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An analysis of factors affecting access to credit in the economy, the sector is underperforming.

the smallholder agricultural sector in T/A Smallholders' inability to transition from traditional
Mpinganjira – Mangochi district. to more technologically and scientifically oriented
Abstract agriculture may be the main cause of this
The underperformance of Malawi's agricultural performance. One of the challenges preventing them
sector, particularly in the T/A Mpinganjira – from progressing is getting funding. Although there
Mangochi area, can be attributed mostly to are various definitions for "access to credit,"
smallholders' resistance to transitioning from (Manganhele, 2010) term will be used for the sake of
traditional agriculture to a more scientific and this study. Therefore, conditions that allow
technology-driven approach. Access to financial smallholders to obtain the finest inputs—like
services, particularly finance, is one of the obstacles machinery, fertilizer, improved seed cultivars or
preventing smallholders from rising to the occasion. genetics, and so forth—under certain funding
Using a logistic regression model inside the principle sources are regarded as being under the category of
component regression framework, the aim of this credit access. Experiences in many developing
study was to investigate the factors that might affect countries suggest that financial availability may
smallholders' capacity to obtain financing. The hasten the adoption of new technologies
results demonstrated the influence of various factors (Manganhele, 2010). Therefore, the goal of this
on smallholders' access to financing and their study is to look at the factors, specifically in T/A
capacity to transition to a more scientific and Mpinganjira - Mangochi, that influence
technologically oriented agriculture sector. These smallholders' ability to get credit in Malawi.
factors included the amount of income from both
farms and non-farm sources, pensions and The agricultural sector's contribution to Malawi's
remittances, farm size, availability of family labor, GDP has declined, from 25% in the 1980s to less
land ownership, savings, and repayment capacity. than 10% in recent years (Central Bank of Malawi,
The results offer vital direction for the institutional 2012). The livestock sector makes up the remaining
setup needed to improve credit availability in 30% of the agricultural GDP, with producers of dry-
Malawi. land crops making up 70% of it. The inefficient
KEYWORDS: Agricultural credit accessibility, agricultural production system is characterized by
Small-holders, Logistic regression model low-input, low-output conventional farming
1. Introduction practices. Livestock continues to be essential in
A sizable portion of the population depends on supplying draught power for cultivation and soil
agriculture for their livelihoods, making it Malawi's preparation, despite modern agricultural processes
most significant economic contributor. Furthermore, and machinery being antiquated. Likewise, using
one of the main drivers of the nation's economic family labor and locally produced inputs are standard
growth is agriculture. Although it is the mainstay of practices. In addition to draught power, livestock are
essential for smallholders to maintain food security. finance. In contrast, despite their small size,
Most crops and cattle are farmed in small, remote Malawi's existing microcredit platforms are limited
rural villages with limited market access. Although in scope, and operational inequalities also affect their
subsistence farming makes up the bulk of contribution. For instance, there are considerable
smallholders in Malawi, farmland ownership is a differences amongst microfinance programs in the
common form of land tenure in the nation. This could lending terms, program scope, target audiences, and
be explained by the fact that farmers are unlikely— interest rates.
though not impossible—to find themselves growing Government intervention characterizes Malawi's
on rented or shared property in Malawi because land official banking sector, as it does in many other
is inherited there. developing countries. These interventions are
The aforementioned makes it quite evident that justified by the market's incapacity to offer rural
smallholder agriculture in Malawi is traditional. As residents the financial services necessary to finance
previously mentioned, loan availability is one of the their development initiatives. The Malawi
factors preventing their efficacy or ability to go from Agricultural Development Program Support Project
a traditional to a more scientific and technologically was founded with the intention of emerging as the
advanced system. Not all Malawian smallholders are leading rural savings and credit center for
having trouble getting finance. Kuhn et al. agriculture. This was one of the government's earlier
(Citation2000) claim that the inability of less initiatives to improve rural finance in order to
developed countries to secure loans is a hindrance to achieve the higher production goals of the country.
their agricultural development. The authors A block farming initiative known as Mega farms was
continued by stating that the supply of financial also launched by the Malawian government under
services to smallholders has, for the most part, the auspices of group lending. Small land parcels
remained stagnant and, in certain developing nations, owned by different farmers are consolidated into
has decreased due to the risks associated with doing larger, more productive, and financially sustainable
business with smallholders, except government blocks under this initiative. The government
initiatives to guarantee smallholders' access to credit. guarantees 100% of the money that commercial
Similar conditions are present in Malawi, where the banks lend to block farmers and provides a 30%
availability of financial services has decreased over subsidy in return. Along with the recent easing of
time. A strong informal sector, a formal banking collateral limitations and the implementation of
sector, and the absence of a sizable microfinance close-to-market interest rates, project assessments
industry set Malawi's financial system apart. have become even more important. Most of these
Although Malawi has a strong informal financial initiatives, strategies, and operational procedures
sector, it is full of ambiguities, which makes it center on the interests of borrowers (Spio, 2002).
difficult to determine the extent and role that this These approaches (policies), however, invariably
sector plays in terms of providing rural agricultural resulted in distortions in the financial markets and
reduced the number of financial products and makers need to understand the factors that influence
services to which smallholders have access. Many smallholders’ access to credit. In other words, the
factors contribute to the distortions and decline in the focus of this study will be to determine the factors
amount of financial products and services available, that influence access to credit and not to develop an
such as the following: fully-fledged commercial institutional framework for credit delivery in
banks are subsidiaries of foreign banks, and their Malawi.
main line of business is providing financial services
to businesses in Malawi and neighbouring countries; The following section provides a literature review of
the lack of a strong repayment culture among the the theoretical framework followed by the
locals; and a large number of individuals and methodological approach, results and, finally,
organizations borrow money from parasternal credit conclusions and recommendations.
institutions without having to repay their loans. In
addition to a lack of local infrastructure—credit 2. Literature review
bureaus, identity cards for all citizens, and quick Recent economic theory and empirical research
execution of court decisions against debtors—there indicate that the credit markets in developing
is a deficiency in a functional commercial court that countries are inefficient due to several market
can handle swift proceedings and enforce judgments imperfections (Bell et al., 1997). Examples of these
against debtors (Finmark Trust, 2003). flaws cited by Foltz (2004) and Carter (1989) include
Furthermore, the main source of legal agricultural monopoly power, higher transaction costs, interest
financing used to be the MADB, which collapsed a rate ceilings, and moral hazard problems. Several of
while ago. Maili (Citation 2003) claims that the these defects often combine to prevent farmers from
domestic economy's productivity was significantly being able to enter the credit market.
impacted by the MADPSP's liquidation. The
establishment of a suitable institutional framework is While similar studies have been conducted in other
crucial for managing the provision of financial countries throughout the world, no previous research
services to small-scale farmers, considering the void has attempted to determine whether agricultural
created by the closure of the MADPSP and other production in Malawi, more especially in Mangochi,
institutional shortcomings mentioned. As previously and loan availability are related. Foltz (2004), for
said, the lack of access to financial services, instance, looked into the connection between
particularly finance, for farmers is hurting the incomes and agricultural investment in Tunisia.
country's economy. Moreover, it is believed that Using secondary data, econometric estimates in the
accessibility to credit can help reduce poverty and form of a switching regression model framework
food insecurities by increasing rural incomes through were employed to determine the impact of access to
improved agricultural production. Before an credit on profitability and investment levels in the
institutional framework can be developed, decision- agricultural sector. Similarly, Nuryartono et al.
(2005) used both a probit model and a switching each of these variables, however, differs between the
regression model to investigate the impact that different countries and regions. As a result, this will
access to financial services and credit constraints will act as the starting point for the empirical analysis in
have on the level of agricultural production in a rural this study. It should be noted that while these criteria
region of Indonesia. In a 2002 study, Spio also are closely linked to the research issue of this
evaluated the ease of loan acquisition for particular study, other studies focus on credit access
smallholders in the Northern Province of South and associated challenges.
Africa using a logistic regression model and the
impact of credit on agricultural output using a Moreover, regression model frameworks are the
switching regression model framework. Mokoena et most common analytical approach used to determine
al. (1997) used a probit model to examine the factors the relationship between a dependent variable (credit
affecting the loan availability for female farmers in availability) and independent factors (capital
South Africa. Similar to this, Eze et al. (2009) formation, human capital, etc.), as the previously
investigated the loan availability for women in cited literature makes evident.
southeast Nigeria from specific commercial banks
using a logistic regression model. 3. Methodology and data
3.1 Data used
Additionally, studies by Mohamed (Citation2003), The inquiry made use of primary data. The
Subbotin (2005), and Kohansal & Mansoori (2009) information was obtained through a household
investigated factors influencing smallholder survey that was conducted in the first quarter of
fishermen's credit access in Zanzibar, corporate farm 2022. The survey included a large number of
credit access in Russia, and farmers' repayment questions, with the main objectives being to collect
behavior in Khorasan-Razavi Province of Iran. All of demographic information and the secondary
these studies used logistic regression models. objectives being to collect financial and on-farm data
that might have an impact on smallholders' capacity
In all of the studies mentioned above, the explanatory to obtain financing. Interviews in person were one
variables include human capital (education levels, method of completing the questionnaire. A portion of
age, or experience), capital formation (land smallholders were approached in advance, either
ownership or tenure security, farm size, average directly or through the area extension officer, to
yield, machinery, other household assets, non-farm boost their willingness to take part.
income, remittance, pension, and savings),
socioeconomic variables (gender, availability of A simple random sampling technique was employed,
family labor), and the credit history of applicants which covered 10 villages, representing
(prior loans, default history, knowledge of credit approximately 30% of the total number of villages in
facilities). The significance or influence, if any, of T/A Mpinganjira – in Mangochi in the eastern region
of Malawi. Using stratified random sampling, variable is qualitative. This statement is supported by
borrowers and non-borrowers were selected for the the theory of normal probability distribution
study. Based on the desired ecological zones, all (Montshwe, 2006). For the same reason, it is
farmers were divided into mutually exclusive strata. improper to use a tobit analysis to examine the
Units were then selected at random from each factors limiting small-scale farmers from obtaining
stratum. Random sampling was utilized within each loans (Spio, 2002).
stratum because it often lowers sampling error,
improving the representativeness of the sample The logistic regression modeling framework is
(Babbie, 2001). A total of one hundred farmers were broader than the previously mentioned framework
interviewed (refer to Table 1). when the independent variable is not limited to a
single independent variable or a categorical
Table 1: Distribution of borrowers and non- dependent variable (Montshwe, 2006). The logistic
borrowers (n = 100) regression model was determined to be the most
T/A MPINGANJIRA Borrowers Non- effective
Totalmodeling framework as a consequence.
borrowers The dependent variable guided the estimate of the
Northern part 19 41 60
logistic regression model, bearing in mind that the
Southern part 13 27 40
Total 32 68 objective
100is to pinpoint the variables influencing the
capacity of small-scale farmers to secure funding.
3.2 Model
Examples of independent variables are the
Either a binary or categorical dependent variable is formation of human capital, financial capital, and
used in an examination of the variables influencing social capital. The list of specific variables and the

small-scale farmers' ability to obtain financing. This expected outcomes are displayed in Table 2.

implies that farmers either do not have access to


Table 2: Data specifications: credit status
loans or do have access to them. Usually, a one or a
equation (logistic regression model)
zero indicates that you have access to credit, and a
zero indicates that you do not. In addition to the Variable A priori expectation
logistic regression modeling framework, several
Dependent
modeling frameworks can be used to represent the variable
relationship between a single dependent variable and 1 = Access to
loan
several independent factors. These include probits, 0 = Otherwise
tobits, or even ordinary least square or discriminant
Independent
function analysis; however, a probit analysis is
variables
normally used when the dependable variable reflects
an underlying quantitative variable. This implies that
a probit analysis is inappropriate when the dependent
Variable A priori expectation Variable A priori expectation

Age of the Age is expected to 1 = title deed, 0 access to land is expected to


household head negatively affect the = otherwise) increase the long-run
in years probability of being a investment incentives and
borrower because the collateral value of the
comparatively older farmers land to lenders. Its sign is
are not as active in their expected to be positive.
farming activities.
Awareness of Farmers’ awareness of
Farm income A high farm income may credit facilities credit channels available in
(previous year) reduce the demand for in the area their area is likely to have a
credit. On the other hand, it (dummy: positive bearing on their
may increase the farmer's 1 = yes, 0 = no) accessibility to credit.
creditworthiness and in
some cases create a demand Gender (dummy: Males are expected to have
to expand production. 1 = female, greater access to credit than
Hence, the effect of farm 0 = male) females; hence the gender
income is indeterminate. sign is expected to be
positive.
Non-farm Non-farm income is
income expected to reduce demand Education Literacy status is expected
(previous year) for credit and can be used to (dummy: to positively influence
purchase cash inputs. The 1 = formal farmers’ access to credit
coefficient is expected to be education, 0 institutions because literate
negative. = otherwise) farmers are assumed to have
a better technical
Financial assets Savings can influence the knowledge of and
(savings) supply and demand size information about markets
differently; its sign and facilities provided by
therefore is indeterminate. financial institutions.

Remittances and This variable is expected to Repayment A good repayment record is


pension reduce the demand for (dummy: expected to positively affect
credit. Its sign is expected 1 = good borrowing. The coefficient
to be negative. repayment is expected to be positive.
record, 0 = bad
Farm size in Farm size is expected to repayment
hectares positively affect the amount record)
of the loan, as there is a
greater need for variable
Similar to most modeling frameworks, logistic
cash inputs, and it is
expected to increase capital regression models are also subject to weaknesses,
access.
among which is multicollinearity. Principle
Family labour The effect of family labour component analysis is considered relevant to solving
stock stock is indeterminate. the problem of multicollinearity (Leedy, 1994). The
Land ownership Ownership as opposed to logistic regression model was therefore estimated
(dummy: rental and other forms of within the principal component regression (PCR)
framework. This implies that the logistic regression
Stand
model's variables are reduced to a limited number of Variabl Coeffic ard t Probab
uncorrelated principle components through the es ient error ratio ility

application of principle component analysis. The Age −0.304 0.255 −1.1 0.2356
PCR was then fitted using standardized variables, 9 3 941

and the main components with the lowest Farm 1.0021 0.218 4.57 0.0001
eigenvalues were eliminated after they were income 9 85 ***
calculated to improve the assessment capacity of the Non- −0.006 0.377 −0.0 0.0865
logistic regression model. farm 4 9 169 *
income
This approach to methodology is not new. As a
result, a thorough explanation of the model's Remitta −0.218 0.405 0.53 0.0910
nces 8 6 93 *
construction and estimation will be skipped. Similar
and
to the use in this study, Montshwe (2006) offers a pension
comprehensive discussion of the definition and
Savings −0.565 0.333 −1.6 0.0930
estimation of the logistic regression and PCR model. 7 2 978 *
4. Results and discussion
Awaren −0.152 0.256 −0.5 0.5525
ess 8 2 962
The model's output is presented using the PCR
Educati −0.166 0.253 −0.6 0.5144
framework. The analysis is used to explain the use onal 1 8 546
or non-use of credit sources. The logistic regression level
model provides a direct assessment of the likelihood Tenure −0.658 0.202 −3.2 0.0016
that an event will occur. The model ascertains the 6 5 523 ***
variables that are useful in forecasting both the
Farm 0.7784 0.207 3.76 0.0003
probability and the likelihood of an event. Table 3 size 0 05 ***
displays the outcomes of the estimation.
Househ −0.406 0.361 −1.1 0.2645
old size 3 9 228
Table 3: Logistic regression estimates
Family −0.327 0.267 −1.2 0.0249
Stand labour 1 7 218 **
Variabl Coeffic ard t Probab
es ient error ratio ility Repay −0.856 0.209 −4.0 0.0001
ment 9 0 999 ***
Consta −1.886 0.471 −4.0 0.0001
nt 9 1 051 Log −23.72
likeliho 82
Gender 0.1763 0.349 0.50 0.6149 od
2 48
Notes: ***Significant at 1%.
**Significant at 5%. past income earnings and may use this income to

*Significant at 10%. purchase cash inputs.


This conclusion is compatible with the pecking order
theory, which holds that farmers will choose from a

Factors from both the supply and demand sides hierarchy of preferences when deciding which

interact to explain the restrictions on home lending. source of financing to employ (Spio, 2002). Laper et

The loan variable was obtained by regressing on al. (1995) assert that internal funds are the least

several variables, including age, farm income, non- hazardous choice and that the "safety first principle"

farm income, financial assets (savings), pensions and is used in their decision-making process. The authors

remittances, farm size, family labor force, land continue by stating that it is more likely that these

ownership, credit awareness, gender, educational farmers will employ internal resources rather than

attainment, and ability to repay (see Table 2). external funding to run their farms the more

With a minimal significance threshold of 10%, the resources they have. The results corroborate this

model's thirteen possible explanatory variables have claim. The majority of farmers may have had their

at least eight significant coefficients. Stated loan applications denied because of prior defaults;

differently, people's chances of getting credit in however, the low repayment rates could be an

Lesotho from both official and informal sources additional concern. The payback variable's

should be influenced by eight of the thirteen significant negative coefficient lends credence to this

explanatory factors. In addition to non-farm income, claim. Lenders consider the welfare status of their

these include farm size, family work, land potential or existing customers before granting loans.

ownership, savings, repayment ability, pensions, and On the other hand, farm income is large and positive

remittances. The next subsections will go into more at 1%, suggesting that a higher farm income could

detail about these findings. improve farmers' creditworthiness and, in some


cases, might encourage them to expand output,

4.1 Income levels which would increase demand for credit.

Non-farm income, pensions, and remittances all 4.2 Farm size

serve as a proxy for welfare status and demonstrate With a coefficient of 0.7784, farm size exhibits the

that increasing a household's total income reduces expected positive sign and is significantly different

the probability that it will have credit limitations. from zero at 1%. This suggests that an increase in

These two factors exhibit the expected negative farm size is likely to increase farmers' chances of

signals and are significant at 10%. These results obtaining loans and that the larger the farm, the more

show that households have less demand for loans likely it is that farmers will obtain loans. Sial &

because of their equity capital accumulated through Carter (1996) support this hypothesis by stating that
larger farm sizes affect the amount of loans needed
through a greater need for variable cash inputs;
consequently increasing the need for credit. Mbowa 4.4 Land ownership
& Nieuwoudt (1999) and Binswanger et al. (1993), It was expected that farmers would be better able to
who noted that the cost of credit to smallholders is obtain loans if they owned their land (tenure) as
more likely to rise and that transaction costs opposed to renting it because the property was
associated with many small loans act as a valuable to lenders as collateral (FAO, 1996).
disincentive, further support the results by Despite being significant, land ownership in this
discouraging farmers from applying for loans. The model does not have the expected positive
cost of borrowing in the formal credit market is thus coefficient. The negative correlation between land
a decreasing function of farm size in the presence of ownership and credit availability may be explained
fixed transaction expenses. Other results (Kashuliza by the fact that the majority of borrowers were part
& Kydd, 1996; Mokoena et al., 1997; Spio, 2002) are of the government's block farming program, wherein
compatible with this one. collateral was not requested and issues of land tenure
4.3 Family labour and ownership were not taken into consideration in
Family labor stock, on the other hand, correlates - the loan approval and disbursement processes.
0.3271, is negatively associated, and is significant at 4.5 Savings
5%. According to this research, a one-unit increase There appears to be a poor association between loan
in the family labor stock will result in a decrease in availability and savings, as evidenced by the negative
loan demand. According to one interpretation of the coefficient and 10% significance level of savings.
data, loan usage is lower in larger farming families. This illustrates how savings lower the demand for
Family members can either replace cash inputs like credit and are expected to eventually replace it.
pesticides with their labor or sell more labor they Savings accounts are rarely used as informal
create on the market. They may pay for cash inputs collateral by lenders in the study area.
with the money they make from these activities, 4.6 Loan repayment
which reduces the need for loans. On the other hand, Borrowing is meant to be positively impacted by
this data would suggest that larger families are more repayment history. Although a positive coefficient
common in poorer homes, which usually do not was expected, the payback coefficient has an
match loan conditions. As previously said, lenders unexpected negative coefficient that is significant at
consider the welfare position of their current or 1%. Malawi's negative association between credit
potential customers before granting loans. The result availability and repayment may have its roots in the
is consistent with earlier research, including fact that most loans are given out by the Ministry of
Nuryartono et al. (2005), who reported that Agriculture and Food Security as part of its block
households with larger families tend to use family farming program. These loans are primarily for
members for labour, but the larger the number of production. The Malawian government guarantees
household members, the greater the probability of 100% of all loans given to block farmers, plus an
credit constraints. additional 30% in subsidies. This, as a result, fails to
achieve the objective of changing the mind-set of or that they were participants in the government's
farmers that loans are not a subsidy and therefore programme of block farming, where collateral was
have to be paid back, even when yields are low. not asked, issues of land tenure and ownership were
5. Conclusions and recommendations not considered, part of these loans was subsidized
The continued struggles of Malawi's small-scale and guarantees were provided. The negative
farming sector to shift from traditional to a more correlation between repayment ability and history
scientific and technologically focused farming can be explained by the expectation that obtaining
method contribute to the country's low agricultural loans will require a strong payback history.
performance. The results of the empirical analysis However, the block farming program also works to
also demonstrate that a number of variables impact counterbalance Malawi's smallholders'
small-scale farmers' ability to get credit, including comparatively low repayment culture. Because of
their level of income from both farming and non- this, the block farming method has high default rates,
farming sources, pensions and remittances, farm which eventually makes it unsustainable. Moreover,
size, availability of family labor, land ownership, the program is devoid of an institutional structure, a
savings, and debt repayment capacity. As evidenced plan to enhance participants' business acumen, and a
by agricultural income, non-farm income, savings mechanism to enforce timely loan repayment
and remittances, and pensions, increasing a obligations on subsidized loan recipients. In
household's total income reduces the probability that addition, political interference, the lack of a credit
it would have credit constraints. This suggests that culture and discipline on the part of beneficiaries also
better home conditions could either reduce the need contribute towards the high default rates.
for loans or motivate lenders to provide financial The development of rural financial markets depends
support for specific farming projects. Good living largely on donor facilitation, but it also requires the
conditions might lower the need for loans, but this right kind of capacity-building and training
doesn't always imply that smallholders won't be able programs. Evaluation and monitoring processes must
to use modern farming techniques. be put in place in addition to training programs to
Moreover, there is a positive association between ensure that smallholder borrowers are informed and
farm size and credit demand, which means that larger reminded of their loan payback obligations. It's also
farms have a higher chance of being able to obtain advisable to give institutional arrangements that
loans and that an increase in a farm's size is likely to discourage the "dependency syndrome" a priority
increase credit demand from individuals. On the when formulating policies.
other hand, a startlingly poor link between credit and
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