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PO409 - Essay 1
PO409 - Essay 1
PO409 - Essay 1
10/06/2022 – Paper 1
The everyday cynic and Shakespeare would both agree that a significant
a few of election polls could very well scare you into that belief. But are most people
terribly stupid? Can we trust that people have accurate judgements about current affairs
to make informed decisions? And, should the answer to the former question be a
resounding “no” can democracy still be saved from that knowledge? I will attempt in
the next few pages to prove that yes, in some sense most people are stupid; that utter
stupidity does not discriminate between levels of education, income or zip code; and,
that this fact alone matters little to the right models of democracy.
So, how stupid are the most stupider people, and how many of them are there? In
the YouTube video titled 4th of July Zombies - Americans Don't Know Why We
Celebrate Fourth of July! Mark Dice interviews the average American in San Diego,
asking them few piercing questions such as: “Today we celebrate our independence
from…?”; “What year the Declaration of Independence was signed?” and “Who’s your
favorite founding father: Jesse Ventura or John Wilkes Booth?” Among perhaps the
most unintentionally insightful answers are: The US celebrates its independence from
founding father is Jeremiah. That, and a vast compilation of “I don’t know” to questions
any sixth grader could tell in a heartbeat, would have you believe the average American
The implication in Mark Dice’s video is that not only are some people unaware
of the most basic facts regarding the origin of American democracy, but that these fools
are even more numerous than you’d like them to be. The implications of the video are
quite evident, as one commentor summed up “I can't stop laughing (sic.) then I realize
How worried should we be? Are the 4th of July Zombies out to cannibalize our
democracy from within? Have they already taken over? Though conceivable, that’s
probably not the case. Firstly, because Mark’s video isn’t really intended to be read as
an accurate cross-section of the American people. It’s an edited video and we don’t
know what percentage people who Mark Dice interviewed answered to his questions
correctly or flagged the mistakes he planted in his questions. And even if we’re to give
Mark the benefit of the doubt and say that all people he interviewed are featured in the
video, which is highly unlikely, we still can’t have any idea how much of the average
American shares the level of intellectual poverty as those interviewed by Dice. And that
In How to Lie with Statistics, Darrell Huff presents various compelling points
that may help soothe the anxiety of Mark Dice’s viewer. In explaining various fallacies
whole population, every subject in the sample must be chosen randomly. What defines a
random sample is that every subject in total population share an equal chance to be
included in the sample. Reframing this to Mark Dice’s video: if Dice is representing a
cross-section of the United States, does every living American have an equal chance of
being approached by Mark Dice in the boardwalk of Mission Beach in San Diego, CA
Mark Dice would most likely state that his video shouldn’t be regarded with
such statistic scrutiny. However, the fact we don’t know how many people were
interviewed in total summed with the fact that his sample was as far from random as
possible either dismisses or greatly diminishes any overlying implications his video
More refined and developed than Mark Dice’s video, Shakespeare’s Coriolanus
provides a more compelling argument for the poor intellect of the masses. The 3rd scene
of the play’s 2nd act pivots the titular character dressed in a gown of humility, forced by
custom to ask of the commons for their support of his consulship. Portrayed as a “multi-
headed monster” without sense or direction, the common people are scorned by
Despite being unable to totally restrain his contempt, Coriolanus still manages to
persuade the people to support his consulship. The popular tribunes however are greatly
disturbed by this attitude. They had previously arranged with the populace to pressure
Coriolanus while he was still destitute of power and to promise to be kinder and more
sympathetic towards their causes, which they have not done. The tribunes quickly
convince the subjects that Coriolanus does not have their best interest in mind swaying
them once again to, this time to oppose his rise to consulship (see 225, cited at the top
of the essay).
would agree. People seem much more irrational and childlike in the public sphere than
at the individual sphere, an assumption that Shakespeare would firmly agree with.
[…] The typical citizen drops down to a lower level of mental performance as
soon as he enters the political field. […] He becomes primitive again. His
Democracy, 262)
Schumpeter justifies that claim by identifying that people in group feel a diminished
sense of responsibility, therefore dropping their usual level of awareness and critical
faculties. This makes them fall prey easily to “groups with an ax to grind.”
(Schumpeter, 262) With their rhetorical shields down, the people become more
vunerable to repeated blows of political propaganda and therefore easily swayed and
how the masses are uneducated and foolish, but it would be even foolisher would be to
criticize “the people” while simultaneously abstaining oneself from it. Honestly, how
smarter are you and me from most people? How likely are we to commit the same
mistakes as them? If you ask Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow we
are all unintelligent in a myriad of ways. One of these is that we all own a large
Machine for Jumping to Conclusions in our minds. Kahneman argues that our minds
involuntarily take the path of least effort. Our brains have a default way of effortlessly
seconds. Kahneman calls this process System 1. Out of System 1’s many flaws the most
relevant for is that it will answer an easier question instead of the thought question
that’s being asked. People who were asked “List 6 times where you have been assertive.
Are you an assertive person?” Are more likely to consider themselves assertive than
people who were asked “List 12 times where you have been assertive. Are you an
assertive person?” System 1 will replace the difficult question “am I assertive?” with the
easy question “how many occasion where I have been assertive can I remember?” This
type of error is as natural to humans as having thumbs and a prefrontal cortex. It’s
unavoidable and neither you, Mark Dice, myself, Shakespeare or the late Queen
How could we ever salvage democracy from such a hard-hitting blow to the
Socialism and Democracy he argues for a conception of democracy that acts in the
model of a constitutional monarchy, replacing the monarch for the people. This way, the
people are left to their follies and only being burdened with the occasional judgment of
whether the ones in power are doing their job well or not. This removes the heavy
burden of being a perpetually well-informed rational animal from the whole population
into the few of these in power, who will hopefully know in what year the Declaration of
Independence was signed and from which country the United States declared its
independence from. In this model, the experts above compete for leadership and are
responsible for doing the people’s bidding in politics, instead of having to always
appeal for the masses to guide and determine their judgement. Are the people in power
still prone to error? Absolutely. Can the people choose the wrong candidates? You bet.
However, the people in power have an incentive not to make that many mistakes, and if
they do make grave errors they can just as easily be removed by the electorate as they
have ascended.