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Equilibrium
Equilibrium
Consumption CAPM
& Equilibrium
1 / 24
University of Geneva
Motivation
Principle of no-arbitrage gives first idea about asset prices.
Strength: Price redundant assets relative to fundamental assets.
Weakness: Tells us nothing about how to price fundamental assets.
Have shown prices of fundamental assets determined by state prices, ψ.
But what are the state prices?
Price doesn’t satisfy this relation ⇒ agent should buy more/less of asset.
3 / 24
University of Geneva
Model Setup
There are two dates, t and t + 1. Agent has original endowment et
and et+1 in the two dates. Can consume or use it to buy asset.
Consumption: ct is consumption today, and
ct+1,1
ct+1 = ... is consumption tomorrow.
ct+1,m
Agent’s preferences over consumption “bundles” represented by utility
U (ct , ct+1 ) = u (ct ) + Et [βu (ct+1 )] .
The subjective discount factor β captures impatience.
Curvature of vNM utility u captures:
Aversion to risk - agent prefers consumption that is steady across states.
Aversion to inter-temporal substitution - agent prefers consumption
that is steady over time.
4 / 24
University of Geneva
so
St u0 (ct ) = Et β u0 (ct+1 ) bt+1 .
Multiply and divide each state price by the corresponding true probability:
ψ1 ψ2 ψm
Sj = A1j p1 + A2j p2 + . . . + Amj pm
p1 p2 pm
ψi
= E Aij
pi
This is the same pricing equation we derived earlier, if we set
ψi
mi = .
pi
7 / 24
University of Geneva
Competitive Equilibrium
A way of modelling the interaction between many agents in the economy.
Simple framework:
There are only two investors.
There is no 1st period consumption.
There are only two states.
The only traded securities are the two Arrow-Debreu securities.
Definition
A Competitive Equilibrium is a set of prices and portfolio allocations
such that all agents maximize their utility subject to their budget
constraints and all markets clear (i.e. aggregate demand for each asset
equals aggregate supply).
8 / 24
University of Geneva
9 / 24
University of Geneva
Indifference Curves
Let X be a choice set whose elements are bundles of different goods. An
indifference curve represents the set of bundles among which an agent is
indifferent.
Ib = {x ∈ X|b ∼ x}
Bundles above and to the right of b are more preferred.
Indifference curves are negatively-sloped and convex to the origin.
Indifference curves cannot intersect.
Slope of indifference curve: Marginal Rate of Substitution= dx
dx1 .
2
10 / 24
University of Geneva
Budget Constraint
A budget constraint is a constraint on how much money an agent can
spend on goods. Let M ≥ 0 be the amount of money available,
{x1 , x2 , . . . , xN } the quantities of goods purchased and {p , p2 , . . . , pN }
P1N
the corresponding prices. The budget constraint is then: i=1 pi xi ≤ M .
11 / 24
University of Geneva
Utility Maximization
Agent’s problem: Find the point on the highest indifference curve that is
in the budget set.
maximize u (x1 , x2 )
x1 ,x2
subject to p1 x1 + p2 x2 ≤ M
13 / 24
University of Geneva
max f (x1 , x2 )
x1 ,x2
subject to g (x1 , x2 ) = 0
Think of f as utility function, and g as budget constraint.
14 / 24
University of Geneva
∂f (x∗ ) ∗
∂L
∂x2 = ∂f
∂x2
∂g
− λ ∂x2
=0⇒ ∂x2 = λ ∂g(x
∂x2
)
But if we pick the correct penalty, λ∗ , the agent will respect the
constraint, even if he doesn’t have to.
Thus, λ∗ must be such that the constraint holds, i.e., we also need
∂L
∂λ = g (x1 , x2 ) = 0.
So we have 3 equations to be solved for x1 , x2 , λ.
15 / 24
University of Geneva
16 / 24
University of Geneva
http://www.econlab.arizona.edu/software/edgeworth/
http://www.sscnet.ucla.edu/ssc/labs/cameron/e1f98/imapedge.html
19 / 24
University of Geneva
Example
Assume ∃ 2 investors (A, B), 2 states (1, 2). Initial endowments are:
Investor A has 10 units of the Arrow-Debreu security for state 1, and
20 units for the Arrow-Debreu security for state 2.
Investor B has 15 units and 15 units, respectively.
Preferences are as follows:
For investor A we know that u cA A A 0.5 cA 0.5 .
1 , c2 = c1 2
For investor B we know that u cB B B 0.2 cB 0.8 .
1 , c2 = c1 2
a. Draw an Edgeworth box, indicating the initial allocation.
b. Draw the indifference curves.
c. Draw the set of Pareto Optimal allocations.
d. Indicate the contract curve (i.e. set of Pareto Optimal allocations at
which both individuals are better off than at their initial endowments)
e. On a new Edgeworth box, indicate the equilibrium.
f. Calculate the budget constraint for each individual, given prices.
g. Calculate the optimal consumption for each individual, given prices.
h. Calculate the equilibrium prices and the equilibrium allocation.
20 / 24
University of Geneva
Indifferences A B
Indifferences B B 35
Indifference A
35
Contract Curve
Indifference B
A 10 25 A 10 25
s.t. p1 eA A A A
1 + p 2 e 2 = p 1 x1 + p 2 x2 ,
where we use cA A A A
1 = x1 and c2 = x2 , since he consumes all payoffs.
22 / 24
University of Geneva
Solution (h)
h. We impose the market clearing conditions, i.e.,
xA B
1 + x1 = eA B
1 + e1
xA B
2 + x2 = eA B
2 + e2 ,