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Newsletter March08
Newsletter March08
BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
In this issue
S.Korean bond futures edge down on US jobs data Arrow Energy gets $3 billion takeover bid Julius Baer names Lim as SE Asia private bank head ListCo News Is this another sucker rally? Contributor: Roger Tan Biz Tech Vast potential for biometrics in Asia Pacifics banking sector Biz People
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Asian stocks rose to a six-week high, the euro strengthened and concerns about defaults receded as French President Nicolas Sarkozy pledged support for Greece and government reports showed economic growth accelerating. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.9 per cent to 122.56 as of 5 p.m. in Tokyo with eight stocks rising for every one that fell. The cost of protecting Asian bonds from default dropped to the lowest in seven weeks and the euro advanced to a two-week high against the yen. Standard & Poors 500 Index futures added 0.2 per cent. The Stoxx Euro 600 surged 1.6 per cent to 257.09. Markets rallied after Sarkozy said yesterday the euro region is ready to rescue Greece should the government struggle to fund its budget deficit, and a March 5 US report showed fewer job losses than economists forecast. New Zealand manufacturing sales increased the most in more than seven years during the fourth quarter and Japan posted a current-account surplus in January as exports climbed for a second month. Investors are starting to see what they really wanted to see and the negatives are in the process of being priced in as the Euro zone will promise support, said Chu Moon Sung, a fund manager at Shinhan BNP Paribas Asset Management Co. in Seoul, which manages US$26 billion. The better-than-expected US jobs report also boosted overall investors optimism. Hong Kongs Hang Seng Index and Japans Nikkei 225 Stock Average increased 2.1 per cent, South Koreas Kospi Index climbed 1.6 per cent. Sony Corp., which gets almost a quarter of its sales in the US, jumped 2.8 per cent. Nissan Motor Co., which gets more than a third of its revenue in North America, advanced 4.7 per cent.
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Market Report
ST Index
2,834.57
44.28
Regional Indices
KLCI HSI NIKKEI SET JCI 1,324.22 21,196.87 10,585.92 721.20 2626.451 +24.44 +408.90 +216.96 -2.76 +1.85
US Indices
Dow Nasdaq S&P 10,566.20 2,326.35 1,138.70 +122.06 +34.04 +15.73
Friday Closing
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BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
South Korean treasury bond futures edged down early today as better-than-expected US jobs data boosted investors' appetite for risky assets and sapped the bonds' safe-haven appeal. The March contract on 3-year treasury bonds fell 4 ticks to 110.70 by 0116 GMT, while the Seoul stock market's benchmark KOSPI jumped more than 1 per cent. Bond traders were already taking a cautious stance ahead of the South Korean central bank's interest rate review on Thursday, while awaiting clues on the longer-term policy direction from the governor's news conference at that time.
Swiss wealth manager Julius Baer named David Lim as its private banking head for Southeast Asia, replacing Wilfried Kofmehl who was the public face for the Swiss bank in the region since 2006. The appointment shows Switzerland's biggest dedicated wealth manager is opting for local leadership in to grow its business in a region where it competes against market leaders UBS and Citigroup. Julius Baer has said it hopes to grow assets by 10-20 per cent this year in Asia, where inflows last year compensated for a slowdown in its core Swiss business as a global tax crackdown forced many offshore clients to repatriate funds. Lim was deputy chief executive officer Singapore and head of investment finance before this promotion, the bank said. Kofmehl, who is a managing director, has decided to focus purely on key client relationships which the bank said was part of a drive to assign senior managers to their top clients. "Asia is set to become the second home market for Julius Baer," the company said in a statement. "The bank continues to expand in order to capitalise on the opportunities that exist in the Asian private banking market." Last year, Julius Baer moved Thomas Meier, an executive board member, from Zurich to Singapore to strengthen its focus on emerging markets. Royal Dutch Shell and PetroChina have joined forces for a US$2.96 billion bid for Arrow Energy, hoping for a bigger slice of Australia's liquefied natural gas boom, the company said today. The two energy giants are offering A$4.45 (US$4.04) per share, or about A$3.26 billion, plus one share in a new company comprising Arrow's international business. "At this stage the Arrow Board recommends shareholders take no action in relation to their Arrow shares," Arrow said in a statement, adding that it had appointed financial and legal advisers. Arrow claims to have the largest reserves of coal seam gas in Australia's northeastern state of Queensland, in its holdings at the Bowen and Surat Basins. The company's shares rocketed some 45 per cent to A$5.05 on news of the bid, which could herald a shake-up in the sector as companies work towards exporting coal seam gas in liquefied form. Australia has already signed contracts worth tens of billions of dollars with Asian countries for the clean-burning LNG created from natural gas, which is chilled into liquid form for shipping.
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BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
ListCo News
Mainboard-Listed Companies
Profit down for Lee Kim Tah
Compared to FY2008, Lee Kim Tahs revenue for FY2009 decreased by 17.7 per cent from RMB1.39 billion to RMB1.143 billion. This was due mainly to lower demand for PET bottles arising from lower local consumer spending. There was also increased competition in the corrugated paper packaging product business and revenue contribution from this product segment declined significantly. FY2009 net profit decreased by 27.1 per cent to RMB37.9 million from RMB52.0 million a year ago.
www.leekimtah.com
China Sky Chemical Fibre Co. Ltd closed today at $0.170. www.chsky.hk
www.china-auto-corporation.com
Cacola Furniture International Limited closed today at $0.055. Abterra Ltd. closed today at $0.050. www.abterra.com.sg
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BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
ListCo News
Catalist-Listed Companies
SBI Offshore forms JV with US-based Sea Reef
In a move to accelerate the growth of its contract engineering business, Singapore-based marine and offshore equipment integrated provider SBI Offshore Limited has invested an initial US$1 million in a joint venture with Sea Reef, a Houston-based design & engineering company. Sea Reef is principally engaged in providing equipment design and engineering services to oil companies and drilling contractors. The new JV will be incorporated in Singapore with an initial paid up capital of $10.00. SBI Offshore will take a 60 per cent stake, with Sea Reef taking 20 per cent stake and the management team of the JV Company taking the remaining 20 per cent.
www.ntegrator.com
www.mce.com.sg
www.jlj-holdings.com
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BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
STOCK COUNTER DBS.ES.1003 JMH 400US$ JSH 500US$ Jardine C&C DBXT FTVietnam 10US$ DBXT MSAsExJp 10US$ DBXT FTChina25 10US$ STXPO 100 Lyxor India Nifty 10 Shang Asia 2kHK$ STOCK COUNTER Genting SP NOL UOB Capitaland Noble Grp SingTel DBS StraitsAsia Kep Corp SIA
GAINER Last Price 14.180 30.200 18.220 26.300 44.950 27.790 29.470 15.800 15.940 13.480 VALUE 85,562,340 79,988,042 76,683,675 74,526,641 73,301,560 71,124,350 70,463,548 68,808,760 55,331,110 54,341,700 % change +4.137 +6.674 +3.056 +1.604 +2.580 +2.113 +3.260 +2.640 +2.900
STI vs S&P500 STI 23-Feb-10 22-Feb-10 19-Feb-10 18-Feb-10 17-Feb-10 Week's Change
(Source: Yahoo Finance)
DISCLAIMER
This research material is for information only. It does not have regards to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive or access this research material. It is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy securities referred herein. The use of this material does not absolve you of your responsibility for your own investment decisions. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this research material. We, our associates, directors and/or employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. This research report is based on information that we believe to be reliable. Any opinions expressed reflect our judgment at report date and are subject to change without notice. As of the date of the report, the analyst and his immediate family do not hold positions in the securities recommended in this report. This research material may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose by anyone without our specific prior consent.
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BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
Rising sovereign debt levels in the Western world and Japan are the price to pay for averting another depression last year. Governments around the world have borne the cost of the financial market crisis. They took large stakes in the banking, mortgage and housing sectors. Many governments also provide substantial support to household income and wealth, thereby stimulating weak aggregate demand. A year ago, the public sector was stronger than private households and firms. The former was insolvent in many countries; the latter had to protect their cashflows by reducing investments and workforces. Furthermore, governments were best suited to stretch payment for the excesses of the past over a long time. Countries live longer than individuals and they can raise taxes. Hence, creditors have more patience and a high debt tolerance vis--vis sovereigns. Yet, most countries will have to scale down their new borrowing over the coming years to prevent their debt-to-GDP ratios going through the roof. A high debt ratio jeopardizes growth and stability: the risk of default becomes real, the spread between long- and short-term interest rates therefore widens, investment becomes expensive and growth potential withers. Unfortunately, economics tells us little about the appropriate level of public debt. Clearly, Greece is beyond this point with the second-highest debt ratio in the Eurozone and the highest fiscal deficit in 2009. But other countries may have a larger debt tolerance. For example, Japan with its strong economic fundamentals and credible political institutions has easy access to the bond markets with a debt ratio twice as high as Greeces. Sovereign risks will therefore remain subject to judgment by the financial markets. The likelihood of a Greek default is low. The importance of the Greek debt crisis for the Eurozone is out of all proportion to the small financial cost of a rescue package. Greeces problems have become a test case for the whole euro project. If the beleaguered
member country were left in the lurch, a fundamental structural weakness of the Eurozone would be exposed. The loss of credibility would be substantial, and interest rates in the weaker countries could no longer be kept at their present level. The Eurozone would face repeated speculative attacks, with a resultant buffeting of the exchange rate. This should not be acceptable to the European policymakers. But sovereign default risks are rising und investors should be on alert. Scaling down the mountain of debt in an orderly fashion over the coming years will be necessary. Countries that communicate credible exit strategies early together with flanking measures to stimulate growth will benefit most in terms of low risk premiums. Other sovereign bonds will suffer from higher interest rates and default risks. A careful selection of creditors will therefore be key to avoiding losses on sovereign bond portfolios. Dr Jrg Zeuner is the Chief Economist of VP Bank Group in Vaduz, Liechtenstein. VP Bank was founded in 1956 and is one of the largest banks in Liechtenstein. Its Singapore subsidiary was established in 2008 to provide creative and personalized private banking services for its Asian clients. As the Chief Economist of VP Bank Group, Dr Zeuner has more than 10 years of experience, and was previously senior economist with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Washington DC, where he still serves as Technical Advisor. His other past experiences also include being an economist with the World Bank Resident Mission in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa and the Korean-German Chamber of Commerce and Industry respectively. Throughout his career, Dr Zeuner has also published numerous working papers and country reports on various topics ranging from financial to commodities. Dr Zeuner is also currently teaching Economics and Finance in Switzerland and Germany.
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BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
Biz Tech
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BIZ DAILY
Monday, 8 March 2010
A Daily Newsletter
Biz People
China New Town Devt Co Limited
Ng Chun Pang has been appointed Financial
Controller wef March 1, 2010.
Li Feng has been appointed Executive Director wef March 3, 2010. Work experience: Deputy Sales Director, Linyi Pine Agritech Limited; Section Chief, CPC Propaganda Department, Lanshan District Committee, Linyi.
RH Energy Ltd
Xu You has been appointed President of China Oil Zhong Zhou Engineering Supervision Co. Ltd wef March 1, 2010.
Companies are invited to submit notices of senior corporate appointments and changes. Please email Harold@bizdaily.sg or Denice@bizdaily.sg.
Biz Sage
On Career
The true test of any scholars work is not what his contemporaries say, but what happens to his work in the next 25 or 50 years.
- Milton Friedman
The famous economist Milton Friedman was known for bringing forward new methodological innovations to his contemporaries. Although most of his theories were accepted by economists, some economists in the 1960s considered his policy prescriptions controversial. However, some of his laissez-faire ideas concerning monetary policy, taxation, privatization and deregulation were implemented by governments in the 1980s. Even Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve acknowledged Friedmans monetary theorys contribution to helping find a solution to the financial crisis.
Milton Friedman was an American economist and recipient of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics. He was an economic advisor to U.S. President Ronald Reagan. Sometimes the success of your work cannot be immediately measured. Friedman was the first to realise that a lasting legacy would be his true achievement. Learn all that you can about your area of business and make sure you are prepared to advance your ideas. Perhaps you will also build a legacy.
The Sage is the wise philosopher who provides thoughtprovoking and inspirational words for those on their business journey to success. Here is a perspective advice to all professionals, business executives, and entrepreneurs. The daily entries in this section are organized according to a specific aspect of business life like people management, leadership, or entrepreneurial skills. Each entry will be provided by famous business figures that can be applied to your life and business. These words of encouragement are also meant to be used as a guide.