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Statistics For Management and Economics 10Th Edition Gerald Keller Test Bank Full Chapter PDF
Statistics For Management and Economics 10Th Edition Gerald Keller Test Bank Full Chapter PDF
Statistics For Management and Economics 10Th Edition Gerald Keller Test Bank Full Chapter PDF
TRUE/FALSE
1. In order to determine the p-value associated with hypothesis testing about the population mean , it is
necessary to know the value of the test statistic.
2. In order to interpret the p-value associated with hypothesis testing about the population mean , it is
necessary to know the value of the test statistic.
3. If a sample has 15 observations and a 95% confidence estimate for is needed, the appropriate value
of t is 1.753.
4. If a sample has 18 observations and a 90% confidence estimate for is needed, the appropriate value
of t is 1.740.
5. The statistic when the sampled population is normal is Student t-distributed with n
degrees of freedom.
6. If the sampled population is nonnormal, the t-test of the population mean is still valid, provided that
the condition is not extreme.
7. A race car driver tested his car for time from 0 to 60 mph, and in 20 tests obtained an average of 48.5
seconds with a standard deviation of 1.47 seconds. A 95% confidence interval for the 0 to 60 time is
45.2 seconds to 51.8 seconds.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
KEY: Bloom's: Application
8. In forming a 95% confidence interval for a population mean from a sample size of 20, the number of
degrees of freedom from the t-distribution equals 20.
9. The t-distribution is used in a confidence interval for a mean when the actual standard error is not
known.
10. The t-distribution allows the calculation of confidence intervals for means for small samples when the
population variance is not known, regardless of the shape of the distribution in the population.
11. The t-distribution is used to develop a confidence interval estimate of the population mean when the
population standard deviation is unknown.
13. In estimating the population mean with the population standard deviation unknown, if the sample size
is 16, there are 8 degrees of freedom.
MULTIPLE CHOICE
1. For statistical inference about the mean of a single population when the population standard deviation
is unknown, the degrees for freedom for the t-distribution equal n − 1 because we lose one degree of
freedom by using the:
a. sample mean as an estimate of the population mean.
b. sample standard deviation as an estimate of the population standard deviation.
c. sample proportion as an estimate of the population proportion.
d. sample size as an estimate of the population size.
© 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted
in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
ANS: A PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Comprehension
2. Researchers determined that 60 Puffs tissues is the average number of tissues used during a cold.
Suppose a random sample of 100 Puffs users yielded the following data on the number of tissues used
during a cold: = 52 and s = 22. Suppose the test statistic does not fall in the rejection region at =
0.05. Which of the following conclusions is correct?
a. At = 0.05, we do not reject H0. c. At = 0.05, we accept H0.
b. At = 0.05, we reject H0. d. Both a and c.
ANS: A PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
4. A random sample of size 15 taken from a normally distributed population revealed a sample mean of
75 and a sample variance of 25. The upper limit of a 95% confidence interval for the population mean
would equal:
a. 77.77 c. 88.85
b. 72.23 d. 77.27
ANS: A PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
5. A major electronics store chain is interested in estimating the average amount its credit card customers
spent on their first visit to the chain's new store in the mall. Fifteen credit card accounts were randomly
sampled and analyzed with the following results: = $50.50 and s2 = 400. A 95% confidence interval
for the average amount the credit card customers spent on their first visit to the chain's new store in the
mall is:
a. $50.50 $9.09. c. $50.50 $11.08.
b. $50.50 $10.12. d. None of these choices.
ANS: C PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
6. Researchers determine that 60 Puffs tissues is the average number of tissues used during a cold.
Suppose a random sample of 100 Puffs users yielded the following data on the number of tissues used
during a cold: = 52 and s = 22. Using the sample information provided, the value of the test statistic
is:
a. t = (52 − 60) / 22 c. t = (52 − 60) / (22 / 1002)
b. t = (52 − 60) / (22 / 100) d. t = (52 − 60) / (22 / 10)
ANS: D PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
© 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted
in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
7. For a 99% confidence interval of the population mean based on a sample of n = 25 with s = 0.05, the
critical value of t is:
a. 2.7969 c. 2.4922
b. 2.7874 d. 2.4851
ANS: A PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
8. Based on sample data, the 90% confidence interval limits for the population mean are LCL = 170.86
and UCL = 195.42. If the 10% level of significance were used in testing the hypotheses H0: = 201
vs. H1: 201, the null hypothesis:
a. would be rejected. c. would fail to be rejected.
b. would be accepted. d. would become H0: 201
ANS: A PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
9. The degrees of freedom for the test statistic for when is unknown is:
a. 1 c. n − 1
b. n d. None of these choices.
ANS: C PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Comprehension
10. Researchers determined that 60 Puffs tissues is the average number of tissues used during a cold.
Suppose a random sample of 100 Puffs users yielded the following data on the number of tissues used
during a cold: = 52 and s = 22. Suppose the alternative we wanted to test was H1: < 60. The
correct rejection region for = 0.05 is:
a. reject H0 if t > 1.6604. c. reject H0 if t > 1.9842 or Z < −1.9842.
b. reject H0 if t < −1.6604. d. reject H0 if t < −1.9842.
ANS: B PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
COMPLETION
1. When the population standard deviation is ____________________ and the population is normal, the
test statistic for testing hypotheses about is the t-distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom.
ANS: unknown
2. When the population standard deviation is unknown and the population is ____________________,
the test statistic for testing hypotheses about is the t-distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom.
ANS: normal
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Knowledge
3. When the population standard deviation is unknown and the population is normal, the test statistic for
testing hypotheses about is the ____________________-distribution with ____________________
degrees of freedom.
ANS:
t; n − 1
t; n−1
4. The t-test for a population mean is ____________________, meaning that if the population is
nonnormal, the results of the test and confidence interval are still valid as long as the nonnormality is
not extreme.
ANS: robust
5. When a population is small, we must adjust the test statistic and interval estimator using the
____________________ population correction factor.
ANS: finite
ANS: Finite
7. The t-statistic has two variables: the sample ____________________ and the sample
____________________.
ANS:
mean; standard deviation
standard deviation; mean
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Knowledge
8. Because of the greater uncertainty, the t-statistic will display greater ____________________ than the
z-statistic.
ANS:
variability
variation
spread
SHORT ANSWER
A random sample of 10 single mothers was drawn from a Obstetrics Clinic. Their ages are 22, 17, 27,
20, 23, 19, 24, 18, 19, and 24 years.
1. {Single Mothers' Ages Narrative} Estimate the population mean with 90% confidence.
ANS:
. Thus, LCL = 19.446, and UCL = 23.154.
2. {Single Mothers' Ages Narrative} Test to determine if we can infer at the 5% significance level that
the population mean is not equal to 20.
ANS:
H0: = 20 vs. H1: 20
Rejection region: | t | > t0.025,9 = 2.262
Test statistic: t = 1.285
Conclusion: Don't reject H0. We can't infer at the 5% significance level that the population mean is not
equal to 20.
3. {Single Mothers' Ages Narrative} What is the required condition of the techniques used in the
previous questions? What graphical device can you use to check to see if that required condition is
satisfied?
ANS:
The condition is that ages in the population are normally distributed. A histogram of the data can be
used to check if the normality assumption is satisfied.
© 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted
in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.01
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
Concert Tickets
A simple random sample of 100 concert tickets was drawn from a normal population. The mean and
standard deviation of the sample were $120 and $25, respectively.
4. {Concert Tickets Narrative} Test the hypothesis H0: = 125 vs. H1: 125 at the 10% significance
level.
ANS:
Rejection region: | t | > t0.05,99 = 1.66
Test statistic: t = −2.0
Conclusion: Reject H0. We can infer that the population mean is not equal to 125. According to our
data, the mean is lower than that.
5. {Concert Tickets Narrative} Estimate the population mean with 90% confidence.
ANS:
. Thus, LCL =115.85, and UCL = 124.15.
6. {Concert Tickets Narrative} Explain how to use the confidence interval to test the hypotheses at =
0.10.
ANS:
Since the hypothesized value 0 = 125 does not lie in the 90% confidence interval, we reject H0 at =
0.10.
Hourly Fees
A random sample of 15 hourly fees for car washers (including tips) was drawn from a normal
population. The sample mean and sample standard deviation were = $14.9 and s = $6.75.
7. {Hourly Fees Narrative} Can we infer at the 5% significance level that the mean fee for car washers
(including tips) is greater than 12?
ANS:
H0: = 12, H1: > 12
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Rejection region: t > t0.05,14 = 1.761
Test statistic: t = 1.664
Conclusion: Don't reject H0. We can't infer at the 5% significance level that the mean fee for car
washers (including tips) is greater than 12.
8. {Hourly Fees Narrative} Can we infer at the 5% significance level that the population mean is greater
than 12, assuming that you know the population standard deviation is equal to 6.75?
ANS:
Rejection region: z > z0.05 = 1.645
Test statistic: z = 1.664
Conclusion: Reject H0. (Note this is an unrealistic situation however.)
Tire Rotation
The manager of a service station is in the process of analyzing the number of times car owners rotate
the tires on their cars. She believes that the average motorist rotates his or her car's tires less frequently
than recommended by the owner's manual (two times per year). In a preliminary survey she asked 14
car owners how many times they rotated their cars' tires in the last 12 months. The results are 1, 1, 2, 0,
3, 3, 0, 1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 3, and 1.
9. {Tire Rotation Narrative} Does this data provide sufficient evidence at the 10% significance level to
indicate that the manager is correct?
ANS:
H0: = 2, H1: < 2
Rejection region: t < −t0.10,13 = −1.35
Test statistic: t = −1.613
Conclusion: Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that the manager is correct.
10. {Tire Rotation Narrative} What condition is required in order to analyze this data using a t-test?
ANS:
The number of times car owners change the oil in their cars is normally distributed.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
11. The air pumps at service stations come equipped with a gauge to regulate the air pressure of tires. A
mechanic believes that the gauges are in error by at least 3 pounds per square inch. To test his belief he
takes a random example of 50 air pump gauges and determines the difference between the true
pressure (as measured by an accurate measuring device) and the pressure shown on the air pump
gauge. The mean and the standard deviation of the sample are = 3.4 and s = 1.2. Can the mechanic
infer that he is correct at the 5% significance level? Assume tire pressures have a normal distribution.
ANS:
H0: = 3, H1: > 3
Rejection region: t > t0.05,49 = 1.676
Test statistics: t = 2.357
Conclusion: Reject H0. Yes, we can infer that the mechanic is correct at the 5% significance level.
12. A life insurance representative believes that the mean age of people who buy their first life insurance
plan is less than 35. To test his belief he takes a random sample of 15 customers who have just
purchased their first life insurance. Their ages are 42, 43,28, 34, 30, 36, 25, 29, 32, 33, 27, 30, 22, 37,
and 40. There is not enough evidence to say the data are nonnormal. Can we conclude at the 1%
significance level that the insurance representative is correct?
ANS:
H0: = 35, H1: < 35
Rejection region: t < −t.01,14 = −2.624
Test statistics: t = −1.547
Conclusion: Cannot reject H0. We can't conclude at the 1% significance level that the average age of
people who buy their first life insurance plan is less than 35, according to this data.
Mystic Pizza
Mystic Pizza in Mystic, Connecticut, advertises that they deliver your pizza within 15 minutes of
placing an order or it is free. A sample of 25 customers is selected at random. The average delivery
time in the sample was 13 minutes with a sample standard deviation of 4 minutes.
13. {Mystic Pizza Narrative} We want to know whether Mystic can make this claim or not. Test to
determine if we can infer at the 5% significance level that the population mean delivery time is less
than 15 minutes.
ANS:
H0: = 15, H1: < 15
Rejection region: t < −t0.05,24 = −1.711
Test statistic: t = −2.50
Conclusion: Reject the null hypothesis. There is enough evidence to say the mean delivery time is less
than 15 minutes.
© 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted
in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
KEY: Bloom's: Application
14. {Mystic Pizza Narrative} What is the required condition of the technique used in the previous
question?
ANS:
Delivery times are normally distributed.
A researcher at the University of Washington medical school believes that energy drink consumption
may increase heart rate. Suppose it is known that heart rate (in beats per minute) is normally
distributed with an average of 70 bpm for adults. A random sample of 25 adults was selected and it
was found that their average heartbeat was 73 bpm after energy drink consumption, with a standard
deviation of 7 bpm.
15. {Energy Drink Consumption Narrative} Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses.
ANS:
H0: = 70, H1: > 70
16. {Energy Drink Consumption Narrative} Test the hypotheses in the previous question at the 10%
significance level to determine if we can infer that energy drink consumption increases heart rate.
ANS:
Rejection region: t > t0.10,24 = 1.318
Test statistic: t = 2.143
Conclusion: Reject H0. Yes, we can infer that energy drink consumption increases heart rate at the
10% level, according to this data.
17. Employees in a large company are entitled to 15-minute water breaks. A random sample of the
duration of water breaks for 10 employees was taken with the times shown as: 12, 16, 14, 18, 21, 17,
19, 15, 18, and 16. Assuming that the times are normally distributed, is there enough evidence at the
5% significance level to indicate that on average employees are taking longer water breaks than they
are entitled to?
ANS:
H0: = 15, H1: > 15
Rejection region: t > t0.05,9 = 1.833
Test statistics: t = 1.953
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Conclusion: Reject H0. Yes, there is enough evidence at the 5% significance level to indicate that on
average employees are taking longer water breaks than they are entitled to.
18. During a natural gas shortage, a gas company randomly sampled residential gas meters in order to
monitor daily gas consumption. On a particular day, a sample of 100 meters showed a sample mean of
250 cubic feet and a sample standard deviation of 50 cubic feet. Provide a 90% confidence interval
estimate of the mean gas consumption for the population.
ANS:
. Thus, LCL = 241.7, and UCL = 258.3. We estimate that the mean gas
consumption for the population lies between 241.7 cubic feet and 258.3 cubic feet.
19. The chi-squared distribution can be used in constructing confidence intervals and carrying out
hypothesis tests regarding the value of a population variance.
ANS:
T
20. A condition of using the chi-squared test statistic for testing the variance is that the population random
variable have a normal distribution.
ANS:
T
21. A left-tailed area in the chi-squared distribution equals 0.95. For 6 degrees of freedom the critical
value equals 12.592.
ANS:
T
22. The area to the right of a certain critical value on a chi-squared distribution is 0.025. For 5 degrees of
freedom, the critical value is 11.143.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
ANS:
F
23. The test statistic used to test hypotheses about the population variance is given by 2 = (n − 1)s2 / 2,
which is chi-squared distributed with n − 1 degrees of freedom when the population random variable is
normally distributed with variance equal to 2.
ANS:
T
24. A random sample is drawn from a normal distribution with mean and variance 2. The random
variable (n − 1)S2 / 2 has a chi-squared probability distribution with n degrees of freedom.
ANS:
F
25. Two uses for the population variance are to measure risk and consistency.
ANS:
T
ANS:
T
ANS:
© 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted
in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
D
28. A random sample of 25 observations is selected from a normally distributed population. The sample
variance is 10. In the 95% confidence interval for the population variance, the upper limit is:
a. 19.353
b. 17.331
c. 17.110
d. 6.097
ANS:
A
29. The statistic (n − 1)s2 / 2 has a chi-squared distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom if:
a. the sample has a Student t-distribution with degrees of freedom equal to n − 1.
b. the sample is normally distributed with variance equal to s2.
c. the population is normally distributed with variance equal to 2.
d. All of these choices are true.
ANS:
C
30. Which of the following conditions is needed regarding the chi-squared test statistic for the test of
variance?
a. The population random variable must be normal.
b. The test statistic must be a non-negative number.
c. The test statistic must have a chi-squared distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom.
d. All of these choices are true.
ANS:
D
31. In a hypothesis test for the population variance, the hypotheses are H0: 2 = 30 vs. H1: 2 < 30. If the
sample size is 20 and the test is being carried out at the 5% level of significance, the null hypothesis is
rejected if:
a. 2 < 30.144.
b. 2 > 10.851.
c. 2 < 10.117.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
d. 2 > 31.410.
ANS:
C
32. In a hypothesis test for the population variance, the hypotheses are H0: 2 = 100 vs. H1: 2 100. If the
sample size is 15 and the test is being carried out at the 10% level of significance, the rejection region
is:
a. 2 < 6.571 or 2 > 23.685.
b. 2 < 7.790 or 2 > 21.064.
c. 2 < 8.547 or 2 > 22.307.
d. 2 < 7.261 or 2 < 24.996.
ANS:
A
33. The sum of squared deviations from the mean divided by the population variance has a(n)
____________________ distribution with ____________________ degrees of freedom.
ANS:
chi-squared; n − 1
chi-squared; n−1
34. The test statistic used to test hypotheses about the population variance has a(n)
____________________ distribution with ____________________ degrees of freedom.
ANS:
chi-squared; n − 1
chi-squared; n−1
35. The test statistic to test hypotheses about the population variance has a chi-squared distribution with n
− 1 degrees of freedom when the population random variable has a(n) ____________________
distribution.
ANS:
normal
© 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted
in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.02
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Knowledge
36. The chi-squared test and estimator of the population variance ____________________(are/are not)
valid if the population is slightly to moderately nonnormal.
ANS:
are
37. The test statistic used to test hypotheses about the population variance has a chi-squared distribution
with ____________________ degrees of freedom.
ANS:
n−1
n−1
38. The ____________________ confidence limit of the confidence interval estimator of the population
variance is .
ANS:
lower
39. The ____________________ confidence limit of the confidence interval estimator of the population
variance is .
ANS:
upper
40. If we are testing for an improvement in the consistency of an operation or the manufacturing of a
product, the alternative hypothesis would have a(n) ____________________ sign in it.
ANS:
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
less than
<
Consider the hypotheses H0: 2 = 20 vs. H1: 2 > 20. Assume that Science scores on a 25-point quiz
for a random sample of 5 students were drawn from a normal population. These were: 18, 16, 10, 13,
and 23.
41. {Science Quiz Scores Narrative} Test the hypotheses at the 10% significance level.
ANS:
Rejection region:
Test statistic: 2 = 4.90
Conclusion: Don't reject H0. Cannot conclude the population variance is greater than 20.
42. {Science Quiz Scores Narrative} Estimate the population variance with 90% confidence.
ANS:
We estimate that the population variance lies between 10.327 and 137.834.
43. An investor is concerned with the risk associated with a portfolio of stocks. He draws a random sample
of nine monthly returns (expressed as a percentage of the initial investment). These data follow: 2, 5,
−6, 10, 1, 2, −3, 0, and 7. Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population variance.
ANS:
LCL = 10.95
UCL = 88.07
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
44. A pharmaceutical company has just developed a new capsule to alleviate the symptoms of allergies
and colds. However, they are concerned about the variability in the amount of time until the drug
becomes effective. In a random sample of 10 individuals who suffer from allergies, the amount of time
(in hours) for the capsule to take effect was recorded and listed as follows: 5, 7, 6, 10, 9, 12, 8, 17, 4,
and 16. Estimate with 90% confidence the variance of the time for the drug to become effective.
ANS:
We estimate that the variance of the time for the drug to become effective lies between 10.426 and
52.973.
45. The sales manager of a large multinational corporation is concerned that some salespersons perform
very well and others quite poorly. To help analyze the problem he draws a random sample of 20
salespersons, determines their commission incomes (in thousands of dollars), and calculates the
following statistics: = $37.2, and s = $7.8. Do these statistics provide sufficient evidence at the 5%
significance level to conclude that the population variance exceeds $35 million2?
ANS:
H0: 2 = 35, H1: 2 > 35
Rejection region:
Test statistic: 2 = 33.027
Conclusion: Reject H0. Yes, these statistics provide sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to
conclude that the population variance exceeds $35 million2.
Applicants’ Grades
The grades of a sample of 10 applicants, selected at random from a large population, are 71, 86, 75, 63,
92, 70, 81, 59, 80, and 90.
ANS:
s2 = 123.12
47. {Applicants' Grades Narrative} Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate for the population
variance.
ANS:
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.02
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
48. {Applicants' Grades Narrative} Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate for the population
standard deviation.
ANS:
LCL = = 8.093
UCL = = 18.242
49. In determining the sample size needed to estimate the population proportion p, we let the sample
proportion = 1 if we have no knowledge of even the approximate values of .
ANS:
F
50. The lower limit of the 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p, given that n = 400 and
= 0.10, is 0.0247.
ANS:
F
51. The sampling distribution of is approximately normal if the sample size is more than 30.
ANS:
F
52. In testing a hypothesis about a population proportion p, the z test statistic measures how close the
computed sample proportion has come to the hypothesized population parameter.
ANS:
© 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted
in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
T
53. If we have some idea about the value of sample proportion , we use that value in determining the
sample size needed to estimate the population proportion p.
ANS:
T
54. The 95% confidence interval would indicate that, for this shipment, the proportion of defective fuses is
between 0 and 0.28.
ANS:
F
55. A professor of statistics refutes the claim that the proportion of Republican voters in Michigan is at
most 44%. To test the claim, the hypotheses: H0: p = 0.44, H1: p 0.44, should be used.
ANS:
F
56. In selecting the sample size to estimate the population proportion p, if we have no knowledge of even
the approximate values of the sample proportion , we:
a. take another sample and estimate .
b. take two more samples and find the average of their .
c. let = 0.50.
d. let = 0.95.
ANS:
C
57. Under what condition(s) does the test statistic for p have an approximate normal distribution?
a. When np > 5.
b. When np and np(1 − p) are both > 5.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
c. When n > 30.
d. When np and n(1 − p) are both > 5.
ANS:
D
58. The use of the standard normal distribution for constructing confidence interval estimate for the
population proportion p requires:
a. n and n(1 − ) both greater than 5.
b. np and n(1 − p) both greater than 5.
c. n(1 + ) and n(1 − ) both greater than 5.
d. sample size greater than 5.
ANS:
A
59. After calculating the sample size needed to estimate a population proportion to within 0.04, your
statistics professor told you the maximum allowable error must be reduced to just .01. If the original
calculation led to a sample size of 800, the sample size will now have to be:
a. 800
b. 3,200
c. 6,400
d. 12,800
ANS:
D
60. Assuming that all necessary conditions are met, what needs to be changed in the formula
so that we can use it to construct a (1 − ) confidence interval estimate for the
population proportion p?
a. should be replaced by p.
b. t should be replaced by z.
c. t should be replaced by t / 2.
d. t should be replaced by z / 2.
ANS:
D
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
KEY: Bloom's: Comprehension
61. The width of a confidence interval estimate for a proportion will be:
a. narrower for 90% confidence than for 95% confidence.
b. wider for a sample size of 100 than for a sample size of 50.
c. narrower for 99% confidence than for 95% confidence.
d. narrower when the sample proportion if 0.50 than when the sample proportion is 0.20.
ANS:
A
62. When determining the sample size needed for a proportion for a given level of confidence and
sampling error, the closer to 0.50 that p is estimated to be:
a. the smaller the sample size required.
b. the larger the sample size required.
c. the sample size is not affected.
d. the effect cannot be determined from the information given.
ANS:
B
ANS:
A
ANS:
A
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
KEY: Bloom's: Application
65. A survey claims that 9 out of 10 doctors recommend aspirin for their patients with headaches. To test
this claim against the alternative that the actual proportion of doctors who recommend aspirin is less
than 0.90, a random sample of 100 doctors' results in 83 who indicate that they recommend aspirin.
The value of the test statistic in this problem is approximately equal to:
a. −1.67
b. −2.33
c. −1.86
d. −0.14
ANS:
B
66. From a sample of 400 items, 14 are found to be defective. The point estimate of the population
proportion defective will be:
a. 0.035
b. 0.05
c. 14
d. 28.57
ANS:
A
67. Estimating or testing for p is used in situations when the data are ____________________.
ANS:
nominal
68. The test statistic for p is approximately normal when ____________________ and
____________________ are both greater than 5.
ANS:
np; n(1 − p)
n(1 − p); np
np; n(1−p)
n(1−p); np
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
69. The test statistic for p is approximately normal when np and n(1 − p) are both
____________________.
ANS:
greater than 5
>5
70. To test to see if the majority of the population exhibits a certain characteristic of interest, the
alternative hypothesis of the test is H1: p ____________________.
ANS:
> .5
71. When a population is small, it is necessary to include the ____________________ factor in our
hypothesis tests and confidence interval estimators for p.
ANS:
finite population correction
72. To produce a confidence interval estimator for the total, we multiply the lower and upper confidence
limits of the interval estimator of p by ____________________.
ANS:
N
the population size
proportion.
ANS:
sample size
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
KEY: Bloom's: Knowledge
74. The formula is used to find the sample size needed to estimate a population
ANS:
bound
A pollster in Italy wants to challenge a claim that 5% of the registered voters in his country are
Socialists; he thinks the percentage is lower than that. In a test of hypothesis, H0: p = 0.05 vs. H1: p <
0.05, his random sample of size 1,000 registered voters revealed that the number of Socialists was 40.
75. {Socialist Voters Narrative} Test the hypotheses at the 5% significance level.
ANS:
Rejection region: z < −z0.05 = −1.645
Test Statistic: z = −1.451
Conclusion: Don't reject H0. Cannot conclude that the proportion of Socialist voters in the country is
less than 0.05.
76. {Socialist Voters Narrative} Compute the p-value and explain how to use it to test the hypotheses.
ANS:
p-value = 0.0735.
Since p-value = 0.0735 > = 0.05, don't reject H0.
77. {Socialist Voters Narrative} Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population
proportion and explain how to use it to test the hypotheses.
ANS:
. Thus, LCL = 0.026, and UCL = 0.054.
Since the hypothesized value p0 = 0.05 is included in the 95% confidence interval, we fail to reject H0
at = 0.05.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
KEY: Bloom's: Application
Physicians
A random sample of 200 physicians shows that there are 36 of them who make at least $400,000 a
year.
78. {Physicians Narrative} Can we conclude at the 1% significance level that the true proportion of
physicians in the population who make at least $400,000 a year is less than 0.24?
ANS:
H0: p = 0.24, H1: p < 0.24
Rejection region: z < −z0.01 = −2.33
Test statistic: z = −1.99
Conclusion: Don't reject H0. No, we can't conclude at the 1% significance level that the true proportion
of physicians in the population who make at least $400,000 a year is less than 0.24.
79. {Physicians Narrative} Compute the p-value and explain how to use it to test the hypotheses.
ANS:
p-value = 0.0233.
Since p-value = 0.0233 > = 0.01, don't reject H0.
80. {Physicians Narrative} Construct a 99% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of
physicians who make at least $400,000 a year, and explain how to use it to test the hypotheses.
ANS:
. Thus, LCL = 0.10, and UCL = 0.26.
Since the hypothesized value p0 = 0.24 is included in the 99% confidence interval, we fail to reject H0
at = 0.01.
A union composed of several thousand pilots is preparing to vote on a new contract. A random sample
of 500 pilots yielded 320 who planned to vote yes. It is believed that the new contract will receive
more than 60% yes votes.
81. {Pilots’ Union Contract Narrative} State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses.
ANS:
H0: p = 0.60, H1: p > 0.60
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.03
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
82. {Pilots’ Union Contract Narrative} Can we infer at the 5% significance level that the new contract will
receive more than 60% yes votes?
ANS:
Rejection region: z > z0.05 = 1.645
Test statistic: z = 1.83
Conclusion: Reject H0. Yes, we can infer at the 5% significance level that the new contract will receive
more than 60% yes votes.
83. {Pilots’ Union Contract Narrative} Compute the p-value for the test.
ANS:
p-value = 0.0336
New Mousetrap
After a financial analysis, the general manager of a large company decided that if more than 8% of
potential buyers of a new mousetrap purchase that product, the company would show a profit. In a
preliminary survey of 500 potential buyers, 56 people say that they will buy the mousetrap.
84. {New Mousetrap Narrative} State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses.
ANS:
H0: p = 0.08, H1: p > 0.08
85. {New Mousetrap Narrative} Is there sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level that the
mousetrap will produce a profit?
ANS:
Rejection region: z > z0.05 = 1.645
Test statistic: z = 2.638
Conclusion: Reject H0. Yes, there is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level that the mousetrap
will produce a profit.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Sinus Drug
A company claims that 10% of the users of a certain sinus drug experience drowsiness. In clinical
studies of this sinus drug, 81 of the 900 subjects experienced drowsiness
86. {Sinus Drug Narrative} We want to test their claim and find out whether the actual percentage is not
10%. State the appropriate null and hypotheses.
ANS:
H0: p = 0.10, H1: p 0.10
87. {Sinus Drug Narrative} Is there enough evidence at the 5% significance level to infer that the
competitor is correct?
ANS:
Rejection region: | z | > z0.025 = 1.96
Test statistic: z = −1.0
Conclusion: Don't reject H0. Not enough evidence at the 5% significance level to infer that the
company is incorrect.
ANS:
p-value = 0.1587
89. {Sinus Drug Narrative} Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of
the users of this allergy drug who experience drowsiness.
ANS:
. Thus, LCL = 0.070, and UCL = 0.110.
90. {Sinus Drug Narrative} Explain how to use this confidence interval to test the hypotheses.
ANS:
Since the hypothesized value p0 = 0.10 is included in this 95% confidence interval, we fail to reject H0
at = 0.05.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
PTS: 1 DIF: Easy OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.03
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
91. As a manufacturer of guitars, a major corporation wants to estimate the proportion of guitar players
who are right-handed. How many golfers must be surveyed if they want to be within 0.02, with a 95%
confidence?
ANS:
a. n = 2401
b. n = 1801
92. In market segmentation, if education is the segmentation variable of interest, then possible segments of
the market include: some high school, high school graduates, some college, college or university
graduates.
ANS:
T
93. Market segmentation separates consumers of a product into different groups in such a way that
members of each group are similar to each other and there are differences between groups.
ANS:
T
94. Mass Marketing refers to the mass production and marketing by a company of a single product for the
entire market.
ANS:
T
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
95. Generally speaking, mass marketing has given way to target marketing, which focuses on satisfying
the demands of a particular segment of the entire market.
ANS:
T
96. Mass marketing refers to the mass production and marketing by a company of all products the
company produces for a single segment of the entire market.
ANS:
F
97. Target marketing focuses on satisfying the demands of all segments of the entire market.
ANS:
F
98. In estimating the total of a population of size N, where N is very large compared to the sample size, the
confidence interval estimator of the total is .
ANS:
T
99. In estimating the population mean when the population size N is small, the confidence interval
estimator of is .
ANS:
T
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
b. When the population is less than or equal to 20 times the population size.
c. When the population is equal to 20 times the population size.
d. Whenever the sample size is small, no matter what the population size is.
ANS:
B
101. If the lower and upper confidence limits of the population proportion p, using a sample of size 1500,
are 0.184 and 0.238, respectively, then the lower and upper confidence limits of the total number of
successes in the population, given that the population size is 750,000, are respectively:
a. 276 and 357
b. 137,724 and 178,143
c. 138,000 and 178,500
d. 138,276 and 179,857
ANS:
C
ANS:
D
103. If the lower and upper confidence limits of the population mean , using a sample of size 100, are 225
and 280, respectively, then the lower and upper confidence limits of the total of a population of size
3000 are respectively
a. 652,500 and 812,000
b. 675,000 and 840,000
c. 697,500 and 868,000
d. 652,862 and 812,452
ANS:
B
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
PTS: 1 DIF: Moderate OBJ: SFME.KELL.15.12.04
NAT: BUSPROG.SFME.KELL.15.03 STA: DISC.SFME.KELL.15.06
KEY: Bloom's: Application
ANS:
A
105. To estimate the total number of successes in a large finite population of size N, using a sample of size
n, the confidence interval estimator is:
a.
b.
c.
d.
ANS:
B
106. To estimate ____________________ when the population size N is small, the confidence interval
estimator is .
ANS:
the population mean
107. ____________________ refers to the mass production and marketing by a company of a single
product for the entire market.
ANS:
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Mass marketing
108. Mass marketing is especially effective for ____________________ goods such as gasoline, which are
difficult to differentiate from the competition except through price and availability.
ANS:
commodity
109. Marketing segmentation separates consumers of a product into different groups in such a way that
members of each group are ____________________ and there are differences between
____________________.
ANS:
similar; groups
110. When a population is small relative to the sample size, we must incorporate the
____________________ factor in the calculation of the standard error of estimate of the mean.
ANS:
finite population correction
ANS:
less; 20
less; twenty
Healthy Foods
In segmenting the frozen meal market in Spain, a food manufacturer uses health and diet
consciousness as the segmentation variable. Four segments are developed and coded as follows:
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
2: Concerned about weight
3: Concerned about health because of illness
4: Unconcerned
To distinguish between groups, surveys are conducted. On the basis of a questionnaire, people are
categorized as belonging to one of these groups. A recent survey asked a random sample of 1,500
Spanish adults (20 and over) to complete the survey. Out of the 1,500 people surveyed, 360 indicated
that they are concerned about eating healthy foods. The most recent information available reveals that
there are 40,256,000 Spanish adults who are 20 and over.
ANS:
The problem objective is to describe the population of Spanish adults in terms of their health and diet
consciousness.
113. {Healthy Foods Narrative} What is the parameter we wish to estimate? Explain.
ANS:
Since the data are nominal, the parameter we wish to estimate is the proportion p of Spanish adults
who classify themselves as concerned about eating healthy.
114. {Healthy Foods Narrative} What is the point estimate of the proportion p of Spanish adults who
classify themselves as concerned about eating healthy?
ANS:
= x / n = 360 / 1500 = 0.24
115. {Healthy Foods Narrative} Estimate with 95% confidence the proportion p of Spanish adults who
classify themselves as concerned about eating healthy.
ANS:
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
ANS:
We estimate that the proportion of Spanish adults who classify themselves as concerned about eating
healthy lies between 0.2184 and 0.2616.
117. {Healthy Foods Narrative} Estimate with 95% confidence thee number of Spanish adults who
classify themselves as concerned about eating healthy.
ANS:
Tractor Dealership
An accountant was performing an audit for a tractor dealership. An auditor wants to examine the
monetary error made by the purchasing order department in the month of July. He decided to randomly
sample 100 of the 925 purchase orders for the month of July, and found the amount of error in each
one. The statistics for this sample were: = $6.0 and s = $17.012.
118. {Tractor Dealership Narrative} Estimate with 95% confidence the average amount of error per
purchase order for the entire month of July.
ANS:
119. {Tractor Dealership Narrative} Why should the finite population correction factor (FPCF) be used for
this problem? Explain.
ANS:
Because the population is less than 20 times the sample size (N = 925 < 20n = 2,000) the FPCF must
be used in calculating the standard error of estimate of the mean.
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
120. {Tractor Dealership Narrative} Estimate with 95% confidence the total amount of monetary error for
the month of July.
ANS:
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in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
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time, owing to the fact that the members were not pulling very well
together; and indeed, at one period during the early years of the war,
it seemed to be in danger of collapsing altogether. The bakery was
not very successful, because the quality of the bread which was being
produced left something to be desired, and this again was due in
some measure at least to the fact that the men employed did not
seem to realise that there were some operations in connection with
bread baking which could not afford to wait on the convenience of
anyone if disastrous results to the quality of the finished product
were not to accrue. On more than one occasion one or other of the
foremen in Ravenhill Bakery went down to Dublin to give the Co-
operative bakers there the benefit of his expert advice.
Finally, an invitation came from Dublin, asking that
representatives from the management of the Baking Society should
attend a meeting of representatives from five societies in and around
that city, with a view to taking over and working the bakery
belonging to Dublin Industrial Society in the interests of Co-
operators in and around the city. The members of the board
discussed the question in all its bearings—social, political, and
financial. They recognised that the cause of Co-operation in Dublin
was much in need of a helping hand, and they were also well aware of
the difficulties from a trade point of view which would confront
them, but they resolved to attend the conference. They suggested,
however, that representatives from the executive of the Co-operative
Union, the Irish Agricultural Wholesale Society, and the Belfast
advisory committee should also be invited.
At the same time, a request for the erection of a branch bakery was
received from Enniskillen Society and several agricultural societies in
the neighbourhood of that town, and the deputation took advantage
of the opportunity which their visit to Dublin gave them to visit
Enniskillen also. The information gained in the course of this visit
was discussed at a special meeting of the board, which was held on
23rd August, when it was resolved, in the interest of the Co-operative
movement generally, and in view of the success which had attended
other efforts, to place the subject on the programme of business for
the quarterly meeting, with a recommendation from the board that
they be empowered to establish branch bakeries in Ireland. When
the recommendation came before the quarterly meeting of the
members, Mr Gerrard explained that there were a number of small
associations of Co-operators in various districts in Ireland who were
anxious to use Co-operatively-produced bread, but who could not be
expected to produce it for themselves. They were situated so far from
Belfast that they could not be supplied economically from there, and
the only other alternative was that small branch bakeries should be
opened in these districts. Already negotiations had taken place, but
before the members of the board went further, they wished to know
whether the delegates were prepared to continue the policy of good
work which had been begun at Belfast. The recommendation of the
board was approved by a very large majority of the representatives of
the societies present at the meeting, in opposition to an amendment
which laid down the proposition that “no new bakery be erected in
Ireland until definite details had been submitted for approval to an
ordinary or special meeting of the Society.”
After some further inquiries had been made, the board as a whole
gave further consideration to the question at a special meeting which
was held on 27th November 1917. At this meeting it was stated that
in and around Dublin there were ten societies within a radius of
twenty miles, whose capital amounted in the aggregate to about
£3,000. Dublin Society were willing to dispose of their bakery for
£2,000. Only a meagre response had been given, however, to
inquiries as to the amount of trade which was likely to be obtained
from these ten societies, but the opinion was expressed that if the
branch was once established the trade would be sure to come in time.
Reference was made at this meeting to the lethargic state of the Co-
operators of the district, and to the need which existed to give the
movement a lift out of the weak state into which it had fallen. All the
members of the committee who had visited the district were
impressed with the fact that a good field for Co-operative work
existed, provided that good management was given. The committee
expressed agreement that, given normal conditions, there were
reasonable prospects of the success of a branch established at
Dublin, but they were divided on the question of whether the
purchase should be made at that time, and remitted the decision on
that point to the whole board.
With respect to the proposal to establish a branch at Enniskillen,
the members who had visited the district were in agreement. There
was in the district a nucleus sufficient to warrant placing a branch
there, but no bakery was available, although a building capable of
being made into a bakery could be purchased. The restrictions placed
on the use of building material and on the supplying of machinery
placed an embargo on going ahead at the moment, however, and
they must wait until the war was over.
Mr Young, the manager, spoke strongly in favour of rendering help
to Dublin Society; but he pointed out that for some time, at least,
there would be little surplus if any, although when the district was
penetrated thoroughly with Co-operative principles there would
come ample compensation for the initial sacrifices. He thought,
therefore, that it was the clear duty of the Baking Society to take it in
hand. The board, however, was very evenly divided on the question,
five voting for making no recommendation to take over the Dublin
bakery meantime, while six voted in favour of making such a
recommendation. With respect to Enniskillen, however, the board
were unanimous that a branch should be established there as soon as
possible, and agreed to recommend that this be proceeded with at
the end of the war. At the quarterly meeting held in December,
however, the proposal to take over Dublin Society’s bakery and
establish a branch there was defeated, although that to establish a
branch at Enniskillen was approved. How much the situation which
had developed in Dublin and neighbourhood in the spring of 1916
had to do with the decision of the delegates it is impossible to say,
but undoubtedly the political situation when combined with the
influence of the known apathy towards Co-operation of the people of
Dublin and the financial risk with no sure prospects of recovery
weighed with the delegates when coming to the decision they did.
Since then premises have been acquired at Enniskillen, on a site
quite near to the premises of the S.C.W.S., and the whole position
has been surveyed thoroughly, but no definite steps to erect a bakery
there have yet been taken as the cost of building materials has been
found prohibitive.
Shortly after the outbreak of war the U.C.B.S. became shareholders
to the extent of £1,000 in the Irish Agricultural Wholesale Society,
and at the quarterly meeting of members, which was held in
December 1918, they took up 100 one pound shares in the
Enniskillen Co-operative Milling Association, a Co-operative
association which has been formed to establish a meal mill at
Enniskillen.
So far we have been considering only the establishing of branches
of the Baking Society in Ireland, but requests for branches were
received at various times from widely distant parts of Scotland as
well. In particular, just at the time when a final decision was arrived
at on the question of taking over Dublin Society’s bakery, a request
was received from the neighbouring societies of Leadhills and
Wanlockhead that the Baking Society should take over and work a
bakery in Leadhills for the purpose of supplying these two societies
with bread. The master of works was sent to inspect, with the result
that, later, the board were empowered to open a bakery at the place
they deemed most suitable for supplying the trade of the district.
Like every other building scheme, this of theirs was hung up during
the war; but after careful consideration it was decided that a bakery
should be established in Leadhills, and this has now been done. An
application was received from Kirkconnel Society about the same
time as that from the Leadhills district, and it was thought at first
that one bakery might be erected which would suffice to serve both
districts, but an inspection of the road connecting the two places
showed that if this was not impracticable it would be at least
dangerous, and the idea was abandoned. Nothing further has been
done yet with respect to a branch at Kirkconnel.
ROTHESAY BRANCH.
For years attempts have been made to establish a branch of the Co-
operative movement in Rothesay, but this was found to be
impossible until the Baking Society took the job in hand. Their
possession of Roseland Camp on Canada Hill had given them a
footing in the town, and in some measure this was of assistance to
them. Early in 1917 the board received information that a bakery
situated on the water front was to let, and they made arrangements
to secure it with such celerity that by the 24th of March in that year it
came into their possession on a three years’ lease. They were not long
in possession, however, before they were informed that the lease
would not be renewed when it expired. It seems that the private
traders of the town had made representations to the owner of the
property, and this was the result. For years the traders had proved
uniformly successful in preventing Co-operation from getting a
foothold in the town, and they were not going to be baulked without
an effort to prevent it. But the directors of the Baking Society were
just as determined as were the traders of Rothesay, and after lengthy
and long-continued negotiations with the directors of the Wholesale
Society, who had been on the lookout for premises in Rothesay for
many years but had been uniformly unsuccessful in securing them,
the Baking Society became, early in 1918, proprietors of the property
in which their bakery was situated.
The property which had been purchased included a shop which
could be used as a grocery department, and for some time efforts
were made to get one or other of the Glasgow societies to open a
branch there, but unsuccessfully. The committee of Clydebank
Society were inclined to view the matter favourably, but when the
question was brought before a general meeting of the members of the
society for their approval, they refused to consent. Greenock Central
Society were also given the opportunity of opening a branch, but they
also were afraid to venture in face of the prevailing restrictions on
supplies. The result was that those who had been customers of the
Baking Society in Rothesay were invited to form a society of their
own, the Wholesale Society and the Baking Society subscribing a
large part of the capital between them. The society was formed with
Mr William Maxwell, J.P., president of the International Co-
operative Alliance, as president. Co-operation had been established
in Rothesay.
The traders of the town had not yet shot their bolt, however. The
Co-operative bakery was doing well, and it was possible that a Co-
operative grocery and provision business would do equally well; but,
fortunately for the traders, the local Food Control Committee refused
permission to the new society to open their grocery branch, on the
plea that the shops already open in the town were sufficient in
number to do the trade, and in this attitude they were backed up by
the Edinburgh Court. At the beginning of 1919, however, the
embargo was removed, and the new society has proved very
successful.
SUBSIDISED BREAD.
In September of 1917 the Food Control Department of the
Government decided to fix the price of the four-pound loaf at
ninepence, giving the flour to the bakers at 44/3 a sack. As the stocks
which the bakers had bought had cost much more than this price, the
Food Control Department agreed to make up the difference between
44/3 and the invoice price, allowing a maximum discount on the
invoice price of 18/ per sack. A maximum allowance for carriage,
baking material, and wages was 23/ per sack. When the Baking
Society had taken stock of their flour they found that the difference
between the discount allowed by the Government and the invoice
price of the flour represented a loss to the Society of nearly £7,000.
To the delegates at the quarterly meeting the chairman explained
that this was due to the fact that the Society had purchased a large
quantity of white flour in order to improve the quality of the bread.
This flour had cost from 80/ to 90/ a sack, and even with the
maximum Government discount allowed they were losing about 30/
a sack.
The general result of the Government’s policy was that bread
which, if sold at a price which corresponded with the market price of
flour, would have cost one shilling for the four-pound loaf, has been
sold at ninepence, the taxpayer paying the difference, which
amounted to about £50,000,000 per annum.
AN INDUSTRIAL COUNCIL.
Early in 1918 an Industrial Council for the Baking Trade was set up
on the lines laid down in the Report of the Royal Commission for the
avoidance of Industrial Disputes. On this council Mr James Young,
manager of the Baking Society, was appointed to look after the
interests of the Co-operative societies in Scotland which had bread
bakeries. The objects of the council provide for the joint
consideration by representatives of employers and employees of such
questions as wages, working conditions, regulation of employment,
entry of apprentices and their training. So far as it has gone the
council has proved of service in bringing representatives of the
employers and the workers together at regular intervals to discuss
affairs of the trade.
EMPLOYEES ON MILITARY SERVICE.
The Baking Society contributed its full quota to the Forces of the
Crown during the war. In all 426 employees served in one or other of
the Arms of the Crown: M‘Neil Street contributing 331; Clydebank,
60; Belfast, 34; and Rothesay, 1. Of that number fifty made the great
sacrifice, eleven became prisoners of war, and forty-four were
discharged as unfit for further service; while, at the signing of the
armistice, 321 men were still serving. To these men or their
dependants the Society paid from 4th August 1914 to 26th January
1919, the date which marks the end of the fiftieth year of the Society’s
existence, the sum of £30,105. The arrangement made by the
directors was that each man who joined up should receive half-wages
irrespective of what his Army allowance might be. By this method
they ensured that the men with the largest number of dependants
should be in receipt of the largest total incomes.
THE END OF THE TASK.
We have now come to the end of our task. In the preceding pages
we have traced the growth of the Society from its infancy when it was
cradled in the little bakery in Coburg Street; we have followed it
through all the struggles of its early years, and have seen difficulty
after difficulty surmounted. Growth has followed on growth, and the
Society has gone on adding to its usefulness until it stands to-day a
monument to the faith and foresight of the men who conceived it,
and a monument also to the shrewdness and integrity of the men
who in successive generations have had charge of its welfare. In its
early years the directors were often in need of money with which to
meet expenses. To-day it has invested funds not required at the
moment for business purposes, and including £70,000 in War Loan,
which amount in the aggregate to considerably over £300,000. It
began with a membership of eight societies and a few pounds of
capital. At the end of the fiftieth year the share capital was almost
£250,000; while loans and deposits were in excess of that sum, and
there were 211 shareholding societies.
The prospect is rosy. The directors are on the outlook for new
worlds to conquer. Already they have devised plans whereby they can
come to the assistance of the Glasgow societies in setting up shops
for the sale of teabread and pastries. They have requests for branch
bakeries from various parts of Scotland and Ireland which have yet
to be considered. They have the ever-increasing urgency of the
transport problem to deal with, and on them falls, also, the duty of
counteracting the ever-present tendency on the part of societies at
the outskirts to break off and begin baking for themselves. That is to
say, they have ever before them the problem of making the huge
organisation which they control more and ever more efficient, while
maintaining those good relations with their employees which have
been such a noteworthy feature during the long life of the Society;
and they have to continue to do this while continuing to manifest
that true spirit of Co-operation and brotherliness which has been so
distinguishing a feature of the attitude and atmosphere which
surrounds the Federation. That they will achieve all this there is little
doubt, for the directors of to-day are worthy successors of the men
who wrought and fought that the Federation might stand where it
does.
CHAPTER XX.
EDUCATIONAL WORK.