2023-04 - Press - Conf OIV

You might also like

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 24

INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATION OF VINE AND WINE

STATE OF THE WORLD


VINE AND WINE SECTOR
Pau Roca
Director General of the OIV
OIV Press Conference
20 April 2023
1
Topics
State of the world vine and wine sector in 2022
• Vineyard Surface Area
• Wine Production
• Wine Consumption
• International Trade of Wine
First Estimates Southern Hemisphere Wine Production in 2023
Main Wine Sector Challenges: Looking Ahead

2
Vineyard Surface Area

3
Vineyard Surface Area

Evolution of world vineyard surface area

mha
7,8

7,7

7,6

7,5

7,4

7,3

7,2 7.3 mha


2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Prov.
2022
Prel.
- 0.4 %/2021

The world area under vines, corresponding to the total surface area planted with vines for all purposes (wine, table grapes and raisins), including young vines not yet
in production, is estimated at 7.3 mha in 2022.
The world vineyard has stabilised since 2017, mainly due to the slow down of the Chinese vineyard’s growth and the implementation of the system of new planting
authorisation in the EU, which stands for the eight consecutive year at 3.3 mha. The current stabilisation, however, hides heterogeneous evolutions in different
regions of the world.

4
Vineyard Surface Area

World vineyard distribution in 2022

In 2022 there are 93 vine


growing countries at world
level. Top 6 countries
represent 56 % of the
world vineyard surface
area.

Breakdown of vineyard surface


area in 2022
Spain
13%

France
Other
11%
countries
44%
China
11%
Italy
10%
USA Türkiye
5% 6%

5
Vineyard Surface Area
Major vine-growing countries by surface area, 2012-2022

kha
1 200

955
1 000
812 785
800 718

600
410 390
400
207 196 193 188
200

0
Spain France China Italy Türkiye USA Argentina Chile Portugal Romania

kha
300

200 170 158 146


124 122 118 104 103 99 96
100

0
India Iran* Australia South Africa Moldova Uzbekistan* Afghanistan* Germany Russia Greece*

*Carried over from latest available data

6
Wine production

7
Wine Production
Evolution of world wine production

mhl

300

290

280

270

260
258 mhl
250 -1% /2021
240
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Prov. Prel.

In 2022 world wine production, excluding juices and musts, is estimated at 258 mhl, marking a decrease of almost 3 mhl (-1%), compared to
2021. This is due to higher-than-expected harvest volume in Europe despite the drought and heat waves during spring and summer, and
average production level recorded in the Southern Hemisphere.
Overall, the 2022 global wine production volume can be considered, for the fourth consecutive year, slightly below its 20-year average

8
Wine Production

World wine production distribution in 2022

In 2022, there are 85 wine-producing


countries in the world.

Three countries - Italy, France and Spain -


account for more than half of the world
production.

Top 8 wine producing countries account for


78% of the total wine produced in 2021.

EU: 161 mhl in 2022 (+4%/2021),


accounting for 62% of the world total

Breakdown of wine production in 2022


Other
countries Italy
22% 19%

South Africa
4%
Chile France
4% 18%
Australia
5%
Spain
Argentina USA
9% 14%
5%

9
Wine Production

Main wine producing countries in 2022


mhl
60
49,8
50 45,6

40 35,7

30 22,4
20 12,7 12,4 11,5 10,2 8,9
10 6,8 4,7 4,2 3,9 3,8 3,2 2,9 2,3 2,1 2,1 1,4 1,0
0

2022/2021 % Var. 63%

44%

21%
6% 9%
1% 4% 2%

-1% -2%
-7% -7% -8% -6% -8% -6% -5%
-14% -14%
-19%
-29%

10
Wine Consumption

11
Wine Consumption

Evolution of world wine consumption


mhl

255

250

245

240

235
232
230
mhl
225 -1% /2021
220
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Prov. Prel.

World wine consumption in 2022 is estimated at 232 mhl, marking a decrease of 1% compared to 2021.

The negative trend started in 2018 can be mainly attributed to the decline in China’s consumption, which has lost on average 2 mhl per year since 2018.
This downward trend was accentuated in 2020 by the Covid-19 pandemic, which brought a depressing effect on many large wine markets.
In 2022, the energy crisis and disruptions in global supply chains led to higher production and distribution costs, which resulted in higher wine prices. and high
levels of inflation hit the purchasing power of consumers. In this context, wine consumption behaviours at country level are quite heterogenous across
geographical regions.

12
Wine Consumption
World wine consumption distribution in 2022
In 2022, there are 200 wine-consuming
countries in the world.

Top 5 countries account for half of the


world wine consumption.

Top 10 countries represent more than two


thirds.

EU: 111 mhl of wine consumed in 2022 (-


2% / 2021), representing 48% of the
world consumption.

Breakdown of wine consumption in 2022


USA
15%
Other
countries
31%
France
11%

Italy
Portugal 10%
3%
Argentina
4% China Germany
4% Spain Russia UK 8%
4% 6%
5%

13
Wine Consumption

Main wine consuming countries in 2022


mhl

40 34,0
35
30 25,3
23,0
25 19,4
20
12,8
15 10,8 10,3 8,8 8,3
10 6,0 5,5 4,6 4,2 3,7 3,6 3,6 3,4 2,6 2,4 2,2 2,0 2,0
5
0

2022/2021 % Var.

14% 16%

3% 2% 3% 2% 3%
0%

-2% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0%
-3% -3% -3%
-5% -6%
-13% -14%
-16%

14
Wine Consumption
Top countries* by total consumption in 2022 Consumption per capita +15 in top consuming* countries in 2022
l/ capita
mhl

USA 34,0 Portugal 67,5


France 25,3 France 47,4
Italy 23,0 Italy 44,4
Germany 19,4 Switzerland 35,5
UK 12,8 Austria 30,8
Russia 10,8 Germany 27,0
Spain 10,3 Australia 26,1
China 8,8 Czech Republic 25,3
Argentina 8,3 Spain 25,3
Portugal 6,0 Netherlands 24,5
Australia 5,5 Argentina 23,8
South Africa 4,6 UK 23,2
Canada 4,2 Sweden 23,1
Romania 3,7 Romania 22,8
Netherlands 3,6 Belgium 20,9
Brazil 3,6 Canada 13,1
Japan 3,4 USA 12,6
Switzerland 2,6 South Africa 10,7
Austria 2,4 Russia 9,1
Czech Republic 2,2 Japan 3,1
Belgium 2,0 Brazil 2,1
Sweden 2,0 China 0,8
*Countries with 2022 wine consumption above 2 mhl

15
International Trade of Wine

16
International Wine Trade
Evolution of world wine export by volume

mhl
120
With a volume of 107 mhl,
110 107 mhl
-5 % / 2021 world wine exports in 2022
100
have decreased by 5%
90
80
compared to 2021, which

70 was record-high volume ever


60
50
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Prov. Prel.
Evolution of world wine export by value
bn EUR

40
37.6 bn EUR
World wine exports in 2022
35 +9% / 2021
is record-high and increased
30
by 9% compared to 2021
25
due to a sharp rise in average
20
export prices in all major
15
wine exporting countries
10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Prov. Prel.

17
International Trade of Wine

mhl
Breakdown of global Bottled wine:
70
trade volume in 2022
60
Volume: -4% / 2021
50
40 Bulk (>10 l) Value: +7% / 2021
32%
30
20
Bottled (<2 l) Sparkling wine:
10
53%
0 BiB Volume: + 5% / 2021
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 4%
Prov. Prel.
Value: +18% / 2021
Sparkling
Bottled (<2 l) Sparkling BiB Bulk (>10 l) 11%

bn EUR Breakdown of global Bag-in-Box (BiB):


trade value in 2022
30 Volume: -4% / 2021
25 Value: +6% / 2021
BiB Bulk (>10 l)
20 2% 7%

15
10 Sparkling Bulk wine:
5 23%
Volume: -7% / 2021
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Value: +5% / 2021
Prov. Prel.
Bottled (<2 l)
68%
Bottled (<2 l) Sparkling BiB Bulk (>10 l)

18
Main Wine Exporters

Top 10 by volume

mhl

25 21,9 ITA: -1%


21,2 2021 2022
ESP: -10%
20
FRA: -5%
15
14,0 CHL: -4%
AUS: +1%
10 8,3 ZAF: -9%
6,4 DEU: -6%
4,4 3,5
5 3,3 3,0 2,8 PRT: -0%
USA: -15%
0 NZL: +4%
Italy Spain France Chile Australia South Africa Germany Portugal New Zealand USA

Top 10 by value
bn €

FRA: +11% 14 12,3


2021 2022
ITA : +10% 12
ESP: +3% 10
CHL: +9% 7,8
8
AUS: +2%
USA: +12% 6
NZL: +16% 4 3,0
DEU: +4% 1,8 1,4 1,4 1,3
2 1,0 0,9 0,8
PRT: +1%
ARG: +7% 0
France Italy Spain Chile USA Australia New Zealand Germany Portugal Argentina

19
Main Wine Importers

Top 10 by volume
mhl

16 14,4
13,4 2021 2022 USA: +3%
14 13,0
DEU: -9%
12 GBR: -2%
10 FRA: +3%
8 NLD: -6%
6,1 CAN: -0%
6 4,6 4,2 3,9 3,4 3,3 RUS: +5%
4 2,8 CHN: -21%
2 BEL: -4%
0 PRT: -4%
USA Germany UK France Netherlands Canada Russia China Belgium Portugal

Top 10 by value
bn EUR
USA: +17%
GBR: +22% 8 7,0
DEU: -4% 2021 2022
CAN: +14% 6 4,8
JPN: +23%
NDL: +5% 4
2,7
CHN: -4% 2,2 1,8
2 1,5 1,4 1,3 1,3
BEL: +3% 1,0
CHE: +3% 0
FRA: +20% USA UK Germany Canada Japan Netherlands China Belgium Switzerland France

20
Market Internationalisation Index

Market internationalization index


50%

45% 46%

40%

35%

30%

25%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Prov. Prel.

The wine market internationalisation index is constructed as the ratio between the volumes of world wine exports and world wine consumption.

In 2022, the wine market internationalisation index is at 46%, meaning that on average in 2022, of every 2 bottles of wine consumed in the
world about 1 has crossed (at least) one border, that is 46% of the wine consumed in the world is imported wine.

21
Wine Production in the
Southern Hemisphere in 2023

First Estimates

22
Southern Hemisphere Wine Production 2023

Prov. Prel. Trend % Var.


Trend 2000-2023
2022 2023 2023 23-22

Argentina 11 451 9 046 -21.0%

Australia 12 745 11 077 -13.1%

Brazil 3 200 2 250 -29.7%

Chile 12 444 12 605 1.3%

New Zealand 3 830 2 980 -22.2%

South Africa 10 155 9 546 -6.0%

23
INTERNATIONAL
INTERNATIONALORGANISATION
ORGANISATIONOFOFVINE
VINEAND
ANDWINE
WINE

THANK
THANK YOU
YOU FOR
FOR
YOUR
YOUR ATTENTION
ATTENTION

24

You might also like