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Ayodhya Thematic - Uploaded
Ayodhya Thematic - Uploaded
Ayodhya Thematic - Uploaded
January 2024
Abhinav Sinha
India Equity Analyst
+91 22 4224 6121
abhinav.sinha@jefferies.com
Nishant Poddar
India Equity Strategist
+91 22 4224 6165
npoddar@jefferies.com
Kevin Verghese
India Equity Strategist
+91 22 4224 6303
kverghese@jefferies.com
The grand opening of the Ram temple at Ayodhya by PM Modi on Jan 22nd, is a big religious event. It Did you know?
also comes with a large economic impact as India gets a new tourist spot which could attract 50m+
tourists/year. A US$10bn makeover (new airport, revamped railway station, township, improved road Forbes in 2022, ranked India as the
connectivity etc) will likely drive a multiplier effect with new hotels & other economic activities. It can 7th most beautiful country in its ‘The
also set a template for infra driven growth for tourism. 50 Most Beautiful Countries In The
World rankings
Tourism has big potential in India: Tourism contributed $194bn to FY19 (pre-COVID) GDP and is
expected to grow at an 8% cagr to US$$443bn by FY33. Tourism to GDP ratio in India at 6.8% of GDP,
puts it below most of the large Emerging / Developed economies; which are higher by 3-5ppts. India has 42 UNESCO World
Religious tourism is big in India: Religious tourism is still the biggest segment of tourism in India.
Heritage sites and ranks 6th globally
Several popular religious centres attract annual tourist traffic of 10-30m despite the existing
infrastructural bottlenecks. And hence, the creation of a new religious tourist centre (Ayodhya) with India is one of only three countries
improved connectivity and infrastructure can create a meaningfully large economic impact. in the world to have both hot and
Ayodhya – A template for India’s tourism boost: Rs850bn ($10bn) makeover is now set to transform cold deserts
the ancient city from a sleepy town to a global religious and spiritual tourist hotspot. The new Ram
temple comes up at the cost of US$225m (Rs18bn). Tourism is projected to surge and increased India ranks 10th globally in total area
economic and religious migration to Ayodhya, multiple sectors stand to benefit including hotels, under forest cover
airlines, hospitality, FMCG, travel ancillaries, cement etc.
Significant infra upgrade to facilitate Ayodhya tourism: Phase 1 of a new airport at Ayodhya has India ranked 10th in the Medical
become operational at the cost of US$175m and can handle 1m passengers. Additional domestic Tourism Index (MTI), 12th in top 20
capacity and an international terminal is expected by 2025 with a capacity to handle 6m passengers. wellness tourism markets globally,
Railway station has been upgraded to double the capacity to 60k passengers/day. A 1,200 acre and 5th in wellness tourism markets
greenfield township is being planned and road connectivity being beefed up as well. in APAC (as of 2021)
Ayodhya, a place that holds religious, historical, and cultural significance for India, is being transformed into a hub for spiritual tourism.
The focal point of this transformation is set to unfold on January 22nd this year, with the inauguration of the Ram Temple
1.Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Equity Analyst,
Tourism Ministry +91 22 4224
(Government of 6135,
India)vmaheshwari@jefferies.com 1
2. Source: World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC), Economic Impact Research (EIR) 2023
Conversion at 1USD = Rs83
US$10bn+ infra upgrade to transform…
Ayodhya gets its own airport leading to boost in tourism, business & employment
Source: Government of UP
Overview Ayodhya’s railway station is revamped to cater to a high number of arrivals
Investment: built at an est. cost of Rs18bn
($225mn), with the cost being funded
through contributions and donations Investment: Phase I built at a cost of Rs2.4bn ($30mn)
Status: grand inauguration on January 22nd, Status: Phase I operational
2024
Capacity: increased from 30k to 60k passengers in phase I
Key highlights
• Main pilgrimage site, spread over nearly Source: Ministry of Railways
70 acres and will be equipped to host
about a million devotees together
Other infrastructure projects
• Number of pilgrims is expected to jump
to 100-150k per day
Road connectivity: Three key roads: Ram Path (13km), Ram Janmabhoomi Path (2km),
and Bhakti Path (750m) – have been revamped, featuring grand gates at entry and exit
Significant milestone of Ayodhya’s points
transformation is set to unfold on January Township: launch of a 1,200-acre greenfield township, built at an estimated cost of
22nd, 2024 with the inauguration of the Rs22bn ($260mn), to cater to the potential interest of senior citizens and families
Ram Temple seeking a second home on account of sacred significance
Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Equity Analyst,
Press Information Bureau+91 22 4224
(PIB), 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
Government of India, Government of UP 2
Conversion at 1USD = Rs83
… a small ancient town to a religious and spiritual tourist hub
• Surge in tourism - Ayodhya’s enhanced • • Surge in tourism & residents will lead
Surge in tourism & residents will lead
status as a religious and cultural tourist to increased demand for both domestic
Future to a substantial demand for FMCG,
destination will lead to increased footfall & international connectivity and stands
impact consumer staples and quick service,
from pilgrims and tourists, both to benefit aviation, railways & ancillary
domestic & international restaurants (QSR)
service providers
Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Companies,Equity Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
Jefferies 3
Conversion at 1USD = Rs83
Why Ayodhya? – Religious tourism still draws…
Top 5 states / UT visited by domestic tourists in 2019 1 Top 5 states / UT visited by foreign tourists in 2019 1
State Tourist visits (mn) % share of total State Tourist visits (mn) % share of total
Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India) Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India)
Tamil Nadu ranked among the top 5 Indian states on strength of tourism infrastructure is the destination of choice among
domestic & foreign tourists closely followed by Uttar Pradesh on account of its religious, cultural and historical significance
Top 5 monuments having the Top 5 monuments having the Estimated footfall at key Indian religious
highest domestic footfall (2019)1 highest foreign footfall (2019)1 places
Tourist visits Tourist visits Footfall Collections
Monument Monument
(mn) (mn) (est.) (est.)
Taj Mahal 5.65 Taj Mahal 0.87 Golden Temple ~30-35m ~$10-15mn
Red Fort 3.43 Agra Fort 0.53 Tirupati Temple ~25-30mn ~$140-150mn
Qutub Minar 2.64 Qutub Minar 0.33 Jagannath Puri ~15-20mn ~$20-25mn
Agra Fort 1.97 Mamallapuram 0.06 Ajmer Sharif ~7-8mn Not disclosed
Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India), Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India), Source: News articles
Archaeological Survey of India (ASI) Archaeological Survey of India (ASI)
Pilgrimage, religious & historic sites attract significant domestic & foreign footfall, and The Taj Mahal is the monument of
choice, across both domestic & foreign tourists
1.Vivek
2019Maheshwari,
statistics toEquity Analyst,
account +91 22
for data 4224 6135,
excluding thevmaheshwari@jefferies.com
impact of COVID19 disruption 4
… the highest footfalls
Source: Government of UP Source: Ministry of Tourism Source: Ministry of Tourism Source: Ministry of Tourism Source: Ministry of Tourism
Ram Mandir, Tirupati Temple, Vaishnodevi, The Taj Mahal, Agra Fort,
Uttar Pradesh Andhra Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Uttar Pradesh Uttar Pradesh
Tourism type Pilgrimage / spiritual Pilgrimage / spiritual Pilgrimage / spiritual Heritage Heritage
Annual est. footfall1 50mn to 100mn (expected) 25mn 7mn-8mn 6.5mn 2.5mn
Annual est. income1 NA ~Rs12bn / $140mn ~Rs5bn /$60mn ~Rs1bn / $12mn ~Rs275mn / $3mn
GOI has assessed the challenges impeding current historical & pilgrimage destinations and innovatively curated a holistic spiritual
tourism experience in Ayodhya, a place that holds immense spiritual, historical, and cultural significance for India
Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Equity Analyst,
Tourism Ministry +91 22 of
(Government 4224 6135,&vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
India) news articles 5
1. 2019 statistics to account for data excluding the impact of COVID19 disruption
Conversion at 1USD = Rs83
Why Ayodhya? - India’s response to the Vatican City & Mecca
Significance Religious, cultural and historical Religious, cultural and historical Religious, cultural and historical
Good: access by air, road & rail Excellent: access by air, road & Good: access by rail and road
Travel International terminal to start by rail (on account of proximity with Closest airport is 75 kms away in
2025 Rome ~25 kms away in Rome) Jeddah
Infrastructure
Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Equity Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
News articles 6
1. CIA, World Factbook (2022)
Indian tourism sector – a snapshot
How India fares globally in international tourist arrivals? Foreign Exchange Earnings from Tourism ($bn)
India market share rose by 1% in the last decade and this Tourism is a large foreign exchange earner for the
trajectory is expected to accelerate in the next decade country
India’s
rank 41 24 26 24 19 17
globally $31
35
30
$22
COVID19
25
pandemic $17
1.2% 1.2%
20
1.2%
1.60%
1.40%
15
0.6%
1.20%
$7
1.00%
India’s % 10
COVID19
0.80%
share 0.60%
0.40%
0.20%
pandemic 5
0.00% 0
2012 2014 2016 2019 2020 2021 2012 2016 2019 2020 2022
Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India) Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India)
Cumulative FDI inflows in the tourism sector ($bn) GOI capital allocation to tourism ($mn)
COVID19 COVID19
pandemic pandemic
7.0
$192
6.0
250
$3.1
5.0
200
$2.0
4.0
$0.9
3.0 150
2.0
100
1.0
50
0.0
Vivek Maheshwari,
Conversion at 1USDEquity
= Rs83Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com 7
Tourism in India has a lot to catch-up…
18.0% % GDP
Contribution to GDP by Tourism Sector
16.0% 15.5%
14.3%
14.0%
13.0%
10.0% 9.5%
8.6% 8.5%
7.7%
8.0%
6.8%
5.7%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Mexico Spain Italy Turkey China Saudi Arabia U.S. France Brazil India Indonesia
India has significant headway to improve tourism with country ranking below average among the large economies
1.Vivek
2019Maheshwari,
statistics toEquity Analyst,
account +91 22
for data 4224 6135,
excluding thevmaheshwari@jefferies.com
impact of COVID19 disruption 8
…several initiatives in place to realise the potential
What India offers geographical variety, diversity, culture, heritage sites and a
$443
500
treasure trove of art, music & cuisines makes India a popular global tourist 450
destination. 400
Lower on account
350
of COVID19
How big is tourism in India Tourism is an important contributor to India’s GDP, 300
pandemic
contributing $194bn in 2019 (pre-COVID) which is expected to increase to $443bn
$194
250
by 2033. Tourism is among the largest foreign exchange earners for the country. 200
$188
Infrastructure support Government of India (GOI) has been actively investing in 150
expanding and modernizing airports, railways & road networks to enhance end to
100
end connectivity not only to popular tourist destinations but also remote offbeat
50
locations.
0
Leveraging FDI India welcomes 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the $194bn $30bn
tourism industry under the automatic route. From FY16 to FY22 India attracted Total contribution Foreign exchange earnings
over $7bn+ FDI in the hotel & tourism sector. to GDP from tourists
Visa process for foreigners To ease the travel for foreigners, GOI issued new visa
reforms: offering E-tourist Visas, and a scheme which offers 500k free tourist visas. 11mn 2.3bn
In 2019 (pre-COVID), India recorded ~11m Foreign Tourist Arrival (FTAs) and this Foreign Tourist Domestic Tourist Visits
Arrivals to all States
number is expected to increase to 31m by 2028.
Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India) & WTTC, Jefferies Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India)
Vivek Maheshwari,
Conversion at 1USDEquity Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
= Rs83 9
1. 2019 statistics to account for data excluding the impact of COVID19 disruption
Govt policy support to tourism
Tourism sector highlights in the Union Budget 2023-24 Key Government schemes
• Official application to be developed covering all relevant Focus: Pilgrimage Rejuvenation and Spiritual Heritage
Augmentation Drive (PRASHAD) seeks to enhance religious /
aspects of tourism to
pilgrimage tourism in India by developing and identifying
pilgrimage sites across the nation
• States to set up malls in the state capital as prominent tourist
centers to promote state specific products GOI sanctioned a total of 46 projects at a cost of Rs16bn
($200m) as of Dec 2023. Additionally, a total of 26 new sites
have also been identified for development
“Tourism sector holds huge opportunities for jobs and
Adarsh Smarak Scheme
entrepreneurship for youth in particular…. promotion of
tourism will be taken up on mission mode, with active Focus: List of 100 identified monuments that will be
participation of states, convergence of government programmes redeveloped and upgraded to Model Monuments.
and public-private partnerships” - Finance Minister, Smt. Monuments will be upgraded to include Wi-Fi, security,
Nirmala Seetharaman signage, encroachment-free area and interpretation centers,
etc.
Source: Press Information Bureau (PIB), Invest India, Jefferies Source: Tourism Ministry (Government of India), Press Information Bureau (PIB)
Vivek Maheshwari,
Conversion at 1USDEquity
= Rs83Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com 10
Statue of Unity – a recent example of a greenfield tourist spot
Key highlights
COVID19 pandemic
5
4.4
3.4
4.5
3.5
3
2.7
2.5
1.5
1.3
1
0.5
Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Government Equity Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
of Gujarat 11
Infrastructure upgrades add credibility to India’s tourism ambitions
GOI actively investing infrastructure to enhance connectivity to popular tourist destinations & remote offbeat locations
• Robust growth over the last decade attributed to government initiatives such as,
No. of airports (#)
Regional Connectivity Scheme UDAN (launched in 2016), under which 469 routes
148 connecting 74 airports have been made operational
160
74
140
120
100
80
40
Airports
20
2014 2023 aerodromes, and advanced landing grounds that would be revived for improving
regional air connectivity in the country
20
15
10
• In the Union Budget of 2023-24, capital outlay of Rs2,400bn ($29b) had been
Railways
5
2004-14 2014-23
120
• In the Union Budget of 2023-24, GOI allocated Rs2,700bn ($33b) to the Ministry of
100
80
60
20
FY14 FY23
Source: Press Information Bureau (PIB), Ministry of Railways, Ministry of Road Transport & Highways, Ministry of Civil Aviation
Vivek Maheshwari,
Conversion at 1USDEquity
= Rs83Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com 12
India offers a wide array of experiences
Religious / Spiritual
Himalayas, Ladakh (Cold Desert), Monasteries Heritage
Jim Corbett, Rajaji, Valley of Flowers National Parks
Dal Lake, Gulmarg Ski Resort, Jallianwala Bagh Shimla, Kalka-Shimla Railway, Dalhousie, Spiti
Other
Palaces & Forts Ram Temple, Bodh Gaya, Varanasi, Vrindavan, etc.
Swaminarayan Akshardham, Ajmer Sharif UNESCO Heritage – Nalanda, Bodh Gaya, etc.
Tiger reserves & Bird sanctuaries Dudhwa National Park, Palamu Tiger Reserve
UNESCO Heritage – Ellora, Ajanta, CSMT Sundarbans, Kanha, Pench, Bandavgarh etc.
Goa beaches Darjeeling, Victoria Memorial, Cooch Behar Palace
tourism?
• India’s megafauna consists of tigers, lions, • India is only one of the three countries in the
world to have both hot and cold deserts
elephants, rhinos, leopards, wild buffaloes, Indian
bison (gaur), etc. alongside 1,200 species of birds Source: Ministry of Tourism
India’s top eco-tourism destinations • Ranks 10th in total area under forest cover
• Jammu & Kashmir, Sikkim, Himachal Pradesh, • 100+ national parks throughout the country
Uttaranchal, Coorg, Himalayas, Garhwal, Goa, Kerala, Source: Rajasthan Tourism
Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Ministry of Equity Analyst,
Tourism, +91 22 4224
Government of 6135,
India,vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
Jefferies 14
Medical tourism – an emerging driver
Where India stands in the medical & wellness tourism sector today? Key policies & initiative support
• India ranked 10th in the Medical Tourism Index (MTI) (as of 2021) and
• E-Medical Visa: introduced for 166 countries
ranks 12th in top 20 wellness tourism markets globally, and 5th in
wellness tourism markets in APAC • Heal in India: initiative to provide a boost to medical
tourism in the country
• 52 Joint Commission International (JCI) and 1,600+ National
Accreditation Board for Hospitals & Healthcare Providers (NABH) • ‘One Step” portal: integrated portal under
accredited hospitals development to provide credible information for medical
tourism
• Foreign Tourists Arrival on medical purpose increased from 183k in
2020 to 304k in 2021 on path to recovering back to pre-covid levels of • FDI: 100% FDI is permitted for the wellness and medical
697k in 2019 tourism segment
• High quality care along with cost advantage makes India an attractive Medical tourism as a % of total revenue in Jeff hospital coverage
destination
15% Jeff coverage
• Growing list of accredited hospitals, currently 52 JCI accredited and 16%
12%
10% -12% •
• Medicines / drugs are available at a fraction of the cost
10%
8%
6%
• Max Healthcare
• Largest pool of healthcare professionals along with additional 4%
• Fortis Healthcare
advantage of English fluency
2%
Medanta
0%
•
Current Next 3- 5 yrs
• Low to zero waiting times compared to other nations such as USA:
~20 days (primary physician appointment) / ~28 days (elective
surgery), UK: ~10 days (primary physician appointment) / ~62 days With ~80% of medical tourism in India centered in New Delhi &
(elective surgery) Chennai, Max Healthcare and Apollo Hospitals are strategically
positioned to be key beneficiaries
Vivek Maheshwari,
Source: Equity Analyst, +91 22 4224 6135, vmaheshwari@jefferies.com
Jefferies, PIB 15