1 & 2 .

Urutan Data Besar ke Kecil & Probabilitas Data

Tahun Data Hujan Prob (%) Kelas

1 2000 73.000 6.250 1
2 2007 98.000 12.500 2
3 2003 101.000 18.750 3
4 2004 105.000 25.000 4
5 2005 131.000 31.250 5
6 2001 145.000 37.500
7 2006 147.000 43.750
8 2012 148.000 50.000
9 1998 161.000 56.250
10 2013 164.000 62.500
11 2010 165.000 68.750
12 2009 165.000 75.000
13 2008 165.000 81.250
14 2002 200.500 87.500
15 2011 205.000 93.750

n= 15

3. Parameter Statistik

No Xi Xi-Xrerata (Xi-Xrerata)^2 (Xi-Xrerata)^3

1 73.000 -71.900 5169.610 -371694.959
2 98.000 -46.900 2199.610 -103161.709
3 101.000 -43.900 1927.210 -84604.519
4 105.000 -39.900 1592.010 -63521.199
5 131.000 -13.900 193.210 -2685.619
6 145.000 0.100 0.010 0.001
7 147.000 2.100 4.410 9.261
8 148.000 3.100 9.610 29.791
9 161.000 16.100 259.210 4173.281
10 164.000 19.100 364.810 6967.871
11 165.000 20.100 404.010 8120.601
12 165.000 20.100 404.010 8120.601
13 165.000 20.100 404.010 8120.601
14 200.500 55.600 3091.360 171879.616
15 205.000 60.100 3612.010 217081.801
∑ 2173.50 0.000 19635.100 -201164.580

𝑋 ̅ = 144.90
S= 37.45
Cs = -0.32
Ck = -0.35
Cv = 0.26

4. Berdasarkan sifat parameter statistik, maka dapat ditentukan distribusi nya adalah Log Pearson III (tidak termasuk cir
 0 Tahun Y = ln Q Yi-Yrerata (Yi-Yrerata)2
73 6.25 1.83258146374831 1.83 3.36
98 12.50 2.52572864430826 2.53 6.38
101 18.75 2.93119375241642 2.93 8.59
105 25.00 3.2188758248682 3.22 10.36
131 31.25 3.44201937618241 3.44 11.85
145 37.50 3.62434093297637 3.62 13.14
147 43.75 3.77849161280362 3.78 14.28
148 50.00 3.91202300542815 3.91 15.30
161 56.25 4.02980604108453 4.03 16.24
164 62.50 4.13516655674236 4.14 17.10
165 68.75 4.23047673654668 4.23 17.90
165 75.00 4.31748811353631 4.32 18.64
165 81.25 4.39753082120985 4.40 19.34
200.5 87.50 4.47163879336357 4.47 20.00
205 93.75 4.54063166485052 4.54 20.62
Jumlah 55.3879933400656 213.08
Yrerata 0.00
Sy = 7.76
ay = 0.0773646919605142
Csy = 0.00
5 & 7. PLOTTING

X T  X  K T .S
T KT XT Prob ( % )
2 -0.14 139.72 50
5 0.78 173.95 20
10 1.34 194.98 10
25 2.00 219.91 4
50 2.47 237.44 2
100 2.92 254.43 1
200 3.35 270.27 0.5

6. PENGUJIAN DISTRIBUSI
Uji Chi Kuadrat
Kelas Prob
1 0 <P< 20
2 20 <P< 40
3 40 <P< 60
4 60 <P< 80
5 80 <P< 100
N

Jumlah data 15
 α 2 biasanya
DK 2.00
𝑋^2 7.372 tabel
Kritik
𝑋^2 < 𝑋^2
Perhitungan
0 < ChiKritik 7.372

Kesimpulan Jenis Distribusi Diterima

Uji Smirnov Kolmogorov

No Hujan Prob ( % ) Prob teoritis
( mm ) ( 100m/n+1) (%)
1 73.00 6.25 5
2 98.00 12.50 7
3 101.00 18.75 8
4 105.00 25.00 31
5 131.00 31.25 36
6 145.00 37.50 42
7 147.00 43.75 44
8 148.00 50.00 47
9 161.00 56.25 54
10 164.00 62.50 57
11 165.00 68.75 58
12 165.00 75.00 66
13 165.00 81.25 81
14 200.50 87.50 84
15 205.00 93.75 99.9
Δ Max
Δ Kritik

Δ Max < Δ Kritik

Kesimpulan: Diterima

PROBABLE MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION

PMP  X  Kn . S

PMP 706.65
PMP 706.65
 Interval Kelas
0-20 % 20 20% 84.2000
20-40 % 40 40% 146.4000
40-60 % 60 60% 163.6000
60-80 % 80 80% 157.9000
80-100 %

[(Xi-Xrerata)/S]^4
13.5864313280909
2.45969471130762
1.88819967022197
1.28849108852346
0.01897793861228
5.08381615048E-11
9.88705648762E-06
4.69501097511E-05
0.03415807129078
0.06765864648739
0.08298012145603
0.08298012145603
0.08298012145603
4.85835228474432
6.63265983505858
31.0836207759224

rson III (tidak termasuk ciri distribusi lainnya)

(Yi-Yrerata)3 [(Yi-Yrerata)/Sy]4
6.15 0.00310757712435
16.11 0.01121283719653
25.18 0.02033980867317
33.35 0.029579147341
40.78 0.03867425898571
47.61 0.04754281951935
53.95 0.05616200557223
59.87 0.06453188607174
65.44 0.07266166285408
70.71 0.08056395631974
75.71 0.08825229395736
80.48 0.09573998617633
85.04 0.10303963844046
89.41 0.11016296564385
93.62 0.11712075191168
843.42 0.93869159578757

Ef Of Ef-Of (Ef-Of)^2/Ef
3 3 0 0
3 3 0 0
3 3 0 0
3 3 0 0
3 3 0 0
15 15 Sx 2 0
 n 15
K ( Jumlah Kelas ) 5.00
αn 2

Selisih
(Δ)
0.0125
0.0550
0.1075
0.0600
0.0475
0.0450
0.0025
0.0300
0.0225
0.0550
0.1075
0.0900
0.0025
0.0350
0.0615
0.1075
0.32 interpol dari Tabel