R version 4.1.

2 (2021-11-01) -- "Bird Hippie"

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Platform: aarch64-apple-darwin20 (64-bit)

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[R.app GUI 1.77 (8007) aarch64-apple-darwin20]

[Workspace restored from /Users/rajeshsinha/.RData]

[History restored from /Users/rajeshsinha/.Rapp.history]

> MH <- read.csv("/Users/rajeshsinha/Library/Mobile Documents/com~apple~CloudDocs/Marriott Hamilton csv.csv",

header = TRUE)
>
> head(MH)
CODE WEEK DOW.INDICATOR1 DEMAND TUESDAY.BOOKINGS PICKUP.RATIO DOW.INDEX
1 1 1 1 1470 1512 0.9722222 0.8647725
2 1 1 2 870 864 1.0069444 0.9105852
3 1 1 3 986 827 1.1922612 0.9728832
4 1 1 4 1247 952 1.3098740 1.0125249
5 1 1 5 1109 740 1.4986486 1.0678813
6 1 1 6 1197 908 1.3182819 1.1227265
>
> MH$Adjusted_Pickup <- MH[,6]/MH[,7]
>
> head(MH)
CODE WEEK DOW.INDICATOR1 DEMAND TUESDAY.BOOKINGS PICKUP.RATIO DOW.INDEX Adjusted_Pickup
1 1 1 1 1470 1512 0.9722222 0.8647725 1.124252
2 1 1 2 870 864 1.0069444 0.9105852 1.105821
3 1 1 3 986 827 1.1922612 0.9728832 1.225493
4 1 1 4 1247 952 1.3098740 1.0125249 1.293671
5 1 1 5 1109 740 1.4986486 1.0678813 1.403385
6 1 1 6 1197 908 1.3182819 1.1227265 1.174179
>
> plot(MH[,8], type = "l")
> lines(MH[,6], lty = 2, col = "red")
>
>
> MHD <- MH[,8]
> DD <- MH[,4]
> MHDts <- ts(MHD, frequency = 7, start = c(1,1), end = c(11,7))
> DDt <- ts(DD, frequency = 7, start = c(1,1), end = c(13,3))
>
> MHDtsDC <- decompose(MHDts)
> plot(MHDtsDC)
>
> DHW <- HoltWinters(MHDts)
> plot(DHW)
>
> DHW.pred <- predict(DHW, 10, prediction.interval = TRUE, level=0.95)
>
> # convert back to unadjusted pick-up ratio = adjusted pickup * DOWI
>
> Reverse <- DHW.pred[,1]*MH[c(78:87),7]
> ReverseUP <- DHW.pred[,2]*MH[c(78:87),7]
> ReverseLR <- DHW.pred[,3]*MH[c(78:87),7]
>
> # Calculating demand
>
> DemandP <- Reverse * MH[c(78:87),5]
> DemandPUP <- ReverseUP * MH[c(78:87),5]
> DemandPLR <- ReverseLR * MH[c(78:87),5]
>
>
> plot(DDt, xlim = c(12,14), type = "l")
>
> lines(DemandP, col="blue")
> lines(DemandPUP, lty=2, col="orange")
> lines(DemandPLR, lty=2, col="orange")
>