Particle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems: Dynamics from logarithm and exponent in the infection process, percolation effects
high quality. Inclusion of a study that further investigation. Adesoji Ademuyiwa,
confounds the assessment of deep We combined the definitions of Dmitri Nepogodiev, Stephen Tabiri, versus superficial infections when only deep and superficial surgical site *Aneel Bhangu deep sutures are triclosan-coated and infections (SSIs) of the abdominal wall a.a.bhangu@bham.ac.uk contributes 45% of the data weighting in the FALCON trial for two reasons. Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, in the meta-analysis could lead to a First, the difference between deep University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria (AA); Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, bias towards the null. and superficial infections is subjective Birmingham B15 2TH, UK (DN, AB); School of We believe that a re-analysis of and differentiating these is unlikely Medicine and Health Sciences, University for only the deep incisional infections in to be reliable in widespread clinical Development Studies, Tamale, Ghana (ST) the FALCON trial would help inform practice. Second, there is likely to be 1 NIHR Global Research Health Unit on Global Surgery. Reducing surgical site infections in our collective understanding of the substantial overlap between deep low-income and middle-income countries contribution of triclosan-coated and superficial infections, making it (FALCON): a pragmatic, multicentre, stratified, randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2021; sutures to SSI prevention. practically hard to separate them as 398: 1687–99. N-DS, SZ, and JC are currently employees of Johnson entities in real-world practice. This 2 National Institute of Health Research Unit on & Johnson. JB is an adjunct faculty member at overlap between deep and superficial Global Surgery. Alcoholic chlorhexidine skin Rutgers University and is a statistical editor for JAMA preparation or triclosan-coated sutures to Network Open; he is being paid as a consultant to infections contrasts with organ space reduce surgical site infection: a systematic contribute to this work. LO is a retired employee of infections, which are clearly separate review and meta-analysis of high-quality randomised controlled trials. Lancet Infect Dis Ethicon, currently working as a paid consultant. and which we did not include, as 2022; 22: 1242–51. *Niels-Derrek Schmitz, Liza Ovington, there is no biological rationale. We Jesse Berlin, Shumin Zhang, John Collier did not collect data that would permit nschmit3@its.jnj.com the suggested secondary analysis of Ethicon, Bridgewater, NJ 08807, USA (N-DS, JC, LO); superficial versus deep infections since Johnson & Johnson, New Brunswick, NJ, USA (SZ); we concentrated on our prespecified, Center for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment, protocolised primary hypothesis and Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA (JB) focused data collection towards that, 1 NIHR Global Research Health Unit on Global Surgery. Reducing surgical site infections in for more efficient front-line delivery low-income and middle-income countries of the trial. Our analysis of reoperation (FALCON): a pragmatic, multicentre, stratified, rates (a treatment for some deep randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2021; 398: 1687–99. SSIs), however, did not show any 2 Elek SD, Conen PE. The virulence of difference between coated and non- Staphylococcus pyogenes for man; a study of the problems of wound infection. coated sutures. Br J Exp Pathol 1957; 38: 573–86. The authors also comment on our 3 National Institute of Health Research Unit on meta-analysis in The Lancet Infectious Global Surgery. Alcoholic chlorhexidine skin preparation or triclosan-coated sutures to Diseases. 2 Like all meta-analyses, reduce surgical site infection: a systematic this meta-analysis was designed to review and meta-analysis of high-quality randomised controlled trials. Lancet Infect Dis inform debate in clinical practice 2022; 22: 1242–51. and policy by applying evidence- based medicine. It does suggest that Department of Error Authors’ response the profound benefits seen for both Chamberlain JM, Kapur J, Shinnar S, et al. Efficacy We thank Niels-Derrek Schmitz and interventions tested in the FALCON of levetiracetam, fosphenytoin, and valproate for colleagues for their letter about the trial (skin preparation and coated established status epilepticus by age group (ESETT): a double-blind, responsive-adaptive, FALCON trial.1 In keeping with our sutures) might be explained by high randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2020; hypothesis, we did not test triclosan- levels of bias. 395: 1217–24—For this Article, coated sutures for skin closure but we Further secondary analysis of Angela Lumba-Brown’s name has been did test them for closure of the deep FALCON trial data could identify corrected in the list of Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network investigators abdominal wall fascia. The deep fascia subgroups where a signal of effect and in the appendix. This correction has been is where our network identified clinical justifies further evaluation. Such made to the online version as of May 4, 2023. equipoise and the highest likelihood of a analysis needs to be pre-planned and Allinson JP, Chaturvedi N, Wong A, et al. Early clinically meaningful effect. Since we are executed to a high methodological childhood lower respiratory tract infection and premature adult death from respiratory disease in unable to comment on the effectiveness standard. We would be delighted Great Britain: a national birth cohort study. of triclosan-coated skin sutures (which to collaborate with the authors Lancet 2023; 401: 1183–93—In figure 4D of are a different product to that used to to achieve this, which is currently this Article, the red line and blue line in the key close the fascia), these could influence beyond the scope of this response. were inverted. This correction has been made to the online version as of May 4, 2023. minor superficial infections, warranting We declare no competing interests.
Particle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems: Dynamics from logarithm and exponent in the infection process, percolation effects