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Mas 2
Mas 2
INDEX-LINKED BONDS
→ Term premium
→ Liquidity
→ Credit risk
o
TERM PREMIUM (RISK PREMIUM)
→ PV OF FACE VALUE:
→ The compensation investors demand for
bearing the risk that interest rates may
change during the bonds lifespan.
→ The term premium leads to a positive term
spread, i.e., the spread of yields for bonds
with longer maturity over yields for bonds
with shorter maturity, even when markets o
expect increasing and decreasing interest → Example:
rates to be equally likely. o annual interest rate of 5%, making
semiannual interest payments for 2
LIQUIDITY
years
→ Liquidity describes the degree to which an o YTM of 3%
asset can be quickly bought or sold in the o Face Value = P1,000
market at a price reflecting its intrinsic o Coupon rate (annual) = 5%,
value. therefore, Coupon rate (semi-
→ A market with many available buyers and annual) = 5% / 2 = 2.5%
sellers and comparatively low transaction o C = 2.5% x P1000 = P25 per period
costs. o t = 2 years x 2 = 4 periods for semi-
→ 3 dimensions of liquidity: annual coupon payments
o Tightness – refers to a low bid-ask o T = 4 periods
spread o r = YTM of 3% / 2 for semi-annual
o Depth – volume of transactions compounding = 1.5%
necessary to move prices
o Resiliency – speed with which prices
return to equilibrium following a large o
trade.
→ The spread between the yield of a bond with
liquidity and a similar bond with less liquidity
is referred to as the liquidity premium.
→ The more illiquid the investment, the greater o
o Value of the bond= P1,038.54
the liquidity premium that will be required.
SHORTCUT:
CREDIT RISK
→ the price of a bond ignoring any interest → the uncertainty of the interest rate at which
which may have accrued since the last coupons and redemption sums can be
coupon payment invested.
→ the price of a bond, including any accrued → The extent to which a bond’s price
interest fluctuates due to changing interest rates is
called its volatility.
→ The price of the bond is inversely related to
the required yield of that bond.
→ A bond’s volatility depends on these factors:
o Coupon Rate
o Maturity
o Trading Yield Level
MACAULAY’S DURATION
→
EEFECTIVE ANNUAL YIELD → Example:
o
→
→ Example:
o A bond has a coupon rate of 5.2%
and is compounded quarterly.
o Coupon rate: 5.2%=0.052
o Number of payments: quarterly = 4
o [1+(.052/4)]^4 -1 = 0.053 o
o therefore, the effective annual yield
is 5.3%
MSL
ZERO COUPON BONDS matching, and trading forwards, futures and
options on bonds.
→ are bonds that do not pay interest during the
→ Example:
life of the bonds. Instead, investors buy zero
o Assume an investor needs to pay a
coupon bonds at a deep discount from their
$10,000 obligation in five years.
face value, which is the amount the investor
o Cash Flow Matching:
will receive when the bond "matures"
▪ The investor can purchase a
→ The higher the coupon rate, the shorter the security that guarantees a
duration $10,000 inflow in five years.
→ The lower the coupon rate, the longer the o Duration Matching:
duration ▪ The investor must match the
MODIFIED DURATION portfolio’s duration to the
investment time horizon.
→ It measures the price sensitivity of a bond
when there is a change in the yield to BOND CONVEXITY
maturity. → A relationship between bond prices and
bond yields, which shows how a bond’s
duration changes with interest rates.
→
→
o When the yield to maturity increases
by 1%, the bond price would
decrease by 1.8% (inverse
relationship)
o Yield = 10% - 11%
o 96.16 (1-0.018) = 94.43
→ Coupon rate effect →
o The lower the coupon rate, the BOND DURATION
higher the price volatility
→ Maturity effect → Measures the changes in a bond’s price
o The longer the maturity, the greater when interest rates fluctuate.
the price volatility CONVEXITY AND RISK
→ Effect of Yield to Maturity
o The higher the level of yield, the → Convexity is a better measure for assessing
lower the price volatility the impact on bond prices when there are
large fluctuations in interest rates.
BEHAVIOR OF MACAULAY’S DURATION
NEGATIVE CONVEXITY
→ RULE 1:
o The duration of a zero coupon bond → A bond’s duration increases as yields
equals its time to maturity. increases.
→ RULE 2: → As yields increase, bond price will decline
o Holding time to maturity and by a greater rate.
redemption yield constant, duration
POSITIVE CONVEXITY
is inversely related to the coupon.
→ RULE 3: → A bond’s duration rises and yields fall.
o Holding the coupon rate constant, → As yields fall, bond prices rise by a greater
duration generally increases with rate.
time to maturity.
→ RULE 4: BOND ANALYSIS
o Holding coupon and maturity INVERSE FLOATERS AND FLOATING RATE
constant, duration is inversely NOTES
related to redemption yield.
→ RULE 5: → Financial engineering can create derivatives
o If bond pays the same coupon each from a non-derivative investment, e.g. the
period forever without the principal division of a conventional bond into an
ever being repaid, the duration inverse floater and floating rate note.
equals (1+r)/r INVERSE FLOATER
IMMUNIZATION
→ Is a bond whose interest rate is inversely
→ A risk-mitigation strategy that matches asset related to a market rate.
and liability duration so portfolio values are → Example:
protected against interest changes. o An inverse floater might pay a
→ Can be accomplished by cash flow coupon rate of 10% p.a. minus
matching, duration matching, convexity LIBOR
MSL
o LIBOR-benchmark interest rate that
reflects market rates.
→ Not only does the coupon rate fall when
interest rates rise, but the rate at which the
coupons and principal value are discounted
also rises.
→ There are two effects of interest rate rises
that act to reduce the bond price.
→ Conversely interest rate falls have two
positive effects on the bond price; the higher
→
coupons are accompanied by a lower
discount rate.
FLOATING RATE NOTE
→
VALUES OF CALLABLE BONDS, NON-CALLABLE
BONDS AND THE CALL OPTION
→
CONVERTIBLE BONDS