Project II – Probability

The following data describes the number of times an airline is late due to weather.

Let n = 17

Airline Number of Times Late Due to Weather

Hawaiian Airlines Inc. 20

Frontier Airlines Inc. 39

ExpressJet Airlines LLC 59

Spirit Air Lines 114

Alaska Airlines Inc. 117

JetBlue Airways 121

PSA Airlines Inc. 145

Allegiant Air 185

Southwest Airlines Co. 189

Endeavor Air Inc. 195

Republic Airline 201

Mesa Airlines Inc. 227

United Air Lines Inc. 339

American Airlines Inc. 391

Envoy Air 458

Delta Air Lines Inc. 570

SkyWest Airlines Inc. 1454

 4824

Total

Using relative frequency probability, calculate the probability that a randomly selected airline

will be late due to weather. Show the fraction and the percent.

1. less than 60 times.

Number of ×x can occur

P ( x< 60 )=
Total

20+39+59 118
¿ =
4824 4824

59
¿ ,∨2.45 %
2412

2. more than 400 times.

Number of ×x can occur

P ( x> 400 ) =
Total

458+570+1454 2482
¿ =
4824 4824

1241
¿ ,∨51.45 %
2412

3. More than 1000 times

Number of ×x can occur

P ( x> 1000 )=
Total

1454 727
¿ =
4824 2412

727
¿ ,∨30.14 %
2412
 4. between 100 and 200 times.

Number of ×x can occur

P ( 100< x <400 )=
Total

114+ 117+121+145+185+ 189+195 1066

¿ =
4824 4824

533
¿ ,∨22.0978 %
2412

Airline Number of Time Late Due to Staffing

ExpressJet Airlines LLC 641

Hawaiian Airlines Inc. 739

Allegiant Air 838

Frontier Airlines Inc. 1110

Spirit Air Lines 1186

Alaska Airlines Inc. 1575

Endeavor Air Inc. 1621

Envoy Air 1648

Republic Airline 1845

PSA Airlines Inc. 1881

Mesa Airlines Inc. 1923

United Air Lines Inc. 3292

JetBlue Airways 3587

 Delta Air Lines Inc. 5985

American Airlines Inc. 6204

SkyWest Airlines Inc. 8228

Southwest Airlines Co. 11403

Using relative frequency probability, calculate the probability that a randomly selected airline

will be late due to staffing. Show the fraction and the percent.

5. less than 1000 times.

Number of ×x can occur

P ( x< 1000 )=
Total

641+ 739+838 2218

¿ =
53706 53706

1109
¿ ,∨4.1299 %
26853

6. more than 1500 times.

Number of ×x can occur

P ( x> 1500 )=
Total

49192
¿
53706

24596
¿ ,∨91.5950 %
26853

7. More than 3000 times

 Number of ×x can occur
P ( x> 3000 )=
Total

38699
¿
53706

38699
¿ ,∨72.0571 %
53706

8. between 1000 and 2000 times.

Number of ×x can occur

P ( 1000< x <2000 )=
Total

12789
¿
53706

12789
¿ ,∨23.8130 %
53706

9. The total number of times an airline was delayed due to weather is 4,824. The total

number of times an airline was delayed due to staffing is 53,706. Calculate

4824 2412
P(an airline is late due to Weather) = = =8.2419 %
4824+ 53706 29265

53706 26853
P(an airline is late due to Staffing) = = =91.7581 %
4824+ 53706 29265
 10. Analysis: Using your calculations, write an analysis for airlines who are delayed due to

carrier delay or weather delay. Is an airline more likely to be delayed due to staffing or

weather? Explain your answer using numerical descriptions and complete sentences

using the vocabulary of statistics to explain your answer.

From the calculations, it is clear from the total number of times an airline delay can be

caused by bad weather or staffing. From the frequency totals, the number of outcomes, and

more important, the probabilities of numerous conditions. It is evident enough that staffing is

more likely to cause an airline delay than bad weather. There is an extremely high probability

of 91.7581% for an airline delay to be caused by staffing issue, while just8.2419% of the delay

and late times for the airline are a result of bad weather.

Binomial Probability:

The probability that Southwest Airlines will be delayed due to staffing is p = 0.21.

Let p = probability Southwest Airlines will be delayed due to staffing

q=1–p

n=5
Using the binomial distribution calculator,

https://homepage.divms.uiowa.edu/~mbognar/applets/bin.html

Calculate the following probabilities

11. The probability that out of 5 flights Southwest Airlines will have no delays due to

staffing

P ( x=0 ) =0.308

12. The probability that out of 5 flights Southwest Airlines will have 1 delay due to staffing.

P ( x=1 )=0.409

13. The probability that out of 5 flights Southwest Airlines all 5 flights will be delayed due to

staffing.

P ( x=5 )=0.000

14. The probability that out of 5 flights Southwest Airlines will have between 2 and 3 flights

delayed due to staffing.

P ( 2< x< 3 )=P ( x ≤ 3 )−P ( x ≥2 )=0.992−0.283=0.709

15. Insert a screenshot of the probability distribution for the delays for 5 flights for

Southwest Airlines.

16. From the graph, how many delayed flights out of 5 have the greatest probability of

occurring?

Delayed flights witha high chance of occuring=1

P ( x=1 )=0.409

¿ 40.9 %

17. Calculate the mean and standard deviation for staffing delays for Southwest Airlines.
 μ=np μ=5(0.21)

μ=1.05

Mean , μ=1.05

Standard deviation , σ=√ npq

σ =√ 5(0.21)(0.79)

σ =1.11