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484 Final Report
484 Final Report
E Main St
Commercial Mix-Use
Research Report
December 06, 2021
Recommendation: Buy
Purchase Price: $1,707,328
Value-added Pre-tax IRR: 17.94%
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Property Overview………...…………………………………………………………………………………… 3
Surrounding Area……………………………………………………………………………………………… 4
Value Proposition.………………………………………………………………………………………… 4
Value Added Strategy………………………………………………………………………………………… 5
Valuation….…………………………………………………………………………………………………. 6
Catalyst and Risk………………………………………………………………………………………. 8
Conclusion…………………………………………………………………………………………………… 8
Reference …………………………………………………………………………………………………… 9
Appendix ……………………………………………………………………………………………… 10
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17-19 E Main St
PROPERTY OVERVIEW
17-19 Main Street (“the property”) is a 3-storey mixed- unit. A paid laundry room is located on the second
use building constructed in 1900 and is located in the floor. Currently, the basement is unfinished, and the
heart of Welland, Ontario. The property currently “Renovation” portion will detail development plans
consists of a basement, 12 commercial units on the first for this space.
floor, and 12 residential units on the second and third
Exhibit 2.0
floors (6 per floor) for a total of 22,294 sqft. In addition, 1-Bedroom Floorplan
there are 14 parking spaces located behind the property.
The building is currently largely vacant with a
commercial occupancy rate of 50% and a residential
occupancy rate of 66% This is due to the expiration of
many current leases and no renewal will be given as the
building has been planned for a renovation.
Exhibit 1.0
Picture of the property
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17-19 E Main St
Exhibit 4.0
Location of Subject Property
Brock University 19,100
Exhibit 6.0
Commercial Tenant Google Ratings
Exhibit 5.0
Map of Surrounding Amenities 4.8
4.8
5.0
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17-19 E Main St
Exhibit 10.0
Football Field Chart (Value ranges in $Th CAD)
VALUATION
Two valuation metrics have been used, namely Sales comparable set down to 4 properties and rated them
Approach (Comparable) and Income Approach (DCF). on a variety of factors against our target property. A
For the Sales Approach, we have gathered 9 negative adjustment in a category means that the
transactions from the appraisal but only 4 were chosen property performs unfavourably against the
comparable, while a positive score means the property
for comparison based on their similarities to our
performs favourably (refer to appendix for more
subject property. On the other hand, DCF outputs
details).
shown in the appendix are set at base case to determine
the purchase price. In the unrenovated case, we used 936 E. Main St and
3876 Main St as the appropriate comps. These
A football field chart is shown above in Exhibit 10.0 to properties have an adjustment score of +1 and 0
depict the output of different valuation ranges used by respectively, meaning their overall value should be
the two metrics for both pre- and post-renovation. As similar to our property. On the other hand, the two
observed, the renovated Sales Comparable generated other buildings have significant negative adjustments.
the widest range of values because our comparable This is largely due to those properties possessing better
have smaller property sizes and net leases, thus qualities than the subject property, meaning it is
contributing to a higher Price/SF. Contrarily, our DCF unrealistic to attain their value of $172 and $192 per SF.
outputs generally have a close range with DCF under As a result, the most feasible Price/SF was 935 E Main
non-renovated scenarios yielding lowest estimates. St’s $99 and 3876 Main St’s $107, thus forming the
valuation ranges for Sales Comparable in the football
A. Comparable Transactions field.
To gauge the property’s relative value, 9 recently For renovated case, we used an identical method to
transacted properties were listed as potential
determine which Price/SF is the most feasible option.
comparable by the appraiser. We narrowed the final
After analyzing and making the necessary adjustments,
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17-19 E Main St
we believe 3876 Main St and 91 E Main St were the C. DCF – Value Added Case
closest comparable. As a result, this forms range of The value of the property increased to $3.0m post-
Price/SF valuation from $107 to $172 for our renovation. Some key assumptions were modified
Renovated Sales Comparable. The football field in under this scenario and will be highlighted. First,
Exhibit 10.0 shows the aggregate amount. Please refer residential rent is projected to have a 2% yearly increase
to appendix for more details on Sales Comparable. as any building that is newly renovated or built after
2018 is no longer restricted by Ontario government’s
B. DCF – Base Case rent control. Also, storage income serves as additional
The DCF’s main assumptions revolve around revenue income streams which contributed to the additional
and expenses. For residential rent in 2022, a 1.2% valuation. On the expense side, we lowered the
growth rate under the base case scenario due to insurance and maintenance cost as the newly renovated
Ontario government rent control. Beyond 2022, the building should have less breakdowns compared to
residential growth rate is set to grow at 1.74% as this pre-renovation. Finally, we assumed CIBC’s loan
growth rate is the last 5-year average rent cap excluding amount to grow $1.94m to account for renovation
2020 in Ontario. For commercial rent, the rent growth costs. Overall, this gives us an Unlevered Before-Tax
is expected to be a modest 3% per year. Looking into IRR of 8.82% and a Levered Before-Tax IRR of
expenses, most of our expenses are quoted from 17.94%.
brokers or appraisers which can be further looked into
Exhibit 12.0
in the notes of our Excel models. Some notable Increase in unlevered IRR through renovation
expenses assumptions include Property Tax and
Insurance Premiums growing 3% per year from
previous figures.
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REFERENCES
1. Colliers International
2. Cushman & Wakefield
3. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation
4. Ontario.ca: Rent Control
5. PwC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2022 Report
6. True Inspection
7. Form Structures
8. Real Estate and Investments 17e, Brueggeman
9. CRA: Class 1 CCA
10. StatCan: Census Profile, 2016 Census – Welland – Pellham
11. The Standard: Torontonians find living space and affordability in Niagara
12. Made in Welland: Welland’s residential boom is 'not all retired people'
13. Made in Welland: Adding to fleet an important step for Welland Transit
14. Renx: New Industry kicks development into high gear in Welland
15. CIBC Bank Loan
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Adjustments:
NOI/SF N/A Positive Adj. (+3) Positive Adj. (+3) Negative Adj. (-2)
Building Size (SF) Negative Adj. (-3) Negative Adj. (-2) Negative Adj. (-2) Negative Adj. (-1)
Location Neutral (0) Neutral (0) Positive Adj. (+2) Negative Adj. (-2)
YOC Neutral (0) Neutral (0) Neutral (0) Neutral (0)
Building Condition Negative Adj. (-4) Positive (+1) Neutral (0) Negative Adj. (-3)
Parking Positive Adj. (+2) Neutral (0) Negative Adj. (-3) Neutral (0)
Adjurment Results Negative (-5) Slight Positive (+1) Neutral (0) Negative (-9)
Price/SF Range Not Considering Higher than 99 Lower than 107 Not considering
Adjustments:
NOI/SF N/A Positive Adj. (+3) Positive Adj. (+3) Negative Adj. (-2)
Building Size (SF) Negative Adj. (-3) Negative Adj. (-2) Negative Adj. (-2) Negative Adj. (-1)
Location Neutral (0) Neutral (0) Positive Adj. (+2) Negative Adj. (-2)
YOC Neutral (0) Neutral (0) Neutral (0) Neutral (0)
Building Condition Negative Adj. (-1) Positive Adj. (+4) Positive Adj. (+3) Neutral (0)
Parking Positive Adj. (+2) Neutral (0) Negative Adj. (-3) Neutral (0)
Adjurment Results Slight Negative (-2) Positive (+5) Positive (+3) Negative (-5)
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Net Operating Income (NOI) 110,825 112,976 115,172 117,414 119,705 122,044
PV Factor 0.93 0.87 0.80 0.75 0.70
PV NOI 103,093 97,761 92,709 87,920 83,381
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Net Operating Income (NOI) 143,517 201,648 205,608 209,660 213,809 218,058
PV Factor 0.93 0.87 0.80 0.75 0.70
PV NOI 133,504 174,493 165,506 156,994 148,931
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