Why p-values mislead
with big samples
By Arjun Guptap-values are one of the most popular
measures used in research across
different fields
“Most scientists employ the p-value as if it were an
absolute index of the truth. A low p-value is
automatically taken as substantial evidence that the
data support a real phenomenon.”
Halsey, L. G., Curran-Everett, D., Vowler, S. L., &
Drummond, G. B. (2015)But there is a problem we don’t
always learn about the p-values.
They change as the sample size
changes as well!
Take this study as an exampleHere is what Miola and Miot (2021)
found
ot
A: Neon =3.8 =
===)
HG op p =0.084
p= 0.084
Diff, = 1.0(22a0.1)
7 ot
de soris =30
1 co 8 n=3
is SD=1.5
| i p =0.015
G1 (30) (c2(n=30)Even when the mean and SD were
same, doubling the sample size
changed the p-value obtained
n=15 n=30
p =0.084. p =0.015
This is because as n increases, the
p-values decreases considerably.So it is quite likely that you get a
“statistically signifcant” result even
though the difference between your two
groups is negligible.
Increasing sample size increases statistical
power, and thus a progressively greater
proportion of p values < 0.05 are obtained.
Halsey, L. G., Curran-Everett, D., Vowler, S. L., &
Drummond, G. B. (2015)This brings into question the
“practical/clinical” significance of
the differences we are seeing, not
just their statistical significance.
Statistical significance
a
Practical significance| wish there was one number we
could use at all times to understand
the degree of “truth” in research
but the truth is complicated.
It requires care and attention.There are multiple cogs in the
wheel. The appropriate
interpretation of all them gives us
the best estimate of “reality”Follow for more research
and stats content!
Fopolelelotadhe ss adlos.
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