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Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Cancer Epidemiology
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/canep

Patient education-level affects treatment allocation and prognosis in T


esophageal- and gastroesophageal junctional cancer in Sweden

Gustav Lindera, , Fredrik Sandinb, Jan Johanssonc, Mats Lindbladd, Lars Lundelld,
Jakob Hedberga
a
Department of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
b
Regional Cancer Center Sweden, Uppsala, Sweden
c
Department of Surgery, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden
d
Division of Surgery, Center for Digestive Diseases, Karolinska University Hospital and Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet,
Stockholm, Sweden

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: Background: Low socioeconomic status and poor education elevate the risk of developing esophageal- and
Education level junctional cancer. High education level also increases survival after curative surgery. The present study aimed to
Esophageal cancer investigate associations, if any, between patient education-level and treatment allocation after diagnosis of
Inequality in cancer treatment esophageal- and junctional cancer and its subsequent impact on survival.
Curative treatment
Methods: A nation-wide cohort study was undertaken. Data from a Swedish national quality register for eso-
Multi-disciplinary conference
phageal cancer (NREV) was linked to the National Cancer Register, National Patient Register, Prescribed Drug
Register, Cause of Death Register and educational data from Statistics Sweden. The effect of education level (low;
≤9 years, intermediate; 10–12 years and high > 12 years) on the probability of allocation to curative treatment
was analyzed with logistic regression. The Kaplan-Meier-method and Cox proportional hazard models were used
to assess the effect of education on survival.
Results: A total of 4112 patients were included. In a multivariate logistic regression model, high education level
was associated with greater probability of allocation to curative treatment (adjusted OR: 1.48, 95% CI:
1.08–2.03, p = 0,014) as was adherence to a multidisciplinary treatment-conference (adjusted OR: 3.13, 95% CI:
2.40–4.08, p < 0,001). High education level was associated with improved survival in the patients allocated to
curative treatment (HR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.69–0.99, p = 0,036).
Discussion: In this nation-wide cohort of esophageal- and junctional cancer patients, including data regarding
many confounders, high education level was associated with greater probability of being offered curative
treatment and improved survival.

1. Introduction alternative. The above treatment regimes introduce a significant burden


on each individual patient’s physical and mental capacities [6,7]. Ide-
Cancer of the esophagus and gastro-esophageal junction is the eight ally the choice of treatment should be guided by the preoperative tumor
most common type and the sixth most lethal type of cancer in the world staging, the patient’s health and stamina and the recommendation of a
[1]. There are several life-style associated risk factors where low so- multidisciplinary conference [8,9]. Such a recommendation is the base
cioeconomic and educational status elevate the risk of developing these for a final treatment decision made after a discussion with the patient.
cancers [2,3]. Patients with higher education are known to have better Equality of healthcare for each individual patient is strived for in
survival after curative esophageal cancer surgery [4]. many publicly funded health care systems, like in Sweden. Accordingly
In esophageal- and gastroesophageal junctional cancers, standard it is stated in Swedish law that care should be given equally regardless
curative treatment regime is multimodal with neoadjuvant chemor- of socioeconomic status. Socioeconomic status is a wide concept con-
adiotherapy (CRT) followed by one of the most extensive oncological stituting many factors where education, in addition to income, marital
surgical procedures [5]. In patients declining surgery or not physically status, place of residence and occupation, play an important role. Since
fit to undergo surgical treatment, curative CRT can be offered as an poor education is associated with decreased survival after surgery for


Corresponding author at: Department of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University, SE-75185, Uppsala, Sweden.
E-mail address: gustav.linder@surgsci.uu.se (G. Linder).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.canep.2017.12.008
Received 10 October 2017; Received in revised form 14 December 2017; Accepted 16 December 2017
Available online 04 January 2018
1877-7821/ © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
G. Linder et al. Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98

esophageal cancer, and patients with low socioeconomic status have an 2.5. Statistical methods
increased risk of the disease, it is of essence to explore mechanisms of
how education, and other, corresponding factors influence these risks. The effect of education level on the probability of allocation to
National registries have certain strengths in giving population based curative treatment was analyzed with univariate and multivariate lo-
data. Moreover, Sweden offers many nationwide data bases and by gistic regression. In the survival analysis, patients were followed until
linking the data, through a unique ten digit personal identification death, emigration or December 31 st 2013, whichever came first.
number given to all Swedes at birth, it is possible to explore and Survival probability was displayed according to the Kaplan- Meier
strengthen epidemiological findings. method and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the
On these grounds the present study aimed to investigate the re- effect of educational level when adjusting for multiple variables.
lationship between the patient’s educational level and respective Separate models were fitted for each allocated treatment. Missing data
treatment allocation after the diagnosis of esophageal- and gastro- on histology, ASA class, TNM, multidisciplinary conference and edu-
esophageal junctional cancer and its subsequent impact on survival. cational level were handled by use of the Multivariate Imputation by
Chained Equations (MICE) algorithm [18]. Data were in these cases
2. Materials and methods imputed forty times using all variables as predictors in the MICE al-
gorithm. Separate models were fitted to the dataset in each iteration
2.1. Study design and the results were then pooled using Rubin’s rules [19]. A p-value of
0.05 was considered significant. All statistical analyses were performed
This cohort study recruited data from 2006 to 2012 in the Swedish with the R statistical software package [20].
National Register for Esophageal and Gastric Cancer (NREV). All
Swedish patients diagnosed with esophageal- and gastroesophageal
junctional cancer (ICD10; C15.*, C16.0A, C16.0B and C16.0X) during 3. Results
the study years were included. Data from NREV was linked to the
Swedish Cancer Register, National Patient Register, Prescribed Drug 3.1. Patients
Register and the Cause of Death Register. All the above registries are
well described, researched and validated [10–14]. In total, 4112 patients were included in the analysis. Patient char-
All data from the above-mentioned registers was extracted in 2014. acteristics as well as missing and imputed, data are summarized in
The study was approved by the local Ethics board in Stockholm, Dnr Table 1. Out of all patients, the duration of education was ≤9 years
2013/596-31/3. (Low) in 1686 (41.0%), 10–12 years (Intermediate) in 1522 (37.0%)
and > 12 years (High) in 638 (15.5%). Data on the duration of educa-
2.2. Educational level – exposure tion were missing in 266 patients (6.5%). Patients with higher educa-
tion were slightly younger and geographically concentrated to the ca-
Data on education level was extracted from the Education Register, pital region and presented with less comorbidity. In all other aspects the
administered by Statistics Sweden [15]. The educational level was di- characteristics were similar in the three study groups.
vided into three well-defined classes, as advocated by previous studies
[16], based on the highest attained number of years of schooling at the
time of data extraction. Low education level, ≤9years, corresponds to 3.2. Educational level and treatment allocation
compulsory primary school. Intermediate education level, 10–12 years
corresponds to completed primary school and partly or fully competed Curative treatment was planned in 1587 patients (38.7%). In the
secondary school. High education level, > 12 years, corresponds to group with low educational level 36.0% were offered curative treat-
post-secondary education such as university or other academic studies. ment. For the intermediate and high educational level groups the per-
centages were 42.6% and 46.4% respectively. In a univariate model
2.3. Treatment allocation – outcome both intermediate education, (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.17–1.55), and high
education level, (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.31–1.90) were associated with
In Sweden, patients diagnosed with esophageal- or gastro- increased probability of being offered curative treatment. When ap-
esophageal junctional cancers are reported to the NREV. The accuracy plying a multivariate model adjusting for region, sex, age, ASA-class,
of this register was recently evaluated and was in 91.1% of entries in TNM-stage, histopathology, myocardial infarction, COPD and multi-
exact agreement with reabstracted data. The coverage of NREV was, in disciplinary conference, the association between high educational level
the same validation study, 95.5% when compared to the Swedish and curative treatment still remained, with an adjusted OR of 1.48
Cancer Register [12]. The intended choice of treatment (treatment al- (95% CI 1.08–2.03). The adherence to a multidisciplinary conference
location), determined at a multidisciplinary treatment conference for clinical decision-making, emerged as a robust positive predictor of
(MDC) or by the treating physician, is a mandatory variable reported to allocation to curative treatment, (adjusted OR 3.13, 95% CI 2.40–4.08)
the register concluding the diagnostic workup. This variable has, in the as were also geographical region South and West. Negative predictors
present register, been determined to be of high validity [12]. for curative treatment allocation in the multivariate model were geo-
graphical region Central, positive N- and M-stage- disease, higher ASA-
2.4. Covariates and confounding factors class, squamous histopathology, COPD, and age > 70 years.
Corresponding data are presented in Table 2 and graphically in Fig. 1.
A directed acyclic graph (DAG) model [17] was used to identify In an additional multivariate logistic regression model, stratified by sex,
possible factors governing outcome as well as confounding factors. age and histological subtype, the association between high education
Covariates included well-established prognostic factors such as age, sex, level and allocation to curative treatment remained for men, (adjusted
TNM-stage, histopathology and ASA-class (American Society of An- OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.02–2.12), was strengthened in the elderly (> 70y),
esthesiologists) as well as possibly influencing comorbidities such as; (adjusted OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.06–2.44) and in patients with adeno-
myocardial infarction (ICD10; J42-44) or chronic obstructive pul- carcinoma, (adjusted OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.13–2.64). The multi-
monary disease (COPD)-diagnosis (ICD10; I21-22) within 10 years be- disciplinary conference as a predictor for curative treatment allocation
fore cancer diagnose. Other covariates included geographic region and was confirmed for the three subgroups in the stratified analysis. Sup-
whether or not the patient was presented at a multidisciplinary treat- plementary Table 1.
ment conference.

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G. Linder et al. Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98

Table 1
Characteristics of patients diagnosed with esophageal- and gastroesophageal juctional cancer in Sweden, 2006–2012, by level of education.

Education level

Low Intermediate High Missing Total


N = 1 686 N = 1 522 N = 638 N = 266 N = 4 112

Region, No (%)
Capital 252 (14.9) 301 (19.8) 194 (30.4) 46 (17.3) 793 (19.3)
Central 418 (24.8) 360 (23.7) 113 (17.7) 61 (22.9) 952 (23.2)
Southeast 202 (12.0) 138 (9.1) 57 (8.9) 25 (9.4) 422 (10.3)
South 354 (21.0) 303 (19.9) 130 (20.4) 51 (19.2) 838 (20.4)
West 286 (17.0) 246 (16.2) 97 (15.2) 50 (18.8) 679 (16.5)
North 174 (10.3) 174 (11.4) 47 (7.4) 33 (12.4) 428 (10.4)

Sex, No (%)
Male 1262 (74.9) 1131 (74.3) 473 (74.1) 189 (71.1) 3055 (74.3)
Female 424 (25.1) 391 (25.7) 165 (25.9) 77 (28.9) 1057 (25.7)

Age at diagnosis
Median (IQR) 73 (66–81) 67 (60–76) 68 (61–76) 74 (65–82) 70 (63–79)

ASA class, No (%)


1 244 (14.5) 344 (22.6) 173 (27.1) 30 (11.3) 791 (19.2)
2 674 (40.0) 611 (40.1) 257 (40.3) 78 (29.3) 1620 (39.4)
3 558 (33.1) 392 (25.8) 157 (24.6) 71 (26.7) 1178 (28.6)
4 121 (7.2) 98 (6.4) 31 (4.9) 30 (11.3) 280 (6.8)
5 1 (0.1) 3 (0.2) 2 (0.3) 4 (1.5) 10 (0.2)
Missing 88 (5.2) 74 (4.9) 18 (2.8) 53 (19.9) 233 (5.7)

Clinical T-stage, No (%)


Tis 75 (4.4) 73 (4.8) 24 (3.8) 6 (2.3) 178 (4.3)
T0 4 (0.2) 1 (0.1) 2 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 7 (0.2)
T1 72 (4.3) 68 (4.5) 33 (5.2) 7 (2.6) 180 (4.4)
T2 228 (13.5) 236 (15.5) 111 (17.4) 24 (9.0) 599 (14.6)
T3 641 (38.0) 595 (39.1) 275 (43.1) 76 (28.6) 1587 (38.6)
T4 213 (12.6) 193 (12.7) 85 (13.3) 53 (19.9) 544 (13.2)
TX 434 (25.7) 346 (22.7) 105 (16.5) 84 (31.6) 969 (23.6)
Missing 19 (1.1) 10 (0.7) 3 (0.5) 16 (6.0) 48 (1.2)

Clinical N-stage, No (%)


N0 642 (38.1) 563 (37.0) 233 (36.5) 57 (21.4) 1495 (36.4)
N1 568 (33.7) 560 (36.8) 260 (40.8) 105 (39.5) 1493 (36.3)
N2 75 (4.4) 110 (7.2) 46 (7.2) 12 (4.5) 243 (5.9)
N3 47 (2.8) 44 (2.9) 16 (2.5) 8 (3.0) 115 (2.8)
NX 331 (19.6) 230 (15.1) 78 (12.2) 66 (24.8) 705 (17.1)
Missing 23 (1.4) 15 (1.0) 5 (0.8) 18 (6.8) 61 (1.5)

Clinical M-stage, No (%)


M0 1012 (60.0) 943 (62.0) 395 (61.9) 97 (36.5) 2447 (59.5)
M1 461 (27.3) 437 (28.7) 201 (31.5) 107 (40.2) 1206 (29.3)
MX 188 (11.2) 124 (8.1) 35 (5.5) 42 (15.8) 389 (9.5)
Missing 25 (1.5) 18 (1.2) 7 (1.1) 20 (7.5) 70 (1.7)

Histopathology, No (%)
Adenocarcinoma 1039 (61.6) 953 (62.6) 413 (64.7) 168 (63.2) 2573 (62.6)
Squamous 484 (28.7) 418 (27.5) 169 (26.5) 76 (28.6) 1147 (27.9)
Other 147 (8.7) 140 (9.2) 51 (8.0) 21 (7.9) 359 (8.7)
Missing 16 (0.9) 11 (0.7) 5 (0.8) 1 (0.4) 33 (0.8)

Comorbidities – within 10 years of cancer, No (%)


Myocardial infarction 136 (8.1) 94 (6.2) 18 (2.8) 19 (7.1) 267 (6.5)
COPD 115 (6.8) 79 (5.2) 28 (4.4) 12 (4.5) 234 (5.7)

Multidisciplinary conference
Yes 1077 (63.9) 1051 (69.1) 474 (74.3) 95 (35.7) 2697 (65.6)
No 539 (32.0) 409 (26.9) 148 (23.2) 114 (42.9) 1210 (29.4)
Missing 70 (4.2) 62 (4.1) 16 (2.5) 57 (21.4) 205 (5.0)

Planned primary treatment, No (%)


Curative surgery 475 (28.2) 572 (37.6) 252 (39.5) 29 (10.9) 1328 (32.3)
Curative chemo + radiotherapy 97 (5.8) 55 (3.6) 35 (5.5) 5 (1.9) 192 (4.7)
Other curative treatment 33 (2.0) 21 (1.4) 9 (1.4) 4 (1.5) 67 (1.6)
Palliative oncological treatment 297 (17.6) 304 (20.0) 140 (21.9) 35 (13.2) 776 (18.9)
Other palliative treatment 453 (26.9) 357 (23.5) 114 (17.9) 88 (33.1) 1012 (24.6)
No tumour treatment 291 (17.3) 172 (11.3) 74 (11.6) 64 (24.1) 601 (14.6)
Missing 40 (2.4) 41 (2.7) 14 (2.2) 41 (15.4) 136 (3.3)

ASA-class, American society of anesthesiologists classification; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

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G. Linder et al. Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98

Table 2
Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence limits (CI) from logistic regression models for the outcome planned curative treatment.

Proportion planned curative treatment in subgroup (%) Univariate Multivariate

OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p

Education level
Low (36.8) 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
Intermediate (43.8) 1.35 (1.17–1.55) < 0.001 1.05 (0.83–1.33) 0.666
High (47.4) 1.58 (1.31–1.90) < 0.001 1.48 (1.08–2.03) 0.014

Sex
Male (41.4) 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
Female (35.7) 0.79 (0.68–0.91) 0.002 0.82 (0.65–1.05) 0.114

Age at diagnosis
< 60 (56.3) 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
60–64 (50.9) 0.80 (0.64–1.01) 0.061 0.84 (0.57–1.26) 0.406
65–69 (49.4) 0.76 (0.61–0.94) 0.010 0.69 (0.48–1.00) 0.053
70–74 (46.5) 0.68 (0.54–0.84) < 0.001 0.54 (0.37–0.79) 0.001
75–80 (35.1) 0.42 (0.33–0.53) < 0.001 0.35 (0.23–0.51) < 0.001
80+ (12.9) 0.12 (0.09–0.15) < 0.001 0.06 (0.04–0.09) < 0.001

Multidisciplinary conference
No (21.7) 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
Yes (48.5) 3.42 (2.93–4.00) < 0.001 3.13 (2.40–4.08) < 0.001

Multivariate analysis is adjusted for Geographical region, Clinical TNM-stage, ASA-class, Histopathological subtype and Myocardial infarction and/or COPD (10 years prior to diagnosis of
cancer), in addition to variables presented above.
Complete analysis is available in Supplementary Table 2.
ASA-class, American society of anesthesiologists classification; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

3.3. Education level and survival combination of neoadjuvant CRT followed by esophagectomy. Patients
that are not so fit but with a localized tumor may still be able to receive
In the 1587 patients allocated to curative treatment, a multivariate curative treatment by surgery alone or definite CRT. Unfit patients, or
Cox regression model utilizing as outcome death from any cause, re- patients with severe comorbidity or very advanced tumor are normally
vealed that patients with high education level had better survival (HR offered palliative treatment. Treatment allocation also depends on the
0.82, 95% CI 0.69–0.99) as compared to patients with short education decision of the physician, a decision that may be better balanced in a
(≤9 years). Early TNM-stage, lower age and lower ASA-class as well as multidisciplinary setting, and on the preference of the patient.
no COPD diagnosis were all independently associated with improved If the results from the present study are interpreted correctly they
survival. should raise questions on the equality of healthcare provided at hos-
The presentation of the case at a multidisciplinary conference was a pitals throughout Sweden. In the Netherlands, with a different health
solid predictor of improved survival in both the 1788 patients allocated care system than in Sweden, it seems as if curative treatment is offered
to palliative treatment (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.66–0.82) as well as in those in greater extent to esophageal cancer patients with high socioeconomic
737 patients allocated to no treatment at all (HR 0.69, 95% CI status [21]. Launay et al. studied patients with esophageal cancer living
0.56–0.85). Table 3. in socioeconomically deprived areas and found shorter survival in those
residing in the most deprived areas [22]. Likewise data in patients with
3.4. Overall survival pancreatic cancer, living in areas characterized by high socioeconomic
standards, revealed that those patients were more likely to undergo
Among all patients in the cohort with known educational status surgical resection at University hospitals [23]. Similarly, results have
(n = 3846), the unadjusted 5-year survival was 13.3% (95% CI been presented to suggest a difference in the quality and standard of
11.6–15.4) for patients with short education, 17.7% (95% CI treatment as well as in outcomes, in those patients with low income and
15.6–20.0) for patients with intermediate and 19.7% (95% CI low socioeconomic status suffering from breast cancer [24] or prostate
16.4–23.8) for patients with long duration of education, log rank test, p- cancer [25].
value < 0.001, as visualized in Fig. 2. In an effort to separate the key elements confined to low socio-
economic status, the present study focuses on the patient’s educational
level (as reflected by the length of the well-defined education), rather
4. Discussion than on the patient’s place of residence or income, and these factor’s
possible impact on the intended treatment. The following mechanisms
It can be assumed that the educational level covaries with the so- are proposed to explain the impact of education on the selection of
cioeconomic status. However, solely educational level has not, until treatment and outcomes. First, there is the patients readiness to detect,
now, been focused on in the context of predicting the treatment choice accept and understand the signs and symptoms of the disease and
in patients with esophageal- or gastroesophageal junctional cancer. A submit to the consequences thereof, potentially leading to effects on the
subgroup analysis of all patients allocated to curative treatment also tumor stage at the time of the diagnosis. Attempts were made to adjust
demonstrated improved survival for those patients with longer educa- for other corresponding imbalances in established prognostic risk fac-
tion. Moreover, patients only amenable for palliative treatment, or no tors, already present at the time of the diagnosis.
treatment at all, still fared better than their counterparts if presented Second, the issue of communication between patient and doctor
and discussed at a multidisciplinary conference. plays a pivotal role [26] where focus must be to guide the patient to-
Allocation of esophageal- or gastroesophageal junctional cancer to wards an understanding of the underlying disease and possible treat-
curative or palliative treatment is based on tumor and patient related ments. It is unprofessional to administer CRT and/or to perform de-
factors; most importantly tumor stage, comorbidity and physical fitness. manding surgery, altering the patient’s ability to ingest food, on an ill
Fit patients with localized disease are most commonly offered a

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G. Linder et al. Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98

Fig. 1. Graphic presentation of Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence limits (CI) from multivariate logistic regression model for the outcome planned curative treatment.

informed patient. The decisions regarding treatment must be made in limited education, the need for well-tailored information might be even
mutual agreement between the physician in charge and the patient. A larger, emphasizing the necessity for the physician in charge to explain
recent interview-study by Lineback et al., covering 80 patients with the disease-characteristics and management concepts together with
esophageal cancer, concluded that communication difficulties and lack treatment options before any decision on future treatment can be made.
of understanding of treatment were more commonly reported in the Another finding in the present study was the beneficial effects of the
lower socioeconomic status groups. They also reported that patients presentation of each individual case to a multidisciplinary conference.
with low socioeconomic status were infrequently offered surgical In this cohort of 4112 patients, it was apparent that patients who had
treatment [27]. their case presented at a multidisciplinary conference had an associated
Patients with a higher educational level are possibly more receptive higher probability of being offered curative treatment. This is probably
to information and psychologically and intellectually more ready to largely due to selection bias, in the sense that patients amenable for
understand and grasp the concept of the multimodal treatment, the surgery are more likely to be presented at a multidisciplinary con-
risks of not adhering to plans and integrate programs and treatment ference than patients with metastatic disease. Another mechanism for
ordinations. This is in line with recent findings regarding an increased selection bias could be diagnosis and treatment of patients at lower
compliance in patients with high education level to screening programs surgical volume county hospitals, not utilizing multidisciplinary con-
for breast- and cervical cancer [28]. On the other hand, in patients with ferences, before the implementation of centralization of esophageal-

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G. Linder et al.

Table 3
Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence limits (CI) from Cox proportional hazards models for the outcome death from any cause. Separate models were fitted for each planned treatment.

Curative treatment planned Palliative treatment planned No tumor treatment planned

Univariate Multivariate Univariate Multivariate Univariate Multivariate

HR (95% CI) p HR (95% CI) p HR (95% CI) p HR (95% CI) p HR (95% CI) p HR (95% CI) p

Education level
Low 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
Intermediate 0.88 (0.76–1.01) 0.064 0.95 (0.82–1.10) 0.497 0.97 (0.88–1.08) 0.630 1.01 (0.90–1.13) 0.855 0.93 (0.76–1.12) 0.433 1.06 (0.84–1.34) 0.600
High 0.83 (0.69–0.99) 0.039 0.82 (0.69–0.99) 0.036 0.97 (0.84–1.12) 0.693 1.05 (0.90–1.23) 0.498 0.98 (0.76–1.28) 0.895 1.10 (0.81–1.49) 0.539

Sex
Male 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
Female 0.92 (0.79–1.07) 0.294 0.95 (0.81–1.11) 0.496 1.00 (0.90–1.12) 0.985 0.95 (0.85–1.07) 0.381 1.03 (0.86–1.24) 0.751 1.12 (0.91–1.37) 0.295

96
Age at diagnosis
< 60 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
60–64 1.27 (1.04–1.55) 0.018 1.20 (0.98–1.47) 0.081 0.88 (0.73–1.06) 0.184 0.85 (0.70–1.03) 0.089 1.98 (1.25–3.14) 0.004 1.17 (0.71–1.92) 0.546
65–69 1.18 (0.97–1.43) 0.094 1.16 (0.95–1.42) 0.155 0.96 (0.80–1.14) 0.608 0.93 (0.78–1.12) 0.439 1.45 (0.93–2.24) 0.100 1.03 (0.63–1.67) 0.910
70–74 1.35 (1.10–1.64) 0.004 1.30 (1.05–1.61) 0.016 1.18 (0.99–1.42) 0.069 1.16 (0.95–1.41) 0.137 1.50 (0.99–2.28) 0.056 1.08 (0.68–1.71) 0.751
75–80 1.35 (1.08–1.69) 0.008 1.31 (1.04–1.65) 0.024 1.14 (0.96–1.37) 0.140 1.12 (0.92–1.35) 0.265 1.32 (0.88–1.98) 0.176 0.93 (0.58–1.48) 0.752
80+ 1.57 (1.22–2.01) < 0.001 1.78 (1.36–2.34) < 0.001 1.16 (0.99–1.35) 0.069 1.24 (1.04–1.49) 0.016 1.61 (1.12–2.32) 0.011 0.91 (0.58–1.40) 0.656

Multidisciplinary conference
No 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) – 1.00 (ref.) –
Yes 1.27 (1.07–1.51) 0.007 0.97 (0.80–1.18) 0.795 0.74 (0.67–0.82) < 0.001 0.73 (0.66–0.82) < 0.001 1.06 (0.88–1.27) 0.556 0.69 (0.56–0.85) < 0.001

Multivariate analysis is adjusted for Geographical region, Clinical TNM-stage, ASA-class, Histopathological subtype and Myocardial infarction and/or COPD (10 years prior to diagnosis of cancer) in addition to variables presented above. Complete
analysis is available in Supplementary Table 3.
ASA-class, American society of anesthesiologists classification; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98
G. Linder et al. Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98

Fig. 2. Kaplan-Meier curve depicting overall survival by education level.


Log rank test, p < 0.001.

and gastroesophageal junctional cancers to university hospitals was in cohort, exposures that may be associated with both educational level
effect. The solid result in the multivariate model of the present study, and treatment allocation. Thus there might be some residual con-
however, merits attention. The advantages of a multidisciplinary con- founding.
ference are vigorously advocated but less is published in support of its In determining the exposure, duration of education, there is a risk of
positive effects on improved clinical outcomes. One previous study underestimating the impact of alternative forms of education. Informal
have shown improved timeliness to surgery, adherence to guidelines education may not be reported as regular schooling why some patients
and increased probability of a complete staging as a direct effect of the may in fact harbor a higher level of education than registered in our
introduction of a multidisciplinary conference [29]. Furthermore, the database. This implies a situation where some patients would have
present study demonstrated that, in patients allocated to palliative longer education than officially reported. However, this would only
treatment or no treatment at all, a multidisciplinary conference was dilute the results in the lower educational group further, thus driving
associated with increased survival. It could of course be argued that the results towards the null.
palliative patients discussed multidisciplinary having better outcomes Some patients, although reported in the register as allocated to
reflects the benefits of having multiple disciplines available for these curative treatment, never actually receive curative treatment but are
patients, rather than true treatment changes because of a multi- handled as “intention-to-treat” in this study. This is a strength when
disciplinary team meeting. Taking that into consideration, these find- drawing conclusions from the survival analysis.
ings still add to the support, and usefulness, of the multidisciplinary The follow-up time, forming the base for survival analysis, ranged
conference. from 1 to 8 years. There were no significant changes in proportions of
As in all observational studies the risk of confounding has to be the exposure, education level, over the study period (data not shown).
carefully appreciated. In order to minimize the risk of this error a DAG The choice to include patients in this cohort on the basis criteria that
analysis was carried out beforehand with the ambition to address all they have been diagnosed with esophageal- or gastroesophageal junc-
possible confounders and adjust for those. Among possible confounders tional cancers, not limiting the study only to patients that have un-
both alcohol consumption and tobacco use increase the risk of devel- dergone treatment is a strength of the present study, differing it from
oping esophageal- and gastroesophageal junctional cancer [30,31] and other cohort studies. Other mentionable strengths of the study, con-
are more common in those representing low socioeconomic status [32]. stituting more than 95% of all patients diagnosed with esophageal- or
Data on smoking is unfortunately incomplete for the included years gastroesophageal junctional cancers in Sweden during the study period,
with accurate information on tobacco use missing in 63.6% of all pa- are the population-based design, great number of patients included and
tients in the cohort. The amount of missing information on tobacco use the robust data from well-validated registers minimizing selection bias
was determined too high for meaningful imputation according to the and misclassification.
MICE-algorithm. However, in an earnest attempt to address the issue, In conclusion, this large nationwide cohort study demonstrate that
the registered diagnoses of COPD and myocardial infarction within 10 high education level, as reflected by long duration of schooling, is as-
years of diagnosis of esophageal- or gastroesophageal junctional cancer sociated with a greater probability of being offered curative treatment
was utilized as a proxy in the multivariable models. There was no for esophageal- and gastroesophageal junctional cancers. High educa-
collected data on use of alcohol, physical fitness, or dietary habits in the tion level is also associated with improved survival for these patients. In

97
G. Linder et al. Cancer Epidemiology 52 (2018) 91–98

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