Can Book-Tax Differences Capture Earnings Management and Tax Management? Empirical Evidence From China

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Tang, Tanya Y. H.

; Firth, Michael

Working Paper
Can Book-Tax Differences Capture Earnings
Management and Tax Management? Empirical
Evidence from China

Provided in Cooperation with:


Social Science Research Network (SSRN)

Reference: Tang, Tanya Y. H./Firth, Michael (2011). Can Book-Tax Differences Capture Earnings
Management and Tax Management? Empirical Evidence from China. [S.l.] : SSRN.
https://ssrn.com/abstract=1679190.

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Can Book-Tax Differences Capture Earnings Management and Tax Management?
Empirical Evidence from China
Tanya Tang
University of British Columbia, Okanagan
tanya.tang@ubc.ca
Michael Firth
Lingnan University
mafirth@ln.edu.hk

The International Journal of Accounting, forthcoming

ABSTRACT

This study investigates whether and how book-tax differences (BTDs) are related to

earnings management, tax management, and their interactions in Chinese listed

companies. Using unique tax-effect BTDs obtained from Chinese B-share listed firms, we

find that firms with strong incentives for earnings and tax management exhibit high levels

of abnormal BTDs. This suggests that BTDs can be used to capture both accounting and

tax manipulations induced by managerial motivations. Our results indicate that earnings

management explains 7.4% of abnormal BTDs, tax management accounts for 27.8% of

abnormal BTDs, and their interaction explains 3.2% of abnormal BTDs. Tax-effect BTDs

are more powerful than income-effect BTDs in capturing opportunistic reporting at both

conceptual and empirical levels.

JEL classification: M41; H29

Key Words: Book-tax differences, Earnings management, Tax management, China

An early version of this paper was titled: “Book-tax-differences, a proxy for earnings and
tax management”. We thank A. Rashad Abdel-khalik (the editor), In-Mu Haw (the co-
editor), and an anonymous reviewer for their extensive comments and suggestions. We
are especially grateful to Terry Shevlin for his long-standing support and guidance on this
paper. We also gratefully acknowledge the helpful comments from Millicent Chang, Sharon
Cox, Lillian Mills, John Robinson, Casey Schwab, and workshop participants at the 2006
American Accounting Association Annual Meeting, Simon Fraser University, York
University, and University of British Columbia.

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Can Book-Tax Differences Capture Earnings Management and Tax Management?
Empirical Evidence from China

1. INTRODUCTION

A large body of literature from the U.S. indicates that managers have strong

incentives to engage in earnings and tax management. 1 For example, they manage

earnings to meet the requirements of compensation contracts, debt covenants, stock

market pricing, and government and stock exchange regulations (Healy and Wahlen,

1999; Fields et al., 2001), and they manage taxes to maximize shareholders’ returns

(Scholes et al., 2005; Swenson, 1999), reduce the risk of tax scrutiny and political cost

(Watts and Zimmerman, 1986; Fields et al., 2001), and satisfy tax-based contract

motivations such as after-tax compensation schemes (Phillips, 2003). Detecting earnings

management (EM) and tax management (TM) is important in assessing the quality of

earnings and studying management behavior. Some studies have demonstrated that

book-tax differences (BTDs) reflect earnings management and earnings quality (Mills and

Newberry, 2001; Phillips et al., 2003; Hanlon, 2005), while other studies show that BTDs

are associated with tax sheltering (Shevlin, 2002; McGill and Outslay, 2004; Wilson, 2009;

Frank et al., 2009). However, very few studies examine the simultaneous impacts of EM,

TM, and their interactions, on BTDs. 2

In this study we examine BTDs, EM and TM in China. In doing so, we extend the

literature in terms of research method, empirical design, and country coverage. We use

tax-effect BTDs that are calculated directly from financial statement disclosures. In

contrast, U.S. research has used income-effect BTDs, which are based on estimations that

involve “grossing up” tax payments. These estimations result in well-know measurement

errors that are impossible to avoid (Hanlon, 2003). Estimation problems are eliminated

when we use tax-effect BTDs and we show they are a much better measure of BTDs and

capture opportunistic reporting in a more powerful way, at least in the case of China. In

their review paper, Graham et al. (2009) conclude that BTDs can be a function of earnings

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management, tax planning, regulatory differences, or some other factors. They note that,

while numerous studies document BTDs as evidence of EM and TM, almost all of them

use aggregated BTDs. They suggest that future research should study the disaggregated

components of BTDs to better explain the underlying causes. In this paper, we distinguish

between regulatory and opportunistic components of BTDs. Using a regression model, we

decompose BTDs into normal BTDs (NBTDs) and abnormal BTDs (ABTDs). NBTDs are

explained by differences between GAAP and tax law and we include these factors in the

regression model of BTDs. ABTDs are the result of EM and TM and we use the residual

from the BTD regression model as a proxy for ABTDs. We examine whether firms with

strong incentives for EM and TM have higher ABTDs. Consistent with our argument that

disaggregated BTDs not only inform us of the magnitude of the mechanical differences

between book and tax reporting rules, but also EM and TM, we provide evidence that

abnormal BTDs are associated with EM and TM incentives but normal BTDs are not. Our

results suggest that simply using total BTDs as a proxy for EM and TM may lead to an

overstatement of EM and TM. In addition, evidence that abnormal BTDs can be explained

by EM, TM, and their interaction provides a caveat to researchers when using this

measure to investigate EM or TM separately. We therefore extend the BTD literature.

We develop proxies for EM and TM based on our knowledge of China’s unique

institutional settings. For example, China has variable statutory tax rates, separate tax

reporting versus consolidated tax reporting, a highly concentrated ownership structure,

and rigid capital issuance requirements. These characteristics are very different from those

in the U.S. and they each have an influence on EM and TM. Differences in tax laws

between China and the U.S., and differences in institutional factors, imply that the results

from U.S. studies cannot be automatically imputed to the China setting. This provides a

motivation for our research. We incorporate the special features of China’s corporate

sector and tax law into our model. Examples include the number of different tax rates that

are applicable to a specific consolidated company and government ownership of listed

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firms. These factors have a potential impact on EM and TM. To give some comparative

context to our research design and interpretation of results, we make references to the

extant literature on U.S. research.

China is an important country in which to carry out our research as it has the third

largest economy in the world, the second largest market capitalization, and has unique

institutional characteristics. Inward portfolio investment from the U.S. and other countries

is accelerating as international investors search for growth markets with fast expanding

domestic demand. One impediment to this growth is investors’ real concerns over the

quality of accounting information, which they need in order to make good investment

decisions (Haw et al., 2001; Sami and Zhou, 2004). Our study will highlight some aspects

of earnings management and tax management in China and thus will contribute to

investors’ understandings of accounting and management behavior in Chinese listed firms.

Our empirical results are based on data drawn from Chinese listed firms that have

foreign investors (B-share firms) as these companies have detailed tax notes that allow us

to calculate tax-effect BTDs. The results show that abnormal BTDs (ABTDs) are

significantly related to a set of earnings and tax management incentives. We find that EM

explains 7.4% of ABTDs, TM accounts for 27.8% of ABTDs, and the combined EM and TM

factor explains 3.2% of ABTDs. These findings suggest that ABTDs are a useful proxy for

both EM and TM in China. Our results are robust to a series of sensitivity tests, including

out-of-sample estimation, model misspecification, different measures of the avoiding

losses incentive, the rights issues incentive test, the proportion of temporary and

permanent difference effects, and year effects.

The results provide important insights into the different EM and TM practices that

have emerged in response to the unique institutional settings in the world’s largest

transitional economy, China. Our findings have implications for policymakers, auditors,

international investors, and users of financial reports of listed Chinese companies. BTDs

can help investors estimate and evaluate the quality of financial statements, and tax

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authorities and auditing firms can carry out more effective audits by focusing on large BTD

firms. The analysis of BTDs may also assist China’s regulators in their quest to enhance

the credibility of book and tax reporting and the efficiency of China’s capital markets. To

the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to examine whether and how both EM and

TM affect BTDs in a major transitional economy.

The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. The next section discusses prior

research and describes the institutional background in China. In particular, we discuss

Chinese BTDs in terms of its development, measurement, and features. We also discuss

the effects of institutional settings on management incentives for EM and TM in China.

Sections 3 and 4 describe the research design, sample selection, and summary statistics.

The fifth section presents empirical results and the last section concludes.

2. LITERATURE REVIEW AND INSTITUTIONAL BACKGROUND

2.1 BTD-Related Research

BTDs refer to the gap between the pre-tax income reported in a company’s published

financial statements (hereafter book income) and the taxable income reported to the tax

authorities. The conflicting objectives of accounting and tax rules lead to divergent

requirements in income reporting, which generate mechanical BTDs (Smith and Butters,

1949; Beresford et al., 1983). However, accounting rules and tax laws cannot specify the

accounting and tax treatment for every business transaction because business activities

are complex and continually changing. This necessarily leaves considerable uncertainty in

applying accounting standards and tax laws. For example, in an effort to achieve a variety

of social, economic, and political goals, tax laws often vary across time, industries, and

even firms.

GAAP, per se, permits considerable discretion in reporting practices (Fields et al.,

2001; Watts and Zimmerman, 1986; Manzon and Plesko, 2002). For example, the

standards of comparability, consistency and materiality in GAAP allow managers to

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exercise discretion to make different determinations about the amount of revenue or

expenses to recognize in any given period. These standards also permit flexibility in the

choice of accounting methods, such as depreciation, cost allocation, and asset valuation.

When managers have incentives to distort a firm’s performance, they may opportunistically

use accounting standards and tax laws, and thereby create abnormal BTDs.

Drawing on U.S. data, Mills and Newberry (2001) present evidence that firms with

EM incentives have larger BTDs. Phillips et al. (2003) evaluate the usefulness of BTDs in

detecting EM relative to various accruals measures. Assuming that taxable income is

constant, they find that temporary BTDs are incrementally useful beyond total accruals and

discretionary accruals in classifying firm-years as EM or non-EM for firms that have

earnings declines or are in danger of reporting losses. Hanlon (2005) finds that earnings

and the accrual portion of earnings are less persistent for one-year-ahead earnings for

firms with large temporary BTDs, suggesting that extreme temporary BTDs indicate lower

pre-tax earnings quality.

A growing body of literature (Shevlin, 2002; Desai and Dharmapala, 2006; Plesko,

2004; McGill and Outslay, 2004) suggests a link between BTDs and TM. The underlying

idea is that inconsistent financial accounting and tax reporting should be a characteristic of

tax planning, because the goal of tax planning is to reduce tax payments. If taxable income

is managed without affecting book income, the variation in BTD is reflective of tax

shelters.3 Some U.S. studies (Manzon and Plesko, 2002; Mills et al., 2003; Plesko, 2004)

find that aggregate BTDs have increased over the 1990s, but this growth cannot be

explained by institutional arrangements. These researchers argue that the large

unexplained BTDs may be partly attributable to increased tax sheltering activities. Wilson

(2009) and Frank et al. (2009) find evidence of a positive association between BTDs and

identified tax shelter firms. Mills (1998) finds that proposed audit adjustments increase as

firms’ BTDs widen, suggesting that larger positive BTDs imply high levels of tax non-

compliance. Cho et al. (2006) report similar evidence in New Zealand.

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The literature on tax and non-tax trade-offs suggests that EM and TM may exist

simultaneously and interact with each other (Shackelford and Shevlin, 2001). Current

studies indicate that firms engaged in aggressive book reporting may be also involved in

aggressive tax reporting (Frank et al., 2009). The propensity to engage in opportunistic

behavior is predicated on tax and non-tax cost considerations and on a manager’s

incentives. Managers’ actions include aggressive, moderate, or conservative strategies.

These strategies can be summarized as follows: (1) managing book and taxable income

(taxes) in an opposite direction, e.g., reporting higher earnings and lower taxable income

(taxes); (2) managing book income while keeping taxable income (taxes) constant, e.g.,

boosting earnings or taking a bath; (3) managing taxable income (taxes) while keeping

book income constant, e.g., reducing (deferring) taxes or smoothing taxes.4 However, no

matter what strategy management chooses, the ultimate purposes of EM and TM are to

influence book income and tax payments. These actions increase the variation in BTDs

because BTDs are a function of tax-effect book income and tax-effect taxable income. The

resulting variations can help quantify the magnitude of opportunistic book and tax

reporting. Therefore, BTDs inform us not only of the magnitude of the mechanical

discrepancy between book and tax reporting rules, but also of management’s strategies or

behavior in managing earnings and taxes.

2.2 Institutional Background of BTDs in China

Unlike the U.S. and many other developed nations, which have a long history of BTDs,

China’s BTDs emerged when the Chinese accounting and tax systems changed from a

conforming (or dependent) system to a non-conforming (or independent) system beginning

in 1985. Before that, the rules for measuring accounting profit were the same as those for

measuring taxable income, so no BTDs existed in China (Tang et al., 2000; Davidson et al.,

1996). In the transition to a modern business enterprise system, China changed its

accounting standards to comply with IFRS and imported elements from international tax

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practices and laws. Since then, Chinese GAAP has departed from Chinese income tax

laws, giving rise to a lot of mechanical BTDs (Tang, 2006). Appendix I lists the major

differences between corporate income tax laws and Chinese GAAP. The harmonization

with IFRS has dual implications: (1) it increases the relevance and comparability of

financial reporting in a global economy; and (2) it increases discretion in accounting

choices and provides greater opportunities for managerial manipulation, especially in

countries where the monitoring of management’s judgments is relatively weak. In addition,

the departure of book income from taxable income provides opportunities for firms to

aggressively report their book income and taxable income simultaneously (Desai, 2005).

Figures 1 and 2 show the patterns of BTDs, permanent differences, and temporary

differences, over time. We identify three major features of Chinese BTDs. First, unlike U.S.

BTDs, aggregate Chinese BTDs are negative during our observation period.5 Tang (2006)

interprets the negative aggregate BTDs as evidence that Chinese income tax laws have

more conservative expense recognition relative to Chinese GAAP and IFRS. Examples of

more conservative expense recognition include limitations in deducting salary expenses,

advertisement fees, entertainment fees, lower tax depreciation vis-a-vis book depreciation,

and numerous non-deductible items such as the provision for impairment of assets and

expenses without authorized supporting invoices. Second, the pattern of BTDs is mainly

determined by permanent differences. On average, the proportion of permanent

differences to total BTDs is 76% for the sample we use in the main tests. Appendix I

details different book and tax treatments as reflected in permanent and temporary

differences. This shows that numerous accounting recognized expenses (unrecognized

revenues) are non-deductable (recognized) under tax laws, resulting in a high proportion

of permanent differences. Third, Chinese BTDs fluctuate overtime and cannot be

explained solely by changes in accounting and tax rules during our sample period.

Therefore, it is interesting to study how management practices explain the variation in

BTDs.

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Insert Figures 1 and 2 here

Evidence to date suggests that Chinese managers opportunistically use the

discretion in current accounting standards. For example, Eccher and Healy (2000)

document that Chinese managers are more likely to exercise greater discretion in

reporting accruals, particularly through the write-down of obsolete inventory and accounts

receivable allowance under IFRS. Aharony et al. (2000) conclude that accelerating credit

sales is a widely used method for Chinese B-share firms’ earnings management before

making an IPO. Haw at al. (2005) and Chen and Yuan (2004) provide evidence that

Chinese listed firms manage earnings upward to gain approval to make a rights issue.

Some studies attribute these phenomena to the lack of effective controls that monitor

opportunistic reporting, such as insufficient supervision and scrutiny by the China

Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), a lack of independent auditing, and a lack of

legal protection for minority investors (DeFond et al., 2000; Abdel-khalik et al., 1999;

Eccher and Healy, 2000; Lin and Chan, 2000; Aharony et al., 2000). The instruments of

earnings management used in China include, but are not limited to, accruals (Lu, 1999),

non-operating earnings or below-the-line items (Chen and Yuan, 2004; Haw et al., 2005),

related party transactions (Jian and Wong, 2010, Lo et al., 2010a, b), and government

fiscal subsidies (Chen et al., 2008).

China’s tax system is characterized by its uncertainty due to multiple-tier tax

legislations and a multitude of tax incentives driven by strong political-economic objectives

and local governments’ interests (Tang, 2006). For example, the Chinese government

offers favorable tax incentives to domestic firms operating in five special economic zones,

32 economic and technology development zones, 13 free trade zones, and 52 high-tech

development zones (Wu et al., 2007). As a result of that, actual tax rate applied to firms

that enjoy preference policies could be 24%, 15%, 7.5% and even 0, much lower than the

nominal statutory tax rate of 33%. The variation in tax burdens within a country and the

lack of efficiency in tax administration induce firms to engage in tax planning (Chan and

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Mo, 2000; Mo, 2003). Wu et al. (2007) find that firms mitigate taxes by changing their

registration location to a low tax rate region. Shevlin et al. (2009) demonstrate that

Chinese listed firms save taxes through shifting income from high tax rate subsidiaries to

low tax rate subsidiaries. In particular, Chan et al. (2009) find that tax noncompliance

increases when the level of book and tax conformity decreases. We incorporate these

unique features of Chinese BTDs into our research design.

3. RESEARCH DESIGN

3.1 The measure of Chinese BTDs

We can measure BTDs in two ways: (1) using book income minus taxable income or the

sum of permanent differences and temporary differences, which is called income-effect BTDs;

and (2) using prima facie income tax expense (i.e., the multiplication of book income by the

statutory tax rate) minus current tax expense (or the sum of the multiplication of the statutory

tax rate by the permanent differences and the multiplication of the statutory tax rate by the

temporary differences), which is called tax-effect BTDs. A common method to estimate BTDs

in the U.S studies is to gross-up current tax expense to estimate taxable income, or to use

the effective tax rate reconciliation to infer total BTDs. The income-effect method from this

estimation introduces measurement error due to credits, tax rate differences, consolidation,

and tax loss carry forwards (see Hanlon, 2003 for a detailed discussion). Appendix II gives

an example of computing tax-effect BTDs and income-effect BTDs. The numbers are quite

different.

Tax-effect BTDs are particularly appropriate in China because firms are subject to

varying tax rates due to different government tax incentives and because they are required

to declare their corporate income tax on an individual firm tax reporting basis. Furthermore,

tax-effect BTDs allow researchers to examine those tax strategies that reduce the overall

tax burden without affecting total book and taxable income (i.e., income shifting).

Conversely, the use of income-effect BTDs may restrict empirical tests as it only can

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capture those tax strategies that affect book income or tax income. 6 To examine this

further, we test whether our EM and TM results are affected by the way we calculate BTDs

(tax-effect and income-effect).

We are able to use tax-effect BTDs in this study because they are disclosed in B-share

listed firms’ financial statement tax footnotes. China’s B-shares are mainly traded and held

by foreign investors. Based on financial information disclosure regulations issued by the

Ministry of Finance (MOF) and the CSRC, B-share firms must prepare financial reports in

two languages and use two sets of accounting standards: the Chinese-version under

Chinese GAAP and the English-version under IFRS. A reconciliation of tax-effect book

income and current tax expense is presented in the IFRS-based reports (see Appendix III

for an example). These data enable us to avoid the measurement errors inherent in having

to estimate BTDs (which is the case for income-effect BTDs).

Most prior BTD studies focus on either temporary differences (e.g., Phillips et al.,

2003; Hanlon, 2005) or permanent differences (Frank et al., 2009) and examine either EM

or TM behavior. However, EM/TM can create both permanent differences and temporary

differences (Wilson, 2009; Hanlon and Heitzman, 2009). Using a sample of firms identified

as engaging in tax shelter activities, Wilson (2009) analyzes nine major types of tax shelter

activities and identifies that three of them create temporary differences. The results in his

Table 4 indicate that both temporary and permanent BTDs are correlated with identified tax

shelter firms. As a result, we use total BTDs that consist of both permanent and temporary

differences to examine EM and TM activities.

3.2 Estimating Normal and Abnormal BTDs

Prior literature has used a residual approach to disentangle the different components

in BTDs. For example, Desai and Dharmapala (2006) use the residual from a regression of

total BTDs on total accruals to estimate a measure of tax planning and assume that BTDs

are a result of EM and TM. Frank et al. (2009) construct a tax aggressiveness measure by

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regressing total permanent BTDs on nondiscretionary permanent items due to the

differences between accounting and tax rules. In doing so, they restrict their measure to

tax aggressiveness that does not generate temporary differences. In this paper, we follow

their notion and develop ABTD and NBTD measures that take account of the uniqueness

of Chinese accounting and tax systems. As discussed in Section 2.1, BTDs are a function

of accounting-tax misalignment, EM, and TM. To estimate NBTDs, we regress total BTDs

on nondiscretionary items that are known to cause NBTDs but are less likely to relate to

management manipulations. The unexplained portion is our measure of ABTDs. Following

Manzon and Plesko (2002), we use changes in sales, gross property, plant and equipment

(PPE), non-goodwill intangible assets, and NOL to explain NBTDs. We also add tax rate

differences to the model.7 The estimation equation is:

BTDit  0  1INVit  2REVit  3TLit  4TLUit  5TAX _ DIFFit  it (1)

where

BTDit = the reported BTD for firm i in year t;

INVit = the change in investment in gross property, plant and equipment

and intangible assets from year t-1 to year t;

REVit = the change in revenue from year t-1 to year t;

TLit = the value of accounting losses;

TLUit = the value of tax losses utilized for firm i in year t;

TAX _ DIFFit = the difference between the consolidated company’s applicable tax rate

and the average tax rate in the consolidated group;

 it = error term in year t for firm i.

NBTDs are driven by the mechanical divergence between accounting standards and

tax laws and are subject to investment scale in fixed and intangible assets (ΔINV),

economic growth (ΔREV), tax loss positions (TL and TLU), and tax rate differences

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(TAX_DIFF). For example, Chinese tax laws prescribe the straight-line depreciation

method, useful life, and residual values for specific assets. However, for financial reporting

purposes, these items are all subject to management choice based on Chinese GAAP and

IFRS. Given that tax depreciation is slower than book depreciation in China, taxable

income will be larger than book income in the earlier years of the assets’ lives. When the

investment in fixed and intangible assets increases, it contributes a larger numerator to

calculate depreciation and amortization, thereby giving rise to large negative NBTDs. In

addition, investment growth will increase the provision for impairment of fixed and

intangibles assets. Provisions for impairments are shown in the income statement as

required under existing accounting standards but they are non-deductible under Chinese

tax laws; this leads to a higher (lower) taxable income compared to book income in the

earlier (later) years. Therefore, investment growth will lead to large negative NBTDs in

China, which is quite different from the U.S. setting. We use INVit to capture the effect of

the growth in investment scale on NBTDs that relate to mechanical depreciation and

amortization.8

REVit is used to control for the effect of changes in economic circumstances on

NBTDs.9 Usually, accounting rules tend to prevent companies from overstating revenue or

understating expenses to financial statement users and thus protect third party creditors

and investors. By contrast, tax laws tend to constrain taxpayers from understating revenue

or overstating expenses to tax authorities for the purpose of protecting government

revenue. Thus, growth in revenue will increase NBTDs due to different income and expense

recognition in GAAP and tax laws. As discussed earlier, Chinese income tax laws are more

stringent in expense recognition and less conservative in income recognition. Correspondingly,

higher growth in revenue will lead to larger negative NBTDs.

Wilkie (1992) indicates that BTDs will be understated when a tax loss occurs and

overstated when a tax loss is utilized. For example, when a tax loss occurs, taxable income

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is recognized as zero leading to negative NBTDs. When a tax loss is utilized, the preceding

year's tax losses are offset against the current year's taxable income, thereby resulting in

positive NBTDs. We use TLit and TLUit variables to control for the mechanical effects of

tax policies specific to tax loss carry forwards and the asymmetric treatment of taxable

income and tax loss.10

Finally, we use TAX _ DIFFit to control for the mechanical effect of tax rate

differentials and the different reporting requirements on NBTDs. Unlike the U.S. tax code,

Chinese tax laws require separate tax reporting. Each entity must compute its income tax

on the basis of its independent taxable income and the applicable tax rate. Therefore,

applicable tax rate variation among subsidiaries in a consolidated group affects NBTDs. 11

All variables are scaled by total assets for year t to control for firm size except for

TAX _ DIFFit .

3.3 Testing the Relations between ABTDs and Incentives for EM and TM

NBTDs are the fitted values from equation (1) and the residuals are abnormal book-

tax differences (ABTDs). To test whether ABTDs can capture EM and TM, we develop the

following multiple regression model in which estimated ABTDs are regressed on a set of

variables that proxy for various EM and TM incentives. If ABTDs are indicative of potential

managerial manipulations, firms with stronger incentives and opportunities for EM and TM

should have high levels of ABTDs.

ABS ( ABTD)   0  1 ATR   2 NUMBER   3 SEON   4 LOSS   5 SOELG


(2)
 6 NUMBER * SOELG   7 IND  8 SIZE  

where

Dependent variable:

ABTD = the absolute value of abnormal BTDs, scaled by total assets.

EM and TM can yield negative or positive ABTDs. For our study, signed ABTDs are not

appropriate measures of manipulations since a firm with positive ABTDs does not necessarily

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imply that its extent of manipulation is larger than that of a firm with negative ABTDs.12 We

therefore use unsigned ABTDs.

TM incentives variables:

ATR = applicable tax rate for the sample listed firm as shown in the tax note;

NUMBER = the number of different applicable tax rates in a consolidated entity;

EM incentives variables:

SEON = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity has a rights issue or

public offering in year t+1, and 0 otherwise;

LOSS = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity has a loss in the

current year t, and 0 otherwise;

TM and EM variables:

SOELG = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity is a state-owned

enterprise controlled by a local government, and 0 otherwise;

Control variables:

IND = control variable that equals 1 for the manufacturing industry and 0

otherwise;

SIZE = the natural logarithm of total assets at the fiscal year-end.

The tax planning literature suggests that the significant factors that affect TM include

the corporate tax rate (Klassen et al., 1993; Klassen and Shackelford, 1998), non-tax costs

consideration (Scholes et al., 2005), and different tax treatments or jurisdictions (Klassen

and Shackelford, 1998; Gupta and Mills, 2002).

A major feature of Chinese corporate income tax is that the income tax rate varies

across firms with different investors and firms established in different industries and

locations. The applicable income tax rate (ATR) for listed firms’ ranges from 0% to 33%.

This encourages firms with a higher tax rate to engage in tax planning. Chan and Mo

(2000) find that Chinese firms with a high tax rate have high tax audit adjustments,

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implying more tax noncompliance. Accordingly, we expect that a higher ATR generates

strong incentives to engage in tax planning, resulting in larger ABTDs.

Based on non-tax cost considerations, a well-designed tax strategy can reduce taxes

but does not diminish income reported to investors. Consequently, income-shifting through

exploiting different tax treatments in a consolidated group is an ideal tax strategy due to it

having little or no impact on a firm’s reported profit. Some U.S.-based studies demonstrate

that U.S. multinational and multi-state companies lower their taxes by cross-jurisdiction

income shifting (Klassen et al., 1993; Gupta and Mills, 2002). These studies argue that

firms with different tax rates can strategically arrange operations, capital, and product

flows by shifting income from high tax brackets to low tax brackets. In contrast, firms with a

single tax treatment have no opportunity to pursue these potential tax strategies (Mills et

al., 1998).

Chinese companies with subsidiaries in different regions and industries are commonly

subject to multiple tax rates, making tax-induced income shifting among subsidiaries

possible. In particular, under Chinese income tax laws, all corporations must declare their

tax liabilities on a separate entity reporting basis despite consolidated requirements in

IFRS and Chinese GAAP. Thus, Chinese listed firms have strong incentives and

opportunities to shift income from subsidiaries with a high tax rate to those with a low tax

rate. Shevlin et al. (2009) find evidence that the magnitude of income shifting in Chinese

listed firms increases with the tax rate range in a consolidated group. The greater the

differences in tax rates among subsidiaries, the more likely a holding company engages in

inter-subsidiaries tax-induced income shifting. Accordingly, we expect that the number of

tax rates is positively associated with ABTDs.

We add EM incentives in equation (2). Seasoned equity offering (SEO) research

documents that SEO-issuing firms report income-increasing discretionary accruals around

the time of equity offerings (Teoh et al., 1998; Marquardt and Wiedman, 2004). Many

studies in China (mostly in Chinese) also show that listed firms inflate earnings to reach

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the threshold for eligibility to make SEOs (i.e., the 10 percent ROE rule). This phenomena

can be explained by Chinese listed firms’ heavy reliance on equity financing and the high

threshold for making SEOs set by the CSRC (see Aharony et al., 2000). Jian and Wong

(2010) find that China’s listed firms use recurring related party transactions to manage

operating earnings upward to meet the SEO hurdle. Chen et al. (2000) and Haw et al.

(2005) show that firms with ROEs in the range of 10 to 11 percent have unusually high

discretionary items such as abnormal accruals and non-core profits. Following these

studies, we predict that SEO applicants (SEON firms) face an immediate incentive to

improve profits through EM in year t so as to gain SEO eligibility in year t+1 and this will

result in larger ABTDs relative to non-SEON firms.

While numerous studies show that avoiding a loss is a strong incentive for EM (e.g.,

Burgstahler and Dichev, 1997), Chinese listed firms exhibit an even stronger motivation to

report positive earnings because of the CSRC’s delisting and trading restrictions

regulations.13 Much of the literature demonstrates that Chinese firms are keen to report

positive earnings to avoid delisting from the stock market (Cai et al., 2003). Lu (1999)

demonstrates that loss firms manipulate their earnings upward or downward in different

time periods to avoid delisting and trading restrictions. Accordingly, we expect that loss

firms have strong incentives for EM, thereby giving rise to larger ABTDs.

The tax and non-tax trade-offs literature suggests that EM and TM may exist

simultaneously and interact with each other (Shackelford and Shevlin, 2001). We include

an ownership variable, SOELG, to investigate the association of ABTDs with combined EM

and TM incentives. A distinct characteristic of Chinese capital markets is that the share

ownership is highly concentrated in the hands of the central and local governments. The

state is the largest shareholder in approximately 73% of B-share listed firms. The state’s

shares are administered by government bodies such as state asset management agencies

or institutions authorized to hold shares on behalf of the state, such as wholly state-owned

investment companies (CSRC, 2005). The government frequently appoints top managers

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and the managers’ compensations do not relate to stock returns, which suggests that

managers may have more incentives to act in the best interests of the state rather than in

the best interest of public shareholders (Firth et al., 2006). In addition, concentrated

ownership implies controlling shareholders are rarely challenged by other shareholders

and this can lead to poor corporate governance (Liu and Lu, 2007). By examining firms

that had allegations of accounting manipulation made by the CSRC during 1994 to 2002,

Liu and Du (2003) demonstrate that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are more likely to

manage earnings.

Some listed firms are controlled by the central government (SOECG) and some are

controlled by local governments (SOELG).14 Local governments play multiple roles such as

providing public services, monitoring listed firms as China’s central government agents,

and being major shareholders of listed firms (Chen et al., 2008). This complicated

relationship and conflicts of interest between local governments and the central

administration in China create a unique incentive for SOELGs to engage in both EM and

TM. On the one hand, local governments want to attract more investment to develop the

local economy, increase employment opportunities, and create regional revenue as the

performance of the local economy affects government officers’ promotions and political

careers (Li, 1998). Chen et al. (2008) find that local governments use fiscal subsidies as a

means to help their listed firms boost earnings to meet the threshold for making a SEO and

to avoid delisting. Their evidence shows that 21% of SEO qualified firms are unqualified

before fiscal subsidies and 96% of firms with a slight loss become profitable after receiving

fiscal subsidies.

On the other hand, local governments have strong incentives to encourage their listed

firms to engage in tax planning for their own interests. As the largest shareholders, local

governments are the largest beneficiaries of high post-tax returns. Further, the tax-sharing

system in China requires that income tax paid by a state controlled listed firm must be

shared with the central government.15 In this context, SOELG firms may have incentives to

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boost their earnings and minimize income taxes. We expect a positive relationship

between ABTDs and SOELG.

Recent studies show that local governments provide their listed firms with generous

tax preferences as a means to attract and retain more equity capital into their own

jurisdictions (e.g., Wu et al., 2007; Chen et al., 2008). In an untabulated test, we find that

the means of number of tax rates (NUMBER) and ATR for SOELG firms are 3.11 and 15%,

in contrast to 2.4 and 20% for SOECGs, suggesting that SOELG firms have more tax

incentives and lower applicable tax rates.16 Tax incentives have contrasting effects on the

tax planning decisions of SOELG firms. Tax rate differentials facilitate tax aggressiveness

in a consolidated group. SOELG firms are likely to maximize tax benefits via income

shifting. However, tax aggressiveness is costly and risky. Studies in other countries have

documented that tax aggressiveness is associated with low stock returns (Hanlon and

Slemrod, 2009) and those large BTDs due to tax aggressiveness lead to high tax

adjustments (Mills, 1998; Cho et al., 2006). If SOELG firms can reduce their tax burdens

directly by taking advantage of tax preferences, they may reduce aggressive tax planning

activities as reflected in ABTDs.17 To investigate the tax preference effect on SOELG firms’

tax planning decisions, we include the interaction term of Number*SOELG in Equation 2.

We expect that firms that have a number of tax rates are less likely to engage in

aggressive tax reporting due to risk and cost considerations, thereby having lower ABTDs.

The variables IND and SIZE are used to control for industry and size effects on ABTDs.

4. DATA COLLECTION AND SUMMARY STATISTICS

We collect BTD data from companies’ English-version financial reports available at the

CSRC’s designated official website (www.cninfo.com.cn and www.sse.com.cn) and

financial reports offered voluntarily by firms upon our request. The initial sample contains

all Chinese B-share firms18 listed on either the Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchanges

from 1999 to 2004, resulting in 664 firm-year observations. We exclude firms without three-

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years of consecutive data19 and firms in industries that are subject to special tax policies or

accounting rules (e.g., agriculture, mining, and construction). Table 1 shows that out of the

664 firm-years that comprise the population of Chinese B-share listed firms over the period

1999-2004, our sample consists of 525 firm-year observations. The sample by year and by

industry is shown in Panels B and C. Panel B shows that approximately 70% of

observations are in the manufacturing industry.

Insert Table 1 here

Table 2 reports the summary statistics and correlation matrix for the variables used in

the BTD and ABTD models. Panel A shows that the mean (median) of BTD is -0.008 (-

0.001), suggesting that aggregate Chinese BTDs are generally negative and opposite to

aggregate BTDs in the U.S. (Plesko, 2004; Hanlon and Shevlin, 2005). The means

(medians) of ∆REV and ∆INV are 8.1% (6.7%) and 1.9% (1.1%) of total assets,

respectively. The univariate correlation analysis shows that BTD has a significantly

negative association with ∆INV and NOL and a positive relation with ∆REV and TLU,

consistent with our predictions.

Insert Table 2 here

Panel C of Table 2 presents descriptive statistics for variables in the ABTD model.

The mean (median) of ABS (ABTD) is 0.7% (0.3%) of total assets. The mean of ATR is

19.6%, which is far below the statutory rate of 33%. The mean and the maximum of

NUMBER for sample firms are 2.60 and 11, consistent with Chinese listed firms being

subject to multiple tax rates within a consolidated group due to different tax incentives

offered by the government. About 18.7% of observations have a loss and 72% of firm-year

observations are companies controlled by SOELGs. Only 3.4% of our firm-year

observations make a seasoned equity offering in the following year (the number of SEOs

is quite small because, in part, the CSRC severely limits the number of SEOs in any given

year). ABS (ABTD) is positively correlated with ATR and LOSS.

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5. EMPIRICAL RESULTS

5.1 Results of the BTD Model

We use the residual calculated from cross-sectional model (1) to estimate ABTDs.

Table 3 shows that the overall model is a good fit and explains most of the variation in

BTDs. The adjusted R² is 77% and the F-statistic is 352.90 (significant at the 0.01 level).20

The coefficients are all significantly different from zero. In line with expectations, the signs

on ∆INV, ∆REV, and TL are negative and the signs on TLU and TAX_DIFF are positive.

Insert Table 3 here

5.2 The Relation between ABTDs and EM and TM Incentives

Table 4 presents the results of the regression of the estimated ABTDs on TM and EM

incentives. In the main results (column 1), all estimated coefficients are significant at the

0.05 level using a one-tailed test (two-tailed when there is no predicted sign).21Consistent

with the prediction that a higher ATR creates incentives for tax planning, resulting in larger

ABTDs, ATR is significantly positive. Holding other variables constant, the coefficient on

ATR suggests that a one-percent increase in ATR contributes a 3.8 percent increase in the

absolute value of ABTDs, which is approximately 0.82 million RMB (about 0.13 million U.S.

dollars) for the average firm.

The coefficient on NUMBER is significantly positive, suggesting that firms that face

more tax rates engage in tax planning, presumably by shifting income from subsidiaries

with high tax rates to those with low tax rates. This finding is also consistent with the U.S.

literature suggesting that greater differences in tax rates provide more opportunities for tax

avoidance.

As expected, SEON firms and LOSS firms have larger ABTDs than their

counterparts due to their strong EM incentives. The estimated coefficients on both dummy

variables are significantly positive. This finding is consistent with the prior literature

suggesting that meeting the SEO profitability hurdle and avoiding delisting are two major

EM incentives in China. SOELG firms exhibit larger ABTDs than their counterparts as they

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have strong incentives for both EM and TM. The negative association of ABTD with

NUMBER*SOELG suggests that a SOELG that has obtained favorable tax rates is less

likely to engage in aggressive tax reporting.

Insert Table 4 here

Overall, ABTDs are positively associated with all EM and TM incentives. Firms with

more incentives and opportunities for tax and earnings management exhibit larger ABTDs,

suggesting that the magnitude of ABTDs captures reporting distortions induced by

managerial incentives in response to China’s institutional features. We interpret this as

evidence that BTDs are a useful proxy for the combined effect of EM and TM after

controlling for accounting-tax misalignment.

To test if our tax-effect BTDs are superior to income-effect BTDs in capturing EM and

TM, we calculate income-effect BTDs following the procedures used in U.S. studies. We

estimate taxable income by grossing up current tax expense in a consolidated firm by

dividing by the company’s applicable tax rate (See Appendix II). We then rerun the BTD

model to estimate ABTDs and regress ABTDs on EM and TM incentives. Column 3 of

Table 4 shows that the results from this estimation are quite different. The coefficients are

insignificant except for NUMBER and SEON. ABTDs estimated from income-effect BTDs

appear to be weak in capturing management opportunism (the adjusted R2 is only 9%),

suggesting that tax-effect BTDs are more powerful in identifying EM and TM.

5.3 Sensitivity Tests

5.3.1 Tests on a Hold-out Sample

Some studies suggest that in-sample evidence based on pooled cross-section time

series data is likely to lead to spurious conclusions, especially when there is parameter

instability due to unmodelled structural change across time (Poon and Granger, 2003).

Therefore, to validate our results, we use an out-of-sample test where we estimate ABTD

in a different time period to the test period. In particular, we use the parameters estimated

in year t-1 to calculate NBTDs for year t. Because the parameters are re-estimated each

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year, this approach can capture the effects of specific-year changes in GAAP and tax laws

on NBTDs, assuming they take at least one year to implement.

Column 2 of Table 4 shows that the out-of-sample tests do not qualitatively change

our inferences. All independent variables are significant with their predicted signs,

suggesting that the prior regression results are robust to an alternative measurement of

ABTDs.

5.3.2 Tests for Model Misspecification

We estimate abnormal BTDs based on a cross-sectional model that attempts to

remove underlying determinants driven by different book and tax treatments in GAAP and

income tax laws leaving the portion driven by EM and TM in the residual. A major concern

is whether our model successfully distinguishes mechanical differences from opportunistic

differences. To examine this concern, we regress NBTDs (instead of ABTDs) as the

dependent variable in Equation (2). Our results (untabulated) indicate that none of the

independent variables, except for LOSS, is significantly different from zero. This test

suggests that only opportunistic differences (ABTDs) capture EM and TM, and that our

model disentangles ABTDs and NBTDs.

5.3.3 Loss Avoidance Incentives in Prior Year

We use the LOSS dummy variable as a proxy for one of the EM incentives, where the

dummy variable is set to one if firms have a loss in year t and zero otherwise. However,

the loss or profit level in year t might have been an outcome of EM. For example, firms

with losses in a prior year have incentives to boost earnings and so yield a profit in year t.

To address this concern, we examine firms’ incentives to avoid losses in the previous year.

We use “Loss”, “Loss1” and “Loss2” to replace LOSS. Where Loss = 1 if firms have a loss

in year t but not in year t-1, 0 otherwise; Loss1 = 1 if firms have a loss in year t-1 but not in

year t-2, 0 otherwise; Loss2 = 1, if firms have a loss in year t-1 and in year t-2, 0 otherwise.

This classification allows us to test whether ABTDs relate to loss avoidance incentives at a

more robust level. The untabulated results show that Loss and Loss2 are positively

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associated with ABTDs but Loss1 is insignificant. These findings are consistent with

previous predictions that loss firms desire to take a big bath in the first loss year to create

reserves for future use while two-consecutive-year-loss firms are keen to boost earnings in

order to avoid delisting and trading restrictions. In a relative sense, the loss avoidance

incentives for firms with a one-year loss in year t-1 (Loss1) are weaker than Loss and

Loss2 firms. This robustness check does not qualitatively change our prior conclusions.

5.3.4 SEO Incentive

Haw et al. (2005) find that all SEO applicants (successful and unsuccessful

applicants) boost earnings so as to meet the ROE hurdle. We investigate a relatively

focused sample, namely successful applicants. A potential concern is that successful SEO

applicants whose real economic performance has met ROE requirements may not have

EM motivations. In this case, using the SEON dummy variable as an EM incentive will

affect the power of the test. To mitigate this concern, we analyse the ROE distribution for

the SEON sample. We find that only two SEON firms exhibit high and stable ROE before

and after making SEOs. The remainder either exhibit a dramatic jump (a big drop) in ROE

before (after) making SEOs. We remove these two firms and find that the significance level

of SEON holds (p-value = 0.025), suggesting that the positive association of ABTDs with

SEON is attributable to SEO incentives. Other inferences remain the same.

5.3.5 Year Effects, the Proportion of Permanent and Temporary Differences

Figures 1 and 2 show that the differences between temporary differences and

permanent differences vary across the sample period and are especially high in 2001 and

2002. To assess the impact of this on our results, we exclude Y2001 and Y2002 and rerun

Model (2). Our results are similar to those shown in Table 4, suggesting the prior results

are not driven by the variation in these two years. We also add year variables in Model 2 to

control for time effects. The previous results hold.

Permanent differences dominate temporary differences in China as shown in Figure 2

and Appendix I, and this raises a concern that the high proportion of permanent

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differences may influence our results. To alleviate this concern, we rerun the regression by

excluding firms with a ratio of permanent differences higher than 60%. Our results do not

qualitatively change. Therefore, the proportion of permanent and temporary differences

does not have a major impact on our results.

5.3.6 The Explanatory Power of EM and TM

Table 5 reports the extent to which different factors affect ABTDs. The results from

the four models indicate that EM explains 7.4% of ABTDs, TM accounts for 27.8% of

ABTDs, and the combined EM and TM factor explains 3.2% of ABTDs. These findings

suggest that TM and EM are dependent and interactive, consistent with the tax and non-

tax cost literature. Evidence from BTDs on the interplay of EM and TM in China extends

Frank et al. (2009) and Wilson (2009), where they find U.S. tax sheltering firms also report

a high level of discretionary accruals, implicitly suggesting that firms manage book income

upwards on the one hand and taxable income downwards on the other hand.

Insert Table 5 here

6. CONCLUSIONS

Pervasive earnings manipulations, tax planning, and accounting scandals have

drawn considerable attention from researchers, regulators, and financial information users.

Accordingly, how to detect unobservable management manipulations has become an

important issue. Evidence from the U.S. shows that BTDs can detect EM in some settings

(Phillips et al., 2003) and BTDs are a good indicator of tax shelters (Frank et al., 2009;

Wilson, 2009). Our paper extends the current literature by demonstrating that BTDs

capture not only EM but also TM in China, a country with different regulatory and market

contexts from those in the developed world.

Making use of China’s unique institutional features and data advantages, we

simultaneously investigate the association of Chinese BTDs with various EM and TM incentives.

We extend the BTD literature by using a different method to calculate BTDs (i.e., tax-effect

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BTDs) and distinguishing between regulatory differences and opportunistic differences. We

identify factors that determine BTDs and construct a regression model to explain them.

The fitted values from the regression give NBTDs and the residuals give the ABTDs. This

decomposition is of particular importance because it helps us to isolate managers’

manipulations. Our evidence indicates that ABTDs capture reporting distortions induced by

management motivations but NBTDs do not. We also find that tax-effect BTDs are

superior to income-effect BTDs in capturing earnings and tax management at both the

conceptual and empirical levels. Evidence that ABTDs are caused by EM, TM, and their

interaction provides a caveat to researchers when using ABTD measure to investigate EM

or TM separately.

Our findings provide additional insights into international accounting and EM/TM

research. Provided that NBTDs and ABTDs are reliably measured, the estimated NBTDs

allow researchers to quantify the extent of accounting-tax nonconformity across countries

and how it changes over time. Although nonconformity is not a new issue in developed

countries, how to evaluate the level of accounting-tax nonconformity is contentious. For

example, prior international accounting research, such as Alford et al. (1993) and Ali and

Hwang (2000), evaluate the major differences in accounting and tax rules in a specific

country to measure the level of book-tax nonconformity.

We examine how the distinct characteristics of China’s corporate sector, accounting

standards, tax policies, and government ownership influence management’s opportunistic

decisions in a leading emerging capital market. Specifically, we investigate how EM and

TM practices affect the variation in BTDs. ABTDs provide investors with an indicator to

assess the quality of financial reports. Tax authorities and auditing firms can exploit this

indicator to perform efficient and effective audits. The findings of our paper have

implications for Chinese regulators who want to enhance the credibility of book and tax

reporting and the efficiency of China’s capital markets.

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Our paper also sheds light on the policy debates regarding accounting-tax conformity.

EM and TM occur when management has incentives and discretion, and when

uncertainties exist in accounting standards and tax laws. Whether accounting-tax

conformity can reduce opportunistic tax and book reporting is an empirical issue for future

research.

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Endnotes:
1
Earnings management refers to managers using their judgment in financial reporting to alter
financial reports to either mislead some stakeholders about the underlying economic
performance of the company, or to influence outcomes that depend on reported accounting
numbers (Healy and Wahlen, 1999). We define tax management, tax planning, tax avoidance
or tax shelter as taxpayers exploiting uncertainty in tax law to choose an advantageous
method in tax reporting that influences their tax liabilities.
2
While Wilson (2009) and Frank et al. (2009) find that firms involved in tax sheltering also
exhibit large discretionary accruals, they do not investigate whether BTDs can detect both
EM and TM. Desai and Dharmapala (2006) assume BTDs are driven by EM and TM and
they develop a measure of tax avoidance by controlling for the component attributable to
accounting accruals. However, the main focus of their study is to analyze the links
between tax avoidance and incentive compensation.
3
For example, a report by the U.S. Department of the Treasury states that a hallmark of a
corporate tax shelter is a reduction in taxable income with no concomitant reduction in
book income (McGill and Outslay, 2004, p743).
4
Scholes et al. (2005) define effective tax planning as a tax-favored activity that
maximizes the firm’s expected discounted after-tax cash flows. Effective tax planning
requires firms to make trade-offs between the benefits of tax planning and the non-tax
costs associated with financial statement reporting, which suggests that tax minimization
might not be the optimal business strategy. Thus, effective tax planning should include the
possibilities of managing taxes upward and downward instead of minimizing taxes only.
5
Plesko (2004) reports positive aggregate U.S. BTDs from 1995-2000. He also finds
negative BTDs after the event of 9.11 in 2001 due to the effect of loss firms and accounting
conservatism. Hanlon and Shevlin (2005) extend data to 2003 and find that aggregate BTDs
are positive except in the years 2001 and 2002. They explain that, in addition to the loss effect,
negative BTDs are driven by special items such as write downs for the impairment of goodwill
and other intangible assets, restructuring charges, and the write-off of acquired in-process
research and development.
6
Income-effect BTDs cannot capture income shifting strategies because, conceptually,
tax-induced income-shifting will not affect total book and taxable income in a consolidated
group.
7
Manzon and Plesko (2002) also include other variables such as post-retirement benefits
and foreign operations to explain the book-tax spread. However, post-retirement benefits
are not available in China during our observation period. Only 16 of 525 firm-year

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observations disclose overseas profit taxes. Therefore, we do not incorporate post-
retirement benefits and foreign operations into our model. Given that our model
decomposes normal and abnormal components from total BTDs, we compare our work to
Manzon and Plesko (2002). Frank et al. (2009) also provide a model that distinguishes
discretionary permanent differences and nondiscretionary permanent differences.
8
Managers usually take advantage of the judgment (discretion) in depreciation method
choices or the depreciable lives of the assets to manage earnings. The “∆INV” variable is
less related to earnings management than depreciation. Frank et al. (2009) also use
goodwill and other intangibles to control for institutional effects in their model to
decompose discretionary and non-discretionary permanent BTDs.
9
Most earnings management models use ΔREV to control for the effect of changes in the
economic environment on total accruals. We follow this philosophy.
10
With actual tax data, the values of “TL” and “TLU” are not related to management
discretion. Since tax data are not publicly available, we follow prior literature and use
financial statement data (see Mills et al. (2003) for a detailed discussion). For firms without
TL or TLU, we denote that figure as zero.
11
Applicable tax rate is the actual tax rate imposed after considering tax preferences,
which differ from the statutory tax rate and effective tax rate. For example, the statutory
income tax rate is 33% in China. Firms may be given an applicable tax rate of 15% if they
are high technology enterprises located in high-tech industry development zones.
However, firms may have an effective tax rate of 12.5% due to some non-taxable income
items and tax planning. Thus, applicable tax rate is purely a result of tax preference policy.
12
For example, firm A smoothes its book income $1000 and taxable income $2000 (i.e., B' = -
1000, T ' = -2000), leading to $1000 ABTDs. Firm B smoothes its book income $4000 and
taxable income $2000 (i.e., B' = -4000, T ' = -2000), thereby yielding $-2000 ABTDs. In this
case, the degree of manipulation for firm B is larger than that of firm A. However, we reach a
completely different conclusion when we compare firms’ ABTDs based on the numbers of
1000 and -2000.
13
The CSRC issued the Special Treatment (ST) regulation in 1998, in which listed firms with
two successive years of losses would be specially treated on the stock exchanges. The stocks
of ST firms are traded with a +5% price change limit each day, versus +10% for normal stocks.
If ST firms continue to suffer a loss for one more year, it will be classified as a “particular
transfer” (PT) firm. The price increases in a PT firm cannot be more than 5% on any
trading day to prevent insider manipulation. However, the price of a PT share is allowed to
fall without limit. The PT shares can be traded only on Fridays. PT firms will be de-listed if

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they cannot become profitable within one year, meaning they will lose the ability to raise
capital from the stock market. In 2001, new regulations mandated that firms with consecutive
three-year losses be suspended until they become profitable and be delisted if they report a
loss in the first midterm reports in the fourth year (see http://www.csrs.com.cn).
14
In this study, local governments include provincial and municipal governments.
15
For example, corporate income tax is shared with the central government on a 50:50
basis until the end of 2002. In 2003, the central government sharing rate increased to 60
percent and the local governments sharing rate decreased to 40 percent of the total
shared income taxes.
16
The mean and median tests are significant at the 0.01 level (two tail tests).
17
Some tax planning activities will not be reflected in tax-effect BTDs if they do not affect
tax-effect book income and current tax expense; for example, changing the registration
location of a company to gain a tax favorable rate. Anecdotal evidence suggests
companies in China reduce their tax burden by “negotiating” tax rates with governments.
However, this is not the case for the sample firms during our observation period. According
to the Chinese Tax Administration and Collection Law, local tax offices can levy income
taxes at a pre-determined rate instead of statutory tax rate only if (1) taxpayers lack a
complete accounting record in that either their revenue or expenses cannot be determined
by tax audits, or (2) taxable income declared by tax payers is unreasonably low and if their
revenue and costs can be determined through audits (Clauses 35 and 37). These
applications mainly focus on small-scaled cash-oriented businesses, such as noodle
restaurants, hair dressing salons, etc. When a pre-determined tax rate needs to be set,
local tax offices must follow prescribed procedures, standards and methods as in the Tax
Administration and Collection Law. The final pre-determined tax rate is set at an industry
or regional level rather than on an individual basis (see Qiong Guoshuifa [2002] 364,
http://www.chinatax.gov.cn).
18
In the Chinese capital market, there are five categories of shares. These are state-
shares, legal-person-shares, employee-shares, A-shares (ordinary domestic individual
shares), and foreign individual shares, such as B-shares, H-shares, and N-shares. Only A-
shares and B-shares are publicly tradable on the domestic Stock Exchange. The major
differences between A- and B-shares are the types of investors permitted to own and trade
them and the currencies used for trading and paying cash dividends. A-shares can be
traded and purchased by private Chinese citizens in domestic exchanges, while B-shares
are traded and held by foreign entities and foreign individuals, including overseas Chinese

30

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residents in Hong Kong, Macau, or Taiwan (they were not open to domestic investors until
early 2001 and then only if domestic investors have access to foreign currencies).
19
We need a minimum of three years of data as we use first differences (i.e., change
variables) in our model of BTDs and we use firms with seasoned equity offers in year t+1
in our hypothesis test. We start our observation period in 1999 because most B-share firms
did not disclose their English language reports before 1998.
20
The variance-inflation factors are all less than 2, and the maximum condition index is
3.0, suggesting that multicollinearity does not influence the statistical results.
21
Variance inflation factors are all less than 1.5, and the maximum condition index is 14.7,
indicating that multicollinearity is unlikely to affect the inferences.

31

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Figure 1
Aggregate Tax-Effect BTDs from 1999-2004
(With 525 Firm-year Observations, Thousand Yuan)

5,000,000

4,000,000

3,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
-1,000,000

-2,000,000

-3,000,000
Tax-effect Book Income Current Tax Expense Tax-effect BTDs

Figure 2
The Comparison of Permanent Differences and Temporary Differences
(With 525 Firm-year Observations, Thousand Yuan)

0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
-500,000

-1,000,000

-1,500,000

-2,000,000

-2,500,000
Permanent Differences Temporary Differences

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Table 1
Sample Selection
Panel A: Pooled Sample
Total sample of B-share firms 664
Missing BTD data (52)
Firms without 3-year consecutive data (54)
Firms in agriculture, mining, construction, wholesale & retailer (33)
Total firm-year observations: 525

Panel B: Sample by Year


1999 56
2000 87
2001 99
2002 99
2003 94
2004 90
Total firm-year observations: 525

Panel C: Sample by Industry Classification


Manufacturing:
Food, beverage 18
Textile, clothing, leather, fiber 46
Paper, printing 18
Petroleum, Chemical products, plastics 22
Electrical equipment 73
Metal, non-metal mineral products 41
Machinery 108
Medicine, biological products 20
Others 6
Non-manufacturing:
Transportation, storage 41
Real estate 40
Tourism, hotel 32
Utilities 23
Intelligent technology 20
Transmission & entertainment 6
Others 11
Total firm-year observations: 525

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Table 2
Descriptive Statistics and Correlations

Panel A: Descriptive Statistics for BTD Model

N Mean Std. Dev. Minimum Median Maximum

BTD 525 -0.008 0.067 -1.194 -0.001 0.328

∆REV 525 0.081 0.552 -7.744 0.067 8.166

∆INV 525 0.019 0.163 -1.462 0.011 1.109

TLU 525 0.001 0.014 0.000 0.000 0.328

NOL 525 0.047 0.299 0.000 0.000 3.660

TAX_DIFF 525 -0.004 0.077 -0.160 0.000 0.199

TA 525 3099968 3213382 147388 2042605 24151351

Panel B: Pearson (top) and Spearman (bottom) Correlation Coefficients


BTD ∆INV ∆REV TLU NOL TAX_DIFF
BTD -0.10 0.18 0.19 -0.58 0.21
(0.02) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
∆INV -0.36 -0.18 0.03 0.23 -0.02
(0.00) (0.00) (0.45) (0.00) (0.72)
∆REV 0.09 -0.03 0.05 -0.33 -0.05
(0.03) (0.44) (0.22) (0.00) (0.30)
TLU 0.22 -0.17 0.01 -0.11 -0.05
(0.00) (0.00) (0.88) (0.01) (0.21)
NOL -0.88 0.34 -0.14 -0.01 0.02
(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.82) (0.68)
TAX_DIFF 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01
(0.83) (0.79) (0.73) (0.90) (0.84)

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Table 2: Continued
Panel C: Descriptive Statistics for ABTD Model

Variables N Mean Std. Dev. Minimum Median Maximum


ABS(ABTD) 525 0.007 0.027 0.000 0.003 0.558
ATR 525 0.196 0.084 0.000 0.150 0.330
NUMBER 525 2.600 1.356 1.00 2.00 11.00
SEON 525 0.034 0.12 0.00 0.00 1.00
SOELG 525 0.720 0.449 0.00 1.00 1.00
LOSS 525 0.187 0.390 0.00 0.00 1.00

Panel D: Pearson (bottom) and Spearman (top) Correlation Coefficients

ABS(ABTD) ATR NUMBER SEON SOELG LOSS


ABS(ABTD) 0.27 0.05 0.04 0.13 0.14
(0.00) (0.22) (0.38) (0.00) (0.00)
ATR 0.15 -0.19 -0.09 0.14 0.07
(0.00) (0.00) (0.03) (0.00) (0.12)
NUMBER -0.06 -0.17 0.07 -0.10 -0.03
(0.17) (0.00) (0.10) (0.02) (0.50)
SEON -0.01 -0.07 0.09 -0.09 -0.06
(0.89) (0.11) (0.05) (0.03) (0.15)
SOELG 0.04 0.12 -0.15 -0.09 0.01
(0.33) (0.00) (0.00) (0.03) (0.91)
LOSS 0.02 0.04 -0.05 -0.06 0.01
(0.00) (0.36) (0.29) (0.15) (0.91)

Note:
(1) The figure in parentheses is the p-value using two-tailed tests.
(2) Variable definitions:
BTD = reported book-tax differences in year t, scaled by total assets;
∆REV = changes in revenues from year t-1 to year t and proxies for economic growth,
scaled by total assets;
TL = the value of accounting loss and proxies for tax loss, scaled by total assets;
TLU = reported tax loss utilized for firm in year t, scaled by total assets;
∆INV = changes in investment in the sum of gross property, plant and equipment and
intangible assets in year t, and proxies for investment growth, scaled by total assets;
TAX_DIFF = the gap between the consolidated company’s applicable tax rate and the
average tax rate of its consolidated parties.
ABS (ABTD) = the absolute value of ABTD, calculated as the residual from the cross-
sectional regression (Equation 1);
ATR = applicable tax rate of the sample company;

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NUMBER = the number of different applicable tax rates in a consolidated entity;
SEON = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity has rights issuing or
public offering in next year, and 0 otherwise;
SOELG = dummy variable that equals 1 if a consolidated entity is a state-owned enterprise
controlled by local governments, and 0 otherwise;
LOSS = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity is loss in current year t,
and 0 otherwise.
(3) Panel A and B are descriptive statistics and correlation matrix for BTD model which
contain 525 firm-year observations. Panel C and D are descriptive statistics and correlation
matrix for ABTD model.
(4) The currency unit for TA is thousands (RMB).

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Table 3
Estimated Coefficients from the BTD Model
BTDit  0  1INVit  2REVit  3 NOLit  4TLUit  5TAX _ DIFF   it
(Equation 1)

Variables Predicted Sign Coefficient


Intercept (  0 ) ? 0.000
(0.60)
∆INV ( 1 ) - -0.002**
(0.02)
∆REV(  2 ) - -0.002***
(<0.001)
NOL( 3 ) - -0.175***
(<0.001)
TLU(  4 ) + 0.795***
(<0.001)
TAX_DIFF (  5 ) + 0.002***
(<0.001)
Adjusted R² 0.77
F-statistic 352.90

Sample 525

Notes:
(1) Asterisks *, **, and *** denote two-tailed (one-tailed when there is a predicted sign) statistical
significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% respectively.
(2) Variable definitions:
BTD = reported book-tax differences in year t;
∆INV = changes in investment in the sum of gross property, plant and equipment and intangible
assets in year t;
∆REV = changes in revenues from year t-1 to year t, and proxies for economic growth;
NOL = the value of accounting losses;
TLU = reported tax loss utilized for firm in year t;
TAX_DIFF = the gap between the consolidated company’s applicable tax rate and the average tax
rate of its consolidated parties.
All variables are scaled by total assets except for TAX_DIFF.

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Table 4
Regression of ABTD on TM and EM Incentives
Pred.Sig Incentives ABTD estimated ABTD estimated ABTD
n for EM from tax-effect from tax-effect estimated from
or/and TM BTD (in sample) BTD (out of income-effect
(1) sample) (2) BTD (3)
Intercept ? 0.009*** 0.021** 0.095***
(<0.001) (<0.001) (<0.001)
ATR + TM 0.038*** 0.035*** -0.007
(<0.001) (<0.001) (0.17)
NUMBER + TM 0.001*** 0.001** 0.002***
(<0.001) (0.02) (<0.001)
SEON + EM 0.002** 0.005** 0.007**
(0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
LOSS + EM 0.005*** 0.003*** -0.002
(<0.001) (0.01) (0.12)
0.003*** 0.004** -0.002
SOELG + EM/TM
(<0.001) (0.03) (0.48)
-0.001*** -0.001** -0.002
NUMBER*SOELG - TM
(0.01) (0.02) (0.24)
0.001** 0.002** -0.002*
IND ? (0.05) (0.02) (0.06)
-0.001*** -0.002*** -0.005***
SIZE ? (<0.001) (<0.001) (<0.001)
0.44 0.19 0.09
Adj. R² 52.67 15.46 8.16
F-statistic (<0.001) (<0.001) (<0.001)
525 469 522†
Sample

Notes:
(1) Asterisks *, **, and *** denote two-tailed (one-tailed when there is a predicted sign) statistical
significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% respectively. P-values are provided in parentheses and are based on robust
panel corrected standard errors (Beck and Katz 1995)
(2) Variable definitions:
ABS (ABTD_full) = the absolute value of ABTD, calculated as the residual from Equation 1;
ABS (ABTD_out) = the absolute value of ABTD, calculated as the residual from an annual cross-sectional
regression in period t-1;
ATR = applicable tax rate;
NUMBER = the number of different applicable tax rates in a consolidated entity;
SEON = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity has a rights issuing or public offering in the
next year, and 0 otherwise;
LOSS = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity has a loss in the current year t, and 0
otherwise;
SOELG = dummy variable that equals 1 when a consolidated entity is a state-owned enterprise controlled by
local governments, and 0 otherwise;
IND=dummy variable that equals 1 for manufacturing industry and 0 otherwise;
SIZE= the natural logarithm of total assets at the fiscal year-end.


Three observations with zero ATR are dropped, leading to 522 firm-years.

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Table 5
The Explanatory Power of Earnings Management and Tax Management

Factors Model Adjusted R²


EM factors (SOEN, LOSS) ABTD  0   EM   7.4%

TM factors (ATR, NUMBER, NUMBER*SOELG) ABTD   0   TM   27.8%

Combined TM/EM factor (SOELG, NUMBER*SOELG) ABTD  0  TM / EM   3.2%

EM, TM and EM/TM ABTD   0   TM   EM  TM / EM   38%


See Table 4 for variable definitions. The above models exclude control variables.

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Appendix I: The Major Differences between Corporate Income Tax Laws and Chinese GAAP
BTD Items Chinese Income Tax Law Chinese GAAP
Permanent Sponsor costs Non-deductible Expensed
differences
Non-public welfare Non-deductible Expensed
donation
Penalties and fines Non-deductible Expensed
Expenditure without Non-deductible Expensed
authorized invoice
Bad debt expense Allowable deductions are Determined based on
less than 0.3% (0.5% after management judgment
2000) of year-end
outstanding balances for
enterprises engaged in
financing and leasing.
Entertainment fees Entertainment fees should be No limits
less than 0.5% of the net
sales for the first
RMB15million, plus 0.3% of
sales in excess of RMB 15
million
Provisions for Non-deductible Expensed when made.
impairment of fixed and
intangible assets, short-
term and long-term
investment
Borrowing costs Interest rate is limited to the No limits
existing commercial rate, the
excess cannot be deducted
Employees’ salaries for The standard for salaries Expensed when
domestic enterprises payment deductions is incurred
stipulated based on different
areas and industries. The
excess payment cannot be
deducted.
Welfare, union fees and Provision of 14%, 2%, and Expensed when
education fees for 1.5% of the total salaries is incurred
domestic enterprises deductible; the excess part
cannot be deducted.
Donation Deductible donation is No limits
limited to 3% of taxable
income per year.
Research and Additional 50% of R&D can Expensed all R&D
development costs be deducted from taxable (except that patent
income after approval of the registration and legal
local tax office costs are capitalized)

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Management fees paid Non-deductible Expensed when
to associated enterprises, incurred
consulting fees,
royalties, licensing fees
made by the China
establishment of a
foreign enterprise to its
head office
Use self-built products Taxable income No income recognized
for construction,
investment, sponsorship,
donations, or welfare
purposes
Donation received Donation received in cash Add to “capital
and non-cash assets must surplus” account and
recorded as current taxable increase shareholders’
income equity.
Interests on national Excluded from taxable Revenue recognized.
bonds income
Dividends from foreign Dividends received by FIEs Included in non-
Invested enterprises are non-taxable. operating income
Government subsidies Non-taxable Non-operating income
Temporary Depreciation-fixed assets Using straight-line method The depreciation
differences and the residual value not method, minimum
less than 10% of original useful life and scrap
value. Useful life is value can be
prescribed. Other methods determined by
can be adopted only if management.
approved by State
Administrator of Taxation
(SAT).
Depreciation-intangible Not less than 10 years Not more than 10
assets years
Organization costs Amortize over not less than 5 Expensed when
years. incurred.
Advertisement fees Not more than 2% (8% since Expensed to current
2001) of turnover, the excess period
part can be deducted in the
future periods.
Expense recognition Deductible only when incurred. Accrual basis
(i.e., prepaid rental, etc.)
Revenue recognition Recognized when cash Recognized when all
(i.e., unearned revenue, received or proof of charging the conditions are
etc.) received. satisfied for a legal
sale.
Tax loss and tax loss Tax losses incurred Recognized as loss and
utilized previously can be carried profit as in the year
forward for a following they occur.
period of up to 5 years,
thereby reducing later
taxable income.

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Sources:
The Accounting Law of the PRC (2000), Financial Accounting and Reporting Rules for Enterprises
(FARR) issued by the State Council in 2000, Accounting Standard for Business Enterprises (ASBE)
issued by the Ministry of Finance (MOF) in 1993, Chinese Accounting Standards (CAS) issued by
the MOF in 1997, Accounting System for Business Enterprises (new ASBE) issued by the Ministry
of Finance (MOF, 2001).
Regulations for Income Tax of the People’s Republic of China issued by State Council in 1993,
Detailed Rules and Regulations for the Implementation of Income Tax of the People’s Republic of
China issued by the MOF in 1994, The Income Tax Law of the People’s Republic of China for
Enterprises with Foreign Investment and Foreign Enterprises issued by National People’s Congress
(NPC) in 1991, Detailed Rules and Regulations for the Implementation of Income Tax of the
People’s Republic of China Concerning Enterprises with Foreign Investment and Foreign
Enterprises issued by State Council in 1991, The Tax Administration and Collection Law of the
People’s Republic of China issued by NPC in 1995, The revised Tax Administration and Collection
Law of the People’s Republic of China issued by NPC on April 28, 2001, Regulations for detailed
implementation issued by the State Administration of Taxation (SAT) and the MOF.

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Appendix II: The Comparison of Tax-Effect BTDs and Income-Effect BTDs
This appendix contains a numerical example of how the measure of tax-effect BTDs
in this paper is technically superior to the measure of income-effect BTDs used in the U.S.
studies.
Based on the definition, BTDs can be measured in two ways:
Tax-effect BTDs = book income * statutory tax rate (STR) – taxable income*STR
Income-effect BTDs = book income –taxable income
Income-effect BTDs are widely used in the U.S.-based studies, where they gross-up
current tax expense to measure taxable income and then infer total BTDs. This method
introduces measurement errors due to credits, tax rate differences, consolidation and tax
loss carry forwards (Hanlon, 2003). The measurement error due to consolidation and tax
rate differences is even more obvious in the Chinese setting as firms within a consolidated
group are subject to different tax rates and a separate tax reporting is required by tax laws.
Under separate tax reporting, each entity must calculate its current tax expense on a
basis of its own taxable income and tax rate. As a result, in a consolidated entity, its current
tax expense is the sum of individual controlled subsidiaries’ current tax expenses rather
than simply multiplying the consolidated entity’s total taxable income by its tax rate.
N
The consolidated group’s current tax expense=  (TI * t )
i 0
i i (1)

N
Estimated taxable income =  (TI i * ti ) / t0 (2)
i 0

Assume that a consolidated entity A has $600 taxable income for itself in year t, and it
has 3 subsidiaries called B, C and D. Their taxable income and tax rates are $400, $500 and
$500, 24%, 33% and 10%, respectively. Assume the statutory tax rate for the consolidated
entity is 15%. Assume the consolidated group’s total book income is $1000. Thus,
Total taxable income = (600+400+500+500) = $2000
Income-effect BTDs = $1000- $2000 = -1000
Tax-effect BTDs = 1000*15% - (600*15% +400*24% +500*33% +500*10%) = -$251
However, if we use equation (2) to estimate taxable income,
Current tax expense = 600*15% + 400*24% + 500*33% + 500*10% =402
Estimated taxable income = 402/15% = $2673
Income-effect BTDs = $1000 – $2673 = $-1673

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Tax-effect BTD = 1000*15% - (600*15%+400*24%+500*33%+500*10%) = $-251
From the above example, we can see that using current tax expense to estimate taxable
income introduces measurement errors arising from separate tax reporting and different tax
rates. In contrast, tax-effect BTDs do not have this concern. Therefore, tax-effect BTDs are
expected to provide a more accurate measure in the Chinese setting.

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Appendix III: Tax-Effect BTD Disclosure on a Chinese B-share Firm’s Financial
Statements

Tax-effect BTD calculation:


Item 2004 2003
Prima Facie Income Tax (1) 74543 75617
Expense
Current Tax Expense (2) 72043=23862+48181 38091=26977+11114

Tax-effect BTDs (3) =(1)-(2) 2500 37526

Tax-effect Permanent (4) 13250 45614


Differences =(458)+22677+(54185)+ =(81327)+14194+(37915)
56242+(12145)+1119 +166272+(16979)+1369
Tax-effect Temporary (5) (10750) (8088)
Differences
Tax-effect BTDs (3)=(4)+(5) 2500 37526

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