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Liver Disease Mortality Trends A Response To The
Liver Disease Mortality Trends A Response To The
Liver Disease Mortality Trends A Response To The
a comparative analysis of HIV service We declare no competing interests. disease is on a trajectory to become
delivery in the northeast between 2013 *Babayemi O Olakunde, the biggest cause of death in England
and 2016. Daniel A Adeyinka, and Wales”.
We observed that the proportion Sabastine S Wakdok, Although the 2017 Liver Disease
of individuals with new HIV infection Tolulope T Oladele, Commission2 in The Lancet highlighted
decreased by 10%, from 3326 in Chamberline E Ozigbu the substantial burden that alcohol
2013 to 3007 in 2016. HIV positivity boolakunde@yahoo.com places on the UK National Health
among people who were tested for National Agency for Control of AIDS (NACA), Service and society more broadly,
HIV decreased from 898 (9%) of Central Business District 900211, Abuja, Nigeria liver disease was ranked only
10 198 individuals in 2013 to 2737 (7%) (BOO, SSW, TTO); National AIDS & STIs Control tenth among the leading causes
Programme, Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja,
of 40 006 in 2016, representing an Nigeria (DAA, CEO); University of Saskatchewan, of death in England and Wales in
annual reduction of 8·4%, the slow Saskatoon, SK, Canada (DAA); and University of 2016. 3 8220 people died of liver
est improvement in the region. South Carolina, Columbia, SC, USA (CEO) disease (2% of all deaths) compared
The facilities providing HIV testing 1 Mworozi EA. AIDS and civil war: a devil’s with, for example, 62 948 from
alliance. Dislocation caused by civil strife in
and prevention of mother-to-child Africa provides fertile ground for the spread Alzheimer’s disease and dementia
transmission of (PMTCT) HIV services of HIV. AIDS Anal Afr 1993; 3: 8–10. (12% of all deaths).3
decreased by 57%, from 21 facilities 2 Hankins CA, Friedman SR, Zafar T, The statement comes from the Liver
Strathdee SA. Transmission and prevention
in 2013 to nine facilities in 2016, of HIV and sexually transmitted infections in Disease Commission and originally
whereas the facilities providing anti war settings: implications for current and asserted that “liver disease surpassed
future armed conflicts. AIDS 2002;
retroviral therapy decreased by 18%, 16: 2245–52. lung cancer…as the leading cause of
from 11 treatment centres to nine 3 Mock NB, Duale S, Brown LF, et al. Conflict years of working life lost, and is set
centres in 2016. As depicted by the and HIV: a framework for risk assessment to to overtake ischaemic heart disease
prevent HIV in conflict-affected settings in
negative annual change, the state Africa. Emerg Themes Epidemiol 2004; 1: 6. within 2–3 years.” This statement is
has a worsening trend for coverage 4 Spiegel PB, Bennedsen AR, Claass J, et al. broadly correct, although the precise
of PMTCT services and antiretroviral Prevalence of HIV infection in conflict- timeframe depends on one’s view on
affected and displaced people in seven
therapy. Between 2013 and 2016, the sub-Saharan African countries: a systematic future mortality trends.
coverage of PMTCT services in Borno review. Lancet 2007; 369: 2187–95. We also emphasise that, contrary to
5 Bennett BW, Marshall BDL, Gjelsvik A,
State decreased from 13% to 12%, with McGarvey ST, Lurie MN. HIV incidence prior
news reports,4 this assertion does not
an annual rate of change of –2·7%. to, during, and after violent conflict in mean that liver disease is also set to
This state had the second highest 36 sub-Saharan African nations, 1990–2012: overtake heart disease as the leading
an ecological study. PLoS One 2015;
antiretroviral therapy coverage after 10: e0142343. cause of death in people of working
Adamawa State at the start of the study 6 Strand RT, Fernandes Dias L, Bergstrom S, age. Heart disease kills nearly twice as
Andersson S. Unexpected low prevalence of
period; however, coverage reduced HIV among fertile women in Luanda, Angola.
many people under 65 every year. Liver
dramatically to 18% in 2016 (annual Does war prevent the spread of HIV? diseases contribute a greater share of
rate of change –41·2%), the worst trend Int J STD AIDS 2007; 18: 467–71. years of working life lost because heart
in northeast Nigeria. disease deaths occur, on average, at
Although we cannot establish older ages.
causality and are aware of the Liver disease mortality We declare no competing interests.
limitations of monitoring HIV services trends: a response to *Colin Angus, Petra Meier,
in armed conflict situations, these data John Holmes
suggest that between 2013 and 2016 the editor c.r.angus@sheffield.ac.uk
the insurgence might have contributed
Sheffield Alcohol Research Group, School of Health
to the poor HIV response in Borno State We read the Offline Comment by and Related Research, University of Sheffield,
but has not increased the incidence of Richard Horton (Jan 13, p 106) 1 Sheffield, S1 4DA, UK
HIV infection. With the concerted effort that summarised the evidence and 1 Horton R. Offline: Time to act on minimum unit
by the Nigerian Government, civil current policy debate in England pricing of alcohol. Lancet 2018; 391: 106.
2 Williams R, Alexander G, Armstrong I, et al.
society, and international organisations around minimum unit pricing for Disease burden and costs from excess alcohol
to restore peace and stability in Borno alcohol with interest. Unfortunately, consumption, obesity, and viral hepatitis: fourth
report of the Lancet Standing Commission on
State, improvement of access to HIV the Comment contained an import Liver Disease in the UK. Lancet 2017; published
prevention, treatment, and care and ant error, which has already been online Nov 29. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-
support services is imperative. Such repeated in UK parliamentary hear 6736(17)32866-0.
3 Office for National Statistics. Mortality statistics
intervention is crucial since resurgence ings and that we would like to correct - underlying cause, sex and age. https://www.
of HIV infection could occur in the post- to avoid it being repeated elsewhere. nomisweb.co.uk/query/select/
getdatasetbytheme.asp?theme=73 (accessed
conflict phase. This error is the statement that “liver Jan 26, 2018).
4 Young S, for The Independent. Liver disease to show any anomaly. Although acoustic 7 Kühnisch J, Set J, Lange C, et al. Multiscale,
become biggest killer by 2020 with alcohol converging defects of macro-porosity,
and obesity to blame. Dec 1, 2017. http://www.
neurinomas are more frequent in microstructure and matrix mineralization
independent.co.uk/life-style/liver-disease- neurofibromatosis type 2, they have impact long bone fragility in NF1. PLoS One
premature-death-cause-killer-alcohol- also been reported in type 1.9 Cases 2014; 9: e86115.
obesity-a8086441.html (accessed 8 Valvassori GE. The radiological diagnosis of
Jan 26, 2018). of internal auditory meatus enlarge acoustic neuromas. Arch Otolaryngol 1966;
ment in neurofibromatosis type 1 83: 582–87.
have also been described without any 9 Hekmatnia A, Ghazavi A, Marashi Shooshtari