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CISR Approved IRI Poll Presentation Georgia September October 2023 For Public Distribution
CISR Approved IRI Poll Presentation Georgia September October 2023 For Public Distribution
PUBLIC OPINION
• The fieldwork was carried out by the Institute of Polling & Marketing. The survey was coordinated by Dr.
Rasa Alisauskiene of the public and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of
the Center for Insights in Survey Research.
• Data was collected throughout Georgia between September 14 and October 14, 2023, through CAPI administered face-
to-face interviews in respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of n=1,200 permanent residents of Georgia aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is
representative of the general population by the age, gender, region and settlement size.
• A multistage probability sampling method was used to design a nationally representative sample. The sample was
stratified by 10 regions (including Tbilisi city as a separate region), while excluding the regions of Abkhazeti and
Samachablo (South Ossetia). The sample was then further stratified by urbanicity. Primary sampling units were then
selected via probability proportionate to size (PPS) sampling; and were electoral districts in urban areas and villages in
rural areas. Households were selected by a random walk protocol, and respondents were selected via the last birthday
method. The sampling frame was based on the 2014 Census of Georgia, as well as the National Statistics Office’s address
database.
• The achieved sample was weighted by gender, age groups, size of the settlement, and region according to data from the
2019 updated census.
• The response rate was 73 percent.
• The margin of error for the mid-range full sample does not exceed ±2.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. Cited bases are weighted.
• The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.
2
Frequently Cited Disaggregate Bases
3
Previous IRI Georgia polls
IRI’s research approach integrates CISR’s methodological polling best practices protocol and field
partner in-depth knowledge of the local research environment. This close collaboration begins at
project design, with carefully calibrated sampling and instrument development, and continues
throughout the entire fieldwork cycle to ensure the collection of reliable qualitative and quantitative
data.
100%
90%
80%
Age Group
18-35 39% 56% 6%
36-55 36% 56% 8%
56+ 41% 52% 7%
Gender
Men 39% 54% 7%
Women 39% 54% 7%
Urbanicity
Rural 44% 51% 6%
Urban 35% 59% 6%
Tbilisi 36% 55% 10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
100%
90% 92%
88%
80% 82%
72%
70%
64% 65%
60% 60% 62% 60%
54% 55% 55% 54%
50% 51%
47%
40% 38%
34% 33% 32%
30% 30% 29% 29% 31%
24%
23% 24%
20% 25%
23%
15% 15% 13% 14%
10% 11% 12% 12%
8% 9% 9%
7% 6% 5%
1% 1% 2% 3%
0%
* Under “Optimism,” responses “Belief that the future will definitely be better” and “Hope that the future will be somewhat better” are combined. Responses “Not
much hope for a better future” and “Apathy, belief in fate” are grouped under “Neutral.” Responses “Insecurity, worry, fear for the future” and “Total
8
disappointment, disbelief in any improvement” are combined under “Pessimism.” Don’t know/No answer is not displayed.
How would you evaluate the prevailing mood of the Georgian
population?*
Age Group
18-35 52% 31% 17%
36-55 53% 33% 12%
56+ 56% 32% 11%
Gender
Men 56% 31% 13%
Women 52% 33% 14%
Urbanicity
Rural 57% 33% 9%
Urban 48% 37% 15%
Tbilisi 53% 27% 19%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Responses receiving <1% in the sample cumulatively are collapsed into Other. 10
What is the most important problem facing our country today?
(Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)
*Responses receiving <2% in the sample cumulatively are collapsed into Other. 11
What is the most important problem facing your household today?
(Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)
*Responses receiving <1% in the sample cumulatively are collapsed into Other. 12
What do you think are the three biggest challenges for Georgia’s
democratic development and future?
(Spontaneous response; up to three responses permitted)
Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused
14
How would you describe the current economic situation of your
household?
Age Group
18-35 6% 65% 23% 6%1%
36-55 3% 58% 27% 12% <1%
56+ 3% 54% 31% 12% <1%
Gender
Men 4% 60% 26% 10%<1%
Women 3% 58% 28% 11% 1%
Urbanicity
Rural 6% 54% 29% 11% <1%
Urban 2% 58% 26% 13% 1%
Tbilisi 3% 66% 25% 6% <1%
Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/No answer
15
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Georgia
changed?
16
Elections
How likely or unlikely are ordinary people able to influence decisions
made in our country?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/Refused
18
How likely or unlikely are ordinary people able to influence decisions
made in our country?
Age Group
18-35 40% 36% 8% 13% 3%
36-55 38% 32% 12% 14% 3%
56+ 29% 30% 17% 16% 8%
Gender
Men 39% 29% 12% 16% 4%
Women 33% 36% 13% 14% 5%
Urbanicity
Rural 31% 35% 14% 11% 9%
Urban 39% 32% 11% 17% 1%
Tbilisi 39% 30% 11% 18% 3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/Refused
19
If parliamentary elections were held this coming Saturday, for which
party, if any, would you vote? (First choice)
If your first-choice party would not be on the ballot, who would you
vote for instead? (Second choice)
*Responses “Very positive” and “Somewhat positive” combined under “Positive.” Responses “Very negative” and “Somewhat negative” combined under 23
“Negative.”
Values and Ideology
Do you believe that democracy is the best possible form of
government for our country?
Mar-23 77% 8% 7% 9%
25
Would you say that our country’s politics are moving toward
consensus or more polarization?
26
Would you say that our country’s politics are moving toward
consensus or more polarization?
Age Group
18-35 32% 51% 17%
36-55 34% 52% 14%
56+ 35% 50% 15%
Gender
Men 33% 53% 14%
Women 34% 50% 17%
Urbanicity
Rural 37% 45% 18%
Urban 32% 59% 9%
Tbilisi 29% 53% 18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
27
Inclusion and Civic
Engagement
If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same
qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a
woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Man Woman Makes no difference to me Don't know/Refused
29
If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same
qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a
woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?
Age Group
18-35 13% 23% 63% 1%
36-55 23% 17% 58% 2%
Gender
Men 20% 12% 65% 2%
Women 21% 26% 53%
Urbanicity
Rural 24% 21% 54% 1%
Urban 19% 21% 58% 1%
Tbilisi 17% 17% 66% 1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
30
In your opinion, should there be more youth in Georgian politics?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes, there should be more youth in Georgian politics
There should be the same level of youth as there currently is
No, there should be fewer youth in Georgian politics
Don't know/Refused
31
In your opinion, should there be more youth in Georgian politics?
Age Group
18-35 85% 6% 7% 3%
36-55 74% 11% 11% 4%
56+ 72% 14% 9% 4%
Gender
Men 75% 11% 11% 3%
Women 78% 10% 8% 4%
Urbanicity
Rural 78% 11% 9% 3%
Urban 79% 12% 7% 2%
Tbilisi 74% 8% 12% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes, there should be more youth in Georgian politics
There should be the same level of youth as there currently is
No, there should be fewer youth in Georgian politics
Don't know/Refused
32
International
Relations
Which of these countries do you consider the most important political
partners for Georgia?
(Multiple responses permitted)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
51%
50%
40% 32%
30%
19% 17%
20% 16%
9% 9% 9% 7% 8% 8%
10% 6%
1%
0%
34
Which of these countries do you consider the most important
economic partners for Georgia?
(Multiple responses permitted)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50% 43%
40%
31%
28%
30% 24%
20% 16%
12% 12%
8% 9%
10% 5% 5% 5%
1%
0%
35
Which of these countries poses the greatest political threat of
Georgia?
(Multiple responses permitted)
100%
90%
80% 77%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
12% 9% 9%
10% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3%
0%
36
Which of these countries poses the greatest economic threat of
Georgia?
(Multiple responses permitted)
100%
90%
80%
69%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20% 16%
11%
10% 6% 5% 4%
3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1%
0%
37
Do you support or oppose further dialogue with Russia?
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/Refused
38
Do you support or oppose further dialogue with Russia?
Age Group
18-35 21% 21% 8% 44% 6%
36-55 37% 24% 6% 29% 5%
56+ 41% 25% 6% 26% 3%
Gender
Men 36% 24% 5% 31% 3%
Women 30% 23% 8% 34% 6%
Urbanicity
Rural 37% 22% 9% 27% 5%
Urban 26% 22% 7% 40% 5%
Tbilisi 32% 27% 3% 34% 4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/Refused
39
Given the current state of Georgia’s relationship with Russia, how
secure do you feel living in Georgia?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Very secure More secure than not More insecure than secure
Very insecure Don't know/Refused
40
Given the current state of Georgia’s relationship with Russia, how
secure do you feel living in Georgia?
Age Group
18-35 15% 34% 32% 14% 4%
36-55 22% 35% 31% 10% 2%
56+ 21% 34% 28% 13% 4%
Gender
Men 21% 37% 26% 14% 2%
Women 19% 32% 34% 11% 4%
Urbanicity
Rural 22% 37% 29% 9% 3%
Urban 15% 35% 33% 14% 3%
Tbilisi 20% 29% 31% 16% 3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Very secure More secure than not More insecure than secure
Very insecure Don't know/Refused
41
Do you think that Russian aggression towards Georgia is over or is it
still going on?
Age Group
18-35 4% 17% 73% 6%
36-55 5% 17% 73% 5%
56+ 9% 13% 72% 6%
Gender
Men 7% 17% 72% 4%
Women 5% 15% 73% 7%
Urbanicity
Rural 8% 16% 69% 7%
Urban 4% 14% 80% 2%
Tbilisi 5% 17% 71% 7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
It is over and unlikely to resume It is over but likely to resume
It is still going on Don't know/Refused
43
Do you support allowing Russian citizens to do any of the following:
18%
Enter Georgia freely without a visa 13%
14% Oct-23
7% Mar-23
Register a business 7% Sep-22
8%
7%
Purchase property 4%
5%
73%
None of the above 79%
78%
6%
Don't know/Refused 5%
4%
44
Do you support allowing Russian citizens to do any of the following:
8%
Enter Georgia freely without a visa 22%
24%
3% 18-35
Register a business 9%
9% 36-55
3% 56+
Purchase property 10%
8%
83%
None of the above 70%
67%
6%
Don't know/Refused 5%
7%
45
Do you support allowing Russian citizens to do any of the following:
24%
Enter Georgia freely without a visa
13%
10% Men
Register a business
4%
Women
8%
Purchase property
6%
68%
None of the above
78%
6%
Don't know/Refused
6%
46
Which of the following statements, if any, best characterizes your
opinion on Russians who arrived in Georgia since the start of the war in
Ukraine?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Age Group
18-35 5% 15% 29% 44% 1% 6%
36-55 6% 27% 20% 42% 1% 5%
56+ 7% 25% 20% 39% 1% 7%
Gender
Men 7% 27% 18% 41% 1% 7%
Women 5% 19% 27% 43% 1% 5%
Urbanicity
Rural 7% 21% 26% 36% 1% 8%
Urban 5% 18% 22% 52% <1% 4%
Tbilisi 5% 29% 20% 40% 1% 5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
They are very much welcome in Georgia
We tolerate them because they are essential to our economy
We would prefer they leave
Russian citizens should not be allowed in Georgia until they return our occupied territories
Other
Don't know/Refused 48
Which sources do you use for information about the current
international situation?
(Multiple responses permitted)
Georgian TV 67%
Social media 53%
Georgian internet news sites 5%
Which social media?
Russian TV stations 3% (Multiple responses permitted;
Respondents who mentioned
Georgian radio stations 2% social media, n=639)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Age Group
18-35 53% 28% 4% 1% 14%
36-55 40% 36% 10% 3% 12%
56+ 38% 34% 11% 3% 14%
Gender
Men 41% 34% 10% 3% 12%
Women 46% 31% 7% 2% 15%
Urbanicity
Rural 38% 35% 10% 4% 13%
Urban 53% 30% 6% 2% 8%
Tbilisi 42% 32% 8% 1% 18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Only pro-European Union and the West
Pro-Western but keep up relations with Russia
Pro-Russian but keep up relations with the European Union and the West
Only pro-Russian
Don't know/Refused 51
Do you support or oppose Georgia joining the EU?
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/Refused
52
Do you support or oppose Georgia joining the EU?
Age Group
18-35 80% 13% 1% 3% 4%
Gender
Men 75% 12% 4% 7% 2%
Urbanicity
Rural 69% 15% 4% 7% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/Refused
53
If you support joining the EU, would you still support this if it meant
cutting trade relations with Russia?
(Among respondents who support Georgia joining the EU)
Age Group
18-35, n=365 59% 18% 8% 5% 11%
36-55, n=329 58% 19% 8% 8% 7%
56+, n=349 48% 21% 11% 11% 9%
Gender
Men, n=483 54% 18% 10% 9% 9%
Women, n=561 55% 21% 8% 7% 9%
Urbanicity
Rural, n=423 51% 22% 10% 9% 8%
Urban, n=311 58% 18% 9% 7% 8%
Tbilisi, n=309 58% 17% 7% 7% 11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes, my support is unchanged I still support, but somewhat less so
Taking that into account, I somewhat oppose Taking that into account, I strongly oppose
Don't know/Refused 55
If you support joining the EU, what is the main benefit of joining the EU?
(Among respondents supporting Georgia joining the EU, n=1,043; spontaneous response)
Russia 6%
Lost territories 2%
Government 2%
Other * 1%
58
Do you support or oppose Georgia joining NATO?
Age Group
18-35 76% 12% 3% 5% 4%
Gender
Men 67% 10% 6% 14% 3%
Urbanicity
Rural 59% 16% 7% 11% 7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/Refused
59
If you support joining NATO, what are the main benefits of joining
NATO?
(Among respondents supporting Georgia joining NATO, n=946; spontaneous response)
Security 47%
Defense 17%
Stability/Peace 5%
Better future 4%
Millitary support 2%
Other * 1%
Don't know/Refused 4%
Government 2%
Other * 2%
Age Group
18-35 93% 3%1% 3%
36-55 79% 7% 2% 4% 9%
Gender
Men 71% 8% 1%<1% 2% 18% <1%
Women 71% 7% 1%<1% 3% 18% <1%
Urbanicity
Rural 59% 10% 2%<1% 4% 26% <1%
64
Which social media sites do you use most often?
(Among internet users, n=987; up to three responses permitted)
Facebook 93%
Instagram 31%
TikTok 21%
Telegram 6%
Twitter 4%
LinkedIn 3%
Other* 3%
Don't know/Refused 2%
Western TV (broadcast) 2%
TikTok 5%
5%
12%
4%
Very likely
Somewhat likely
15%
Somewhat unlikely
63%
Very unlikely
Don't know/Refused
68
Demographics
20%
0%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Men
46%
Gender
Women
54%
18-35
Demographics
36-55
Age
56+
Rural
42%
Urbanicity
Tbilisi
30%
9%
Kakheti
7%
Shida Kartli
Kvemo Kartli
11%
4%
Samtskhe-Javakheti
Region
9%
Ajara
3%
Guria
9%
Samegrelo
Imereti
15%
3%
Mtskheta-Mtianeti
Georgian
93%
4%
Armenian
70
3%
Azerbaijani
Language
spoken at home
1%
Other
100%
0%
40%
60%
80%
20%
Primary School or Less
<1% 3%
Incomplete Secondary
Secondary School
40%
Demographics
Vocational School
18%
4%
Incomplete University
Educational Attainment
University or Higher
35%
1%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Self-employed
18%
2%
Farmer
9%
White collar
Higher- or medium-level
8%
executive manager
Occupation
Unemployed
28%
5%
Student or pupil
household duties
Other
<1%
71
1%
Don't know/Refused
Demographics
Don't know/Refused 1%
Are you a
member
Yes
political
1%
party?
of a
No 99%
Orthodox 89%
Shia Muslim 3%
Sunni Muslim 3%
Religion
Atheist/None 1%
Other 4%
72
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