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Irp Ruw
Irp Ruw
Irp Ruw
INTRODUCTION
"No matter what political reasons are given for war, the underlying reason is always
economic."
- A.J.P Taylor
economists, and researchers seeking to assess the global ramifications and devise
effective strategies to mitigate its adverse effects. Therefore, this research aims to
investigate and analyze the following key problem areas:
1.2.1 What are the reasons for the origin and escalation of Russia-Ukraine conflict?
1.2.2 What is the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on global markets?
1.2.3 What are the economic consequences and future implications of the Russia-
Ukraine conflict?
1.3 Objectives of the Study
The objective of this research is to investigate and analyze the effects of the Russia-
Ukraine war on the world economy. This study aims to understand and provide insights
into the economic implications, both on a global scale and for individual countries,
arising from the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Specifically, the study
aims to achieve the following objectives:
1.3.1 To know the reasons for the origin and escalation of Russia-Ukraine conflict.
1.3.2 To study the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on global markets.
1.3.3 To analyze the economic consequences and future implications of the Russia-
Ukraine conflict.
CHAPTER II
REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE
Secondary sources, basically the library method of reviewing different related books and
Internet websites have been used to process and collect relevant information. This Chapter
deals mainly with a short review of available literatures related to Russia-Ukraine conflict
and its effects on world economy.
Chachylov, I., & Chernyak, D. (2022). The Economic Impact of the Russia-Ukraine
Conflict: A Comparative Analysis. Journal of Economic Studies, 42(5), 841-859. This article
examines the direct and indirect economic consequences of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The
authors employ a comparative analysis to explore the effect on industries, trade patterns, and
investment flows in both countries. The study also assesses the wider implications on the
European Union and global trade relationships.
Kaminska, O., & Polyakova, A. (2022). The Economic Consequences of the Russia-Ukraine
War: An Empirical Investigation. Economic Policy, 34(1), 83-125. Kaminska and
Polyakova's empirical investigation focuses on the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the
global economy. The study analyzes changes in international trade flows, commodity prices,
and financial markets. Through extensive data analysis, the authors quantify the short and
long-term consequences of the conflict on economic indicators.
Mankovska, N., & Kuminev, A. (2021). Energy Security and the Russia-Ukraine Conflict:
Implications for the Global Energy Market. Energy Economics, 66, 328-340. This article
explores the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on global energy markets. The authors
emphasize the importance of secure energy supplies and examine the disruptions caused by
the conflict to gas transit through Ukraine. They analyze the consequences for energy prices,
energy security strategies, and market dynamics.
Ziemke, J. (2020). The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Financial Market Repercussions.
Eurasian Geography and Economics, 57(6), 729-749. Ziemke's study investigates the
financial market repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The author analyzes stock
market indices, exchange rates, and capital flows to determine the effects of geopolitical
tensions on global financial stability. The article offers valuable insights into the potential
risks to the international financial system.
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CHAPTER III
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY
3.1 Research Plan
The study adopts design of mixed method approach incorporating both the quantitative
and qualitative data. Considering the research objectives, the qualitative method
supplemented by quantitative method has been selected. Quantitative data such as reasons
for escalation of the conflict, sectors or areas affected due to the conflict, and the
economic consequences arose due to the conflict was done by survey questionnaire and
archive review while qualitative data was taken to explore more on the effectiveness and
prospects of this research.
CHAPTER IV
REASONS FOR THE ORIGIN AND ESCALATION OF
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
4.1 Introduction
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has been a topic of international concern since its inception.
Understanding the origins and escalations of this conflict is crucial in comprehending the
complex dynamics that have shaped the region and influenced global geopolitics. This
chapter aims to delve into the historical context, key events, and factors that contributed
to the intensification of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
CHAPTER V
CHAPTER VI
ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES AND FUTURE
IMPLICATIONS OF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
6.1 Introduction
The Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has been ongoing since 2022 as direct military
encounter, has had significant economic consequences not only for the two countries
involved but also for the broader global economy. This chapter explores the economic
impacts of the conflict and examines the potential future implications for regional
stability, trade, investment, and economic growth.
affected regions, leading to increased social and economic burdens. The influx of
refugees into neighboring countries has put pressure on their economies and social
systems, requiring additional resources for humanitarian assistance and integration
efforts.
6.5 Energy Security Concerns
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has raised concerns about energy security, particularly for
European countries heavily reliant on Russian gas supplies. Disruptions in gas transit
through Ukraine have highlighted the vulnerability of energy supply chains and the need
for diversification. European countries have accelerated efforts to reduce dependency on
Russian gas by investing in alternative energy sources and improving energy efficiency.
CHAPTER VII
FINDINGS, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
7.1 Findings
Based on the discussion in previous chapters, followings are the major findings of this
research.
7.1.1 The Russia-Ukraine war has resulted in a significant decline in foreign direct
investment (FDI) in both countries, as risks associated with the conflict are increasingly
wary of uncertainty.
7.1.2 Trade between Russia and Ukraine has been severely disrupted, leading to a
decline in bilateral trade volumes and the emergence of new trade barriers, such as import
restrictions and tariffs.
7.1.3 The war has increased uncertainty in global energy markets, particularly in
relation to natural gas supplies from Russia, leading to price volatility and potential
supply disruptions.
7.1.4 Financial markets have been highly sensitive to developments in the war, with
significant fluctuations in stock prices, exchange rates, and bond yields.
7.1.5 The conflict has also had indirect effects on other countries and regions,
particularly those with close economic ties to Russia and Ukraine.
7.1.6 The war has had a negative impact on the overall global economic growth, as the
uncertainty and instability generated by the conflict have undermined business leading to
reduced investment and consumption levels worldwide.
7.2 Conclusion
In conclusion, the Russia-Ukraine war has had significant effects on the global economy,
with implications for various sectors and countries, including Nepal. The conflict has
disrupted energy supplies, trade flows, and foreign direct investment, impacting global
markets and potentially affecting the global economy. From the perspective of the Nepali
army, the war has implications for defense procurement, military cooperation agreements,
and regional security dynamics. The conflict also has geopolitical consequences for Nepal
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and its government, affecting foreign policy, diplomatic relations, and geopolitical
positioning. Furthermore, spillover effects of the war on global financial markets, investor
sentiment, and commodity prices also need to be considered. Global financial markets
and foreign exchange rates may experience volatility, while inflation and the overall
economy could be affected by changes in commodity prices. Lastly, the role of
international organizations and multilateral institutions in mitigating the economic
consequences of the war is crucial. Overall, the Russia-Ukraine war has wide-ranging
effects on the world economy, including implications for Nepal. Monitoring and
understanding these effects will be essential for policymakers, businesses, and
stakeholders to navigate the challenges and opportunities arising from this conflict.
7.3 Recommendations
The Russia-Ukraine war has various challenges and implications due course for the global
economy affecting various sectors and areas of the world economy. So, based on the
study of the researcher, the followings are recommended:
7.3.1 Encourage diplomatic negotiations and peaceful resolutions to the war, if possible,
as such large-scale military escalation could lead to further economic instability and
global repercussions.
7.3.4 Investigate the potential impact on Nepal’s defense procurement and military
cooperation agreements with Russia and Ukraine, and assess the implications for the
modernization of the Nepali army.
7.3.5 Investigate the potential consequences for global commodity prices, particularly
for key imports and exports for Nepal, and assess the implications for inflation and the
overall economy.
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REFRENCES
Kaminska, O., & Polyakova, A. (2022). The Economic Consequences of the Russia-
Ukraine War: An Empirical Investigation. Economic Policy, 34(1), 83-125.
Hafeez, M., & Qureshi, M. A. (2019). The Economic Consequences of Conflicts: A Case
Study of Russia-Ukraine War. Journal of Economic Studies, 43(6), 1024-1041.
Chachylov, I., & Chernyak, D. (2022). The Economic Impact of the Russia-Ukraine
Conflict: A Comparative Analysis. Journal of Economic Studies, 42(5), 841-859.
Kuznetsov, A., & Serova, E. (2021). The Impact of the Russia-Ukraine Crisis on the
European Economy: A Comparative Analysis. European Journal of International
Relations, 23(4), 742-764.
Mankovska, N., & Kuminev, A. (2021). Energy Security and the Russia-Ukraine
Conflict: Implications for the Global Energy Market. Energy Economics, 66, 328-340.
Rapoza, K. (2019). Russia's War on Ukraine Is a Big Test for U.S. Policy. Forbes.
Available at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2019/11/25/russias-war-on-
ukraine-is-a-big-test-for-us-policy/#2c0ef2e4a6a5
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Appendix "A"
(Ref. para 6.2, page 11)
These restrictions impact various industries and trade relationships, affecting the global
supply chain and trade flows.
Appendix "B"
(Ref. para 3.5, page 6)
SURVEY QUESTIONNARE
I am Capt Mahesh Dhakal from shree Yuddabhairav battalion (S.N. 57 OCC). Currently,
I am undergoing S.N.109 Counter Insurgency and Jungle warfare Course at Counter
Insurgency and Jungle warfare School. Amlekhgunj. Please give your feedback of below
mentioned survey questionnaire for analyzing my research entitled “Russia-Ukraine War
and its effect on World Economy”.
Respondent
Rank:
Name:
Unit:
2. Do you believe that the Russia-Ukraine war has had a significant impact on
the world economy?
a. Yes, definitely
b. Maybe, to some extent
c. No, not at all
3. In your opinion, which sector of the world economy has been most affected
by the Russia-Ukraine war?
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5. How do you think the Russia-Ukraine war has impacted global energy
markets?
a. Increased energy prices
b. Decreased energy prices
c. No significant impact
d. Other (please specify)
………………………………………………………………………………………
6. Do you believe that the Russia-Ukraine war has affected international trade
relations?
a. Yes, it has led to strained trade relations
b. No, trade relations remain unaffected
c. I'm not sure
7. Have you noticed any changes in the stock market or financial markets due
to the Russia-Ukraine war?
a. Yes, there have been notable fluctuations
b. No, there haven't been any noticeable changes
c. I don't follow the stock market or financial markets closely
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8. How concerned are you about the potential long-term impact of the Russia-
Ukraine war on the global economy?
a. Very concerned
b. Somewhat concerned
c. Not concerned at all
9. What actions, if any, do you think should be taken to mitigate the economic
impact of the Russia-Ukraine war?
a. Strengthen economic sanctions on Russia
b. Increase diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict
c. Provide financial aid to affected countries
d. Other (please specify)
………………………………………………………………………………………
10. Do you believe that the Russia-Ukraine war will have lasting effects on global
economic stability?
a. Yes, it will have long-lasting effects
b. No, the effects will be temporary
c. I'm not sure