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Geopolitical Conflicts: A Quest To Understand The Struggle For Influence
Geopolitical Conflicts: A Quest To Understand The Struggle For Influence
Geopolitical Conflicts:
A Quest to Understand the
Struggle for Influence
Dr. Muhammad Akram Zaheer
Geopolitical
Conflicts:
A Quest to Understand
the Struggle for Influence
Published by
This book has been published by Rehmat and Maryam Researches (Islamabad, Rawalpindi and
Lodhran) with technical assistance from RMR Publishers (Islamabad Office), and with academic
consultation from the Pak-Iran Intellectuals Forum’s Qom office. Rehmat and Maryam Researches
is registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan under 0206355, and the
publication is protected under the Copyright Act 1962 of Pakistan. This publication is a testament
to our commitment to promoting academic excellence and intercultural understanding, and we
believe that it exemplifies these values.
FOREWORD I
PREFACE III
INTRODUCTION VI
PART 1 1
PART 3 8
CONCLUSION 9
Foreword
i
dedication to scholarly rigor are evident on every page, making “Geopolitical
Conflicts” an invaluable contribution to the discourse on global affairs.
ii
Preface
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rights violations, and the delicate balance of power between Iran and the Arab
world. The exploration extends to potential flashpoints and alliances shaping the
future global order, notably the AUKUS alliance and China’s increasing role in the
Persian Gulf.
At this point, I also unfold the narratives surrounding major powers and
emerging trends, “Geopolitical Conflicts” offering a distinctive vantage point,
providing readers with a discerning lens to comprehend the challenges and
opportunities that lie ahead. Tailored for policymakers, scholars, and those
intrigued by the intricacies of global politics, this compendium emerges as an
indispensable resource.
In this book, I endeavored to create a work that not only informs but also
inspires nuanced discourse and critical engagement. This book, with its breadth
and depth of analyses, stands poised to contribute significantly to the ongoing
dialogue on the ever-evolving landscape of contemporary global politics.
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Praise for GEOPOLITICAL CONFLICTS
v
Introduction
vii
Part 1
Geopolitics: A
Theoretical Framework
1
Approaches and Theories
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The Heartland is a form of geopolitics, proposes that whoever controls
Eastern Europe, also known as the Heartland or Pivot Area, would ultimately
control the world. This theory was proposed by Sir Halford Mackinder in his
1904 essay “The Geographical Axis of History”. Mackinder believed that
Eastern Europe has vast resources in terms of raw materials and agriculture,
which are the basic ingredients needed to command a large army. Thus,
whoever controls Eastern Europe would have the means to conquer the rest
of the world. Mackinder also asserted that land power, rather than sea
power, could lead to world power.
However, the Heartland Theory has some limitations. Mackinder failed to
account for various technological advancements, such as nuclear weapons
and high-tech missiles, which complicate any scheme to take over the world
through the Heartland Theory. He also did not anticipate the rise of the
United States as a global superpower, which makes the idea of America’s easy
fall to the global power of the island more challenging than Mackinder initially
thought. Despite its limitations, the Heartland Theory remains a significant
theory in geopolitics, having influenced major historical figures such as Hitler
and played a role in the politics of the World Wars, the Vietnam War, and the
Cold War.
There is a question as to why Mackinder employs the term “heart” to
depict Eastern Europe. A depiction of the location of Eastern Europe on the
map presents it as the upper middle part of Eurasia. The heart is situated in
the upper part of one’s chest, also in the middle, albeit a tad more towards
the other side. Similarly, the heart pumps much-needed blood to our bodies,
and Eastern Europe abounds in numerous valuable resources that could feed
an army, just as blood fuels our bodies. Without a heart, our bodies cannot
continue to be fed by our minds. Our minds control all of our body functions,
including the heart. Without controlling the heart, it was believed that a
single power could not control the entire world. In our analogy, the body
endures this concept of the heart for a while
It is said that the heart pumps blood from it to the rest of the body, even
to the fingers and toes. In the Heartland Theory, if someone were to gain
power over Eastern Europe, then their power would radiate from there and
cover the entire world, much like blood flowing to nourish the rest of the
body. Just like the Heartland Theory, our bodies are vulnerable to weapons
that may prevent the heart from controlling the rest of the body, such as a
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nuclear bomb in the Heartland Theory. A single bullet to the heart is sufficient
to challenge the notion that the heart is the outcome of a higher power than
everything else.
Sea Power, it denotes the power exerted by a state through its capacity
to utilize the sea for both military and civilian purposes. The ability to use
oceans for transportation and other urban uses, such as fishing and, more
recently, the exploration of resources on or beneath the seabed, has sparked
much debate. The sea is like a “great highway” and a “wide common ground”
with “trade routes” that men traverse in all directions. Several strategic
straits or “bottlenecks” have been identified, the control of which
contributed to Britain’s maritime supremacy. Sea power encompasses six
fundamental elements: geographic location, physical structure, territorial
expanse, population size, character of the people, and character of
government. Based on these factors, Alfred Thayer Mahan envisioned the
United States as the geopolitical successor to the British Empire.
Alfred Thayer Mahan wrote an article in The Atlantic Monthly titled “The
United States Looking Outward” (1890) in which he urged American leaders
to recognize that their security and interests are influenced by the balance of
power in Europe and Asia. He regarded the United States, like Great Britain,
as a geographically distant island from the Eurasian landmass whose security
could be threatened by a hostile power or coalition of powers gaining
effective political control over key power centers. He further believed that
dominant Anglo-American sea power was the key to ensuring Eurasian
geopolitical pluralism in its broadest sense. In The Influence of Sea Power on
the French Revolution and Empire, he wrote that Britain’s navy stood
between Napoleon and world domination.
Mahan’s geopolitical insight was profound, based on his understanding
of the impact of geography on history. Later, he examined the successive
moves toward continental European hegemony by the Spanish and Austrian
Habsburgs, Louis XIV’s France, and Revolutionary and Napoleonic France, and
the great alliances supported by sea power, which he effectively countered.
In his subsequent essays and books, Mahan reimagined the geopolitical
struggles of the 20th and 21st centuries. In America’s Interest in International
Conditions (1910), Mahan predicted the basic geopolitical conditions leading
up to World War I and World War II. He recognized that Germany’s central
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position in Europe, on the continent, with its unmatched industrial and
military power, and its pursuit
In his work titled “The Asia Problem”, Mahan described a forthcoming
struggle for power in the Central Asian region as a “contentious and disputed
arena”, and identified China’s “vast covert power” as a potential geopolitical
adversary. In a similar vein to Germany prior to World War I, China in the 21st
century has taken up the ideas of Mahan. Professors Toshi Yoshihara and
James Holmes from the Naval War College examine the writings of
contemporary Chinese military thinkers and strategists in this regard, and
their seminal work, “Chinese Naval Strategy in the 21st Century”, references
Mahan. In terms of Mahan’s principles of sea power, China is situated in the
heart of East and Central Asia, has a lengthy coastline, a sizable population, a
growing economy, expanding military and naval power, and now boasts a
stable government. China’s political and military leaders have been
transparent about their desire to replace the United States as the dominant
power in the Asia-Pacific region. Given these circumstances, China’s adoption
of Mahan is sufficient cause for Americans to become familiar with the
writings of this distinguished American strategic thinker.
As the geopolitics is the study of the interplay between geography,
politics, and international relations, it concentrates on how geographical
factors, such as land, water, resources and population, impact political
decision-making and global power dynamics. Several geopolitical theories
endeavor to clarify the relationship between geography and politics.
The Rim land theory is a geopolitical concept proposed by American
political scientist Nicholas Spykman in the 1940s. The theory asserts that the
coastal regions around the Eurasian landmass, known as the Rim land, are the
most crucial geopolitical areas in the world. Spykman argued that whoever
controls the Rim land would be able to contain the power of the Heartland,
which refers to the central region of Eurasia, as proposed by the Heartland
theory of Halford Mackinder. Spykman believed that the Rim land was more
strategically important than the Heartland since it had greater access to the
sea and could control global trade and commerce. The Rim land includes
Europe, the Middle East, and East Asia, and is characterized by high
population density, abundant resources and diverse cultures. Spykman
believed that the Rim land was a vital geopolitical battleground since it served
as a buffer zone between the Heartland and the sea.
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According to Spykman, the United States had a critical stake in controlling
the Rim land since it was the only way to prevent the Soviet Union from
dominating Europe and Asia. He contended that the United States should
support the development of democratic states in the Rim land and provide
economic and military assistance to contain Soviet influence. The Rim land
theory had a significant influence on shaping US foreign policy during the Cold
War and remains pertinent today in discussions concerning the role of the
United States in the Middle East and East Asia. However, the theory has been
criticized for oversimplifying the complex geopolitical dynamics of the region
and underestimating the importance of other factors, such as ideology and
culture.
The United States implemented a strategy of containment, which aimed
to prevent the spread of Soviet influence by supporting democratic states in
the Rim land and providing economic and military assistance to contain Soviet
influence. The US also engaged in numerous conflicts and interventions in the
Rim land region, including the Korean War, the Vietnam War and various
Middle Eastern conflicts, to protect its strategic interests and prevent Soviet
expansion.
Even after the conclusion of the Cold War, the United States continues to
have strategic interests in the Rim land, particularly in the Middle East and
East Asia. The US has maintained a military presence in the region and has
engaged in various military interventions and operations, including the Gulf
War, the Iraq War and the War in Afghanistan. These actions have been
justified on the grounds.
Certain analysts contend that China’s investments in the Rim land form a
constituent part of a more comprehensive strategy to establish a sphere of
influence in the region and obtain control over strategic sea lanes and
resources. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has received criticism from some
countries and analysts for creating debt traps and advancing China’s strategic
interests at the expense of other nations. Nonetheless, others argue that
China’s investments in the Rim land are impelled by economic interests and
a yearning for regional stability and development. Chinese officials have
affirmed that the BRI is an all-encompassing initiative that aims to promote
cooperation and mutual benefits among the participating countries. The Rim
land theory serves as a valuable framework for comprehending China’s
strategic interests and geopolitical stance in the region. As China continues
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to ascend as a global power, its influence in the Rim land will likely remain a
primary concern for policymakers and analysts alike.
Other countries, such as Russia and various European powers, have also
been influenced by the Rim land theory to varying degrees. For instance,
Russia has traditionally attempted to expand its influence in the Rim land by
creating alliances and controlling strategic ports in the region, whereas China
has endeavored to augment its influence in the Rim land through its Belt and
Road Initiative, which aims to develop infrastructure and trade routes in the
area.
All three theories are significant since they offer diverse perspectives on the
factors that influence geopolitics. Whereas the Heartland theory underscores
the importance of land power, the Sea power theory highlights the significance
of naval power, and the Rim land theory underscores the importance of coastal
areas. By comprehending the insights and limitations of each theory,
policymakers can devise more refined and efficacious strategies to advance
national interests and uphold global stability.
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Part 3
Conclusion
8
Conclusion
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pitfalls of external manipulation and shape a trajectory that aligns with its
genuine interests. The conclusion of this book calls for a rigorous introspection,
encouraging a discourse that strives for a geopolitically informed yet nationally
oriented foreign policy paradigm for Pakistan, free from the shadows of proxy
engagements.
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