NAME : MOHAMUD MOHAMED KHALID

REG NO : CIS-0268-1-2020

COURSE : Probability and Statistics II

UNIT CODE: Math230

1. The incidence of occupational disease in an institution is such that the workmen have 25% chance of
suffering from it. What is the probability that out of six workers, 4 or more will contact the disease?. (5
mks)
P( X ≥ 4 )
P¿
6C ¿4

15 ×0.0016 × 0.4+ 6× 0.00032 ×0.8+1 ×0.00064=0.017

2. Suppose on an average 1 house in 1000 in a certain county has a fire during a year. If there are 2000
houses in that county, What is the probability that exactly 5 houses will have a fire during the year. (5
mks)
n=2000
1
p=
1000
1
×2000=2
1000
−2 5
e 2
P ( X=5 )=
5!
0.1354 ×32
120
¿ 0.036
3. In an intelligence test administered to 1000 students, the average score was 42 and standard deviation 24.
Find;
a) The number of students exceeding a score of 50 (3 mks)
50−42
Z score=
24
1
Z score= =0.333
3
Z score 0.33 means=62.93 %

37.07 %=370.7=371 students

30−42 −12
z score for 30= = =−0.5=30.85 %
24 24
 54−42 −12
z score for 54= = =−0.5=69.15 %
24 24

b) The number of students lying between 30 and 54 (4 mks)

students scoring btw 30∧54=69.15 %−30.85 %=38.3 %
38.3% = 383 students
100 Students = 10%
100 - 10 % = 90% = 0.9
closet Z score for 0.9 = 1.28 / 1.29
1.28 = (Score - 42)/24
= 24 * 1.28 = Score - 42
= Score = 72.72 = 73

4. Let be a Poisson random variable. Determine the moment generating function( mgf ).(5 mks) X
r
cr d
M x ( 0 )= r ¿
dt