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14-Multiple Deposited Creation - Money Supply Process
14-Multiple Deposited Creation - Money Supply Process
Kanjaraj Tangtatswas
2
Central Bank’s Balance Sheet
Central Bank
Assets Liabilities
* majority in a
Government securities Currency in circulation
+
others investment Monetary
Loans to financial Reserves Base
→ commercial banks deposit
institutions @ central bank
• Assets
Government securities—holdings by central bank that affect
money supply and earn interest
Loans to financial institutions
• Monetary Liabilities
Currency in circulation—in the hands of the public
Reserves—bank deposits at central bank and vault cash
3
Control of the Monetary Base
High-powered money
MB = C + R
C = currency in circulation
R = total reserves in the banking system
The Money Supply Model
M = m x MB
5
Deposit Creation – Single Bank
=
open market operation → buy bond from the market !
Assets Liabilities
Securities -$100 Checkable Deposit
checkable Deposit $700
Borrow out
$100
Reserve $100
Loans $700
Loans $100
6
Deposit Creation – Banking System
• Assume that the loan that is created by First National
Bank is deposited in Bank A.
• Required reserve ratio is 10%.
• Use excess reserves to make loan.
• The loan is deposited in Bank B.
Bank A Bank B
REAR $70
Req reqRR
$$90
9 Deposit $$9090
-
Deposit $9 Deposit
Req EXCR
Reserves
R $100
$10 Deposit $100
$100
Reserves
-
1109ns )
$90 EXCR
-
$87
-
ExcReserves
Loans
R $ $700
90 Exc
loanR $81
$90
7
Creation of Deposits
(assuming 10% reserve requirement and a $100
increase in reserves)
multiply by 70 time
8
The Formula for Multiple Deposit
Creation
R=rxD
Divide both sides by r
D = 1/r x R
9
Critique of the Simple Model
10
Determinants of the Money
Supply
11
Factors That Determine the Money Supply
M = m x MB
• Changes in money multiplier (m)
Changes in the required reserve ratio (r)
Changes in currency holding (c)
Changes in excess reserve (e)
• Changes in monetary base (MB)
Nonborrowed monetary base MBn
Borrowed monetary base (borrowed reserve or BR)
12
Deriving Money Multiplier
13
Deriving Money Multiplier
14
Deriving Money Multiplier Formula
c = C/D
e = ER/D
15
Deriving Money Multiplier Formula
MB = (r x D) + ER + C
• ER = e x D
• C=cxD
MB = (r x D) + (e x D) + (c x D)
MB = (r + e + c) x D
D= 1 x MB
r+e+c
16
Deriving Money Multiplier Formula
m= 1+c
r+e+c
17
Money Multiplier – Example
18
Money Multiplier – Example
• m = (1 + c)/ (r + c +e)
= 1.5/0.601 = 2.5
19
Money Multiplier – Example
m = 2.5
20
Factors that Determine
the Money Multiplier
21
Factors that Determine
the Money Multiplier
22
Excess Reserves Ratio and Currency Ratio,
1929–1933
Sources: Federal Reserve Bulletin; Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960
(Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1963), p. 333.
M1 and the Monetary Base, 1929–1933
Source: Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960
(Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1963), p. 333.
Quantitative Easing and the Money Supply,
2007–2017
• When the global financial crisis began in the fall of 2007, the Fed
initiated lending programs and large-scale asset-purchase
programs in an attempt to bolster the economy.
M1 and the Monetary Base, 2007–2017
Checkable Checkable
deposits -$100 Reserves -$100 deposits -$100
Currency +$100
29
Open Market Purchase from a Bank
30
Open Market Purchase from
Nonbank Public
Banking System Federal
Central
Reserve
Bank
System
Assets
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities Assets
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities
Reserves +$100 Checkable +$100 Securities +$100 Reserves +$100
deposits
Checkable
deposits +$100
31
Open Market Purchase from
Nonbank Public
Banking
Banking System
System Central
Federal Bank
Reserve System
Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities
Securities -$100
Cash +$100
32
Open Market Purchase
33
Open Market Sales to a Bank
34
Open Market Sales to
Nonbank Public
Banking System Central
Federal Bank
Reserve System
Assets
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities Assets
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities
Reserves -$100 Checkable -$100 Securities -$100 Reserves -$100
deposits
Checkable
deposits -$100
35
Open Market Sales to
Nonbank Public
Banking
BankingSystem
System Central
Federal Bank
Reserve System
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities Assets
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities
Securities -$100 Currency -$100
Assets Liabilities
Securities +$100
Currency -$100
36
Bank borrowing from central bank
Banking
Banking System
System Central Bank
Central Bank
Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities
Liabilities
Reserves +$100 Discount +$100 Discount +$100 Reserves +$100
loans loan
(borrowing from (borrowing from
Fed) Fed)
37
Paying Off Loan from the Central
Bank
Banking System
Banking System Central Bank
Central Bank
Assets
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities Assets
Assets Liabilities
Liabilities
Reserves -$100 Discount -$100 Discount -$100 Reserves -$100
loans loans
(borrowing from (borrowing from
Fed) Fed)
38
Central Bank’s Ability to Control
the Monetary Base
• Open market operations are controlled by central
bank.
• Central bank cannot determine how much and when
banks will borrow from them.
• Split the monetary base into two components:
MBn= MB - BR
• The money supply is positively related to both the
non-borrowed monetary base MBn and
to the level of borrowed reserves, BR, from
the central bank.
Explaining Movements in the Money
Supply
40
Money Supply Response
Change Money
in Supply
Player Variable Variable Response Reason
Central Bank Nonborrowed More MB for deposit
monetary base, MBn creation
Central Bank Required reserve Less multiple deposit
ratio, rr expansion
Banks Borrowed reserves, More MB for deposit
BR creation
Banks Excess reserves Less loans and deposit
creation
Depositors Currency holdings Less multiple deposit
expansion