Professional Documents
Culture Documents
LSDP 2052 Full Report
LSDP 2052 Full Report
M FR
M O IC
FU E D A
LL G EL ’S
V A
ER C
S I
IO T
N Y
Ministry of Economic Planning and Budget
Photography:
1. Ademola Olaniran
197 pages; 28 x 30 cm
Table of Contents
Preface 1
Foreword 1
Developing the LSDP 2052 4
Executive Summary 5
Preface
Foreword
to achieving world-class status economically,
financially, and socially. From climate change to
technology, infrastructure and social services, the
hurdles have increased significantly. While these
challenges pose a serious threat to our city’s growth,
I see them as opportunities to unlock our potential
for a bright future. As we are nearing the end of the
Lagos State Development Plan (LSDP) 2012-2025
and confront a rise in global challenges, there is a
need to articulate a new long-term development
plan which builds on this success by providing
actionable goals.
GOVERNOR OF LAGOS’
the framework our State needs to continue on the
path of becoming Africa’s Model Mega City, a global,
1
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Preface
Lagos has been the premier hub for economic and It is my firm belief that Lagos is poised to be
business activities not just in Nigeria, but Western Africa’s Model Mega City. The LSDP 2052 provides
Africa as well. Yet with a growing population and the blueprint for the next 30years to guide the
immense potential to be fulfilled, there is still a long evolution of all sectors of the economy, as well as
way to go for the State. public, private, and civil society. We must act now
to continue to achieve the full potential of Lagos
In 2012, the Lagos State Development Plan 2012- State – a task we are more than equal to if our
2025 was launched to provide a long-term, holistic, efforts are concerted.
strategic framework and vision for the State’s
development. As 2025 draws nearer with the promise
2
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Preface
3
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Preface
Lagos State is an economic powerhouse in has been formulated to address these challenges
Nigeria, and more importantly, a rapidly-growing while also articulating bold actions that will propel
powerhouse – growth in terms of business, Lagos into the future it promises its residents, the
opportunities and aspiration. But this growth has also country and the world, becoming a Model Mega City.
been accompanied by a rise in multiple challenges.
Home to the largest urban metropolis in the country, The Approach
Lagos has had to navigate the hurdles of extreme
Our approach has been based on insights and
poverty levels, inadequate infrastructure, poor safety
findings derived after thoroughly understanding
and security, weak social services and a polluted
the complex frameworks and systems with action
and vulnerable environment. Lagos attained mega-
plans that are designed to not just promise, but
city status in 1995 – but has much to do to live up
deliver to great effect.
to that status even decades later.
The LSDP 2052 has been developed over four phases:
During this period, successive governments have
Baseline assessment of Lagos’ starting position and
made concerted efforts to transform Lagos, which
ambition setting, prioritization of key sectors and
have yielded considerable improvements. These
enablers to achieve the set targets, development
efforts have been guided by high-level documents
of strategic initiatives based on the highest impact
which focused on implementing detailed sector
levers to achieve the set goals and articulation
strategies, as well as by internationally and
of the implementation roadmap to ensure the
locally agreed development efforts including the
successful implementation of the plan. The 30-
Millennium Development Goals and the Sustainable
year plan was developed by harmonizing insights
Development Goals. However, the lack of a unified,
from various strategy and development plans,
long-term strategic plan to harmonize these efforts
benchmarking Lagos against 70 global comparable
resulted in inconsistent improvements in key areas
cities and synthesizing success factors and best
and many of Lagos’ historical ills have remained.
practices from global peers. The plan was also
The Lagos State Development Plan (2012-2025) informed with inputs from a wide range of sources:
began to take shape in 2012, following rigorous Engagement across the executive and legislative
baselining exercises and stakeholder consultations branches of government, survey of current and
at Ehingbeti and other platforms. The maiden Lagos former Lagos residents, stakeholder groups across
State Development Plan (2012–2025) was launched the five administrative districts of the State i.e.,
with the intention of harmonizing all existing high- IBILE, and the Federal Government Medium-term
level policy documents, articulated the State’s development plan.
Vision 2025 to become Africa’s Model Mega-City,
The LSDP 2052 is an all-encompassing master plan
and provided an overall strategic framework and
that is ambitious and bold, with clear action points
direction for the State’s development efforts.
and overarching initiatives, strategies and targets
As 2025 nears and the period for the first plan ends, that have been defined with a singular vision in
His Excellency, Mr. Babajide Olusola Sanwo-Olu, The mind – to transform Lagos State from an economic
Executive Governor of Lagos, recognized the growing powerhouse into a prosperous, developed and
intensity of the challenges and has commissioned bustling Model Mega City of Africa.
this effort to refresh the vision and set the strategic
framework and overall direction for the next 30
years, through 2052.
4
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Preface
Executive Summary
Finding the right key to unlock have been defined to optimize land use and
potential distribution of activities by reducing density in the
centre and creating new districts supported by
It is no secret that Lagos State has vast potential critical infrastructure across power, transportation,
economically and financially. But as already power and energy, internet connectivity, water and
highlighted, the city faces significant bottlenecks sanitation and waste management.
that may stifle its development if not quickly and
effectively addressed. High potential and high growth
Effectiveness taking effect
meant that there was a need to define a long-term
vision for Lagos to become Africa’s Model Mega City Turning plan into action is key to any transformation.
-a global, economic and financial hub that is safe, And the foundation for achieving the vision for
secure, functional and productive. 2052 is Effective Governance. Lagos will have a
supportive and enabling environment that improves
Thriving, not surviving and creates opportunities for Lagosians. The LSDP
has highlighted clear objectives to strengthen Lagos
The anchor objective for LSDP 2052 is to accelerate State Government’s ability to respond efficiently to
economic development by creating highly productive citizens’ requests, increase and diversify Internally
jobs at scale. As a result, Lagos will have a Thriving Generated Revenues (IGR) to 5% of the GDP and
Economy, an economy that is robust, healthy and attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows to
accelerating with adequate employment and critical sectors of the economy.
strategic investments to sustain the growth. Lagos
will become the national and regional economic
The vision for tomorrow is already
powerhouse for food and beverage manufacturing
and wholesale and retail trade. The mega city will
taking shape today
be a top global destination and hub for shipping The LSDP 2052 defines 400+ initiatives, of which
and logistics services, financial services and fintech, the Lagos State Government has commenced
media and entertainment and an incubator for implementing the quick-win initiatives required to
developing SMEs and tech-based ecosystems. institutionalize the LSDP. The LSDP 2052’s success
depends on adequate financing of these sub-
Focussing on being human sectors, the active support of Lagosians and the
long-term integration of the plan into the medium-
It is the people that make a city. With a growing
term and annual planning cycles of the State.
population, it is essential that Lagos becomes a
human-centric city where every Lagosian will
have access to affordable, world-class education,
healthcare, housing and social services. The LSDP
articulates clear targets and strategic initiatives
that will establish Lagos as a city that attracts
and develops key talent. This key talent will fulfil
the anchor objective by delivering quality living
conditions across education, health, housing, safety
and security.
5
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Lagos Today
1
Chapter
6
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Lagos Today
Lagos
Today
TODAY, LAGOS IS A MELTING POT OF VARIOUS
CULTURES, RELIGIONS AND IDENTITIES. IT IS ALSO
A GATEWAY INTO NIGERIA AND WEST AFRICA.
Lagos generates 15% of Nigeria’s Nigeria is at the forefront of Africa’s economic prowess,
boasting the highest Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GDP, combining a rich heritage in the continent. What is remarkable is that Lagos is
and a vibrant economy for an responsible for 15% of that GDP with over N 20 trillion1.
exciting future. To highlight its economic potential further, Lagos ranks
as the 8th largest economy in Africa, illustrating its
position as a hive of economic activity.
GDP of the largest African countries (by size of economy) in 2019, including Lagos State
Nigeria 503
Egypt 398
South
359
Africa
Algeria 177
Morocco 113
Angola 110
Ethiopia 90
Lagos1 84 ~15%
of Nigeria GDP
Kenya 84
1
Oxford Economics - USD conversion to naira at 2015 rate
7
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Lagos Today
Lagos has evolved over time to become the trade and financial capital of Nigeria
Lagos: A Gateway Into Nigeria And Lagos has a dynamic and growing
West Africa population.
Today, Lagos is home to the strategically located In 2052, Lagos will have 32 million residents.
Apapa port, one of Africa’s largest ports and the
fourth busiest port in the continent. Lagos is projected to surpass 32 million by 2052
from its current 22 million. This will primarily be due
• Maritime traffic: Our coastal location strategically to the continuous migration from other states and
positions us to lead international trade by serving African countries as Lagos emerges as the land of
as a gateway to Nigeria and the West African possibilities. In contrast though, Lagos accounts for
region. 75% of Nigeria’s imports pass through the smallest landmass area amongst all 36 states
Lagos ports. In addition, 50% of cargo movements in Nigeria.
in the North and Central African subregion pass
• Limited landmass: At 3,500 km2, we have the
our borders.
smallest landmass amongst all 36 states in
• Air traffic: Lagos boasts the Murtala Mohammad Nigeria, which makes up about 0.4% of the total
International Airport, the busiest airport in Nigeria. landmass area
Over 80% of international traffic routes through
• Population density: We are the most densely
Lagos and more than 30% of domestic flights
populated state with 22 million1 residents and
pass through Lagos’ Murtala Muhmmad Airport.
a population density of approximately 8000
persons/km2, which is 40 times Nigeria’s average
of 200 persons/km2
1
Estimated population of Lagos State 2019
8
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Lagos Today
Lagos has the smallest landmass and is the most densely populated state in Nigeria
Sokoto
Katsina
Jigawa
Zamfara Yobe
Kano Borno
Kebbi
Kaduna
Bauchi
Niger Gombe
Kwara Adamawa
Plateau
FCT
Abuja
Nasarawa
Oyo
Taraba
Ekiti Kogi
Osun
Benue
Ogun Ondo
Enu
Edo Anam- Ebonyi
bra
Lagos
Delta Imo Abia Cross
River
Akwa
Bayelsa Rivers Ibom
E W
No. of persons/km2
9
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Vision
Living conditions and Spatial planning and
Economy social infrastructure physical infrastructure
Governance, fiscal
environment and investments
The development framework covers all the … as well as the MDAs of the Lagos State
UN Sustainable Development Goals… Government
• No poverty • No poverty • Ministry of Economic • Ministry of Energy and
• Zero hunger • Zero hunger Planning & Budget Mineral Resources
• Decent work and • Good health and • Ministry of Energy and • Ministry of Health
economic growth well-being Mineral Resources • Ministry of Transportation
• Industry, • Quality education • Ministry of Finance • Ministry of Education
innovation, and • Gender equality • Ministry of Agriculture • Ministry of Environment &
infrastructure • Clean water and • Ministry of Transportation Water Resources
• Responsible sanitation • Ministry of Education • Ministry of Waterfront
consumption and • Affordable and clean • Ministry of Tourism, Arts & Infrastructure
production energy Culture • Ministry of Housing
• Decent work and • Ministry of Waterfront • Ministry of Physical
economic growth Infrastructure Planning
• Reduced inequalities • Ministry of Wealth Creation and Urban Development
• Responsible and Employment • Ministry of Works &
consumption and • Ministry of Physical Planning Infrastructure
production and Urban Development
• Life on land • Ministry of Science and
• Peace, justice, and Technology
strong institutions • Ministry of Information &
Strategy
• Ministry of Commerce &
Industry
10
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Chapter
11
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Confronting our
Reality: Strengths
and Opportunities
LAGOS HAS HUGE POTENTIAL, HOWEVER,
SIGNIFICANT BOTTLENECKS NEED TO BE RESOLVED
TO UNLOCK THIS POTENTIAL.
Strengths that make us believe in contributor to Nigeria’s GDP, but its own growth is
greater than that of the country! Over the past 15
the future of Lagos years, Lagos has outpaced African and emerging
Lagos has a thriving economy that is known for its market peers1 with a Compound Annual Growth
rapid growth. In fact, not only is Lagos the biggest Rate (CAGR) of 6% - fast, thriving and expanding.
Lagos's economy is fast growing and outpacing its African and Emerging Market peers
12
1
African peers: Johannesburg, Nairobi, Cairo; EM peers Mumbai, Sao Paulo, Mexico City, Jakarta
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Lagos business and labour MSME activity is mostly concentrated in trade and
landscape is dominated manufacturing activities2
by micro-enterprises1
Breakdown Breakdown
Share of enterprises
of businesses of businesses
by business activity (%)
by segment (%) by labor (%)
0.3% 5.4% 2% 1%
6% 8% 5%
7%
9%
18% 9% Education
20% 13%
Trade
SMEs 23%
21% 23% Agriculture
99.7% 94.6% Micro
Construction
23%
Mfg.
42% 43%
Accom & food
27%
Other
Micro Small Medium
Share of total
Contribution Contribution
Figure 6: Lagos State has a booming entrepreneurship landscape driven by MSME activities
Note: Micro enterprise - <10 employees, <5 million total assets, <20 million annual turnover; Small enterprise - >11<50 employees, >5<100 million
in assets, <100 million annual turnover; Medium enterprise - >51<200 employees, >100<500 million total assets, <500 million annual turnover
Source: 2017 NBS/SMEDAN National Survey; External consultant analysis
• Lagos is a top destination for tech and digital landscape that is dominated by micro enterprises
investment in Africa with over 30% CAGR, i.e., $1.5 that is mostly concentrated in trade and other
billion in equity funding in the past five years. This manufacturing activities. These MSMEs are also
is even more relevant in the business and labour crucial as they enable economic prosperity and
1
Based on 2017 NBS/SMEDAN National Survey 13
2
Country data as a proxy for State
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
boost employment. This has had a direct effect valued at $2 billion, with about 550 start-ups that
on establishing the start-up culture in the state. attract more funding than African peers.
Today, the Lagos State start-up ecosystem is
Nigeria is a top destination for venture capital investment in Africa, with the majority
concentrated in the FinTech vertical sector
1,727
1,139
Venture capital funding (US$ million)
971
27%
12% Nigeria
32%
12% 24%
7% Egypt
466
26%
37% 23%
South
297 8%
33% Africa
37% 32%
36% 27%
32%
31% 31% Kenya
FinTech 43.8%
Enterprise 2.7%
AgriTech 2.1%
Figure 7: Lagos is a top destination for technology and digital investment in Africa
Source: Partech Africa Tech VC Report 2020; External consultant analysis
14
1
Funding focused on equity deals higher than US$ 200k within the tech & digital spaces;
2
Others include: InsurTech, EdTech, etc.
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
• Consumer, financial and business services services sectors. These sectors have been
continue to propel our GDP growth. It is not a outperforming others to become the key drivers
surprise that an economic hub like Lagos is of the GDP growth.
fuelled largely by its consumer and financial
33.3%
Lagos GDP 2019 breakdown
by sector performance
20.7%
Public Financial &
services business services
Industry Agriculture
10.7%
0.8%
Figure 8: Consumer, financial and business services are key GDP drivers of Lagos State Lagos
Source: Oxford Economics; External consultant analysis
Lagos is a representation of its people As people make cities, they also make music, art
– committed, ambitious and socially and so much more. Lagos is the epitome of creative
industries in Africa, encompassing Nollywood,
connected.
music production and visual arts.
It is the people that make a city. Lagosians have • Centre of Nollywood. The industry has grown 12%
always been known to be kind and respectful CAGR in the 2016-2021, positioning us as second
people, supporting each other through every period. to Bollywood
This can be depicted through the increased social
interactions and high intensity of celebrations • Theatres, museums and art galleries. Lagos has
across the state throughout the year. There is a 14 theatres, 54 cinema screens, 51 art galleries
great sense of pride when it comes to the history and and 12 museums1
culture of the state, with a lot of room for diversity.
• Lagos boasts a dynamic music scene and is the
It is this very nature of this State’s culture that has
primary export of afrobeat globally
made it a melting pot of diversity with over 250
Nigerian ethnic groups and international settlers.
1
Lagos (worldcitiescultureforum.com) 15
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Lagos State has made significant strides over the A shock-proof economy: The need
years in development. However, the state continues of the hour
to face increasing challenges, which Lagos must
address to become a model mega city. Despite changing global and domestic
macroeconomic context, the Lagos State
Rapid Urbanization economy has not been resilient enough to
Even though the State’s economy has been fast- withstand economic shocks. For example, the
growing over the last 15 years at ~6% CAGR, the COVID 19 pandemic and oil price slump in 15-19 led
growth has not been strong enough to offset the to massive unemployment (24%) and contracted
impact of rapid urbanization, resulting in increasing wealth. This results from the economic structure,
unemployment rates and declining wealth (GDP which is characterized by a high share of financial
per capita). and business services that are driven by internal
demand and subject to changes in export revenues,
As we look ahead, economic growth needs e.g., declining oil revenue.
to outpace urbanization to ensure sustained
development gains in wealth (GDP per capita) and
employment significantly.
Rapid urbanization and recent economic shocks have led to massive unemployment
and declining wealth
+3%
+7.1% -1.1% 26.4
20.5 23.3
+9.3% 18.1 6%
8%
+8.1% 16.0 4%
2%
17 23 22
12 100% 98% 96% 94% 92%
9
2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019
-4% 24.0%
+5%
2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019
16
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
The best way out of such scenarios is to structurally sectors that also drive import substitution with local
transform the economy by building a significant production and increase the state’s export potential
share of industry and increasing orientation of – this will help build resilience and ensure uninhibited
sectors. Looking ahead, we must develop economic growth of the economy.
Volatility on back of the crisis was as a result of the economic structure, characterized by high
share of financial & business services that's internal demand driven
Financial and business services were the key contributors to Lagos GDP decline in 2015-17
23.0 0.0
+0.1 +0.1
-0.4
+8.1%
Financial and
business services are
driven by internal 21.3
demand, hence more
-1.5 0.0
susceptible to shocks
2015 Agriculture Industry Consumer Transport Fin & Bus Public 2017
services & ICT services
Figure 10: Financial and business services were the key contributors to Lagos GDP decline in 2015-17
Source: Central Bank of Nigeria; Nigeria Bureau of Statistics; Oxford Economics; working team analysis
17
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Quality of life: Lagos significantly lags peers across most dimensions considered
in the benchmarking
Resilience to
emergency 0 Small number of hospitals, ICU and doctors
situations
Lagos Average for cities: Average for cities: Average for cities:
Johannesburg, Nairobi, Cairo Mumbai, Sau Paulo, Mexico New York, Moscow, Seoul, Shanghai
Figure 11: Quality of Life in Lagos benchmarked against peer's economies, revealed significant gaps
Source: "Cities for everyone" survey assessment
There are multiple factors that influence Lagos State’s huge difference in comparison to peers. High rental
low score along these dimensions that directly affect costs also make Lagos expensive to live in. Limited
quality of life. Limited availability of many basic and options in terms of public transport make mobility
social needs is the root cause of this performance. not only expensive, but dangerous as well with high
The education system has much to be improved, accident rates recorded. Another factor is the limited
with low literacy rates a result of improper planning. availability of land and a large population that leads
Supply and quality of housing is low with 66% of to dense overcrowding and congestion.
the population living in informal settlements – a
18
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Public and private school availability is relatively Limited land availability and large population
low compared to peer average leads to dense overcrowding
Number of hospital beds per 100,000 Number of total police stations per 100,000
230 0.9
0.6
143 140
0.3
50
N/A
Figure 12: Limited availability of critical social infrastructure in Lagos against peer's economies
Source: Cities for Everyone survey; Press search; Desk research studies; World Bank; External consultant analysis
The availability of public and private schools in Lagos populated areas. Safety in Lagos State is impacted by
State is relatively low compared to peer cities like the relatively low security services that are available
Nairobi, while 87% of available schools are privately in the State. As we look to become a global mega
owned. The healthcare sector is in great need of city, Lagos must increasingly focus on its residents’
an overhaul, as hospital and medical supply is satisfaction, well-being and safety – to ensure that
low, and ranks significantly below Johannesburg, the state continues to attract and retain the talent
Cairo and Nairobi considering the population size. required to be economically competitive.
Further, there is limited land availability, and a large
population leads to dense overcrowding in already
19
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Commercial activities: Commercial centres • The low availability of green spaces is highly
account for 12% of the total land use. However, correlated with low population density
commercial activity is highly concentrated along
Infrastructure: The deficit in power sub-stations
the main transportation routes, and there is limited
demonstrate a supply-gap in key infrastructure
commercial activity outside the retail centres
required for economic and living activities
• The majority of commercial activity/hubs are
• The Mainland-Island corridor accounts for
concentrated along the Mainland-Island corridor
the majority of electricity sub-stations with
within select LGAs. Ikeja accounts for 15%, and
adequate distribution
Eti-Osa accounts for 14%, which also covers the
most transportation infrastructure • There is a large power infrastructure deficit in
peripheral regions
• About 42% of all commercial activity is conducted
through the informal sector, which is also highly Transportation: Major transportation infrastructure
concentrated on the Mainland-Island corridor and routes are concentrated within the Mainland-
Island corridor with large network gaps in
connecting LGAs
20
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
• Ikeja – Lagos Mainland corridor accounts for slum settlements through public and private
majority of the transportation networks, including construction projects
the planned red and blue metro lines
• Decentralize core commercial activities by
• Low availability of transportation infrastructure developing mixed-used urban economic
in the eastern and western region with centres with specific landmark activity (e.g.,
significant gaps industrial, commercial, education) thus balancing
commercial activity, driving population relocation
As we look ahead, we must de-densify the Mainland- and increasing infrastructure development.
Island corridor by redistributing the population to
low-density LGAs. This can be achieved through the • Grow a large-scale industrial manufacturing
development of new urban clusters. Considering sector by developing new industrial zones in
the economic transformation ambition, socio- Badagry, Epe, Ibeju Lekki, as well as organize and
spatial equality and ecological sustainability, this formalize small-scale industrial activities into
is a necessity. Achieving an ambitious plan of this high productive clusters
nature will require several activities across all major
land-use categories: • Increase modes, access and mobility through
new infrastructure investment for expansion,
• Increase housing supply across Lagos State diversification and rehabilitation of various
by developing new formal housing clusters in transport modes (water, rail, metro, etc.)
low-density LGAs and prioritize reduction of
Figure 13: Opportunity for Urban Development of Housing in Eastern and Western Lagos
Source: ESRI Street Map Premium; GRID 3 Nigeria datasets; The Humanitarian Data Exchange; Geo-analytics analysis
21
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
22
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Infrastructure deficit in power supply limits consumption and access with significant
annual power outage duration compared to peers
Access to the electric grid is below … with huge annual power outages
the peer 77% average… indicating lack of reliability of the grid
80%
70%
60%
615
64 20
3,099
2,222
Best Worst
• Transport: The development of urban and » Diversification and availability: Roads account
modern mobility infrastructure such as water for about 93% of total passengers/goods traffic,
and rail have a long way to go as compared to with up to 2 million vehicles moving across
peers, adding significant pressure on our already- 7598 km of state road daily (~264 vehicles/km).
constrained road system.
23
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
11.55 80 78
67
59
Planned
Red, blue
and
viaduct
rail
2.93 lengths
0.14 0.05
1.0%
Water transportation
underdeveloped compared to
Cairo city
Best Worst
24
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
• Environment: Every growing economy is With increasing urbanization, population growth and
accompanied by rapid urbanization. For environmental issues (accelerated by inadequate
Lagos, this also means dealing with significant flood prevention and drainage systems), these
environmental threats. Lagos is particularly risks are expected to intensify even further in the
exposed to these challenges due to high flooding coming years.
exacerbated by the inadequate drainage
system which is immediate need of complete We must increase the supply of infrastructure across
network rehabilitation. power, transport and the environment to meet the
demands of a growing population and mitigate the
Lagos State has a significant share of low-lying impacts of climate change on the environment.
coastal areas that are highly vulnerable to flood risks.
PM2.5 content, average annual growth rate (µg/m3) Collection capacity (% of total municipal waste)
33 28
14
45%
39%
Low share of solid waste recycling
significantly below peers 27%
10%
Recycling of total collected waste (%)
Cairo Johannesburg Nairobi Lagos
Best Worst
Figure 16: Lagos faces significant environmental threats connected to rapid urbanization leading to air, land, and water pollution
Source: World Bank; USAID; Desk research studies; Government websites; External consultant analysis;
25
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Citizens’ Trust
KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR LSDP 2052:
Ø 27
16
26
1
Relative level of trust to police, courts and local administration. Maximum of 100
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
Voter participation in state elections has declined over the last 4 election cycles
(i.e. voting reduced from 43% to 18%)
Voter turnout i.e., % of registered voters who Voter turnout i.e. % of registered voters who
casted valid ballots casted valid ballots
57%
43%
34% 45%
32%
29%
33p.p
18%
18%
1
2003 and 2007 voter turnout figures were estimated from national turnout reports 27
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
LASG revenue has grown nominally at ~12% CAGR over the past 5 years, however,
performance has been ~20-30% below budget projections
18%
72.0%
68.6% 72.5%
15.6%
34.2% 35.6% 35.0%
30.4% 27.7%
27.5%
1.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20201
0.90
0.49 0.51
0.45
0.38
28
1
2020 revenue based on external consultant analysis as projection of pessimistic revenue considering the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic
2
Internally Generated Revenue
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
In 2019, about 90% of Lagos State’s revenue was Lagos is faced with two key challenges regarding
generated from two main streams: Taxation income revenues: 1) Revenue generation has increasingly
(54%) and statutory allocation from the Federal been below targets, and 2) Revenue has mainly been
Government (36%). dependent on taxes from the population (PAYE tax)
to fund core sectors and services. In comparison, our
Lagos State’s tax income makes up about 70% of the peers are generating more revenue predominantly
state’s Internally Generated Revenue (IGR), which from service charges and property tax, which is
is primarily driven by Pay-As-You-Earn tax (PAYE). contrary to Lagos, which is highly dependent on PAYE.
IGR: Peers generate revenues predominantly from service charges and property tax,
contrary to Lagos which is highly dependent on personal income (PAYE) tax
Mexico
City 21% 28% 17% 11% 23%
Figure 20: Lagos State's share of Internally Generated Revenue Relative to Peers
Source: City of Johannesburg, Nairobi City County, City of Mumbai, Jakarta City Government, New York City, City of Moscow public statements
29
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
So what does this mean for the state? Lagos State’s as education and healthcare. It is imperative that
relatively low revenue generation impacts our ability Lagos diversifies its revenue and attracts more FDI
to spend on service delivery and infrastructure. This by growing other revenue streams significantly. One
insufficient revenue collection drives a higher share possible way of doing that could be by increasing
of collective spending by households and citizens revenue from land-use charges and service charges
on delivery and access to essential services, such from providing services to citizens.
4%
1%
KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR LSDP 2052: » Expanding the tax bracket to increase PAYE
revenue base
• We must significantly increase internally
generated revenue to financeboth » Growing other revenue streams significantly
operational and capital expenditures e.g., service charges and property tax
Insufficient FDI Flows other peer cities. Even though FDI flows have grown
at approximated 17% over the past 15 years, the
flows have been volatile without a targeted focus on
Lagos receives insufficient FDI flows sectors of the economy. A key factor for this pattern
While growing economies rely heavily on it, Lagos, is the business environment, which has been volatile
however, has not received her sufficient share of and unpredictable.
Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) flows. In fact, Lagos
attracts 50% less in FDI inflows when compared to
30
1
African Peers – Johannesburg
2
EM Peers - Mumbai
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
~50% 28.6
1.5%
23.1
3%
12.4
3.1%
Lagos African peers average EM peer average
Figure 22: Relative to peers, Lagos State attracts 50% fewer FDIs
Source: FDI markets; External consultant analysis
Foreign Direct Investment inflows have had limited strategic focus on particular
sectors of the economy
Figure 23: FDI flows have been volatile without targeted focus on sectors of the economy
Source: FDI markets; Press releases; External consultant analysis
31
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
A factor for low FDI inflow is the business environment; bottom 20% of 190 economies
on 5 out of 10 Ease of Doing Business indicators if ranked
Ranking
on Ease
of Doing 60 28 73
Business
Index (190
countries) 105 160 148
172
185 179
Worst
Ranking 18 12 45 44 3 4 37 44 9 32
in Lower
Middle
Income
bracket Under LASG Lagos' ranking based
(47 control
XX on computed score
countries)
Figure 24: Lagos ranks in the bottom 20% of 190 economies on 5 out of 10 Ease of Doing Business indicators when ranked
Note: Lagos rankings computed by interpolating between the two countries with higher and worse scores than Lagos, if it were ranked as a
country. Nigeria is classified as Lower Middle Income country in the Ease of Doing Business Index 2019
Source: The World Bank, Ease of Doing Business Index 2019
32
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Confronting our Reality
33
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
3
Chapter
34
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
The
Strategy
The strategy was informed by The future of Lagos will not be decided by experts.
The people also have their say on what the State’s
insights from a broad range of future should look like, and we ensured that their
stakeholders: voices are heard. Through our survey, it is evident
that Lagosians are very clear on what they want
• The Federal Government of Nigeria to see improve. Around 52% of the respondents
• State leaders - executive and legislative identified investing in security enhancements and
provided inputs new hospitals as key areas of improvement.
Adequate transport
45%
and mobility
We heard from Lagosians
Figure 25: The top strengths and top weaknesses of Lagos from citizens'
Lagosians are clear on what they want to see feedback
Note: Question text: "Please select between 3 and 5 areas that, in your
improve. Approximately 52% of survey respondents view, are the strongest in Lagos" & 'Please select between 3 and
identified investing in improving security and 5 areas, that in your view are most important to be improved in Lagos
in the next 5 years"
building new hospitals as areas they want to see Source: Lagos State National Bureau of Statistics; Lagos Bureau of
the government fund. Statistics; World Bank; External consultant analysis
35
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Citizens survey
Citizens' desire for government funding to be allocated to areas that will improve
quality of life
52%
46%
40%
37%
26%
24%
22%
18%
12%
Invest into Build new Build new Build new Use to Build new Invest into Use to Improve
improving hospitals or transport schools or support housing improving support government
security improve infrastructure improve local environmental poor services
existing (roads, existing businesses situation people
bridges)
36
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Five key principles guided the » We will identify and engage private sector
players in the planning and implementation
development of the strategic process using best practices learned from
initiatives: benchmark cities
» We will preserve and protect the environment In addition, there were four key
against all forms of degradation through healthy
practices and processes, e.g., adoption of the
requirements we used to define
Paris Agreement (COP ‘26) or similar charters the prioritized initiatives:
» This will be covered under several Sustainable 1. Regulation and policy: Laws, policies and
Development Goals (SDG): Goal 7 (affordable regulations directly or indirectly impacting sector
and clean energy), Goal 11 (sustainable cities or enabler
and communities), Goal 12 (responsible
consumption and production), Goal 13 2 Investments: Capital and resources investments
(climate action) into infrastructure and large-scale projects
(i.e., either government-led, PPP, or private
3. Additionality: sector- led)
» Lagos State will generate value-add through
synergies and forward/backward integration 3 Financial incentives: Fiscal and financial
incentives, including tax holidays, loan
» We will improve and grow other related guarantees, repatriation of profits, etc.
activities, either complementary or along the
value chain, through synergies derived from 4 Partnerships and network support: Initiatives and
backward or forward integrations, e.g., the rise of mechanisms to develop ecosystems, increase
packaging and can manufacturing companies
attractiveness, and increase contribution and
as a result of food processing companies
level of engagement of the private sector
37
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
10X
800-1000
520
84
Becoming Africa’s Model Mega City by have achieved similar goals by prioritizing key areas.
2052: A global, economic and financial Similarly, Lagos too must prioritize sectors that will
hub that is safe, secure, functional and make achieving this anchor objective achievable.
The priority sectors are based on:
productive.
• Right to win, which is our starting position
Becoming a model mega city and global economic concerning the different focus areas of the
hub is a bold vision and will require equally economy and our competitive advantage.
courageous efforts to get there. Firstly, we must • Potential impact on achieving GDP contribution,
accelerate economic growth by 10x the current pace. job creation potential and resilience to
We need to create 9 million new highly productive macroeconomic and global shocks.
jobs at scale by 20523 with the objective of increasing
the employed population in 2020 from 4 million to The prioritized sectors will be proactively stimulated
the estimated number of 13 million in 2052. To ensure to deliver the highest contribution to the anchor
this, Lagos must develop, retain and attract top talent objectives while other sectors of the economy are
through training, by improving the overall standard highly monitored and addressed opportunistically.
of living and enhanced professional fulfilment at
the workforce. The principle is first, do no harm in all sectors: Remove
obstacles i.e., eliminate regulatory hurdles, artificial
barriers to entry, etc.
The anchor objective to achieve this
vision is to create highly productive
jobs at scale to accelerate economic
development.
1
Business as Usual, forecasted by Oxford Economics
38 2
LSDP’s aspiration is based on the vision to become Africa’s leading mega model city, i.e., an upper-middle-class city like Johannesburg, Jakarta,
Mexico, and São Paulo
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Global megacities have prioritized five to six Singapore has an anchor objective to build skills
economic sectors to achieve their anchor and a knowledge economy. To achieve this, they
objectives. Similarly, Lagos must also prioritize have prioritized five sectors:
key sectors for economic development.
Dubai has an anchor objective to build a strong • Financial services
and fair city for all. To achieve this, they have
• Electronics manufacturing
prioritized six sectors:
• Electronic machinery
• Financial services
• Tourism
• Tourism & entertainment
• Export trade
• Professional services
Jakarta has an anchor objective to accelerate
• Shipping & logistics
and expand economic development. To achieve
• Trade & storage this, they have prioritized five sectors:
• Construction
• Food manufacturing
• Textile manufacturing
• Machinery equipment
• Financial services
• Fashion
• Tourism
39
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Thriving Human-centric
Economy City
Lagos will have a robust, healthy and Every Lagosian will have access to
growing economy with adequate jobs affordable and world-class
and strategic investments to sustain the education, healthcare and social
growth services
Modern Effective
Infrastructure Governance
Lagos will have reliable and sufficient Lagos will have a supportive and
infrastructure that meets the needs of a enabling environment that creates
21st century city opportunities for all Lagosian
40
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Economy
Thriving Economy
Specific goals
3 services
Become West Africa's main
trade hub and regional
gateway for transit and
port services 4
Financial services
Establish a world-class
international financial
center ranked as a leading
hub in Africa
5
Establish Lagos as the base for Art & entertainment
high quality, cutting-edge and (incl. Nollywood)
6
sustainable real estate market Become Africa's international
in West Africa media city for audio-visual &
interactive media with Lagos
films generating box office
receipts at par with
Develop SMEs leading global peers
8
(incl. Fintech)
Drive tech ecosystem value
to ~10% of the State GDP by
making Lagos a preferred
destination for investors
and innovators
41
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Social infrastructure
Human-centric city
Specific goals
Education Healthcare
Prepare a world-class Guarantee high-quality,
workforce by developing and
attracting key talent through
education, vocational &
technical training programs for
high-value and high-skill jobs
9 affordable, and
accessible healthcare for
all residents as well as to
position Lagos as a top 5
medical tourism
destination in Africa
10
Housing
Safety & security
11
Create a resilient and
equitable housing market Ensure a secure
by increasing the share of
12
environment and
formal housing to ~70% in accurate perception of
line with leading peers safety in Lagos by
ranking in the top 5 of
the safest cities to
live in Africa
42
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Physical infrastructure
Modern Infrastructure
Specific goals
43
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Governance
Effective Governance
Specific goals
18
generated revenues IGR
19
emerging market cities
on the Local to ~5% of GDP with PAYE
E-Governance index with tax contributing
an average response <40% of total IGR in line
time to citizens' of <1 week with peer cities
destination in Africa
Investment attraction
20 Attract capital
investment flows to the
priority sectors in line
with leading peer cities
(i.e., ~5% of GDP)
44
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
Governance
Thriving Human-centric
Economy City
Lagos will have a robust, healthy and Every Lagosian will have access
growing economy with adequate to affordable and world-class
jobs and strategic investments to education, healthcare and
sustain the growth social services
Modern Effective
Infrastructure Governance
Lagos will have reliable and sufficient Lagos will have a supportive and
infrastructure that meets the needs enabling environment that creates
of a 21st century city opportunities for all Lagosian
45
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
The process to getting there is equally important as assigned a set of secondary indicators to measure
getting there. This is why we must track the progress success. Additionally, our strategic goals are fully
regularly with key interventions as needed. We will aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals
track our objective across six overarching goals. (SDGs), enabling us to achieve the focus areas and
That’s not all – each of the 20 focus areas has been fulfil SDG goals by 20304.
GDP (real) USD Size of Lagos State economy ~US$ 84 Bn US$ 800 –
as measured by GDP 1000 Bn
46
1
As measured by United Nation Development Programme, 30 year target is to be at par with African and Emerging Market peers
2
As measured by the Economist Intelligence Unit. To be at par with African and Emerging Market peers.
3
Based on citizen’s survey and interviews
4
As measured by United Nation Development Programme
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | The Strategy
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega-city.
47
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
4
Chapter
48
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Thriving
Economy
Generating about 15% of Nigeria’s Gross Domestic of urbanization and economic shocks. Recent global
Product (GDP) and over 50% of Nigeria’s non-oil GDP, events like the oil price slump (‘15-‘19) have resulted
Lagos State is the nation’s economic powerhouse. in significant unemployment in the region of almost
In the last 15 years, the State’s economy has been 24%. Not just that, wealth has seen a sharp decline
steadily outpacing its African and other emerging too. This has left us even more vulnerable to global
market peers with a Compound Annual Growth Rate shocks as compared to our peers and Nigeria as
(CAGR) of 6%. This rapid growth has been catalysed a whole.
by booming entrepreneurship, with 85% of Lagos
residents identifying as entrepreneurs. Lagos State A 1.1% decline in GDP growth has been recorded in
alone has a GDP of over N20 trillion with consumer, comparison to a 4.9% increase in GDP amongst
financial and business services continuing to propel our peers. This is a result of an economic structure
GDP growth. Our favourable economic conditions whereby the sectors that contribute the largest to
have made us the top destination for tech and GDP are internal demand-driven. As a result, we
digital investment in Africa, inviting over $1.5 billion have a high share of the service sector (90%) in
in equity funding in the past five years, amounting comparison to the industry sector (manufacturing)
to an equity funding CAGR of over 30%. at 10%. The service sector is subject to changes in
export revenues (i.e., declining oil revenues) which
result in economic shocks.
Economic opportunities
Our economy has grown fast, but not fast enough.
Our growth has not been able to manage the impact
49
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to achieve a thriving economy supports the following SDGs:
50
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Global megacities have prioritized five to six this, they have prioritized five sectors:
economic sectors to achieve their anchor
objectives. Similarly, Lagos must also prioritize • Finance services
key sectors for economic development.
• Media & entertainment
Dubai has an anchor objective to build a strong
and fair city for all. To achieve this, they have • Tech & digital
prioritized six sectors:
• Fashion
• Financial services
• Tourism
• Tourism & entertainment
Singapore has an anchor objective to build skills
• Professional services and a knowledge economy. To achieve this, they
have prioritized five sectors:
• Shipping & logistics
• Financial services
• Trade & storage
• Electronics manufacturing
• Construction
• Electronic machinery
Riyadh has an anchor objective to be a driver of
the non-oil economy frontier of the Kingdom. • Tourism
To achieve this, they have prioritized six sectors:
• Export trade
• Financial services
Jakarta has an anchor objective to accelerate
• Public services and expand economic development. To achieve
this, they have prioritized five sectors:
• Construction
• Financial services
• Food manufacturing
• Chemicals manufacturing
• Textile manufacturing
• Electronics manufacturing
• Machinery equipment
• Biomedical manufacturing
New York has an anchor objective to enhance
people’s happiness and quality of life. To achieve • Export trade
Six economic sectors are well placed 1. Wholesale & retail trade
to constitute the focal point of Lagos’
2. Food & beverage manufacturing
future growth path to become Africa’s
Model Mega City 3. Shipping services & logistics
51
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Six high priority economic sectors shortlisted based on Lagos's right to win and potential
impact on GDP and job creation
Right to win
Low Medum High
• Pharmaceutical
manufacturing • Textile & apparel
manufacturing
• Motor vehicles & Other sectors
assembly should be
• Construction
proactively
monitored and
supported
with anchor
investments
to further unlock
• Cement manufacturing their potential
• Mining and quarrying • Oil refinery and
Low
• Fishery
• Power & other utilities petrochemicals
• Forestry
Figure 30: Six high priority economic sectors for Lagos State to prioritize
Note: Detailed prioritization assessment and rationale found in the appendix section
Source: Interviews with Experts; External consultant's analysis
52
1
Includes healthcare services,
2
Other manufacturing includes: Wood & wood products, pulp, paper & paper products, plastics & rubber products, electrical & electronics etc.
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
In addition to these sectors, Lagos will insights and inputs from various sources, including
also drive the growth of SMEs and belief audits, stakeholder workshops and best
practices from a network of global experts and
tech-based ecosystems.
benchmarking the success factors of leading cities.
To unlock the potential of other sectors that will have
In any growing economy, SMEs play a critical role medium and low impact, there will be proactive
in delivering the quality and stability of job creation monitoring, supported with anchor investments at
to boost growth and business opportunities. In this lower economic costs.
regard, Lagos will continue to capitalize on the
existing momentum of tech ecosystems in the state A thriving economy alone, is not enough. We will
to enable innovation and technology to support create a thriving and more importantly, a resilient
economic sectors in generating highly productive economy in Lagos by accelerating inclusive growth,
jobs and higher labour outcome. job creation and investments while tracking key
performance metrics.
We defined specific goals for each prioritized sector
and selected enablers informed by a depth of
% of the working-age
population under or <10% (~9M)
Effective
unemployed (number of ~35%
unemployment
new jobs added to the
economy)
1
2017 international USD 53
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
There is a strong base to build upon and massive with Lagos’ premium regional market access to
potential to unlock in terms of consumer metrics neighbouring states like Ogun, Ondo, Osun and
and geographical advantages. Currently, trade countries like Benin, Togo and Ghana – presents
accounts for more than 20% of the state’s GDP, with many opportunities to accelerate growth.
activity under the tutelage of the government. There
is also a large internal consumer market (~27 million) We will track the development of the wholesale and
and growing middle class with a GDP/capita that retail trade sector to increase trading area and
is 1.7x higher than the rest of Nigeria. This coupled economic impact generation:
Percentage of total
sales through formal
Formal trade ~15% >60%
channels (shopping malls,
supermarkets etc.)
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to improve wholesale and retail trade supports the following SDGs:
54
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
There are 22 key initiatives that will increase formal import inventory financing, trade working capital
retail trade at par with leading African peers and financing, export credit factoring
establish the largest West Africa wholesale hub.
11. Encourage trade insurance by covering part of
Regulation and Policies the trade insurance premium SMEs agree with
registered credit insurer
1. Establish single bid parameter to be used to
select private investors with most favourable 12. Provide land concessions for developers of
revenue sharing model in PPP models wholesale and retail development including
shopping centers, distribution centers
2. Establish minimum requirements for e-commerce
retailers to adhere to with regards to protecting
Investments
consumer data, like not selling it to 3rd parties
without consent etc. 13. Co-invest through PPP agreements in large
scale upgrades to Fadama (Agbalata) market
3. Regulate logistics systems to coordinate flow of in Badagry and Ijora market close to Apapa port
transportation vehicles into Lagos and within to transforming them into wholesale hubs
minimize delays and congestions
14. Build truck transit parks at key entry points with
4. Collaborate with Nigerian Investment Promotion integrated infrastructure for vehicle inspection,
Commission (NIPC) to further streamline and parking and loading
strengthen the process of repatriating foreign
investors’ funds 15. Drive PPP investment into converting existing food
markets into~30 cooperative retail marketplaces
5. Create a Trade & Investment Promotion office operated by private players
within the Lagos State Investment Promotion
Agency offering national branding building, 16. Fast track the relocation of existing markets
toolkits, tax treaties and business plan support located in the mainland centre (e.g. Computer
village market and Mile 12) to newly developed
for wholesalers
wholesale hubs (e.g., in Badagry)
6. Develop guidelines on wholesale and retail
17. Invest in key wholesale and retail market
market hub development and modernization
infrastructure, including (a) Access and internal
strategy - location, licensing, minimum required
road networks (b) Processing and operational
infrastructure and facilities
facilities (c) Logistics loading & unloading docks
(d) Dry and cold storage warehouse facilities (e)
Financial incentives Data systems
7. Create a Market Upgrading Fund for developers
to access below market interest rates for Partnerships and network support
collaborative redevelopment of traditional
18. Partner with the relevant agency (i.e., Customs
informal markets etc.,) to streamline customs and border processes
for manufactures to import and export from
8. Develop a Market Readiness Assistance Grant Lagos State ports
program to finance a share of wholesaler costs
for regional market setup/partner identification/ 19. Partner with the relevant agency (i.e., Customs
promotion etc.,) to streamline customs and border processes
for priority wholesalers and retailers within
9. Develop a Trade Infrastructure Development the State
Fund to support B2B digital marketplaces, enable
specialized institutions to offer innovative trade 20.Develop digital platform for connecting
finance support to wholesalers Lagos based wholesalers to national and
international players
10. Provide trade loans to cover SMEs’ domestic
and regional transactions, including export/
55
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
56
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to improve food and beverage manufacturing supports the following SDGs:
3. Introduce policies to enable food security, avoid 9. Establish trade promotion partnerships with states
disruption and encourage speedy response in neighbour countries (Benin, Togo, Ghana) for
to crises regional trade development
4. Introduce policy that facilitates favourable 10. Connect logistics partners to neighbouring
balance of trade and balance between countries by leveraging AfCFTA for increased
nationalistic practices and market competition continental trade
57
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Focus Area 3: Shipping and airport, railway and road networks to states and
countries. Sea and air transport currently account
Logistics Services for ~67% ($1.8 billion) of service exports and 50%
($7.8 billion) of service imports.
Become West Africa’s main trade hub
and regional gateway for transit and
port services
“Nigerian market is growing so fast while the
infrastructure is not absorbing fast enough. By
Shipping serves as a core pillar of trade and Lagos
the time the Lekki port is ready, demand would
must improve these services across port and inland
have grown significantly and Lagos will need
infrastructure. There is significant progress made
additional support to reach the set goal of
in this regard and there is still room for more to
becoming a hub”
come. The construction of new ports in Lekki that
are ongoing and planned ports in Badagry are set to
CFO of a Shipping & Logistics company
increase capacity for large vessels and shift volumes
from Cotonou (Benin) and Lomé (Togo) directly
to Lagos ports and decongest Apapa and Tincan
ports. What makes Lagos State ideal to become a We will track the development of shipping
leading trade hub of the future is its geographical and logistics connectivity, access to markets,
advantage – it has direct access to Western African infrastructure endowment, supply-side capacity
markets with an expected trade boost through and ease of trade.
the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA),
positioning Lagos as a trans-shipment hub with an
58
1
TEU- Twenty-foot equivalent unit
2
Liner shipping connectivity index can be considered a proxy for the accessibility to global trade, trade costs and competitiveness;
3
Increase throughput by 3.7x to account for ~60-65% of regional trade, assuming ~90% port utilization of Lagos State ports capacity including Lekki port
4
Index score measure inline with peer group range (South Africa, Egypt and Morocco)
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to improve shipping and logistics services supports the following SDGs:
There are 19 key initiatives that Lagos State can 6. Enhance/enforce regulations on road-worthiness
undertake to become West Africa’s trade hub requirement for trucks
and regional gateway for transit shipment and
port services. Financial incentives
3. Coordinate with Nigeria Ports Authority (NPA), 9. Provide rebate on handling costs triggered by
Nigeria Inland Waterways Authority (NIWA) to specific volume thresholds at year-end(1-3- or
establish/enforce minimum safety standard for 3-10-year agreements)
operations at barge terminals
Investments
4. Create an authorized economic operator’s
scheme to secure Trade Partnership that certify 10. Build off-dock terminals through PPPs close
security compliant companies and reduces to, but outside the Apapa and LFZ ports to de-
inspection needs congest and increase port infrastructure as a
pass-through
5. Establish regulations to promote barge channels
– e.g. establishing minimum volume to the 11. Co-invest with FG in upgrades of railway to
key commercial centres that must be moved include double-stack rail
by barge
59
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
12. Invest in extension and maintenance of road Focus Area 4: Financial Services
infrastructure and traffic management systems
to reduce congestion at all ports
Establish a world-class international
13. Invest in software applications and intelligent
financial centre, a leading hub in Africa
risk management for real time-tracking and
management of port assets and processes A robust financial industry can be a differentiator
and key driving force for an economy. Becoming
14. Build barge terminals through PPPs across the key a model mega city will require, first, to be known
areas of commercial activities in Lagos State (e.g. globally as a financial force to reckon with, which
Agbara, Trade Fair, Epe, Ikorodu) to decongest is why Lagos needs to develop an international and
the road networks and provide a link for efficient resilient financial hub. As it stands, financial services
evacuation of cargo from the ports accounts for about 7% of Lagos State’s GDP with a
focus on internal demand and large international
15. Invest in SME centres in partnership with the clients. Fintech investments in Nigeria have grown
main trade associations to provide services incl. by 197% over the past three years and it is currently
SME clustering for higher market access, the largest destination in Africa. With this economic
tradeshow facilitation outlook, Lagos can truly aim for financial supremacy
being the financial, business and commercial hub
of Nigeria with an established regional dominance
Partnerships and network support
(12 banks in top 100 in Africa) and having clear
16. Develop alliances with target global logistics continental expansion. However, Lagos faces stiff
hubs on priority products/supply chains competition from South African banks and will need
consistent financial enhancements to get ahead.
17. Interconnect all SEZs, so that goods for re-export
can move between the different SEZs without
virtually entering the country and thus avoiding
customs duties and VAT “Building a successful financial hub
requires all the attributes of a hub – talent,
security, connectedness, high quality of life
18. Provide digital customer interfaces, streamlined
and favourable regulatory and business
operations and electronic booking services for
environment.”
transfers and warehouse storing
60
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to improve financial services supports the following SDGs:
There are 13 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake and Americas, e.g., through construction of new
to establish a world-class international financial airports; establishment of new airlines
centre ranked as a leading hub in Africa with
global standards. 8. Establish a PPP to develop a world-class Financial
centre academic institution in Eko Atlantic in
Regulation and Policies proximity to the Financial centre
5. Strengthen and increase the capacity of centre 12. Strengthen bilateral/multilateral agreements to
for arbitration and mediation to promptly and speed up cooperation in the financial field and
effectively entertain disputes on commercial, integrated within Africa Including the ongoing
financial cases and disputes between banks and AU, ECOWAS, WAM discussions to integrate the
other financial institutions African financial market
6. Develop an International Financial centre in Eko 13. Strengthen partnerships between industry players
Atlantic with free trade zone status and Lagos State on internship placement of
graduates to careers in financial services and on-
Investments the-job training programs such as apprentice-
style for professionals
7. Drive investments to strengthen aerial connectivity
with strategic routes to African countries, Europe
61
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Real estate presents numerous opportunities for CEO of a Real Estate Development company
growth and revenue for Lagos State. We must
become known as a base of sustainable, resilient
and affordable real estate to truly become a model
mega city. Real estate currently accounts for about
We will track the development of developing the real
20% of Lagos State’s GDP. The sector investment is
estate sector by stimulating investments, demand
stimulated by the construction of new residential and
and upgrading existing assets.
commercial properties. It is relatively fragmented,
with multiple brokers and with revenues driven by
high property value and rental income.
62
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which provide
a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is closely aligned
with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City. Our goal to improve
real estate services supports the following SDGs:
There are 22 key initiatives that can be taken 6. Devise policies for procurement models with
to establish Lagos as the base for high quality, clear sustainability goals in public assets
cutting-edge and sustainable real estate market in and incorporating best practices into city
West Africa. development plans and building codes
63
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Investments
14. Invest in renovations and upgrades of public-
sector buildings (offices, schools, hospitals, etc.)
to address existing building stock that is inefficient
and uninhabitable
Focus Area 6: Art and entertainment
15. Conduct enumeration exercise to expand and (including Nollywood)
ensure comprehensive database of properties
(residential and commercial etc), across all Become Africa’s leading international
the local government areas (current registry media city for audio-visual and
captures <20%)
interactive media, producing films
that generate global-standard box
16. Leverage international cooperation where public-
private partnership (PPP) units from countries with
office business
extensive PPP experience and resources to help
fill capacity gaps and assess these proposals for Lights, camera but a lot more action! As a global
free, as official development assistance mega city, Lagos will have to establish itself as
a leading media city and to do this, a robust
Partnerships and network support action plan needs to be put in place. Currently, the
sector is primarily driven by Nollywood films with
17. Facilitate the formalization of the real music production with high potential. Nollywood is
estate sector recording about 12% CAGR (2016-21) with about 50
movies weekly, second only to Bollywood. Nollywood
18. Increase community engagement to is a priority sector in the Economic Recovery and
understand citizens’ needs and ensure successful Growth Plan of the Federal Government of Nigeria.
project delivery The sector is challenged by informal marketing and
sales practices that breed film piracy and weaken
19. Set up internal capabilities and resources for investor confidence, inadequate enforcement of
rapid review and approval of projects copyright and IP laws and lack of basic infrastructure
(reliable electricity, etc.). Lagos holds strong potential
20.Define more agile procurement schemes to to position itself as Africa’s fashion hub, traditionally
speed up processes for identifying and selecting driven by inspiration from films.
developers
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
We will track the development of the international and increasing revenue generation of locally
media city in creating jobs across the value chain produced content.
Number of cinema
Distribution 27 200
locations
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to improve art and entertainment real estate services supports the following SDGs:
There are 27 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake Regulation and Policies
to become Africa’s international media city for
audio-visual and interactive media, with Lagos- 1. Establish sector representation in LGAs reporting
produced films generating box office receipts at to the coordinating M&E Office
par with leading peers.
2. Partner with NCC to strengthen the enforcement
of regulations for anti-piracy law
1
Assuming Nigeria will generate 1M additional jobs to a total of 2M in the sector, Lagos should aim to account for at least 50% of the total employment 65
2
Lagos currently accounts for 45% of the total revenues in Nigeria (~$600M)
3
Lagos State accounts for 50% of the total revenues in Nigeria
4
Assuming Lagos State accounts for ~60% of the total music revenues in Nigeria ~$60M 2019)
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
3. Create a Co-Production program to establish 16. Issue grants to support funding throughout
official agreements with other cities/countries project lifecycles and independent producers
9. Co-invests with VC funds into small-medium 22. Leverage existing government infrastructure
sized local studios to boost innovation (e.g., youth centres, community centres) to host
community-based performances in the arts &
10. Provide tax credits/rebates (25 – 40%) for films entertainment space
with qualifying Lagos State expenditures and
labour and for sound recording costs Partnerships and network support
11. Subsidize investments into R&D by public and 23. Create a audio-visual & interactive media
private sector players to drive technological Mentorship Initiative to support youth through
advancements and innovation exchange programs in international film labs
12. Create a fund focused on exports of media & 24.Develop a Women’s fund that directly targets
entertainment content produced in Lagos talent development and projects by, for and
about women
13. Create ‘Made in Lagos’ certification for production
co-branding with perks including preferential 25.Invest in technical media skills training and
access to city infrastructure literacy programs/workshops with private
sector to address skills gaps and help artists
14. Provide financial support/relief to setup / and professionals monetize talents
upgrade cinemas and distributors of original
and copyrighted movies 26.Partner with schools and universities to offer
Media and Entertainment courses for early talent
15. Provide low-interest commercial loans/debt development
finance to large audio-visual & interactive
media studios and distribution and marketing 27. Setup media incubators/labs or institutes to
companies to grow national champions develop diverse skills to support sector SMEs
operate their businesses better
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Focus Area 7: Develop SMEs identify as entrepreneurs, however, the majority are
employed in micro-sized enterprises. Lagos State
will mature micro-enterprises and develop SMEs as
Grow SMEs to ~10% of the total share it is critical for quality and stable job creation. The
of enterprises in line with global peers State will also work to increase the share of SMEs to
about 10% of total enterprises and about 35% of total
Growing SMEs boosts growth of economies. In its employment. This is critical as the largest share of
quest to become a model mega city, Lagos must jobs created that are concentrated in SME enterprises
unlock the advantages that come with establishing will drive the growth of the prioritized sectors.
a thriving SME industry. About 85% of Lagos residents
Economy
Lagos State should increase share of SMEs in line with peer group as SMEs generate
more jobs and more value compared to micro-enterprises
0%
10%
20%
50%
35%
90% Large
40%
45% SME
10% Micro
Figure 31: Share of enterprise, employment and value-add of peer group average1 (%)
Note: Micro enterprise – 1-9 employees; Small enterprise - >10<50 employees; Medium enterprise - >51<200 employees; Large enterprises
– 250+ employees
Source: OECD Statistics database; External consultant's analysis
1
Peer group - Mexico City, São Paulo, Seoul, Jakarta 67
2
Difference between production and intermediate consumption
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Percentage of registered
Formalization ~2% ~30%
MSMEs
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to develop SMEs supports the following SDGs:
68
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
There are 25 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake 12. Incentivize banks’ investment in innovative SME
to grow SMEs to ~10% of the total share of enterprises credit models including tax breaks on profits to
(vs. 0.3% currently) in line with global peers lending to SME
5. Develop a comprehensive database of 17. Open a Lagos State SME Development Bank
all manufacturing companies in the State targeting priority sectors with private operators
(i.e. MSME database) and State part-owner with shared risk
6. Provide priority service to short-list of 18. Establish business hubs (i.e., Technology
organizations that have a proven track record Incubation Centers) in the three sectorial districts
in successfully pursuing proposals projects
19. Invest in 6 innovation centres (1 per priority
7. Support the Federal Government’s initiatives, e.g., sector) where to develop, test and scale new
the National Identity Number registration drive technologies and provision of workspaces for
to facilitate SME development SMEs within SEZs and FEZs
10. Subsidize professional services including lawyers, 22. Partner with the Bank of Industry (BOI) to expand
accountants, public relations firms, for early- the Business Development Service Providers
stage firms’ at affordable rate program and agents within the State
11. Create a Loan Guarantee Scheme (SGS) to 23. Provide certified training programs, management,
facilitate financing to SMEs by banks offering capacity development and upskilling of the
low-interest loans for working and growth capital workforce aligned to priority sectors needs
delivered by private sector partners
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
24.Develop a match-making platform for lenders attractiveness for investors and entrepreneurs. Lagos
and SMEs with State participation as a guarantor is a top destination for tech and digital investment
in Africa, with > US$ 1.5 billion equity funding over
25.Promote women and youth inclusion through the last five years (2016-2020). Lagos State will
targeted funds, training programmes, and capitalize on the existing momentum to enable
certifications innovation and technology to support economic
sectors in generating highly productive jobs with
higher labour productivity
Focus Area 8: Build Tech-based As a key objective in this effort, Lagos State will work
Ecosystems (including Fintech) to drive the tech ecosystem value to about 10% of
Lagos State GDP as an enabler to drive the growth
Drive tech ecosystem value to ~10% of the economic sectors. The Lagos State start-up
of the state GDP by making Lagos ecosystem is the most valuable in Africa, however,
it has much ground to cover when compared to
a preferred destination for investors
other emerging markets and global peers and the
and innovators idea is to get to the same level.
Setting out to win in the future is almost impossible The rise of tech-based entrepreneurship and funding
with the intervention of technology and innovation. capital creates the foundation for building innovative
Lagos will focus on developing a leading tech ecosystem clusters across Lagos State.
ecosystem with quality talent and increased
Drive tech ecosystem value to ~10% of Lagos State GDP as an enabler to drive growth
of the economic sectors
9% ~10%
Ecosystem size
(% of GDP)
3%
1%
Figure 32: Lagos State startup ecosystem is the most valuable in Africa; however, it lags emerging market and global peers
Source: Global Startup Ecosystem Report 2017; External consultant's analysis
1
African peers – Johannesburg, Cape Town; EM Peers – Mexico City, S. Paulo, Kuala Lumpur; Sri Lanka, Bangalore; Global peers –
70 Silicon Valley NY, London, Beijing, Moscow, Shanghai, Seoul
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
“These are exciting times for the fast-growing “Entrepreneurs in the Lagos ecosystem and
Lagos start-up ecosystem. We are seeing in Africa at large have an opportunity to
great and innovative start-ups come through tremendously [generate] impact…through
the system. To be sure, there are still a lot of innovation in the new economy. I encourage us
challenges facing the ecosystem but that’s all to keep pushing boundaries regardless of the
to be expected since the ecosystem is in its challenges we face and take on the opportunities
infancy” by playing to our natural resilient strength”
We will track the development of tech that and make it a preferred destination for investors
contribute to the digital economy of the state and innovators.
71
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to build tech-based ecosystems supports the following SDGs:
There are 22 key initiatives that Lagos can take to support for covering patents through a startup
drive tech ecosystem value to about 10% of the state registration platform easily accessible
GDP compared to the current approximately 3% by
making Lagos a preferred destination for investors Financial incentives
and innovators
6. Create a fund-of-funds for the State to co-invest
Regulation and Policies with corporate VCs in Lagos-based tech startups
with the option to buy out the State’s share within
1. Support the FG/CBN to help develop a “Startup 3-5 years
Acts” in collaboration with private sector,
multilateral organizations, donors and investors to 7. Facilitate and de-risk investment through seed
co-create an executive bill and policies in line with funding/ grant opportunities into sector verticals
African and global best practices that will support that have demonstrated momentum (e.g.:
development of an attractive, competitive and AgriTech, E-Commerce...)
innovative sector
8. Introduce incentives to drive R&D spend and
2. Coordinate with CBN to introduce regulatory innovation through grants and patent protection
reforms to reduce document requirements for
MSME financing (includes issues around FICA/ 9. Provide tax breaks for losses on invested capital
KYC requirements etc.) in ventures owned by same company
3. Introduce policies to attract and incentivize local 10. Earmark financing for locally trained Lagosian
and angel investors including capital gain tax entrepreneurs in tech who are less likely to get
exemptions for early-stage start up funding funding from VCs and international donors
4. Propose to the FG a review of the threshold of 11. Provide personal tax incentives for founders
the Pioneer status regulations for qualifying of startups in Lagos State and corporate tax
companies for the income tax “holiday” for up incentives for startups moving their headquarters
to five years to Lagos
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
16. Invest in 6 innovation centres (1 per priority sector) 22. Partner with academic institutions to increase
where to develop and test new technologies by girls and women in STEM subjects and women’s
partnering with universities and research institute enrolment in digital vocational training centres
Formal trade -
Percentage of total sales
Wholesale & Best-in-class African city
through formal channels ~15% >60%
retail trade – Johannesburg
(shopping malls,
supermarkets etc.)
Average benchmark
Retail trade area - Formal
Wholesale & of peer group
retail area per 1000 10 >300
retail trade (Johannesburg, Nairobi,
people (sq m)1
Accra)
Import substitution –
Decrease in total FMCG Based on domestic
Food &
imports substituted by US$ 4.5Bn <US$ 2Bn production capacity
beverage mfg.
locally manufactured increase
goods
73
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
74
1
Twenty Equipment Unit, i.e., 20-foot container
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Thriving Economy
Nollywood generates
Nollywood revenues - >$2Bn in line with peers,
Art &
Film revenues generated $270M $1Bn Lagos State accounts for
Entertainment
annually 50% of the total revenues
in Nigeria
Distribution (cinemas) Estimated supply gap
Art &
- Number of cinema 27 200 given population size and
Entertainment
locations demand
Assuming Lagos State
Music Revenues - Music
Art & accounts for ~60% of the
revenues generated ~$36M >$500M
Entertainment total music revenues in
annually
Nigeria
75
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
5
Chapter
76
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
Human-
centric City
The personality of a city is defined by its people. We cannot envision a transformed Lagos without
The people of Lagos are at the heart of everything granting Lagosians access to the social infrastructure
we are trying to achieve with this vision. This is vital needed to develop their capacity and live a fulfilled
because Lagosians have a high sense of belonging life. It is crucial that we continue to achieve this and
to a community and a wide net of connections which is why we have prioritised several sectors
to the state. In our society, we have strong social that will position Lagos in becoming established
capital (i.e., social connections, respect, support and as a preferred home for current and future talent
tolerance). It is fair to say Lagos is a human-centric by delivering superior living conditions across four
city as it responds quickly to residents’ expectations key enablers:
on security relative to other states in Nigeria. Yet,
there are still opportunities to improve and we 1. Education and training: Prepare a world-class
continue to enhance access to social infrastructure workforce by developing and attracting key talent
across education and training, housing, medical through education, vocational and technical
services, mobility, etc. training programs for highly productive jobs
at scale
Living conditions and social
infrastructure opportunities 2. Healthcare: Guarantee high-quality, affordable
and accessible healthcare for all residents as well
We have opportunities to improve our performance as to position Lagos as a ’Top 5’ medical tourism
across all dimensions of quality of life, especially destination in Africa
housing, education and training, medical care
and mobility. In terms of social capital, we can 3. Housing: Create a resilient and equitable housing
continue to ensure that citizens have a high sense of market by increasing the share of formal housing
belonging to the state, which can be strengthened to ~70% in line with leading peers
through culture, history and increased intensity of
social interactions. 4. Safety & Security: Ensure a secure environment
and accurate perception of safety in Lagos by
ranking in the top five safest cities to live in Africa
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to achieve a human-centric city supports the following SDGs:
SDG 1 - No poverty: End poverty in all SDG 8 - Decent work and economic
its forms everywhere growth: Promote sustained, inclusive
and sustainable economic growth,
SDG 2 - Zero hunger: End hunger, full and productive employment and
achieve food security and improve decent work for
nutrition and promote sustainable
agriculture SDG 10 - Reduced inequalities:
Reduce inequality within and among
SDG 3 - Good health and wellbeing: countries
Ensure healthy lives and promote
well-being for all at all ages SDG 12 - Responsible consumption
and production: Ensure sustainable
SDG 4 - Quality education: Ensure consumption and production patterns
inclusive and equitable quality
education and promote lifelong SDG 15 - Life on land: Protect,
learning opportunities for all restore and promote sustainable
use of terrestrial ecosystems,
SDG 5 - Gender equality: Achieve sustainably manage forests, combat
gender equality and empower all desertification, halt and reverse land
women and girls degradation and halt biodiversity loss
SDG 6 -Clean water and sanitation: SDG 16 - Peace, justice and strong
Ensure availability and sustainable institutions: Promote peaceful and
management of water and sanitation inclusive societies for sustainable
for all development, provide access to
justice for all and build effective,
SDG 7 - Affordable and clean energy: accountable and inclusive institutions
Ensure access to affordable, reliable, at all levels
sustainable and modern energy for all
78
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
Building a human-centric city requires LASG to citizens while tracking key performance metrics
increase the social equity of the state and track towards a human-centric city:
improvements to the well-being and retention of
An index measuring
comprehensive human
UNDP human development, i.e., healthy
0.65 0.8
development index life, access to knowledge
and a decent standard of
living
Measure of income or
Gini coefficient wealth inequality or wealth 27.23 20
inequality within Lagos
Index score comparing
Economist cities across different
Intelligence Unit safe security dimensions - 38.1 >75
cities index score digital, infrastructure,
health and personal
Focus Area 9: Education and the best minds in the business and the most sought-
after professionals goes a long way in cementing the
Training reputation of a city as a human-centric one. Lagos
has to continue to develop our workforce internally
Establish a world-class workforce by while creating an enabling environment to attract the
developing and attracting key talent top talent from outside the country as well. This will
through education, vocation and be done through education, vocational and technical
technical training programs. training programs for highly productive jobs at scale.
The education and training sector was shortlisted
A skilled and world-class workforce can greatly under public administration and social services as
benefit a city’s ambitions and futuristic plans. Having a sector to monitor and support proactively.
79
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
Student-teacher
Number of students divided by
ratio (public 33 25
number of teachers in Lagos
schools)
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN, providing
a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is closely
aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City. Our goal to
improve education and training supports the following SDGs:
80
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
There are 18 key initiatives that Lagos can take to trainings, and living conditions where necessary,
prepare a world-class workforce by developing and by reprioritizing budgets
attracting key talent through education, vocational
and technical training programs for highly productive 9. Equip all public facilities with digital infrastructure
jobs at scale. and tools to improve focus in classrooms and
enhance remote learning in the State
Regulation and Policies
10. Invest in aggressive recruitment campaigns,
1. Design assessment exercises to enforce teachers’ by showing the benefits of teaching and role-
qualifications requirements in public schools model existing teachers, to reduce student-to-
considering outcome-oriented perspective teacher ratio
2. Strictly enforce minimum standards and 11. Invest in creation of online communities and
guidelines set out for the establishment of private trainings for teachers and students to understand
schools within the State to guarantee quality of the workings of the innovative delivery systems
education delivered – experiential learning and digital tools
3. Establish evaluation index for learning delivery Partnerships and network support
performance in schools by adopting global
best practices 12. Collaborate with local industry leaders and
employers to provide students, parents, and
Financial incentives teachers with greater exposure to career
opportunities and options, including early industry
4. Provide land or property taxes to private certification and career immersion programs
companies to incentivize them to invest in
building, equipping and maintaining technical 13. Leverage partnerships with development
and vocational centres, so highly-skilled talent partners and foreign educational agencies to
can be developed to fill core technical skills upskill teachers with digital skills and alternative
required for their industries educational delivery models
5. Design scholarship schemes pertaining to sports 14. Provide vocational and educational training in
and other extracurricular activities, focused on digital skills operated by private sector partners
students of underrepresented backgrounds, to supply skilled labour and meet demand from
to spur them into earning a post-secondary tech firms
credential and achieving career success by
consulting relevant stakeholders 15. Actively advocate for revamping and modernizing
the educational curriculum, to become up-to-
6. Establish scholarship funds for vocational date while including core STEM subjects, digital
students and professional certifications/degrees skills and soft skills, in collaboration with the
at academic institutions for the 6 priority Focus Federal Government and the private sector
Areas with requirement of minimum duration of
employment in the State 16. Facilitate the creation of an investment fund,
and advisory committee to support education
Investments startups seeking to develop innovative delivery
methods based on the State’s context
7. Continue construction of >200 new and
modernization of existing primary, secondary and 17. Develop policies and programmes to expand
technical/vocational colleges to match global second chance learning opportunities for
best practice standards, with considerations individuals returning to school
for disadvantaged groups (e.g., ramps for
wheelchair access) 18. Leverage partnerships with relevant ministries,
departments, agencies and other organisations to
8. Develop continuous welfare programs for develop and implement extensive accreditation
teachers that address their compensation, of vocational training courses
81
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
Infant mortality rate Number of deaths per 1000 live births 39 17.3
82
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City. Our
goal to improve healthcare supports the following SDGs:
There are 19 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake 9. Provide incentives to employers including SMEs to
to guarantee high-quality, affordable and accessible provide health insurance coverage to employees
healthcare for all residents as well as to position via e.g., tax breaks/subsidies
Lagos as a top 5 medical tourism destination
in Africa. 10. Seek international partnerships to establish
and/or operate specialty hospitals in Lagos
Regulation and Policies by providing credit enhancements for
investments and income tax breaks for expatriate
1. Adapt legislation to remove barriers to digitization
doctors/talent
of Health processes and records
8. Implement improved financial compensation 16. Invest in improved delivery of adequate medical
plan for health care professionals in Lagos State care to hard-to-reach areas of the State with a
to reduce attrition rate focus on creating equitable healthcare access
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
Focus Area 11: Housing We will create a resilient and equitable housing
market by increasing the share of formal housing to
Create a resilient and equitable about 70%, in line with leading peers. This is essential
housing market by increasing the as Lagos has a large share of the population living
share of formal housing to ~70% in in sub-standard and slum housing settlements,
line with leading peers especially when compared to other similar
developing economies.
Lagos has a large share of the population living in sub-standard and slum
housing settlements
84
1
Informal housing includes sub-standard and slum housing
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega -City.
Our goal to improve healthcare supports the following SDGs:
There are 14 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake 4. Introduce inclusionary housing policy as an
to create a resilient and equitable housing market. instrument to create mixed-tenure, mixed-
income developments and increase the number
Regulation and Policies of affordable housing units. Require a minimum
of 30%-50% affordable housing on-site of new
1. Review the state’s masterplan, lower order plans development sites with off-site provision in
and regulations to reorganize and optimize for exceptional cases
increased density neighbourhoods to increase
real estate development investments in the State 5. Further develop policies and regulations focused
on the protection of tenants (e.g, mandating
2. Strengthen enforcement of housing laws to introduction of monthly rent payment models)
increase access and improve affordability of
housing in the state Financial incentives
3. Streamline and fully automate approval process 6. Incentivise relocation of slum dweller to new
for building and construction permits social housing developments by providing
85
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
better access to public goods i.e., housing, Focus Area 12: Safety and Security
schools, hospitals, recreational parks etc. in the
new districts
Ensure a secure environment and
7. Incentivize developers to invest in mixed income/
enhance perception of safety in Lagos
inclusionary and environmentally sustainable by ranking in the top 5 of the safest cities
housing in new urban areas, e.g., by offering to live in Africa
tax rebates and waivers on permits cost, and
allocating land at subsidized rates Even the best quality of education, healthcare,
business or housing can’t lead to a model mega
Investments city if the state is not safe and secure. Robust safety
and security systems are the basis for a city to
8. Consolidate and scale up existing subsidized transform and thrive, flourishing and growing into
housing schemes i.e., Lagos HOMS, Rent-to-Own a future of prosperity. There is already a negative
scheme, Lagos Affordable Public Housing etc. to perception of safety in Lagos and we need to act
increase housing delivery to >100,000 housing quick to ensure a secure environment and make it
units annually one of the safest cities in Africa.
Partnerships and network support We will work to ensure a secure environment and
11. Create affordable housing investment vehicles accurate perception of safety in Lagos State which
to facilitate market-based and/or institutional ranks in the top 5 of the safest cities to live in Africa.
investment in the sector Currently, Lagos ranks and scores low on the Safety
index. Scoring is driven by perception and high-
security risk.
12. Engage development partners and real estate
developers to facilitate the increase of low cost
housing construction methods and materials to
increase access to affordable housing in the state
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
Nigeria ranks and scores low on the Safety Index scoring driven by perception
and high security risk
Safety Index scoring (ranked 1.0 very safe – 0.00 very unsafe)
0.79
0.73
0.70 0.69 0.68 0.67 0.66
0.54 0.53
0.41
0.37 0.36
0.11
Lagos
Victoria
Nairobi
Dar es Salaam
Casablanca
Tunis
Cairo
Port Louis
Addis Ababa
Luanda
Dakhla
Johannesburg
Algiers
87
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City. Our
goal to improve safety and security supports the following SDGs:
88
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
There are 25 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake monitor and report compliance to court orders
to ensure a secure environment and accurate and established rules
perception of safety in Lagos by ranking in the top
5 of the safest cities to live in Africa. 9. Strengthen the Office of the Public Defender to
provide non-discriminatory free representation
Regulation and Policies to residents of the state to ensure equitable
access to justice
1. Formulate Occupational Safety & Health (OSH)
regulations guidelines and standards for all 10. Continue advocating for the enhancement
sectors involved in socio-economic activities of safety and emergency management
in the State and increase OSH consciousness infrastructure to reduce existing deficiencies such
through targeted sensitisation and advocacy as deficit of safety practitioners and emergency
management resources in the State
2. Strengthen the operations and mandate of
LASEMA, e.g., to conduct regular State hazard 11. Continue advocating for the enhancement
mappings, facilitate the operation of a multi- of security infrastructure to reduce existing
hazard early warning mechanism, strengthen deficiencies such as deficit of police (i.e.,
and promote private sector and stakeholder policemen to population ratio) in the State
engagements, and establish a functioning
disaster/emergency forensic investigation unit
Investments
3. Develop a framework for the Government to 12. Conduct bi-annual resilience assessment in
ensure public safety in planning and development preparation for the continued review and update
of State infrastructure to aid universal access and of the Lagos Resilience Strategy
social inclusion, particularly persons living with
disabilities 13. Conceptualise and implement a holistic
addressing system across the State with a
4. Develop a unified mechanism for periodic focus on creating a unique identification
evaluations of sector risks and vulnerability system of locations and integrating it in existing
assessments and operationalize the Hazard (digital) records
Identification and Risk Assessment (HIRA) in all
vulnerable sectors 14. Continue deploying CCTV cameras, drones
and aggressive campaign of lightening up the
5. Enact a new policy on the legal framework for streets in Lagos State with backend support to
Lagos’ safety and emergency management ensure proactive response to safety and security
strategy which should include; identification concerns across the State
systems for people, assets etc. in the State, as
well as policies for mandatory operations of CCTV 15. Continue procuring and supporting the
in public areas of the State operational maintenance of equipments for key
safety and emergency management resources
6. Enact a new policy on the legal framework for in the State - personal protection equipment, etc.
Lagos’ security strategy which should include;
identification systems for people, assets etc. 16. Invest in required setup and operational
in the state, as well as policies for mandatory infrastructure (i.e., seamless network connection,
operations of CCTV in public areas of the State ambulances, fire trucks, etc.) to ensure fully
functional and operational 24 hours emergency
7. Enforce compliance with protection against service response in the State - police, fire,
child labour, human trafficking, gender- ambulance services etc.
based domestic violence and resettlement of
abused children 17. Continue procuring and supporting the
operational maintenance of equipment’s for
8. Enforce compliance with the rule of law and the Police and other key security resources in
human rights by deploying mechanisms to track, the State - patrol vehicles, communication
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
equipment’s, weapons, bodycams etc. effective collaboration to secure lives and assets
in the State
18. Invest in the infrastructure upgrade (i.e., court
rooms and facilities) and digital transformation 22. Facilitate trainings for policemen attached to the
of the judiciary to facilitate speedy dispensation State with focus on improving community policing
of justice in the State and adopting proactive methods to improve
security in the State
Partnerships & network support
23. Facilitate trainings for safety practitioners and
19. Facilitate private sector investments in safety emergency management resources attached
and emergency management to provide to the State with focus on improving local
critical support required to enhance operational emergency management and adopting proactive
effectiveness of the safety and emergency methods to improve safety in the State
management agencies operating in the State
24.Facilitate the integration of the operations of
20.Facilitate private sector investments in security private security resources with the Police and
via the Lagos State Security Trust Fund (LSSTF) other security agencies to ensure effective
to provide critical support required to enhance collaboration to secure lives and assets in
operational effectiveness of the security agencies the State
operating in the State
25.Organize continuous sensitization drives, publicity
21. Facilitate the integration of the operations of campaigns and branding exercises to change
private safety practitioners and emergency security perception and instil trust between
management resources with safety and Government and citizens
emergency management agencies to ensure
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
1
Technical and Vocational Education and Training 91
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
Health insurance
coverage - Number of Lagos State Health
Lagosians with health Management Agency
Healthcare 1.11% 50%
insurance divided by total (LASHMA) target and
population multiplied by expert consultations
100
Government healthcare
expenditure - World Health
Healthcare Government healthcare 0.32% 10% Organization
expenditure divided by recommendation
GDP multiplied by 100
Attractiveness to medical
tourists - Number of Tunisia (Top 5 best-in-
Healthcare N/A 150,000
inward travellers for class in Africa)
medical purposes
Hospital beds/ 100,000
population - Number of
Best-in-class African city
Healthcare hospital beds divided by 50 230
– Johannesburg
the population multiplied
by 10,000
Maternal mortality rate
- Number of maternal Egypt (African best-in-
Healthcare 555 37
deaths per 100,000 live class)
births in a year
Percentage of formal
housing - Share of Peer average of best-
units built according to in-class African cities
Housing 25% 75%
predefined standards (Johannesburg, Nairobi,
divided by total housing Cairo)
units multiplied by 100
Rent affordability
- Amount spent on
Best-in-class African city
Housing rental housing divided 157% 32%
– Nairobi
by disposable income
multiplied by 100
Annual house building World Bank estimate,
rate - Estimated number 150,000 – expert consultations,
Housing N/A
of housing units built in 200,000 and government press
Lagos annually releases
Number of police officers
- Number of police
Security & Botswana (Top 3 best-in-
officers divided by the 186 381
safety class in Africa)
population, multiplied by
100,000
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Human-centric City
93
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
6
Chapter
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Modern
Infrastructure
Infrastructure that is cutting-edge, innovative and Lagos’ insufficient supply of infrastructure across
futuristic is a hallmark of any modern mega city. power, transport, environment and climate risks
That’s the ambition we have in mind with Lagos. exacerbate our infrastructure deficit. There are
By 2052, Lagos will be positioned to deliver world- several opportunities for us to meet the demands
class modern physical and digital infrastructure of our rapidly growing population.
to support economic and living activities. To set
this into effect, five key physical infrastructure The infrastructure deficit in power supply drives
investments are critical to growing new urban self-generation activities bearing economic and
centres and support prioritized economic activities environmental costs. There is a supply of 4000–6800
within Lagos State: Transportation, Power and Energy, MW to meet a demand of 16,000–27,000 MW of
Internet Connectivity, Water and Sewage and Waste power. We need additional generation capacity
to meet future demands. There is an opportunity
Management. Considering some of the areas that
to provide reliable and affordable power supply
are of immediate concern for Lagosians, we will focus
through an improved capacity to transmit power
on developing key connectivity infrastructure across
and diversify sources.
transport, power, ICT, waste management and water
and sewage to ensure ease of doing business and In our efforts to transform the infrastructure in Lagos,
enhanced standards of living in the state. we must also be mindful of environmental threats
and effects. This has great significance given the
In this regard, we have embarked on an infrastructure
environmental challenges Lagos faces in connection
renewal journey to optimize infrastructure to meet
to rapid urbanization. Currently, this has led to serious
the demand of citizens and optimize the distribution air, land and water pollution in addition to high
of spatial activities in the state. flooding risks. The inadequate drainage system
exacerbates these challenges with high flooding,
There is a diversification of our transportation modes
which requires complete network rehabilitation as
to include water and rail (red, blue and viaduct rail
18% of Lagos State land is on low-lying coastal plains,
lengths) to reduce pressure on our constrained
making it prone to regular flooding.
road transportation, accounting for 94% of total
passengers and goods movement.
In 2052, Lagos will have reliable and
To further enhance our efforts, we will also be sufficient infrastructure that meets
promoting the development of new urban centres. the needs of a 21st-century city
To realize this, we have proposed to increase formal
housing to reduce the density and share of informal
settlements in Lagos. We have strategically identified To achieve this, we have prioritized several sectors
locations for these centres and they will be found and support enablers that will position Lagos State
in Badagry, Ojo, Ibeju/Lekki and Epe. in becoming a major African and global competitor
with modern infrastructure. The sectors are:
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
and provide sustainable, efficient and flexible means sanitation services to all residents equitably
of mobility and reliably
Power & energy: Facilitate the coming online of Waste management: Develop a best-in-class waste
~100TWH (~12GW) by unlocking Lagos’ gas potential, management system to consistently position Lagos
leveraging IPPs to complement grid supply and State among the top 3 cleanest cities in Africa
investing in renewable energy (currently not in the top 10)
Internet connectivity: Democratize access to high- Also, we have defined a cross-cutting climate action
speed internet connectivity across government plan to put Lagos on the pathway towards carbon
facilities, public spaces and households neutrality by 2050.
Water & sanitation: Provide clean and safe water Several SDG goals were covered under modern
at WHO recommended level and comprehensive infrastructure:
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to achieve a modern infrastructure supports the following SDGs:
SDG 6 - Clean water and sanitation: SDG 13 - Climate action: Take urgent
Ensure availability and sustainable action to combat climate change and
management of water and sanitation its impacts
for all
SDG 14 - Life below water: Conserve
SDG 7 -Affordable and clean energy: and sustainably use the oceans, seas
Ensure access to affordable, reliable, and marine resources for sustainable
sustainable and modern energy for all development
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Delivering modern infrastructure requires Lagos while tracking key performance metrics towards
State to restructure, upgrade and increase modern infrastructure.
stock levels to meet current and future demand
Transport, 20%
Illegal
dumping,
6% Stationary
Energy,
55%
Open Waste,
landfill, 7% 25%
Residential
Buildings,
21%
Wastewater,
12%
Commercial and
Institutional, 11%
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
• Waste infrastructure • Expansion of the BRT • Shift to low carbon • Update strategy
development network in Lagos, residential sector by every 5 years
strategy including promoting the
implementation of development of • Achieve goals of
• Construct sanitary four bus terminal energy storage resilient ecosystems,
landfills with landfill gateway hubs technologies and flood-proof Lagos,
Beyond gas capture at incentivise political flexibility and
five years existing and new sites • Encourage the move micro-grids for responsiveness,
from freight to rail off-grid urban social inclusion of
• Install industrial communities vulnerable groups,
effluent treatment develop adaptive
plants for 50% of and resilient
businesses transport network
2030
• Interim targets • Review and assessment • Identification of new funding sources
2040
• New actions • Action Plan updates
• 50% of organic waste • 52% of buses are • 49% of gridded • A cleaner, greener,
composted electric electricity generated healthier, stable and
by renewables more prosperous
• Open dumping and • 20% of motorcycles Lagos
burning of organic and 8% of taxis are • All new build
waste reduced to electric commercial • Achieve physical,
50% properties and economic and social
• Increased use of residential properties resilience in the face
Vision • 20% of landfill gas biodiesels in freight use solar water of shocks and
for Lagos captured vehicles heating stresses
exacerbated by
in 2050
• 30% AD treatment of • 80% mode shift from • All cooking stoves are climate risk
wastewater private cars to BRT electric
• 2% of trips by privately
owned cars
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Focus Area 13: New Urban Centres We will enhance Lagos State land-use by building
new urban centres to redistribute economic activities
Develop new world-class urban and population density to underutilized eastern
centres to optimize land use and and western regions. These new urban centres
evenly distribute economic and will be supported by critical infrastructure. Two
geographical areas have been identified for new
living activity across Lagos State
urban centres:
(i.e., in Badagry and Epe)
• Badagry: Has a low population density and low
A model mega city is characterized by urban centres economic activity with strong potential to be a
with an optimal distribution of the population. That is strong economic centre. As landmark activities,
exactly what we will do – in addition to establishing the urban centre will have a trade and shipping/
world-class urban centres, we will ensure the logistics services hub
population of Lagos is redistributed across the land
• Epe: Has a low population density and low
area within the state borders to achieve our objective
economic activity with proximity to vast raw/
of creating modern infrastructure in the state.
natural resources for economic activities. This
urban centre will have media and entertainment
(incl. Nollywood) as the key landmark activities
“Developing mix-use new urban centres should
The development of new urban centres within Lagos
be targeted to have a centre with economic
State will be tracked with optimized distribution
activity, supporting tertiary services and
economic activities and improved living/well-being:
residential units to reduce the need for travel
and long commutes”
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to develop new urban centres supports the following SDGs:
SDG 8 - Decent work and economic SDG 13 - Climate action: Take urgent
growth: Promote sustained, inclusive action to combat climate change and
and sustainable economic growth, its impacts
full and productive employment and
decent work for all SDG 17 -Partnerships for the
goals: Strengthen the means of
SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and implementation and revitalize the
communities: Make cities and human global partnership for sustainable
settlements inclusive, safe, resilient development
and sustainable
There are 17 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake 2. Secure and allocate land use for the development
to develop new world-class urban centres to of adequate waterfront land for residential,
optimize land use and evenly distribute economic commercial and recreational purposes
and living activity across Lagos State.
3. Secure and allocate land use for the development
Regulation and Policies of the urban centres in Epe, Badagry, Ikorodu and
Eti-Osa/Ibeju Lekki with smart city concepts that
1. Review the Badagry City Master Plan and lower ensure accessibility, sustainability, connectivity,
order plans to position Badagry as trade and mixed-use and high streets corridors
logistics hub clearly detailing a new seaport
and free economic trade zone as landmark 4. Develop guidelines for structurally and physically
infrastructure and other supporting activities sustainable construction practices in the new
urban centres
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
9. Ease access to favorable credit facilities through 16. Conduct roadshows and workshops with investors
financial institutions to encourage the upspring to secure investments early on through innovative
small and medium scale investors to operate PPP model agreements
in the zone
17. Partner with the Art and Entertainment industry
Investments stakeholders to drive key industry activities to
the proposed Media city in Epe
10. Build critical physical infrastructure through PPP
models for the new urban centres (i.e., power,
water,sanitation, internet connectivity etc.)
according to the master plan
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Case Study: Lekki free trade zone is • Develop road networks and transport linkages
an established industrial hub in Lagos within and across the zone
State with huge economic potential • Provide 12 MW of dual fuel (LPG/CNG) power
once completed. supply through IPPs
Lekki free trade zone is one of the world’s fastest- • Sink boreholes and establish a permanent water
growing trade zones located in Lagos, Nigeria. It plant with a production capacity of 60,000
spans over a total area of 155 sq. km. The ambition gallons/day
is to become a one-stop-shop global business hub. • Implement telecommunication network coverage
by erecting a mobile satellite base station to
Financing Structure and Investment provide wide range of communication services
Sectors
• Establish key social services (police stations, fire
Lekki free trade zone is co-funded and owned by
stations and public administration agencies
three major investors
Expected economic benefits upon completion
• China-Africa Lekki investment (60%)
• Create a strong industrial base for the state with
• Federal Government of Nigeria (20%)
six major focus sectors
• Lagos State Government (20%)
• Implement industrial strategies to ensure the
Lekki free trade zone has six major sectors development of key skills and provision of over
300,000 direct and indirect jobs
• Exhibition & duty-free retail trading
• Develop the Lekki seaport to serve as a trade
• Petroleum product storage facility gateway to other African countries and integrate
into global trade networks
• Manufacturing (heavy and light)
• Ensure economic development and growth by
• Entertainment and culture creation increasing GDP of Lagos State and that of Nigeria
• Residential area as well as revenue generation capacity
• Recreational & tourism • Improve trade balance position via less reliance
on import and increase in local domestic
Enabling infrastructure for successful production capacity
implementation
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Baseline | Lagos can improve the road density Intermodal target mix | Improve road
to ~4km per 1000 vehicles by creating new efficiency by shifting 40% of total passengers
access roads to rail and water transport modes
10
60
Ø4
2.93
0.14 0.05
Cairo Johannesburg Lagos Nairobi Current road Railway Waterway Future road
passengers share share share
Best Worst
Figure 35: New Modes of Transportation to Decongest and Improve Road Transport Efficiency
Source: Desk research studies; Government websites; External consultant
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
• Water transportation: Leverage the availability » Incentivize usage: Provide incentives and
of water bodies and incentivize the use of water encourage both waterways’ operators and
transport, 18 proposed waterways routes to carry users to ensure that 10% of daily passenger
10% of daily passenger trips. trips are through the waterways.
» Expand water routes: Complete the creation • Rail transportation: Construct more rail
of the proposed 18 additional water routes infrastructure connecting important economic
to link more parts of the state through water corridors to account for 30% of total daily
routes. passenger trips. Rapid rail networks hold
» Deploy ferry network: Deploy the operation significant potential for diversification and
of ferries in the established routes to boost modernization of Lagos State transportation
daily passengers’ capacity. as all the planned lines are completed by 2050.
Rapid rail networks hold significant potential for diversification and modernization of
Lagos State transportation should all planned lines be completed by 2050
Current baseline | Lagos currently lags peers Planned rail lines | Construction of an additional
in rapid transit network with two lines currently 5 lines and extensions by 2050 will position Lagos
under construction State ahead of peers
+
27
viaduct rail lines
currently under
construction
240
86
80 150
67 120
59 112
1
~27 km of the Cairo Metro Line Phase 3 is still under construction, Phase 3 to be completed by 2023
104 2
Includes new lines and extensions to existing/ under-construction lines
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to improve transportation supports the following SDGs:
There are 16 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake 4. Update the Lagos State strategic transport master
to create a multi-modal transport network to plan (STMP) to cover new urban areas, timelines
serve existing and new urban centres and provide and economic expansions
sustainable, efficient and flexible means of mobility.
5. Create a regulatory framework that supports
Regulation and Policies every mode of transportation in the State
including rail
1. Strengthen the enforcement of existing traffic laws
to reduce congestion and protect law-abiding Financial incentives
road users
6. Offer tax incentives and favourable fiscal policies
2. Introduce inclusion laws across all transport and business climate to attract and encourage
modes to protect the interest of passengers private investor/players
with reduced mobility (e.g., disabled, pregnant
women, elderly...) 7. Provide for hire purchase/lease arrangement
with private companies to own/operate public
3. Set a price transparency mechanism for public transport vehicles and ferries
transport fares to ensure affordability and
inclusiveness across all transport modes
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Availability and access of reliable power supply is fundamental to support living and
economic activity within Lagos State
Increase power supply by 6x to close to gap Provide almost 100% access to power
between demand and supply by exploring to all urban centers to support living
off-grid IPP1 and renewable sources and economic activity
80
70 10
Supply
60
Demand
44
30
20
5 7
1
IPP – Independent Power Producer
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Federal regulations constrain Lagos State’s internal We will track the development for achieving reliable,
power generation to meet demands. There is an efficient and sustainable power and energy supply
opportunity for alternative models for independent across the state:
and sustainable generation (IPPs, renewable
energy, etc.).
Quantity of energy
Capacity 11TWH 100TWH
generated and distributed
Percentage of population
Accessibility connected grid and off- 60% 100%
grid power supply
Percentage of total
deployed energy (public
Sustainability and private) that is clean 20% 49%
energy (clean energy
includes natural gas)
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City. Our
goal to improve power and energy supports the following SDGs:
SDG 7 - Affordable and clean energy: SDG 13 - Climate action: Take urgent
Ensure access to affordable, reliable, action to combat climate change and
sustainable and modern energy for all its impacts
There are 14 key initiatives that can facilitate the Regulation and Policies
coming online of ~12GW by unlocking Lagos’ gas
potential, leveraging IPPs to complement grid supply 1. Set up an autonomous and credible regulatory
and investing in renewable energy. body to govern and oversee the implementation
of the Lagos electricity reform policy
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
2. Develop a suitable regulatory, commercial and 12. Engage with DFIs and financial institutions
technical framework to showcase the bankability to provide low-interest credit facilities to
of Lagos electricity market and efficiently provide consumers for initial cost of connection and to
licences and approval for all players in the Lagos value chain players (GenCos and Discos) on
electricity market performance bases
3. Enact and fully implement the comprehensive 13. Engage with value chain players through PPP
Lagos electricity reform law to give more to own, build and maintain electricity facilities
autonomy to the state in the electricity sector (i.e., power generation , transmission and
distribution facilities)
4. Enact and implement policies to minimize the
use of electricity from distillate fuels by granting 14. Partner with security agencies and the judiciary
carbon credits for compliance and introduction of to promptly and efficiently prosecute electricity
carbon emission tax/charges for non-compliance theft cases
Financial incentives
5. Take up initial connection cost and provide
Focus Area 16: Internet
capital assets such as transformers, electric Connectivity
poles etc in a tripartite agreement between the
state, discos and communities for lower tariffs in Democratize access to high-speed
underserved/unserved low income areas internet connectivity across
government facilities, public spaces
6. Provide an enabling environment for electricity and households
value chain players to thrive and operate
efficiently (i.e., access to credit, ease of licensing
Model mega cities of the future will are interconnected
and registration ease etc.)
and high-speed internet is a necessity for citizens in
public spaces and infrastructure. Making fast internet
Investments easily available for the public is critical, necessary
and greatly effective.
7. Establish a center for innovation for the power
sector to serve as breeding ground for talents
and new technology
8. Invest through PPP in the generation of, “Public spaces such as schools, government
transmission and distribution of power from offices, airports, etc. should have publicly-
renewable sources by providing equity/debt accessible internet, and the government can
financing, asset financing (land) determine a model for granting access”
Ex Telecoms staff
9. Provide reliable electricity supply from renewable/
clean sources to all state-owned buildings e.g
MDAs, public hospitals, schools, libraries, markets
and parks
To achieve this, we will invest in critical infrastructure
10. Drive awareness campaigns to sensitize the and improve accessibility and adoption across
general public on adoption of renewable sources all areas. The increased tracking of progress and
of energy and the benefit of energy efficiency monitoring of implementation will be instrumental
to reaching this vision.
Partnerships and network support
11. Collaborate with training institutions to develop
an efficient course curriculum that suit the energy
market requirement in Lagos
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
45%
Access to Fixed broadband internet 41%
(% of population)
25%
15%
19
15
13
110
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega-city. Our
goal to improve internet connectivity supports the following SDGs:
There are 14 key initiatives that Lagos can take to Financial incentives
democratize access to high-speed fixed internet
connectivity across government facilities, public 4. Incentivize operators to invest in last mile internet
spaces and households. delivery through fiber, mobile and microwave links
to households on the back of the optic metro
Regulation and Policies fiber network
1. Standardize the process and pricing for internet 5. Provide state guarantees to attract and
infrastructure permits to attract investments for encourage investors in return for investment in
last mile internet coverage across the State i.e., internet infrastructure
towers and right or way permits
Investments
2. Create policies to subsidize the data prices for
public facilities e.g., demand subsidies for schools 6. Secure investments for optic fiber infrastructure
and hospitals to cover all neighbourhoods in the state
with a maximum distance of 1.5 sq km apart
3. Extend wayleaves to ISPs to lay fiber optic
network cables to cover areas with low internet 7. Attract investment into a mobile phone assembly
penetration with focus on last-mile delivery plant for affordable smart phones (i.e., 5G+) to
deepen internet penetration across the state
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Waste
Powermanagement
& Energy, Water & Sewage, Waste Management Spatial planning and physical infrastructure
30
Provide clean and safe water to all residents at
WHO-recommended level
15
Worst Best
Figure 39: Provide Clean and Safe Water to All Students at WHO Recommended Level
Source: WHO, Desk research studies; Government websites; External consultant's analysis
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
Power & Energy, Water & Sewage, Waste Management Physical infrastructure
Provide full access to adequate water supply to support standard of living and
economic activities
Build mega water works projects to increase Optimize the distribution of water across
supply to ~40x the current supply volume to urban centers to ensure 100% access to
meet industrial and residential demand clean public supply of water
+40X
Volume of water demand/supply Access to safely managed water supply
(million metric cubic per day) (% of population)
1074
100 65
406 420
35
9 10 25
Figure 40: Lagos State gap in the demand and supply of water
Source: Lagos Water Corporation, UNICEF WASH NORM II survey, External consultant analysis
113
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City. Our
goal to improve water and sanitation supports the following SDGs:
There are 17 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake Financial incentives
to provide clean and safe water at the WHO-
recommended level and comprehensive sanitation 7. Subsidize water tariffs to low-income areas by
services to all residents equitably and reliably. cross-subsidizing with high-end areas
3. Update existing drainage masterplan to include 10. Extend water distribution pipes to unserved/
tertiary and secondary channels and suitable underserved regions to ensure full access across
urban drainage systems the state
4. Drive effective implementation of the Lagos 11. Improve water supply by rehabilitating old and
Climate Action Plan to ensure Lagos achieves build new public water supply infrastructure
the set Net Zero targets
12. Build new and rehabiliate old public toilets to
5. Effective coordination between water supply reduce open defecation rate
and sewage management bodies and policies
to enable collaboration 13. Invest in building human capacity to improve
efficiency and ensure self-sustainability in water
6. Enforce laws to phase out private boreholes given supply and improved sanitation practices
to sustainability and environmental risk
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
17. Attract funding from development partners to “Landfills are not sustainable. Lagos State
execute projects that meet generally accepted government can explore other sustainable
best practices waste treatment methods which will be made
possible by at-source sorting of waste”
Waste
Wastemanagement
management Spatial planning and physical infrastructure
Improve collection capacity to +95% of total Adopt waste recycling techniques to improve
municipal waste through timely collection capacity to at least 45% of total waste
and creation of transfer load stations collected to drive sustainable waste disposal
Waste collection capacity (% of total municipal waste) Recycling of total waste collected (%)
95
90 45
80 39
63
27
10
115
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to improve waste management supports the following SDGs:
SDG 6 - Clean water and sanitation: SDG 13 - Climate action: Take urgent
Ensure availability and sustainable action to combat climate change and
management of water and sanitation its impacts
for all
SDG 14 - Life below water: Conserve
SDG 9 - Industry, innovation and sustainably use the oceans, seas
and infrastructure: Build resilient and marine resources for sustainable
infrastructure, promote inclusive and development
sustainable industrialization and
foster innovation
There are 17 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake protection laws (i.e., blue box initiatives, waste-
to develop a best-in-class waste management to-wealth, waste-to-energy, extended producers’
system to consistently position Lagos State in the top scheme, etc.) to ensure appropriate waste
3 of cleanest cities in Africa (currently not in top 10). management practices
Regulation and Policies 3. Issue and monitor rules and guidelines on disposal
of special wastes (construction /demolition
1. Draw out a comprehensive waste management waste, industrial waste, clinical waste etc.
plan to guide actions and efforts towards
achieving the set goal 4. Reorganize and empower the waste management
agency (LAWMA) in the State to execute their
2. Enforce the implementation of waste duties transparently and efficiently
management initiatives and environmental
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
8. Employ advanced technology and innovation 16. Promote information dissemination and
to waste treatment processes including educational campaigns via private sector
electronic waste partnerships to sensitize the mases on best
waste management best practices (including
9. Invest in human capacity building in waste electronic waste)
management (including electronic waste) for
operational efficiencies through sponsored 17. Engage ‘producer companies’ to set up
trainings and workshops a recycling/reuse programs for their non
decomposable pack and containers
10. Invest in waste recycling facilities
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Modern Infrastructure
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
7
Chapter
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Effective
Governance
Governance that is effective, decisive and outcome- This means that we would improve the efficiency of
driven is crucial in shaping the future of a city and the state to deliver mega-projects, work efficiently,
also in winning the confidence of its citizens. Which build trust with citizens, generate sufficient revenue
is why by 2052, Lagos State will have a supportive for optimal fiscal performance and attract enough
and enabling environment that creates opportunities investment for key sectors of the economy.
for Lagosians. We have made notable progress
in delivering mega projects despite resource To ensure Lagos State will have a supportive and
constraints. This was a result of a collaborative enabling environment that creates opportunities
and decisive leadership supported by strong Public- for Lagosians, three focus areas have been defined
Private Partnership (PPP) engagements. for the LSDP 2052:
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN, which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City. Our
goal to achieve effective governance supports the following SDGs:
SDG 8 - Decent work and economic SDG 16 - Peace, justice and strong
growth: Promote sustained, inclusive institutions: Promote peaceful and
and sustainable economic growth, inclusive societies for sustainable
full and productive employment and development, provide access to
decent work for all justice for all and build effective,
accountable and inclusive institutions
SDG 9 - Industry, innovation at all levels
and infrastructure: Build resilient
infrastructure, promote inclusive and SDG 17 - Partnerships for the
sustainable industrialisation and goals: Strengthen the means of
foster innovation implementation and revitalise the
global partnership for sustainable
SDG 10 - Reduced inequalities: development
Reduce inequality within and among
countries
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
Focus Area 18: Digital be effective and agile. This will improve efficiency
in civil services and therefore enhance experiences
Transformation for citizens.
MD of an investment company
Digital and technological advancements are key to
success in the future and Lagos will take decisive
actions to adopt digital ways of working and ensure Lagos State will rank within the top 20 emerging
that governance has all the advantages needed to market cities on the Local E-Governance index.
Lagos State ranks 4th in Local E-Government Index with potential to outperform African
peers and reach EM peer levels
0.68
0.55
0.46
0.41 0.40
0.35
Achieving full digitisation and moving up in the across different services and reduce the time needed
Local E-Governance rankings would require Lagos to to build and launch new services.
adopt digital services, platforms and infrastructure.
Government platforms enable many common We will track the development of Lagos as one of
functionalities that government services require. the top 20 emerging cities in e-governance.
Platforms also create a consistent user experience
1
Uses the Local Online Service Index (LOSI)
2
EM peers –Bogotá, Buenos Aires, Istanbul, Sao Paulo, Mexico City, Kuala Lumpur, Mumbai 123
3
Global peers – Madrid, Moscow, N. York, Tallinn, Paris, Stockholm, Berlin, Seoul, Shanghai
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to achieve digital transformation supports the following SDGs:
SDG 13 - Climate action: Take urgent SDG 16 - Peace, justice and strong
action to combat climate change and institutions: Promote peaceful and
its impacts inclusive societies for sustainable
development, provide access to
justice for all and build effective,
accountable and inclusive institutions
at all levels
There are 15 key initiatives that Lagos State can take Financial incentives
to be ranked within the top 20 emerging market cities
on the Local E-Governance index with an average 5. Provide incentives for private sector participation
response time to citizens of <1 week / collaboration on Smart City (e.g. sharing
structure for smart cameras etc)
Regulation and Policies
Investments
1. Develop a digital-first and paperless framework
and delivery plan, enabling cultural and 6. Create a Platform as a Service to ensure agility,
operational change robustness, and security in hosting, developing,
deploying, testing and running applications,
2. Enforce and provide supportive infrastructure for leveraging containerization technology
elimination of in-person visits to service centres,
e.g., by leveraging private sector infrastructure 7. Deploy centralized platform enabling government
(banks, shops) and digital solutions applications to securely exchange data using APIs
3. Enact policy to guarantee that small changes 8. Build single portal which centralizes key services
such as centralized website publishing are used by citizens/businesses to enable ease
implemented first before more complex of locating services
procedures, such as permits, are digitized
9. Create a digital identity (personal ID & signature)
4. Ensure transparency and openness regarding for individuals and businesses integrated
regulation setting and use of data to build trust across all applications to enable simpler,
with citizens more convenient and secure access to
government services
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
Increase internally generated revenues to ~5% of GDP with PAYE tax contributing <40%
of total IGR in line with global peer cities
Moscow 13.5%
Global peer cities have diversified IGR sources with no category type contributing
>50% contrasting Lagos State PAYE
1%
Mexico
City 21% 28% 17% 11% 23%
Figure 43: Lagos State Internally Generate Revenues Relative to Global Peer Cities
Source: City of Johannesburg, Nairobi City County, City of Mumbai, Jakarta City Government, New York City,
City of Moscow public statements; Oxford Economic; External consultant's analysis
126
1
Excluding grants and subsidies
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
Real assets (land), PAYE tax, land use charge, and operational assets present the most
potential to drive revenue growth for Lagos State
Potential of real and operational assets of the state are largely untapped today – i.e., returns from
land assets, land use charge and other public services
Figure 44: Estimated revenue potential for Lagos (N billion – based on 2020 revenue baseline)
Source: Lagos State Government 2020 financials; Lagos State Bureau of Statistics; Oxford Economics; EIU Intelligence Unit; World Bank;
External consultant's analysis
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
Lagos can potentially generate up to ~ N 1.7trillion IGR (7.1% of GDP) by optimizing the
value from the state's real (land), land use charge, and operational assets
60 1,710
115
180
210
730
452
IGR 2020 Real assets Land use PAYE tax Operational Other Total
charge assets sources1
7.1%
Preliminary IGR potential to High-level estimates
GDP ratio
Lagos State can generate IGR up to 7% of GDP based We will track Lagos State’s development in diversifying
on potential by optimising the value from the state’s and expanding its revenue-generating capacity:
land and operational assets.
Internally
Internally generated
generated revenue
revenue divided by GDP 1.9% 5%
as a percentage of
multiplied by 100
GDP
128 1
Other sources include direct assessment tax, withholding tax, tax on contract, entertainment tax, capital gain tax, service charges, fines
and fees, licenses
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to achieve effective governance supports the following SDGs:
There are 91 key initiatives that Lagos can 7. Integrate the LASRRA scheme with the tax
undertake to achieve the objective of Internally database to create a more comprehensive
Generated Revenue. database of eligible tax payers in the state for
PAYE tax
Regulation and Policies
8. Leverage digital/online platforms to make
1. Expand unique tax identification numbering payment process more seamless and close
system to include all taxpayers for direct the diversion loopholes that comes with
assessment tax cash payments
2. Ensure that annual statutory audit of the fund 9. Develop a database of all government-owned
records is conducted by an independent auditor real assets portfolio to be actively managed by
to ensure accuracy and compliance to set the proposed real asset management fund
reporting standard
10. Develop and execute additional strategies to
3. Expand unique tax identification numbering support generation of revenue from parking
system to include all taxpayers for other taxes regulation
4. Expand unique tax identification numbering 11. Develop and execute strategies to optimize
system to include information on properties revenue generation from existing assets (e.g.,
owned by taxpayers leasing spaces in train/bus stations for shopping,
advertisement on vehicles, reclaiming land
5. Identify illegally annexed setbacks etc. next to surrounding assets, etc)
previously allocated land by the Government and
enforce payments for the portion of land annexed 12. Develop and run franchise models for transport
infrastructure (e.g., terminals) to be operated
6. Integrate the LASRRA scheme with the tax and maintained by private sector players
database to create a more comprehensive
database of eligible tax payers in the state for 13. Develop policies and execute strategies targeted
land use charge at transitioning existing informal nature of parking
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
in Lagos to more formal systems (e.g., parking 25.Continue to develop policies to coordinate and
meters) manage reforms necessary for the development
of water transportation to enhance revenue
14. Drive public awareness on the requirement potentials
of having operations permit for Real Estate
Practitioners and Property Developers in 26.Continue to leverage technology to enfore traffic
Lagos State laws and administer fines to offenders
15. Drive public awareness on the requirement of 27. Create exchange program whereby successful
land registration and acquiring title to land in foreign government revenue generating agencies
Lagos State and industry experts can upskill the Lagos State
government workforce for direct assessment tax
16. Enforce the collection of withholding tax on rent
by tenants on behalf of the government via media 28.Create exchange program whereby successful
campaigns and alignment with LASSRA foreign government revenue generating agencies
and industry experts can upskill the Lagos State
17. Enforce the presentation of TCC and TIN as a government workforce for land use charge
mandatory requirement for application for loans,
contacts, permits, licenses and opening of bank 29.Create exchange program whereby successful
accounts for existing businesses etc for direct foreign government revenue generating agencies
assessment tax and industry experts can upskill the Lagos State
government workforce for other taxes
18. Enforce the presentation of TCC and TIN as
a mandatory requirement for application for 30. Create exchange program whereby successful
loans, contacts, permits, licenses and opening foreign government revenue generating agencies
of bank accounts for existing businesses etc for and industry experts can upskill the Lagos State
other taxes government workforce for PAYE tax
19. Enforce the presentation of TCC and TIN as a 31. Set out and ensure enforcement of a standardized
mandatory requirement for application for loans, reporting framework to provide transparency and
contacts, permits, licenses and opening of bank accountability of revenue generated from the
accounts for existing businesses etc for PAYE tax operation of assets for transportation
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36.Stipulate and ensure compliance to a simple 49.Design a system that nudges public officials to
reporting standard for informal sector players to deal with full transparency and competency
aim the easy assessment of tax payable via additional compensation as bonuses for
other taxes
37. Stipulate reporting standard based on
international standards and continue making 50.Promptly respond to and actively support
financial statements publicly available to ensure whistle-blowers to ensure accountability in
accountability of the fund revenue generation for direct assessment tax
38. Streamline and simplify the collection process 51. Promptly respond to and actively support
leveraging digital as well as establishing whistle-blowers to ensure accountability in
a support unit - virtual and mobile to assist revenue generation for land use charge
payers with e-filing, registration, issue resolution
and education 52.Promptly respond to and actively support
whistle-blowers to ensure accountability in
39. Close specific tax evasion loopholes by analysing revenue generation for other taxes
historical data and consulting key stakeholders
for other taxes 53. Promptly respond to and actively support
whistle-blowers to ensure accountability in
40.Close specific tax evasion loopholes by analysing revenue generation for PAYE tax
historical data and consulting key stakeholders
for PAYE 54.Provide incentives such as tax allowances and tax
credits to encourage prompt and accurate filling
41. Ensure seamless governance and coordination of returns and payments thereof for other taxes
between Lagos Internal Revenue Service (LIRS)
and other revenue-collection / generating 55.Provide incentives such as tax allowances and tax
agencies of government credits to encourage prompt and accurate filling
of returns and payments thereof for PAYE tax
42.Introduce and enforce stronger and more visible
non-compliance penalties Investments
46.Establish volunteer disclosure schemes with 59.Build residential buildings on government real
amnesty for defaulters for other taxes asset (land) at proposed new urban centres
47. Establish volunteer disclosure schemes with 60.Claim and effectively manage lands
amnesty for defaulters for PAYE tax along major public infrastructures (i.e.,
rail lines, seaports, airports), deploying
48.Design a system that nudges public officials to to use via economically viable means
deal with full transparency and competency via as assessed by portfolio managers
additional compensation as bonuses for land
use charge
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
61. Create mobile tax units to provide support services Partnerships and network support
to taxpayers for e-filing, income tax registration
and free tax workshops for direct assessment tax 73. Leverage private sector subject matter experts
as members of the proposed real asset
62.Create mobile tax units to provide support management fund board
services to taxpayers for e-filing, income tax
registration and free tax workshops for PAYE tax 74. Partner with private sector players to build,
procure and deliver government-owned
63. Deploy integrated e-ticketing and payment system operational assets (e.g., vehicles equipped with
(Cowry Card) for all modes of transportation new technologies) through trusted PPP models
and ensure gradual adoption by users
75. Partner with private sector players to build,
64.Deploy technological devices and digital procure and deliver government-owned
platforms such as tamper-proof meters for operational assets through trusted PPP models
water supply for waste management
65.Erect perimeter fencing etc. to prevent fraudulent 76.Partner with private sector players to build,
sale of unallocated Government-owned land procure and deliver government-owned
and ensure allocation to rightful allotee for future operational assets through trusted PPP models
revenue generation for water supply
66.Expand training offerings for Lagos drivers to build 77. Strengthen existing partnership models with
their skillset, and generate more revenue for the informal sector (i.e. transport unions) to formalize
government e.g., via new offerings leveraging tech tax processes by leveraging digital
67. Invest in development of mixed land use along 78. Strengthen partnership with carpark operators
waterfront to optimize land value and revenue via to ensure enforcement of Lagos State parking
tourist, commercial, residential, transportation uses policies (e.g., registration of carpark operators
to obtain permits)
68.Invest in upgrading public transportation vehicles (i.e.
trains, BRT buses, etc.) leveraging new technologies 79. Partner with the law enforcement agencies to
(e.g., electric vehicles) to reduce dependence create a tax evasion investigative team aimed
on diesel fuels, e.g., via PPP or DFI loans and grants at fighting large scale tax evaders in the state
for other taxes
69.Invest in waste collection and recycling facilities
through waste-to-wealth and waste-to-energy 80.Partner with the law enforcement agencies to
programs for guaranteed sustainability within the create a tax evasion investigative team aimed
State, through partnership with the private sector at fighting large scale tax evaders in the state
for PAYE tax
70. Provide infrastructure (e.g., roads, electricity) in
areas where land is allocated by the government, 81. Partner with the private sector to drive advocacy
to ensure accessibility and facilitate and fast- and awareness on relevant taxes/levies
track revenue generation from land allocation and provide information that transparently
illustrate how revenue generated is spent to
71. Repurpose the use of, or reclaim all depleted increase the compliance and payment of direct
government real assets for optimization of assessment tax
potential yield
82.Partner with the private sector to drive advocacy
72. Strengthen LWC to function and operate at and awareness on relevant taxes/levies and
optimal capacity provide information that transparently illustrate
how revenue generated is spent to increase the
compliance and payment of land use charges
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
83. Partner with the private sector to drive advocacy 88.Engage private sector to provide technology and
and awareness on relevant taxes/levies and digital support for optimization of operational
provide information that transparently illustrate asset services and collections for water supply
how revenue generated is spent to increase the
compliance and payment of PAYE tax 89.Engage with DFIs to provide funding in forms of
loans and grants to implement projects around
84.Partner with the private sector to drive advocacy building new and refurbishing existing assets for
and awareness on relevant taxes/levies and waste management
provide information that transparently illustrate
how revenue generated is spent, to increase the 90.Engage with DFIs to provide funding in forms of
compliance and payment of all taxes loans and grants to implement projects around
building new and refurbishing existing assets for
85.Collaborate with private sector players (i.e. real water supply
estate developers, construction companies) to
develop commercial structures on government 91. Conduct extensive stakeholder engagement
lands to improve yields to align and secure buy-in for the market
valuation methods used to establish market
86.Collaborate with private sector players (i.e. real value of properties
estate developers, construction companies) to
develop residential structures on government Real assets (land), PAYE tax, land-use charge, and
lands to improve yields operational assets present the most potential to
drive revenue growth for Lagos State. The potential
87. Engage private sector to provide technology and of real and operational assets of the state are largely
digital support for optimization of operational untapped today – i.e., returns from land assets,
asset services and collections for waste land-use charge and other public services. There
management is a significant opportunity to further optimise PAYE
tax and land-use charges.
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
3 high priority areas shortlisted based on Lagos' right to win and potential impact on
prioritized economic areas and socio-economic landscape
Right to win
Low High
Relocation and
Low
Cost participation
Tax exemptions Subsidies (infrastructure,
Hgh
Figure 46: Three high priority levers for Lagos state to prioritize
Source: External consultant analysis
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
Lagos State must attract and increase FDI as a percentage of GDP by ~2.7x to reach the
leading peer level
2.7X
4.1% 4.0%
3.3%
2.2%
1.5% 1.5%
135
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 multisectoral goals developed by the UN, which
provide a blueprint for a more sustainable future for all. The Lagos State Development Plan 2052 is
closely aligned with the UN SDGs to strengthen our efforts in becoming Africa’s Model Mega City.
Our goal to achieve effective governance supports the following SDGs:
There are 11 key initiatives that Lagos can undertake to 5. Partner with the NEPZA , NCS , NIS , NPF and CBN
become West Africa’s trade hub and regional gateway to secure attractive incentives and improve
for transit shipment and port service. the ease of doing business in the State for
investors including specialized incentives for
Regulation and Policies each prioritized sector: a. tax exemptions and
reductions b. expediting market access c.
1. Strengthen the Office of SDGs and investments, providing key logistics infrastructure d. securing
as the entry point of investments into the State, to land permits and security etc.
create opportunities for investors in the prioritized
economic sectors by: a. Enhancing the offering Investments
of the State to investors – compelling value
proposition for prioritized sectors b. Driving 6. Coordinate the set up of the Lagos State Wealth
investor outreach and pitching opportunities Fund to attract investments to the State via co-
with clear business cases and; c. Onboarding investments in the prioritized sectors
investors incl. managing the pipeline and Signing
MoUs and EOIs 7. Develop industrial clusters relevant to specific
types of businesses – manufacturing, digital,
2. Complete set up of one-stop-shop to facilitate SMEs etc
swift interactions with the Federal Government
and ease all administrative procedures for foreign 8. Digitize administrative processes, including one
investors, local businesses and entrepreneurs stop shop for investors providing all information,
documents, procedures required to invest in
Financial incentives the State
3. Develop own framework for investment incentives 9. Fast track investments to develop key
infrastructure for the prioritized sectors including
4. Facilitate ease of access to land and physical transport networks, power etc.
developments and fast issuance of respective
permits, licenses, and clearances to investors as
incentives to drive investments and sustainable
developments
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Effective Governance
Partnerships and network support with consulates and trade bodies and reaching
out to stakeholders directly both nationally and
10. Continue promoting/ marketing Lagos State internationally
as the investment destination in Africa by
launching an “Invest Lagos” program and 11. Establish economic, trade and other cooperation
leveraging multiple channels to drive investment frameworks to boost trade and investment
outreach for the priority sectors including, hosting opportunities
roadshows (in country and visits), connecting
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139
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
8
Chapter
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
Path to
2052 Lagos
The four phases to economic Lagos will focus on implementing
prosperity and future resilience quick-wins initiatives over the
next two years to drive traction
The LSDP 2052 will be implemented across four in implementing the 30-year
phases with tangible quick wins and long- development plan.
term infrastructure projects to future-proof the
state’s economy.
141
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
Figure 48: The Implementation Roadmap for the Development Plan is grouped into four distinct phases
Source: External consultant analysis
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
143
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
144
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
High-level projections suggest a 70% gap between showing a need for private sector financing, e.g.,
the required funds and available government CAPEX, via PPP.
Funding gap | High-level projections suggest a 70% gap between the required funds and
available government CAPEX, showing a need for private sector financing e.g., via PPP
2000
0
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Lagos State is committed to empower and enable sectors to incentivise injection of investment
the Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) funds from the private sector
who bear the critical responsibility of attracting
investments and private sector financing. The state
will strengthen the mandates, review organisational
strategies, and enhance resources of these MDAs
Institutionalising the LSDP 2052
to achieve the funding requirements of the plan Lagos State’s planning cycle has three parts that
and close the 70% funding gap. The agencies are: correspond to short, medium, and long-term
planning. While the LSDP is currently a component
1. Office of Sustainable Development Goals and of long-term planning, the development plan will
Investments: Create a seamless experience also be integrated into the medium-term and
for investors while maintaining policies that annual planning cycles of the state. The Lagos
promote partnerships and investments towards State planning cycle consists of:
the sustainable development goals
1. Short-term planning (1 year), i.e., Annual budgets
2. Office of Public-Private Partnerships: Drive
implementation of projects in collaboration with
2. Medium-term planning (3 years), i.e., Medium
the private sector from the conceptualisation
Term Sector Strategies (MTSSs)
stage, through planning and feasibility studies,
until commissioning
3. Long-term planning (>3 years), i.e., Lagos State
Development Plan
3. Ibile Holdings Limited: Leverage relationships with
portfolio companies across the key economic
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
LSDP integration
Lagos State's planning cycle consists of 3 components of which the LSDP is the
long-term component
Long-term
Lagos state development plan (LSDP)
• 30-year integrated strategic plan to secure Lagos
Lagos State planning cycle
Medium term
Medium term sector strategies (MTSSs)
• 3-year sector strategies updated annually,
highlighting the goals, objectives and targets for the key
sectors and MDAs
• Critical link to deliver on the LSDP initiatives in the
medium term i.e., prioritization, costing and budgeting
Short term
Annual budgets
• Approved major plan to be implemented for the year
with public expenditure allocations
• 1st year of the medium-term sector strategies
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Path to 2052 Lagos
LSDP 2052 will be integrated into the state’s planning Embedded within the Ministry of Economic Planning
process by leveraging a set of enablers: and Development (MEPB), a dedicated delivery unit
has been created to facilitate the implementation
1. Assigned initiatives to sectors and and institutionalisation of the LSDP 2052 across
responsible MDAs the Lagos State MDAs. Reporting directly to the
state’s Executive Council, the unit’s duties include
2. Integration of LSDP initiatives into the MTSS and ensuring efficient coordination, monitoring,
annual budget evaluation, and continuous reprioritisation of
implementation activities.
3. Continuous monitoring and reprioritisation of
the initiatives based on the prevailing context
The delivery support unit embedded in MEPB will coordinate implementation activities
across the MDAs and will report directly to the State’s Executive Council
Delivery unit will provide monthly reports on the LSDP to the Executive Council
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Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Concluding Thoughts
9
Chapter
148
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Concluding Thoughts
Concluding
Thoughts
LAGOS: BUILDING ON TODAY’S PROMISES TO
BECOME TOMORROW’S MODEL MEGA CITY
As you have seen across this report, Lagos continues To reach this goal, it is imperative that we work
to be an economic powerhouse and leading financial towards the effective implementation of the plan
hub—not just in Nigeria, but in Africa—with immense at every level of society. To this end, the LSDP 2052
potential and opportunities that are waiting to be has clearly outlined initiatives, strategies and
tapped. The Lagos State Development Plan (LSDP) accountability mechanisms that will ensure Lagos’
2052 has been devised and fully equipped to capture vision is fulfilled. Your belief in the vision of this plan
and maximize this potential to deliver a city that is will be crucial and your trust will be essential to
ahead, modern and thriving. deliver on this ambition.
While the race to the future will be driven by From plan to reality.
innovation and technology, cities are more
importantly defined by the people that inhabit them. From potential to power.
We acknowledge this in the LSDP 2052 by doubling
From today to tomorrow.
down on our efforts to deliver a thriving economy,
high-quality and affordable education, health care The road ahead is a long one and not without
and social services, strong infrastructure, and an challenges, but with the right people, the right
effective governance to all Lagosians. The LSDP 2052 objectives, and the right actions, we will build on
has been developed for Lagosians by Lagosians and today’s promise of becoming tomorrow’s model
crafted to include every single aspect that affects mega city.
our standard of living. Our objective is to enable
Lagos to convert existing challenges into tomorrow’s
opportunities, while also building on our resilience,
our rich heritage and most importantly, our people.
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Appendix
Acronyms
AU African Union
FG Federal Government
GW Gigawatts
150
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
151
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
UN United Nations
VC Venture Capital
152
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
153
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Figure Figure
Shipping & Port calls (wait time) -Median time 23.5 hours
71 hours (2.96 days)
logistics spent in port in hours (days) (0.97days)
154 1
Twenty Equipment Unit, i.e., 20-foot container
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Figure Figure
155
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Figure Figure
Social
UNDP Human Development Index 0.65 0.8
Infrastructure
Social
Gini Coefficient 27.23 20
Infrastructure
156 1
Technical and Vocational Education and Training
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Figure Figure
157
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Figure Figure
158
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Figure Figure
159
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Figure Figure
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161
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162
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
163
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Shipping and Develop alliances with target global logistics hubs on Ministry of
Logistics Services priority products/supply chains Transportation
Art and Create digital processes, applications, permits and Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment sector related info. Arts and Culture
164
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165
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166
Lagos State Development Plan 2052 | Appendix
Art and Create a fund focused on exports of media & Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment entertainment content produced in Lagos Arts and Culture
Art and Develop a Women's fund that directly targets talent Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment development and projects by, for and about women Arts and Culture
Art and Establish sector representation in LGAs reporting to the Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment coordinating M&E Office Arts and Culture
Art and Issue grants to support funding throughout project Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment lifecycles and independent producers Arts and Culture
Art and Partner with NCC to strengthen the enforcement of Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment regulations for anti-piracy law Arts and Culture
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Investment
Develop own framework for investment incentives Office of PPP
Attraction
Ministry of Commerce,
Investment Establish economic, trade and other cooperation
Industry and
Attraction frameworks to boost trade and investment opportunities
Cooperatives
Facilitate ease of access to land and physical
Ministry of Physical
Investment developments and fast issuance of respective permits,
Planning and Urban
Attraction licenses, and clearances to investors as incentives to
Development
drive investments and sustainable developments
Fast track investments to develop key infrastructure
Investment Ministry of Works &
for the prioritized sectors including transport networks,
Attraction Infrastructure
power etc.
Partner with the NEPZA , NCS , NIS , NPF and CBN to secure
attractive incentives and improve the ease of doing
business in the State for investors including specialized Ministry of Commerce,
Investment
incentives for each prioritized sector: a. tax exemptions Industry and
Attraction
and reductions b. expediting market access c. providing Cooperatives
key logistics infrastructure d. securing land permits and
security etc.
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Partner with security agencies and the judiciary to Ministry of Energy and
Power & Energy
promptly and efficiently prosecute electricity theft cases Mineral Resources
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Invest in SME centres in partnership with the main trade Ministry of Commerce,
Shipping and
associations to provide services incl. SME clustering for Industry and
Logistics Services
higher market access, tradeshow facilitation Cooperatives
Partner with the Federal Government to establish a large
Shipping and Ministry of
portfolio of FTAs and RTAs to maximize market access
Logistics Services Transportation
and global linkages
Provide rebate on handling costs triggered by specific Ministry of Commerce,
Shipping and
volume thresholds at year-end(1-3- or 3-10-year Industry and
Logistics Services
agreements) Cooperatives
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Build new and rehabiliate old public toilets to reduce Ministry of Works &
Water & Sanitation
open defecation rate Infrastructure
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Real Estate
Facilitate the formalization of the real estate sector Ministry of Housing
Services
Ministry of Commerce,
Wholesale & Retail Develop digital platform for connecting Lagos based
Industry and
Trade wholesalers to national and international players
Cooperatives
Support and strengthen the operation of last mile
Wholesale & Retail logistic service providers, and comprehensive address Ministry of
Trade system (street names and numbers) to support Transportation
e-commerce retailers
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Ministry of Commerce,
Create digital processes for business registration
Developing SMEs Industry and
process in partnership with relevant Federal agencies
Cooperatives
Real Estate Develop special annual levies and land tax based on the
Ministry of Finance
Services property value
Art and Host international film festivals to showcase Nollywood, Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment connect filmmakers, students, artists, media etc. Arts and Culture
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Art and Partner with schools and universities to offer Media and Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment Entertainment courses for early talent development Arts and Culture
Ministry of Commerce,
Establish business hubs (i.e., Technology Incubation
Developing SMEs Industry and
Centers) in the three sectorial districts
Cooperatives
Create a digital identity (personal ID & signature)
Digital for individuals and businesses integrated across all Ministry of Science
Transformation applications to enable simpler, more convenient and and Technology
secure access to government services
Implement behavioural reforms and change
Digital Lagos State Civil
management initiatives to enable public service
Transformation Service Commission
transformation
Invest in IT infrastructure, data analytics capabilities
and artificial intelligence to enable LIRS to cut through
Digital vast swathes of data and consolidate wealth data for Ministry of Science
Transformation taxpayers via third-party information to pinpoint errors, and Technology
red flag problem areas and help tighten up compliance
in general
Provide incentives for private sector participation /
Digital Ministry of Science
collaboration on Smart City (e.g. sharing structure for
Transformation and Technology
smart cameras etc)
Establish scholarship funds for vocational students
and professional certifications/degrees at academic
Education institutions for the 6 priority Focus Areas with Ministry of Education
requirement of minimum duration of employment in the
State
Continue construction of >200 new and modernization
of existing primary, secondary and technical/vocational
Ministry of Works and
Education colleges to match global best practice standards, with
Infrastructure
considerations for disadvantaged groups (e.g., ramps
for wheelchair access)
Develop local talent skills in financial services sector,
through academic institution and partnerships with
Financial Services Ministry of Education
universities for specific qualifications (e.g., Master in
Financial Engineering)
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Secure and allocate land use for the development of Ministry of Waterfront
New Urban
adequate waterfront land for residential, commercial Infrastructure
Centres
and recreational purposes Development
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Art and Co-invests with VC funds into small-medium sized local Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment studios to boost innovation Arts and Culture
Build Tech Introduce incentives to drive R&D spend and innovation Ministry of Science
Ecosystems through grants and patent protection and Technology
Ministry of Wealth
Build Tech Provide tax breaks for losses on invested capital in
Creation and
Ecosystems ventures owned by same company
Employment
Provide financial support to non-bank financiers Ministry of Commerce,
Developing SMEs (FinTech's, Micro Finance ) that provide low-cost Industry and
financing Cooperatives
Incentivise relocation of slum dweller to new social
housing developments by providing better access to
Housing Ministry of Housing
public goods i.e., housing, schools, hospitals, recreational
parks etc. in the new districts
Build a Film academy/institution in the Media City with
Art and modern technology, equipment and world-class staff to Ministry of Tourism,
Entertainment provide a steady pipeline of trained professionals in the Arts and Culture
creative sector
Open a Lagos State SME Development Bank targeting Ministry of Commerce,
Developing SMEs priority sectors with private operators and State part- Industry and
owner with shared risk Cooperatives
Co-invest through PPP models in a cargo airport (for
Food & Beverage example in Badagry, Epe or Lekki) to decrease cost and Ministry of
Manufacturing time for distribution of FMCG within Lagos, nationally and Transportation
regionally
Set up the medical diagnostic and service provision
Healthcare scheme to ensure state of the art equipment in all the Ministry of Health
State's health facilities
Attract investment into a mobile phone assembly
Internet Ministry of Science
plant for affordable smart phones (i.e., 5G+) to deepen
Connectivity and Technology
internet penetration across the state
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Waste Ministry of
Invest in waste recycling facilities
Management Environment
Build Tech Partner with universities to drive research and innovation Ministry of Science
Ecosystems in tech and Technology
Digital Define and set up digital fund to finance digitalization Ministry of Science
Transformation effort with private sector support and Technology
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Build Tech Create a pre-acceleration program for women start- Ministry of Science
Ecosystems ups in early concept stage and Technology
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