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Unit 7 - Class Slides
Unit 7 - Class Slides
BSR3B01/FNM03B3
Chapter 21:
Terminology
Political Risk
American
Depositary Cross-Rate Eurobond
Receipt (ADR)
London Interbank
Offered Rate
(LIBOR)
International Finance Terminology
• ADR – security issued in the US that represents shares in a
foreign company
• Cross-rate – implied exchange rate between two currencies,
when both currencies are quoted in terms of a third one
• Eurobond – bond sold in more than one country, but
denominated in one currency, usually the issuer’s domestic
currency
• Eurocurrency – money deposited in a bank in a country with
a different currency; Eurodollars are US dollars deposited in
a foreign bank
• Foreign bonds – bonds issued in a single foreign country in
that country’s currency
20-7
International Finance Terminology
• Gilts – British and Irish government securities
• LIBOR – loan rate on Eurodollars – commonly used as an
index for floating rate securities
• Swaps – interest rate (agreement between two parties to
pay interest to one another on some notional amount, one
party pays a fixed rate, the other pays a floating rate) and
currency (agreement to periodically swap currencies, with
exchange rate based on some prespecified rate)
20-8
Foreign Exchange Markets
and Exchange Rates
Foreign Exchange Markets and Exchange Rates
Exchange Rate
An exchange rate is simply
the price of one country’s
currency expressed in
terms of another
country’s currency.
TWO TYPES OF QUOTATIONS
• Direct Quotation
• Indirect Quotation
Financial Management 3B 11
DIRECT QUOTATION
Financial Management 3B 12
DIRECT QUOTATION EXAMPLE
Financial Management 3B 13
INDIRECT QUOTATION
Financial Management 3B 14
INDIRECT QUOTATION EXAMPLE
Financial Management 3B
15
Triangular Arbitrage and Cross Rates
Spot Exchange
Spot Trade
Rate
Types of Transaction
Forward
Forward Rate
Transaction
Example: Triangle Arbitrage
Absolute Relative
Purchasing Purchasing
Power Parity Power Parity
Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
• Price of an item is the same regardless of the
currency used to purchase it
• Requirements for absolute PPP to hold
– Transaction costs are zero
– No barriers to trade (no taxes, tariffs, etc.)
– No difference in the commodity between locations
• Absolute PPP rarely holds in practice for many
goods
Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
• Let S0 be the spot exchange rate between the euro
and the dollar today (time 0), and we are quoting
exchange rates as the amount of foreign currency
per euro.
• Let PUS and PEuro be the current U.S. and Euro
prices, respectively, on a particular commodity, say,
apples.
• Absolute PPP simply says that:
PUS = S0 x PEuro
Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
Conditions for
The transaction
Absolute
costs of trading
Purchasing Parity must be zero.
to Hold
Ft = S0 x [1 + (RFC - RHC)]t
Interest Rate Parity, Unbiased Forward Rates
and the International Fisher Effect
Ft = S0 x [1 + (RHC - RFC)]t
S0 = 13.0745
RHC = 10.95%
RFC = 2.12%
t=1
Ft = 14.229
Forward should be R14.229 for every USD
Interest Rate Parity, Unbiased Forward Rates
and the International Fisher Effect
• The unbiased forward rates (UFR) condition says
that the forward rate, F1, is equal to the expected
future spot rate, E(S1):
F1 = E(S1)
• With t periods, UFR would be written as:
Ft = E(St)
• Loosely, the UFR condition says that, on average,
the forward exchange rate is equal to the future
spot exchange rate.
Interest Rate Parity, Unbiased Forward Rates
and the International Fisher Effect
Putting it All Together:
PPP E(S1) = S0 x [1 + (hFC - hHC)]
IRP F1 = S0 x [1 + (RFC - RHC)]
UFR F1 = E(S1)
Two Approaches
Home Foreign
Currency Currency
Approach Approach
International Capital Budgeting
• Home Currency Approach
– Estimate cash flows in foreign currency
– Estimate future exchange rates using UIP
– Convert future cash flows to rand
– Discount using domestic required return
• Foreign Currency Approach
– Estimate cash flows in foreign currency
– Use the IFE to convert domestic required return to foreign
required return
– Discount using foreign required return
– Convert NPV to rand using current spot rate
International Capital Budgeting
Home Currency Approach
A US company is looking at a new project in Mexico. The
project will cost 9 million pesos. The cash flows are
expected to be 2,25 million pesos per year for 5 years. The
current spot exchange rate is 9,08 pesos per dollar. The risk-
free rate in the US is 4% and the risk-free rate in Mexico
8%. The dollar required return is 15%.
Should the company make the investment?
International Capital Budgeting
Foreign Currency Approach
Use the same information as the previous example to
estimate the NPV using the Foreign Currency Approach
– Mexican inflation rate from the International Fisher
Effect is 8% - 4% = 4%
– Required Return = 15% + 4% = 19%
– PV of future cash flows = 6 879 679
– NPV = 6 879 679 – 9 000 000 = -2 120 321 pesos
– NPV = -2 120 321 / 9,08 = -233 516
Unremitted Cash flow
• Often some of the cash generated from a foreign project
must remain in the foreign country due to restrictions on
repatriation
• Repatriation can occur in several ways
– Dividends to parent company
– Management fees for central services
– Royalties on the use of trade names and patents
Exchange Rate Risk
Exchange Rate Risk
Three Types
Political Risk
Changes in value that
arise as a consequence
of political actions.
Concept Quiz
Do you understand the concepts?
Concept Quiz
How much do you understand?
What is the difference between a Eurobond
Quiz and a Foreign Bond?