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ECN224 Exe 5
ECN224 Exe 5
ECN224 Exe 5
ECN224 ECONOMETRICS 1
Exercise set 5 Week 6
1. The researcher estimates the following polynomial regressions relating av-
erage district income (Inc) to test scores (T estScore),
d
T estScore = 625:4 + 1:88 Inc; R2 = 0:506;
(1:9) (0:11)
d
T estScore = 607:3 + 3:85 Inc 0:042 Inc2 ; R2 = 0:554;
(2:9) (0:11) (0:0048)
d
T estScore = 600:1 + 5:02 Inc 0:096Inc2 + 0:00068Inc3 ;
(5:1) (0:71) (0:029) (0:00035)
R2 = 0:555;
d
T estScore = 577:3 + 9:88 Inc 0:43 Inc2 + 0:0098Inc3
(10:5) (2:09) (0:14) (0:0035)
0:000082Inc4 ; R2 = 0:559;
(0:000031)
2. Sales in a company are £ 196 million in 2003 and increase to £ 198 million
in 2004.
(a) Compute the percentage increase in sales using the usual formula
100 Sales2004 Sales2003
Sales2003
. Compare this value to the approximation
100 (ln (Sales2004 ) ln (Sales2003 )).
(b) Repeat part (a) assuming Sales2004 = 205; Sales2004 = 250;
Sales2004 = 500.
(c) How good is the approximation when the change is small? Does the
quality of the approximation deteriorate as the percentage change
increases?
1
3. Suppose that a researcher collects data on houses that have sold in a
particular neighbourhood over the past year and obtains the regression
results in the table shown overleaf.
(a) Using the results in column (1), what is the expected change in
price of building a 500-square-foot addition to a house? Construct
a 95% con…dence interval for the percentage change in price.
(b) Comparing columns (1) and (2), is it better to use Size or ln (Size)
to explain house prices?
(c) Using column (2), what is the estimated e¤ect of pool on price?
(Make sure you get the units right.) Construct a 95% con…dence
interval for this e¤ect.
(d) The regression in column (3) adds the number of bedrooms to
the regression. How large is the estimated e¤ect of an additional
bedroom? Is the e¤ect statistically signi…cant? Why do you think
the estimated e¤ect is so small? (Hint: What other variables are
being held constant?)
(e) Is the quadratic term ln (Size)2 important?
2
Dependent variable: ln (P rice)
Summary Statistics
SER 0.102 0.098 0.099 0.099
R2 0.72 0.74 0.73 0.73
Variable de…nitions: P rice = sale price (£ ’s); Size = house size (in square
feet); Bedrooms = number of bedrooms; P ool = binary variable (1 if house
has a swimming pool, 0 if not); V iew = binary variable (1 if house has a nice
view, 0 if not); Condition = binary variable (1 if realtor reports house is in
excellent condition, 0 if not).
3
A detailed description is given in CollegeDistance_Description.pdf
…le also available on QMplus.