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  • A-CAT Corp Forecasting Paper - Final

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    The document contains monthly sales data for refrigerators from 2006 to 2010, as well as descriptive statistics such as means, medians, and standard deviations for the years 2007 to 2010. It also shows the results of a simple linear regression analysis predicting sales of refrigerators based on actual sales data, which results in a multiple R-squared value of 0.86, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted sales values.

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    A-CAT Corp Forecasting Paper_Final

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    The document contains monthly sales data for refrigerators from 2006 to 2010, as well as descriptive statistics such as means, medians, and standard deviations for the years 2007 to 2010. It also shows the results of a simple linear regression analysis predicting sales of refrigerators based on actual sales data, which results in a multiple R-squared value of 0.86, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted sales values.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    24 views11 pages

    A-CAT Corp Forecasting Paper - Final

    Uploaded by

    unveiledtopics
    The document contains monthly sales data for refrigerators from 2006 to 2010, as well as descriptive statistics such as means, medians, and standard deviations for the years 2007 to 2010. It also shows the results of a simple linear regression analysis predicting sales of refrigerators based on actual sales data, which results in a multiple R-squared value of 0.86, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted sales values.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 11

    Month 2006 2007 2008

    January 779 845 857


    Feb 802 739 881
    mar 818 871 937
    Apr 888 927 1159
    may 898 1133 1072
    June 902 1124 1246
    Jul 916 1056 1198
    Aug 708 889 922
    Sept 695 857 798
    Oct 708 772 879
    Nov 716 751 945
    Dec 784 820 990
    Sales of Refrigerators Transformer Requirements
    3832 2399
    5032 2688
    3947 2319
    3291 2208
    4007 2455
    5903 3184
    4274 2802
    3692 2343
    4826 2675
    6492 3477
    4765 2918
    4972 2814
    5411 2874
    7678 3774
    5774 3247
    6007 3107
    6290 2776
    8332 3571
    6107 3354
    6792 3513
    COMPLETE DATA SET FOR ANALYSIS
    ACTUAL FORECASTED (Simple Moving Average)
    Month 2006 2007 2008 2009
    January 779 845 857 827
    Feb 802 739 881 807
    mar 818 871 937 875
    Apr 888 927 1159 991
    may 898 1133 1072 1034
    June 902 1124 1246 1091
    Jul 916 1056 1198 1057
    Aug 708 889 922 840
    Sept 695 857 798 783
    Oct 708 772 879 786
    Nov 716 751 945 804
    Dec 784 820 990 865
    R ANALYSIS
    ASTED (Simple Moving Average)
    2010
    843
    809
    894
    1026
    1080
    1154
    1104
    884
    813
    812
    833
    892
    DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 2007-2010
    2007 2008 2009

    Mean 898.667 990.333 896.722


    Standard Error 39.529 41.950 32.835
    Median 864.000 941.000 852.167
    Mode - - -
    Standard Deviation 136.931 145.320 113.745
    Sample Variance 18750.061 21117.879 12937.896
    Kurtosis -0.609 -0.853 -1.214
    Skewness 0.772 0.650 0.738
    Range 394.000 448.000 307.333
    Minimum 739.000 798.000 783.333
    Maximum 1133.000 1246.000 1090.667
    Sum 10784.000 11884.000 10760.667
    Count 12.000 12.000 12.000
    Confidence Level (95.0%) 87.002 92.332 72.270
    10
    2010

    928.574
    36.480
    887.556
    -
    126.372
    15969.834
    -1.055
    0.791
    344.444
    809.111
    1153.556
    11142.889
    12.000
    80.293
    ONE SAMPLE T-TEST ( Based upon 2010 data)
    Count 12
    Mean 928.57
    Standard Deviation 126.37
    Standard Error 36.48

    Hypothetical Mean 1000


    Alpha 0.05
    Tails 1
    Df 11
    t stat -1.9579
    P value 3.80%
    T crit 2.2010
    Significance YES
    Anova: Single Factor

    SUMMARY
    Groups Count Sum Average Variance
    2006 12 9614 801.167 7020.515
    2007 12 10784 898.667 18750.061
    2008 12 11884 990.333 21117.879
    2009 12 10760.66667 896.722 12937.896
    2010 12 11142.88889 928.574 15969.834

    ANOVA
    Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value
    Between Groups 224511.8107 4 56127.953 3.703 0.010
    Within Groups 833758.0206 55 15159.237

    Total 1058269.831 59
    F crit
    2.540
    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 93%
    R Square 86%
    Adjusted R Square 85%
    Standard Error 179.47
    Observations 20

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F
    Regression 1 3485332.92 3485332.92 108.21
    Residual 18 579756.88 32208.72
    Total 19 4065089.80

    Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value


    Intercept 1233.499 167.475 7.365 0.000
    Sales of Refrigerators 0.315 0.030 10.402 0.000
    Significance F
    0%

    Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


    881.647 1585.352 881.647 1585.352
    0.251 0.379 0.251 0.379

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