sites also grew thicker enclosures
machines can produce three has dried. One way to avoid this (Proceedings of the Royal Society B,
primary colours – magenta, cyan might be to use different types of doi.org/fctm).
and yellow – which can also be robot, such as drones, she says. This isn’t the only plant that
combined to make other shades. “You wouldn’t have to worry makes its own greenhouses.
SHOKO SAKAI

Santos and her team found about tracking of the wheels.” A species of Himalayan rhubarb
that the robots were able to work Layal Liverpool does something similar. MLP

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 21


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Medical devices
Really brief
people will experience it at some up to a year (Science Translational
New technique may point in their lives. Treatments Medicine, doi.org/fctr).
alleviate tinnitus such as cognitive behavioural The researchers believe the
therapy and counselling are often device works by making the
A GADGET that stimulates the ears used to help, but there is no cure. auditory brain more sensitive to
and tongue may curb the severity Hubert Lim at Neuromod many inputs and acoustic stimuli,
of tinnitus, a hearing disorder Devices, which developed the so it becomes distracted and less
RIZA AZHARI/ALAMY

involving phantom noises. device, and his colleagues tested it sensitive or aware of tinnitus.
The approach uses headphones in a trial including 326 people with A second trial is ongoing, says
that play a sequence of tones and tinnitus. Over a 12-week period, Lim. It will be vital to separate the
white noise in the wearer’s ears, three groups of participants used device’s effects from those that
as well as a small mouthpiece that it twice a day for 30 minutes. might have been observed anyway.
Something smells simultaneously provides electrical The researchers found that this “There is a strong placebo effect
a little less fishy stimulation to the tongue. significantly reduced the severity when assessing interventions
Around 13 per cent of people of tinnitus symptoms for between for tinnitus,” says John Phillips at
If you don’t find the in the UK live with persistent 75 and 89 per cent of participants, Norfolk and Norwich University
smell of fish particularly tinnitus and about 30 per cent of with improvements persisting for Hospital in the UK. LL
off-putting, you may have
an olfactory gene mutation Palaeontology Sports science
that makes these odours
seem less disagreeable.
Researchers have identified Get your marathon
a gene, TAAR5, that affects time before you run it
the perception of odours
containing trimethylamine, PLANNING to do a marathon?
a compound found in rotten A new way of analysing data from a
and fermented fish (Current smartwatch could more accurately
Biology, doi.org/fctn). forecast how you will perform.
Currently, most smartwatches
Plastic waste to fuel estimate your VO2 max – the
hydrogen economy? maximum rate at which you use
oxygen during exercise – via heart
Chemists have used rate measurements. They use this
GREGORY FUNSTON

microwaves to get estimate to predict race times. But


hydrogen from plastic relying on this single parameter
waste. Researchers mixed can result in errors of up to 20 per
plastic with a catalyst of cent, says Thorsten Emig at the
iron oxide and aluminium French National Centre for
oxide. When blasted with Dinosaurs that lost a finger Scientific Research (CNRS). So he
microwaves, the catalyst and his colleagues have developed
created hot spots in the show evolution in action a more accurate mathematical
plastic and stripped out model to do the job.
hydrogen (Nature Catalysis, A TWO-FINGERED dinosaur may That means it may have used its It uses smartwatch data to
DOI: 10.1038/s41929- help researchers better understand hands for nest-building instead calculate two physiological
020-00518-5). how animals evolve to lose digits. of grabbing prey, says Funston. parameters: the speed a runner
Oviraptorids, a group of bird-like Over millions of generations, has at maximum oxygen uptake
The AI doctor will dinosaurs, usually had three fingers animals evolve away body parts and the rate they lose power
see you now on each hand. But a set of juvenile that become less useful – including during a race. The first is directly
skeletons have two-fingered hands, fingers and toes, says Funston. It is related to a person’s VO2 max; the
A robot that can perform suggesting an adaptation. akin to the loss of the tail in humans latter is linked to their endurance.
colonoscopies may make Gregory Funston at the University after they evolved to walk upright. The model was tested using
the procedure simpler and of Edinburgh, UK, and his team have The researchers acquired the smartwatch data from about
less unpleasant. The robot named the dinosaur, which was skeletons (pictured) after Mongolian 14,000 people, from recreational
uses a machine-learning probably ostrich-like, Oksoko customs officials confiscated them runners to elite athletes. It was
algorithm to move a flexible avarsan. Unlike its three-fingered from black market fossil traders. able to predict marathon times to
probe along the colon via relatives, the new species had While this was enough to confirm within 10 per cent of actual times,
the rectum (Nature Machine shorter forearms and only two the discovery of a new species, the on average, and to within less than
Intelligence, DOI: 10.1038/ functional, stout fingers with a illegal nature of the excavation has 5 per cent of finish times for elite
s42256-020-00231-9). limited range of motion (Royal prevented a full investigation of athletes (Nature Communications,
Society Open Science, doi.org/fcth). their origins. Christa Lesté-Lasserre doi.org/ghd3q8). LL

22 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Views
The columnist Letters Aperture Culture Culture columnist
Graham Lawton on On the great hunt Prize-winning photo New documentary on Sally Adee on a
finance and climate for life beyond our of orphaned macaque the negative impact science fiction
change p24 planet p26 for sale p28 of online media p30 morality tale p32

Comment

Hidden killers
Catastrophic events hog the climate limelight but there are more
subtle effects that demand attention too, says Hannah Cloke

S
OME climate crises are big, to save the lives of people in far-off
noisy and obvious: think lands, or far-off times, is a difficult
hurricanes, typhoons, floods sell. But show that the danger is
and wildfires. But there are other here and now, threatening us all
climate crises that tend to be in our homes, and governments
overlooked. These are quieter suddenly feel compelled to act
and more insidious, and we often on our behalf.
fail to properly recognise them. So much for the cost. What
Take the example of when the about the inconvenience?
UK’s Office for National Statistics One of the great barriers to
reported that, in the second week effective climate action is the
of August, deaths from covid-19 scale of the lifestyle changes that
had reached the lowest weekly are involved, including changing
levels for five months. Among diets, driving less and taking fewer
a flurry of coronavirus statistics, flights. The past six months have
the statisticians were keen to point shown that all those things are
out, presumably to avoid any possible when people are
panic, that the spike in deaths motivated enough to change.
that occurred that week – 9392 In the past, we could be forgiven
deaths in total, 447 more than for not knowing how our present
the previous week – was probably activities could affect the future
due to a heatwave rather than climate. We could also be forgiven
the coronavirus. for putting people in harm’s way,
Let’s be clear: an unusually hot purely because we didn’t know
week in the UK, which we know is that a hazard was approaching.
made much more likely by climate Now, our eyes are open.
change, probably killed a jumbo We can forecast both when a
jet full of people in just a few days. typhoon will hit with a few days’
The heatwave may have killed warning and the impacts of
three times as many people that rising. But faced with non-stop spend big to save lives. raised greenhouse gas levels
week than died with covid-19. Yet pandemic news, public concern In the UK, measures to in a few decades. We have the
there was very little outcry and about environmental issues is prevent the transmission of capability, the technology and
few calls for a public enquiry. falling, according to polling the coronavirus, and to support more than enough precedent to
After record-breaking heat in company YouGov. It found that people and businesses in the spend money to save people’s
the first half of August in the UK, environmental concern in the economic crash that has resulted, lives. We just need the leaders with
the second half of the month country peaked towards the will probably cost more than the boldness to see it through. ❚
brought torrential downpours. beginning of this year. £300 billion this year, according
In Scotland – where world leaders A person worried about to the government’s spending For more on climate change,
will meet next year to discuss inaction on climate change watchdog. That is nearly £5000 turn to page 34
actions to slow down climate might despair. But there is good for every person in the country,
MICHELLE D’URBANO

change – a deluge-induced news. When facing a foe that just in one year.
landslide derailed a train, can strike anyone – including Convincing taxpayers that their Hannah Cloke is at the
killing three people. the rich and powerful – we have governments ought to make big University of Reading, UK
The UK’s climate death toll is shown that we are willing to payments and rack up huge debts @hancloke

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 23


Views Columnist
No planet B

It’s the economy, stupid Finance will play a huge role in how we
tackle climate change. Reassessing your own investments could be
a good place to start, writes Graham Lawton

M
ANY of us at New as fossil fuel extraction, mining as usual, that will plunge the
Scientist have specialist and deforestation. What’s more, planet deeper into the red.
areas of weakness. an accounting system that greedily Happily, change is happening.
Mine is physics. In the grand counts the profits, but often writes Some of it is driven by outside
scheme of things, they are actually off external environmental costs, factors, such as the escalating
considered a strength: if I can incentivises destructive practices risks of investing in projects that
understand an article about, say, such as dumping greenhouse could be wiped out by extreme
quantum theory, then anyone gases into the atmosphere. weather. Some of it is driven by
can. But recently, it has dawned Since the 2015 Paris climate consumer sentiment, such as the
Graham Lawton is a staff on me that I have a more serious agreement, the financial sector reputational risk of investing in
writer at New Scientist and weakness in my understanding has invested $1.9 trillion in socially unacceptable sectors like
author of This Book Could Save of the world. One which, as I write fossil fuel projects. Short-term coal. This latter pressure point is
Your Life. You can follow him about environmental issues, incentives have created a world something that many of us can
@grahamlawton I ought to fill. The subject? Finance. economy in which, according to apply. About 85 per cent of adults
Ugh. I skim past those pages the World Economic Forum, half in the UK have a savings pot that
in the newspaper. As soon as of global GDP is dependent on is invested on their behalf for
somebody mentions bonds or the destruction of nature. retirement. Collectively, these pots
derivatives, my brain seizes up. It doesn’t have to be this way. total $3 trillion. Globally it is vastly
Frankly, I am an snob about it. I It would be unfair to portray all more. Few people know what their
think there are higher-minded finance as rapacious, short-termist money is invested in though.
and more important things to I dread to think about mine. I
think about than money. “For all I know, my vaguely remember ticking a box
But I have come to realise that on a form demanding that at least
Graham’s week pension may be adding
finance ignorance, or f-wittery if part of it be put into ethical funds.
What I’m reading you will, isn’t a useful state. If we to deforestation, fossil But I don’t know what “ethical”
I read and write all day, are going to transition the world fuel use, factory means in this context. For all I
so sometimes find books to a more sustainable future, farming or worse” know, my pension may be adding
hard going. I’m listening reform of the financial system is to deforestation, fossil fuel use,
to a great podcast series a non-negotiable starting point. and uncaring. If that were so, factory farming or worse.
called Uncivil, all about The fine details of bonds and we wouldn’t have seen such I intend to find out. Make
untold stories of the derivatives still elude me. But radical advances in clean energy My Money Matter helps small
American Civil War. thanks to a documentary called technology, and all of nature investors understand where our
Our Planet: Too Big To Fail made by would be destroyed by now. funds are and how to move them
What I’m watching the conservation group WWF and With the right incentives in or use them to put pressure on
Charles I: Killing a king a pressure group called Make My place, finance can be remade as companies to change. Influential
on the BBC. What a story! Money Matter, I now grasp the a force for good, channelling institutions such as the University
rudiments of the global financial investment into sustainable of Cambridge are divesting from
What I’m working on system and its connections to businesses and technologies that environmentally destructive
Articles about the future things I care about: climate change help to end, rather than accelerate, industries. It is time for
of the coronavirus. and destruction of nature. the destruction of nature. individuals to do the same.
Here’s the technical bit; The incentives need changing If it all sounds a bit too
concentrate! In essence, finance and the documentary makes a complicated, consider that
is the business of transferring convincing case that the penny environmentally conscious
money from people who own has finally dropped. But change financial behaviour can have a
capital to people who need it to has to happen now, in this window disproportionate impact, way
fund expensive projects, in return of opportunity created by the beyond that of other consumer
for a share of the spoils. All too pandemic. As we build back, choices. According to Make My
often, the first question that gets decisions made by financiers – Money Matter, shifting your
asked is, what’s my return? The who have $300 trillion at their investments can reduce your
second is, how quickly can I get it? disposal – will decide which carbon footprint up to 27 times
This column appears And so capital frequently flows projects get funded and hence as much as giving up flying and
monthly. Up next week: into projects that ruthlessly shape the economy for decades to going vegan. Money is power.
Annalee Newitz squeeze profit from nature, such come. If they default to business Wield it. ❚

24 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


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Views Your letters

The infections coincided need better political systems” since microbiome composition
Editor’s pick with specific conditions: the to deal with climate change, but is modified by dietary intake.
alignment of Venus between I would go further. To deal with It would seem that robust
On the great hunt for
the sun and Earth, a solar storm it, we will require unprecedented conclusions can only be drawn
life beyond our planet and a northerly airflow from the cooperation between people, after long-term studies in which
3 October, p 36 Arctic. In the absence of any other industry and governments. changes in the microbiome with
From Martin Jenkins, London, UK rational explanation, Barber’s The latter two groups will do time are also accounted for.
I should like to add some nuance to suggestion was that the solar wind nothing until they see which way
Dan Falk’s fascinating article on the may have stripped bacteria from the people are moving, and so we
I was always a fan of the
possibility of advanced civilisations the clouds of Venus, carrying them must stop looking to others and
beyond Earth. The assumption to Earth and depositing them in move ourselves if we want the polyculture argument
behind the search for extraterrestrial the Arctic to blow south to the UK. issue dealt with. When many of us 3 October, p 24
intelligence is that such intellect act it becomes a substantial force. From Oliver Arditi,
is likely to be used to develop From Andrew Smyth, Interrogating politicians about Stoke-by-Nayland, Suffolk, UK
technology, but this isn’t inevitable. Los Angeles, California, US their decisions and providing James Wong makes the oft-
The cultures of both classical If advanced ETs do exist in our them with reasoned argument repeated claim that monocultures
Greece and imperial China had galaxy, we have the technology and positive suggestions, give greater crop yields from a
technological capabilities, but to find them: 1000 radio receivers all coupled with relentless given plot of land. As I understand
preferred to apply intelligence of the same size as the Arecibo persistence, is as important as it, and as past research indicated,
to the arts. Also, in some cases, telescope may be able to detect any personal “green” behaviour monocultures enable the highest
technology may not be an available an Earth-like civilisation up to we might be adopting. yield of a single crop from a given
option. Isaac Asimov observed 13,000 light years away. The real plot, but polyculture can generate
that technology as we know it challenge for us – and perhaps a higher overall yield, spread
Just as you reported
started from fire – in which case, for ETs – may be to persuade our across a variety of crops, from the
intelligence that evolved in a marine leaders to fund such large projects. it, so it happened same piece of productive land.
environment may never develop it. 26 September, p 14 This was the primary basis
The implication is that, if there From Eric Kvaalen, From David Aldred, of the arguments that I originally
are intelligent civilisations out Les Essarts-le-Roi, France Elloughton, East Yorkshire, UK heard 30 years ago for preferring
there, they may not be interested In your leader (3 October), you After reading the rather worrying multi-crop systems of agricultural
in developing the means of contact, say that because there are so many story “US science coverage is production, plus the subsidiary
or may not be able to do so. Perhaps planets, “even if the odds of life biased against people with names environmental and food security
they are sitting on their planets arising on a particular world are not of British origin”, I found reasons that Wong mentions. I am
or under oceans thinking great tiny, there is a good chance it has myself doing exactly what the not an agronomist and I haven’t
thoughts and making beautiful art. happened many times”. Let’s article predicted: the only name stayed abreast of the latest
assume that there are 1012 planets I could remember was that of research, however, so I would be
From Conrad Jones, in our galaxy and 1012 galaxies in the Birmingham City University interested to know if it has now
Cynwyl Elfed, Carmarthenshire, UK the visible universe, making a total expert, Marcus Ryder. I had to been shown that polyculture is
Finding what is probably a sign of of 1024 planets. If the chance of life re-read the article in order to find less productive overall.
life in clouds on Venus (3 October, arising on any planet is tiny, say the author of the actual study: Hao
p 12) is eye-opening for anyone 10−27, the chance of another planet Peng at the University of Michigan.
with life in the whole visible
So nice to finally
seeking extraterrestrials, a hint
that we may be looking in the universe is just one in 1000. meet you all
One part of diet science
wrong places and that we I just picked 10−27 out of the From Andrew Clegg,
shouldn’t just be targeting planets blue. Itcould be 10−100. is a bit chicken and egg Martock, Somerset, UK
in the so-called Goldilocks zone. 12 September, p 34 I have just watched your online
From Prakash Virkar, event on New Scientist’s coverage
Only people power will
From Mike Curran, Bangalore, India of the pandemic. What a pleasure
Teignmouth, Devon, UK get this job done I read your article on precision to meet you all. More please. ❚
In 1963, Donald Barber, a fellow of 26 September, p 22 nutrition with great interest.
the Institute of Physics, the Royal From Roger Taylor, It suggests that dietary response ❚ The editor writes:
Astronomy Society and the Royal Meols, Wirral, UK is, in part, associated with For more virtual events, see
Photographic Society, submitted Annalee Newitz is right to microbiome composition. newscientist.com/science-events
a paper to a photographic journal conclude that “we are going to Yet surely this is a catch-22,
detailing a 25-year investigation
For the record
into unusual bacterial infections
of photographic plates at a UK Want to get in touch? ❚ A picture in our exposé on
observatory. The bacteria were Send letters to letters@newscientist.com; the plight of giant river fish was
tolerant of this silver/gelatine see terms at newscientist.com/letters mislabelled (3 October, p 41).
environment, normally deadly Letters sent to New Scientist, 25 Bedford Street, Both fish on page 43 were
to terrestrial bacteria. London WC2E 9ES will be delayed actually American paddlefish.

26 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Signal Boost

Welcome to our Signal Boost project – a weekly page for charitable


organisations to get their message out to a global audience, free of charge.
Today, a message from Ripple Africa

Are you concerned about climate with the United Nations Clean Development managed by local people that ensure that charcoal
change and biodiversity? Could you Mechanism enabling us to sell carbon credits. production and deforestation are reduced.
help Ripple Africa make a real and
lasting difference in one of the poorest TREE PLANTING We have helped community SUSTAINABLE FISHING Lake Malawi is the ninth
groups and farmers plant 15 million trees so far largest and most biodiverse lake in the world.
countries in the world?
and expect to plant a further two to three million We are empowering people living along 300km
Ripple Africa is a UK registered charity working each year. By planting fast-growing and of the shoreline to adopt sustainable fishing
with communities in Malawi to help them commercially valuable species, there is a practices and help stocks of critically endangered
manage their natural resources in a more financial incentive for the growers to care for fish species to recover. New bylaws ban the use
sustainable way. We believe that by inspiring them as they will provide a vital source of of mosquito nets for fishing - which catch baby
and empowering local people, we can help them income when the trees mature. fish before they can grow and breed - and
secure a sustainable future and help the planet protect key breeding areas.
at the same time. However, in these difficult PROTECTING INDIGENOUS FORESTS We are
economic times, we are hoping that we can also helping 200 communities protect their few We need your help to enable us to keep these
inspire you to support our projects in Malawi: remaining forests through bylaws owned and projects going and growing.

REDUCING CARBON EMISSIONS Want to help?


40,000 households are using fuel-efficient If you would like to make a donation or offset your carbon
cookstoves, each saving three tonnes of carbon footprint by buying carbon credits, please visit our website at
emissions a year. Our projects are registered rippleafrica.org
Views Aperture

28 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Macaque misery

Photographer Paul Hilton/


Wildlife Photographer of the Year

ORPHANED and alone, this young


pig-tailed macaque has a bleak
future ahead. It is one of many
captured primates on sale at
this open-air bird market in Bali,
Indonesia, where it will either
become someone’s pet or be
sold to a zoo or laboratory for
biomedical research.
Conservation photojournalist
Paul Hilton feigned interest in
purchasing the macaque in order
to gain access to the market’s back
room to take this shot of it chained
to its cage, amid a backdrop of
other young macaques in the
same situation. Titled Backroom
Business, the image won the
Wildlife Photojournalist Story
Award in this year’s Wildlife
Photographer of the Year
competition, developed and
produced by the Natural History
Museum in London.
Pig-tailed macaques live in large
social groups in the wild, but as
deforestation drives them out of
their habitat, more and more are
being shot as pests when they
raid crops for food. Those that are
caught are packed closely together
in their cages, encouraging the
spread of disease. Hilton’s work
raises awareness of the plight of
these monkeys and other wildlife
in international commerce, as well
as the critical role animal markets
play in enabling illegal trade in
endangered species.
The Wildlife Photographer of
the Year exhibition is on at the
Natural History Museum from
16 October to 6 June 2021. ❚

Gege Li

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 29


Views Culture

We are the product


Former big tech employees are rounding on the companies they helped
create and that now have us in their grip, finds Donna Lu

Film
The Social Dilemma
Jeff Orlowski
Netflix

THERE is a telling phrase that


has been around in some form
or another since the 1970s: “If
you’re not paying for the product,
then you are the product.” Applied
to internet companies, it means
that even though some services
appear free, they make money
by selling their users’ data.
It is an idea discussed at length
in new Netflix documentary

EXPSOURE LABS/NETFLIX
The Social Dilemma. The film
examines the ways big tech
manipulates human attention
for profit. Very little will be eye-
opening to anyone with even
a passing interest in tech, but
the documentary makes for director of monetisation at Rachel Wenitsky recently A new documentary
interesting viewing nonetheless Facebook for five years and was lampooned this in a sketch that explores the negative
because of who it features. directly responsible for developing went viral. “I thought we were impact of online media
The Social Dilemma interviews its advertising model. This is the doing a good thing,” she deadpans
tech insiders – former execs and same model that has driven the in character. “After we altered the and climate change. On the
employees of Google, Facebook, decline of traditional media course of US politics and I made other hand, tech companies have
Twitter, Instagram and so on – companies and been used for enough money to retire at 27, I deliberately used insights from
including the inventors of spreading misinformation and realised I was wrong.” behavioural psychology to make
Facebook’s “Like” button, undermining democracies, all The tech interviews are their platforms as hard to put
YouTube’s recommendation while Facebook made billions. interspersed with fictional down as possible.
algorithm and the now- Many of the participants recall scenes of a family: one daughter Though human minds are
ubiquitous infinite scroll feature. is a Luddite, while her two siblings perhaps not entirely powerless
These people, mostly male, “It is plausible that are unable to get through a few in the face of shadowy algorithms
young and white, express many tech moguls had minutes of dinner without conspiring to exploit us for
reservations about the platforms checking their phones. money, as The Social Dilemma
that they helped turn into “the
good intentions, but If one were to be generous, suggests, the film does a good
richest companies in the history were blinkered by the some of the problems faced job of comprehensively covering
of humanity”, as academic allure of rapid growth” by the tech sector today could big tech’s troubling aspects.
Shoshana Zuboff says in the film. be explained by the law of While we can individually
The result is both compelling a bright-eyed enthusiasm, unintended consequences. take steps to use technology
and hard to swallow. There is a verging on naivety, that they felt It is plausible that many tech more consciously, this
bitter irony in hearing from the in their years working for big tech. moguls had good intentions, documentary asks us to look at
people who have profited from the “When I was there, I always felt but were too blinkered by the the wider societal implications
very companies they now claim like, fundamentally, it was a force allure of rapid growth to foresee of social media too. Platforms
are eroding the fabric of society. for good,” says a former Twitter that their networks and that were created to connect
Curiously absent is recognition executive. “I don’t know if I feel algorithms would be used to us have mutated into ones that
of complicity, let alone regret. that way anymore.” radicalise people and spread can now divide us. Regulation,
One of the interviewees, Tim These about-turns aren’t wholly unscientific propaganda that the film argues, has never been
Kendall, for example, was the convincing. The comedy writer hinders efforts to tackle covid-19 more pressing. ❚

30 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Don’t miss

Build your own network


When nobody would build a phone network for people in a rural
Mexican village, they decided to go it alone, finds Simon Ings
still tries to run its affairs – indeed, station could communicate with Read
the entire Oaxaca region staged each other and connect globally The Wonder Book
Book an uprising against centralised over the internet. of Geometry by David
Connected: How a Mexican authority in 2006. Yet the network never worked Acheson takes us on an
Mexican village built its Some traditional Mexican very well. Whenever the internet illustrated tour through
own cell phone network buildings are built partially of went down, the whole place lost the history of the field,
Roberto J. González mud. It is much easier and cheaper its mobile coverage. Recently, from ancient Greece
University of California Press to use – not to mention a more the phone company Movistar has to the present day, and
repairable and more ecologically moved in with an aggressive plan uncovers some of the
IN 2013, the world’s news media sensitive material – than the to provide the region with regular prettiest surprises in
fell in love with Talea de Castro, imported alternatives. Despite (if costly) coverage. The idea of mathematics on the way.
a Mexican village (population this, almost every new building in an autonomous network in Talea
around 2400) in a remote corner Talea de Castro is made of concrete. de Castro lives on, however, in a
of northern Oaxaca. América Móvil, The village backed another cooperative organisation of
the telecommunications giant piece of imported tech in 2013: community cell phone networks
that ostensibly served their area, a DIY phone network, assembled that represents nearly 70 villages
had refused to provide them by US-born rural development across several regions in Oaxaca.
with a mobile phone service, specialist Peter Bloom and Erick Connected is an account of how
so the Taleans built their own. Huerta, a Mexican telecoms lawyer. a rural community takes control
Imagine it: an embattled, Both considered access to mobile over the forces that threaten its
predominantly indigenous phone networks and the internet existence. The people of Talea de Watch
community besting and to be a human right. Also involved Castro are dispersing ever more Max Winslow and the
embarrassing Carlos Slim, were “Kino”, a hacker who helped quickly across continents and House of Secrets finds
América Móvil’s owner and the indigenous communities evade platforms in search of a better life. a lacrosse player, a
richest person in the world at the state controls, and Minerva Cuevas, The “virtual Talea” they create social media influencer,
time. The full story of that short- an artist best known for hacking on Facebook and other sites a gamer, a bully and
lived, home-grown network is supermarket barcodes. to remember their origins are a computer hacker
more complicated, says Roberto Talea de Castro’s network ran touching, but the fact remains: competing to win an
J. González in his fascinating off an open-source mobile phone 50 years of development have eccentric billionaire’s
account of rural innovation. network program called OpenBTS. done more to unravel a local culture mansion. Alas, the
Talea de Castro was never Mobiles within range of a base than 500 years of conquest. ❚ building’s resident
a backwater. A community that AI has other ideas.
survived Spanish conquest and has
resisted 500 years of interference
by centralised government may
become many things, but
“backward” isn’t one of them.
Globalisation is a homogenising
whirlwind of technology, finance
and bureaucracy that brings with
it new roads, hospitals, schools,
entertainment, jobs and medicine. Read
SKIPSTONE PICTURES; TRUSTEES OF THE BRITISH MUSEUM

Yet for every outside opportunity Arctic: Culture and


seized, indigenous skills are climate opens at
watered down or forgotten. Talea London’s British
CARLOS SALINAS/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES

de Castro’s farmers can now export Museum on 22 October.


coffee and other cash crops, but The wealth of objects
many fields lie abandoned as its and artworks on display
youth migrate to the US. The village in this beautiful exhibition
guide reflect the region’s
Talea de Castro’s DIY 30,000-year history
mobile network had global of habitation.
reach – when it worked

17 October 2020| New Scientist | 31


Views Culture
The science fiction column

A world of redemption The unfolding story of what happens to a young man


whose tongue has been cut out during a brutal civil war provides an unmissable
but hard to read lesson about the morality of forgiveness, says Sally Adee

Body parts are key to a


tale of inhumanity and
forgiveness

claimed sci-fi turns you into a


credulous, uncritical reader who
isn’t able to fully inhabit the mind
of the characters. A more recent
study takes issue with this,
Sally Adee is a technology arguing that what happens is
and science writer based more complicated: sci-fi can put
in London. Follow her on you at a slight remove that may
Twitter @sally_adee actually improve your ability to
engage with difficult material.
I thought of these studies often
VICTOR MOUSSA/ALAMY

as Farren’s beautiful, spare prose


dragged me on. I did cry, but the
tense plot kept the characters
distant enough that I didn’t drown
in their darkest moments.
It does leave an imprint, though.
THE main problem with this book have been spirited to the place In the original, biblical Book of
is you aren’t going to want to read to become incubators for organs. Malachi, Malachi isn’t a real
Book it. But it’s good and you should. Here, some life-saving good is person but a “messenger”. Farren’s
The Book of Malachi Malachi Dakwaa, the forcibly extracted from existences mute messenger tells us a lot
T. C. Farren eponymous character in that only made the world a worse about our world. The book may
Titan T. C. Farren’s novel, is a young place. Fitting penance, the boss be near-future sci-fi, but it doesn’t
man whose tongue was cut out argues, and as overseers go, seem implausible when prisoners
in a brutal civil war. In the years Malachi is ideal. To receive his in China are reportedly killed for
Sally recommends... since, he has eked out a half-life tongue, he needs to make sure he their organs and inmates in the
as a quality control manager at never makes the mistake of seeing US are used as firefighters.
Book a chicken processing plant, Withdrawing empathy by
The Ministry ensuring the uniform compliance “Sci-fi can put you at a categorising people into cases
for the Future of shrink-wrapped body parts.
slight remove that may outside our moral responsibility
Kim Stanley Robinson One day, he gets an offer for a job makes it easy to let them suffer.
A blueprint for the future he didn’t apply for, with a payment
actually improve your How readily we turn each other
that is as obsessively he could never have hoped for. Do ability to engage with and the natural world into things
researched as his Mars six months at a secret facility run difficult material” to be consumed.
trilogy. Instead of colonising by a pharmaceutical multinational This book shows how a small
Mars, The Ministry for the that does research that isn’t the people as anything other than tear in the label you give a person
Future is about recalibrating supposed to exist and he walks inhuman lest he try to save them can reveal shared humanity. Once
humanity to live properly away with a new, perfectly grafted from their grisly fate. you see it, the tear can only get
on and with Earth rather tongue. The NDA is particularly The book is thrilling, high- bigger and let in the possibility
than terraforming it into tough: if he ever discusses what stakes world-building, but it took of unexpected redemption and
a climate hell. he saw in the facility, the company me a couple of months to finally maybe a whole new world.
can repossess his payment. commit to reading it. This is no This grace and hope elevate
At the facility, he finds a body- grand escape from reality, but a The Book of Malachi from the
horror experiment, but one a strict searing overexposure to the worst foundations of its sci-fi action-
utilitarian might find morally things that can happen to people thriller narrative. The questions
uncomplicated: the people who may or may not deserve them. Farren asks about who controls
deemed the worst in the world This isn’t why we read science our ideas of forgiveness, who
(like “the monsters” his boss labels fiction, or at least, not to judge by deserves it and why could stay
those who took Malachi’s tongue) a recent dust-up when researchers with you for a long time. ❚

32 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Features Cover story

Climate’s
make or
break year
Throughout 2020, climate change has played
second fiddle to the coronavirus crisis – but
decisions we are taking now will seal the fate
of our warming planet, says Adam Vaughan

T
HE orange skies looked more like a with climate mitigation would be something
smoking hellscape from the film Blade very different.”
Runner 2049, but this was California Coronavirus is far from over. But it is time
2020. The images of the huge wildfires to think what we want the world to look like
there, and in Australia earlier in the year, 10, 20 and 30 years down the line. What has
are perhaps as emblematic of 2020 as those been happening with the climate crisis while
of queues of people wearing face masks. the world’s attention has been diverted?
Climate change hasn’t stopped because How has the pandemic changed the game,
of a global pandemic. Yet our turbocharged and what can and must we do now to avoid
heating of Earth has become an almost catastrophic warming? Read on to find out.
forgotten crisis. “Climate change has been
put on the back burner,” says climate scientist
Corinne Le Quéré at the University of East flatlining from 2014 to 2016, emissions have
Anglia, UK, who advises the UK and French 2019: grown again, reaching 43.1 billion tonnes
governments. in 2019. The world has now already warmed
In the meantime, the world has seen a THE CLIMATE about 1°C since the pre-industrial age.
welter of uncomfortable records or near- PRE-COVID-19 This is the backdrop that spurred nearly
records this year on measures related to 200 governments to agree to “pursue efforts”
climate change, from global temperatures to hold warming to 1.5°C, with a backstop
to Arctic sea ice loss, with ever-clearer First, a recap. Humanity’s reliance on fossil limit of 2°C, as part of the 2015 Paris climate
consequences for global health, wealth fuels has driven atmospheric carbon dioxide agreement. Emissions-curbing plans under
and happiness. levels from about 280 parts per million the Paris agreement leave Earth on track
“It’s understood the covid crisis is a before the industrial revolution to an average for warming of 3°C. If we are to hit a 1.5°C path,
short-term public health crisis and an of 409.8 ppm last year, with that figure now our remaining “carbon budget” is now highly
economic crisis for a few years,” says rising by more than 2 ppm year on year. constrained: roughly speaking, the world
Petteri Taalas at the World Meteorological The culprit is mainly CO2 we emit by fossil needs to halve emissions by 2030 and
Organization. “But it’s very well understood fuel burning and land use change, such as reduce them to net zero by around 2050.
that the magnitude of crisis we face if we fail converting forest to farmland. Despite briefly That’s where we were.

34 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


RAY CHAVEZ/MEDIANEWS GROUP/THE MERCURY NEWS VIA GETTY IMAGES
Wildfires light the sky over
the San Francisco-Oakland
Bay Bridge on 9 September

Atmospheric carbon dioxide abundance (ppm) forest unprecedented since records began.
420 2020: Siberia has also been exceptionally
warm. It was 10°C above average in May,
400
A YEAR OF NEW with one town north of the Arctic Circle,

380
CLIMATE EXTREMES Verkhoyansk, baking in 38°C heat on a
record June day. Most striking wasn’t the
temperature highs, however, but how
360 The past year has been a reminder that, long the heat lasted. “It’s extreme, but
however much coronavirus has distracted it’s also very persistent, persisting since
340 us, time is running out for climate change January,” says Samantha Burgess at the
action. California’s sepia skies are just the EU-sponsored Copernicus Climate Change
320
most recent physical signal of this. Australia’s Service (C3S). Arctic fires released a record
record bush fire season, from June 2019 to amount of CO2, breaking last year’s record.
300
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
March 2020, wreathed cities in the planet’s Arctic sea ice extent hit an all-time low
Year worst air pollution, killed an estimated 3 for July, and cover for the summer ranked
SOURCE: NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION billion land vertebrates and burned an area of second lowest ever, after 2012. >

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 35


Europe experienced some excess deaths
linked to early August heatwaves, but this All but one of the 10 hottest
was unremarkable compared with last year, years on record have been
when the continent baked in extreme in the 21st century, most in
temperatures. The US is another story. the past decade
Adam Smith at the US National Oceanic (Excess temperature over the 1901-2000 average,
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
rolling average September-August)
says the country has seen extraordinary
extreme weather and events. “Unfortunately, 2015-2016 1.06°C
we are starting to get used to this,” he says.
California wildfires, many of which were 2019-2020 1.01°C
unusually triggered by lightning in August, 2018-2019 0.91°C
have burned almost as much land in the
2016-2117 0.91°C
state in one year as across the whole of the
1990s. This year has seen five of California’s 2014-2015 0.84°C

REUTERS/MOHAMMAD PONIR HOSSAIN


six largest wildfires on record. In Oregon, 2017-2018 0.82°C
hundreds of thousands of people were told
to evacuate, while blazes took hold in areas 2009-2010 0.75°C
usually too wet to burn. 2013-2014 0.73°C
The climate change link isn’t complex.
Warmer temperatures mean drier, easy-
1997-1998 0.69°C
burning trees and vegetation. California’s 2006-2007 0.67°C
SOURCE: NOAA
fires have their roots in the historic 2011-2017
drought there. The state has been hit by
major wildfires for four years in a row since, We’ve seen that with wildfires, damages, 2020 may bring the biggest financial losses
although 2019’s were less severe. and now with temperature extremes and yet attributable to extreme events, partly
consecutive days of extremes,” says Smith. because more people in the US now live near
Meanwhile, the US hurricane season may forests and coastlines, but also undeniably
Here and now break the record for the number of named because of climate change, he says.
The US also smashed temperature tropical cyclones in a year, currently 28 in Extreme flooding has hit many parts of
records this year. Death Valley in California 2005. That may yet just be cyclical variation, the world, too, from China and Bangladesh
recorded an air temperature of 54.4°C, rather than anything to do with global to West Africa. “It’s a warning call that climate
the hottest such temperature ever recorded warming, but hurricane intensity is thought change impacts are here now. We can say
in the world, if verified. Phoenix in Arizona to grow in a warming world. Hurricanes with confidence the world is warmer than
saw 53 days with highs of 43.3°C (110°F) Laura and Sally brought destructive rain, it would otherwise have been without
or more. The previous record was 33 days wind and storm surges to the US, while in the anthropogenic emissions. And because
in 2011. Such a leap shows that, with US Midwest region a derecho storm – a large it’s warmer, it makes these events more
the climate, change isn’t always linear. system of fast-moving thunderstorms that likely,” says Burgess. Attribution studies have
“That’s an example of this step function: can whip up very strong winds – caused already made the links explicit for Siberia’s
an exponential jump, not a little creep. billions of dollars of crop damage. Smith says heat and Australia’s bush fires.
Globally, this year is likely to be the second
warmest on record, says Taalas. According to
Meeting the Paris agreement goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C means taking action NOAA figures, the 12 months to the end of
to move from our current trajectory now August 2020 were 1.01°C above the 1901-2000
baseline figure, second only to a 1.06°C excess
2.00 Current warming rate
recorded ending in August 2016 (see table,
1.75 above). Figures from the C3S indicate this past
September was the hottest globally on record.
1.50
Temperature change (°C)

Who cares about second? Well, 2016’s


1.25 record was boosted by the natural warming
of the El Niño climate phenomenon; 2020
1.00 has been incredibly warm without it. “The
Possible future scenarios to
0.75
Observed lead us to 1.5°C biggest change we see from climate change
warming is on temperature, and there climate is an
0.50 absolute game changer,” says Friederike
SOURCE: IPCC

Otto at the University of Oxford. “Even at


0.25
1°C warming, climate change is bringing
0 us to the edge, or even over the edge, of what
1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 we are able to cope with.”

36 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


WILL COVID-19
HAVE ANY LASTING
CLIMATE IMPACT?
The dip in emissions due to the coronavirus
has at least bought time for countries with
legally binding climate targets such as the
UK, which since 2008 has had five-year
“carbon budgets”. “What covid will deliver
generally is a bit of extra breathing space in
the carbon budget,” says Chris Stark at the
Committee on Climate Change, which
Residents walk advises the UK government. “I hope they use
flooded streets it wisely.” The pandemic slightly delayed the
in Munshiganj committee’s advice on the UK’s next budget
District near to be set, for 2033-2037, which will now
Dhaka, consider covid-19’s impacts. Stark says the
Bangladesh, report, now due out on 6 December, will
on 25 July probably forecast that shipping and aviation
emissions won’t return to pre-pandemic
levels for many years.
running tap. If the tap keeps running, Others are also looking at the pandemic’s
HOW HAS THE the bath water continues to rise. longer-term impacts. Oil giant BP’s response
In May, expecting a slower-running tap is to cut oil production 40 per cent by 2030. Its
PANDEMIC AFFECTED because of coronavirus, Betts made revised rival Shell sees three ways things could play
CARBON EMISSIONS? predictions for fractionally lower
atmospheric CO2 levels at the Mauna Loa
out: a world in which wealth is prioritised and
emissions keep growing; one where public
monitoring station in Hawaii. Observations health comes first and emissions start falling
Initially, the response to the coronavirus for May, June and July tracked close to his towards the late 2020s; and one where
pandemic looked as if it would also be a downgraded forecasts, whereas August
game changer for greenhouse gas emissions. was closer to his pre-pandemic forecast.
Government-imposed restrictions on Betts is cautious about reading too much “The pandemic’s
movement and activity worldwide saw into one month’s data and measurements
global emissions drop 17 per cent in April. at just one site. Regardless, atmospheric CO2
emissions
Most of the decline was from less road and
air travel, and from industry shutting down,
levels in May hit a record monthly high of
417.1 ppm, a level unseen for several million
reduction is what
especially in China. years. The figure for May 2019 was 414.7 ppm. we need this
The latest estimates are for an annual “We were correct in saying [lockdown]
emissions decline of between 4 and 7 per wouldn’t make much difference to year, and every
cent. Emissions had crept back closer to
normal by June, but nonetheless any fall in
atmospheric CO2,” says Betts. To change
things, we need to turn the tap off fully
year until 2030”
that range would be a dramatic break from and start actively draining the bath too.
decades of rising emissions – the biggest Piers Forster at the University of Leeds in economies falter amid renewed coronavirus
annual decline since the second world war. the UK has estimated that this year’s covid-19 outbreaks, social and geopolitical tensions
“It’s really huge,” says Le Quéré. restrictions will have a global cooling effect grow, and while emissions stall in this
of just 0.01°C by 2030, if we return to business scenario, so does climate action.
as usual. Staying at home and grounding Leaving this bleak picture aside, David
But then the bad news planes only goes so far without simultaneous Hone at Shell says the emissions path the
As Le Quéré notes, however, the higher systemic change to industry, transport and world takes now will depend on how long
figure is roughly, but not quite, the annual power generation. “To make a real difference public health concerns necessitate continued
decrease of 7.6 per cent needed to check to CO2 we can’t just make a short-term cut, large-scale social shifts, such as lots of people
warming at 1.5°C – this year, and every year, we have to get to net zero [emissions],” he working remotely. A year may not be enough
until 2030. That is because climate change says. “We aren’t going to make the necessary to cement lasting change on that front, but
is a cumulative affair. Richard Betts at the changes without much longer infrastructure things could be different after three or four
UK Met Office likens atmospheric CO2 to the change and the whole structural changes to years of this, he says: “People might even do
water in a bath and our CO2 emissions to a the way economies work.” renovation for a home office, then they’d >

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 37


say I’m not leaving because I’ve spent money. Global daily fossil CO2 emissions
The whole system starts to change.” City WHAT’S HAPPENING
authorities could be forced to address empty
urban centres, potentially rezoning them as 100 WITH GLOBAL

Million tonnes of CO2 per day


residential districts. Pre-pandemic, Hone
thought there was some “wishful thinking” 80
CLIMATE ACTION?
about meeting the Paris agreement goals.
Today, he sees the health crisis as a possible 60 This year should have been crowned by
trigger for the necessary structural change. COP26, a landmark UN climate summit
“We are in a rupture phase,” says Le Quéré. 40 hosted by the UK in Glasgow in November.
She thinks there are two reasons global At it, the world was to thrash out concrete
emissions could change radically. One is 20 plans to limit global warming to 1.5°C. It was
car use, which in the EU accounts for 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 postponed by a year. While no one argues
44 per cent of all transport-related emissions. Year with delaying a 30,000-person conference
SOURCE: LE QUÉRÉ ET AL. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020);
Curbs on driving and measures to encourage GLOBAL CARBON PROJECT; FIGURE: @JONES_MATTW amid a pandemic, it does mean preparatory
home working, cycling and walking could meetings were deferred. A diplomatic drive
immediately cut car emissions. Equally, of the sort that helped the 2015 Paris summit
health concerns may see people opt for make progress has been hampered.
cars over public transport; there is already Change in global daily fossil CO2 emissions This year is also the deadline for countries
evidence of this happening in London. Residential Public Aviation to submit carbon-cutting plans known as
The second, bigger reason is governments’ 0 nationally determined contributions, or
post-virus financial stimulus. How much is NDCs, to narrow the gap between current
for green infrastructure – electrification of -5 pledges and what needs to happen to meet
cars rather than road-building projects, say – the Paris climate goals. Only 12 of almost 200
will dictate how much we cook the planet. nations have done this, and none is a major
%

The past offers some lessons. The 2008- -10 Power economy. In September, however, China
2009 financial crash was followed by a Surface surprised the world by pledging to achieve
stimulus that drove emissions up almost -15
Industry Transport “carbon neutrality” by 2060 and promising
6 per cent in 2010, entirely offsetting the brief a new NDC. The European Union is signalling
emissions downturn the crisis had brought it will have an enhanced NDC before the
-20
about. Fortunately, history looks unlikely to year’s end, and the UK announced a summit
Feb Mar Apr May Feb
repeat itself. “The climate stuff really was 2020 for 12 December, the five-year anniversary
buried in 2008, we didn’t really have a green SOURCE: LE QUÉRÉ ET AL. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020);
GLOBAL CARBON PROJECT; FIGURE: @JONES_MATTW
of the Paris deal being agreed, to encourage
stimulus package,” says Stark. “I do think leaders to announce new NDCs then.
this time it’s different. The changing climate
is much more in the forefront of people’s
minds around the world.” Green tech has Silver lining
also matured rapidly. In the UK, renewable The delay to COP26 could actually be a good
sources generated 6.7 per cent of electricity thing. Stark says it will allow the UK to put
in 2009; in 2019, it was 36.9 per cent. A floating solar in place domestic policies needed to hit its
“One thing that is an improvement on panel array at target of net-zero emissions by 2050, such as
2008 is there is less of a discussion of whether a copper mine bringing forward a ban on sales of new petrol
investment in green stuff is needed, less outside Santiago, and diesel cars. Momentum is also growing
debate over whether climate change is a Chile, in 2019 from businesses, city mayors and other sub-
thing,” says Victoria Cuming at Bloomberg national leaders for stronger emissions cuts,
New Energy Finance. She and her colleagues says Nigel Topping, the UK government’s
have noted $159 billion of government High Level Climate Action Champion.
investment announcements mentioning Meanwhile, Greta Thunberg and other
emissions-cutting technology since the start campaigners are maintaining the pressure.
of the pandemic, with electrification of Work on basic climate science is one thing
transport scooping up about a quarter of that. coronavirus hasn’t stopped. Three major
Yet three countries – France, Germany new climate science reports are expected
and South Korea – account for three-quarters from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel
of this money, and the $159 billion is only on Climate Change (IPCC) next year: one
REUTERS/RODRIGO GARRIDO

about 1 per cent of all the stimulus. Increasing on the physical science of climate change,
that percentage would offer significant one on its impacts and how we adapt, and
rewards. Forster found a strong green one on how we stem warming. A fourth
recovery now would avoid 0.3°C of warming report, a synthesis of the others, is due out
by 2050 – a huge step in the right direction. in 2022. Together they will comprise the sixth

38 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


REUTERS/KACPER PEMPEL

Climate protesters
in Warsaw,
Poland, on
25 September

assessment report (AR6), a new gold standard fantasy’ or a very ambitious climate
in our understanding of climate change.
The headline news in these reports may
WHAT DO presidency, and that will change the
geopolitics massively,” says Topping.
be new estimates of climate sensitivity, WE NEED TO Regardless of the result, the wider world
a measure of how much Earth warms in
response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 –
HAPPEN NEXT? has the technology and the tools to halve
emissions by 2030 and reach net zero by
in other words, just how bad this is likely to 2050. The UK’s statutory climate advisers
get. The new, more sophisticated computer In one sense, the events of 2020 have said last year that the country’s 2050 goal is
models being used for AR6 put the likely changed nothing about climate change; feasible. It will cost about 1 to 2 per cent of
range of warming at between 1.8 and 5.6°C, in another, they have changed everything. GDP with existing technology and without
up from 1.5 to 4.5°C previously. “The general “From a policy perspective, 2020 was not the radical behavioural changes. Governments
perception is [the models] are running hot. year we expected,” says Burgess. And while need the political will, and businesses, which
I think most people are expecting it to be no the response to covid-19 has shown that deep will pay for a lot of it, will be vital. Economic
more optimistic than [the last generation of emissions cuts can be made quickly, it also shifts well under way, such as the falling
models], and possibly worse,” says Michael highlights the challenge of making change costs of renewable energy and batteries,
Meredith at the British Antarctic Survey. last and the limits of individual action. will make some decisions easy. Citizens,
The reports will also look in more detail Significantly, covid-19 has been a reminder meanwhile, who can only do so much
at climate change on a regional level, and that we will have to deal with shorter-term by insulating their homes or buying an
there will be a greater focus on low- crises as we race to tackle the big one that will electric car, need to pressure their political
likelihood, high-impact changes such as play out over centuries, and that these may representatives, in writing, in elections
extra sea level rise from ice mass loss in be intertwined. The toxic smoke from the and where necessary on the streets.
Antarctica and Greenland. There will be US West Coast fires, for example, exacerbated When covid-19 has become just a
a new chapter dedicated to attributing the pneumonia that covid-19 can cause, while Wikipedia page, climate change will still
extreme weather events to climate change coronavirus social distancing complicated be shaping all our lives, says Meredith.
and detecting humanity’s fingerprint on housing thousands of people fleeing the “Whilst our attention is on covid, and
Earth systems. In addition, the global blazes in sports halls and schools. rightly so, the fact we are losing attention
warming potential of methane, an One big factor in how things play out is the on climate change really does hamper
atmospheric pollutant that is shorter-lived outcome of the US elections on 3 November. our ability to do what we need to do, and
than CO2 but with a stronger greenhouse Whoever wins, Donald Trump’s pledge to the time we’ve got is dwindling.” That is
effect, is expected to be upgraded. take the US out of the Paris agreement will the reality of climate change in 2020. ❚
All of that means more hard science become reality the day after. Joe Biden has
for a delayed summit to respond to. promised a climate plan working towards
“I actually think it’s a positive. We’ll lose net-zero emissions by 2050, and pledged to Adam Vaughan
a year on the negotiations, but gain way return the US to being a constructive player is New Scientist’s
more than a year in terms of ramping up in UN climate talks. “We’re either going to chief reporter
ambition,” says Topping. have four more years of the ‘bring back coal

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 39


Features

How to build
a higher
dimension
We have begun to cook up extra dimensions
in the lab and explore what lurks within.
Jon Cartwright investigates

Y
OU are running through an open field dimensions, and even suggestions that
with the wind in your hair. Or you are exotica such as new particles might lurk in
diving into the ocean, feeling the cool the extra-dimensional wilderness.
water surround you. At moments like these This is a frontier that we are barred from
we feel free, liberated. Few of us stop to exploring directly. We are forced instead
consider the truth – that we are trapped to look for the subtle imprints that extra
in an invisible prison. dimensions make on the three dimensions
Up-down, left-right, forward-back: these we are confined to. Even so, we could be
are the three dimensions in which we eat about to extend the boundaries of reality
and breathe, make friends and grow old. in ways that come close to the limits of
As prisons go, it could be worse. Then our descriptive powers.
again, we have never known anything Talk of extra dimensions might sound a bit
else. Despite some imaginary claims mystical, but spatial dimensions have a clear
to the contrary, no one has ever really definition. They are a way of describing our
experienced a higher dimension. possible range of movement. In normal space,
But now, in some of the world’s most you only need three of them – usually labelled
sophisticated labs, we are building our own x, y and z. True, time is sometimes referred
synthetic extra dimensions. The concept is to as the fourth dimension, and physics tells
so far removed from our experience that it us that it is married to space in the union
is hard to imagine what they could be like. known as space-time. But that is as far as
We have, however, already seen the ghostly we conventionally go. Even the majority of
effects of four-dimensional space touch on physicists seem to be resigned to just three
our own and wired up electric circuits with dimensions. If they were seriously expecting
CHRIS MALBON

an extra dimension. It is unlikely to stop more, they might not have chosen their labels
there. Now we have got the hang of it, there from the end of the alphabet. Our struggle to
is talk of creating five, six or even more grasp extra dimensions is nicely captured in

40 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Edwin A. Abbott’s 1884 novella Flatland,
which set out to criticise the small-
mindedness of Victorian England by
portraying a flat world inhabited by two-
dimensional shapes. When the square-
shaped narrator is visited by a sphere, he has
great difficulty believing in the existence of a
third dimension. All he can perceive of the
visitor is the shape created by its intersection
with his familiar two dimensions – a circle.
Likewise, when the narrator has a dream in
which he visits a one-dimensional world,
Lineland, the locals reject his tales of the
second dimension: all they can see are the
dots he casts on their narrow path.

Life on the edge


The story of synthetic dimensions also
begins in a flatland, in materials that are
wafer-thin and therefore, to all intents and
purposes, two dimensional. If you apply a
magnetic field to such a wafer, it makes all
the electrons inside it want to move in tiny
circles. And that is just what happens – except
“Physicists seem at the edges, where there isn’t enough space
resigned to just and the electrons’ trajectories are chopped
off into semicircles. But instead of stopping
three dimensions. in their tracks, these electrons zip along the
edge, forming a conducting periphery. This is
If they were called the quantum Hall effect, and it creates
expecting more, a material that is electrically insulating in the
middle but conducting on the sides.
they might not This unusual duality depends on the
one-dimensional edge feeling the effects of
have chosen a higher dimension. To see how this works,
their labels from imagine a one-dimensional line, much like
Lineland in the novella, with electrons sitting
the end of the on it. If you apply a magnetic field to this, the
electrons can’t move in circles; that isn’t
alphabet” possible in one dimension, so they remain
fixed in place. If this line is the edge of a wafer,
however, the electrons can skip through the
two-dimensional plane. This edge
conductivity is known as a topological state.
If a one-dimensional line can pull neat
tricks when it feels the imprint of another
dimension, can higher dimensions do the
same? The answer is yes. In 2008, decades
after the original discovery of the quantum >

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 41


Hall effect, physicists discovered a similar University of Birmingham, UK. “Trying to A slice of the
phenomenon in which the electrons on a understand higher-dimensional physics is Calabi-Yau
2D surface skip through the 3D innards of a like crossing into a different universe. You manifold, a
material. Like all topological states, these don’t know what’s waiting beyond that representation
materials have a useful characteristic. It turns frontier,” she says. She wanted to see what of multi-
out that any impurities on the surface won’t new physics might be there, so set out to dimensional
impede an electron’s progress because it can try to make Zhang’s ideas a reality. space (right)
always skip through a higher dimension. To see how, let’s briefly return to Flatland
This makes them good electrical conductors. once more. In the story, the sphere finally An illustration
Some physicists think they will be useful in persuades the square of the existence of from Flatland
designing superfast quantum computers. the third dimension by bobbing up and (far right) shows
Long before this, in 2001, the late theorist down, and thereby changing the size of his how a sphere
Shou-Cheng Zhang and his colleague intersection with the square’s plane of vision. would appear
Jiangping Hu, then both at Stanford He starts as a dot when he and the plane are in a world with
University in California, dared to consider just in contact, becomes a big circle when his less than three
a wild progression. Would it be possible to equator passes through the plane, and reverts dimensions
create a four-dimensional analogue of the to a dot when he is all the way through
quantum Hall effect, one in which a regular (pictured, far right). The late theorist David
three-dimensional material felt the imprint Thouless developed a real analogue of this
of a fourth dimension? They ended up process in the 1980s. It is called a topological
developing the mathematics that could pump and entails changing the distance
describe such a thing. But it seemed destined between particles in an array in such a way
to remain theoretical – it was tough to picture that it looks like a higher dimensional object
how this kind of maths could be made real. is being “pumped” through them.
Lately, though, a few physicists have In 2018, Immanuel Bloch at the Max Planck
given it a go, including Hannah Price at the Institute of Quantum Optics in Germany,

Two dimensions in one

1 2 3

4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

7 8 9

One way to build a dimension is to connect a Now, arrange those points in a one-dimensional Researchers recently repeated this with
one-dimensional line of components as if they line, but have them connected in the same way several rows of real electrical components
were a two-dimensional grid. To see how it works, as they were in the grid shown above right. You to create the world’s first four-dimensional
think of a grid connected as shown above left. have effectively created two dimensions in one. circuit (see main story).

42 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


THE HISTORY COLLECTION/ALAMY
“With the shackles of
traditional dimensions
cast off, things could
VCHAL/GETTY IMAGES

quickly get wilder”

together with Price and others, created a dimensions. Start with a grid on a sheet of dimensional space, the entire circuit
lattice of atoms held in place by lasers. By paper. Now redraw all the points on that grid conducted seamlessly like a single
tweaking the lasers, they could deform the in a row, and connect them up with squiggly metallic mass. And unlike the previous
lattice to generate the ghostly shimmer of a lines – don’t worry about crossing them – so experiments, the effect wasn’t time-
four-dimensional object. It was a real-world that they are connected with their original dependent. “It’s a permanently four-
example of what the square had experienced neighbours. What you have just drawn, dimensional lattice,” says Price.
with the sphere in Flatland – and, together topologically speaking, is a two-dimensional With the shackles of traditional
with a separate experiment published at the grid in one dimension (see “Two dimensions dimensions cast off, things could quickly
same time, it was the first realisation of the in one”, left). Now, replace the points with get wilder. Price, Zilberberg and others say
quantum Hall effect in four dimensions. electrical components, and the lines for that topological pumps could manifest the
“We were a bit spooked when we wrote the wires, and you have a situation like the quantum Hall effect in six dimensions.
papers,” says co-author Oded Zilberberg at quantum Hall effect, where electrons can Theorist Motohiko Ezawa at the University
the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology skip through a higher dimension to get to of Tokyo in Japan says that electric circuits
in Zurich. “We thought people might think where they want to go. have the potential to manifest as many
we’re dealing with science fiction.” dimensions as experimentalists have
Despite Zilberberg’s enthusiasm, it is the patience to wire up.
hard to point to what, or where, the fourth Expect fireworks But as we build experiments that are
dimension is in these experiments. It could Earlier this year, based on a concept of Price’s, governed by more than four dimensions,
be seen as an illusion cast on the positions of Yidong Chong at Nanyang Technological the behaviour we observe from our limited
the atoms when their behaviour is viewed University in Singapore and his colleagues three-dimensional vantage point is no longer
over time. Freeze the system at any instant expanded this kind of circuit to include going to be easy to make sense of. It won’t
and there is little sign that anything special components not just in a row, but multiple be as simple as the Flatlanders discerning a
is happening. “Our experiments weren’t 4D rows and layers. Applying a voltage across sphere as a circle of changing width. Instead,
enough,” says Price. the edges of the stack had no effect: it didn’t we can expect a firework display of
Far better than conjuring the impression of conduct. But when the researchers applied a bewildering effects.
a fourth dimension is actually building one – voltage to the components that would have In 2018, for instance, Seiji Sugawa at Kyoto
so that is what Price did next. To understand marked the edge of the four-dimensional University in Japan and his colleagues laser-
how it works, again picture a scenario in two grid, had they not been rewired into a three- cooled a cloud of rubidium atoms in such a >

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 43


Even when we feel
most free, we are
trapped in a three-
dimensional prison

to tune the way each particle interacts with its


neighbours – whichever dimension they are
in – and this would potentially allay Ryu’s
concern about unnatural behaviour. “This
is my dream,” says Price.
The dream is perhaps not far from coming
true. In 2015, two independent teams of
physicists created synthetic dimensions of
MANUEL BREVA COLMEIRO/GETTY IMAGES

the quantum energy-ladder variety out of


atoms, making systems of two dimensions
in total. That is still two dimensions short
of the other implementations, but Price
believes that this strategy could ultimately
provide a way to explore bona fide extra-
dimensional physics.
If we pull that off, then Ryu is hoping there
will be new applications, such as making it
easier to link up the quantum bits, or qubits,
way that its internal states obeyed the that form the basis of emerging quantum
mathematical rules of five dimensions.
“There is a more computers. The fact that topological states
The signal that trickled out had the weird powerful way to build are protected from impurities and other
hallmarks of a magnetic monopole, an exotic sources of disruption suggests that those
object that, unlike any normal magnet, has a synthetic dimension, states could deliver high volumes of data
only a north or south pole, not both. Zhang without fear of signal loss.
calculated that it might even be possible
one that relies upon Studying the behaviour of synthetic
to observe a five-dimensional version of a quantum rules” dimensions could also help us understand
Weyl particle, which behaves like a massless the possible role of extra dimensions in
electron. It isn’t clear whether these could be fundamental physics. Thanks to Ryu and
harnessed for a practical application though. others, the theory behind topological
There is a bigger question before we get to repulsion that results from their charge – states is so well mapped out that there
that: are these synthetic dimensions real? In may well still be governed by the three exists a “periodic table” of possible extra-
the case of Price’s electric circuit, the extra normal dimensions. As a result, making dimensional behaviours, dictated by how
dimension certainly has tangible effects. Yet our own dimensions might not be a much underlying symmetry there is in the
there is a difference between it and the three reliable way to study the finer points of system. According to Ryu, it may be no
dimensions we normally experience. We can extra-dimensional physics. “That’s my coincidence that there are 10 classes of
still see the interconnects that collectively worry,” says Ryu. symmetry in the table and 10 dimensions
manifest the extra dimension: it is as if the Still, the story might not end there, in string theory – the most famous extra-
fourth dimension is somehow wrapped up according to Ryu. There is a more powerful dimensional idea in physics. “There’s
within the three dimensions of regular space. way to build a synthetic dimension, one that certainly mathematical connections
Experiments like this ask us to pretend that relies on quantum particles such as atoms between them,” he says.
the interconnects – or the lasers, or whatever having energies that go up in discrete steps. We are, it seems, only just realising that
else is responsible for sustaining the extra- You can think of these energy states as being we have been living in our own Flatland. “It
dimensional physics – aren’t there at all, like a ladder, which the particle can hop up or opens our minds,” says Zilberberg. “We can
like stagehands at the theatre. down. This might feel like a trick because the explore things like this for real.” ❚
Shinsei Ryu at Princeton University particle itself doesn’t actually move – its
raises another issue. If we take Price’s four- extra dimension is contained within a fixed
dimensional electrical circuit, he says, the position in three dimensions. But this is Jon Cartwright is a freelance
primary flow of the electrons is governed by exactly the point. This type of extra journalist based in Bristol, UK
the synthetic dimension, but their natural dimension is completely independent of the
interactions – for example, the mutual regular three. Magnetic fields could be used

44 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Features

Speak like,
uh, a pro
Far from signalling stupidity, our ums
and uhs are part of a hidden language
that we subconsciously understand,
finds David Robson

Y
OU might expect it to take more than
a two-letter word to sink a politician’s
credibility. But one did just that for
Canada’s prime minister, Justin Trudeau,
in June 2016. With a huge wildfire burning
in the province of Alberta, he had been asked
about the country’s capacity to cope. “Uh,
certainly, I think we’re, uh, all aware that,
uh, uh, a prime minister, uh, showing up at
Fort McMurray, when firefighters are busy
trying to, uh, uh, contain a massive raging
wildfire is, uh, not a particularly helpful
thing,” he began. Trudeau went on to use
a total of 50 uhs in a statement lasting little
more than a minute.
A video soon went viral, and online
commentators were universally scathing.
“Canada’s dumbest, uh, Prime Minister”
wrote one viewer. Reading the unedited
transcript, you may well have questioned
Trudeau’s intelligence yourself. Surely such
hesitation is a sign of sloppy thinking and
ineloquence. Weren’t we taught as children
to eliminate uhs from our conversation?
Yet the latest research shows that this
is an unfounded prejudice. Far from being
an inarticulate waste of breath, filler words
like um, uh, mmm and huh are essential for
efficient communication, sending important
signals about the words we are about to
say so that two speakers can better
ANDY SMITH

understand each other. “They streamline


our interactions, smooth the flow of the > >

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 45


University. They analysed vast records of
conversations spoken in English covering
millions of words and concluded that, far
from being mere accidents, filler words
constitute a “collateral signal” or
“metalanguage”. In essence, this means that
without changing the overall meaning of a
sentence, they help us coordinate
conversations with minimal confusion.
Take uhs and ums. The analysis revealed
that these words don’t merely replace
pauses in a speech, they announce them.
Intriguingly, the pauses following ums
were about twice as long as those after uhs.
This suggests that each filler word signals
something specific to the listener, rather
than arising as a processing error, argued
Fox Tree and Clark. These simple “inserts”
are managing the listener’s expectations
of what will come next, priming them to
either wait patiently as the speaker collects
their thoughts or dive in and help out.
“You’re using these words to negotiate
communication in real time, with a waiting
conversation and manage our social addressee who wants to communicate with
relations,” says Mark Dingemanse, who you right at that moment,” says Fox Tree.
studies language and social interaction As an illustration, she pauses mid-sentence
at Radboud University in the Netherlands. without an uh or an um to signal the delay –
Indeed, he argues that the complexity of and I can confirm that it is indeed very
our language today couldn’t have emerged disconcerting.
without them. To which the obvious
response may be, “huh?”
It is only recently that scientists have paid Heads up
filler words any serious attention, with many The paper has now been cited more than
linguists previously considering them to be 1000 times, igniting more research to
mere errors in speech production with no explore the idea that filler words are signals
useful function. “People were taught that that guide us through a conversation.
they were just garbage,” says Jean Fox Tree Susan Graham at the University of Calgary,
at the University of California, Santa Cruz. Canada, for instance, has found that these
The few studies that were done mainly riffled words prepare us to be surprised by
through that supposed rubbish for clues to something new or unfamiliar. “They are
deception – with mixed results (see “I’m, uh, a signal that something is changing in the
telling the truth”, page 48). conversation,” she says.
The turning point came in 2002, with In a series of experiments, Graham hooked
a landmark paper by Fox Tree and her her participants up to special goggles that
colleague Herbert Clark at Stanford tracked the movements of their eyes as they

46 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


WHY WE,
LIKE, SAY
“LIKE”
Speakers of every language co-opt Justin Trudeau
certain words to punctuate sentences was called out
in a way that often appears completely for umming
gratuitous. In English, one of these and uhing
words is “like”, as in: “the concert was,
like, 2 hours away”. It turns out that
CANADIAN PRESS/SHUTTERSTOCK

this usage may not be as random


and meaningless as it seems.
When Jean Fox Tree at the University
of California, Santa Cruz, asked
students to recount a personal
experience to two separate listeners,
they often placed the extra likes in
the same place in both retellings.
She thinks that like acts as a form of
emphasis, based on the speaker’s and
listener’s knowledge of each other. heard various sentences describing pairs of what is being said, a deftly placed filler word
In the example about the concert, for images presented to them. She found that can even work as a memory aid, according
instance, it signals that the distance is participants could more easily follow the to researchers at the University of Illinois
a particularly significant detail to the speaker’s description as it veered from one at Urbana-Champaign. Like many linguists
speaker. “So if you know me, and you image to the other if the sentences included before them, they turned to the whimsy
know that I like that band that’s a filler word. For example, if they had been of Lewis Carroll for source material, asking
playing, when I say ‘the concert was, looking at a picture of a monkey, they were participants to listen to summaries of Alice’s
like, 2 hours away’, what I’m saying is, quicker to switch their gaze to the turtle in Adventures in Wonderland. In some trials,
that’s a short distance to drive to get the neighbouring image if the speaker said: the readers inserted a small uh before the
to this band that I really like,” says “Look at the, uh, turtle.” important plot points, such as: “Meanwhile,
Fox Tree. “But if you know that I hate Tellingly, Graham has also found that uh, the cook keeps hurling plates and other
driving, saying ‘the concert was, like, 2-year-olds don’t appear to respond to fillers items at the Duchess and the baby.” Far
2 hours away’ would mean that’s too like uh or um in this way, while 3-year-olds from being annoying or distracting, such
far for me to drive to get to that band.” do. This suggests that our understanding of hesitations improved the participants’
This makes like similar to uh and such signals develops along with other more subsequent recall of these episodes by a
mmm (see main story). Far from being sophisticated verbal and cognitive skills. In whopping 57 per cent compared with slicker
linguistic garbage, they all rely on addition, the response is highly dependent readings. That is the kind of boost you
interpreting another person’s mind, on context. If we are led to believe that might expect with elaborate and effortful
which is a highly sophisticated someone is especially forgetful, their ums mnemonic techniques, not simply by
cognitive skill. and uhs cease to act as signals that direct peppering the text with a few uhs.
our gaze to the most salient information. Of course, a slight hesitation provides
By preparing us to pay closer attention to listeners with increased mental processing
time. To test whether this could explain
the memory effect, the researchers ran
additional trials in which the uhs were
“These seemingly meaningless little replaced with a cough of the same duration.
Rather than boosting recall, this reduced the
words can even work as memory aids” participants’ memory of the plot by 36 per
cent, confirming that there was something
special about uh that primed participants >

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 47


to listen more carefully. Further tests
revealed that speakers use these filler
words selectively to signal potential
conceptual difficulties, such as a turn in
the plot of a story, rather than problems
with pronunciation.
The way that these seemingly meaningless
little words help us memorise and process
speech is quite astonishing. But fillers have
an additional role with truly profound I’M, UH,
consequences for human language.
Unlike a carefully crafted screenplay,
spontaneous speech is often vague and
TELLING
full of potential for confusion – not least
because people generally come to a topic
THE TRUTH
with different backgrounds and levels of
knowledge. As a result, speakers have to
tailor their language to each other on the Umming and uhing was once process, says Fox Tree. “We would need to be
fly. “We’re constantly working to revise our thought to be a sign of deception – able to plan everything perfectly in advance
understanding as we go,” says Patrick Healey the sound of mental cogs turning as and enunciate it clearly, with the proper word
at Queen Mary University of London. He the brain struggles to come up with choice and syntactic structure.” It would be
believes collateral signals like huh provide a convincing story. Truth-tellers, in much more like a rigid computer code than
some essential feedback to speakers, allowing contrast, would have less trouble a flexible, freewheeling conversation.
them to clarify what they mean before a recalling a real event, so were Given these essential roles in solving
mistake gets out of hand. thought to use fewer filler words. basic communicative problems, how might
It is an appealing idea: a clear filler words have emerged? That’s what
linguistic signature of deception Dingemanse is trying to work out. He has
The power of “huh?” would allow police and found huh in 31 mostly unrelated languages –
Healey has demonstrated this “conversation courtrooms to determine who to from Cha’palaa (spoken in northern Ecuador)
repair” function of filler words in an trust. Unfortunately, it turns out to Lao and Russian – suggesting that it may
ingenious experiment. Pairs of participants not to be true. Indeed, the latest be a universal word. This convergence
in different rooms had to find a route research suggests the exact reflects the intense pressure to maintain
through a complex online map by conversing opposite. Pronounced umming the momentum of conversation, he says.
through an online chat tool. Unbeknown and uhing may signal that The average switch between speakers takes
to them, the researchers tweaked their someone is telling the truth, just 200 milliseconds, and a short sound
messages before they reached each other. perhaps because they are making like huh is an incredibly efficient way of
For example, if one participant asked “on less of a conscious effort to unobtrusively signalling our confusion.
the left?” for clarification, the researchers present a varnished front. “We need some way to quickly indicate the
changed it to a word like “huh?” or “eh?” – problem, so that we basically pass the ball
which tersely indicates a more general
confusion. With this simple manipulation,
the participants soon started using more
systematic ways of describing their location,
for example with the invention of a
“The simplicity of these sounds reflects
coordinate system. just how essential they are”
Spontaneous speech would be incredibly
difficult without this kind of corrective

48 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Filler words cooperate. These two traits are limited,
help our at best, in other animals.
conversations For this reason, Dingemanse suggests
flow smoothly that the evolutionary history of collateral
signals is deeply intertwined with that of
language itself, and may go back hundreds
of thousands of years. He thinks the
development of some signals, like uh or huh,
may even have been an important turning
point in our evolutionary journey, propelling
us beyond simple syntax to the sophisticated
and nuanced ways of talking that we now
take for granted. “To be able to produce
complex sentences, we rely on the listener
showing evidence of their understanding,”
he says. Without that, each phrase would
have to be so short and simple that there
would be no room for miscommunication.
VISOOT UTHAIRAM/GETTY IMAGES

Evolving complexity
This remains a hypothesis, for now.
However, Dingemanse and postdoctoral
researcher Marieke Woensdregt are
working on computer models that
simulate the evolution of different forms of
communication, with and without collateral
signals that can help to repair language.
back into the corner of the producer and let signals first emerged in the history of “We’ve just started doing this, but it really
them fix it,” says Dingemanse. “And that is language, but it is telling that they are looks like if you don’t have repair, you end
exactly what huh is… You barely need to do unique to human speech, despite the fact up with a simpler kind of language,” he says.
anything more than open your mouth and that they are so easy to articulate. While “If you do have repair, on the other hand,
breathe out to make a sound.” other apes vocalise to each other to signal then it gives you more flexibility to make
Similar pressures to guide the course the appearance of a predator, none have the your language more complex.”
of a conversation, without prolonged equivalent of an mmm of assent or a huh to Meanwhile, Dingemanse’s research should
interruption, will have shaped many other ask for clarification. “We have no known offer some welcome reassurance to anyone
kinds of collateral signals, says Dingemanse. observations of animals using this very who like, uh, Justin Trudeau has been called
Mmm, for example, signals our intention to special type of interactive repair in their out for umming and uhing. Far from being
let the other speaker continue with their communication,” says Dingemanse. That a sign of stupidity, these deceptively simple
point. “And what better way to signify that is partly because of the complexity of the words may represent the pinnacle of human
you want to keep your mouth shut,” he says, cognitive processing behind filler words. cognitive and linguistic sophistication. ❚
“than a syllable in which you actually keep They rely on the speaker and listener
your mouth shut?” Far from being a sign gauging each other’s understanding and
of impotence, then, the simplicity of these responding appropriately. This is impossible David Robson is the author of The
sounds reflects just how essential they are to achieve without some kind of theory of Intelligence Trap: Revolutionise your
for communication across the world. mind – the ability to appreciate another thinking and make wiser decisions (Hodder
We don’t know exactly when collateral person’s thoughts – and a willingness to & Stoughton). His website is davidrobson.me

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 49


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50 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


The back pages
Puzzles Almost the last word Tom Gauld for Feedback Twisteddoodles
A cryptic crossword, Why are cabbages New Scientist Coronavirus for New Scientist
a bridge too far made up of a tight A cartoonist’s take erotica and black Optimists, pessimists
and the quiz p52 bundle of leaves? p54 on paradoxes p55 hole bargains p56 and lab safety p56

Stargazing at home

The Red Planet rules


Earth and Mars are closer together this month than they have
been since 2003. Enjoy these night skies, says Abigail Beall

FOR a few weeks this October,


Mars overtakes Jupiter to become
the third brightest object in the
night sky. The only brighter things
at this time will be the moon and
Venus, which appears in the early
hours of the morning. This means
that during the evenings, the Red
Planet will dominate the skies.
Abigail Beall is a science writer The elliptical orbits of Earth and
in Leeds, UK. She is the author Mars now bring the planets closer

DIANA ROBINSON PHOTOGRAPHY/GETTY IMAGES


of The Art of Urban Astronomy than they have been since 2003.
@abbybeall On 6 October, when Mars was
closest to Earth, there were about
62 million kilometres between it
What you need and us – 163 million kilometres
Enthusiasm for Mars closer than the average distance.
Good eyesight A week later, on 13 October,
A light pair of binoculars, Mars reached opposition: Earth
say 7x50 sat directly between Mars and
the sun, meaning Mars was fully
illuminated. Although that was
a week after its closest approach, Throughout October, the planet but are also great for beginner’s
this is when the Red Planet seemed will appear around the time of astronomy because they are small
brightest because of an effect sunset and stay visible all night, and light enough that whatever
called opposition surge, which in both the southern and northern you are looking at won’t wobble.
makes objects brighten when they hemispheres. It will rise in the For more detailed stargazing,
are illuminated from directly east, tracing the path the sun takes such as looking at asteroids or
behind the observer. across the sky during the day. Jupiter’s moons, you will probably
On 16 October, a new moon Jupiter and Saturn will also need a larger pair. But unless you
meant there was no moonlight, so shine brightly, but you will find mount them on a tripod, it will be
Mars was the brightest object that these by looking south after sunset. almost impossible to hold them
night. But all of October is a great If you are uncertain, using a steady enough to see the objects.
time to look at the planet because stargazing app can confirm If you have a pair of binoculars
it will be shining more brightly whether you have identified Mars. of any magnification, using them
than during the rest of the year. Once you find the planet, to look at Mars will enhance its
You won’t need any equipment grab a pair of binoculars. They colour. Since the planets travel
to look at Mars: it is bright enough are usually described by two independently compared with the
to see with the naked eye, even in numbers: the magnification stars, if you study Mars for long
places with a lot of light pollution. and the size of the lens. A 7x50, enough, you may be able to spot it
Stargazing at home appears Just look towards the east after for instance, is a small pair of moving relative to a nearby star. ❚
every four weeks sunset or the west before sunrise binoculars that will make any
and identify the brightest “star” object look seven times bigger. These articles are
Next week that you can see, with a red Binoculars of this magnification posted each week at
Citizen science glow. This will be Mars. can be used for birdwatching, newscientist.com/maker

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 51


The back pages Puzzles

Cryptic crossword #42 Set by Wingding Quick quiz #73


1 Debris from Halley’s comet is
      Scribble responsible for which meteor shower


zone that arrives each October?

2 The supercontinent Pangea was


surrounded by which superocean?
 
3 Name the chemical element with
the highest boiling point

   4 The Nobel prize ceremony is held on


10 December each year because this is
 the anniversary of what?

   
5 What is the correct term for a
baby llama?


   Answers on page 55

Puzzle

set by David Bedford
Answers and
the next quick
crossword next week #81 A bridge too far
“Finally, we always test our
ACROSS DOWN
candidates with a puzzle about
7 Over time, Shelley hoped to animate creature 1 Rising trouble with solid Na₂CO₃ (4) four students crossing a bridge
created by scientists (5,3,5) 2 Lion oddly involved in crash in race (6) with a torch,” said the interviewer
8/11 (Down) Marinate roll with acid mixture; 3 Man with cold heart making at Microsoogle.
this will make it go brown (8,8) psychoactive chemical (7) “Oh goody, I’ve heard this one
9 18’s relative taking head off criminal (4) 4 Animal carer carrying leopard's skin before!” thought Sam, smugly.
10 Trick to get over slope: climbing equipment (7) in grassland (5) “The rickety bridge is only
12 Quit extracting gas and amber, perhaps (5) 5 Positive or negative cost (6) strong enough to take two people
14 Physicist overtaking Tesla in competition (5) 6 High-fat regimen provides kinetic energy at a time, and the torch is needed
16 Accumulate across Greek island (7) to pass on time (4,4) for each crossing, walking at the
19 Shock caused by snack going the 11 See 8 Across pace of the slower student. The
wrong way (4) 13 Dinner containing carbon sink (7) most timid student, Tim, needs
20 Pascal returns with little desire (8) 15 One subsumed by reproduction in 10 minutes to cross the bridge.
22 Shift in tone changes feel of PPE, with high branches (6) Tom can cross faster than Tim,
doctor deprived of oxygen (7,6) 17 Give consent to rodent providing last and the other two are quicker still.
of taxidermy (6) All of them take a different whole
18 Part of brave new bird (5) number of minutes to cross.”
21 Parasite is a positive sign (4) “Yeah, yeah,” smiled Sam.
“All four students get across
the bridge in 17 minutes. What
is the longest time that it could
take for Tom to cross the bridge
on his own?”
“Wait – that’s not the normal
puzzle!” blurted Sam.

Can you help?


Our crosswords are now solvable online
newscientist.com/crosswords Answer next week

52 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Podcast

“Very well informed...


delivered in an unfussy,
well presented and

The New Scientist accessible way... Definitely


news you can use.”

Weekly podcast Press Gazette

Episode 38 out Friday 16 October


Our weekly podcast has become the must-listen science show, bringing you the
most important, surprising or just plain weird events and discoveries of the week.
If you missed the earlier episodes you can still listen in to hear about:

Episode 37 Episode 36 Episode 35 Episode 34


Black holes and CRISPR gene Hunt for life on Venus and Mars, The first woman on the moon, Race to find life on Venus,
editing spring Nobel surprises, how the paleo diet affects your evolution special, a deep-water coronavirus claims lives of one
climate change and indigenous age, strategy for the second mystery and the purpose of sleep million people, extinction crisis
people in the Arctic and symptom wave of coronavirus and species and dreams and how the brain slows time
clusters identified for covid-19 extinction crisis

Hosted by New Scientist’s Rowan Hooper and Valerie Jamieson, new episodes
are out each Friday. Follow us on Twitter @newscientistpod
The back pages Almost the last word

Where does the brain’s


Patchy cabbage
information go after
Why do cabbages exist? What is a person dies?
the point of having a tight bundle
of leaves that don’t attract desirable to humans would
pollinators and shield each other not be advantageous in the
from the sun? Does its structure wild. This is true of most of our
affect its ability to photosynthesise? domesticated plants and animals,
which are vulnerable to predators
Jan Horton and adverse conditions. The
West Launceston, modern cabbage needs continual
Tasmania, Australia protection from encroaching
Cabbages exist because humans weeds, ravenous birds and
domesticated them long ago cabbage white butterflies.
due to them being easy to grow The tight heart of capitata

JOHAN SWANEPOEL/ALAMY
in many climates and keeping cabbages exists because it is
well, especially when fermented. supported by the original loose
To me, and to many others, they cluster of green leaves that are
also taste delicious, but not all trimmed away in harvesting.
my family agree. This can be seen in all its glory
Humans have bred the cabbage in exhibition cabbages, which
so that the juvenile stage is This week’s new questions can exceed a metre wide and
prolonged, because the light be as heavy as a small person.
inner leaves are sweeter and Information loss It is a rule of physics that information can’t Wild cabbage is a slow-growing
more digestible than the tough, disappear. So what happens to the information in my brain biennial or perennial with
protective, dark green outer leaves. when I die? Max Davies, Irvine, California, US leathery leaves, sometimes tinged
Once picked, they can be stored with violet, and masses of yellow
for a long time in a cool place, A healthy spread If you eat three meals a day, does it make flowers. It doesn’t compete well
which is all to the good of humans a difference if they are taken within, say, an 8-hour window with faster growing plants, but it
and livestock. However, for the or a 14- hour one? Manyando Milupi, Doncaster, UK tolerates salt and finds a niche on
good of the plant, just leave it chalk and limestone cliffs. The
cliffs at Whitby and Staithes in the
“The cliffs are covered photosynthesise, leaves that are Selective breeding of cabbages UK are bright with their flowers
in wild cabbages inside the head and not exposed may go back for as long as 4000 and you can smell them far out
to sunlight can’t photosynthesise. years and classical writers such at sea. Genetic analysis shows
descended from But cabbages are able to grow to as Theophrastus and Pliny these aren’t the original species.
garden escapes, a large size, so the leaves that are the Elder described cultivated Instead, they are apparently
and you can smell exposed to the sun must be able varieties, probably loose bundles descended from garden escapes.
them far out at sea” to make enough carbohydrate to of leaves resembling collard Incidentally, lettuce has
meet the needs of the whole plant. greens or what the British know followed a similar course of
in the ground and keep watering as “spring greens”. Hearted development to cabbage,
it. In due course, it will develop a Chris Warman cabbages were first developed although only in the growth of
flowering stalk, then masses of Hinderwell, North Yorkshire, UK in the Middle Ages. its leaves, which may form heads
flowers followed by lots of seeds. Cabbages exist to be eaten, as do The original attraction of or be curly and brightly coloured.
Some relatives of the cabbage cauliflower, broccoli, kale and cabbage is that its thick leaves It was adored by the ancient
are grown for their seed, including Brussels sprouts. They are all stored carbohydrates and Egyptians and dedicated to Min,
canola, which is bred for its high cultivars of Brassica oleracea, a vitamins through the winter. the god of fertility and harvest.
seed oil content. plant that grows wild on the sea Wild cabbage is tough and bitter,
cliffs of southern Europe. but natural variations enabled David Muir
Jonathan Wallace Cabbages with a “heart” – the breeders to select for a softer, Edinburgh, UK
Fenham, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK capitata type, as described by sweeter leaf. Breeders could The cabbage as we know it isn’t
The tight rolled-up “head” of the questioner – are just one of also develop curly leaves (kale) a natural thing. Over thousands
cabbage leaves doesn’t confer an seven main groups of cabbages, and colours ranging from near of years, inventive farmers have
advantage to the plant, any more which in their turn contain black (cavalo nero) to near white. altered various structures of
than vines “benefit” from having innumerable varieties. Features that make cabbages the wild cabbage.
seedless grapes. It has been bred Selective breeding for specific
to have characteristics desirable Want to send us a question or answer? parts of the plant’s structure has
to the grower and consumer. Email us at lastword@newscientist.com given us particular vegetables:
As to whether the structure of Questions should be about everyday science phenomena development of the terminal bud
the cabbage affects its ability to Full terms and conditions at newscientist.com/lw-terms gave us cabbages; the lateral buds,

54 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020


Tom Gauld Answers
for New Scientist
Quick quiz #73
Answer
1 The Orionids, which peak
late in the month

2 Panthalassa

3 Tungsten, which boils


at 5555°C

4 Alfred Nobel’s death

5 A cria

Quick Crossword
#68 Answers
ACROSS 1 Fuchsia, 4 Machine,
8 Onager, 9 Rawlplug, 11 Ergo,
12 Recurrence, 14 Cardiac veins,
17 Undetectable, 20 Blueprints,
21 X-Men, 23 Urbanite,
24 Nessie, 25 Estuary,
26 Grommet
Brussels sprouts; the flowers, “When a photon of The reason why light goes
cauliflower and broccoli; the light collides with the straight through glass but DOWN 1 Florence, 2 Clangers,
leaves, kale and collard greens; bounces off metal lies within 3 Stem, 4 Measurements,
and the stem, kohlrabi.
atoms in a pane of the individual structure of 5 Chlorinate, 6 Idling, 7 Eaglet,
Some cultivars of Brassica glass, it doesn’t have these materials. 10 Geochemistry, 13 Giant
oleracea may be of medical enough energy to Glass is an amorphous solid, panda, 15 Abomasum,
benefit. Brussels sprouts interact with them” which means it has cooled 16 Reinvent, 18 Obtuse,
and broccoli contain sinigrin, too quickly to form a regular 19 Numbat, 22 Zero
a chemical shown to have they are attracted by the smell crystalline structure. As a
anti-cancer, antibacterial, of the plant and will travel a consequence, when a photon
antifungal, antioxidant and long distance to find them. of light collides with the atoms #80 Vive la
anti-inflammatory properties. I made the mistake of growing in a pane of glass, it doesn’t difference
The bits of the plant that aren’t a summer-harvesting broccoli have enough energy to interact Solution
so green also contain valuable once and spent ages picking out with them and hence become
nutrients, even if they lack the these pesky caterpillars. I now absorbed or reflected. Swapping seats 3 and 5 (to
green chlorophyll required for only grow winter greens; by this Instead, the photon passes give the order 1 2 5 4 3 6 7)
photosynthesis. Eat your greens! time the butterflies have long gone. straight through. This makes increases the discount on the
the glass transparent. bill to 24 euros. This is the
Jackie Jones Seeing the light In contrast, the aluminium maximum possible discount,
Brighton, East Sussex, UK atoms are arranged in a regular and although there are several
These plants provide a breeding Why does light reflect in a mirror crystal lattice structure and other ways of arranging the
ground for cabbage white but go straight through glass? have free “delocalised” electrons chairs to get the same discount,
butterflies, which lay their bright whizzing round the material. this is the only one that involves
yellow eggs in neat patches all over Thomas Fox This is why metals can conduct swapping just two chairs.
the underside of the leaves during Fortrose, Highland, UK electricity.
summer months until October. Mirrors such as those found These electrons are free to
The caterpillars that hatch in a bathroom tend to be made interact with photons of light
from these eggs eat large holes in from a sheet of transparent and reflect the photons that have
the leaves. Only close-mesh net glass or plastic and a layer of similar frequencies to their own.
will protect the members of the smooth, polished aluminium This is what makes metals shiny
cabbage family from the butterfly; (or in older mirrors, silver). and, when smoothed, reflective. ❚

17 October 2020 | New Scientist | 55


The back pages Feedback

Purely for research Twisteddoodles for New Scientist


of Camden”, he begins, showing an
“Dr Alexa Ashingtonford stared at expert understanding of the art of
the test tube between her fingers, the narrative hook. Dispatched to
her perfectly pink manicured nails answer a distress call, he found that
clashing with the pale, bubbling liquid concrete being used to line
liquid inside. She recognised the a tube tunnel had bubbled its way
power she had in her grip, the virus up through an overlying Victorian
which had claimed so many lives sewer, eventually manifesting
and which made her heart beat itself as a hardening shard in a
furiously, like a wild tiger thrashing local resident’s toilet.
in its cage.” With space in the sewer for only
Feedback will trouble you not one person, and noise concerns
to ask exactly what keyword search preventing the use of power tools,
led us to Kissing the Coronavirus, it was left to Michael, hammer and
a recently published ebook (tagline: chisel in hand, to chip away at the
“She was supposed to cure the problem over several weeks. This
Coronavirus. Instead… she fell in was to little avail in the end, it
love with it”). But downloading it for seems – “I seem to remember
the purposes of general education, a couple of houses had to be
we find ourselves grimly fascinated demolished,” he says.
by the tale of the protagonist’s
vaccine development work in
With interest
the lab of Dr Gurtlychund, “one of
Ohio’s top biochemical-neuroviral- Feedback is glad for the reminder
epidemiologists” – of which one of the life and works of that
can only say, someone had to be. grande dame of entomology, and
The plot unfurls as the virus (“so much else, Miriam Rothschild.
strong, so… deadly”) spreads across Being a scion of the Rothschild
the globe: “Asia. Europe. Some Got a story for Feedback? dynasty was undoubtedly an
other places. But most importantly Send it to feedback@newscientist.com or advantageous start for someone
and worryingly, America.” If Dr New Scientist, 25 Bedford Street, London WC2E 9ES described in one obituary on
Ashingtonford can be said to have Consideration of items sent in the post will be delayed her death in 2005 as a “zoologist,
a fault, beyond an eye-watering naturalist, academic and
disregard for biosafety, it is that eccentric”. Her father Charles
she takes the passion that marks someone types Black-Hole, of such a task, we can only think, Rothschild had found time to
out many a research scientist to an Black Hole, or any other phrase goes a long way to explaining describe some 500 species of flea
extreme, while supplementing it with these keywords into their British industry’s dire productivity in his days off from the banking
with a passion for the job perhaps browser your site could be the figures. Jon says the only thing job, while her uncle Lionel Walter
less readily associated with the first they see!” more boring than the boring was Rothschild established perhaps
chill groves of academe. Presumably the last, too, people telling him it was boring. the world’s most eccentric private
The avenues this takes her as they are sucked into the Meanwhile, Michael Berkson zoo at Tring just outside London,
down involve some technical information vortex Feedback from the original Cambridge lays and is one of few people who
vocabulary with which Feedback intends to construct there. If you claim to the award of world’s worst can claim to have a subspecies
isn’t intimately familiar, and that think that is a paradox, just admire science job (as well as the three of giraffe named after them.
may be beyond what is suitable for our nice shiny firewall on the way degrees of separation prize) “on Despite having little formal
a family magazine. We nevertheless in, suckers. One for da true Nerdz. behalf of a person my Mother met education of her own, Miriam
wish the book every viral success. at a conference many years ago”. Rothschild became “the Queen
More bad jobs He reports that she described her Bee of research into parasites
Captive audience work as “combing mice for lice”, and their hosts” – and, besides
Our thoughts are somehow still adding by way of elucidation that that, a wartime Bletchley Park
Providing a welcome opportunity on passion for jobs. So, undeterred “she was a research assistant for codebreaker, a working farmer
to cleanse our mental palate, by last week’s stomach-churning Miriam Rothschild”. and a tireless campaigner over
someone called Kiethleen from offerings, we return to our bulging Pride of place this week, however, decades for then unfashionable
web address sellers Domain Nerdz bag of undesirable occupations goes to Michael Stanford, not of causes from animal rights and
spirals unbidden into our inbox. sent in by you, our loyal and notably Stanford. “After spending an idyllic mental health research to the
“We have a domain that is long-suffering readers. Jon Sparks summer as a woodsman in the legalisation of homosexuality.
currently on sale that you might from Lancashire, UK, recalls a Lake District, I opted for a change “I must say, I find everything
be interested in (Black-Hole.co)”, summer spent drilling holes in of scene by getting a job as a interesting,” she once said.
they write excitedly. “Anytime pepper pots by hand. The existence sewerman in the London Borough Now that really is the last word. ❚

56 | New Scientist | 17 October 2020

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