Factors Influencing Reinsurance Demand in India

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Issue Focus

Factors influencing the Reinsurance


demand in India: A study
P Kalyani Prof. S Sreenivasa
Research Scholar, Department of Murthy
Management, Osmania University, Dean and Chairman -
Hyderabad Placements
Institute of Public Enterprise,
ICSSR Research Fellow at Institute
Hyderabad
of Public Enterprise (IPE),
Hyderabad

Introduction: “Reinsurance demand” by 700,000 million by 2022.


In the current competitive non-life insurance companies (Alice Vaidyan (2018)) 1 .
insurance scenario, the in India. Further the reinsurers in
successful survival of an Current Scenario of India have a domestic
insurance company depends Reinsurance industry in
not only on adequate pricing
of its products to cover costs
India: •-----•
Current Scenario of
The Indian reinsurance
but also on capital market is witnessing dynamic Reinsurance industry in
management and risk changes with the India:
management. Reinsurance is liberalisation of reinsurance The Indian reinsurance
one such valuable and regulations. The Regulator market is witnessing
multifaceted product which seems to have followed the dynamic changes with the
on one hand helps an “domesticating Reinsurance” liberalisation of reinsurance
insurance company to model to arrest capital flight regulations. The Regulator
effectively hedge against its and to mitigate other risks. seems to have followed the
business risks and on the Establishment of Foreign “ d o m e s t i c a t i n g
other hand enhances its Reinsurance Branches (FRBs) Reinsurance” model to
capital position. The and the setting up of IIOs in arrest capital flight and to
“reinsurance demand” by an GIFT IFSC Gujarat is a new mitigate other risks.
insurance company is paradigm which will play a Establishment of Foreign
primarily motivated by its crucial role in making India a Reinsurance Branches
risk bearing ability. As the global reinsurance hub. GIC (FRBs) and the setting up of
risk bearing ability of different Re is the National Reinsurer IIOs in GIFT IFSC Gujarat
insurance companies depends of India and has enjoyed is a new paradigm which will
on its firm specific monopoly in the Indian play a crucial role in making
IRDAI Journal March 2019

characteristics, the Reinsurance Market till the India a global reinsurance


“Reinsurance demand” by year 2016. hub. GIC Re is the National
these companies should also The reinsurance market in Reinsurer of India and has
vary according to these India is currently worth enjoyed monopoly in the
characteristics. Therefore, in around INR 300,000 million Indian Reinsurance Market
this study an attempt was (US$ 47 billion) annually and till the year 2016.
made to identify the firm
specific factors influencing the
is estimated to grow to INR • ----•
w
Alice Vaidyan (2018). Alice G Vaidyan CMD GIC Re, ‘Insights - India Rendezvous Update’, Asia Insurance
1

Review, March 2018.


12 Reinsurance
customer base of 58 Public Sector and 17 from the Assets (ROA), Liquidity (LIQ)
Insurance companies Private Sector) are selected were taken as Independent
comprising of 24 Life for the study, excluding variables and Reinsurance
insurance companies (1 in specialised insurers ECGC Demand is taken as
Public Sector + 23 in Private and AIC, Seven standalone Dependent Variable. The
Sector) and 34 Non-Life health insurance companies choice of Independent
insurance companies (6 in the and the private General variables is based on
Public Sector + 28 in Private insurance companies which relevance to the Indian
Sector)2. have not completed at least insurance scenario and also
Review of Literature and two years of operation. availability of data. Panel
Research Questions: Initially the sample consisted data regression analysis has
Various studies related to of One Ninety Nine been chosen to study the
determinants of reinsurance observations, but due to the impact of independent
demand have been reviewed rolling method used in variables on Dependent
and it was found that though measuring Earnings volatility, variable as the sample
considerable research has Twenty observations related consists of both cross sectional
been devoted to to last year of Twenty and time series data. The
determinants of reinsurance companies and 9 observations panel data set is unbalanced
demand, the studies have related to first year of nine as all the sample companies
been mostly confined to companies which have started were not in operation from
developed insurance markets. their operations after the FY2006-07 and data for
Little attention has been paid year 2006-07 are lost. The some companies in some
to the demand analysis of final sample used for panel years was missing. Stata 14.0
reinsurance in emerging data regression consists of software was used to run the
markets. Secondly, it was One Seventy observations panel data regression and
observed that there is no pertaining to these Twenty obtain the results.
study focussing on One companies over a period Regression Model:
reinsurance demand using of eleven years from 2006-07 The panel data regression
Indian data. In this context a to 2016-17. The sample of model developed for this
question arises that will the companies is representative study is as follows:
determinants of reinsurance of the non-life insurance
sector in India since the RD it = α i + β 1 FS it + β 2 IP it +
demand be the same in India?
and if so, will the direction and market share of gross written β 3 UR it + β 4 EV it + β 5 LTB it +
the impact of determinants be premiums of these companies β6PGit + β7ROAit + β8LIQit+uit
the same as found in earlier was more than 90% from
studies? FY2006-07 to FY2015-16
and 89% in FY2016-17. The In the above equation,
Objective of the Study: data for the sample is Reinsurance demand is
The objective of the current collected from Public expressed as sum of intercept
study is to identify the factors disclosures and Annual (αi), Product of Independent
that influence the reports of the insurance variables and their respective
coefficients (β1, …., β8) and the
IRDAI Journal March 2019

Reinsurance Demand in India. companies. A set of eight firm


Research Methodology: specific factors related to error term (u it ). The
The focus of the study is on General insurance companies coefficient of an independent
in India i.e., Firm Size (FS), variable measures the change
the Reinsurance demand of
Investment Performance in dependent variable for a
Non-life insurance sector in
(IP), Underwriting Risk (UR), unit change in independent
India. Out of the 34 Non-life
Earnings Volatility (EV), Long variables. i and t denote
Insurance companies different companies and years
tail Business (LTB), Premium
currently operating in India, of the sample.
Growth (PG), Return on
21 companies (4 from the
2
IRDA Website www.irda.gov.in
Reinsurance 13
Measurement of Variables:
Table 1 explains how the Dependent and Independent variables considered for the regression
model are measured.

Table 1 –MEASUREMENT OF VARIABLES


Variable Measured Through
Reinsurance Demand (RD) Premium on Reinsurance Ceded / Gross Written
Premium
Firm Size (FS) Natural Logarithm of Total Assets
Investment Performance (IP) (Net Income from Investments / Total Investment)
X 100
Underwriting Risk (UR) Net Claims Incurred / Net Premiums Earned
Earnings Volatility (EV) Natural Logarithm of Standard deviation of Profit
After Tax for three years on a rolling basis during
the sample period
Long Tail Business (LTB) Technical Reserves / Net Premium
Premium Growth (PG) (Net Premiums Earned in Current year – Net
Premiums Earned in Previous year) / Net
Premiums Earned in Previous year
Return on Assets (ROA) Profit After Tax / Total Assets
Liquidity (LIQ) Liquid Assets / Liabilities
Source: Compiled by Authors’ based on earlier studies

Factors influencing the Descriptive Statistics which shows that the average
Reinsurance demand in related to Reinsurance reinsurance ceded by the
India - Data Analysis, Demand and Firm non-life insurance companies
Results and Discussion: specific factors: across the panel data set was
The data analysis, results and Table 2 presents the 32% of the gross written
discussion related to factors descriptive statistics for the premium. The standard
influencing reinsurance dependent and independent deviation of the dependent
demand in India is presented variables used in the study. variable RD is 0.22.
below: The mean value of RD is 0.32

Table 2–DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS


Variable N0. of Obs. Mean Standard deviation Min Max
RD 199 0.32 0.22 0.06 2.46
FS 199 7.91 1.61 4.55 11.14
IRDAI Journal March 2019

IP 199 10.15 3.50 5.61 24.66


UR 199 0.81 0.65 -2.23 8.75
EV 170 3.83 1.41 0.54 7.14
LTB 199 0.98 6.46 -89.35 4.23
PG 190 2.02 15.59 -31.09 173.61
ROA 199 -1.83 9.77 -41.28 22.14
LIQ 199 -0.02 11.33 -156.68 20.92
Source: Authors’ own compilation based on results obtained through Stata 14.0

14 Reinsurance
Pair wise Correlations of the independent variables. A show that none of the
Reinsurance Demand & pairwise correlation of more pairwise correlation
Independent Variables than 0.8 and VIF value above coefficients exceed 0.8 and
and VIF Values: 10 indicates the presence of largest VIF value is 4.39,
The pairwise correlation severe multicollinearity which indicates that there is
coefficients and VIF values between the Independent no serious problem of
are mainly calculated to check variables (Gujarati (2004))3. multicollinearity.
the multicollinearity between The results (see Table 3)

TABLE 3 - PAIR WISE CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS


RD FS IP UR EV LTB PG ROA LIQ VIF
Values
RD 1 -
FS -0.37 1 3.75
IP -0.22 0.43 1 1.40
UR -0.18 0.05 0.19 1 4.11
EV -0.28 0.77 0.39 0.41 1 2.75
LTB -0.25 0.15 0.08 0.21 0.12 1 4.39
PG 0.01 -0.18 0.10 0.12 -0.06 0.00 1 1.21
ROA -0.10 0.44 -0.03 -0.24 0.18 0.04 -0.37 1 1.94
LIQ -0.37 0.04 0.01 0.01 -0.26 -0.12 -0.02 0.07 1 3.40
Source: Authors’ own compilation based on results obtained through Stata 14.0

Selection of optimum diagnostic tests indicated that indicates that 67.9% of the
Panel Data Regression fixed effects model is variation in the reinsurance
Model for Reinsurance appropriate. Hence the demand is explained by the
Demand: results of fixed effects model eight independent variables
Simple pooled OLS are presented and discussed used in the model. More over
regression, fixed effects below. the significant p value of the
model and random effects Results of Fixed Effects model (Prob >F =0.00) shows
model are the different panel Model: that model is fitted well and
data regression models The results of the fixed effects the coefficients of
generally used. The results model shows that the “r independent variables are not
related to the different squared value” is 0.679 which equal to 0.

Table 4 – RESULTS OF THE FIXED EFFECTS MODEL AND ACCEPTANCE/


REJECTION OF NULL HYPOTHESIS
RD Null Hypothesis Coefficient Standard t- P>|t| Acceptance/
IRDAI Journal March 2019

Error Statistic Rejection


of Null
Hypothesis
FS FS of an insurance Company -0.1144 0.0105 -10.9 0.000 Rejected
has no influence on its RD
IP IP of an insurance Company -0.0017 0.0033 -0.53 0.600 Accepted
has no influence on its RD
3
Gujarati (2004). Damodar N. Gujarati, ‘Basic Econometrics’, 4 th edition, 2004, The Mc-Graw hill Companies.

Reinsurance 15
UR UR of an insurance Company 0.1499 0.0586 2.56 0.012 Rejected
has no influence on its RD
EV EV of an insurance Company 0.0033 0.0062 0.55 0.583 Accepted
has no influence on its RD
LTB LTB of an insurance Company -0.0094 0.0021 -4.38 0.000 Rejected
has no influence on its RD
PG PG of an insurance Company -0.0001 0.0003 -0.18 0.855 Accepted
has no influence on its RD
ROA ROA of an insurance Company 0.0029 0.0009 3.39 0.001 Rejected
has no influence on its RD
LIQ LIQ of an insurance Company 0.0025 0.0096 0.26 0.793 Accepted
has no influence on its RD
CONST. - 1.0993 0.0787 13.97 0.000 -
Number of Observations: 170
Number of Groups:21
R Squared Value: 0.679
Prob > F = 0.000
Source: Authors’ own compilation based on results obtained through Stata 14.0

Important Findings: positively related to the positive and significant


1. Out of the eight Reinsurance demand. results of Return on assets in
independent variables used in Therefore we can conclude this study, the results of
the study it is found that four that as the underwriting risk Adams, Hardwick and Zou
variables namely Firm size, and return on assets of an (2008)6 exhibited a negative
Underwriting risk, Long tail insurance company and significant relationship
business and Return on increases its reinsurance with Reinsurance demand. As
assets of an insurance demand also increases. against a significant
company are significantly 3. On the other hand the relationship of Investment
influencing its Reinsurance remaining four variables performance and Liquidity
demand. namely Investment with Reinsurance demand in
2. Further it is found that out performance, Earnings Lee and Lee (2012), an
of the statistically significant volatility, Premium growth insignificant relation is found
variables, Firm size and Long and Liquidity of an insurance between these variables and
tail business are negatively company do not show Reinsurance demand in this
related to reinsurance statistically significant study. The insignificant
demand and hence it is influence on Reinsurance influence of Earnings
concluded that as the firm demand of an insurance Volatility and Premium
IRDAI Journal March 2019

size and long tail business company. Growth on reinsurance


proportion of an insurance 4. The findings related to demand of an insurance
company increases its Firm size, Long tail business company is consistent with
reinsurance demand and Underwriting risk are the findings of Adams,
decreases. It is also found consistent with the findings of Hardwick and Zou (2008) and
that Underwriting risk and Altuntas, Garven and Rauch Altuntas, Garven and Rauch
Return on assets of an (2013) 4 and Lee and Lee (2013).
insurance company are (2012)5 whereas as against

16 Reinsurance
Conclusion: to dependent and demand in the Indian context.
Using unbalanced panel data independent variables of It is suggested that the future
set consisting of One Seventy different companies across research in this area can
observations pertaining to the sample period and there include macro-economic
Twenty One General is a possibility that the factors variables and study their
Insurance Companies in India influencing reinsurance impact on reinsurance
for a period of eleven years demand may vary across demand using the Indian
from 2006-07 to 2016-17, different lines of insurance data.
the current study empirically business. However, in spite of
identified the firm specific this limitation, this study Views expressed in this
factors of an insurance provides some new insights to paper are author’s
company that influences its managers of insurance personal only and not of
reinsurance demand. The companies in understanding the affiliating
study is limited to availability the firm specific factors organisations
of only aggregate data related influencing the reinsurance

4
Altuntas, Garven and Rauch (2013). Muhammed Altuntas, Garven and Rauch,‘On The Corporate Demand
for Risk Management: Evidence from the global Reinsurance Market’ Journal of Risk and Insurance. June 2013
76(1), pp.197-219

5
Lee and Lee (2012). Hsu-Hua Lee and Chen-Ying Lee, ‘An Analysis of Reinsurance and Firm Performance:
Evidence from the Taiwan Property-Liability Insurance Industry’, the Geneva Papers, 2012, 37, (467–484)

6
Adams, Hardwick and Zou (2008). Mike Adams, Philip Hardwick and Hong Zou, ‘Reinsurance and Corporate
Taxation in the united kingdom life insurance industry’Journal of Banking and Finance 32 (2008) 101-115

IRDAI Journal March 2019

Reinsurance 17

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