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BRDM - 2018 - Vol1 - Part3 - Scheme Appraisal
BRDM - 2018 - Vol1 - Part3 - Scheme Appraisal
BRDM - 2018 - Vol1 - Part3 - Scheme Appraisal
1st Edition
2018
Kingdom of Bahrain Part 3 Scheme Appraisal Roads Design Manual
Document Control
Summary
This Part 3 of the Bahrain Roads Design Manual describes the procedures for carrying out
the appraisal of road projects in Bahrain. Appraisal includes economic, social and
environmental aspects of the scheme or project.
An appraisal summary table has been included as Appendix A and standard formats for
reporting the results of surveys and investigations have been included as Appendix B.
These are intended to assist the designer to carry out the necessary surveys and
investigations for scheme appraisal. These formats are generic and may require
modification to suit the requirements of specific projects.
The framework for the appraisal mechanism is drawn from the various Transport Analysis
Guidance (TAG) Notes issued by the Department for Transport in the UK. Separate
appraisal mechanisms are recommended for major and minor projects (Figure 2.1) based on
current best practice and considering the nature of roads projects in Bahrain.
In both cases, an economic analysis of all the options should be carried out to assess the
worthiness of a particular project.
A formal Post Project Review is mandatory for all appraisal methods. This review verifies
that all aspects of the project have been completed, confirms project information and
considers the issues that arose in the project development, particularly those that have
implications for future road planning.
The project performance data collected during the operation of a scheme provide vital
information on the validity of the assumptions made during appraisal, which can be used to
refine the appraisal process for future projects.
Figure 0.1 Wali Ahed Junction Shaikh Khalifa Bin Salman Highway
Contents
Part Title
PROCEDURAL REQUIREMENTS FOR ROAD PROJECTS
1 Introduction to the Bahrain Roads Design Manual
2 Planning Procedures
3 Scheme Appraisal
4 Design & Implementation Procedures
5 Road Safety
TECHNICAL REQUIREMENTS FOR ROAD PROJECTS
6 Road Geometry
Chapter 1: Introduction and General Design Criteria
Chapter 2: Link Design
Chapter 3: Cross Section Elements
Chapter 4: Junction Type, Size and Choice
Chapter 5: Design of Priority Junctions
Chapter 6: Grade Separated Junctions and Interchanges
Chapter 7: Roundabouts
Chapter 8: Signal Controlled Junctions (including Signalised Roundabouts)
Chapter 9: Highway Features
7 Geotechnical Investigation
8 Pavement Design and Rehabilitation
9 Road Drainage
10 Minor Road Structures
11 Street Lighting
12 Environmental Assessment & Design
TECHNICAL REQUIREMENTS FOR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT
13 Traffic Signs and Road Markings
14 Traffic Signals and Control Equipment
15 Road Safety Barriers
16 Traffic Management at Road Works
ROAD MAINTENANCE REQUIREMENTS
17 Road Maintenance
DRAWINGS
18 Standard Details
Summary .................................................................................................................................. 1
Contents ................................................................................................................................... 3
The Bahrain Roads Design Manual ..................................................................................... 3
Part 3 Scheme Appraisal ..................................................................................................... 4
List of Tables ........................................................................................................................ 5
List of Figures ....................................................................................................................... 5
Glossary ................................................................................................................................... 6
Definition of terms (particular to this Part)............................................................................ 6
Abbreviations (particular to this Part) ................................................................................... 8
1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 11
1.1 The Purpose of Appraisal ..................................................................................... 11
1.2 Overview of Appraisal Process Framework.......................................................... 12
1.3 Roads Project Types ............................................................................................ 22
2 Scheme Appraisal Procedure ............................................................................... 25
3 Appraisal of Major Projects ................................................................................... 27
3.1 Stages of Appraisal............................................................................................... 27
3.2 Pre-Feasibility Stage Appraisal ............................................................................ 27
3.3 Feasibility Stage Appraisal ................................................................................... 33
3.4 Post Project Review.............................................................................................. 47
4 Appraisal of Other Projects ................................................................................... 51
4.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 51
4.2 Assessment of Project Needs............................................................................... 51
4.3 Assessment of Existing Conditions ...................................................................... 52
4.4 Analysis of Needs ................................................................................................. 53
4.5 Objective Setting ................................................................................................... 53
4.6 Appraisal of Options ............................................................................................. 54
References ............................................................................................................................. 57
Appendix A Appraisal Summary Table .............................................................................. 58
Appendix B Formats for Surveys and Investigations ........................................................ 59
Format 3.1 Summary of Accident Data ........................................................................ 59
Format 3.2 Accident Severity Index (ASI) .................................................................... 60
Format 3.3 Road Inventory ........................................................................................... 61
Format 3.4 Pavement Condition Survey....................................................................... 64
Format 3.5 Axle Load Survey ....................................................................................... 66
Format 3.6 Speed Delay Survey .................................................................................. 67
Format 3.7 Turning Movement Counts ......................................................................... 68
Format 3.8 Manual Classified Counts .......................................................................... 69
Format 3.9 Travel Survey ............................................................................................. 70
Format 3.9 Vehicle Parameters .................................................................................... 71
Format 3.10 Roadside Interview Survey Form ............................................................... 72
List of Tables
Table 3.1 Characteristics of Options ...................................................................................... 28
Table 3.2 Format for Decision Matrix ..................................................................................... 32
Table 4.1 Typical Matrix showing requirement of surveys and investigations....................... 52
Table 4.2 Comparison of Benefits and Costs ........................................................................ 55
List of Figures
Figure 0.1 Wali Ahed Junction Shaikh Khalifa Bin Salman Highway ...................................... 2
Figure 0.2 Block 304 Manama ................................................................................................. 2
Figure 0.3 Isa Al Khabeer Avenue, Manama ........................................................................... 2
Figure 0.4 Avenue 1, Sitra ..................................................................................................... 10
Figure 0.5 Um Ishoum Avenue, Um Al Hassam .................................................................... 10
Figure 0.6 Suqiyah Avenue, Manama ................................................................................... 10
Figure 1.1 Flow Chart Showing Appraisal Framework .......................................................... 13
Figure 2.1 Flow Chart for Scheme Appraisal Procedure ....................................................... 26
Figure 3.1 Traffic and Economic Analysis ............................................................................. 40
Glossary
Each Part of this Manual includes a Glossary defining the special terms and abbreviations
particularly relevant in that Part of the Manual. In order to assist the reader or user of this
Manual:
(i) Terms (and abbreviations) that appear in many Parts are defined in Part 1, but not
in the individual Parts.
(ii) Terms (and abbreviations) that appear in several Parts are defined in Part 1, as well
as the relevant individual Parts.
(iii) Terms (and abbreviations) that only appear in a few Parts are only defined in those
Parts where they occur.
If the reader encounters a term which is unfamiliar, or wants a precise definition, then the
recommended approach is to:
(i) Look in the glossary for that Part
(ii) Look in the glossary in Part 1
(iii) Search on the internet (or in a dictionary of technical terms).
TERM DEFINITION
Axle Load Survey A survey used to measure the weight of individual axles of trucks.
This is generally carried out on a sample basis and covering all types
of trucks using the particular road link.
Bathymetric Survey Bathymetry relates to, or to the study of, the terrain and contours of
the land underwater, such as the bottom of the sea bed.
Bathymetry is the measurement of the depth of land under a body of
water as measured from the water surface.
Black Spot An accident black spot is a part of the road network where road
accidents have clustered within 20 m of each other. This information
is generally collected from GDT.
Cadastral Map A legal map for recording ownership of property.
The map describes both the boundaries and the ownership of
properties.
Cost Benefit Cost benefit analysis, sometimes called benefit–cost analysis, is a
Analysis systematic process for calculating and comparing benefits and costs
of a project.
Economic Analysis Estimation of the economic costs and benefits of a particular project,
aimed at assessing the worthiness of the project in National terms.
Feasibility Study Feasibility studies are carried out to develop and evaluate alternative
solutions to major transport improvement needs.
force majeure Unforeseeable circumstances that prevent someone from fulfilling a
contract.
Hydrology The science of the properties, distribution, and circulation of water on
the surface of the land, in the soil and underlying rocks, and in the
atmosphere.
Junction A road intersection – a place where two or more roads meet (or join).
TERM DEFINITION
Land Acquisition Land Acquisition means acquiring of land for road improvement
and/or new road alignment by the government/government agency, as
authorized by the law, from the individual landowner(s) after paying
government compensation in lieu of losses incurred by land owner(s)
due to surrendering of his/their land to the government agency.
Micro-simulation Type of transport model where the movements of individual vehicles
are represented on the network using car following, lane changing
and gap acceptance rules.
Overpass A grade separation where one road passes over another road at a
level above that of the surrounding land.
Passenger Car A unit representing the number of passenger cars which are
Equivalent Unit equivalent to a single vehicle of a particular type under prevailing
(PCU) traffic, roadway and control conditions.
Pavement A pavement condition survey is the process of collecting data on an
Condition Survey existing pavement to determine the structural integrity, distresses,
skid resistance, and overall riding quality of the pavement.
Pavement Currently in Bahrain pavement deflection tests are carried out using
Deflection Test the Falling Weight Deflectometer (FWD)
Reclamation Level The level to which the reclaimed land is finished off for infrastructure
works to be planned and designed.
In Bahrain, minimum reclamation levels are stipulated in the Dredging
and Reclamation Manual.
Reconnaissance A preliminary survey of a project site, usually executed rapidly and at
Survey a relatively low cost, prior to mapping in detail and with greater
precision to identify and capture the major issues.
These surveys are generally carried out by experts, who have prior
experience of such surveys.
Road Inventory A survey along the road alignment using simple measuring
instruments to capture the features within the road corridor, which can
be used to prepare the concept design of the improvement proposals.
Roughness Survey Measurements taken along an existing road pavement, generally
along the outer wheel paths to assess the straightness of the surface.
Roughness is expressed as International Roughness Index.
Speed and Delay A survey carried out on an existing road section to assess the
Survey average speed and delays along the section.
Subgrade Subgrade is the natural ground material underneath a constructed
roadway, footway or railway track. It is also called the formation level.
It is the prepared ground surface on which the pavement layers are
placed.
Traffic modelling Traffic modelling is a technique that uses computer based simulations
of junctions and highways to predict future traffic conditions based
upon real origin and destination data, usually collected via surveys of
traffic movements.
Triaxial Test A tri-axial (or triaxial) shear test is a common method to measure the
mechanical properties of many deformable solids, especially soil
(sand or clay) and rock, and other granular materials or powders.
There are several variations on the test.
ABBREVIATION MEANING
AADF Annual Average Daily Flow (in one direction at opening)
ADT Average Daily Traffic
ARCADY “Assessment of Roundabout Capacity and Delay” static roundabout
model developed by TRL (UK)
ARCADY now forms part of the ‘Junctions 8’ package.
ASI Acceleration Severity Index (EN 1317)
AST Appraisal Summary Table (see template in Appendix A)
BTM Bahrain Transport Model
CBA Cost Benefit Analysis
EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return
GDT General Directorate of Traffic, Ministry of the Interior
GPS Global Positioning System
HCM Highway Capacity Manual
IRI International Roughness Index
IRR Internal Rate of Return
MOWMAUP Ministry of Works, Municipalities Affairs and Urban Planning
NPDS National Planning and Development Strategies
NPV Net Present Value
NSD National Survey Datum
OOR Opening of Roads
PIA Project Influence Area
PICADY “Priority Intersection Capacity and Delay” static priority junction
modelling software developed by TRL (UK).
PICADY now forms part of the ‘Junctions 8’ package.
PPP Public Private Partnership
PVB Present Value of Benefits
PVC Present Value of Costs
RDS Roads Design Section, RPDD
RSA Road Safety Audit
SIDRA Static intersection modelling software developed in Australia.
Similar to PICADY/ARCADY/OSCADY but combines priority junction,
roundabout and signal modelling in one program.
SLRB Survey & Land Registration Bureau
TIA Transport Impact Assessment
ABBREVIATION MEANING
TPS Traffic Planning & Studies Section, RPDD
VISUM Software for traffic analysis, forecasts and GIS-based data
management, developed by PTV Group
VOC Vehicle Operating Cost
1 Introduction
1.1.6 The purpose of appraisal is to ensure that public funds are allocated in an efficient
and effective manner by establishing the merits of a road improvement proposal within a
consistent and comprehensive framework. Bids for public funds for infrastructure projects
invariably exceed the resources available. Setting priorities and making choices and are
therefore inescapable. Systematic appraisal and professional management of all capital
projects helps to ensure that the most appropriate choices are made and the best value for
money is obtained. A decision on the most appropriate choice needs to be made on the
basis of comprehensive analysis of the full range of competing options using a consistent
approach.
1.1.7 The appraisal process should provide an assessment of whether a road
improvement or development proposal is worthwhile and clearly communicate conclusions
and recommendations. It is important to recognise that appraisal is an on-going process
throughout the life of a project.
CONSULTATION PARTICIPATION
and INFORMATION (4)
Iteration
OPTION TESTING & APPRAISAL (9) may be
required
DEVELOPMENT AND SELECTION /
ELIMINATION OF OPTIONS (10)
CONSULTATIONS (11)
FUNDING (13)
1.2.17 The analysis of the current problems on the transport system is a crucial step.
Such problems could include traffic congestion, accident black spots, community severance,
restriction of pedestrian movement, insufficient capacity for future traffic demand, etc. This
analysis brings the issues at which the study should be aimed into sharper focus. There is
little difference, in concept, between a comprehensive set of problems identified by relating
conditions to thresholds and a comprehensive set of quantified objectives.
1.2.18 Problems may be analysed at very broad or very specific levels. At the broad
level, a problem may be identified where it is judged that an objective is not being met. For
example, if an objective had been set to reduce emissions from transport to a specified
level, and if emissions can be shown to be above that specified level, there is a poor air
quality problem. Thus, problems can be defined as unmet objectives. Problems may be
identified in a number of ways, including:
(i) By consulting people about their perceptions of the problems, both those that they
encounter when travelling and those which result from other people travelling,
(ii) Through discussions with representatives of the Municipalities and Governorates
and the transport providers to gain an understanding of the transport and planning
professionals’ perceptions of problems with the transport system,
(iii) By conducting audits of specific elements of the transport system in order to gain a
deeper understanding of the roles performed and to analyse the extent to which
the expected aims are not met, and
(iv) By analysing outputs from the transport model in comparison with thresholds so as
to enable the geographic display of the worst conditions on a consistent numerical
basis across the study area.
1.2.19 It is crucial, however, that the causes of the problems are investigated before
solutions are generated. It has often been argued in the past that focusing on problems as
the stimulus for option development encourages a superficial approach whereby solutions
are adopted which ‘patch up’ the symptoms without addressing the real underlying causes.
Analysis of causes avoids this pitfall.
1.2.20 Consistency between the approaches adopted in different studies will be essential
in several key respects, notably forecasts of travel demand, in the methods of environmental
impact assessment and cost/benefit analysis, and in the values of the economic parameters
which are used in the cost/benefit analysis. As far as problems are concerned, however,
some degree of flexibility is desirable to ensure that solutions are developed which are most
suited to local and regional objectives.
1.2.29 The strategy should also specify when to involve them, for example:
(i) Before the start of the study so that views can be sought on the terms of reference,
(ii) At the start of the study so that views can be sought on local objectives,
(iii) In the early stages so that current perceptions of problems on or with the transport
system can be established,
(iv) After an analysis of the current transport situation so that the perceived problems
can be used to validate and, if necessary, adjust the computational procedures
used to identify problems,
(v) After the analysis of the future transport problems so that views can be sought on
the relative importance of the different kinds of problem,
(vi) At the start of the option development step so that views can be sought on the kind
of solution which should be considered,
(vii) As part of the appraisal process (e.g. involvement of the statutory bodies in
assessing the environmental aspects of particular options), or
(viii) After the options have been tested and appraised so that views of respondents
can be taken into account when making a decision about the preferred transport
strategy or plan.
1.2.43 Depending upon the size and complexity of the project, cost benefit analysis of the
option(s) shall be carried out. For large capital investment projects a sensitivity analysis
should also be carried out. The level of sensitivity testing should be appropriate for size and
cost of the project and the stage of design. At the pre-feasibility stage the assessment and
sensitivity testing should be broad, whereas as the scheme moves through feasibility, to
preliminary and detailed design, the analyses and testing should become more detailed and
refined.
Step 8: Costs
1.2.44 Costs are crucial to the appraisal process as benefits. Therefore, studies will need
to include estimates of the costs of implementation, operation, maintenance and
enforcement, to an appropriate level of accuracy to enable robust decisions to be made.
1.2.45 Step 8 is concerned with establishing the methods by which costs should be
estimated. The estimates themselves are derived as part of Step 9. Procedures need to be
established for each of the following kinds of costs, where applicable:
(i) Implementation costs - unit costs for land, construction, vehicles, etc.,
(ii) Operating costs - models of the costs of operating public transport and charging
systems,
(iii) Maintenance costs - unit rates or simple models, and
(iv) Enforcement costs - unit rates or simple models.
1.2.46 However, it would not be cost-effective to spend a considerable amount designing
something in detail, simply so that its cost could be determined with accuracy, only to find
subsequently that it fails the appraisal criteria and is rejected. Once the initial appraisal
results become available, it should then be possible to see where the cost estimates are
particularly important to the choices which have to be made and for the robustness of the
overall recommendations. Further effort may then be directed to refining those costs which
have a significant influence on the choices to be made.
Strategic Projects
1.3.3 Strategic Projects are those that had been identified in the 2003 Strategic Roads
Master Plan (SRMP 2003) and subsequent updates of the same and as recommendations
in National Planning and Development Strategies (NPDS) 2030. Projects that are of high
importance and have a great deal of strategic value to the Kingdom of Bahrain are included
in this programme. This programme contains projects that are of high value and risk.
Examples of these projects are, but not limited to; interchanges, flyovers, underpasses,
causeways, highways, major junction improvements, rock armouring and culvert works etc.
This category may include major improvements to strategic and existing routes or
developing new roads.
Road Improvements
1.3.4 Road Improvement schemes are the planned improvements to existing road links
and could be major or minor improvements. This programme mainly deals with projects that
are initiated to improve the existing roads. This will include improvement of an existing road
or a part of road network. Projects under this category can include road widening, dualling,
junction improvement, signalisation, roundabouts major reconstruction and projects on
smaller avenues or roads etc. These projects may include the provision and/or
improvement of safety measures, road signing and marking, construction of storm water
drainage, street lighting, foot bridges, footways and block paving etc. Certain projects could
arise as a result of requests or complaints received from various stakeholders.
Safety Schemes
1.3.7 Safety Schemes are projects that arise from related safety issues, usually places
with a poor accident record (sometimes described as accident “black spots”). The Road
Safety Measures programme includes projects to reduce the risk for those using the road
network by increasing safety measures at specified locations. This type of project includes
improved road markings, signalling, pedestrian crossings, footways, pedestrian bridges,
traffic calming, pedestrian barriers and other safety enhancement measures etc. This also
includes projects resulting from local complaints and/or accidents, and from the studies
undertaken to review specific locations with bad accident records.
Maintenance Schemes
1.3.9 Maintenance Schemes include the projects for the maintenance and rehabilitation
of the existing road network. This includes asphalt overlay, asphalt milling and overlay,
minor to medium level reconstruction, re-surfacing, asphalt reinstatement and patching etc.
also crack sealing and all related work like road re-marking, and maintenance of existing
traffic signs, marking and signals. There is further guidance on road maintenance schemes
in Part 17 (Road Maintenance) of this Manual.
Other Schemes
1.3.10 Besides the above project types, internal road systems within the privately
developed areas are being designed and executed by private entities. These projects are
not bound by the appraisal mechanism provided in this Manual. However, such projects
(and particularly if the roads are to be adopted as public roads in the future) are bound by
other regulatory requirements, such as highway design standards, requirements for
obtaining Planning Permission, Wayleave, Environmental Impact Assessments, Traffic
Impact Assessments, Road Safety Audits, etc., where applicable.
2.1.1 The framework for the appraisal procedure described in Chapter 1 of this Part shall
be followed as guidelines for project appraisal.
2.1.2 While the extent and details will vary from project to project, based on its size,
complexity and urgency, the following guidelines shall be followed for different categories of
projects.
2.1.3 In the case of large and strategically important projects, especially for externally
funded or Public Private Partnership (PPP) funded projects, it may be necessary to prepare
a pre-feasibility report to enable a funding agency or private financier to appreciate the
broad features of the project, the levels of financial involvement and probable returns. This
may be on the basis of a reconnaissance survey by collecting information on the present
status of the road, deficiency/distress identification, development potential, environmental
impact, traffic data (present and future), approximate estimation of cost and an economic
analysis. The economic analysis may involve traffic assignment studies, assessment of
resource generation potential, funding pattern and risk.
2.1.4 On obtaining satisfactory results from the pre-feasibility study, a feasibility study is
initiated to establish whether the proposal is acceptable in terms of soundness of
engineering design and expected benefits from the project for the investments involved.
The Feasibility Report enables the funding agency to accord approval to the project to
proceed to detailed design stage.
2.1.5 It is recommended that all Strategic Projects and some Major Improvement
projects (depending upon their size and complexity) should be subjected to a two stage
appraisal process:
(i) Pre-Feasibility Study – for inclusion on the list of projects to be considered; and
(ii) Feasibility Study – for budget approval for implementation.
For all other projects, a simplified version of the appraisal process shall be carried out. A
flow chart outlining the two appraisal methods is shown in Figure 2.1 below.
2.1.6 However, where the project is urgent from a strategic view point, or it is apparent
the pre-feasibility stage is not required, projects may be fast tracked by going straight to the
Feasibility Study stage. In this case, the Feasibility Study shall be more detailed and include
a study of the options and their corresponding costs and benefits.
Need Assessment
PRE-FEASIBILITY
Reconnaissance
Preliminary traffic surveys
Alternative options: Traffic & Engineering
- traffic Surveys
- geometric
- environmental issues
- social
- economic Cost Estimates
Preliminary costs
Option Evaluation
Preferred Option
Project Justification
Report
POST PROJECT
Initial EVALUATION
Project
Approval
FEASIBILITY
Socio-economic Profile
Traffic surveys Project Cost Estimation
Preliminary:
- topographic survey
- geotechnical survey Economic Analysis
- pavement design study
- drainage study
- land acquisition Assessment &
estimate Recommendations
- environmental
mitigation
- bathymetry survey (if POST PROJECT
EVALUATION
necessary)
Traffic Analysis and Projection
Existing Conditions
3.2.3 Based on reconnaissance surveys, this section should summarise the existing
traffic, engineering and environmental conditions in relation to the existing highway network,
including any special features which can be identified at this stage. Reference should also
be made to changes which it is known are planned to take place.
Engineering Assessment
3.2.7 Only a broad assessment of engineering issues can be made at this stage. The
condition of existing road pavements and highways structures should be reported based on
available data or visual examination of the road and structures. Topography, hydrology,
geology and geomorphology should be considered, and likely problems arising from them
(such as difficulties in alignment) should be identified at this stage, along with any mitigation
measures required.
3.2.8 Reconnaissance surveys should be carried to collect information on the following:
(i) Road inventory,
(ii) Visual pavement condition,
(iii) Visual condition survey of structures,
(iv) Drainage conditions, and
(v) Road lengths with special problems.
A suggested format for presentation of alignment characteristics is shown in Table 3.1.
Table 3.1 Characteristics of Options
Environmental Assessment
Baseline Conditions
3.2.9 The appraisal of each potential impact should begin with a description of the
relevant baseline conditions over the area which could be significantly affected by any route
corridors, but assuming that the scheme is not built. Guidelines of The Supreme Council for
Environment should be used, as described in Part 12 (Environmental Assessment and
Design) of this Manual.
3.2.10 The first stage in the assessment for most of the potential impacts will be to map
all relevant constraints including the locations of sensitive areas (for example, population
centres, historic buildings/sites, archaeological sites, burial sites or sites of
heritage/ecological value). The most important constraints should then be brought together
on a single, up to date, large scale Cadastral Map, called a Constraints Map. Where other
aspects of the existing environment could be significantly affected they should also be
included.
Mitigation
3.2.14 Mitigation cannot be considered in detail at this Stage. However particular
improvement strategies may suggest mitigation features. Where this is the case, any
mitigation aimed at preventing, reducing or offsetting adverse environmental effects should
be described. The description should cover the type of mitigation measure, its probable
cost, and also indicate its effectiveness, as far as possible.
Sources of Information
3.2.16 The source of any information gathered at this stage should be recorded.
Existing Conditions
3.2.19 For all schemes, currently available traffic flow, turning count and accident data for
the arterial roads and for relevant local roads should be presented. This should include
existing traffic data available from RPDD. If traffic survey data is not readily available,
limited traffic surveys should be conducted at critical locations for a broad assessment of
traffic volumes and turning movement volumes, for input into the BTM, in order to obtain the
traffic flows. The latest version of the model should be obtained from MOWMAUP for this
purpose.
3.2.20 As the BTM is currently strategic in nature the network and zoning may need to be
updated within the Project Influence Area (PIA) for the following parameters. Any updating
of the base model will require re-calibration and re-validation so the decision to amend the
model must be fully considered within the budget and timescale for the work.
(i) Road links,
(ii) Zoning,
(iii) Connectors,
(iv) Zoning parameters, and
(v) Junction coding.
3.2.21 Where conditions in the peak periods are particular important, traffic flow and
turning count data for the peak and inter-peak periods should be presented separately, if it is
available.
3.2.22 Accident data should be summarised to provide separate values for links and,
where appropriate, individual junctions. The data used should cover at least the past three
years (and preferably five years) provided there have been no changes in the network
during that period. Values should be presented as numbers and types of accidents,
together with an indication of severity, in tabular form and illustrated on a map base.
3.2.23 Journey time information should be presented for the routes being examined. This
should be obtained from speed and delay survey data along the route.
3.2.24 The presentation of data should be supported by a description of existing
conditions in both peak and inter-peak periods on the project road and, where appropriate,
on relevant local roads.
3.2.25 For recreational areas or other locations where unusual traffic conditions occur
during some specific event, a description of conditions during these periods may also be
appropriate.
Future Conditions
3.2.26 Traffic flows shall be obtained from the current BTM and should be provided for
the horizon years as specified in the Model. The traffic model runs shall be undertaken after
incorporating any the model updates described in paragraph 3.2.20.
3.2.27 Estimates of future daily traffic flows and peak hour flows on the existing network
should be presented in tabular form and illustrated on a map base. Forecasts need to
consider scenarios both without and with the scheme, wider changes in traffic flows and
impacts, and network wide statistics, for example vehicle-hours and vehicle-kilometres.
Economics
3.2.30 Results of detailed economic analyses may not be available at this stage.
However, it will usually be possible to identify potential sources of economic benefits,
especially where potential improvement strategies have been identified. Examples include:
(i) Congested junctions which would be relieved,
(ii) Accident black spots where conditions would be relieved,
(iii) Accident black-spots where conditions would be improved, and
(iv) Opportunities for reductions in journey times for certain through movements, etc.
3.2.31 There may also be dis-benefits, for example significant traffic delays due to
construction may be unavoidable. These sources of benefit (and dis-benefit) should be
identified in the report. Generally, they will be linked to features described in the traffic
appraisal, thus reference to the relevant material should be made. However, it will not
normally be possible to quantify the economic benefits reliably. Presentation of approximate
numerical estimates should be avoided, although broad indications (high/moderate/low) of
the scale of benefits relative to costs may be given.
3.2.32 It is necessary to establish a few prime benchmark criteria to evaluate alternative
corridors. The attributes examined in a route location study may take many forms, but
physical, economic, social and environmental factors are of prime importance. Therefore
the information should be incorporated after considering all the factors that influence the
final route selection. In general, selection of the 'best' corridor through evaluation of major
criteria depends on social and economic factors and land acquisition as well as the
resettlement of affected communities.
3.2.33 Physical control is another important factor particularly from the standpoint of
meeting the desired or minimum geometric design criteria. Indicative cost control depends
on physical and socio-economic factors.
3.2.34 The environmental impact is one of the most important issues which will show how
a new route will affect the local environment and also the measures to be taken to make a
route feasible.
3.2.35 After considering all these criteria, the alternative alignments should be evaluated
with respect to the following four major criteria:
(i) Engineering (physical),
(ii) Socio-Economic (in terms of acquisition and resettlement),
(iii) Indicative Cost (cost of design, construction and land), and
(iv) Environment.
3.2.36 For analysis and evaluation purposes the above four major criteria are e divided
into different sub-divisions, which will lead to more thorough and objective evaluation. Each
of the sub-divisions is assigned equal weight within the particular major criteria division and
the average percentage weight calculated and alignments ranked. The corridor locations
need to be evaluated with respect to the four major criteria assigning a relative weightage
between them. Evaluation of the criteria should be made on the basis of the defined
objectives with regards to economy, environment, accessibility, integration and safety (as
defined in paragraph 1.2.2 above). The route receiving the highest percentage score shall
be taken as the most beneficial and hence recommended. A recommended Decision Matrix
format is in Table 3.2.
OPTION NAME/No.
Item
I II III
Transport Aspect (journey time savings,
accessibility improvement, increased capacity,
accident reduction, etc.)
Engineering Aspect
Socio-Economic Aspect
Indicative Cost including cost of mitigation of
environmental and social issues
Environmental Aspect
Final Percentage Weighting
Final Rank
3.2.37 A Pre-Feasibility Report shall be prepared along the above guidelines with the
necessary documentation to apply for budgetary approval of the scheme. The Pre-
Feasibility Report shall contain the following:
(i) Need for the project highlighting goals and objectives,
(ii) Data collection of secondary information pertaining to the project from various
agencies,
(iii) Reconnaissance / requisite field surveys and limited preliminary surveys,
(iv) Identification of alternative alignments, options or designs,
(v) Data analysis, review of existing situation and assessment of future demand,
(vi) Environmental and social assessment, including proposed mitigation measures,
(vii) Project costs,
(viii) Multi-criteria analysis for the alternative options and selection of best suitable
option, and
(ix) Preparation of concept for key project elements.
3.2.38 Depending on the nature of the project(s) under consideration, it may be useful at
this stage to conduct an initial economic assessment to determine the broad benefits such
as First Year Rate of Return (FYRR). The extent and need for such an assessment should
be discussed and agreed with MOWMAUP.
3.2.39 Based on the above appraisal process, projects will be shortlisted for further
feasibility study.
3.3.7 This data shall form the basis of preliminary design, which will be augmented by
detailed topographic survey. A suggested format for Road Inventory Survey is shown as
Format 3.3 in Appendix B.
Topographical Survey
3.3.8 Detailed topographical surveys shall be carried out after a reconnaissance survey
and should pick up all features within the survey corridor required for each specific project.
The topographical survey shall be connected to the national grid of Bahrain and all levels
tied to Permanent Bench Marks. The methodology of such surveys for Road Affairs Projects
shall follow the survey protocols of the Survey & Land Registration Bureau (SLRB) in
accordance with RPDD document RPDD– RDS-PR-009: Road Survey.
3.3.9 Depending on the location and complexity of projects, topographic survey may be
waived, if the currently available National Survey Datum (NSD) maps of these areas have
sufficient topographical information to prepare concept designs for alternatives and reliable
cost estimates can be worked out.
Bathymetric Surveys
3.3.10 Bathymetry is the measurement of underwater depth of the seabed (or the bed of
inland lakes) and is the underwater equivalent of topography. Bathymetric (or hydrographic)
charts are typically produced to support safety of surface or sub-surface navigation, and
usually show sea floor relief or terrain as contour lines and selected depths (soundings), and
typically also provide surface navigational information.
3.3.11 If the project involves dredging and reclamation works, bathymetric surveys of the
sea bed levels of the reclamation area, as well as the borrow area based on National Datum
and Coordinates shall be carried out in order to estimate the availability and quality of
materials along with the cost of such works.
3.3.12 The bathymetric maps shall be used to estimate the quantity of reclamation
required for the road improvement scheme. An estimate of edge protection works should be
based on experience from previous projects in Bahrain.
3.3.13 The following documents shall be used as guidance for dredging and reclamation
works in Bahrain:
(i) Reclamation Levels: Guidelines for Coastal Development Lands and Artificial
Islands,
(ii) Dredging and Reclamation Technical Manual, and
(iii) Standard Specifications for Construction Works – Module 21: Dredging,
Reclamation and Shoreline Protection.
3.3.18 There is further guidance on the collection and analysis of FWD data in Part 17 of
this Manual and further guidance on the use of such data in road reconstruction and
rehabilitation schemes in Part 8 (Pavement Design and Rehabilitation).
Roughness Survey
3.3.23 The riding quality of the project road may be obtained from a suitable road
roughness measuring instrument. This instrument should be capable of providing
International Roughness Index (IRI) values, which can be used in Economic Analysis.
3.3.24 There is further guidance on the collection and analysis of ride quality data,
including IRI, in Part 17 (Road Maintenance) of this Manual.
3.3.28 The testing regime should be specified for each individual site by the Geotechnical
Engineer or Engineering Geologist. However, as a general guide, some of the following
tests may be appropriate, depending on the ground conditions:
(i) Standard Penetration Tests (SPT) at different levels,
(ii) Cone penetrometer tests (e.g. Dynamic Cone Penetrometer, DCP) at different
levels,
(iii) Triaxial Tests on soil samples,
(iv) Consolidation Tests on soil samples,
(v) Specific gravity and density tests;
(vi) Particle Size Distribution,
(vii) Atterberg Limits,
(viii) Determination of ground water levels, and
(ix) Chemical Tests.
3.3.29 There is further guidance on the geological conditions in Bahrain and the
requirements for site investigation in Part 7 (Geotechnical Site Investigation) of this Manual.
Material Investigations
3.3.30 Material investigations shall be carried out to explore the availability of suitable
construction material and likely suitability for use in different pavement courses. The
samples should be collected as described below:
(i) From quarry sites, for aggregate characteristics including flakiness index, stripping
value etc.
(ii) From borrow pits outside the Right of Way, for availability of suitable embankment
and subgrade material, and identification of the borrow area.
3.3.31 Details shall be shown of areas from where samples have been taken for testing
and eventual design.
3.3.32 There is further guidance on the geological conditions in Bahrain and the
requirements for material testing in Part 7 (Geotechnical Site Investigation) of this Manual.
Traffic Surveys
3.3.33 It is recommended that, prior to commencement of traffic surveys, a Scoping
Statement for traffic analysis be prepared. This Scoping Statement should include the
following:
(i) Location of the project along with surrounding road network,
(ii) Review of existing traffic data available for its age, extent and adequacy,
(iii) Delineation of area of influence of the project, leading to the study area,
(iv) Assessment of traffic data required,
(v) Location and type of traffic survey required, and
(vi) Timing and extent of each traffic survey.
3.3.34 Following the review of existing available data and the adequacy of the modelling
system, the overall approach to additional data collection and associated modelling
approach and development should be determined.
3.3.35 Traffic assessment in Bahrain is carried out to inform the strategic BTM. However,
additional traffic surveys may be required for some projects or to validate the traffic model.
Traffic count data may also be required for projects where AADF figures and non-peak traffic
figures are required for analysis.
3.3.36 Where traffic surveys are required, they should be carried out along the project
road and should include the following:
(i) Classified Traffic volume counts at mid-block and intersections,
(ii) Origin-Destination Survey (O-D),
(iii) Speed and Delay Surveys, and
(iv) Traffic Counts at Road Junctions.
3.3.42 The sample should be up scaled to ADT and preferably hourly-based classified
vehicle type. The location of origin and destination zones will be determined in relation to
each individual station and the possibility of traffic diversion to the project road from other
road routes including bypasses. In principle, the zoning should bisect areas where
competing roads pass and the zonal configuration should be adequate on either side of the
O-D station. For coding purposes, code lists or code maps (to be shown to motorist) will be
prepared giving zone number and locations within that zone. The updated (ADT) numbers
shall then be presented by trip matrix. Information on size and weight of trucks, following up
scaling to ADT, should be summed by commodity type and the results tabulated, giving total
weight and average weight per truck for the various commodity types. Sample sizes for
each vehicle type should also be indicated.
3.3.43 Following the processing of the O-D results, traffic is assigned from the trip matrix
elements to the project road’s homogeneous sections, provided the route including the
project road in its improved condition is the most desirable of the alternative routes available
in terms of least vehicles operating costs.
3.3.44 Origin-Destination Surveys are also used to analyse the trip distribution pattern (by
mode, by origin and by destination and by purpose) in an urban road environment. O-D
survey data is a key input in the validation of household trip data and are also used to
update the Bahrain Transport Model.
3.3.50 For simple “T” or 4-way junction, the survey could be conducted by stationing
enumerators on each arm of the junction to note the number of vehicles entering through the
arm and the direction of their exit. At multi-legged junction or roundabouts, a quick
judgement about the exit direction or vehicles may not be possible. In such cases, a licence
plate survey may have to be conducted. This consists of noting the registration numbers
(generally only the last three digits) of a sample of vehicles entering the intersection.
Simultaneously, on each exit, the registration numbers of vehicles leaving the junction are
noted. The two sets of numbers are then matched in the office to determine the directional
movements. It is also possible to carry out this type of survey using an automated system
based on cameras and number plate recognition.
3.3.51 It is not usually necessary to conduct detailed traffic surveys at junctions where
traffic on the minor road is less than about 100 vehicles per day, but a simple count may be
necessary to confirm the actual number of vehicles using the junction (as opposed to the
number of vehicles passing through on the main road).
3.3.52 A specific pedestrian survey should be conducted when the alignment passes near
locations such as schools, shopping malls, large offices, hospitals, etc., to decide on the
need for of appropriate crossing(s). Crossings might be at traffic signals, grade crossings or
subway/overpass. Further advice on pedestrian crossings is provided in Chapter 9 (Highway
Features) of Part 6 of this Manual.
Traffic Assessment
3.3.53 Traffic assessment should be carried out using the current version of the validated
BTM. The PIA from a traffic perspective should be finalised in discussion with TPS. On the
basis of the study of the traffic characteristics, the total project road length may be divided
into distinct sections with homogeneous traffic conditions.
3.3.54 Traffic forecasting is a fundamental component of road scheme appraisal. Traffic
forecasts are usually derived through the use of a traffic model. The traffic model should be
fully calibrated and validated to give confidence in forecast traffic flows. An updated version
of the BTM should be obtained from MOWMAUP. As the BTM is currently strategic in
nature the network should be updated within the PIA for the following:
(i) Road links (type including road parameters: number of lanes, permitted
transportation modes, capacity or public transport linkages),
(ii) Zoning system (including undefined zones, and splitting of existing zones for more
detailed assessment),
(iii) Connectors (connect added zones to the road network), and
(iv) Zoning parameters (which may include information concerning residential
population, working population, student population, car availability, gender,
nationality etc.).
3.3.55 The current version of the Traffic Impact Assessment (TIA) Guide for Developers
published by Roads Planning and Design Directorate (RPDD) should be used for the
assessment of traffic impacts on roads, with particular reference to the following sections:
(i) Section 7 – Future Background Traffic Volumes, and
(ii) Section 9 – Traffic Impact on External Road Network.
3.3.56 The current TIA guidelines are intended for analysing the impact of investment
projects (or) development projects. They do not provide sufficient guidance on the
assessment of road improvement projects and their impacts. Hence, the designer should
exercise caution when applying the TIA guidelines to the assessment of road improvement
projects.
3.3.57 On updating of the VISUM traffic model, the model will forecast trip generation,
mode split and will provide forecast traffic flows on the road network for the future year. The
sub-area containing the PIA described above, together with appropriate trip matrices shall
be extracted from the BTM for more detailed micro-simulation analysis of the network if
necessary. Micro-simulation can analyse private and public transport operations under
constraints such as lane configuration, vehicle composition, traffic signals etc., and hence
help to evaluate the effectiveness of various alternatives on transportation and planning
measures such as: queue lengths, delays and level of service. Micro-simulation provides
information for the determination of improvement proposals at required locations.
3.3.58 Alternatively, depending on the extent of the project, traffic flows may be extracted
from VISUM and used for junction analysis using other standard junction modelling tools.
However, in all cases, the methodology for traffic modelling shall be finalized in discussion
with TPS before commencing design. A flow chart showing traffic analysis and its use in
economic analysis is shown in Figure 3.1. For economic analysis, any modelling work
should be able to provide vehicle-hours and vehicle-kilometres outputs for the ‘Do-minimum’
and ‘Do-something’ scenarios.
3.3.59 There is further guidance on traffic modelling at road junctions in Part 14 (Traffic
Signals and Control Equipment) of this Manual and its application to junction design in Part
6 Chapter 5.
Environmental studies
3.3.60 Further to the reconnaissance surveys carried out during the Pre-Feasibility Stage,
detailed environmental studies shall be conducted in order to identify major environmental
issues within the study corridor. The requirements with regard to the extent of these surveys
shall be obtained from the Supreme Council for Environment, Bahrain. Further guidance is
provided in Part 12 (Environmental Assessment and Design) of this Manual.
3.3.61 Depending upon the extent of the study, the costs for mitigation of environmental
impacts shall be estimated at this stage. Environmental monitoring requirement during the
construction and operation stages shall be included in the cost estimate.
Land Estimates
3.3.63 The different building structures and settlements within the proposed road
improvement Right of Way shall be assessed either through interpretation of existing
cadastral maps and/or a reconnaissance survey along the alignment.
3.3.64 A land reference plan (showing all affected plots) and individual land interest plans
for all affected plots shall be presented in a specified format, to be agreed in consultation
with the Land Acquisition unit, to MOWMAUP.
3.3.65 The cost of land acquisition and relocation and/or compensation of the structures
shall be considered in the cost estimate.
Cost Estimates
3.3.66 In general, the road works will be carried out in accordance with the technical
specifications contained in the MOWMAUP Standard Specifications for Construction Works,
2009 (Module 19 – Road Works) or future updates, with specific modifications depending on
the project requirements.
3.3.67 The quantities of major items of work should be estimated on the basis of typical
cross-sections. Earthwork quantities should be computed using reliable highway alignment
design software. The quantities of the following major items of works should be estimated
separately:
(i) Dredging and reclamation works, if any,
(ii) Site clearances & removal of utilities,
(iii) Earthworks, including construction of embankments and subgrade improvement,
(iv) Quantities of unsuitable materials and their replacement,
(v) Pavement, including bituminous and non-bituminous layers,
(vi) Bridges, culverts and protective works,
(vii) Drainage, including protection owing to high water table,
(viii) Junctions and interchanges,
(ix) Traffic signs/ signals & road furniture,
(x) Street lighting,
(xi) Safety barriers and pedestrian fences,
(xii) Landscaping and arboriculture,
(xiii) Utility relocation and new utilities,
(xiv) Environmental costs,
(xv) Land and structure acquisition, and
(xvi) Miscellaneous provisions.
Economic Analysis
3.3.72 Implementing a transport scheme usually results in a stream of costs followed by a
stream of benefits, some of which have monetary values applied to them. These monetised
costs and benefits occur over a number of years and cannot simply be added together as if
they all occurred simultaneously. In order to be able to add costs and benefits that occur
over a period of time, two distinct issues must be dealt with:
(i) General changes in price levels over time (inflation), and
(ii) Preferences for consumption now rather than later (time preferences).
3.3.73 The effects of inflation are resolved by means of converting all costs and benefits
to a common price base year (using a “price index”). To take into account time preferences,
a discount rate is applied, discounting future costs and benefits back to a given year – the
present value year. The present value year is usually the same as the price base year.
Costs and benefits arising in different years are expressed in terms of their value from the
standpoint of a given year. Summing the Present Values of Costs and subtracting these
from the Present Value of Benefits gives the ‘Net Present Value’ (NPV) of the scheme at the
present value year.
3.3.74 Costs and benefits arising in different years are transformed to their present values
by the process of discounting. Because discounting involves the notion of charging interest
against a project, rather than paying interest to an investor, r is known as the discount rate.
Any sum may be reduced to its Present Value (PV) by means of the following formula:
𝑺
𝑷𝑽 =
(𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒚−𝒑
Where:
PV is the present value;
S is the sum to be discounted;
r is the discount rate, expressed as a decimal;
y is the year in which the sum is received or incurred, and
p is the present value year.
3.3.75 The NPV is the discounted sum of all future benefits less the discounted sum of all
future costs over the appraisal period.
3.3.76 The Present Value of a stream of Benefits (PVB) represents the value in the
present value year of all the benefits that will accrue over the appraisal period. It is
calculated according to the following formula:
𝒚= 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒏 𝑩𝒚
𝑷𝑽𝑩 = ∑
𝒚= 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒚−𝒑
Where:
By is the benefit occurring in each year, discounted as appropriate
0
Year the first year in which benefits are accrued;
Yearn the limit of the appraisal period.
3.3.77 The Present Value of the stream of Costs (PVC) represents the value in the
present value year of all the costs that will accrue over the appraisal period, comprising
mainly construction and maintenance costs. It is calculated in a similar way to the approach
for calculation of PVB. For some schemes, it is possible that construction costs may have
been incurred prior to the present value year. In such cases, this would require an inflation
of the scheme costs to the present value year using the discount rate. The approach to
calculating PVC is therefore:
𝒚= 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒏 𝑪𝒚
𝑷𝑽𝑪 = ∑
𝒚= 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒚−𝒑
Where:
Cy is the cost occurring in each year, discounted as appropriate
Year0 the first year in which costs are incurred;
n
Year the limit of the appraisal period.
3.3.78 The NPV of the scheme can then be calculated according to the following formula:
𝑵𝑷𝑽 = 𝑷𝑽𝑩 − 𝑷𝑽𝑪
3.3.79 A Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) report should detail the methodology and
assumptions of the CBA process, with supporting Appendices. The report should provide
information on the following:
(i) Stage of the assessment that the CBA relates to,
(ii) Rationale for the modelled area,
(iii) Details on the extent of any data collection, for example traffic counts and journey
time surveys,
(iv) Any assumptions behind the input data, with particular reference given to the
treatment of CBA parameters,
(v) Validation of the cost benefit model, and
(vi) Results from the assessment, which must include the cash flow analysis.
3.3.80 The results of each sensitivity test / scenario analysis should be provided
separately.
3.3.81 Where all impacts of a scheme can be monetised and included in the CBA, the
overall economic worth of a scheme should be summarised using one or more of the
following measures:
(i) Net Present Value (NPV),
(ii) Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR), and
(iii) Internal Rate of Return (IRR).
3.3.82 The BCR is given by the ratio of the discounted sum of all future benefits to the
discounted sum of all costs:
𝑷𝑽𝑩
𝑩𝑪𝑹 =
𝑷𝑽𝑪
3.3.83 The IRR is the rate of discount that makes the present value of the benefits exactly
equal to the present value of the costs. Put another way, the IRR is the rate of discount that
makes the NPV of the entire stream of benefits and costs exactly equal to zero. The IRR ‘λ’
is the value for which the sum of the accrued benefits is zero:
𝒚= 𝒏 𝑩𝒚
∑ =𝟎
𝒚=𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝞴)𝒚−𝒑
Where:
By is the net benefit (undiscounted) in year y.
3.3.84 Where there are other significant costs and benefits that cannot be presented in
monetised form, although a value for the NPV and BCR can be calculated, the results may
be misleading and will not necessarily provide a reliable measure of overall value for money.
In such cases the cost benefit analysis should not be used as the sole basis for decisions.
3.3.85 Based on the data collected, economic analysis shall be carried out for the project.
The benefit and cost streams should be estimated for the project using an internationally
recognized life-cycle costing model.
3.3.86 The designer should estimate net changes in the key evaluation parameters (traffic
volumes by mode/cars and trucks, speeds, delays, volume to capacity ratio, level of service,
travel time savings and delay costs, vehicle-kilometres or passenger-kilometres of travel and
vehicle-hours or passenger-hours of travel etc.) as a result of proposed improvements for
the opening year, 2020 and 2030 scenarios compared with the base scenario (without the
proposed improvements).
3.3.87 Evaluation should include the direct user benefits for the freight and passenger
vehicles (in terms of vehicle operating costs, accident costs, travel time savings, delay costs,
congestion costs, road capacity increase, accessibility/connectivity benefits etc.) for a period
of 30 years after the implementation compared to without improvement, as follows, where
appropriate:
(i) Assess the capacity of roads and the effects of capacity constraints on Vehicle
Operating Costs (VOC),
(ii) Calculate VOCs for current road situation and those for the completed project,
(iii) Quantify all economic benefits, including those from reduced congestion, travel
distance, road maintenance cost savings and reduced incidence of road accidents,
(iv) Direct user benefits to be estimated for passenger vehicles (cars/taxis/buses) and
freight vehicles (trucks, LGV/HGVs), and
(v) Estimate the Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) for the project over a 30-
year period. In calculating the EIRRs, identify the tradable and non-tradable
components of project costs and the border price value of the tradable
components.
Financial Analysis
3.3.94 Where it is envisaged that the scheme should be implemented on a PPP funded
basis, the financial viability of the project should be investigated under different user fee
scenarios and funding options.
3.3.95 The financial analysis for the project should consider the proposed payment
mechanism and cover financial internal rate of return, projected income statements, balance
sheets and fund flow statements and should identify all relevant assumptions. The
sensitivity analysis should be carried out for a number of possible scenarios, using
probabilistic modelling techniques.
3.3.96 The financial analysis should cover identification, assessment, and mitigating
measures for all risks associated with the project. The analysis should cover, but not be
limited to: risks related to construction delays, construction costs overrun, traffic volume,
revenue shortfalls, operating costs, exchange rate variations, convertibility of foreign
exchange, interest rate volatility, non-compliance or default by contractors, political risks and
force majeure.
3.3.97 The study should suggest ways of enhancing the project viability and provide
different financial models for implementing as a PPP funded project.
Project conception
3.4.6 This part of the review should provide an account of the background to the project,
how the project arose and reference relevant road or transport programmes or policies. It
should consider the project objectives and review its comprehensiveness and relevance. In
particular, it should assess whether the need for the project was soundly established within
the brief and whether the objectives were clearly specified.
Project planning
3.4.7 The review should address the following aspects of project planning:
(i) Traffic analysis and forecasting,
(ii) Route selection process,
(iii) Preliminary design processes,
(iv) Project appraisal processes,
(v) Compliance with procurement and other statutory requirements, and
(vi) Consultation processes.
Project implementation
3.4.8 With regard to project implementation, the evaluation should address the following:
(i) Project management structures,
(ii) Monitoring and evaluation,
(iii) Budget compliance,
(iv) Project schedule compliance,
(v) Project scope, value and risk management, and
(vi) Project operational performance.
3.4.9 This phase of the evaluation process should consider:
(i) Achievement of the project objectives,
(ii) Traffic volume outcomes,
(iii) Traffic operation and road safety outcomes, and
(iv) Implications of operational performance for the project’s potential economic return.
3.4.10 With regard to each of the project phases, the evaluation should concentrate on
whether or not:
Route selection
(i) The options considered were sufficiently different to offer real choices,
(ii) The project appraisal processes were fully complied with at route or option
selection stage, and
(iii) Appropriate weighting was given to the different impacts of the project in making
route choices.
Project appraisal
(i) Project appraisal was carried at all the relevant project phases,
(ii) Relevant appraisal techniques / software were used,
(iii) Appropriate application rules and parameter values as required by the Ministry of
Finance, and sensitivity testing was undertaken.
Preliminary design
(i) Road capacity decisions had a sound basis, either in the project brief or the
preliminary design analysis,
(ii) The preliminary design proved to be a sound basis for project implementation, and
(iii) Ad-hoc alterations to the design were necessary during the implementation phase
and whether these reflected on the quality of the preliminary design process.
Procurement
(i) Kingdom of Bahrain and Tender Board rules were adhered to, and
(ii) Procurement decision-making processes were sound.
Consultation
(i) Consultation processes were of good quality, and
(ii) Whether any stakeholders were left out.
Project management
(i) Project management was in line with existing PMS guidance,
(ii) Monitoring reports were timely and of good quality,
(iii) The project remained within budget,
(iv) The project met target costs,
(v) The project met the target schedule, and
(vi) The project design requirements were fully met.
3.4.12 The findings of the evaluation shall be compiled in a report for future reference.
The suggested contents of the report should include at least the following:
(i) Executive summary,
(ii) Background to the project,
(iii) Traffic analysis and forecasting,
(iv) Project appraisal procedures,
(v) Route selection,
(vi) Preliminary design,
(vii) Procurement and statutory processes,
(viii) Project implementation,
(ix) Project operational performance,
(x) Overview of issues arising,
(xi) Lessons learnt, and
(xii) Conclusions and recommendations.
4.1 Introduction
4.1.1 In the case of projects other than Strategic and Major Projects, a simpler method
of appraisal shall be followed. However, the principles of the appraisal framework described
in Chapter 1 of this Part still apply. The details of this simpler appraisal mechanism are
provided below.
Economy
4.2.3 The road may be inefficient or ineffective in terms of its use or maintenance costs.
4.2.4 The road may be deficient in terms of the:
(i) Number of road users it can accommodate,
(ii) Level of congestion and the reduced speed at which vehicles can travel,
(iii) The quality of travel experience it offers (rough or potholed surface, etc.), or
(iv) The road may be giving rise to excessive maintenance or restoration costs.
Safety
4.2.5 The road has features that are giving rise to safety concerns such as:
(i) High frequency of incidents or accidents,
(ii) Lack of consistency with adjoining route sections,
(iii) Poor sight distances, or
(iv) Hazardous junctions.
Environment
4.2.6 The road has negative environmental impacts in one or more of the following
aspects:
(i) Air quality,
(ii) Noise,
(iii) Cultural heritage – archaeological remains, historic buildings and landscapes,
(iv) Water resources – impacts on the flows, levels and quality of ground, surface and
coastal waters, and/or
(v) Ecological issues.
Project Type/
Inter-section
Acquisition
Speed and
Pedestrian
Surveys
Mid- Block
Pavement
Axle Load
Condition
Inventory
Accident
Parking
counts/
Survey
Recce
Count
Delay
count
Road
Land
Data
Widening • • • • • • • • • •
Junction
improvement • • • • • •
Pedestrian
facilities • • • • •
Parking
facilities • • •
New Roads • • •
Opening of
Roads • • • •
Safety
Schemes • • • • • •
Village Roads • • • • • •
Maintenance
Schemes • • • • • • • • • •
Baseline Case
4.6.3 The objective of the appraisal of options is to identify the approach that would best
achieve the objectives of the scheme. The assessment of options requires the development
of a baseline case, against which the options will be appraised. For the purpose of the
assessment, the baseline case should be a consideration of what will occur if the scheme
does not go ahead (the ‘Do-nothing’ or the ‘Do minimum’ option, as appropriate).
Elements of Assessment
4.6.6 The appraisal of options involves a comparison of the costs and benefits of each
option. Guidelines for developing the costs of each option are considered below.
4.6.7 Benefits should be assessed using the five criteria:
(i) Economy,
(ii) Safety,
(iii) Environment,
(iv) Accessibility, and
(v) Integration.
4.6.8 Accessibility refers to a situation where the current road systems may be providing
poor access to people in remote areas or to deprived communities, including shopping,
recreational, commercial and industrial, and the proposed scheme will help remedy this.
Integration may be needed to better integrate the road with the rest of the road network in
terms of consistent quality or layout. Similarly, there may be a need to integrate the road
network more fully with other transport modes such as public transport, or to create cycling
or walking facilities. Benefits may not arise under these two criteria as frequently as with
economy, safety and environment. Nevertheless, they should be considered in each case.
4.6.9 With regard to assessment of environmental impacts, consideration should be
given to both positive and negative impacts; these are respectively the impacts of the works
in addressing environmental problems and any problems which the works could cause.
Option 1 + - + 0 14.7
Option 2 ++ 0 0 + 12.0
Option 3 - -- - - 16.2
4.6.14 This Table should be accompanied by a discussion of why the options receive the
scores that they do. Where one option scores better on one criterion (say, economy) and
worse than another option on another criterion (say, safety) or on cost, the rationale for
choosing the preferred option should be clearly outlined. This is the case for the example
shown. Option 3 is inferior to Option 1 on all criteria and may be discarded. However,
Options 1 and 2 are each better on some criteria and so the importance of each criterion
needs to be taken into account. In such situations the objectives of the works should be
referred to. For example, if the need identified at the outset was to increase road capacity,
then Option 1 might be preferred as it contributes more to this objective, with a moderate
increase in costs over Option 2.
Risk Analysis
4.6.15 Depending upon the nature of the project an assessment of risks should be
included. In the context of minor road improvements the most common risks that require
consideration are:
(i) Construction risk: The risk that the works will not be completed on time, to
budget and to specification,
(ii) Design risk: The risk that the design will not deliver the outputs desired or to the
quality demanded, and
(iii) Risk of obsolescence: The risk that changes in technology or provision of other
transport infrastructure or services will render the works redundant or of lower
value.
These risks, if significant, should be factored into the final selection of options.
References
Traffic Advisory Guidance (TAG) – TAG Unit 2.1 – The Overall Approach: The Steps in the
Process
Traffic Advisory Guidance (TAG) – TAG Unit 2.5 – The Appraisal Process
DMRB Volume 5 – Section 1, Part 1 (TA 44/92) – Capacity, Queues, Delays and Accidents
at Road Junctions
DMRB Volume 5 – Section 1, Part 3 (TA 46/97) – Traffic Flow Ranges for Use in
Assessment of new Rural Roads
DMRB Volume 5 – Section 1, Part 3 (TA 79/99) – Traffic capacity of Urban Roads
DMRB Volume 5 – Section 1, Part 4 (TA 22/81) – Vehicle Speed Measurement for All
Purpose Roads
Reclamation Levels: Guidelines for Coastal Development Lands and Artificial Islands 2008,
MOWMAUP, Bahrain
Standard Specifications for Construction Works 2009 – Module 21: Dredging, Reclamation
and Shoreline Protection. MOWMAUP, Bahrain
Traffic Impact Assessment Guide for Developers, 2007, Roads Planning & Design
Directorate, MOWMAUP, Bahrain.
Regeneration
Wider Impacts
Noise
Air Quality
Environmental
Townscape
Heritage of Historic resources
Biodiversity
Water Environment
Commuting and Other users Value of journey time changes(BHD)
Net journey time changes (BHD)
0 to 2min 2 to 5min > 5min
Physical activity
Journey quality
Accidents
Security
Access to services
Affordability
Severance
Option values
Cost to Broad Transport Budget
Accounts
Public
Chainage Type of
Location of Accident Date Time Vehicles Involved Cause of Accident
(km) Accident
From To
Sum
Average (x)
Standard Deviation (s)
Thresh Hold Value (x+1.5s)
Legend:
Recording Interval : at every 200 meters
1. Crack Type: T - Transverse, L - Longitudinal, B - Block, A - Alligator
2. Embankment Condition: E - Eroded, F - Fair, G - Good condition
Legend:
Recording Interval : at every 200 meters
1. Crack Type: T - Transverse, L - Longitudinal, B - Block, A - Alligator
3. Shoulder Condition : G - Good, F - Fair, P - Poor, VP - Very Poor
Vehicle Vehicle Characteristics Type No. of Tyres Measured Wheel Load (Tonnes)** Measured Calibrated Wheel Load (Tonnes)** Calibrated Type Remarks
Type* Registered Registered of Axle Axle Total Axle Total of
Unladen Laden Commodity 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Weight 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Weight Packaging
Weight Weight ***
* Vehicle Type ** One wheel for front *** Packaging Code Type of Commodity
Motorbike .. 01 axle 1. Bag 4. Palletised 1 Coal Ash
Car/Light Van .. 02 Two wheels for 2. Box 5. Container 2 Agricultural Products
3-Axle Rigid Truck .. 03 others axles 3. Loose 6. Others (Specify) 3 Manufactured Products
More than 3 Axle .. 04 4 Machinery Parts
Bus .. 05 5 Building Materials & Minerals
Mini/Midi Bus .. 06 6 Electric Goods, Iron & Other Metals
7 Petroleum Gas Cylinders
8 Chemical & Fertiliser
9 Miscellaneous & Raw Plastic Materials
10 Empty
Signature of Surveyor 11 Fish, Food Product/Poultry/Dairy Signature of Supervisor
12 Passengers
Location (typically a
Cumulative Travel Delay Cumulative Travel Delay
boundary Cause* Cause*
Time at Location (s) Time (s) Time at Location (s) Time (s)
intersection)
PA TR PA TR N
PA TR
PA TR
PA TR
PA TR PA TR
PA TR PA TR
PA TR
PA TR PA TR
Passenger car
(P)
Total
Single Unit
Truck Total
(SU)
Total
Articulated Bus
(A-Bus)
Total
Total
Intermediate
Semi-trailer
(WB-12, WB-15)
Total
Inter-State semi-
trailer Total
(WB-19, WB-20)
Double Semi-
trailer Total
(WB-33D)
Triple Semi-
trailer Total
(WB-30T)
OTHER
M o to r H o m e
C ar & C am per T railer Total
C ar & B o at T railer
M o to r H o m e & B o at T railer
SUBTOTAL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Passenger car 25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
Articulated Bus 25
(A-Bus) 50
Intermediate Semi- 25
trailer (WB-12, WB-15) 50
Inter-State semi-trailer 25
(WB-19, WB-20) 50
Motor Home 25
Minimum Minimum
Height Design Inside
Description Code Width (m) Length
(m) Radius Radius
(m) (m)
WB -
Double Semi-trailer 4.1 2.6 34.8 18.4 4.5
33D
Motor Home MH 3.7 2.4 9.2 12.7 7.9
Car & Camper Trailer P/T 3.1 2.4 14.8 13.1 5.3
Motor Home & Boat Trailer MH/B 3.7 2.4 16.2 15.7 10.7
1 Screen D E S T IN A T IO N : F U L L P O S T A L A D D R E S S
Dest O R IG IN : F U L L P O S T A L A D D R E S S
Origin Vehicle Vehicle type 1 -5 Vehicle Type:
1 "can you give me the address of your next stop" Purpose "can you give me the address of your last stop" Purpose Type 6 1. C ar
2. Lo ndo n T axi
Vehicle Yes 1 To Station: From Station: if purpose Home Purpose 3. o ther T axi/M inic ab
Type No 2 A re yo u go ing to tak e P ublic trans po rt Y N A re yo u go ing to tak e P ublic trans po rt Y N is not 3 Destination 1 Origin 2 4. M o to rc yle/Sc o o ter
5. P edal C yc le
OK 3 Property, street & number and locality as appropriate Property, street & number and locality as appropriate What is your home postcode? 6. Van (c ar bas ed)
7. Van (4 tyres )
Vehicle Screen 8. Light Go o ds Vehic le (6 tyres , no
Occupancy 2 if purpose Vehicle types 7 - 10 plate)
is 3 Can you tell me w hat you are carrying? 9. M edium Go o ds (2axles )
include Yes 1 10. H eav y Go o ds Vehic le (3+axles )
Driver No 2 Tow n Country Tow n Country Other 11. C o ac h o r P riv ate B us
12. M inibus
OK 3 Postcode Postcode
2 Screen D E S T IN A T IO N : F U L L P O S T A L A D D R E S S
Dept O R IG IN : F U L L P O S T A L A D D R E S S
Origin Vehicle Vehicle type 1 -5
Vehicle 1 "can you give me the address of your next stop" Purpose "can you give me the address of your last stop" Purpose Type 6 P urpo s e :
No 2 A re yo u go ing to tak e P ublic trans po rt Y N A re yo u go ing to tak e P ublic trans po rt Y N is not 3 Destination 1 Origin 2 3. C o llec t/D eliv er Go o ds
4. o ther/Wo rk ing/Em p. B us
OK 3 Property, street & number and locality as appropriate Property, street & number and locality as appropriate What is your home postcode? 5. Sho pping/Us e Serv ic e
Vehicle Screen 6. Spo rt/Entertainm ent
7. Educ atio n
Occupancy 2 if purpose Vehicle types 7 - 10 8. H o tel/H o liday H o m e
9. Es c o rt - Wo rk
include Yes 1 is not 3 Can you tell me w hat you are carrying? 10. Es c o rt - Educ atio n
driver 11. Es c o rt - Other
No 2 Tow n / County Tow n / County Other
OK 3 Postcode Postcode
3 Screen D E S T IN A T IO N : F U L L P O S T A L A D D R E S S
Dept O R IG IN : F U L L P O S T A L A D D R E S S
Origin Vehicle Vehicle type 1 -5 Lo a d:
1. A gric ulture, unpro c es s ing fo o d
Vehicle 1 "can you give me the address of your next stop" Purpose "can you give me the address of your last stop" Purpose Type 6
2. C hem ic als , rubber, plas tic
Type Yes 1 To Station: From Station: if purpose Home Purpose 3. C o al, o res , petro l
is not 3 Destination 1 Origin 2 4. P ro c es s ed fo o d, drink , to bac c o
No 2 A re yo u go ing to tak e P ublic trans po rt Y N A re yo u go ing to tak e P ublic trans po rt Y N
5. M etals , m etal pro duc ts
OK 3 Property, street & number and locality as appropriate Property, street & number and locality as appropriate What is your home postcode? 6. T rans po rtatio n
7. Other m ineral pro duc ts
Vehicle Screen 8. T extiles , papers , glas s
9. M ac hinery, elec tro nic
Occupancy 2 if purpose Vehicle types 7 - 10 10. M all, parc els
11. T o o ls etc (Serv ic e v ehic le)
include Yes 1 is not 3 Can you tell me w hat you are carrying? 12. Unk no wn
driver 13. Em pty
No 2 Tow n / County Tow n / County Other
OK 3 Postcode Postcode