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Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Transport Policy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/tranpol

Passenger satisfaction evaluation model for Urban rail transit: A


structural equation modeling based on partial least squares
Weiwei Shen a, Weizhou Xiao a,n, Xin Wang b
a
School of Urban Rail Transportation, Soochow University, Suzhou 215137, Jiangsu Province, China
b
University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996, USA

art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t

Article history: The rail transit has played an important role in economic vitality of the urban area. Providing services
Received 19 March 2015 with high levels of quality is essential in order to promote public transportation by customizing the users
Received in revised form of the services, and to reduce traffic congestion by shifting people away from private car use. For this
10 September 2015
reason, it is essential to understand passenger satisfaction with urban rail transit from a quantitative and
Accepted 28 October 2015
systematic perspective. This paper borrows the fundamental concept of the American Customer Sa-
tisfaction Index (ACSI) model to establish a passenger satisfaction evaluation model for urban rail transit
Keywords: in China. A structural equation modeling (SEM) method and its parameter estimation method: Partial
Rail transit Least Squares (PLS), are applied to estimate the proposed model. An evaluation indicator system in-
Passenger satisfaction
cluding three levels of indicators is established to measure passengers’ satisfaction on the services of-
Evaluation indicator system
fered by the rail transit operation companies. The satisfaction index is obtained to quantize the degree of
Partial least square method
Structural equation modeling passenger satisfaction. The IPA matrix is used as an assist tool to show the advantages and disadvantages
of the services of rail transit. Suzhou rail transit line 1 was used as a case study, four models with
different latent constructs or estimation methods were built and compared, to demonstrate the proposed
PSI model based on PLS estimation method was reliable and the sign and magnitude of parameters were
reasonable. The causality between passenger satisfaction and its influence factors were confirmed by
path coefficients of the model.
& 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction second line began operation in Dec 2013, with other five lines
planned to be completed before 2020. The ridership of rail transit
The expanding economy has transformed and reshaped the line 1 has doubled within two years with near 1.5 million pas-
urban landscapes of many Chinese cities, while it also challenges sengers per week.
the urban transport systems. As an emerging tier-2 city, Suzhou As suggested by many literatures, the success of a public
(50 miles west of Shanghai), has its population increased from 3.37 transport system depends on the number of passengers which the
million in 2004 to roughly 5.1 million in 2014 (this is 50% increase system is able to attract and retain (de Oña et al., 2013). Therefore,
within ten years). Meanwhile the deterioration of urban trans- it is critical for transit management agencies and rail transit op-
portation and air quality are following the expanding economy. eration companies to assess how they are meeting the needs of
The share of private automobile in transportation mode has in- their customers by investigating whether rail transit passengers
creased from 6% to 23% in past decade, which contributes to severe are satisfied with the products and services the rail transit in-
confliction between motorized and non-motorized transportation, dustry offered. To that end, a strategic tool is needed for assessing
transportation social equity issues as well as heavy air pollution. the current passenger satisfaction level and identifying the man-
To deal with these problems, the rail transit has been adopted by agement strategies which can be potentially used to improve
Suzhou to provide reliable, efficient, spatial-economic, and en- passenger satisfaction, match passenger desires and promote the
vironmental friendly service to urban passengers. The first rail use of rail transit system. Also, a standard passenger satisfaction
transit line in city of Suzhou began operation in 2012 and the evaluation model can be a handy tool for assessing and comparing
the rail transit system performance against peer or nationwide.
n The paper is structured in six sections. After a literature review
Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: 20134246017@stu.suda.edu.cn (W. Shen), in Section 2, Section 3 introduces the methodology of PSI model.
xiaoweizhou@suda.edu.cn (W. Xiao), wxin_chn@hotmail.com (X. Wang). Section 4 takes Suzhou rail transit as a case study, introduces the

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2015.10.006
0967-070X/& 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31 21

Fig. 1. The Conceptual framework of the PSI model for Urban rail transit.

questionnaire design and passenger survey, and then demon- Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) methods to evaluate
strates the feasibility of proposed PSI model. Section 5 gives sev- the customer satisfaction for the rail transit network of Istanbul.
eral limitations in this study, and finally Section 6 presents some Various theories and methodologies have been applied in sa-
conclusions about the study. tisfaction research, including hierarchical process, fuzzy mathe-
matics and factor analysis etc. These methods (e.g. Delphi, analytic
hierarchy process and fuzzy clustering method) focus on using
2. Literature review subjective methods for determining the weights of variables for
assessment. At the same time, studies focusing on analyzing the
The customer satisfaction theories and methodologies have relationship between satisfaction, or service quality, and different
been utilized in private industry. The Swedes proposed the theory attributes are more and more popular by using SEM models or
of satisfaction called customer satisfaction at the earliest, later path analysis. Some studies (Stuart et al., 2000; Karlaftis et al.,
Fornell summarized Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI) and came 2001; Eboli and Mazzulla, 2007; Chen, 2008; Ngatia et al., 2010;
up with the American customer satisfaction index (ACSI) model Irfan et al., 2011; de Oña et al., 2013) have estimated SEM models
(Fornell et al., 1996). The ACSI model measured the causality be- which can represent the causality between variables. However,
tween the antecedents of customer satisfaction (customer ex- they mainly focused on the service attributes impacting overall
pectation, perceived service quality, and perceived value) and its passenger satisfaction but neglected the degree of satisfaction.
consequences (customer complaints and customer loyalty). Moreover for the parameter estimation in SEM model, traditional
Moreover, studies have point out that CSI can be used to predict method is linear structural relationships (LISREL), which assumes
profitability and market value of a company (Anderson et al., 1994, that all observations are independent and the manifest variables
1997; Eklof et al., 1999). Currently based on the ACSI model, lots of obey the multivariate normal distribution, but this is not usually
countries in the world (e.g. Germany, South Korea, China and other the case in passenger satisfaction survey (Chin and Newsted, 1999;
countries in Europe) have established CSI models customized for Lin et al., 2005). Alternative method is Partial Least Squares (PLS),
their contextual situation. which relaxes the assumption of normal distribution and can ob-
In the field of transportation, researchers are increasingly re- tain explicitly estimated latent variable scores directly in the
cognizing the importance of passenger satisfaction. Hensher process of parameter estimation, therefore PLS is more suitable for
(1990) considered the key of measuring bus service quality was to satisfaction research. In this study, SEM method based on PLS es-
identify the important dimensions of service quality that passen- timation is used to build the passenger satisfaction index (PSI)
ger perceived. By studying the preferences of bus passengers, they model for urban rail transit, and the causality between passenger
put forward a bus preference model. Later in 2003, Hensher et al. satisfaction and its influence factors (e.g. passenger expectation,
(2003) established an in-depth methodology to quantify each service quality and service value) is addressed.
service quality measurement and identify their relative im- Prior studies also explored the relationships between custo-
portance in the overall satisfaction calculation using stated pre- mers' expectation, perceived quality, perceived value, satisfaction,
ference approach. Friman and Gärling (2001) proposed an eva- complaints and loyalty (Fornell et al., 1996; Zeithaml et al., 1996;
luation model by studying public transportation passenger sa- Cronin et al., 2000; Kuo et al., 2009). Expectation, perceived
tisfaction and found that overall satisfaction was positively corre- quality, and perceived value are assumed to be three antecedents
lated with accumulative satisfaction. Stradling et al. (2007) pre- of satisfaction, and complaints and loyalty are two behavioral in-
sented a six-step method for measuring satisfaction to combine tentions or consequences of satisfaction.
measures of performance and importance. Friman et al. (2013) Expectation represents both prior consumption experience
used confirmatory factor analyses to examine the psychometric with the company’s offering and a forecast of the company’s
properties of the satisfaction with travel scale. Celik et al. (2014) ability to provide quality in the future, and it is assumed to have a
proposed a novel framework which includes SERVQUAL, statistical direct and positive association with the perceived performance,
analysis, interval type-2 fuzzy sets and Vlsekriterijumska such as service quality, perceived value, and customer satisfaction
22 W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31

(Fornell et al., 1996). Perceived quality is the service quality that 3.2. Model solution
customer perceived, while the concept of service quality is defined
as a comparison between expectation and actual service perfor- 3.2.1. SEM methodology
mance (Parasuraman et al., 1985). Lovelock (2000) presented that To obtain the latent variables scores, the weights and the
perceived value comes from a trade-off between perceived bene- causality between variables, the SEM method based on PLS esti-
fits and perceived costs. Cronin et al. (2000) confirmed that service mation is used to solve the PSI model for urban rail transit.
quality positively affects perceived value and perceived value is As a powerful multivariate technique mixing factor analysis
positively related to satisfaction. and path analysis together, SEM has advantage in the quantitative
Satisfaction is an overall affective response to a perceived dis- study of interactive relationships between variables. SEM consists
crepancy between prior expectations and perceived performance of two components, a measurement model describing the re-
after consumption (Oliver, 1980). It refers to the feeling of pleasure lationships between latent and manifest variables, and a structural
or disappointment formed by comparison between service quality
model describing the causal relationships between endogenous
and expectation. Wen et al. (2005), Chou and Kim (2009), and
and exogenous latent variables.
Chou et al. (2011) proved that satisfaction is positively related to
The basic equation of the structural model is defined as (Bollen,
loyalty. Apparently there is a negative relationship between sa-
1989):
tisfaction and complaints, and the complaints decrease the loyalty.
Complaints and loyalty are two different behavioral intentions. η = βη + Γξ + ζ (1)
Complaints are generally considered to comprise a set of responses
to purchase dissatisfaction (Singh, 1988). Loyalty implies repeat where η is an m × 1 vector of endogenous latent variables, ξ is an
purchasing based on cognitive, evaluative and dispositional factors n × 1 vector of exogenous latent variables, β is an m × m matrix of
that are the classic primary components of attitude (Jacoby, 1971). path coefficients associated with η , Γ is an m × n matrix of path
In the field of transportation, few studies talk about the com-
coefficients associated with ξ and η , and ζ is an m × 1 residual
plaints and loyalty, because they are difficult to measure. Thus
vector of the equation.
most researchers use the behavioral intentions instead (Chen,
The basic equations of the measurement model are the fol-
2008; Chen and Chen, 2010; Kuo and Jou, 2014). In this paper,
lowing:
several observable variables are set to measure the loyalty, and the
complaint rate is adopted to measure the complaints. x = Λx ξ + δ (2)

3. Methodology-PSI model y = Λy η + ε (3)

3.1. Conceptual framework of the PSI model where x is an q × 1 vector of exogenous manifest variables, Λx is an
q × n factor loading matrix for the effects of the exogenous man-
To evaluate the rail transit passenger satisfaction of a city, this ifest variables on exogenous latent variables, and δ is an q × 1
paper establishes a PSI model for urban rail transit. Fig. 1 shows vector of measuring error; Correspondingly y is an p × 1 vector of
the conceptual framework. Based on the literature, several latent
endogenous manifest variables, Λy is an p × m factor loading
variables were identified as critical variables of satisfaction eva-
matrix for the effects of endogenous manifest variables on en-
luation, including passenger expectation, perceived quality, per-
dogenous latent variables, and ε is an p × 1 vector of measuring
ceived value, satisfaction, complaints and loyalty. Some variable is
error.
exogenous, e.g. passenger expectation, which means it is not sys-
Assumed there are six latent variables is PSI model, as shown in
tematically affected by changes of other variables. The other
variables are endogenous latent variables since they can be im- Fig. 1. According to the path relationships of PSI model, the
pacted by other latent variables. Since the latent variables are ty- equations of structural model and measurement model are spe-
pically hard to measure directly, manifest variables are used to cified, that is formulas (1)–(3) are correspondingly written as
describe and quantify the latent variables. Accordingly the variable formulas (4)–(6):
used to describe exogenous latent variable is named exogenous
manifest variable and the variables used to describe endogenous ⎡ Q ⎤ ⎡⎢ 0 0 0 0 0⎤ ⎡ Q ⎤ ⎡ γ ⎤
⎥ 11
⎡ ζ1 ⎤
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ β21 0 0 0 0⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ γ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
latent variables are endogenous manifest variables. ⎢ ζ2 ⎥
⎢V ⎥ ⎢ ⎢ V ⎥ ⎢ 21⎥
The variables in circles are latent variables, among which the ⎢ S ⎥ = ⎢ 31 32
β β 0 0 0⎥ ⎢ S ⎥ + ⎢ γ31⎥ E + ⎢ ζ3 ⎥
⎢C ⎥ ⎢ 0 ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
variable in dashed circle is exogenous and the variables in solid 0 β43 0 0⎥ ⎢ C ⎥ ⎢ 0 ⎥ ⎢ ζ4 ⎥
circles are endogenous variables. The arrows with þ/  signs re- ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢
⎥⎣ H ⎦ ⎣ 0 ⎦ ⎥
⎣ H⎦ ⎣ 0 0 β53 β54 0⎦ ⎢⎣ ζ5 ⎥⎦
present the path relationships between latent variables, the þ (4)
represents the positive correlation and the-represents the negative
where E , Q , V , S , C , H respectively denote passenger expectation,
correlation. The variables in solid line box are the manifest vari-
perceived quality, perceived value, passenger satisfaction, pas-
ables which measure the latent variables. Note that, subordinate
senger complaints and passenger loyalty. βij and γij are the path
observed variables (the apostrophes in Fig. 1) are used to describe
the nine service dimensions of perceived quality furthermore, but coefficients, and ζi is the residual vector of the equation.
they are not shown in Fig. 1 due to limited space. A complete list of ⎡ δ E1 ⎤
⎡ E1 ⎤ ⎡ α E1 ⎤
these variables is presented in Table 4. The arrows connecting ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
α
⎢ E2 ⎥ = ⎢ E2 ⎥ E + ⎢ δ E2 ⎥
circles and boxes represent the loading relationships between la-
⎢⎣ E3 ⎥⎦ ⎣ α E3 ⎦ ⎢⎣ δ E ⎥⎦
tent variable and their corresponding manifest variables. 3 (5)
Fig. 1 is the conceptual framework of the PSI model. Several
models with different latent constructs will be compared in the where Ei is the i-th manifest variable of E , α Ei is the corresponding
following to find the most suitable model which can fit the survey coefficient which is called loading coefficient, and δ Ei is the mea-
data. suring error.
W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31 23

Table 1
Differences between PLS and LISREL (Chin and Newsted, 1999; Efron, 1979; Huo, 2006).

Differences PLS LISREL

Objective Prediction oriented Parameter oriented


Approach Variance based Covariance based
Distributional No distribution requirements Typically multivariate normal distribution and independent
Hypothesis observation
Model Identification No model identification problems The identifiability of proposed model is needed to be checked.
Latent variable scores Explicitly estimated Indeterminate
Hypothesis Testing PLS usually use Stone-Geisser Q2, R-square, AVE, CR, Cronbach’s Alpha, etc to The RMSEA, GFI, chi-squared, df, etc. are the usual fit indices
test the predictive ability of the model. Bootstrap or Jacknife method to test used to determine how well the SEM model fits the sample
the significance of parameters. data.
Minimum sample size Recommendations range from 30-100 cases. Recommendations range from 200–800 cases.

⎡ αQ 0 0 0 0 ⎤ the researchers concern more about the explicitly estimated latent


⎡ Q1 ⎤ ⎢ ⎥
1
variable scores (i.e. satisfaction index in PSI model), while the la-
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ Q2 α 0 0 0 0 ⎥
tent variable scores in LISREL estimation are closely related to the
⎢ Q 2⎥ ⎢ αQ 3 0 0 0 0 ⎥
⎥ ⎡ εQ 1 ⎤
⎢ Q 3⎥ ⎢ ⎢ εQ ⎥ calculation method and lack of comparison, in that case the PLS
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ αQ 4 0 0 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ 2⎥ parameter estimation method is more suitable.
⎢ Q 4⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ εQ 3 ⎥ The PLS parameter estimation method of SEM obtains the es-
⎢ Q ⎥ ⎢ αQ 5 0 0 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ εQ 4 ⎥
⎢ 5⎥ ⎢ αQ 6 0 0 0 0 ⎥
⎥ ⎢ εQ ⎥ timated values of latent variables by iteration, and the estimated
⎢ Q 6⎥ ⎢ ⎢ 5⎥ value of a latent variable is the weighted sum of its corresponding
⎢ Q ⎥ ⎢ αQ7 0 0 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ εQ 6 ⎥ manifest variables. In the PSI model, this method extracts principal
⎢ 7⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ εQ 7 ⎥
⎢ Q 8⎥ ⎢ α Q 8 0 0 0 0 ⎥ ⎡ Q ⎤ ⎢ εQ 8 ⎥ component from the subset of manifest variables for diffident la-
⎢ Q ⎥ ⎢ αQ 9 0 0 0 0 ⎥
⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ε ⎥ tent variables (i.e. passenger expectation, perceived quality, per-
⎢ 9⎥ ⎢ ⎢ V ⎥ ⎢ Q 9⎥ ceived value, passenger satisfaction and passenger loyalty) to es-
⎢ V1 ⎥ = ⎢ 0 α V1 0 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ S ⎥ + ⎢ εV1 ⎥
⎢V ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ C ⎥ ⎢ εV2 ⎥ timate the value of latent variables, and then estimates the loading
⎢ 2 ⎥ ⎢ 0 α V2 0 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ε ⎥ coefficients and path coefficients using ordinary least squares.
⎢ S1 ⎥ ⎢ 0 0 α S1 0 0 ⎥
⎥ ⎣ H ⎦ ⎢ S1 ⎥
Suppose that the passenger satisfaction evaluation contains k
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎢ ε S2 ⎥
⎢ S2 ⎥ ⎢ 0 0 α S2 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ εS ⎥ independent variables named x1, x2, .. . , xk and m dependent
⎢ S3 ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ 3⎥ variables named y1, y2 , ... , ym , the sample size is n, from this we
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ 0 0 α S3 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ εC1 ⎥ can respectively obtain the data table X and Y of independent
⎢ C1 ⎥ ⎢ 0 0 0 α C1 0 ⎥
⎥ ⎢ εC2 ⎥
⎢ C2 ⎥ ⎢ ⎢ εH ⎥ variables and dependent variables, among them:
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ 0 0 0 α C2 0 ⎥ ⎢ 1⎥ X = [x1, x2, ... , xk ]n × k and Y = [y1, y2 , ... , ym ]n × m . The PLS regression
⎢ H1 ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ε H2 ⎥ consists of two steps: component extraction and linear regression.
⎢ H2 ⎥ ⎢ 0 0 0 0 α H1 ⎥ ⎢⎣ ε H3 ⎥⎦
Step one: component extraction is a process of improving the
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ 0 0 0 0 α H2 ⎥

⎣ H3 ⎦ ⎢ accuracy constantly and it won’t stop until achieving satisfactory
⎢⎣ 0 0 0 0 α H3 ⎥⎦ accuracy. In the process, we respectively extract the first compo-
(6)
nent of PLS t1 and u1 from X and Y every time, the two components
where Q i , Vi , Si , Ci and Hi and respectively denote the i-th manifest t1 and u1 respectively include the largest compile information of X
variable of Q , V , S , C and H , α yi is the corresponding coefficient and Y , at the same time, the degree of correlation between t1 and
which is also called loading coefficient, and ε yi is the measuring u1 requires to reach the maximum. Later the second round of
error. component extraction will be proceeded by making use of the rest
information separately explained by t1 and u1 of X and Y and will
3.2.2. Fundamental principle of PLS not stop until achieving satisfactory accuracy. Step two: linear
The conventional estimation method of SEM is LISREL which is regression supposes that finally X extracts a components named
also called covariance modeling method. It estimates the para- t1, t2, .. . , ta , severally establishes regression equations of
meters of SEM by using maximum likelihood, generalized least t1, t2, .. . , ta for yi (i = 1, 2, ... , m), and then translates into the re-
squares or some other methods to construct a model to estimate gression equations of yi for x1, x2, .. . , xk (Li, 2011).
the fitting function of covariance ∑ (θ ) and sample covariance (S )
(Joreskong and Dag, 1993). 3.3. The satisfaction index
The PLS parameter estimation method is a mathematical opti-
mization technique. It searches for a set of best-matching data by The satisfaction index of a latent variable is an index to quantify
minimizing the sum of squares of error. It is an iterative estimation satisfaction level and measure service quality from the perspective
combined with multiple linear regression analysis, canonical cor- of consumers. Generally, the satisfaction index is calculated using
relation analysis, principal component analysis and causal weighted manifest variables (Fornell et al., 1996) and the value
modeling. varies according to the methods used to calculate the index. As the
The main differences between PLS and LISREL are shown in value of latent variable is calculated in the process of parameter
Table 1. It can be found that the two estimation methods have estimation in PLS, the satisfaction index of each latent variable can
their own advantages and application conditions. LISREL focuses be obtained directly from the estimated values of latent variables
on model validation, so the data distribution generally has strict by PLS estimation.
assumptions. While PLS focuses on the explanation of variance, so
it can obtain moderate estimation results even if the data is de- 3.4. Indicator system of passenger satisfaction evaluation
viating from the normal situation. Considering the characteristics
of passenger satisfaction evaluation work, the data from satisfac- The system is divided into three levels of indicators. As shown
tion survey usually do not obey multivariate normal distribution, in Fig. 1, the latent variables (in circles) are the first-level
24 W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31

indicators, the nine service dimensions in boxes are the second- 3.4.4. Safety and security
level indicators, and the other variables in boxes are the third-level Safety is about whether the elevator and escalator, the shielded
indicators. Considering the perceived quality reflects passen- gate, and the train can run smoothly and safely, and the frequency
gers' comprehensive assessment of rail transit service quality and of equipment failure is at a relatively low level. Security mainly
using nine second-level indicators of perceived quality are not focuses on the order in public space at stations and the boarding/
enough to capture a complete picture of rail transit service quality, alighting security.
third-level indicators are used to provide more detailed and direct
measurements of each of the nine second-level indicators. The 3.4.5. Ticket service
detailed indicators from different levels can be found in Table 4. Ticket is the voucher for taking rail transit, so the ticket service
The selection of third-level indicators combines with literature is a crucial part of operations. It is related to all the service aspects
review and survey of rail transit operation companies. The in- about ticket system which contains the ticket types, quantity of
dicators used to characterize the latent variables in addition to ticket vending machines, introduction about buying tickets, fre-
perceived quality refer to the measurement variables used in the quency of failure of ticket vending machines, and convenience of
ACSI model of Fornell (Fornell et al., 1996). While considering the changing money.
characteristics of rail transit services, numbers of literatures pre-
sent the attributes and dimensions used to evaluate service 3.4.6. Equipment and facilities
quality. There are lots of equipment and facilities in transit stations and
Eboli and Mazzulla (2011) evaluated the transit service quality compartments, such as ticket vending machines, ticket gate, seats,
from 11 dimensions with 26 attributes which include route char- and armrests. The location, quantity and material of these equip-
acteristics, service characteristics, service reliability, comfort, ments may affect passengers' satisfaction on services.
cleanliness, fare, information, safety and security, personnel, cus-
tomer services, and environmental protection. Mouwen and 3.4.7. Staff service
The staffs not only contain regular employees of rail transit
Rietveld (2013) used 15 service attributes from 3 dimensions (i.e.,
operation companies but also include security personnels and
general aspects of transit system, terminals and stops, and ve-
cleaners. They have close contact with passengers, so their ap-
hicles), and finally revealed that service frequency, on-time per-
pearance, service attitude and work efficiency of solving problems
formance, travel speed, and vehicle tidiness contribute the most to
can have great influence on passenger satisfaction on services.
the effect on satisfaction. Liou et al. (2014) evaluated the bus ser-
vice quality in Taipei city based on 4 dimensions (i.e., driver atti-
3.4.8. Information distribution/disclosure
tude, equipment, convenience, and reliability) with 12 attributes.
Information distribution/disclosure is divided into two aspects
de Oña et al. (2013) considered totally 14 items from 3 aspects
of publicity. The first aspect is about the publicity of rail transit
which are service, comfort and personnel. Hassan et al. (2013)
including introducing lines, fare policy, service time of rail transit.
listed the most common attributes of transit service as frequency,
The other aspect is the publicity of taking rail transit with civility
capacity, reliability, price, cleanliness, comfort, security, staff, in-
because it is needed to broadcast the passenger regulations.
formation and ticketing system.
Even if the categories can be different in different literatures,
3.4.9. Convenient facilities for passengers
the most common service aspects discussed can be concluded as
Apart from the necessary facilities to ensure the normal op-
reliability, cleanliness, comfort, safety, fare, personnel, information eration of rail transit, convenient facilities for passengers can sa-
and so on. Based on literatures, nine service dimensions totally tisfy passengers' diversified needs. The indicators belonging to this
containing fifty attributes are formed in this paper to characterize dimension include the volume and updating frequency of TV, the
perceived quality. comfort of advertising layout and images, the attraction of rail
transit newspaper and signal strength of cell phone.
3.4.1. Direction and guidance
The indicators belonging to this dimension capture the char- 3.5. Importance–performance analysis
acteristics of rail transit in term of signs of direction and guidance.
As the rail transit has fixed stations, so the clarity of the signs of Importance–performance analysis (IPA) is the most widely
direction and guidance is very important. It is divided into three used quadrant analysis in transportation or other fields (de Oña
types of signs (i.e., signs outside the station, signs in the station, and de Oña, 2014). It can identify indicators which have potential
and signs of direction of rail transit). to improve the effectiveness of the service in rail transit industry
and meet the most urgent demands of passengers, so this method
3.4.2. Cleanliness and comfort is widely used by transport company managers in the me-
Cleanliness and comfort are importance service aspects directly tropolitan transport sector (Figler et al., 2011). IPA is formed
influencing passengers' impression on rail transit. It is related to through a two-dimensional space with X-axle denoting satisfac-
the stations and compartments. Cleanliness and comfort mainly tion performance (or satisfaction index) of indicators and Y-axle
capture the environmental comfort including customer feelings denoting the importance (or the weight) of indicators, and the
about brightness, indoor air quality, temperature suitability and space is divided into four quadrants with the average satisfaction
environment cleanliness in station and in the compartment. index and weight. Characteristic service indicators referring to the
nine service dimensions were assigned to the four quadrants
3.4.3. Speediness and convenience based on their X and Y values. Then the corresponding improve-
As a public transport, the speediness of rail transit affects travel ment strategies can be identified according to the matrix. Fig. 2
time, and convenience affects the accessibility of rail transit. So shows the IPA matrix.
they are also critical attributes affecting peoples' perception on The four quadrants are labeled as I, II, III and IV, and separately
service quality. The speediness involves passenger assessment for named as ‘Keep up the good work’, ‘Concentrate here’, ‘Lower
the transit punctuality, station dwell time, departure interval, priority’ and ‘Possible overkill’. The indicators located in Quadrant
service time of first and last train, while convenience refers to the I have relatively higher importance and satisfaction index, so
convenience of the bus transfer. maintaining the current status continually is desirable; the
W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31 25

indicators located in Quadrant II do not have high satisfaction 4.3. Model results
index but their importance are relatively high, so attentions need
to concentrate here and prompt improvement is required. The 4.3.1. Model comparison
indicators located in Quadrant III do not have too much im- To reveal which latent variables affecting passenger satisfaction
portance nor high satisfaction index, so these indicators have through path analysis, different models with different number of
lower priority and gradually improve the performance of these latent variables were specified, and to justify the superiority of the
indicators may be beneficial to obtaining higher public attention. PLS compared with conventional estimation approaches, two
The indicators located in Quadrant IV have higher satisfaction in- kinds of estimation methods of SEM (i.e. the PLS and the LISREL)
dex but low importance, so they are possible overkill and main- were used. Thus four models with different constructs or estima-
taining the current status moderately is acceptable. tion methods were proposed. These models were calibrated se-
parately by using the software AMOS17.0 and the software
SmartPLS2.0 (Ringle et al., 2005).
For comparing the goodness of each model and choose the best
4. Case study one, a number of fit indices assessing the goodness-of-fit of SEM
models were used. The chi-squared, degree of freedom (DF),
Suzhou rail transit system is used as a case study in this paper. goodness of fit index (GFI), comparative fit index (CFI), root mean
A passenger satisfaction survey was conducted annually in Suz- square error of approximation (RMSEA) etc. are the usual fit in-
hou. This study uses the survey conducted in Sept 2013. During dices used to determine how well the model fits the sample data.
that time, line one was the only running line which connecting As chi-squared is extremely sensitive to sample size, the chi-
Mudu Station and Zhongnan Jie Station, with a total length of squared/DF replaced. The recommended value of chi-squared/DF
25.7 km and 24 stations. To evaluate the rail transit passenger needs to be lower than 5. The GFI and CFI above 0.9 indicate a
satisfaction in Suzhou, a questionnaire was designed, and the close fit of the model to the data, and the RMSEA of 0.08 or less
passenger satisfaction survey was conducted. indicates a good fit (Hair et al., 2006).
However, the conventional fit indices of SEM such as RMSEA
and chi-squared need the precondition of distribution, so they can
4.1. Questionnaire design
not be used to assess the estimation results of PLS. To assess the
goodness of SEM models estimated by PLS, two types of indices
The design of the questionnaire is based on the evaluation in-
are given to separately test the predictive ability of measurement
dicator system and specific service quality characteristics in urban
model and structural model. The predictive ability of measure-
rail transit. The questionnaire is structured into four major sec-
ment model can be assessed by loading coefficients, communality,
tions: screening and identify, personal background information,
Average Variance Extracted (AVE) and redundancy, while the
riding and travel information, satisfaction survey. The first section
predictive ability of structural model mainly focuses on R-Square
is to exclude those undesirable respondents who or whose family
(Jin and Liang, 2005) and bootstrapping technique (Efron, 1979).
members are related to rail transit or bus companies. The second Loading coefficients greater than 0.5 can usually warrant reliability
section aims to know about respondents' demographical in- of each manifest variable (Hair et al., 2006). The communality is
formation such as the gender, level of education, job, income and required to be greater than 0.5 (Hair et al., 2006). AVE greater than
so on. The third section is to know about respondents' riding in- 0.5 means that the latent variable can explain more than 50% total
formation such as travel time, trip purpose, ticket category and so variances of its manifest variables (Fornell and Larcker, 1981). The
on. The fourth section of the survey is the main body of the redundancy, used to test the overall predictive ability of the
questionnaire and designed to capture the manifest variables measurement model and structural model, is required to be less
based on evaluation indicator system. In the questionnaire, a 10- than 0.25 (Hair et al., 2006). R-Square of endogenous latent vari-
point scale, with “1” denoting strongly dissatisfied and “10” de- ables is an essential criterion for assessment of the structural
noting strongly satisfied, is used to measure how respondents model, the larger R-Square indicating the better goodness-of-fit.
agree or disagree with a particular statement. Particularly for the Chin (1998) describes R-Square values of 67%, 33%, and 19% in PLS
second-level indicator ‘passenger complaints’, it is measured by estimation as substantial, moderate, and weak respectively. Be-
asking respondents whether or not have they had minor com- sides of these indices, the bootstrapping method is nonparametric
plaint or formally filed a complaint about the rail transit, so the test applied to test the validity of parameter estimation. In addi-
binary variable is used with “1” denoting no and “2” denoting yes. tion, The Cronbach's Alpha (CA) and Composite Reliability (CR) are
also used to test the reliability of the model. The CA greater than or
equal to 0.7 indicates the reliability is high, while the CA between
4.2. Passenger survey
0.4 and 0.7 indicates the reliability is general (Hair et al., 2006).
Composite Reliability is required to be greater than 0.7 (Hair et al.,
Two types of surveys were conducted, including on-site inter-
2006).
cept interview at stations and screening questionnaire handout.
The fit indices of different models used to compare the good-
The number of questionnaires sent out at each of the 24 rail transit ness of different models are displayed in Table 2.
stations was proportional to the passenger flow volume at those In the first model (M1), six latent variables including passenger
stations. Eventually 840 questionnaires containing 813 valid expectation, perceived quality, perceived value, passenger sa-
questionnaires were collected, and the effective rate is 96.8%. tisfaction, passenger complaints and passenger loyalty were built
To test whether the collected data obey the multivariate normal (as shown in Fig. 1). Expectation, perceived quality, and perceived
distribution, the one-sample Kolmogorov–Smirnov test was con- value were assumed to be three antecedents of satisfaction, and
ducted in software SPSS. The test results show that values of complaints and loyalty were two behavioral intentions or con-
Kolmogorov–Smirnov Z are between 4.202 and 15.190, and bi- sequences of satisfaction. The estimated results show that R-
lateral asymptotic significances are all 0.000, which indicate that square of passenger complaints is 0.028 which means bad ex-
the data do not conform to normal distribution and it is not sui- planation of the variance in this latent variable, at the same time,
table to estimate the proposed model by using conventional esti- the AVE of passenger complaints is 0.4293 (o0.5), the CR is 0.1487
mation approaches of SEM. (o0.7), the CA is 0.2913 (o0.4), most of the fit indices relating to
26 W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31

Fig. 2. Sketch map of IPA matrix.

Table 2 portance of each service dimension can not be obtained and the
Fit Indices of different models. dimensions which mostly influence the perceived quality and
passenger satisfaction can not be identified. In the third model
Fit Indices M1 M2 M3 M4
(M3), nine service dimensions (which include direction and gui-
R-square Perceived quality 0.297 0.297 0.947 1.070 dance, cleanliness and comfort, speediness and convenience, etc.)
Perceived value 0.330 0.330 0.350 0.115 are treated as exogenous latent variables and have direct path
Passenger satisfaction 0.413 0.413 0.419 0.413
relations with perceived quality, the fifty third-level indicators are
Passenger loyalty 0.217 0.209 0.209 0.400
Passenger complaints 0.028 separately treated as manifest variables of nine service dimen-
Chi-squared /DF 8.765 sions, and the overall satisfaction on nine service dimensions are
treated as manifest variables of perceived quality. The structure of
RMSEA 0.098
GFI 0.508 M3 is shown in Fig. 3. According to Table 2, the R-square of per-
CFI 0.699 ceived quality significantly improved and the R-square of pas-
senger satisfaction is the highest among all the models.
The fourth model (M4) has the same structure with M3, but the
different estimation methods of SEM. M3 used the PLS method
passenger complaints do not meet the test criterion. This might and M4 used the LISREL method. The R-square of passenger sa-
due to the low response probability since most respondents did tisfaction and perceived value in M4 are lower than M3, the chi-
not formally file a complaint about rail transit. So in the second squared/DF is 8.765 (4 5), the RMSEA is 0.098 (4 0.08), and the
model (M2), the unreliable construct ‘passenger complaints’ is GFI and CFI are both lower than the criterion value 0.9, which
excluded from M1. indicates that M4 can not fit the sample data very well and the
In M1 and M2, all the fifty third-level indicators of nine services conventional estimation method of SEM is not appropriate in the
are treated as manifest variables of perceived quality, so the im- passenger satisfaction evaluation work.

Passenger
Expectation 0.121
Direction and
guidance 0.085 0.106

Cleanliness
0.140 0.025 Perceived 0.365 Passenger 0.458 Passenger
and comfort
Value Satisfaction Loyalty

Speediness and 0.092 0.528


convenience Perceived
0.079 Quality 0.282
Safety and
security
0.118

Ticket service

0.186 0.105
0.168 0.153
Information Convenient
Equipment distribution/ facilities for
and facilities Staff service
disclosure passengers

Fig. 3. Path coefficients of the PSI model (M3).


W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31 27

Table 3
Overall associations between latent variables.

Latent variables Passenger loyalty Passenger satisfaction Perceived value Perceived quality

Passenger expectation 0.079 0.172 0.119 0.025


Passenger satisfaction 0.458 0 0 0
Perceived value 0.167 0.365 0 0
Perceived quality 0.217 0.475 0.528 0
Direction and guidance 0.018 0.040 0.045 0.085
Cleanliness and comfort 0.030 0.066 0.074 0.140
Speediness and convenience 0.020 0.044 0.049 0.092
Safety and security 0.017 0.038 0.042 0.079
Ticket service 0.026 0.056 0.062 0.118
Equipment and facilities 0.037 0.080 0.089 0.168
Staff service 0.033 0.073 0.081 0.153
Information distribution/disclosure 0.041 0.088 0.098 0.186
Convenient facilities for passengers 0.023 0.050 0.055 0.105

Then, M3 is selected as the most suitable model compared with significance testing, the T Statistics greater than 1.96 indicates that
other three models and named as PSI model. The structure of M3 it is significant at the 0.05 level when the sample size is large (Hair
is shown in Fig. 3 and the results of M3 are discussed in the et al., 2006). Only the relation between passenger expectation and
following. perceived quality is not supported by statistical significance test,
but the T Statistics is within the acceptable limits.
4.3.2. Model results of the selected model M3
For the model specification in SmartPLS2.0, the ‘Path Weighting 4.4. The satisfaction indexes of Suzhou rail transit
Scheme’ was chosen as the Weighting Scheme, and the Data Me-
tric was set as ’Mean 0, Var 1’ to standardize the data. The outer The satisfaction indexes of latent variables are shown in Table 7
weight of indicators, path coefficients between latent variables and the indexes are translated into centesimal system. To measure
and loading coefficients between latent variables and their corre- the degree of satisfaction, a standard of satisfaction evaluation
sponding manifest variables were obtained. (measured using centesimal system) is given, i.e. a score lower
Fig. 3 shows the estimated path coefficients of the model. The than 60 means very dissatisfied, a score between 60 to 70 means
path coefficients present the direct relationships between latent relatively dissatisfied, a score between 70 to 80 means moderate
variables. Table 3 summarizes the relationships including the direct satisfied, a score between 80 to 90 means relatively satisfied and
and the indirect impacts between latent variables. Fig. 3 shows that the score higher than 90 means great satisfied.
the direct impact of perceived quality on perceived value has the From Table 7, it can be concluded that all the satisfaction in-
largest magnitude (with a coefficient of 0.528), following by the dexes of latent variables are relatively high (with satisfaction index
direct impact of passenger satisfaction on passenger loyalty (with a more than 80). Passenger satisfaction has a satisfaction index of
coefficient of 0.458). The largest direct impact on passenger sa- 83.27 (i.e. the PSI), indicating that the service quality of Suzhou rail
tisfaction comes from perceived value, following by perceived transit line 1 is at a good level, but improvement is still needed.
quality. Among the nine service dimensions, ‘Information distribu- Among the nine service dimensions, ‘Safety and security’ has the
tion/disclosure’ has the largest direct influence on perceived quality, highest satisfaction index and then the ‘Direction and guidance’,
and followed by ‘Equipment and facilities’. ‘Safety and security’ has most of the nine service dimensions perform well (with satisfac-
the least influence on perceived quality. For the overall influences tion index more than 85), while there is a little gap between ‘In-
shown in Table 3, passenger satisfaction has the greatest positive formation distribution/disclosure’, ‘Convenient facilities for pas-
influence on passenger loyalty compared with other latent vari- sengers’, and other service dimensions.
ables. Moreover, perceived quality has the largest overall influence
on passenger satisfaction which means that passengers’ perception 4.5. Problems in rail transit service and countermeasures
on service quality has a great positive influence on passenger sa-
tisfaction. In this sense, improving service quality is particular cri- 4.5.1. IPA analysis
tical for rail transit providers to satisfy passengers. The IPA was used as a tool to assisting identifying the im-
Table 4 shows the estimated outer weights and loading coef- provement based on nine service dimensions. The performance is
ficients of the PSI model. In the evaluation indicator system, the the satisfaction index of nine dimensions, while the importance is
outer weight is to reflect the importance of a subordinate indicator described by the path coefficients between nine dimensions and
relative to its superior indicator. Higher outer weight of an in- perceived quality (as shown in Fig. 3).
dicator denotes more importance compared with other indicators According to Fig. 4, it is find that equipment and facilities and
under the same superior indicator. In PLS path modeling, the information distribution/disclosure are in Quadrant II which
loading coefficients are used to evaluate the reliability of each means they are the problems require great attention and the rail
manifest variable. According to the test criterion introduced above, transit operation companies should work on improvement mea-
the loading coefficient usually needs to be greater than 0.5. It can sures immediately. At the same time, ticket service, speediness
be found that all the loading coefficients are above 0.6, which and convenience, direction and guidance, and safety and security
indicates the reliability of the PSI model. are in Quadrant IV which indicates that these are the factors that
Table 5 shows the fit indices accessing the validity of the model rail transit operation companies perform well and they just need
and all the fit indices conform to the requirements of the test to maintain the current status moderately. Convenient facilities for
criterion. passengers is in Quadrant III which indicates that this service as-
Table 6 shows the bootstrapping (with 600 sub-samples) test pect has lower priority. Cleanliness and comfort and staff service
results of path coefficients. According to the standard of are in Quadrant I, so they are the advantages of Suzhou rail transit
28 W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31

Table 4
Outer weights and loading coefficients of the PSI model.

The first-level and second-level indicators The third-level indicators (manifest variables) Outer weights Loading coefficients
(latent variables)

Passenger expectation Overall expectation before taking rail transit 0.385 0.883
Expectation on the degree of personalized service to meet the demand before 0.401 0.895
taking rail transit
Expectation on the reliability of service before taking rail transit 0.347 0.868
Perceived quality Overall satisfaction on direction and guidance 0.122 0.766
Overall satisfaction on cleanliness and comfort 0.124 0.769
Overall satisfaction on speediness and convenience 0.131 0.813
Overall satisfaction on safety and security 0.137 0.867
Overall satisfaction on ticket service 0.134 0.853
Overall satisfaction on equipment and facilities 0.140 0.867
Overall satisfaction on staff service 0.141 0.840
Overall satisfaction on information distribution/disclosure 0.142 0.829
Overall satisfaction on convenient facilities for passengers 0.141 0.808
Direction and guidance The signs of transit station location outside the station 0.224 0.849
Export instructions in the station 0.226 0.883
The signs of ticket gates in the station 0.230 0.882
The clarity of direction of rail transit on the platform 0.238 0.885
The hints of rail transit’s arriving at the station 0.235 0.837
Cleanliness and comfort The brightness in the station 0.248 0.828
Air liquidity and temperature suitability in the station 0.238 0.859
Environment cleanliness in the station 0.250 0.885
Air liquidity and temperature suitability in the compartment 0.204 0.748
Environment cleanliness in the compartment 0.251 0.861
Speediness and convenience The punctuality of the rail transit’s arriving 0.243 0.816
The acceptability of station dwell time 0.244 0.857
The acceptability of departure interval 0.236 0.839
The acceptability of service time 0.233 0.765
The convenience of bus transfer 0.262 0.828
Safety and security The order in the station 0.112 0.836
The safety of stairs, escalators and elevators 0.118 0.895
The frequency of failure of escalators 0.109 0.858
The induction sensitivity and frequency of failure of gate 0.112 0.848
The frequency of failure of shielding barrier 0.115 0.891
The timeliness of advance notice about the closing of car door and shielding 0.117 0.881
barrier
The safety and stability of train running 0.121 0.886
The readiness of the security alarm facilities 0.120 0.901
The method of informing passengers and handling the problem is appropriate 0.117 0.852
when abnormal situation happens
The maintenance of order of getting on or off the rail transit when it is the rush 0.115 0.798
time
Ticket service The degree of satisfaction on ticket types 0.212 0.789
The quantity of ticket vending machines which can satisfy needs 0.227 0.880
The clarity of introduction about buying tickets in the ticket vending machines 0.245 0.918
The frequency of failure of ticket vending machines 0.229 0.876
The convenience of changing money in the call center 0.236 0.879
Equipment and facilities The rationality of locations of vending machines 0.236 0.903
The quantity of ticket gate which can meet the needs 0.228 0.884
The convenience of locations of waiting seats 0.230 0.912
The comfort of materials of waiting seats 0.215 0.865
The rationality of settings of armrest and rings in the compartment 0.220 0.867
Staff service The appearance of staffs 0.219 0.884
The service attitude of staffs 0.213 0.920
The efficiency of solving passengers’ problems 0.222 0.913
The call center provides service in the whole service time 0.218 0.897
The overall image and service attitude of security personnels 0.228 0.934
Information distribution/disclosure The degree of publicity of rail transit 0.247 0.845
The degree of satisfaction on the executive condition about the measure ‘No food 0.198 0.807
or drink in the compartment’
The degree of satisfaction on the executive condition about the measure ‘Get on 0.203 0.826
the train on both sides, and get off in the middle’
The convenience and efficiency of knowing about rail transit in the station 0.255 0.927
The convenience and efficiency of knowing about rail transit outside the station 0.249 0.913
Convenient facilities for passengers Suitable volume of TV in the station or compartment 0.224 0.853
The updating frequency of television media in the station or compartment 0.225 0.893
The comfort of advertising layout and images in the station or compartment 0.250 0.905
The attraction of rail transit newspapers 0.234 0.880
Signal strength of cell phone in the station or compartment 0.221 0.800
Perceived value Evaluation of the service according to current ticket price 0.561 0.927
Evaluation of the ticket price according to current condition of service 0.524 0.916
Passenger satisfaction Overall satisfaction 0.446 0.834
Compared with the service expectation, the gap between service expectation and 0.364 0.838
reality
Compared with the perfect service of rail transit, gaps between perfection and 0.387 0.836
W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31 29

Table 4 (continued )

The first-level and second-level indicators The third-level indicators (manifest variables) Outer weights Loading coefficients
(latent variables)

reality
Passenger loyalty The possibility of choosing rail transit if it connects with desired destination 0.353 0.653
The possibility of choosing rail transit if it does not connects with desired 0.439 0.676
destination
The possibility of recommending rail transit to your family and friends 0.559 0.846

Table 5
Validity of the model.

Latent variables Average Variance Extracted (AVE) Composite Reliability (CR) R-Square Cronbach's Alpha (CA) Communality Redundancy

Passenger loyalty 0.533 0.772 0.210 0.560 0.533 0.110


Passenger expectation 0.778 0.913 0.000 0.858 0.778 0
Passenger satisfaction 0.698 0.874 0.419 0.785 0.698 0.060
Perceived value 0.849 0.919 0.350 0.823 0.849 0.061
Perceived quality 0.680 0.950 0.947 0.941 0.680 0.018
Direction and guidance 0.752 0.938 0.000 0.918 0.752 0
Cleanliness and comfort 0.701 0.921 0.000 0.893 0.701 0
Speediness and convenience 0.675 0.912 0.000 0.879 0.675 0
Safety and security 0.749 0.968 0.000 0.963 0.749 0
Ticket service 0.756 0.939 0.000 0.919 0.756 0
Equipment and facilities 0.786 0.948 0.000 0.932 0.786 0
Staff service 0.827 0.960 0.000 0.948 0.827 0
Information distribution/disclosure 0.748 0.937 0.000 0.915 0.748 0
Convenient facilities for passengers 0.752 0.938 0.000 0.917 0.752 0

Table 6 Table 7
Bootstrapping Test Results of Path Coefficients. Satisfaction indexes of latent variables

Path relation Standard error T Statistics Latent variable Satisfaction index Degree of satisfaction

Passenger expectation - 4 Passenger satisfaction 0.041 2.932 Passenger Expectation 83.50 relatively high
Passenger expectation - 4 Perceived value 0.048 2.223 Perceived Quality 85.52 relatively satisfied
Passenger expectation - 4 Perceived quality 0.013 1.872* Perceived Value 80.20 relatively satisfied
Passenger satisfaction - 4 Passenger loyalty 0.045 10.184 Passenger Satisfaction 83.27 relatively satisfied
Perceived value - 4 Passenger satisfaction 0.047 5.951 Passenger Loyalty 82.35 relatively loyal
Perceived quality - 4 Passenger satisfaction 0.045 11.637 Direction and guidance 86.51 relatively satisfied
Perceived quality - 4 Perceived value 0.025 3.454 Cleanliness and comfort 85.55 relatively satisfied
Direction and guidance - 4 Perceived quality 0.020 6.889 Speediness and convenience 86.27 relatively satisfied
Cleanliness and comfort - 4 Perceived quality 0.021 4.462 Safety and security 86.79 relatively satisfied
Speediness and convenience - 4 Perceived 0.026 3.106 Ticket service 85.62 relatively satisfied
quality Equipment and facilities 84.37 relatively satisfied
Safety and security - 4 Perceived quality 0.022 5.451 Staff service 86.15 relatively satisfied
Ticket service - 4 Perceived quality 0.025 6.699 Information distribution/disclosure 81.91 relatively satisfied
Equipment and facilities - 4 Perceived quality 0.023 6.527 Convenient facilities for passengers 81.36 relatively satisfied
Staff service - 4 Perceived quality 0.025 7.554
Information distribution/disclosure - 4 Perceived 0.018 5.988
quality
Convenient facilities for passengers - 4 Perceived 0.041 2.932 information distribution/disclosure, compared with the publicity
quality of taking rail transit with civility, introducing lines, fare policy,
* service time of rail transit is more important because this aspect
indicates the value is not significant at the 5% level.
has higher weights.
For the indicator ‘convenient facilities for passengers’ in
line 1. With the help of IPA matrix, the problems in existing service
Quadrant III, advertising layout and images in the station or
aspects can be identified in an intuitive way and a specific im-
compartment has the highest weight and should have the greatest
provement plan can be established.
priority, and then the attraction of rail transit newspapers needs to
be improved. The enhancement of signal strength of cell phone is
4.5.2. Detailed improving suggestions for rail transit operation
relatively hard and has the lowest priority.
companies
For the indicators in Quadrant I, staff service has great im-
To help the rail transit operation companies use the findings to
portance and good performance, the service of security personnels
satisfy the passengers and further enhance passenger loyalty. A cannot be ignored and the efficiency of solving passengers' pro-
number of operational implications are explicitly described. blems has higher priority compared with other indicators. For
For the indicators in Quadrant II, the improvement in equip- cleanliness and comfort, environment cleanliness in the station or
ment and facilities is relatively hard to make as the location or compartment is more important than brightness, air liquidity and
material of equipment and facilities is difficult to change, the temperature suitability.
things that operator can do is to increase the number of equip- For the indicators in Quadrant IV, ticket service has the higher
ment and facilities properly to satisfy passengers' demand. For importance but worse performance, so it needs to be improved first
30 W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31

Fig. 4. IPA matrix of Suzhou rail transit line 1.

compared with other three indicators in Quadrant IV. The clarity of PSI model), evaluation indicator system of three levels and the IPA
introduction about buying tickets in the ticket vending machines matrix, which allows in-depth investigation of the degree of pas-
needs prompt improvement, and then the convenience of changing senger satisfaction and the associated factors contribute to pas-
money in the call center. The ticket types and quantity of ticket senger satisfaction. An intuitive picture of detailed causality be-
vending machines can be added to meet the diversified demands. For tween variables can be revealed by the evaluation model. Then
speediness and convenience, the convenience of bus transfer is most improvement strategy can be designed more effectively. The case
important, so the rail transit operation companies can promote co- study shows that Suzhou rail transit line 1 has a moderate satisfied
operation with bus companies to optimize the transfer between rail level (with PSI of 83.27), but more importantly, perceived value
transit and bus lines. Among the three types of signs in direction and followed by perceived quality are found to have the greatest direct
guidance, the signs of direction of rail transit have the highest priority influence on passenger satisfaction. Therefore, the operation
to make improvements, signs in the station have the second priority, companies must make a great effort to improve service quality.
and the signs outside the station rank the third. As the recognition of In addition, the causal relationships between other latent
safety and security of Suzhou rail transit, this service aspect performs variables (e.g. passenger expectation and passenger loyalty) were
very well. Among ten subordinate indicators of safety and security, the proved to be consistent with previous studies (Fornell et al., 1996;
safety and stability of train running is most important and needs to be Cronin et al., 2000; Wen et al., 2005). Besides, this study extended
ensured. the previous studies by enriching the concept of perceived quality
to detailed service dimensions. Specifically, a first-level indicator
perceived quality, nine second-level indicators and fifty third-level
5. Limitation indicators were used to measure the performance of services.
These captures provide a complete picture of the different service
Several limitations exist in this study. ‘Passenger complaints’ is dimensions that can impact the passenger satisfaction. Moreover,
an important indicator reflecting passengers’ dissatisfaction on instead of using the LISREL estimation method which has been
services. As the limit of survey data, the indicator used to measure used for previous studies (Ngatia et al., 2010; Irfan et al., 2011; de
passenger complaints is not adequate, which result in the insig- Oña et al., 2013), a more sophisticated structural equation mod-
nificant parameters of passenger complaints and its subordinate eling method based on partial least squares has been used to solve
indicators. So ‘Passenger complaints’ is excluded from the final the PSI model. This estimation method was proved to have the
model. In that case, further investigation and better survey design advantage of relaxing the normal distribution assumption and
are needed to improve the PSI model in the future. obtaining explicitly estimated latent variable scores which are
important for operation companies to gain satisfaction scores.
Meanwhile the PLS avoids the poor comparison of satisfaction
6. Conclusions indexes calculated by different methods in the LISREL estimation.
Practically speaking, the findings of this study can aid in
In the context of increasing traffic congestion and goals to re- identifying rail transit operation and management strategies to
duce automobile transportation by promoting public transit, it is help them making more effective improvement decisions towards
essential for railway transit providers to assess how the current better service quality and higher passenger satisfaction. Clearly,
transit system performs in order to retain and attract more pas- the rail transit operation and management require systematic
sengers. This study focuses on a comprehensive evaluation perspective of system design and optimization and understanding
methodology to assess the current rail transit passenger satisfac- passengers' satisfaction level is fundamental to this process.
tion level in a quantifiable way and identify factors impacting
passenger satisfaction. This methodology is practical which can be
potentially utilized as standard evaluation procedure for rail Acknowledgements
transit operation companies to assess passenger satisfaction reg-
ularly and track the effects of the improvement strategies. The authors would like to thank Roger Vickerman, Greg
The evaluation methodology includes the evaluation model (i.e. Marsden, and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable
W. Shen et al. / Transport Policy 46 (2016) 20–31 31

comments and suggestions that have substantially improved this Hair, J.F., Anderson, R.E., Tatham, R.L., Black, W.C., 2006. Multivariate Data Analysis,
paper. We also wish to thank the research assistants who help us 6th ed. Prentice Hall, New Jersey.
Hassan, M.N., Hawas, Y.E., Ahmed, K., 2013. A multi-dimensional framework for
obtain the survey data. evaluating the transit service performance. Transp. Res. A. 50, 47–61.
Hensher, D.A., Stopher, P., Bullock, P., 2003. Service quality-developing a service
quality index in the provision of commercial bus contracts. Transp. Res. A. 37,
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