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July 2020

HOMELESSNESS
Better HUD Oversight of Data Collection Could
Improve Estimates of Homeless Population
Highlights of GAO-20-433, a report to the
Chairwoman, Committee on Financial
Services, House of Representatives

Why GAO Did This Study What GAO Found


Policymakers have raised concerns Data collected through the Point-in-Time (PIT) count—a count of people
about the extent to which recent experiencing homelessness on a single night—have limitations for measuring
increases in homelessness are homelessness. The PIT count is conducted each January by Continuums of Care
associated with the availability of (CoC)—local homelessness planning bodies that apply for grants from the
affordable housing. Moreover, Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and coordinate
counting the homeless population is homelessness services. The 2019 PIT count estimated that nearly 568,000
a longstanding challenge. GAO was
people (0.2 percent of the U.S. population) were homeless, a decline from the
asked to review the current state of
2012 count of about 621,500 but a slight increase over the period’s low of about
homelessness in the United States.
This report examines (1) efforts to
550,000 in 2016. While HUD has taken steps to improve data quality, the data
measure homelessness and HUD’s likely underestimate the size of the homeless population because identifying
oversight of these efforts and (2) people experiencing homelessness is inherently difficult. Some CoCs’ total and
factors associated with recent unsheltered PIT counts have large year-over-year fluctuations, which raise
changes in homelessness. questions about data accuracy. GAO found that HUD does not closely examine
CoCs’ methodologies for collecting data to ensure they meet HUD’s standards.
GAO analyzed three HUD data HUD’s instructions to CoCs on probability sampling techniques to estimate
sources on homelessness and homelessness were incomplete. Some CoC representatives also said that the
developed an econometric model of assistance HUD provides on data collection does not always meet their needs.
the factors influencing changes in
By strengthening its oversight and guidance in these areas, HUD could further
homelessness. GAO also conducted
improve the quality of homelessness data.
structured interviews with 12
researchers and representatives of To understand factors associated with homelessness in recent years, GAO used
21 CoCs and four focus groups with PIT count data to conduct an econometric analysis, which found that rental prices
a total of 34 CoC representatives were associated with homelessness. To mitigate data limitations, GAO used data
responsible for collecting and from years with improved data quality and took other analytical steps to increase
maintaining homelessness data. confidence in the results. CoC representatives GAO interviewed also identified
CoCs were selected for interviews rental prices and other factors such as job loss as contributing to homelessness.
and focus groups to achieve
diversity in size and geography. Estimated Homelessness Rates and Household Median Rent in the 20 Largest Continuums of
GAO also visited three major cities Care (CoC), 2018
that experienced recent increases in
homelessness.

What GAO Recommends


GAO recommends that HUD (1)
conduct quality checks on CoCs’
data-collection methodologies, (2)
improve its instructions for using
probability sampling techniques to
estimate homelessness, and (3)
assess and enhance the assistance
it provides to CoCs on data
collection. HUD concurred with the
recommendations.

View GAO-20-433. For more information, Note: This map shows the 20 largest Point-in-Time counts by CoC in 2018. GAO estimated 2018
contact Alicia Puente Cackley at (202) 512- homelessness rates because the U.S. Census Bureau data used to calculate these rates were
8678 or cackleya@gao.gov. available up to 2018 at the time of analysis. GAO used 2017 median rents (in 2018 dollars) across all
unit sizes and types.
United States Government Accountability Office
November 2021

HOMELESSNESS
HUD Should Help Communities Better Leverage Data
to Estimate Homelessness
Highlights of GAO-22-104445, a report to the
Chair, Subcommittee on Housing, Community
Development and Insurance, House of
Representatives

Why GAO Did This Study What GAO Found


HUD’s PIT count is a key tool for The Point-in-Time (PIT) count is a nationwide count of people experiencing
estimating the size of the U.S. homelessness on a single night, conducted by Continuums of Care (CoC)—local
homeless population. However, planning bodies that coordinate homelessness services. The Department of
developing an accurate understanding Housing and Urban Development (HUD) allows CoCs to use different methods to
of the extent of homelessness is estimate homeless populations—including a census (complete count), sampling,
challenging due to the hidden nature of or a combination of these. For counting unsheltered individuals (those on the
the population. Further, some street or in other uninhabitable places), HUD requires CoCs to use in-person
members of Congress and others have methods—for example, by having enumerators visually locate and attempt to ask
raised questions about the reliability of
questions of these individuals on the night of the count. HUD permits CoCs to
HUD’s estimates.
also use administrative data—that is, records collected by public and nonprofit
GAO was asked to review the PIT agencies on people who use their services. However, HUD does not provide
count and alternative methods for CoCs with examples of how to extract and use administrative data for the
estimating the size of homeless unsheltered count. By doing so, HUD could help improve the quality and
populations. This report (1) examines consistency of CoCs’ estimates and position CoCs to provide better estimates,
communities’ approaches for counting particularly if in-person counts are again disrupted, as they were in 2021, during
people experiencing homelessness the COVID-19 pandemic.
and HUD’s guidance for using these
approaches, (2) describes approaches The U.S. PIT count is similar to Canada’s and England’s approaches in that they
used by selected foreign countries to are nationally administered and localities can choose among various approved
estimate their homeless populations, methods to conduct in-person local counts. The Netherlands and Australia use
and (3) describes what is known about more centralized methods and statistical analyses to develop estimates. For
funding sources and resources example, Australia produces an estimate using data from the general census of
expended by selected communities in the population.
conducing the PIT count.
Little comprehensive data exist on PIT count costs, but a GAO survey of 41
GAO conducted a literature review to CoCs provided information on funding sources and key resources required from
identify methods to estimate their most recent unsheltered PIT count prior to 2021:
homelessness and selected four
countries for case study based on a • Of the 41 CoCs, 31 used HUD funds, 19 used state or local funds, and 10 used
literature review and recommendations private donations (often in combination with government funds).
from researchers. GAO also surveyed
a nongeneralizable sample of 60 CoCs • All 41 CoCs reported using volunteers to complete their PIT counts, with large
and received responses from 41 of cities using the most volunteer hours.
them about PIT count costs and • Respondents reported an average of 4.8 work hours (paid staff and volunteers)
funding sources, reviewed agency
for every person counted in their PIT count of unsheltered individuals. The
guidance and documents, and
most common PIT count costs were for incentives for volunteers and meals.
interviewed U.S. and foreign
government officials. Examples of Homeless Encampments in Oakland, California, in 2021

What GAO Recommends


GAO recommends that HUD provide
CoCs additional information about how
they can use administrative data to
improve the accuracy of their
unsheltered PIT count. HUD agreed
with our recommendation.

View GAO-22-104445. For more information,


contact Alicia Puente Cackley at (202) 512-
8678 or cackleya@gao.gov.
United States Government Accountability Office

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