Financial Model 1

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Financial Model 1 Ahmed Mostafa

2019A 2020A 2021A 2022E 2023E 2024E


Co.
In USD
Income Statement In USD
Revenues 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,666,667 7,791,667 10,875,868
GOGS 500,000 1,500,000 3,000,000 5,666,667 7,791,667 10,875,868
Gross Profit 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 - - -
SG&A 300,000 400,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
Operating Income EBIT 1,200,000 1,100,000 500,000 (500,000) (500,000) (500,000)
Interest Expenses 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
EBT 1,100,000 1,000,000 400,000 (600,000) (600,000) (600,000)
Tax Expense 440,000 400,000 160,000 - - -
Net Income 660,000 600,000 240,000 (600,000) (600,000) (600,000)

Assumpions
Revenue Growth Rate 50% 33% 42% 38% 40%
COGS & Revenue 25% 50% 75% 100% 100% 100%
SG&A 300,000 400,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
Interest Expense 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
Tax % EBT 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%

Analysis
Common Size Analysis

Revenues 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%


GOGS 25% 50% 75% 100% 100% 100%
Gross Profit 75% 50% 25% 0% 0% 0%
SG&A 15% 13% 13% 9% 6% 5%
Operating Income EBIT 60% 37% 13% -9% -6% -5%
Interest Expenses 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1%
EBT 55% 33% 10% -11% -8% -6%
Tax Expense 22% 13% 4% 0% 0% 0%
Net Income 33% 20% 6% -11% -8% -6%

Sensitivity Analysis % Change 5%

Revenues 2,100,000 3,150,000 4,200,000 5,950,000 8,181,250 11,419,661


GOGS 525,000 1,575,000 3,150,000 5,950,000 8,181,250 11,419,661
Gross Profit 1,575,000 1,575,000 1,050,000 - - -
SG&A 315,000 420,000 525,000 525,000 525,000 525,000
Operating Income EBIT 1,260,000 1,155,000 525,000 (525,000) (525,000) (525,000)
Interest Expenses 105,000 105,000 105,000 105,000 105,000 105,000
EBT 1,155,000 1,050,000 420,000 (630,000) (630,000) (630,000)
Tax Expense 462,000 420,000 168,000 - - -
Net Income 693,000 630,000 252,000 (630,000) (630,000) (630,000)

Cost Analysis

GOGS 37% 500,000 1,500,000 3,000,000 5,666,667 7,791,667 10,875,868


SG&A 22% 300,000 400,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
Interest Expenses 7% 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
Tax Expense 33% 440,000 400,000 160,000 - - -

Total 100% 1,340,000 2,400,000 3,760,000 6,266,667 8,391,667 11,475,868


Average 335,000 600,000 940,000 1,566,667 2,097,917 2,868,967
Weighted Average 405,375 785,821 1,285,971 2,223,037 3,011,759 4,156,502

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