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M A R K E T B E AT

GREATER JAKARTA
Condominium Q1 2021

YoY 12-Mo. SUPPLY: Low Newly Launched Projects


Chg Forecast
Approximately 6,192 condominium units from 6 projects were completed in the first quarter of 2021, bringing the total completed supply to
0.7% 321,649 units which was an increase of 101% compared to in the same quarter in 2020 (YoY). Government has initiated another stimulus to
waive value-added taxes on ready to live or ready stock residential with value up to IDR 5 billions for transactions during March 2021 to August
YoY Price Growth
2021, to boost the sales and many projects are expected to be handed over during 2nd & 3rd quarter this year. The roll-out of the vaccination
program is expected to also further accelerate construction progress of the projects.
50.6%
Vacancy Rate On the other hand, only 2 projects were launched to the market during the reviewed quarter, namely Savyavasa (Tower 1-3) and The Veranda
(Jimbaran). Both were Upper segment condominiums in South Jakarta Area and will contribute additional 430 units and 172 units of supply
6,192 units respectively and bring the total proposed Condominium supply to 161,276 units. Some upcoming projects have been introduced to the market
and offering pre-registration of interest to test the market. Proposed supply is expected to remain modest until the second semester of 2021.
YTD New Completions
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Indonesia Research DEMAND: Has Yet Recovered
A net take-up of 228 units was recorded in the first quarter of 2021, 94% lower than the 3,797 units absorbed in the first quarter of 2020 (YoY).
Even though people were seen starting to buy again, there were also a lot transaction cancellations. The sales rate stood at 93.4%, a slight
INDONESIA ECONOMIC INDICATORS increase of 0.4% compared to that in the same quarter of last year, while the pre-sales rate decreased by 0.5% from 61.7% by the end of 2020
Q1 2020 to 61.2%. With the waiver of VAT from government and slow supply, overall sales rate is expected to increase for the rest of the year. Average
12-Mo.
vacancy within the Condominium sector decreased slightly to 50.6% as newly completed units were still being handed over gradually.
YoY
Chg Forecast
PRICING: Slow Movement of Price
-1.0% Greater Jakarta’s average price growth in the first quarter of 2021 was recorded at 0.2% QoQ, to reach Rp. 43,300,000 per sqm. The slow
GDP Growth
growth indicates that the market has yet to recover from COVID-19 effects. Discount, promotion and down payment subsidy from developers
continued to be seen in the market to boost transaction, while secondary price were also observed very competitive. The average selling price
is expected to grow modestly as growth of demand, especially in the under-construction projects may yet to be seen throughout 2021.
1.4%
Inflation Rate
AVERAGE PRICE / SQM & GROWTH RATE ANNUAL SUPPLY PIPELINE

5,00,00,000 4.5%
1,20,000
3.50% 4,50,00,000 4.0%

Net Proposed Supply (Units)


4,00,00,000
Hard Cash Price (psm)

3.5% 1,00,000
Central Bank Rate 3,50,00,000 3.0%

Growth Rate
Source: Central Bank and Census Bureau 3,00,00,000 80,000
2.5%
2,50,00,000
2.0%
2,00,00,000 60,000
1,50,00,000 1.5%
1,00,00,000 1.0% 40,000
50,00,000 0.5%
0 0.0% 20,000
Q215

Q317

Q419
Q115

Q315
Q415
Q116
Q216
Q316
Q416
Q117
Q217

Q417
Q118
Q218
Q318
Q418
Q119
Q219
Q319

Q120
Q220
Q320
Q420
Q121

-
Price (psm) Growth rate 2021 2022 2023 2024
Year
M A R K E T B E AT

GREATER JAKARTA
Condominium Q1 2021

SUPPLY, SALES & VACANCY MARKET STATISTICS


4,00,000 100.0% SUBMARKET EXISTING SUPPLY (UNITS) SALES RATE (%) PROPOSED SUPPLY (UNITS) PRE-SALES RATE (%)

3,50,000 90.0% CBD 29,472 97.9% 2,727 72.4%


80.0% Prime 14,315 97.1% 1,279 35.7%
3,00,000
70.0%
Secondary 277,862 92.8% 156,910 61.4%
Supply (Units)

2,50,000

Percentage
60.0%
SEGMENTATION
2,00,000 50.0%
40.0% Lower-Middle 82,414 90.1% 74,907 62.5%
1,50,000
30.0% Middle 158,739 94.6% 61,979 60.8%
1,00,000
20.0% Upper-Middle 53,145 95.0% 17,969 61.6%
50,000 10.0%
Upper 27,351 93.9% 6,421 48.8%
0 0.0%
Greater Jakarta 321,649 93.4% 161,276 61.20%
DEFINITIONS: CBD area covers the most prominent business corridors. The Prime area covers locations favored by high-income families and
Existing Supply Proposed Supply Sales Rate expatriates. Segmentation is based on price per sqm before tax on semi gross area: Lower-Middle (<Rp 14 million), Middle (14-25 million), Upper-Middle
Pre-Sales Rate Vacancy Rate (25-35 million), and Upper (>35 million).
Note: Total units are approximate numb ers and may change over the construction period ARIEF RAHARDJO
Director, Strategic Consulting
NEWLY LAUNCHED PROJECTS Q1 2021 NEWLY COMPLETED PROJECTS Q1 2021 +62 21 2550 9500 / arief.rahardjo@cushwake.com

APPROX APPROX
PROPERTY DISTRICT SEGMENT PROPERTY DISTRICT SEGMENT PRIYANKA NURKHALIDA
UNITS UNITS
Assistant Manager, Strategic Consulting
+62 21 2550 9500 / priyanka.nurkhalida@cushwake.com
Savyavasa (Tower 1) South Upper 70 Embarcadero Suites (Western Wing) Tangerang Middle 413

Savyavasa (Tower 2 & 3) South Upper 360 Embarcadero Suites (Eastern Wing) Tangerang Middle 403
cushmanwakefield.com
The Veranda (Jimbaran) South Upper 172 Grand Pakubuwono Terrace South Middle 567
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©2021 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information
contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources b elieved
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presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy.

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