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Freight Forwarding Industry Pgalabs
Freight Forwarding Industry Pgalabs
Report
NOVEMBER 2022
Foreword The global freight forwarding market has evolved transparent. We have discussed key trends in the
significantly in the last decade, largely owing to global freight forwarding market, keeping a special
newer business models and the adoption of focus on the Indian freight forwarding market in
new–age technologies across the value chain. The the later half of the report. For India, we have
global freight forwarding market is highly projected the growth trajectories for the modes of
fragmented, with the top 25 freight forwarders forwarding up to FY26, showcasing the modes
capturing around 21% of ocean freight and 26% of which will see significant growth, as well as the
the air freight market providing digital freight emerging trends in the market. We have also
forwarders with a large market to capture and portrayed the competitive landscape across
create their own leadership position. Countries various business models and benchmarked key
have seen the rise of numerous tech-enabled digital freight forwarders on several parameters.
players in this space, dealing with forwarding,
customs clearance, insurance and trade financing. The market is rapidly evolving, and some of the
In terms of digitization, India is at a very nascent scenarios presented here may have slight
stage. variations. This report reflects our perspectives as
of August 2022. Contact us for the latest updates.
In this report, we have covered the various We, at PGA Labs, look forward to continuing the
business models existing in this space and discussion with our friends across sectors and
assessed how they have impacted the stakeholder exchanging notes as the situation evolves.
journeys, making them simpler and more
Abhishek Maiti
Director
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Key takeaways
• The global freight forwarding market is highly fragmented with global top 25 freight forwarders capturing around 21% of ocean freight and
26% of air freight market
• Mainland east-west routes trade the highest volume in ocean trade, whereas Asia Pacific witnesses the highest air traffic by region
• The inbound and outbound trade flow from India provides a view on the priority of country corridors from a freight forwarding standpoint
• Air Cargo is transferred mostly though metropolitan cities with Mumbai & Delhi cumulatively handling 60% of air cargo traffic
• Ports in Gujarat, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu contribute to around 80% of ocean freight & also consist of high concentration of freight
forwarders.
• Target Addressable Market of Indian freight forwarding market is expected to reach US$ 8B by FY26 owing to improved transportation
infrastructure and government policy support
© PGA Labs | 03
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Executive Summary
• Value chain of freight forwarding spans five key steps, with specific activities being undertaken from booking initiation to delivery of the
consignment
• There are four broad business models in freight forwarding which differ in their value proposition namely, traditional freight forwarder, digital
marketplace, SaaS provider, digital service provider.
• Indian freight forwarding market is to grow at 3.3% from FY2020 to reach US$ 8B by FY26
• Target Addressable Market of the Indian freight forwarding market is expected to reach US$ 8B by FY26 owing to improved transportation
infrastructure and government policy support
• Indian ocean freight is concentrated towards the Americas and APAC while air freight is concentrated towards EMEA
© PGA Labs | 04
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The global freight forwarding market is highly fragmented, with the top 25 freight
forwarders capturing around 21% of ocean freight and 26% of the air freight market
Market is highly fragmented due to the presence Market is highly fragmented due to the presence of several traditional players and
of several traditional players in the market relatively low technology penetration
Share of freight forwarding basis volume
(TEU¹ M, MMT², CY20)
Digital forwarding platforms are not mature enough to offer sophisticated services and hence are not a
competitive ‘threat’ currently
144 56 Customers use a mix of online marketplaces, booking platforms and digital forwarders; this mix represents
an important part of their overall shipping strategy
79% 74%
Emergence of new technology and appropriate market positioning might lead
towards consolidation
New technology in the forwarding market might aid operational efficiency, generate competitive advantage
and increase value for shippers
21% 26%
Specialized business models would be required in the future; it is essential to understand what customers
Ocean Freight Volume Air Freight Volume require and be positioned accordingly
(TEUs) (metric tonnes)
Value chain of freight forwarding spans five key steps, with specific activities
being undertaken from booking initiation to delivery of the consignment
Import documentation,
Export documentation and Import haulage
Booking Haulage and stuffing destination handling and
origin handling and payment
transit
Responsibility can be on By the freight
consignee or consigner forwarder or
as per agreement consignee
Confirmation of booking by freight forwarder Meeting packaging requirements Inspection of cargo by freight forwarder Track and trace of transportation of Payment for the cargo is made by
and consignee leading to payment terms to check inventory list and prior damage cargo by freight forwarders the consignee to the consigner
Key pain • Manual, lengthy and time-consuming process • Communication across involved parties • Process flow dominated with paper documents • Irregular track and trace • Manual invoicing
points
Digital • Transparent marketplaces • Increased network capabilities • Digitalized document verification to avoid errors • Real time visibility and alerts, improving carrier • Integrated payments
value • Instant & standardized quotations across carriers • Time efficient due to visibility • Eliminates broker overhead fees accountability • Transparency in payments
• Visibility across transportation • Automated invoicing
creation
Note(s): FCL stands for full container load, LCL stands for less-than container load
Source(s): Primary Interviews , International Cargo Express, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 06
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There are four broad business models in freight forwarding which differ in their
value proposition
By service offering
Initiation of insurance process • Online insurance policy initiation and payment notice issuance
Review and inconsistencies • Future value creation via text analytics; not implemented
Customs clearance addressal by CSP widely yet
• Auto-trigger payments
Payment processing
• Direct payment on portal existent
Note(s): CSP stands for Customs Service Provider, LC stands for letter of credit, KYC stands for Know Your Customer Level of digitalization
Source(s): Infosys ‘Process automation for efficient data entry’ 2020 report, Deloitte ‘The Impact of Digitalization on Customs Service Provider 2020’ report, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 08
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The global market landscape of traditional and digital freight forwarding has
several participants across the value chain
Supply-side bottlenecks along with a boost in demand have pushed the shipping
prices upwards in 2021, providing higher margins to freight forwarders
Asia-North
Europe
$ 14, 492 $2,547 569% Outlook
With port congestions reducing, prices are expected to fall by early 2022 marginally
North Europe-US as capacity will still be limited.
$ 7,126 $2,159 330%
East Coast
Capacity is estimated to be added by 2023-24, which might help the prices to be at
much more stable levels.
Mainland east-west routes trade the highest volume in ocean trade, whereas Asia
Pacific witnesses the highest air traffic by region
Ocean trade volumes have reduced by 5.2% owing to the pandemic; Air freight
traffic has also seen a reduction across regions Macroeconomic Trends
Ocean volume by major trade lane % change Air freight traffic by region % change
(M TEU, 2019, 2020) (B CTK, 2019, 2020)
2019-20 2019-20
Global economic growth decelerated against a
152 403
41 backdrop of lingering trade tensions between North
144 5% 40 9%
11 365 America and China and high policy uncertainty
18
36 9 18%
41 2% 14 22%
40 32 11%
94
19 90 4%
18 5% Global merchandise trade contracted as
12
12 0% manufacturing activity slowed over the course of
105 the year
20 16%
18 10% 88
60 56 6% 6%
140 131
Developed and developing economies alike were
affected, reflecting the continued trade tensions
2019 2020 2019 2020 between China and the United States
Mainland East-West routes Non-mainland West-West Asia Pacific Europe North America
North-South South-South Intraregional Middle East Latin America Africa
Note(s): CTK: Cargo tonne kilometers, Mainland East-West : Trade involving Asia, Europe & America, Non-mainland East–West: Trade involving East Asia, Europe, North America and Western Asia and the Indian subcontinent. North
South: Trade involving Europe, Latin America, North America, Oceania and sub-Saharan Africa, South–South: Trade involving East Asia, Latin America, Oceania, sub-Saharan Africa and Western Asia.
Source(s): Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 11
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Digital value propositions and services have become competitive as legacy players
start increasing their presence in the digital space
Source(s): TI Logistics, PGA Labs repository, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 12
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The inbound and outbound trade flow from India provides a view on the priority
of country corridors from a freight forwarding standpoint
China, USA and UAE are the key import and export hubs for India
49 59
EXPORT IMPORT
19 27
18 24
10 18
8 8 8 8 16 15 12 12 12
6 6 11
USA China UAE Hong Singapore Bangladesh UK Germany Netherlands Malaysia China USA UAE Saudi Iraq Hong Kong Singapore South Indonesia Switzerland
Kong Arabia Korea
Source(s): UN Comtrade, Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence & Statistics, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 14
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Air Cargo is transferred mostly though metropolitan cities with Mumbai & Delhi
cumulatively handling 60% of air cargo traffic
Growth drivers for air freight market in India
0.6
0.6 Demand from Pharma and Ecommerce
• Ecommerce is expected to grow five times its current size in India to US$
200B by CY 2026
• India saw a record 18% growth in pharma exports during FY20
• National Air Cargo Policy 2019 aims to make India one of the top air freight
markets by2025 and create shipment hubs at all major airports
Delhi Mumbai Chennai Bangalore Hyderabad Others • The policy aims to leverage India’s location as a transit hub between Europe
and SEA and a gateway to South Asia
Source(s): Airports Authority of India, International Cargo Forwarders, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 15
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Ports in Gujarat, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu contribute to around 80% of ocean
freight & also consist of a high concentration of freight forwarders
Growth drivers for ocean freight market in India
Robust demand
Region-wise ocean containerized traffic in India1
(MMT, FY20) • Ports sector in India is being driven by high growth in external trade
• Containerized traffic at all ports of the country reached approx. 246 million
metric tonnes in FY20
Attractive opportunities
86
• Key ports are expected to deliver seven projects on a public-private
partnership basis in FY22
61
56
Policy support
18
13 Competitive advantage
8.6
2.3 1.3 • India has a coastline more than 7,517km long interspersed with 200+ ports
• Most East Asia, America, Europe and Africa cargo ships pass through Indian
Gujarat Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Andhra West Bengal Kerala Karnataka Others territorial waters
Pradesh
Note(s): Others includes Orissa, Goa, Puducherry, Andaman and Nicobar Islands and Lakshadweep Islands
Source(s): Ministry of Shipping, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 16
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• Shipping container shortage: The busiest trade routes are thriving, but port congestion is still a real problem. Many ports struggle to deal with the
backlog of containers, and ongoing trade means they continue to pile up. There is currently a race for container manufacturers to produce
adequate supplies of new storage carriers
• Freight rate instability: In December 2020, spot freight rates were over 260% higher from Asia to North Europe than the previous year.
Rates per 40 ft. container went from around US$1,400 in April 2020 to almost $5,000 in April 2021.
• Digital transformation: Carriers use technology to streamline freight booking, particularly spot booking. Due to the volatility of freight
over the past year, short-term bookings are extremely popular. The growth in this area has made digital spot booking an emerging
trend for 2021.
• Increased focus on sustainability: Major shipping companies are committed to neutralizing carbon emissions as part of the “Mission
2020-Zero Emissions”. The shipping industry represents approximately 2.2% of all global greenhouse gas emissions, and it is expected
to rise by 50% by 2050 if action isn’t taken.
• Increased cybersecurity: With an increased reliance on technology, there is an increased risk of cyberattacks. From 2017 to the present, almost half
of the top 10 freight carriers worldwide were victims of digital security breaches, including a $300 million loss from Maersk due to a ransomware
cyberattack.
TAM of the Indian freight forwarding market is expected to reach US$ 8B by FY26
owing to improved transportation infrastructure and government policy support
CAGR
FY20-26P
• The SEIS1 is expected to be revamped, offering exporters duty credit
8.0 3.3% scrips at 5-7% of the net foreign exchange earned
0.16 3.5%
Note(s): (1) Service Exports from India Scheme; (2) Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products, (3) Target Addressable Market
Source(s): Shipping Ministry, Ministry of Civil Aviation, Industry interviews, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 18
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Indian ocean freight is concentrated towards the Americas and APAC while air
freight is concentrated towards EMEA
5.8
0.3
Source(s): Shipping Ministry, Ministry of Civil Aviation, Industry interviews, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 19
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The India market is witnessing activity in the digital freight forwarding space;
however, the other spaces are dominated by traditional players
Digital freight forwarding in India: Overview of key players and global benchmarks
Key investors NA NA
Brief description • Online platform for • Freight forwarding • Tech-enabled freight • Freight forwarding • Integrated logistics • Supply chain • Online Freight
freight forwarding platform and supply forwarding services platform to manage solutions provider management and forwarding platform
chain visibility provider partner for consigners end-to-end operations across a supply chain logistics solutions to manage end-to-end
operations
Modalities • Ocean, air and road • Ocean, air and road • Ocean, air and road • Ocean, air and road • Ocean, air and road • Ocean, air and road • Ocean, air and road
Value added services • Customs • Advisory services • Customs • Customs • Customs • Customs • Customs
• Trade finance • Inland trucking • Trade finance • Advisory services • Advisory services • Advisory services • Trade finance
• Insurance • Planning and analytics • Insurance • Insurance • Insurance • Insurance • Insurance
• Testing • Trade advisory
Geographic presence • 149 countries • India, MENA, SEA • 40+ countries • SEA, Europe, USA • SEA, Europe, USA • SEA, Europe, USA • SEA, Europe, USA
Note(s): Businesses enrolled with provider , 2 - K+N’s Indian operations are considered
Source(s): Tracxn, Company websites, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 21
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Global players like K+N have superior product feature stack, whereas digital and
traditional Indian players need to catch-up in terms of certain service offerings
Core Services
Ocean freight
Air freight
International trucking
International rail freight
Inland haulage &
warehousing
Customs clearance
Trade finance
Cargo insurance
Value added services
Inland trucking
Inland rail
Cargo inspection
Specialized trade advisory
Tech–based services
Milestone based tracking
GPS tracking
Descriptive analytics
Predictive analytics
Document handling
Automated invoicing
Instant rate generation
Source(s): Company websites, Secondary research, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 22
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Company
Channel mix • Online inbound • Online inbound • Online inbound • Online inbound • Online inbound • Online inbound • Online inbound
• Sales Team • Sales Team • Sales Team • Sales Team • Sales team • Sales Team • Sales Team
• Agents • Partners • Agents • Agents • Agents • Agents • Agents
Customer share of • SoW of digital freight forwarders has risen to 15-20% in the last few years; estimated to reach 35-45% in
wallet (SoW) for digital the next few years as players gain specialization in more trade lanes, enter contracts with carriers for
additional capacity and enhance their technology platform with additional services
freight forwarders
Source(s): Company websites, LinkedIn, Primary discussions, PGA Labs analysis © PGA Labs | 23
Our team
We understand the LogisticsTech space very well and have experience in several pieces of deep research work
• Conducted deep research on Logistics SaaS and its growth drivers in India
• Estimated market size of e-commerce retail & D2C logistics space in India which act as the key growth drivers of e-commerce Logistics. Also, benchmarked key trends in D2C space in India
• Mapped various Logistics supply chains and value chains from first-mile to last-mile including e-commerce logistics
• Benchmarked critical metrics of competitor intelligence including delivery closure rates, % damaged shipment, % RTO shipment, etc. across major LogisticsTech players in India
• Estimated trip economics for various value chain participants in transportation business across geos
• Conducted deep supply side surveys / IDIs of truckers / DCOs (driver cum owners)
• Also conducted deep demand side in-depth interviews to understand customers of Logistics aggregator platforms
© PGA Labs | 24
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