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Technical Analysis: Finance Investment
Technical Analysis: Finance Investment
INVESTMENT
TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS
LECTURER: DR. VUONG THI HUONG GIANG
Class: L01 - Group 1
MML
1.1. MACD
However, on April 18, 2023, August 21, 2023, and October 30, 2023,
the MACD line crossed below the signal line, signifying seller
dominance in the market. This is a clear indication for investors to
consider selling to secure profits. The MML stock price has
significantly dropped during these times, and engaging in the
market would be risky and unfavorable.
MML
1.1. MACD
Between October 26, 2022, and March 21, 2023, and from June 6,
2023, to July 12, 2023, there are signs of divergence when the MACD
line forms a higher low after a previous low, while the MML stock
price forms a lower low after a previous low. When such divergence
appears, there's a possibility that the second peak will reverse,
indicating the potential start of a downward market trend.
Following that period, the MML stock price tends to rise on March
22, 2023, and July 13, 2023. Pessimistic Divergence occurs when the
subsequent peak of the MACD line is lower than the previous peak,
while the subsequent peak of the MML stock price is higher than the
previous peak. The MML stock price increased from 28,900 VND (on
March 22, 2023) to 40,000 VND (on April 7, 2023). There's a
significant increase in stock volume as investors might be taking
partial profits and waiting for an opportune time to sell off entirely."
MML
1.2. MFI
Based on the chart from November 27, 2022, to March 20, 2023,
it's evident that the stock price of MML exhibited a significant
downward trend due to an outflow of funds from the market. The
highest recorded price was 41,740 VND on November 28, 2022.
However, this could pose an increased risk of overselling as many
investors panic and exit the stock market. This situation might
indicate an excessive sell-off due to investors selling off too much,
pressure to cut losses, or negative sentiment prevailing in the
market.
MML
1.2. MFI
When the Money Flow Index (MFI) reaches its highest point and
starts declining towards 80 while the original stock price begins to
rise, it's a reversal signal. Conversely, when the MFI increases from
its lowest point to around 20 while the original stock price continues
to sell off, this signals an upward price trend.
Looking at May 10, 2023, when the MFI, starting at a very low level
around 8.83, rose to 18.1 while the MML stock continued to sell off, it
indicated a reversal in the upward trend. Meanwhile, during the
period from August 9, 2023, to August 14, 2023, the Money Flow Index
had a moment touching 80, which signaled a reversal in the
downward price trend.
MML
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) ranges from 0 to 100; when RSI
surpasses 70, the market is considered overbought, while dipping
below 30 indicates oversold conditions. Looking at the RSI chart,
between March 15 and March 21, 2023, the RSI of MML showed
oversold conditions compared to previous readings, signifying
investors might swiftly buy stocks or exercise caution when
considering MML stocks. Within the stable market range of 30-70,
clarity might be ambiguous. This means the market could be
oversold or selling excessively, affecting investors. They should be
mindful of selling stocks and focus on buying to strengthen the
current potential.
MML
From the chart, it can be seen that the upper band, lower band
and the BB20 line are sloping downward, indicating a downtrend
price signal. However, there is still a marginal increase from March
2023, MML price goes up from 28.75VND to 39.97VND in April 2023.
Investors see this fluctuation due to two bands and MA20 are
pointing upwards.
During the period October 2022 – October 2023, MML’s stock
prices decrease significantly. Specifically, the price falls from
55.12VND on 10/03/2023 to 28.74VND on 03/21/2023, and then
reaches 21.61VND on 10/31/2023, the lowest price of this stock
symbol. Therefore, there are numerous oversold points spreading
out the whole period.
MML
Overall, the MML’s price line is below the MA50 line, showing a
downward trend of this stock symbol. The MA50 line acts as a
resistance line.
There are two buying points when the price line cuts the MA50
from the bottom up on 03/23/2023 and 08/08/2023. When the MA50
is above the price line, it is a signal for traders to sell. There are also
two selling points in this graph based on MA50: one is on
04/24/2023 and the other is on 08/17/2023.
Nevertheless, as can be. seen. from the chart, the selling. point
on 08/17/2023 is lower than the buying point on 08/08/2023. In
particular, the investors would get loss selling the stock with the
price 31.360VND if they buy at the price 31.470VND.
MML
1.5. MA
1.5. MA
Likewise, traders could buy stocks on 08/24/2023 and sell them
on 09/22/2023 afterward. However, this did not bring in profit for
them when the buying price was 30.810VND but the selling point
was only 31.590VND.
Therefore, MA line is not really the most ideal indicator for the
investors. We should combine several indicators to make the best
decision to make a profit.
HAG
2.1. MACD
2.1. MACD
On the contrary, from 10/20/2022 to 11/16/2022, HAG’s stock price
decreases from 9.35VND to 5.91VND. A Bullish Divergence appears in
the MACD line, which means that the MACD forms two rising lows
that correspond with two falling lows on the price.
The buying signals exist when the MACD crosses below its signal
line. Conversely, the selling signals appear when the MACD line cuts
the signal line from above. Investors can buy HAG’s stock at the
price 7.59VND on 03/08/2023 and sell at the price 7.70VND on
04/26/2023 or 8.01VND on 05/17/2023. Afterward, traders can
continue to buy stock at the price 7.77VND on 05/26/2023 and take
profit at 9.35VND on 08/15/2023 or 9.28VND on 09/08/2023.
HAG
2.2. MFI
2.2. MFI
From March 23, 2022, to April 20, 2023, the price of HAG stocks
trended upwards due to increased capital flow into the market. The
highest price observed was 8,100 VND on January 17, 2023. This
might create an "Overbought" situation, possibly due to investor
interest and confidence in the company and Imexpharm's growth
potential during this period.
From April 24, 2023, to September 25, 2023, the stock price
trended within the 20-80 range, considered relatively stable. From
September 7, 2023, to October 3, 2023, the MFI line was "Oversold,"
while the price of IMP stocks showed signs of decline, indicating
investor selling surpassing actual supply and demand or possibly
due to other negative factors in the market pushing the stock price
below the equilibrium level.
...The appearance of optimistic divergence from February 15,
2023, to March 29, 2022, is a positive signal in HAG's technical
analysis chart based on the MFI index. On February 20, 2022, the
highest price of HAG stocks on the market was 8,200 VND. During
this period, HAG stock prices fluctuated between 7,700 VND and
7,300 VND. This means that while the HAG stock price decreased to
a lower level, the MFI index held a higher bottom. This signal
indicates reduced selling pressure and money transitioning from
investor selling to buying, suggesting potential future price
increases for HAG stocks.
HAG
2.3. RSI
Between February 13, 2023, and August 7, 2023, there was a buy
signal for HAG stocks in the market. Investors had a good
opportunity to buy HAG stocks at a low price, possibly yielding high
profits in the future. The highest price at which investors could sell
was 9,700 VND on August 7, 2023.
The appearance of optimistic divergence from December 13,
2023, to March 24, 2023, is a positive signal in HAG's RSI analysis
chart. This signifies that while HAG stock prices decreased to a
lower level, the RSI index maintained a higher bottom. During this
period, there was a continuous decline in HAG stock prices, for
example, on March 23, 2023, the price was only 7,100 VND, but then
on April 14, 2023, it rose to 8,100 VND. This indicates an increasing
trend in the stock and a potential upcoming positive trend. This is a
time for investors to consider buying or engaging in long-term
investment based on this signal.
HAG
After a long decrease, HAG tried to recover but did not work.
According to the graph, the HAG’s price line is almost below the
MA50 line, which demonstrates a downward trend. The price falls
from 15.470VND to 6.120VND during the period 10/2022 - 11/2022.
However, the stock price recovered, crossed the MA50 from the
bottom up and reached 9.850VND after three months.
Consequently, it makes a buying signal with the price 9.210VND on
12/05/2022 and one more buying point at the price 8.650 on
12/27/2022.
HAG
Both MA30 and MA50 lines can be used to analyze price trends
and identify crossovers.
As can be seen from the graph, HAG’s stock price fluctuates
substantially.
At various times, on 10/17/2022, 02/10/2023 and 09/25/2023, the
MA30 line is below the MA50 line, indicating a downward trend of
the stock.
Meanwhile, on 12/21/2022 and 05/05/2023, the MA30 crosses
above the MA50. This is considered as positive buying signals,
representing the price increase.
According to the graph, using multiple moving averages to
identify the stock trends made a slower step than using signals
created by MA and price lines.
DBC
3.1. MACD
From October 12, 2022, to November 18, 2022, there were signs of
a Bullish Divergence as the MACD line's second trough was higher
than the previous one, while the price line of DBC showed a lower
second trough compared to the first. The price of DBC stocks
decreased from 17,200 VND on October 12, 2022, to 11,700 VND on
November 18, 2022. When a divergence appears, the second peak
might reverse and indicate the initiation of a subsequent downward
market trend.
DBC
3.1. MACD
Following that period, the price of DBC stocks showed an upward
trend. On July 13, 2023, a Bearish Divergence emerged as the
subsequent peak of the MACD line was lower than the previous one,
while the succeeding peak of the price line was higher than the prior
one. The price of DBC stocks increased from 25,700 VND on July 13,
2022, to 27,000 VND on August 8, 2023, suggesting investors might
consider selling a portion of their held stocks and wait for an
appropriate time to sell the remaining shares.
DBC
3.2. MFI
On December 5, 2022, the market bounced back after a sharp
decline. DBC recorded the highest stock price at 16,000 VND,
indicating an overbuying situation and the stock's recovery,
suggesting that the company attracted market attention through
business development or positive market news.
Stable cash flow into the market falls within the range of 20 to
80. Moving beyond that zone will show optimistic or pessimistic
divergence. On the chart, in October and November 2022, the
subsequent low was lower than the previous low, but with the MFI,
the subsequent low was higher than the previous low, leading to the
appearance of optimistic divergence. This sign shows the potential
for a reversal from the price level of 10,500 VND to 16,000 VND.
Conversely, in July 2023 and August 2023, while prices were
trending upwards, the MFI had a lower peak than the previous peak,
as the pessimistic divergence of the price decreased from 27,500
VND to 21,700 VND. If an investor identifies this discrepancy, a
reversal could be anticipated, and buying could be avoided.
However, if an investor places a buy order, they might incur a loss.
DBC
From October 26, 2022, to November 15, 2022, DBC stocks were
oversold, causing a significant price drop. Specifically, the price on
June 26, 2022, was 17,300 VND and dropped to 10,600 VND on
November 15, 2022. This signals a reversal in the upward trend,
indicating a strong rebound in prices. This is easily identifiable as
the price line fell outside the lower band, indicating an overselling
signal for DBC stocks.
DBC
On the other hand, two moving averages (MA30 and MA50) can
be used to identify the cutting points and market trends. On
04/17/2023, when MA30 line crossed MA50 from the bottom up, this
was a positive signal for DBC’s stock price, which can be called “a
golden cross”. Then, the price increased dramatically from
14.000VND to approximately 25.000VND on 09/14/2023. The price
also went up when MA30 was above MA50 on 12/29/2022; however,
the upward trend was not clear, so the price rose slightly as well.
DBC
Thank
You!