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Ijoes 09 2017 0129
Ijoes 09 2017 0129
IJOES
34,2 Contribution of mathematical
models to Islamic economic
theory: a survey
200 Shafiu Ibrahim Abdullahi
Economic Issues Consult, Kano State, Nigeria
Received 12 September 2017
Revised 14 September 2017
Accepted 27 October 2017
Abstract
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Purpose – The purpose of the study is to explore contributions made in Islamic economics methodology,
particularly in the use of mathematical models used to build Islamic economic theories.
Design/methodology/approach – The methodology adopted is a survey by means of literature review.
Findings – Overuse of mathematical models in economics has it apparent weakness in simplifying complex
realities and use of impracticable assumptions. But, that notwithstanding, they have a role to play in the
development of Islamic economics. Empirical analysis in Islamic economics has weaknesses, including
the very fact that moral phenomenon in Islamic economics is difficult to quantify, but its contribution, just like
mathematics, is needed to develop the field. Islamic economics adopt mathematical models that do not cause
obstacles in achieving the aim of Islamic economics, which is Falah. Where it is harmful, it is discarded.
Islamic economics has yet to have a universally accepted research methodology; instead, numerous
methodologies are used today. The poor use of mathematics in Islamic economics by new researchers, among
other factors, may be due to young researchers’ poor background in mathematics.
Originality/value – The paper is unique in looking at the topic of Islamic economic methodology from the
angle of application of mathematical models.
Keywords Ethics, Empirical, Mathematical models, Epistemology, Islamic economic methodology,
Non-mathematical
Paper type Literature review
Introduction
The debate about the right methodology to adopt for Islamic economics has remained a
contested area for well over four decades now. After the first international conference on
Islamic economics in Jeddah in 1976, the interest of contributors to this field of research was
on how to develop an appropriate methodology for the field that was different from
conventional methodology but was in line with wider traditional Islamic epistemology. To
some extent, a part of the objective possibly has been achieved in the light of the
contributions made since then, but the central core of doing away with the dominant
conventional methodology and replacing it with purposely built Islamic methodology has
somehow remained a mirage. Though there were various attempts, no single methodology
can be described as universally accepted with regard to the issue of discarding conventional
methodology. Today, there is a gradual resurrection of interest in the methodology of
Islamic economics. But, mainstream economics, too, is not without controversies on
methodology. Students of economics will not forget in haste the raging debate between the
International Journal of Ethics and
Systems
positivists, led by Milton Friedman, and rationalists, led by Lionel Robbins. Recently, a
Vol. 34 No. 2, 2018
pp. 200-212
leading macroeconomist, Paul Romer, has drawn the attention of the world to failure of
© Emerald Publishing Limited macroeconomics; in his own words, Romer (2016) observed that “For more than three
2514-9369
DOI 10.1108/IJOES-09-2017-0129 decades, macroeconomics has gone backwards.” Many scholars have accused mainstream
economics of failure to involve religious postulates in their theory formulation. For example, Islamic
Tag El-din (1997) accused conventional theory and policy makers for failure to recognize economic
man’s ethical economic behavior as a strategic resource, in line with other human behavioral
resources. Zarqa (1988) observed that what makes Islamic economics different from other
theory
systems is its distinct view on fundamental concepts in economics, for example, Islam
recognized that man has a strong tendency to pursue self-interest but he also has
considerations toward others, and where he is looked as being materialistic, he is also
created to have spiritual tendencies. 201
As Presley and Sessions (1994) also rightly observed, over two decades ago, Western
economists have been somewhat remiss in the past decades in their slow recognition of the
appearance of a new paradigm in economics offered by Islamic economics. This deprived
them of the opportunity to learn something from the body of knowledge that accumulated
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since the start of the process. Though Islamic economics is not as matured as conventional
economics, there are lessons to learn from it emergence. The last global financial crisis
helped widen the cracks in the conventional economics methodology, hence the growing
calls for fundamental restructuring of the field. The French economist Gerard Debreu, in
explaining the reason why economics adopted mathematics more than other social sciences,
argued that quantification of commodity and price, as well as deductive analysis in
economics, led to mathematization (Abdullahi, 2004). But, what mathematically inclined
economists see as advantage, other economists, who are not enthusiastic about
mathematical economics, see otherwise. Boulding (1970) feared that use of mathematical
inference and manipulation might lead to loss of interest in the real world, which could be an
obstacle to the advancement of knowledge. The fact that scientific method leaves out
anything incapable of direct observation compounded the situation. Thus, methodology in
conventional economics mostly account for physical data, for phenomenon like the one in
moral economics (such as Islamic economics), researchers must find methodology for
studying them. The aim here is, therefore, to explore contributions made in Islamic
economics methodology, particularly in the use of mathematical models to build Islamic
economic theories. The next sections show that the process has not been easy and the
destination is far away.
Methodology of economics
According to Malinvaud (1997), the main aim of economics is to understand economic
phenomena and to propose actions likely to improve observed performances or to cure
malfunctioning such as mass unemployment and high inflation. Under this pretention,
economics has borrowed all kind of tools of analysis in the physical sciences. Conventional
economics has always claimed that economics shall be positive science devoid of value
judgement. Some of the major proponents of this school of economics thinking include
Lionel Robbins (who later changed his position from previous stand against empirics) and
Milton Friedman (Choudhury, 1990). According to Friedman (1979), positive economics is in
principle independent of ethical position, and its sole task is the provision of the system of
generalizations for the purpose of making correct predictions. Because of this, he argued
that it is objective science, just like any physical science. But, conventional economics’ claim
to being value neutral has been described as hypocrisy, as no social science discipline can be
said to be value neutral (Rashid, 1991). Recently, there are calls from various quarters,
including from fellow economists and other social scientists, to slowdown the process of
application of neo-classical economic prescriptions by policy makers because of its inherent
flows and other weaknesses. Critics argued that since conventional economics as a positive
science (which according to Friedman has predictive ability) has failed to predict and
IJOES provide solution beforehand for the past global financial crisis, dubbed as the “great
34,2 recession,” it is logical that it shall be discarded in favor of alternative systems. The
argument goes that economists and the theories they built are cut-off from the realities of
today’s world. It is based on this argument some intellectuals call for banning of Nobel prize
in Economics, which, unlike its counterparts in physical sciences, rewards academicians
whose contribution to practical use of economic theories and economic development of
202 societies is still debatable. One such critics of economics is Palas, ca (2013), who observed
that:
In fact, economics needs to be rediscovered, reconsidered from an interdisciplinary perspective
and handled with the tools of a Renaissance inspired Homo Universalis, because, in reality, it
simultaneously incorporates politics, mathematics, psychology, law, philosophy, art and religion.
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The European enlightenment thinkers have played a pivotal role in the development of
capitalism with their belief that man is perfectly and rationally capable of running his life
without any need for divine guidance (Aydin, 2013; Abdulkader, 2016). Unlike Islamic
economics, which recognized “matter-spirit interlock,” conventional economics do not accept
it, thus championing what Hasan (2016) referred to as “rational materialism.” The
conventional rational economic man, according to Ariff (2005), is an abstract shadowy
being, self-seeking, individualist and ruthless maximizer. The moral philosophers of Adam
Smith’s time used Newtonian physics as a model in their writings, “the idea that commercial,
individualistic society could be run in a manner akin to the motions of the planets”; the
popular concept of invisible hand was an imitation of Newton (Rashid, 1991; Abdulkader,
2016; 2017). Under this positive economic assumption, the nature of results or the theorem to
be derived from our positive analysis depend on the quality of the foundational axioms on
which the whole hypothesis was built. Thus, one cannot do better than the underlying
assumptions and axioms on which his hypothesis was built on. As one local saying goes,
you cannot plant beans and expect to get groundnuts during harvesting period. Science was
described as made up of more or less tightly interrelated theories, but in the case of economic
science, the interrelations are not very tight, more so than in other social sciences but less
than what is found in the developed natural sciences (Malinvaud, 1997). Looking at
developments in both the academia and the professional worlds, economists now-a-days are
being pushed to accept the open truth that they may have to take up the role of religion into
consideration if they want to understand the full working of the economic system (Azid and
Asutay, 2007). Thus, the current situation is similar to that 100 years ago, when economics
was seen as dismal science; not much has changed.
economics argued that intuition and mathematics alone without measurement cannot tell
much about the reality. Among well-known critics of mathematical economics are early Carl
Menger and Friedrich Hayek, who went by the name Austrian school (Palas, ca, 2013). It also
includes well-known critic Kenneth Galbraith. On teaching of economics, for example,
Malinvaud (1997) noted that “teaching nowadays focuses so much on the models that they
often happen to be taken as the unique ultimate goal of economic learning.” But, unlike the
use of mathematics in economics, the usage of statistics has long history in economics,
before the introduction of mathematical models (Morgan, 1990). Statistics was initially
viewed as contributing to regularities, measurement and presentation of economic data.
Today, economic researchers are leaning in favor of empirical works than building theories.
This can be seen from the number of empirical works published by conventional economic
journals. But, even this is not without criticism, as it can be noticed that empirical evidence
contradicts each other in numerous occasions.
In an editorial of volume one of Econometrica, Ragnar Frisch wrote this as the aim of
then newly formed econometric society:
To promote studies that aim at a unification of the theoretical-quantitative and the empirical-
quantitative approach to economic problems and that are penetrated by constructive and rigorous
thinking similar to that which has come to dominate in the natural sciences. Any activity which
promises ultimately to further such unification of theoretical and factual studies in economies
shall be within the sphere of interest of the society (Morgan, 1990).
Economists such as Paul Samuelson, Kenneth Arrow and Gerard Debreu were credited with
pumping mathematical rigor to economics. Samuelson, for example, realized that the use of
complicated mathematics could clarify ideas and unify different fields under a common
framework (Backhouse, 2017). Before 1930s, few economists cared to use mathematics in
their writings, but when more economists started using mathematics after, it was adopted as
a tool of analysis to help clarity and conciseness in the expression of theories and to make
economics more rigorous (Morgan, 1990; Abdullahi, 2004; Abdulkader, 2016). Much early
adopters of mathematics in their economics writings include Auguste Cournot, Leon Walras,
Francis Y. Edgeworth, William S. Jevons, Vilfredo Pareto, Alfred Marshall, John M. Keynes
and Irving Fisher. In the forefront of the various schools of economics advocating for use of
mathematics in economics were neo-classical economists (Palas, ca, 2013). A lot many models
in economics were borrowed from mathematical physics. These include widely studied
models such as general equilibrium and partial equilibrium and static and dynamic
analysis. But, even Friedman (1979) has advised that social scientists, more than other
scientists, need to be self-conscious about their methodology. In addition, not all
mathematical models are in line with economic realities, and they must be converted into
econometric models to confirm their real-world applicability. There is much reference to
IJOES fable about a doctor, a chemist and an economist who found themselves in a desert with a
34,2 can of food but no tool to open the can. While both the doctor and chemist were thinking of a
way to solve the problem of opening the can, the economist offered that he has a solution:
“assume that we have a can opener.” This fable demonstrates how economists and the
model they built live in a mirage. Just like mathematics was developed to serve practical
human needs, as in physics, but later become abstract, economics was developed to serve
204 humanity away from poverty, and lack of growth has become an abstract subject with little
concern for developmental matters. In the process, economics has excessively used
rationalism and axiomatic systems of mathematics (Palas, ca, 2013).
Arshad (2016) studied journals that produced research works in this area and shortlisted
about 25 on the basis of a self-defined quality standard criterion. But, despite his efforts, he
failed to include other journals that have being in the field for long and have contributed to
the development of the field. Looking at the history of academic research in the conventional
economics, it is apparent that Islamic economics has a lot to learn from the development of
conventional economics. For example, conservative journals in the field are known for their
quality output and the caliber of people on their editorial boards. Competent conventional
economists were mandated to oversee the field and not leave it in the hands of armatures to
determine which direction the field would take.
Similar to what happened in the case of conventional economics as it grew and
matured, where offshoot disciplines such as marketing, accounting, finance and
management branched out, in Islamic economics, today, Islamic marketing, Islamic
accounting, Islamic finance and Islamic management have branched out with their own
methodologies, research journals, professional associations, sometime university
departments and research institutes. This is a true sign of development of Islamic
economics. These offshoot disciplines do not have their distinct methodologies as of
now; in most cases, they rely on using methodologies used in Islamic economics and
that of their more matured respective conventional counterparts. Though Islamic
economics is yet to catch up with the level of academic works, rigor, richness and depth
of conventional economics, with the depth of research in Islamic economics since the
beginning of serious academic work in the middle of the past century, it can be
compared to less rigorous conventional disciplines such as sociology and political
science. This can be clearer when one looks at the amount of academic work being
churned out every year from all corners of the globe, also looking at the quality of the
research done so far, the acceptance of research works in the area by both Islamic and
conventional journals and the gradual acceptance of the discipline by previously
unmoved conservative conventional economists in Western educational capitals.
Unlike in the past 30 years when a lot of young postgraduate students were sponsored
to undertake PhDs in Islamic economics, the trend has declined now. Young researchers
found it difficult to find sponsorship for research on Islamic economics, despite the
increase in the number of countries that are adopting the more influential branch:
Islamic banking and finance. Despite these challenges, enthusiasm for the subject
continues to increase around the world. In today’s internet age, when low-quality
research is easier to conduct and cases of plagiarism are rampant, internet resources
have made it easier for researchers from everywhere around the world to share their
research. It is like having one single global library, the internet, unlike before when
researchers in the field of Islamic economics had to travel to Jeddah, Kuala Lumpur or Islamic
Islamabad to access research materials. economic
There is indeed more room for use of mathematical models in Islamic economics, despite
the general move toward empirical economics of data collection and analysis. But, like it was
theory
pointed out before, it is to be done with cautious optimism. Both the capitalist academia and
their central planning counterpart in Eastern Europe have made heavy use of mathematics
to develop their respective economic thinking. In fact, both Eastern and Western economists
have contributed almost equally to the mathematical rigor in economics we see today. So, it
209
is a futile effort for Islamic economics to advocate abandoning mathematical economics. As
mentioned before, Muslim scholars during the golden age of Islamic civilization contributed
to the general development of mathematics. Today, some of the most promising
methodologies being developed for the field of Islamic economics have used mathematics.
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One such case is the Tawhidi methodology being championed by Masdul Choudhury; it
made good use of mathematics to explain the Islamic view regarding economic
management. Despite the criticisms against mathematics, economics as a subject and
economy as an institution cannot function without it. For example, a manufacturer needs
mathematics to calculate his revenue, profit and lost, government needs mathematics for
economic planning and decision-making and individuals need mathematics for their daily
calculations of income and spending. Therefore, what is needed is some sort of striking of
balance between abstraction and daily economic realities. Various aspects of mathematics
have real-world economic applications. Such mathematics include input output analysis,
linear programming, financial mathematics, game theory, geometric analysis, logarithm,
algebra, set theory, inventory control, network analysis, etc.
Hasan (2016) blamed the conservatism of the old guards of Islamic economists for much
of the present weakness of Islamic economics. He also cautions against rising use of
econometric modeling, as according to him, it lacks theoretical base and is confirmative. But,
there is also growing departure from adopting the usual conventional economic model
assumptions. Economic models developed in the Islamic economic system today use less
assumptions compared with the frequent use of unrealistic assumptions in the neoclassical
economics. While those who said that the use of empirical analysis in Islamic economics was
not realistic, given the fact that today, Muslim economies are not run according to Islamic
tenets and the data so collected are not necessarily Islamic, have a point; but, those who
argued for empirical tests also have a point, given the fact that even in conventional
economics, most of the models and their assumptions that are being tested are not realistic,
but testing them is helping in improving the real-world applications of these models. Thus,
for Islamic economics using empirical analysis helps adjust modern Muslim economies to
the ideals and realities of an Islamic economy being championed by Islamic economists,
including helping policy makers to make improvements to the economy and its individual
sectors. Just like in conventional economics, empirical tests help improve Islamic economics
theories. Despite the shortcomings in using mathematics to build sophisticated economic
models, economics (including Islamic economics) will continue to use mathematics, only the
use of mathematics shall be closely tied to reality on the ground and away from much
abstraction. It is the task of Islamic economists to lead the way and show the appropriate
way to use mathematics in building economic theories and applications. The core of the
Islamic economics methodology is Maqasid Al-Shari’ah (objective of Shari’ah), which
served as Fiqh foundation of Islamic economics.
Summary of the analysis on Islamic economists’ approach toward mathematical
economics and empirical analysis is as follows:
IJOES Overuse of mathematical models in economics has it apparent weakness in
34,2 simplifying complex realities and use of impracticable assumptions. But, that
notwithstanding, they have a role to play in the development of Islamic
economics.
Empirical analysis in Islamic economics has weaknesses, including the very fact
that moral phenomenon in Islamic economics is difficult to quantify; but, its
210 contribution, just like mathematics, is needed to develop the field.
Islamic economics adopt mathematical models that do not cause obstacles in
achieving the aim of Islamic economics, which is Falah. Where it is harmful, it is
discarded.
Islamic economics has yet to have universally accepted research methodology;
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Corresponding author
Shafiu Ibrahim Abdullahi can be contacted at: shafiuibrahim@gmail.com
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