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Introduction
As World War II approached its final days in April 1945, delegates from
50 countries convened in San Francisco for the United Nations (UN)
Conference on International Organization. The aim of the conference was to
discuss and sign the UN Charter, the draft of which had been prepared jointly
by the Republic of China (ROC), Soviet Union, United Kingdom (UK)
and United States (US) earlier in 1944. Also known as the Dumbarton Oaks
proposals (so named due to the location of the meeting among the Allied
‘Big Four’), the draft outlined the new institution’s purposes, membership
and organizational structure (‘Dumbarton Oaks’, 1945). The UN would
have four principal bodies, namely a General Assembly (UNGA), a Security
Council (UNSC), an International Court of Justice and a Secretariat.
Significantly for non-major powers such as Australia and Canada, the
Dumbarton Oaks proposals appeared to give extensive decision-making
powers to the five permanent members of the UNSC –the aforementioned
‘Big Four’ and France. While it was generally accepted that the major powers
would primarily be the ones with the responsibility and ability to maintain
global peace and consequently ‘must enjoy an authority commensurate with
their economic and military resources’, there was also concern over their
unchecked influence that could pose a risk to the interests of the smaller
countries (Evatt, 1946, pp 27, 106; see also Hilliker, 1990, p 734). In this
context, the Australian and Canadian representatives, among others, voiced
the opinion that their respective states should be given priority among the
non-major powers, for non-permanent seats on the UNSC.
Australia’s claims to ‘special recognition’ in the UN were based on the
argument that ‘middle powers’1 like itself possessed both the resources
and willingness ‘to make practical contributions to security’, as evident in
their contributions to the first and second world wars (Evatt, 1946, p 27).
Meanwhile, Canadian officials argued for a ‘Middle Power amendment’ to
the selection of UNSC non-permanent members (Hilliker, 1990, p 780).
As one of the world’s ‘responsible middle powers’, Canada was ‘willing and
able to expend lives and resources on a considerable scale towards achieving
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
[the UN’s] purposes’, and hence should be distinguished from other states
that, ‘because of small resources, backward political development, or inertia,
could not or would not make a sizable contribution’ (Hilliker, 1990, pp 734,
900). As one scholar observed, the Australian and Canadian efforts sought to
place their countries ‘as something less than major and something more than
minor powers’ in the international system (Holmes, 1963, p 138). Despite
their efforts, Australia and Canada ultimately did not succeed in securing
a special position for ‘middle powers’ in the UN. The UNSC’s permanent
five members ‘had no particular interest in delineating categories for non-
great powers. And countries relegated by the self-described middle powers
to small power status had no interest in seeing another layer constructed
atop them’ (Neack, 2003, p 164).
Nevertheless, the middle power label stuck in the Australian and Canadian
foreign policy discourse, with the term subsequently being used to also
describe the status and diplomatic styles of states such as Denmark, Norway,
Sweden and the Netherlands through the Cold War years. In the post-Cold
War period, more countries have been referred to as middle powers, including
South Korea and Indonesia. In September 2013, Mexico, Indonesia, South
Korea, Turkey and Australia launched the MIKTA grouping, which was
described by Seoul as a platform for ‘middle power nations that … have the
willingness and capability to contribute to the international community’s
development’ (Shin, 2013). In a jointly written article, the foreign ministers
of the five countries highlighted the need to ensure ‘the effective functioning
of the multilateral order and [address] shortcomings of global governance’,
and suggested that MIKTA could ‘fill an important gap in the international
arena’ as a ‘force for good’ (Meade et al, 2014). While debates abound on
the actual impact that MIKTA has had on global issues thus far, its formation
indicates that the middle power concept, for all its perceived failings, has
been useful in the diplomatic sphere. Statements from official documents as
well as former and current diplomats have continued to profile the middle
power status and emphasize the value of countries such as Australia, Indonesia
and South Korea in international affairs (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the
Republic of Indonesia, 2015; Evans, 2018; Kang, 2019). Alongside these
developments, the study of middle powers has also risen to prominence,
as scholars examine how these states could navigate challenges posed by
major power dynamics and security threats, to protect their own interests
in the international system (see, for example, Gilley and O’Neil, 2014b; de
Swielande et al, 2019).
2
Introduction
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
4
Introduction
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
Albert, 2010; Albert et al, 2013; Donnelly, 2013). While these terms are
not commonly seen in the IR literature, the concepts behind them are not
unfamiliar to the field. Segmentation denotes the idea of individual states
as actors in the international system; stratification suggests some form of
hierarchy among the actors; and functional differentiation refers to the
separation of different sectors within the international system (for instance,
global economic governance or international politics) as well as the notion
that certain states could take on specific roles in global affairs (Donnelly,
2009, pp 55–75; Albert et al, 2013, pp 1–2, 6). The value of differentiation
theory for IR lies in its ability to bring together these perspectives about
how the international system is organized into a single framework.
Considering the importance of differentiation in the study of middle
powers, this book uses differentiation theory as a heuristic framework to
understand middle power behaviour in multilateralism.2 It does this by first
laying out the claim that differentiation constitutes the international political
structure. This is certainly evident through the segmentation of political
units as territorially sovereign states or the distinguishing of these states in
terms of their capabilities or roles. Ideas about ‘major’, ‘middle’ and ‘small’
powers in themselves suggest the presence of pre-existing concepts that, in
the first place, enable discussion of these differentiated categorizations. Such
differentiation is subsequently reproduced or transformed by the behaviour
of states. This is not to say that the international system is static. When states
reproduce or transform differentiation, the outcomes of their behaviour form
the basis of structural change. In this way, the interaction of state behaviour
with the differentiated structure reflects precisely the dynamic nature of the
international system and its potential for change. Following from this, the
book argues that this mechanism of differentiation generates the possibilities
for middle power behaviour in multilateralism, with the effects actualized
when middle powers engage in negotiations of power politics.
The notion of power politics is closely associated with the realist paradigm,
although it is important to note that the approach here follows more the
classical realist (rather than neorealist) variant. In particular, the book’s
framework relies on J. Samuel Barkin’s account of power politics as social,
relative and relational (Barkin, 2010, pp 18–20). This treatment of power
politics takes into account both the material and ideational facets of power.
Overall, the framework here seeks to pursue an ‘integrative pluralism’
that ‘accepts and preserves the validity of a wide range of theoretical
perspectives and embraces theoretical diversity as a means of providing more
comprehensive and multi dimensional accounts of complex phenomena’
(Dunne et al, 2013, p 416).
This framework adds to the literature on middle power theory by bringing
together the key elements that account for middle power behaviour in
multilateralism. The expectation is that the presence of differentiation in
6
Introduction
the international political structure creates the conditions for middle power
behaviour to manifest. As a result, middle powers seek to dilute major-power
stratification and assume functionally differentiated roles in multilateral
platforms. The claim that middle powers seek to dilute stratificatory forces
emerges from the notion that given their limited capabilities and clout vis-
à-vis the major powers, middle powers would pursue ways to ensure that
major powers are not the sole decision makers in global affairs. This was,
for example, demonstrated in the efforts of Australia and Canada during
the formation of the UN. Meanwhile, the claim that middle powers seek to
strengthen functional differentiation for themselves is built on the premise
that these countries, in order to set themselves apart from the rest of the
non-major powers and highlight their relevance and weight in international
affairs, would leverage their ability to assume roles that no other country
could perform as effectively.
In these aspects, middle powers could contribute significantly to
international politics in their own ways and typically through multilateralism.
Such assumptions lay the foundations for this study, which seeks to find out
how structure could condition and generate the strategies specific to middle
powers in shaping the dynamics of multilateral platforms, within the context
of the Asia Pacific.
Research design
To explore the structural forces and underlying processes surrounding middle
power behaviour in Asia Pacific multilateralism, this book employs an
intensive research design that uses data and analyses to produce explanations
about how a process ‘works out in a particular case or limited number of cases’
(Sayer, 2010, p 242; see also Danermark et al, 2002, pp 161–5). The point
of an intensive research design is to put together an explanatory account of
how structure produces a particular phenomenon under specific conditions;
in this case, how it has been possible for middle powers to act and achieve
certain outcomes in multilateralism. An intensive research design follows a
‘strategic’ sampling approach (Danermark et al, 2002, p 170). This means that
the case studies are chosen based on how they ‘manifest the phenomenon
of interest’, rather than the extent to which they are most similar or most
different (Wagner, 2016, p 60). The focus here would thus be a within-case
analysis of the processes that have enabled middle power behaviour in regional
multilateralism to emerge. A case study in this book would comprise the
countries of interest and a specific instance of multilateralism.
The book’s empirical focus, as mentioned, is on the Asia Pacific. While
acknowledging that the Asia Pacific is a social construct and has been
geographically defined in different ways, this book primarily follows the
definition of the Asia Pacific that is reflected by the composition of most
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
8
Introduction
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
by the leaders of the ten ASEAN states as well as Australia, China, India,
Japan, South Korea and New Zealand.
The inception of the EAS in 2005 was a salient moment because it
institutionalized the annual gathering of the leaders of regional states that
were considered key to the power dynamics of the time. This was slightly
different from APEC, which had focused on ‘member economies’. APEC’s
exclusion of India and inclusion of entities such as Hong Kong and Taiwan,
as well as further-flung countries such as Peru and Chile, also complicated
its regional relevance by this time. Following the Asian financial crisis in the
late 1990s, there was moreover a pushback against perceptibly ‘western’-
dominated forms of cooperation such as APEC. While the EAS’ agenda
originally focused on areas of non-traditional security –specifically, finance,
energy, education, avian flu prevention and disaster management –its ability
to gather key regional leaders for annual meetings made it ‘the region’s
premier forum for strategic and security issues’ (Turnbull, 2017). This was
even more so after the US and Russia were formally admitted as members
in 2011, an outcome attributed in large part to efforts from Indonesia and
Australia –even if the latter’s ill-fated Asia Pacific Community (APC)
initiative ultimately failed to materialize in its intended form. Consequently,
the time period for the EAS case study is from the late 1990s to the early
2010s, although the focus is on three specific instances –the EAVG, the
launch of the EAS and its expansion to include the US and Russia.
The activism and contributions of Australia, Indonesia and South Korea to
APEC and the EAS would provide the necessary empirical data to examine
how differentiation helped to generate middle power behaviour in Asia Pacific
multilateralism and how negotiations of power politics shaped the outcomes of
those behaviour. The specific developments within each multilateral context
will be discussed in more detail later in the book. Suffice to note here that in
both contexts, the middle powers sought to dilute major-power stratificatory
forces. This is admittedly a logical objective for all multilateral efforts, but
as we will see later, the ways that each middle power pursued this goal were
slightly different. The founding of the respective multilateral platforms also
enhanced functional differentiation for middle powers in light of the specific
roles that they took on in shaping the organizations.
To trace the workings of the underlying processes within each multilateral
context, the book relies mainly on two complementary modes of inference,
namely, abduction and retroduction. The former involves ‘the redescription
or recontextualization of a known phenomenon’, while the latter aims to
unpack the constitutive properties of the ‘abduced’ structures (Wagner, 2016,
pp 56–7). While often compared to induction and deduction, abduction and
retroduction are more appropriate for this book’s purposes given that the aim
is to explore the underlying processes that make it possible for a phenomenon
to manifest itself within a specific context, rather than to identify law-like
10
Introduction
Overview of book
The book is organized as follows. Following this Introduction, Chapter 2
reviews the extant literature on middle powers and their behaviour with three
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
aims in mind. First, assessing the strengths and weaknesses of the existing
approaches to middle powers will help to establish a definition for middle
powers as used in the book. Second, the review will highlight the implicit
notion of differentiation embedded in the middle power approaches thus
far. Third, the review will call attention to the prevalent association between
middle power behaviour and multilateralism.
Chapter 3 establishes the theoretical framework that this book uses to
explain middle power behaviour in multilateralism. Against mainstream
understandings of structure in IR, the chapter makes the case for segmentary,
stratificatory and functional differentiation as being constitutive of the
international political structure. It also outlines how this differentiated
structure serves as a mechanism to generate middle power behaviour in
multilateralism. Given that segmented states remain the primary actors in the
study, the book’s analytical focus is primarily on how middle powers interact
with the forces of stratificatory and functional differentiation. The chapter
also discusses the role of power politics in shaping the multilateral strategies
of middle powers, as they pursue the dilution of major-power stratification
and functionally differentiated roles to their advantage.
The APEC and EAS case studies are explored respectively in Chapters 4
and 5. Both chapters first examine the regional dynamics and structural
conditions that characterized the Asia Pacific in the period leading up to
the proposal of the initiatives, and highlight how differentiation was present
in the structure at the time. This will shed light on how the context was
conducive (or not) to the formation of APEC and the EAS. The initiatives of
Australia, Indonesia and South Korea in the context of the two multilateral
platforms are then outlined.
Chapter 6 brings together both case studies and links it back to the
theoretical framework of the book. The analysis here will draw out the
consistencies or discrepancies for each country in their approaches towards
the two instances of regional multilateralism, as well as similarities and
differences across the three middle powers. Based on the empirical data, the
chapter will trace how differentiation conditioned middle power behaviour in
Asia Pacific multilateralism, as well as how social, relational and relative power
politics activated the effects of the differentiated structure for middle powers.
These dynamics enabled Australia, Indonesia and South Korea to carve for
themselves a seat at the table of regional decision making. This chapter will
also briefly consider instances of Asia Pacific multilateralism which did not
appear as conducive for middle power behaviour to materialize.
Last but not least, Chapter 7 brings the book to a close by reiterating the
main argument and findings, as well as the contributions to the literature.
The chapter also offers some theoretical and policy implications of the
research findings, and highlights key areas for further research.
12
2
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
makes the case that middle power identity is different from the identities of
major powers and smaller states. Last but not least, the behaviour approach
emphasizes that middle powers rely on particular foreign policy strategies
or diplomatic styles that other types of states may not be as drawn towards
or be as effective in. In this sense, differentiation is present in all three
approaches to middle powers, but the current literature does not go deep
enough in examining this notion of differentiation and its value for the
middle power concept.
Third, the survey will highlight that, according to the behaviour
approach, middle powers are generally acknowledged to be inclined
towards multilateralism in their foreign policies. This argument is linked
both to the limited level of material capabilities that middle powers
possess, as well as to what a self-perceived middle power regards as
appropriate foreign policy strategies for itself. Through emphasizing the
established link between middle powers and multilateralism, this chapter
will clarify the rationale for the book’s focus on middle power behaviour
in multilateral organizations.
This chapter is organized as follows. It will first examine the position,
identity and behaviour approaches to defining middle powers, including the
value and gaps of each approach. The discussion will further demonstrate
that differentiation is a fundamental assumption in the scholarship on middle
powers, although an in-depth investigation into the theoretical implications
of this differentiation has been lacking. In the third section of the chapter, we
will arrive at a composite definition of middle powers based on the strengths
and weaknesses of the three extant approaches. This definition will then be
used to select the three countries of primary interest for the book, namely,
Australia, Indonesia and South Korea.
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The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
In general, those using this approach could be divided into two groups.
The first group stresses the utility of economic size as the primary defining
characteristic of middle power capability (Holbraad, 1984, pp 78–9; Wood,
1987, p 5). Carsten Holbraad observes that gross national product (GNP) is
‘more reliable and useful’ than other indicators because:
This quantity reflects most of the material and moral factors that
make up power, including population, area, location, resources,
organisation and leadership. Since it is essentially a measure of
economic strength, it indicates potential as much as actual military
power … [and] correlates highly with a number of much more
complex and elaborate indices of power … What is more, it
corresponds fairly closely to most people’s impressions of the relative
power of nations. Finally, carefully calculated figures for GNP are
readily available. (Holbraad, 1984, p 78)
Likewise, Bernard Wood relies on GNP to identify middle powers not only
because it is a ‘remarkably simple and accessible single indicator of the relative
power of nation-states’, but also because of its perceived ‘objectivity’ over
other indicators (Wood, 1987, pp 5–6).
The second group of scholars has preferred to use composite indices
in determining which states are middle powers (Ping, 2005, pp 66–70;
Gilley and O’Neil, 2014a, pp 5–6; Emmers and Teo, 2018, pp 19–24).
The indicators used in these works span the economic, military and social
sectors. A combination of several indicators across different sectors is aimed
at enhancing the comprehensiveness of the measurement (Neack, 1991,
pp 53–4). Even Holbraad, who privileges GNP over other indicators, adds
that population size could also be a valuable supplementary criterion for the
longer term, while in the shorter term troop numbers, military expenditure
and the standard of weaponry might be helpful as they reflect concrete
military power (Holbraad, 1984, p 79).
Regardless of whether they rely purely on economic size or a combination
of indicators, both methods encompass a ranking of some sort in order to
pinpoint the middle powers based on material capabilities and resources. To
be sure, these countries are not necessarily –and in fact, rarely –in the literal
‘middle’ of the quantitative rankings. Rather, as Bruce Gilley and Andrew
O’Neil note, middle powers are typically those countries ‘with a ranking
roughly in the tenth to thirtieth range across a range of capability indicators’
at the global level (Gilley and O’Neil, 2014a, p 5). Others have made the
case for determining the ‘line of separation’ between middle powers and
other states at where it seems the most logical to the researcher, or with a
statistical technique known as cluster analysis (Holbraad, 1984, p 81; see
also Gilley and O’Neil, 2014, p 5).
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
The lack of agreed parameters and standardized indicators have led critics
to highlight the arbitrariness of this approach (Chapnick, 1999, pp 77–8;
Jordaan, 2019, p 113). Potentially, this could mean that a ranking based solely
on GNP and a ranking that gives more weight to other types of indicators
could produce middle power groups that comprise different states. Another
challenge involves the different rationales that different scholars would have in
determining the lines of separation between middle powers and other states.
In this sense, a quantitative approach could to some extent be influenced
by preconceived notions of which state should or should not be a middle
power. To be sure, the possession of capabilities remains important for state
power at the most basic level. This approach provides an important basis for
identifying middle powers because material capabilities ‘are the necessary
condition for middle powers … to have sufficiently broad sets of interests
at stake; and for their initiatives to be credible and thus feasible’ (Gilley and
O’Neil, 2014a, p 4). Without an adequate level of resources, a country would
face difficulty fulfilling its middle power aspirations. Material capabilities
could thus be a point of departure in identifying middle powers, although
it alone cannot offer a comprehensive definition of power (Cox, 1989, p
827; Wight, 1995, p 26; Manicom and Reeves, 2014, p 33). It would be
important to also consider other, qualitative, factors when it comes to middle
powers. It is thus to the identity approach that we now turn.
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The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
(see, for example, Ungerer, 2007; Teo, 2018). Due to the intersubjective
nature of identity formation, it is also important that the middle power has
its status affirmed by other actors (Wendt, 1999, p 224). As Hurrell explains:
[y]ou can claim Great Power status but membership of the club of
Great Powers is a social category that depends on recognition by
others –by your peers in the club, but also by smaller and weaker states
willing to accept the legitimacy and authority of those at the top of
the international hierarchy. (Hurrell, 2000, pp 2–3)
In this context, other actors that affirm a middle power’s self-identity would
include fellow middle powers, major powers, smaller states, as well as regional
and global institutions.
A common theme in the literature on middle power identity is the
existence of a distinct difference between the identities of major powers,
middle powers and small states, even if it is not always clear what this
difference is. This point is often implicit in the authors’ arguments, such as
when Allan Patience posits that middle powers could identify themselves
as ‘junior partners’ of major powers or when David Scott points out that
former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s ‘sense of Middle Power
opportunities was precisely because Australia was not a Great Power’
(Scott, 2013, p 114; Patience, 2014, p 217). Another example is when Paul
Gecelovsky highlights the case of post-World War II Canada seeking a status
that was ‘between the “riffraff” and the great powers’ (Gecelovsky, 2009, p
83). In this sense, a middle power is viewed to be different from the major
or smaller powers. Patience argues that identity is particularly important for
middle powers because, unlike the great or small powers whose ‘greatness’ or
‘smallness’ is often assumed to be a given, middle powers suffer from ‘status
anxieties’ (Patience, 2014, p 211). The apprehension stems from the unclear
distinction between middle powers and –what self-identified middle powers
perceive to be –smaller states. As such, middle powers ‘have much to gain
if their [self-identification] is recognised at regional and global levels, but
they have a lot to lose if it is not’ (Patience, 2014, p 211). It is thus crucial
that a state declaring itself to be a middle power is similarly viewed by other
actors in the international system. Without this recognition, its ‘middle
power’ status could easily be brought into question.
A second theme in this approach involves the impact of middle power
identity on foreign policy behaviour. Some scholars note the positive
correlation between identity and behaviour. Carl Ungerer, for example,
observes that Australia’s self-identification as a middle power has been ‘one
of the strongest influences on the form and conduct of Australian diplomatic
practice’ in the post-World War II years, while Sung-Mi Kim highlights that
the middle power concept has been used by South Korean governments ‘as a
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
framework for their foreign policy vision and strategy’ (Ungerer, 2007, p 540;
Kim, 2016, p 2). Likewise, Gecelovsky notes that the middle power identity
‘has guided policy makers in crafting Canada’s foreign policy’ (Gecelovsky,
2009, p 77). Such a middle power identity is typically built on elements
such as international activism, functionalism and bridging (Ungerer, 2007;
Kim, 2016; Teo, 2018). Unsurprisingly, these elements are similar to what
the behaviour approach espouses.
While an identity approach would certainly allow the researcher to
directly pinpoint which countries regard themselves as middle powers,
relying solely on such an approach to define middle powers also has several
problems. It has been highlighted, for example, that while policymakers
use the middle power identity as a guide for their countries’ foreign policy
strategies, elements of the concept do not necessarily provide an accurate
description of those strategies. James Manicom and Jeffrey Reeves contend
that elements of Australia’s middle power identity reflect how policymakers
‘conceived of Australia’s middle power role’ rather than ‘an objective
assessment of the direction of Australian foreign policy’ (Manicom and
Reeves, 2014, p 33). This raises questions such as, could a state still be a
middle power if it assumes the identity but does not behave as expected?
Conversely, what about a state that acts like a middle power in its foreign
policy but does not explicitly describe itself as a middle power? For some
countries, moreover, the use of the middle power label varies across different
government administrations –if a newly elected government decides to stop
using the term ‘middle power’ to describe their country, for instance, would
it mean that the country is no longer one (Carr, 2014, p 76)? Similarly, if
the present US government decided to describe its country as a ‘middle
power’, would it mean that the global hegemon is now classified as a middle
power? Consequently, there is a need to link identity with both the position
and behaviour approaches, to ensure a more accurate reflection of which
countries are middle powers.
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The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
20
The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
The more ambiguous distinction here is between middle powers and smaller
states. As Laura Neack points out, the commitment to multilateralism since
the end of World War II has been ‘ubiquitous’ in the foreign policies of all
states, with the exception of North Korea (Neack, 2017). Consequently,
‘[c]oalition building is not the exclusive domain of middle powers but
is an oft-used method of politicking in an international order based on
multilateralism’ (Neack, 2017). A way to clarify the distinction between
middle powers and smaller states in this aspect would be to look at the
differences in terms of their contributions towards multilateral institution
building. Gilley and O’Neil posit, for example, that while both middle
powers and smaller states share the vision of building a rules-based order
through institutions, such initiatives are ‘not one that smaller states can
generally lead’ and leadership here is more likely to be assumed by middle
powers (Gilley and O’Neil, 2014a, p 12). In other words, small states lack
the necessary resources and diplomatic clout to take on leading roles in these
endeavours. Likewise, Robert O. Keohane also observes that while middle
powers ‘cannot act alone effectively but may be able to have a systemic impact
in a small group or through an international institution’, small powers could
‘never, acting alone or in a small group, make a significant impact on the
system’ (Keohane, 1969, p 296). The impact of middle powers and small
states in multilateralism is thus expected to be visibly different. While both
sides of the debate make valid arguments, they also lead to the important
question of what makes multilateralism more useful for middle powers vis-
à-vis other states.
More broadly, the behaviour approach to middle powers has been criticized
for its tautological orientation and inconsistency. The latter has been applied
particularly to the argument that middle powers employ niche diplomacy.
Essentially, this means that middle powers are only middle powers for as long
as they contribute to a particular issue (Chapnick, 1999, pp 74–5; Jordaan,
2019, p 114). Once they stop doing so, their middle power status vanishes.
Chapnick points out that this blurs the line between middle powers and
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22
The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
power behaviour have made the case that such countries depend heavily on
multilateralism to pursue their interests. The link between middle powers
and multilateralism may be ‘axiomatic’, as Sussex writes, but less apparent
are the conditions that make multilateralism a conducive platform for middle
power behaviour (Sussex, 2011, p 545). This book thus seeks to clarify
these conditions that make it possible for middle powers to behave the
way they do in multilateral organizations. This will be of value to middle
power theory building, in light of the well-established expectations about
middle powers and multilateralism. Chapter 3 will incorporate elements
from both differentiation and multilateralism, to establish a framework for
examining these conditions for middle power behaviour in such forums.
Before that, however, let us first focus on identifying the middle powers
in the Asia Pacific based on the three approaches discussed in this section.
These middle powers will serve as our case studies in the subsequent
empirical discussions.
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
24
The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
Table 2.1: Asia Pacific countries ranking between tenth and 30th in GDP
25
Middle Powers in Asia Pacific Multilateralism
26
The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
the middle power identity has been strongly embedded in the discourse
surrounding Australia’s foreign policy.
Compared to Australia, South Korea is a relatively recent adopter of the
middle power identity. Former President Roh Tae-woo was the first South
Korean president to describe the country as a ‘middle power’ in 1991, in
the context of its economic rise (‘Korean president’, 1991; Shin, 2016, p
195). Subsequently, and especially from the late 1990s, Seoul’s efforts to
promote its middle power status picked up pace (see, for example, Choi,
1999; Han, 2001). For the most part, South Korea built its middle power
identity on its rapid economic growth and the potential for it to be a bridge
between the advanced and emerging economies. The appointment of Ban
Ki-moon as UN Secretary-General in 2007 bolstered efforts to portray
the country as a proactive and constructive middle power in international
affairs. Under President Lee Myung-bak (2008–13), the promotion of
the middle power concept in South Korea’s foreign policy discourse
and decision making reached new heights. During this time, there was
also a concerted effort by South Korea’s research institutes and media
to advocate its middle power status (see, for example, Robertson, 2008;
Lee, 2012). Moreover, South Korea initiated the formation of MIKTA
in 2013, which its foreign affairs ministry described as a group of ‘middle
power nations’ aiming to collectively address global challenges (Shin,
2013). South Korea’s middle power identity has also been acknowledged
and accepted by external sources (see, for example, Sheridan, 2008;
‘Singaporean leader’, 2010).
Moving on to Indonesia, it is intriguing that its middle power identity
seems to have initially emerged from external sources, rather than from
Jakarta itself (see, for example, ‘Our media’, 1989; Mehta and Morais,
1990). Nevertheless, with its ‘robust economic growth, a stable domestic
environment, and the resilience of its newly established democratic political
system’ from the mid-2000s, Indonesian officials and academics began
promoting the country’s middle power status in global affairs during the later
years of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s administration (Emmers
and Teo, 2018, pp 44, 47–8; see also Darmosumarto, 2009; Wihardja,
2011). This narrative continued through the subsequent Joko Widodo
administration, as the Foreign Ministry’s Strategic Plan 2015–2019 called
for strengthening Indonesia’s ‘middle power’ diplomacy and bolstering
its role as a ‘middle power’ in global affairs (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of
the Republic of Indonesia, 2015). Indonesia’s middle power identity has
been affirmed by other actors, as evident in its inclusion in MIKTA and
the earlier KIA acronym used to refer collectively to Asia’s middle powers
that also included South Korea and Australia. It should be noted that some
of Indonesia’s political elites have preferred to describe their country as
a rising ‘negara besar’ (big power), rather than ‘negara menengah’ (middle
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MIDDLE POWERS IN ASIA PACIFIC MULTILATERALISM
power) (Sukma, 2013; Asril, 2015). As Dave McRae points out, however,
Indonesia’s projection of a ‘big power’ image runs counter to its foreign
policy community’s awareness of the country’s limitations (McRae, 2014,
pp 4–5). Consequently, the middle power status continues to prevail in the
discourse surrounding Indonesia’s international profile (see, for example,
Djalal, 2016; Taufiqurrahman, 2016).
In the case of Malaysia, it was only in the mid-2010s that the country
started to officially adopt the middle power identity. Prior to this, Malaysia’s
political elites tended to describe their country as a ‘small’ and ‘developing’
country, albeit ‘medium-sized and middle income’ (see, for example,
Badawi, 2004; Albar, 2006, p 6). Under the second half of the Najib Razak
government, however, the prime minister urged Malaysia to ‘embrace
our position as one of the region’s [m]iddle [p]ower of states’ (as cited
in Carvalho, 2014). While such rhetoric continued to make occasional
appearances beyond the Najib administration, Malaysia’s middle power
identity seems to remain largely under debate (see, for example, Liew, 2017;
Ahmad, 2019). Given its tentative embrace of a middle power identity and
the fact that this has only come about recently, Malaysia’s middle power
identity is thus considered relatively weak in comparison to Australia,
Indonesia and South Korea.
The behaviour aspect makes up the third and final part of the
composite definition used in this book. The indicator here would be
whether a country is active in multilateral diplomacy. While several
works relying on the behaviour approach have been critiqued for being
tautological –because middle powers according to this approach are
typically defined according to behavioural characteristics drawn from the
same states that are already taken to be middle powers –the criterion
of multilateral diplomacy is a requisite here. This is because the aim
is not to examine if a middle power uses multilateralism, but rather,
to examine the conditions that make it possible for a middle power to
pursue certain strategies in multilateral organizations. In this sense, it
would be necessary for the middle power countries under study to be
active in, or at least engaged with, multilateralism. Many of the Asia
Pacific countries would certainly fulfil this criterion at some point in
time. One could even make the case for North Korea, which –in spite
of its relative reclusiveness –is a regular participant in the ARF process.
In fact, all 20 Asia Pacific countries participate in various regional
multilateral forums.
Taking into consideration material capabilities, identity and behaviour,
Australia, Indonesia and South Korea are thus the countries in the Asia
Pacific that embody most strongly all three aspects of ‘middlepowerness’
(see Figure 2.1). These will be the primary countries of interest in
this book.
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The Study of Middle Powers and Their Behaviour
Material Behaviour
capabilities
Australia,
South Korea,
Indonesia
Malaysia
Identity
Conclusion
This chapter has examined the three main approaches in the literature
on defining middle powers, namely the position, identity and behaviour
approaches. Given the weaknesses of the respective approaches, relying on any
single perspective to define middle powers would be insufficient. To offset
some of the shortcomings inherent in each definitional approach and for a
more comprehensive way of identifying middle powers, this book argues for
a composite definition of middle powers that relies on all three approaches.
A middle power in this book refers to a country that quantitatively ranks
below the major powers but above most of the rest of the states; identifies
and is regarded by others as a middle power; and employs behavioural
strategies such as investing in multilateralism and relying on persuasive or
soft power. As shown in this chapter, Australia, Indonesia and South Korea
qualify as middle powers in the Asia Pacific. The discussion in this chapter
has further underscored both the importance and gap surrounding the notion
of differentiation in the study of middle powers. A better understanding
of differentiation in this context would help to strengthen the explanation
for middle power behaviour in one of the most acknowledged foreign
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30
3
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Towards a Differential Framework for Middle Power Behaviour
highlighted that the presence of hierarchy and Waltzian anarchy are not
mutually exclusive (Donnelly, 2015, pp 408–9; McConaughey et al, 2018, pp
184–5). Moreover, Waltz acknowledges that major powers shoulder ‘special
responsibilities’ in international politics (Waltz, 1979, p 198). Although
these ‘special responsibilities’ are attributed to the presence of ‘units that are
functionally similar but of different capability’, the identification of specific
tasks that major powers have both the incentive and ability to undertake
chips away at the assertion that states are functionally undifferentiated (Waltz,
1979, p 198). By recognizing that hierarchy is an element of the international
structure and accepting that major powers serve distinct functions, this line of
reasoning opens up the possibility that middle powers could exist as a distinct
category in the international system of states and also fulfil certain functions
in international politics that the other states are unable or unwilling to.
The existence of middle powers and the acknowledgement that they have
a distinct form of behaviour (that is, middlepowermanship) brings us to the
concept of differentiation. Specifically, it is structure as a set of differentiated
relations connecting the material and the ideational that conditions middle
power behaviour in international politics.
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Towards a Differential Framework for Middle Power Behaviour
authority away from the major powers down the hierarchy of states, for
example, through the formation of multilateral institutions. This weakening
of stratification, however, would only be to the extent that middle powers
are still able to preserve their material and ideational advantages over the
rest of the non-major powers. Gilley and O’Neil point out that it is in the
interest of middle powers to have an international system framed around
a multipolar ‘G20’ rather than a bipolar ‘G2’ (Gilley and O’Neil, 2014a,
p 13). Equally, it would also be in the interest of middle powers to have an
international system framed around a ‘G20’ rather than a ‘G100’ where their
own influence may be weakened.
The third form of differentiation – functional – could be further
subdivided into two types. The first is ‘where the subsystems are defined by
the coherence of particular types of activity and their differentiation from
other types of activity’ (Albert et al, 2013, p 2). This refers to the idea that
the international system could be broken down into different subsystems or
sectors that each has their own institutions, actors and ‘logic’ (Albert et al,
2013, p 5). For example, the political system operates according to power,
the economic system according to wealth and the legal system according
to law (Albert et al, 2013, p 10). Although sociology generally views such
functional differentiation as the ‘essential characteristic of modernity’ that
displaces other types of differentiation, in most areas of IR theory such a
view has yet to take a strong hold and the political sector continues to hold
sway over other sectors of the international system (Buzan and Albert, 2010,
p 318). One IR school of thought that may come close to refuting this line
of argument is liberalism, which underscores economic interdependence as
a constraint on military conflict. Within the international economic sector,
organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World
Trade Organization (WTO) focus on promoting security in economic,
rather than military, terms. However, even within this liberal view, the
political sector continues to have an influential role across the other sectors.
Moreover, a study on middle powers and how they secure their interests
through multilateralism is, in large part, about the exercise of power –the
central variable in the political sector (Morgenthau, 2006, p 29; Albert et al,
2013, p 10). For these reasons, the framework for middle power behaviour
in this book will focus in particular on the international political sector.
The second type of functional differentiation that Albert et al put forth
refers to the ‘more narrow sense of role differentiation’, which involves,
for instance, some countries ‘serving as leaders or providers of collective
goods, others as followers or neutral states’ and so on (Albert et al, 2013,
p 6). This is different from niche diplomacy as explained in Chapter 2,
which puts the focus more on individual state initiative to take up certain
tasks. Agency certainly plays a part, although in functional differentiation,
as Donnelly explains, the definition and allocation of social functions to
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stratification (see Zürn et al, 2013, pp 233–4). For instance, the development
of functional differentiation could deepen forces of stratification as some
states come to be regarded as leaders in certain areas of global affairs. The
allocation of functions and roles, as well as the ability of states to carry out
these functions and roles effectively, thus hold important consequences for
international politics.
In putting forward a new framework for middle power behaviour in
international politics, an important first step is to recognize that differentiation
constitutes structure. Differentiation theory thus offers a heuristic to explain
middle power behaviour. As this section has demonstrated, all three forms
of differentiation –segmentary, stratificatory and functional –are present
in the international political structure. It is this differentiated structure that
enables the emergence of middle power behaviour. Given that segmented
states remain the primary actors in international politics, the analytical focus
here is on stratification and functional differentiation. The expectations of
middle power behaviour generated by the differential framework are that
such states would seek to dilute major-power stratificatory forces and assume
functionally differentiated roles in international politics. It is important to
note, however, that structure conditions, rather than determines, middle
power behaviour. Moreover, developments at the structural level are typically
unobservable. Thus, the final piece in the framework for middle power
behaviour involves the process of power politics that middle powers engage
with, under particular circumstances. This process ultimately determines the
outcomes of middle power behaviour within a specific context and allows
for the observation of empirical effects that would highlight the presence of
the differentiated structure in international politics. This will be the focus
of the next section.
Power politics
The emphasis on power politics follows from the notion that power is
regarded as the key variable in the international political sector (Morgenthau,
2006, p 29; Albert et al, 2013, p 10). ‘Power politics’, Martin Wight writes,
‘is a colloquial phrase for international politics’ (Wight, 1995, p 23). He
adds that the presence of power politics entails two conditions. The first is
that there are independent and sovereign political units, and the second is
that ‘continuous and organized relations’ exist among these units (Wight,
1995, p 23). The former would refer to states while the latter would refer
to the various relationships –diplomatic, military, economic and so on –
that govern the interactions among states. Following Anders Wivel and T.V.
Paul, this book defines power politics as ‘the contestation among individual
states using their particular resources and bargaining strengths to influence
the structure of relations and the conduct of other actors’ (Wivel and
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Paul, 2019, p 10). When it comes to middle powers, the process of power
politics within a specific context would determine if such states are able to
actualize the possibilities of their behaviour that have been generated by the
differentiated international structure. In so doing, middle powers seek to
strengthen their ‘power’ in international politics. This section first considers
how processes of power politics could be examined, before looking at how
multilateral platforms serve as sites of power politics.
The concepts of power and power politics are ubiquitous in IR, with
various ways to approach them. The two dominant schools of thought in
evaluating power are ‘power over resources’ and ‘power over outcomes’
(Keohane and Nye, 1998, p 86; Wivel and Paul, 2019, p 9). In the power-
over-resources approach, a state’s power is measured based on its possession
of material capabilities. Accordingly, the state that has the largest amounts
of economic and military resources is considered to be the most powerful
in the international system. With its focus on the distribution of material
capabilities, neorealism is premised on this understanding of power.
Nevertheless, while material capabilities are useful as a first-cut assessment
of power (see Chapter 2), they are ultimately a measurement of potential
power –if a state does not leverage or exercise the potential of its capabilities,
or is not perceived to be doing so, there is no exercise of power. This brings
us to the power-over-outcomes approach, which measures power based on
a state’s ability to influence and prevail over other actors. This aligns closely
with Robert A. Dahl’s oft-cited formulation of power as ‘the extent that
[A] can get B to do something that B would not otherwise do’ (Dahl, 1957,
p 203). In this sense, power is a relation involving not just the deployment of
material capabilities but also an awareness of the interest and preferences of
the other actors, expectations and the ability to convince or persuade (Dahl,
1957, p 203; Keohane and Nye, 1998, p 86). Michael Beckley additionally
points out that a ‘power-over-outcomes’ approach is more applicable in a
context-specific study –given that ‘different countries, at different times,
want different things’ –rather than to assess the overall balance of power
(Beckley, 2018, p 13). The framework for middle power behaviour proffered
in this book assumes the importance of context as well; it is the conduct
of power politics under particular circumstances that determine the extent
to which middle power behaviour trigger the effects of the differentiated
structure. What these circumstances are, in turn, depend on factors such as
the actors involved and the intersubjective expectations about power.
Related to the power-over-outcomes approach, others have framed the
exercise of power through social structures or institutions. Parsons argues
that power is generated through social systems and has value only when its
exercise is recognized and accepted by others (Parsons, 1963, pp 236–42).
Meanwhile, Michael Barnett and Raymond Duvall establish a taxonomy
of four types of power: compulsory power, which involves direct control of
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E.H. Carr likewise puts forward the claim that ‘power is always an essential
element of politics’, even if politics ‘cannot be satisfactorily defined
exclusively in terms of power’ (Carr, 2001, p 97). For a framework that
explains how middle powers are able to differentiate themselves from other
states and strengthen their ‘power’ in the international system, it thus makes
sense to rely on classical realist insights about power politics. In particular,
the framework follows Barkin’s concise encapsulation of classical realist
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and propaganda as a form of power (Carr, 2001, p 120). Nye offers more
specificity to the notion of relational power politics by operationalizing it
as ‘commanding change, controlling agendas, and establishing preferences’
(Nye, 2011, p 11). His concepts of soft power and smart power also exemplify
relational power politics. Soft power is about ‘getting others to want the
outcomes that you want’ through co-option rather than coercion, while smart
power is ‘the ability to combine hard and soft power resources into effective
strategies’ (Nye, 2004, p 5; Nye, 2011, pp 22–3). Both soft and smart power
rely not just on military or economic capabilities but also persuasion and
attraction. The deployment of power capabilities thus ‘requires clarity about
goals (preferred outcomes), resources, and tactics for their use’ (Nye, 2011,
p 208). A state may be unrivalled in military capability, but whether or not
it deploys that capability against another actor depends on its objectives, as
well as how the potential target might respond.
Understanding the relational aspect of power politics means paying
attention to how actors define their place in the social group, how they define
relations with other actors and how they define their behavioural possibilities
within a particular context. The significance of context is underscored by
Stefano Guzzini, who writes that:
Power does not reside in a resource but stems from the particular
relation in which abilities are actualized. Hence, in order to find out
whether a certain action (not just the possession of the resource) indeed
realizes an instance of (social) power, the distribution of resources says
quite little independently of the specific conditions which apply to
the social relation at hand. Power is situation-specific. (Guzzini, 2006,
p 123, emphasis in original)
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and Richard Stubbs note the differences between the constructivist and
neorealist understandings of power. If we accept the constructivist assumption
that ‘power in the context of ASEAN is a distinct social construction’, then
the organization could be regarded to have been a powerful actor in Asia
Pacific multilateralism and community building (Eaton and Stubbs, 2006,
p 146). In contrast to these more optimistic appraisals of multilateralism,
neorealism regards these platforms as epiphenomena of major power
politics (Mearsheimer, 1994/95). ‘The most powerful states in the system’,
writes John J. Mearsheimer, ‘create and shape institutions so that they can
maintain their share of world power, or even increase it’ (Mearsheimer,
1994/95, p 13). Under anarchy, any kind of sustained cooperation among
states is ultimately hindered by concerns about relative gains and cheating
(Mearsheimer, 1994/9 5, p 12). Such a reading of Asia Pacific multilateralism
would accord little agency to ASEAN –an organization comprising ten
of the weakest or smallest countries in the region –and attribute regional
developments to the behaviour of major powers such as China and the US.
As Michael Leifer observes, a multilateral arrangement like the ARF is ‘a
valuable adjunct to the workings of the balance of power’ (Leifer, 1996,
p 57). Consequently, materially stronger states remain disproportionately
influential in the evolution of Asia Pacific multilateralism.
To be sure, power does matter for multilateralism. Constructivists and
liberal institutionalists acknowledge this point too, even as they make the case
for common interests, shared norms and collective identity as both drivers and
outcomes of multilateral cooperation (see, for example, Finnemore, 2005;
Keohane, 2006). Keohane explains that in a typical multilateral organization:
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Conclusion
This chapter has set out a conceptual framework to investigate what
generates middle power behaviour in international politics, and more
specifically, in multilateralism. Departing from the dominant neorealist
understanding in IR that the international political structure comprises
functionally undifferentiated states that vary only based on the distribution
of capabilities, the framework here treats structure as segmented, stratified
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and functionally differentiated. This lens opens the possibility for middle
powers to emerge as a distinct category of states in the international system,
in terms of their status and behaviour. Specifically, middle power behaviour
is produced when the effects of the differentiated structure are activated by
social, relative and relational power politics. Although the specific outcomes
would depend on the particular circumstances of the time and place, this
framework overall expects that middle powers would pursue a dilution of
major-power stratification and take on functionally differentiated roles in
multilateralism. The next two chapters use this framework to examine the
behaviour of Australia, Indonesia and South Korea in APEC and the EAS.
55