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Identifying The System of Simultaneous Equations
Identifying The System of Simultaneous Equations
Equation1:a11Y1+a12Y2=b1+u1
Equation2:a21Y1+a22Y2=b2+u2
2. Model Identification:
3. Reduced Form:
The reduced form expresses endogenous variables in terms of exogenous variables and
any other predetermined variables. For a system of equations, the reduced form
eliminates endogenous variables to make it easier to estimate the model.
The original system is estimated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), a method that
minimizes the sum of squared differences between observed and predicted values.
The reduced form is then estimated using OLS. The coefficients obtained in this step are
the reduced-form coefficients.
The structural coefficients can be obtained from the reduced-form coefficients and the
coefficients from the original system. This involves matrix operations.
Bstructural=Breduced−form⋅(Boriginal)−1
Where:
Keep in mind that this is a simplified explanation, and the process can be more complex in real-world
situations. Additionally, if the system is over-identified, you may need to use instrumental variables or
other techniques. It's also important to check for issues like endogeneity and multi collinearity during
the analysis.
The reduced form of an equation is obtained by solving the original system of equations for the
endogenous variables in terms of the exogenous variables. Assuming you have a simple consumption
function where consumption (C) is a function of income (Y), the reduced form equation can be derived
as follows:
Original Equation:
C=a+bY+u
where:
C is consumption,
Y is income,
a is the intercept,
To obtain the reduced form, we express C in terms of exogenous variables (variables not determined
within the system). Let's assume that Y is exogenous in this case:
C=a+bY+u
This equation is the reduced form of the original equation. It shows how consumption varies with
changes in income, holding other factors constant. In this case, Y is considered exogenous, meaning it is
not determined within the system but is given.
It's important to note that the reduced form is specific to the equations and variables in your system. If
you have a more complex system with multiple equations and endogenous variables, the process of
obtaining the reduced form would involve solving for each endogenous variable in terms of the
exogenous variables.