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Investments Kapitel 1
Investments Kapitel 1
Investments:
1 Background and Issues
• Financial assets
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1.1 Real versus Financial Assets
• Nature of Investment: Reduce current
consumption for greater future consumption
Real
Assets
Financial Assets:
Productive Claims on Real Assets or
Capacity Real Asset Income
Property,
plants and
equipment,
human
capital, etc.
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Table 1.1 Balance Sheet, U.S. Households, 2019
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1.1 Financial Assets = Financial Liabilities
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1.1 Financial Assets = Financial Liabilities
• Financial Assets and Liabilities must balance.
Financial Assets
(Owner of the claim)
Financial Liability
(Issuer of the Claim)
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Table 1.2 Domestic Net Worth, 2019
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CHECK
• Are the following assets real or financial?
a) Patent
b) Lease obligations
c) Customwer goodwill
d) A college education
e) A $5 dollar bill
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1.2 Financial Assets
• Equity
• An ownership share in a corporation
• Derivative securities
• Securities providing payoffs that depend on the
values of other assets
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1.2 Financial Assets
Common Stock
Ownership stake in entity,
residual cash flow
Asset
Classes
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
• Informational Role of Financial Markets
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
• Consumption Timing
• Risk Allocation
• Investors select desired risk level
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
• Consumption Timing
Consumption
Savings
Dissavings
Dissavings
Income
Age
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
• Mitigating Factors
•Performance-based compensation
•Threat of takeovers
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
• Corporate Governance and Corporate Ethics
• Accounting scandals
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
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1.4 The Investment Process: Asset Allocation
• Asset Allocation
• Allocation of an investment portfolio across
broad asset classes.
• Primary determinant of a portfolio's return
• Percentage of fund in asset classes
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1.4 The Investment Process: Asset Allocation
• Asset Allocation
• Primary determinant of a portfolio's return
• Percentage of fund in asset classes, for example:
10%
Equity 25% 25%
30%
60% Bonds
50%
Bills
• Security Selection
• Choice of particular securities within asset class
• Bottom up Investment strategies
• Security Analysis
• Analysis of the value of securities
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1.5 Markets Are Competitive
• Risk-Return Trade-Off
• Higher expected returns ßà Higher risk
• Stock portfolios lose money an average of 25%
• Bonds
• Lower average rates of return (under 6%)
• Not lost more than 13% of value in any one year
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1.5 Markets Are Competitive
• Risk-Return Trade-Off
• Assets with higher expected returns have higher
risk
Average Annual Return Minimum (1931) Maximum (1933)
Stocks About 12% −46% 55%
• Risk-Return Trade-Off
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1.5 Markets Are Competitive
• In Efficient Markets Securities should
Choice of
Your Belief in
Investment-
Market Management
Efficiency
Style
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1.5 Markets Are Competitive
• Efficient Markets
• Passive management
• Active management
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1.5 Markets Are Competitive
Active Passive
Management Management
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1.6 The Players
• Business Firms (net borrowers)
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1.6 The Players
• Financial Intermediaries
• Commercial banks
• Investment companies
• Insurance companies
• Pension funds
• Hedge funds
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1.6 The Players
• Investment Bankers
• Primary market
• Secondary market
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1.6 The Players
• Investment Bankers
• Glass Steagall Act: Separate from commercial banks'
functions by law (1933-1999)
• Post-1999: Large commercial banks increased
investment-banking activities, transforming in universal
banks and pressuring investment banks’ profit margins.
• Some commercial banks started their own investment
division from scratch, but more commonly they expanded
through merger.
• September 2008: Mortgage-market collapse
• Major investment banks bankrupt; purchased/reorganized
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1.6 The Players
• Investment Bankers
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Investment bankers
• With the passage of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform
and Consumer Protection Act in 2010, Glass Steagall was
partially restored via the Volcher rule (which generally
prohibits commercial banks from conducting certain
investment activities with their own accounts – proprietary
trading - and investing in hedge funds and private equity
funds).
• In 2018, Congress passed the Economic Growth,
Regulatory Relief and Consumer Protection Act which
established a threshold ($10 billion in assets) for banks to
be exempt from the Volcher rule.
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Table 1.3 Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks, 2019
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Table 1.4 Balance Sheet of Nonfinancial U.S. Business, 2019
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1.6 The Players
• Venture Capital and Private Equity
• Venture capital
• Private equity
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1.6 The players
• Private equity is capital invested in a company or
other entity that is not publicly listed or traded.
• Venture capital is funding given to startups or
other young businesses that show potential for
long-term growth.
• Private equity and venture capital buy different
types of companies, invest different amounts of
money, and claim different amounts of equity in
the companies in which they invest.
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Fintech and Financial Innovation
• Sometimes innovations are spurred by technological
advances that make possible previously infeasible
products.
• FinTech: Application of technology to financial markets
- Ex: Cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology
• Bitcoin and ethereum allow for payment system that
bypass traditional channels such as credit cards, debit
cards or checks.
• The blockchain technology used by these currencies can
offer greater security and anonimity for financial
transactions.
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1.7 The Financial Crisis of 2008-2009
Changes in Housing Finance
Old Way New Way
• Local thrift institution made • Securitization: Fannie Mae
mortgage loans to and Freddie Mac bought
homeowners mortgage loans, bundled
• Thrift’s possessed a them into large pools
portfolio of long-term • Mortgage-backed securities
mortgage loans are tradable claims against
• Thrift’s main liability: the underlying mortgage
Deposits pool
• “Originate to hold” • “Originate to distribute”
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1.7 Changes in Housing Finance
• Securitization
• Pooling loans into standardized securities back
by loans
• Can be traded like any other security
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1.7 Changes in Housing Finance (Continued)
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1.7 The Financial Crisis of 2008-2009
• Mortgage Derivatives
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1.7 The Financial Crisis of 2008-2009
• Credit Default Swaps
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1.7 The Financial Crisis of 2008-2009
• Systemic Risk
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1.7 The Financial Crisis of 2008-2009
• The Shoe Drops
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Figure 1.1 LIBOR, T-Bill Rates and the TED Spread
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Figure 1.2 Cumulative Returns
Cumulative returns on a $1 investment in the S&P 500 index
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Figure 1.3 Case-Shiller Index of U.S. Housing Prices
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1.7 The Financial Crisis of 2008-2009
• Dodd-Frank Reform Act
• Volcker Rule:
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1.8 Text Outline
• Part One: Introduction to Financial Markets,
Securities, and Trading Methods
• Part Two: Modern Portfolio Theory
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