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经济评价最新11 6译文
经济评价最新11 6译文
Table of Contents
6.2 Natural Gas Field Exploration and Extraction: $500 Million............... - 1 - 1) The
cost for data collection, organization, and research is approximately
$2 million. ................................................ .............................................. - 1 -
3) Facilities and Equipment Budget for the 300MW Power Plant: $215
Million USD................................................ ..............................................- 5 -
The total investment for the construction of this project is estimated at $950 million, of which: $500
million is allocated for the exploration and development of natural gas fields in the northwest of
Afghanistan; $450 million for the construction of a 300MW natural gas power plant.
The project plans to extract natural gas within a 20,000 square kilometer area of the Amu Darya
natural gas field, with the aim of completing 41 exploration wells, evaluation wells, and production
wellheads, including 36 vertical/directional wells and 5 horizontal wells. The main production wells
number 30, with depths ranging from 2000 to 4500 meters and an average cost per well of $10 million, totaling approximately
$410 million.
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To centralize and process the natural gas, the project plans to deploy 16-20 well sites, construct a
new main gas collection pipeline of 15 km, branch pipelines of 30 km, and a water injection pipeline of 5 km.
The new collection station is designed with a daily natural gas production capacity of 3 million cubic meters,
following a level-five station design. The station is equipped with natural gas gas-liquid
separation, dehydration treatment, oil-water separation, gas boosting (taking into consideration the field's
export pressure), external transfer measurement, extraction processing and reinjection, natural gas
condensate storage, and loading capabilities.
The project's external pipeline network is planned to include 3 main gas collection lines and 12
branch lines. Well sites will be connected to the new collection station via the nearest main gas collection
line. The pipeline will transport wet natural gas collected from well sites, with a total length of 45 km,
amounting to approximately $83 million.
Oil-water separator
Compressor
Collection station
operations are unmanned; Water treatment equipment and reinjection
1
station equipment utilizes
automated control devices
Firefighting facilities and firewater valve groups
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Pipeline valves
Factory construction includes the building of structures and purchased items within the plant area and
its supporting projects. This mainly consists of: generator buildings, distribution rooms (including 400V
low-voltage distribution, 10.KV medium-voltage distribution, and 220KV high-voltage rooms), raw
material warehouses and finished goods warehouses, maintenance workshops, office buildings, apartment
buildings, in-plant substations (transforming 10.5KV to 400V), and external substation
buildings (stepping up 10.5KV to 220KV), the Afghan government's 220KV substation control room,
natural gas pretreatment plant control room, and other construction projects, totaling approximately
$137.5 million USD.
This includes hardening of the plant area, road engineering, construction of a sewage treatment plant,
water supply and drainage systems, HVAC systems, power and distribution systems, lighting systems, fire-
fighting facilities and equipment, security monitoring systems, plant perimeter walls, etc., amounting
to about $82.5 million USD.
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Maintenance
1 1 2000 4000 ÿÿ
Workshop
Raw Material square
Goods Warehouse
single price
Fire-fighting facilities
1 1
and Equipment
comprehensive
Communal
HVAC System 1 1
facilities single price
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meter
Plant Perimeter Wall 1 1
Calculated on Total
Construction
1 1
Subtotal 2 1 1 82500000
Note:
The buildings are light steel structures, with the office and apartment buildings being reinforced
concrete structures. Considering the import of building materials in Afghanistan, the comprehensive
Construction cost is budgeted at $1600 USD per square meter.
3) Facilities and Equipment Budget for the 300MW Power Plant: $215 Million
USD
The total installed capacity of the high-efficiency internal combustion engine combined cycle power
station is 300MW, consisting of 6 units of 60MW power generation workshops. The power station
operates on a production model of 'six operational and one standby', with each 60MW power generation
workshop composed of 30 units of 2MW internal combustion engine generators.
The project will be constructed in three phases: the first phase involves building a 60MW power
generation workshop and associated gas field development; the second phase involves building a
120MW power generation workshop and associated gas field development; the third phase involves
building a 120MW power generation workshop and associated gas field development. During the
construction period, the power station construction and gas field block development will proceed
simultaneously.
The construction of the power station is planned to include 180 units of 2MW natural gas generators
and associated starting systems, cooling systems, preheating systems, and exhaust systems; an in-plant
low-voltage substation and emergency generators; distribution cabinets and lines, transformers; a fully
intelligent digital management control system, etc., totaling approximately $215 million USD.
The laying and erecting of 10.5kV and 220kV transmission lines, totaling approximately $15 million
USD.
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Electrical equipment
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ 400kW/400V/50Hz 2 10.00 20.00
Configured
LV Electric system ÿset
Emergency diesel generator according to the
station's primary
load
10.5kV medium pressure electrical system ÿÿ high pressure side switch
KYN28A-12-630 ÿset 180 1.50 270.00ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ
4 system GG HV incoming cabinet ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ
10.5MV Electric 10.5kVÿÿPTÿ KYN28A-12 ÿset 6 3.00 18.00
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ÿÿ1ÿEXWÿUSD 21505.00
Transmission, Substation Engineering, and Line Installation 1500.00
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The project uses itemized accounting, estimating that the working capital of $63 million will be
required upon reaching full production capacity.
6.5 Financing
The total investment for the project is $1.013 billion, with the funding sourced by the project
owners themselves.
The project investment is divided into two parts: $450 million for power plant construction and
$500 million for natural gas exploration and development, totaling $950 million. The average
annual revenue of the project is estimated at $351.28 million, with a total investment
return rate of 9.44%
The project plans for 30 production wells, with each well's output set at 10×10^4 cubic meters,
producing a daily natural gas output of 300×10^4 cubic meters. With an annual operation time of
330 days, the annual gas supply for power generation is 7.92×10^8 cubic meters. The cost of gas
is $0.13 per cubic meter, yielding an annual revenue of $102.96 million and an annual production
and operation cost of $20 million.
Operating 330 days a year, the power plant's annual electricity output is estimated at 2.376
billion kWh. With an electricity price of $0.08 per kWh, the annual revenue is $190.08 million.
The cost for purchasing gas is $102.96 million, with a power plant operating cost of $20 million.
To ensure the project's long-term and stable operation, it is estimated that 10×10^8 cubic
meters of natural gas will be produced from the gas field. The surplus of 2.08×10^8 cubic meters
of natural gas will be sold domestically at a price of $0.28 per cubic meter, generating an annual
revenue of $58.24 million with operating costs of $10 million. According to the tax policy of
Afghanistan, a tax on the surplus natural gas sales will be levied at 20% of the annual revenue,
which is expected to contribute $11.648 million in taxes per year.
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To continuously ensure the supply of natural gas and delay the decline in production, new
wells must be drilled annually, and continuous investment in exploration to confirm new ones
reserves are required. The annual investment for exploration will not be less than $20 million.
While ensuring the supply of gas for power generation, this will also contribute to expanding
capacity for the industrial, commercial, and residential natural gas application promotion in
Afghanistan.
The current reserves of natural gas in the Sheberghan area are less than 50 billion cubic
meters, with most being high in sulfur content, which significantly increases the costs of
exploration, development, and collection. With the current low electricity prices, it is
challenging for the power plant's revenue to meet the increasing costs of natural gas
exploration and development. The overall project has a static investment period of 9.55 years,
meaning the project can recover its costs within 10 years. The government is hoping to provide
the following preferential policies for the project:
1. The state grants the right to sell natural gas nationwide;
2. Exemption from all taxes during the 10-year investment recovery period.
Based on the above analysis of revenue and costs, we can calculate the relevant economic evaluation
data as follows:
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ten thousand
Project Investment 26404.75 ic=8%
dollars
Includes
5.3 Project Payback Period construction
period
Average
6 Break-even point % 51.78 production
period
Among them:
The payback period is the time required for a project's net income to offset the total investment
(both fixed asset investment and working capital), reflecting the project's capacity to recover it
investment.
The Net Present Value reflects the relationship between the present value of project inputs and
outputs.
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The Internal Rate of Return reflects the profitability of the capital employed by the project.
The IRR of the project is 11.23%.
Since the project's IRR is higher than the benchmark rate of return of 8%, the project is
considered viable.
4) Total Profits
Based on the above financial analysis indicators, the construction of the project is considered
feasible.
6.7.1 Natural gas sales will contribute annual tax payments of $11.648
million to the Afghan state.
In the Amu Darya natural gas field, spanning 20,000 square kilometers, the project will extract
natural gas On the premise of securing the gas supply for a 300MW natural gas power plant, any
Surplus gas will be sold nationwide. For the revenue from the sale of natural gas, taxes will be
paid in accordance with Afghan national tax policies, with expected annual tax payments of
$11.648 million.
6.7.2 For the electricity price earnings of the 300MW natural gas power
station, it is hoped that the government will provide a tax exemption for the
next 10 years.
A comprehensive hospital is a medical institution that can provide a full range of medical
services. Such hospitals usually have complete medical facilities and equipment and offer various
services such as internal medicine, surgery, gynecology and obstetrics, pediatrics, ophthalmology,
otolaryngology, dentistry, dermatology, psychiatry, and rehabilitation medicine.
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The purpose of a comprehensive hospital is to deal with various diseases and injuries promptly,
typically including emergency departments, outpatient services, and inpatient services. A secondary
comprehensive hospital is required to have no more than 499 beds for inpatients, providing intensive
care and long-term care for many patients, offering a full range of healthcare services to the public.
I. Beds
III. Staffing: It is estimated that there will be over 1000 professional medical staff; auxiliary
Medical staff, such as security personnel, cleaning staff, and caregivers, are expected to create
about 2000 job opportunities.
(iii) At least 3 physicians with at least the title of associate chief physician in each
professional department;
(iv) At least 1 physician with at least the title of attending physician in each profession
department.
IV. Housing:
(i) Not less than 45 square meters of building area per bed, totaling 22455 square meters
based on 500 people;
(ii) Not less than 5 square meters of net use area per bed in wards;
(iii) The daily average outpatient building area per patient visit should not be less than 3
square meters.
V. Installations:
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(One) Infrastructure:
Electrocardiograph Defibrillator
Multi-function Resuscitation
Cardiac monitor
Bed
Gynecological examination b
ed Flushing trolley
Microscope Refrigerator
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Beds 1 sheet
Basin 2
VI. We have established various rules and regulations and a job responsibility system, have
medical and nursing technical operation procedures set or approved by the state, and have
compiled them for use.
VII. The registered capital for construction will be provided by our side and approved by the
Afghan National Health Administration Department.
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Hospital
Aerial view of hospital
ÿÿÿoutpatient department
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6.7.4 Within the next 10 years, we will build a primary school for the
A primary (junior) school is where people receive basic formal education during the initial stages,
which is an essential part of foundational education. Typically, the appropriate age for primary school
Children are 6-12 years old. The duration of primary education is 6 years in most areas, although some
areas have it as 5 years. The curriculum mainly includes Chinese language, mathematics, English, morals
and rule of law, science, etc., with the school being managed by a principal.
1. School Size
(i) The school land area includes three parts: Construction land, green land, and activity space.
Their standards are as follows:
a: The maximum building volume ratio is 0.8, with no more than three floors. The average
Construction area per student is estimated at 15 square meters (including various rooms). If the number
of students is calculated at 3000, the construction will occupy an area of about 45,000 square meters, with
school buildings covering 25,000 square meters, sports field area 9,000 square meters, and
greening area 11,000 square meters.
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The school construction land consists of building land, sports land, green land, and land for scientific
and technological activities. The school's construction land should be rationally planned and
configured according to the actual conditions of the location, adhering to the principles of saving and
intensive land use and resource sharing.
1) Building Land
Building land should meet the needs of teaching buildings, office buildings, residential buildings, and
other construction land according to the corresponding school scale. The school building land is
calculated based on the building plot ratio (the total building area of the school divided by the school
building land area) of 0.9.
2) Sports Land
Sports land should meet the needs for the school's track and field, basketball (volleyball) courts, table
tennis courts, physical training equipment areas, as well as spaces required for exercises during breaks
and extracurricular activities.
There should be 1 to 2 sand pits in the track and field area. The ratio of basketball courts to volleyball
courts should be 2:1, which should not be built inside the track and field area. Schools with the
conditions may construct swimming pools, tennis courts, and other types of sports facilities.
3) Teaching rooms refer to general classrooms, special-purpose classrooms, and public teaching rooms,
etc.
Special-purpose classrooms include laboratories for physics, chemistry, biology, music rooms, dance
rooms, fine arts (calligraphy) rooms, history and geography rooms, general technology laboratories,
multimedia computer network classrooms, and auxiliary rooms, etc.
Public teaching rooms include comprehensive electronic teaching rooms, libraries (rooms), network
centers, psychological counseling rooms, sports activity rooms (gymnasiums), and auxiliary rooms,
etc.
4) Office rooms include offices, meeting rooms, printing rooms, archives, health care rooms,
warehouses, etc.
5) Residential rooms include canteens, dormitories, duty rooms for administrators, power
distribution rooms, garages, bathrooms, toilets, etc.
2.Courses Offered:
The primary school curriculum is mainly comprehensive, with lower grades offering: Morality and
Life, Language, Mathematics, Science, Foreign Language, Comprehensive Practical Activities,
Physical Education, Art (or Music, Fine Arts).
3.School System:
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The school is designed for a 6-year educational system, divided into kindergarten level, grades 1 to 5,
making up 6 grades in total.
Each grade has 10 teaching classes, totaling 60 teaching classes; each class has 50 students, with an
Expected total student intake of approximately 3,000.
The school is staffed with 350 full-time teachers on the payroll, with about 100 other auxiliary.
teaching personnel such as security guards, cleaners, and other staff members.
Library Library
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II. The exploitation of natural gas fields is expected to solve the employment
problem for 10,000 workers;
III. The secondary comprehensive hospital is expected to solve the employment for
5,000 individuals:
(i) At least one health technician is to be assigned per bed, which can resolve the
employment issue for 500 workers;
(ii) At least 0.5 nurses per bed, which can address the employment for 250 workers;
(iii) Each specialty department should have at least 3 physicians with the title of
associate chief physician or higher; a minimum of 30 associate chief physicians are
needed across 10 departments;
(iv) Each specialty department should have at least 1 physician with the title of
attending physician or higher; a minimum of 10 chief physicians are needed across 10
departments;
Given the staffing standards required for a secondary comprehensive hospital:
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The school is to be staffed with 350 full-time registered teachers and about 150 others
auxiliary teaching personnel, such as security guards, cleaners, and other staff.
V. With the exploitation of the natural gas fields and the completion of the
power station, it is certain to stimulate the vigorous development of the surrounding
commercial and service industries, as well as other liquid industries. It is also
It is anticipated that this will solve the employment issue for over 5,000 individuals.
VI. Summary:
It is foreseeable that with the initiation of this project, in addition to the construction
itself requiring a large human resource, the commercial and service liquid industries
attached to the project's periphery will also solve the employment for a significant
number of people It is estimated that the project will create over 25,000 job positions.
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On the premise of ensuring the supply of natural gas for the 300MW natural gas
power station, with an annual addition of 8 new gas production wells, each well
producing 10×10^4m³, and daily natural gas production of 80×10^4m³, with 330 days of
production per year, the annual supply for power generation is 2.64×10^8m³. With the
cost of gas at $0.13/m³, the annual revenue is $34.32 million. According to Afghanistan's
national tax policy, 20% of the annual revenue, which amounts to $34.32 million, is
allocated for taxation, resulting in an estimated annual tax payment of $6.864 million.
Adding the tax revenue from the remaining natural gas sales, the total annual tax payment
is expected to be $18.512 million.
6.8.2 Tax revenue of $38 million/year from the electricity sales of the 300MW
The power station operates for 330 days a year, with an annual power generation of
23.76 billion kWh. With an electricity price of $0.08/kWh, the annual income is $1.9008
billion. Ten years later, in accordance with Afghanistan's national tax policy, 20% of the
Annual income of $1.9008 billion will be allocated for taxation, resulting in an expected
annual tax payment of $38 million.
As natural gas extraction continues within the 20,000 square kilometer range of the
Amu Darya natural gas fields, a large amount of natural gas will be produced. To ensure
that the natural gas meets public usage standards, a substantial number of gathering
stations and processing plants are required to treat the sulfur, carbon, and water content in it
the natural gas to meet the requirements for different industrial and domestic uses. The
The extraction of natural gas and the construction of these facilities will require a substantial
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With the ongoing exploitation of the Amu Darya natural gas fields and the construction
of numerous gathering and processing stations, Afghanistan's dependence on natural gas
imports will be significantly reduced. This will decrease the volume of natural gas
imports and capital outflow, increase the national foreign exchange reserves, and enhance
the nation's economic strength.
As the Amu Darya natural gas fields continue to be exploited, there will be a need to
construct a multitude of natural gas gathering stations and processing plants. Additionally,
to meet the industrial natural gas demands of Afghanistan, extensive natural gas pipelines
and compression stations will be built domestically, ensuring the distribution of natural
gas to all regions of the country.
Furthermore, to meet the needs of the Afghan population, urban transportation, and others
domestic uses for natural gas, it will be necessary to construct numerous refueling
stations and accompanying pipeline systems between cities. After 10 to 20 years of
development, Afghanistan will gradually achieve self-sufficiency in natural gas
extraction, gathering, and pipeline transportation to various cities across the country. This
will meet the national industrial and domestic natural gas demands, thereby realizing
Afghanistan's ownership and usage rights of natural gas energy resources.
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