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Anderson YouthArabSpring 2013
Anderson YouthArabSpring 2013
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Youth, the "Arab Spring," and Social Movements
Charles W. Anderson
Georgetown University
spring" has given way to an "Arab winter." Aaron David Miller, a frequent
guest and commentator on NPR programs and in other media, has been an
early and insistent purveyor of this discourse. Where the winter metaphor
typically stands for the ascent or victory of counterrevolutionary currents,
in Miller's handling it has an additional meaning. In his view the uprisings
present American statecraft with a dilemma, as the "growing influence of
Arab public opinion on the actions of Arab governments and the absence of
strong leaders will make it much tougher for the United States to pursue its
traditional policies," which have long included, as he acknowledges, support for
many of the region's besieged dictatorships. Hence, in an analysis redolent of
his former home at the State Department, the prospect of democratic change
and more accountable government in the Arab world is seen as an alarming
development, and in this sense, an "Arab winter" for the US.12
Beyond the matter of questionable metaphors, uncertainty abounds and
there is undoubtedly much cause for concern. Yet scrutiny of prior revolutions
and world historical revolutionary upsurges gives cause for caution before
rushing to hasty conclusions and postmortems. Major transformations,
like those ongoing in the Middle East, have seldom unfolded in a unilinear,
uncomplicated, or easily predictable fashion. Most pass through a complex
variety of phases in which competing forces continue to vie with one another
and contend to shape the outcomes, norms, and expectations of the new era.
In cases where a regime or its top figures are dislodged, the initial cycle(s) of
mobilization and opposition typically find greater consensus (around limited
or first-order aims, such as toppling dictators) than do their aftermaths
when the revolutionary camp often splinters as debate, division, and conflict
reemerge among its constituent elements.13 For revolutionary campaigns
that fail to attain the ouster of a regime or its key leaders, such as in Syria
to date, circumstances (and the prognostications of observers) may well be
substantially more acute or bleak. In both cases, clear-cut results can be elusive,
especially in the near term, and struggles over the state and its relationship
to society may wind up in a protracted, grinding series of confrontations,
episodes, or moments. Victories by one party or another, such as the capture
of state power, might be only temporary, as the Muslim Brotherhood has
bitterly learned in Egypt. By the same token, movements and struggles that
outwardly appear dead or defeated may later give rise to new incarnations,
or otherwise help lay the groundwork for further contention in the future.
If the short-term indeterminacy of many revolutionary contests calls our
attention back to the multiple time scales or temporalities over which they
unfold,14 some of the best scholarship on contemporary youth activism in
the region also suggests the need to rethink other conventional assumptions.
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End Notes
*Mona El-Ghobashy, "Theories of the Egyptian Revolution," The Hagop Kevorkian Center
for Near Eastern Studies, NYU, 14 November 2011. See also: El-Ghobashy, "The Praxis of the
Egyptian Revolution," Middle East Report 258 (Spring 2010): 2-13.
2Quoted in Ryan Lizza, "The Consequentialist: How the Arab Spring Remade Obama's Foreign
Policy," The New Yorker , 2 May 2011.
3For a critique, see Greg Burris, "Lawrence of E-Rabia: Facebook and the New Arab Revolt,"
Jadaliyya E-zine , October 2011.
"For example, Ted Swedenburg, "Imagined Youths," Middle East Report 245 (Winter 2007):
4-11; Asef Bayat, Life as Politics: How Ordinary People Change the Middle East (Stanford: Stanford
University Press, 2009).
international Labour Organization, "Global Employment Outlook September 2012: Bleak
Labour Market Prospects for Youth," conclusions in brief at UN News Centre: http://www.
un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=42797&Cr=Youth&Crl=#.UMYSMpPjnCZ.
6Swedenburg, "Imagined Youths," 5.
7The youth field in Palestine, for instance, has long been considered an elite preserve of
one variety or another, e.g., Yehoshua Porath, The Palestinian Arab National Movement, 1929-1939:
from Riots to Rebellion (London: Frank Cass, 1977). This is true even in newer scholarship that
expressly revises older perspectives on the early Palestinian national movement, such as Weldon
Matthews's important volume, Confronting an Empire, Constructing a Nation: Arab Nationalists and
Popular Politics in Mandate Palestine (London: LB. Tauris, 2006). My dissertation research rebuts
such presumptions, "From Petition to Confrontation: The Palestinian National Movement and
the Rise of Mass Politics, 1929-1939," New York University, 2013.
8On Egypt, relevant studies include: Richard P. Mitchell, The Society of the Muslim Brothers
(London: Oxford University Press, 1969); James Jankowski, Egypt's Young Rebeb: 'Young Egypt':
1933-1952 (Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, 1975); Ahmed Abdalla, The Student Movement
and Nationalist Politics in Egypt, 1923-1973 (London: Al-Saqi Books, 1985); and more recently, Israel
Gershoni and James Jankowski, Confronting Fascism in Egypt: Dictatorship versus Democracy in the
1930s (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2009). Regarding Syria, see: Philip Khoury, Syria and
the French Mandate: The Politics of Arab Nationalism, 1920-1945 (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University
Press, 1987); Keith Watenpaugh, Being Modern in the Middle East: Revolution, Nationalism, Colonialism,
and the Arab Middle Class (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2006); and Jennifer Dueck,
The Claims of Culture at Empire's End: Syna and Lebanon under French Rule (Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 2010).
9For example: Peter Wien, "'Watan' and 'Rujula': the Emergence of a New Model of Youth
in Interwar Iraq," in Jorgen Baek Simonsen, editor, Youth and Youth Culture in the Contemporary
Middle East (Aarhus, Denmark: Aarhus University Press, 2005), 10-19.
10Gilbert Joseph and Daniel Nugent, "Introduction" in G. Joseph and D. Nugent, editors,
Everyday Forms of State Formation: Revolution and the Negotiation of Rule in Modern Mexico (Durham:
Duke University Press, 1994), 5.
"Juan Cole has recently argued that the Arab uprisings are in fact "youth revolts," a
designation sure to stir further contention, "Mobilization and Collective Action in the Arab
Spring," 10 November 2011, UCLA; available as a podcast through the G.E. von Grunebaum
Center for Near Eastern Studies: http://www.international.ucla.edu/cnes/podcasts/article.
asp?parentid=122955.
155
12See Aaron David Miller, "For America, an Arab Winter," The Wilson Quarterly (Summer 2011):
36-42; quote from 38.
13Charles Tripp, The Power and the People: Paths of Resistance in the Middle East (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 2013), 15-16.
14For somewhat varied considerations on temporality and social movements, see for instance:
George Katsiaficas, The Subversion of Politics: European Autonomous Social Movements and the
Decolonization of Everyday Life (Oakland, CA: AK Press, 2006 [1997]); Doug McAdam and William
H. Sewell, Jr., "It's About Time: Temporality in the Study of Social Movements and Revolutions,"
in Ronald R. Aminzade, editor, Silence and Voice in the Study of Contentious Politics (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 2001), 89-125; Tripp, The Powerand the People.
15John Chalcraft, "Horizontalism in the Egyptian Revolutionary Process," Middle East Report
262 (Spring 2012): 6-11.
16lbid.
18The rhizome as organizing rubric makes analogy to plants with horizontal and interlinked
rather than vertical and individualized root systems, and is a mindful reinvention of notions
of the grassroots.
19Chalcraft, "Horizontalism," 6.
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